Grain and Feed Update - Beijing - China - People's Republic of - CH2023-0015

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 12

Required Report: Required - Public Distribution Date: January 25, 2023

Report Number: CH2023-0015

Report Name: Grain and Feed Update


Country: China - People's Republic of

Post: Beijing

Report Category: Grain and Feed

Prepared By: Chase McGrath

Approved By: Adam Branson

Report Highlights:

Corn production in MY2022/23 is revised up slightly based on National Bureau of Statistics data
indicating a better harvest in the North China Plain which more than offset smaller yields in the
northeast. Feed mills have resumed mixing more corn in feed rations as higher prices for wheat and
sorghum reduce demand for corn alternatives. At the same time, Brazilian corn is now available and
priced competitively with domestic corn. Sorghum imports are forecast down significantly in
MY2022/23 with a smaller U.S. crop and high prices. Rice imports are forecast lower with smaller
production in supplying markets and owing to a rice-related export ban in one of those countries.

THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY
STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY
Note: This report compares Post information with USDA’s January 2023 estimates and forecasts for
MY2020/21, MY2021/22, and MY2022/23. FAS China GAIN reports do not represent official USDA
information.

MY2022/23 Grain Production Estimates Published


On December 12, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) published MY2022/23 estimates for grain
production which indicates China’s grain output reached a new record of 68.7 billion metric tons (MT)
in 2022. Decreased rice production caused by drought was partly offset by better-than-expected wheat
and corn production.

Table 1. China: MY 2022/23 Grain Acreage, Production, and Yield


Change Total Change
Acreage Yield Change
from production from
(Million (Ton/Hectar from
MY2021/22 (Million MY2021/22
Hectares) e) MY2021/22
Tons)
All Grains 118.332 0.6% 686.53 0.5% 5.802 -0.1%
Rice 29.45 -1.6% 208.5 -2.0% 7.08 -0.5%
Wheat 23.519 -0.2% 137.72 0.6% 5.856 0.8%
Corn 43.070 -0.6% 277.2 1.7% 6.436 2.3%

Source: China NBS

TOTAL DEMAND of GRAIN as FEED and RESIDUAL

China's MY2022/23 grains for feed and residual use is forecast to remain stable with little change from
MY2021/22 while the forecast for overall feed production should increase slightly. The swine inventory
in calendar year 2023 is forecast to decrease by 1 percent. For more information on animal, poultry, and
related agricultural production changes see the 2022 China Livestock and Products Annual and 2022
China Poultry and Products Annual reports.

Table 2. China: Grains for Feed and Residual Demand Estimates by MY


(Unit: Million Metric Ton of MMT)
Grain 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 Absolute Change
Corn 196 210 220 10
Sorghum 8.7 11 7.1 -3.9
Barley 8.7 7.3 7 -0.3
Wheat 45 30 25 -5
Old Stock Rice (Milled Equivalent) 22 22 20 -2
Total 280.4 280.3 279.1 -1.2
Source: FAS China Analysis

China Feed Industry Association (CFIA) data through November 2022 indicates total industrial feed
production for MY2021/22 was almost unchanged from MY2020/21. Monthly feed production in 2022
saw incremental month-on-month growth from April to October while feed production in November
dropped three percent from the previous month. December feed production is projected to further
decline from November, as COVID rapidly spread through the population following a sudden total
relaxation of the zero-COVID control policies in early December. According to industry contacts, the
disease spread resulted in periods of production suspensions at some feed mills. Total October and
November feed production was still six percent higher than the same period last year.

Ministry of Agricultural and Rural Affairs (MARA) statistics in early December 2022 placed the
November sow herd at 43.8 million head, 0.2 percent higher than the previous month, or 2.1 percent
higher than last year. MARA considers this slightly above its “targeted” range of reasonable inventory
capacity. Hog prices at both spot and futures markets have declined notably since early November when
largescale hog producers culled hogs in preparation for the end of the year and the Spring Festival (also
known as Lunar New Year).

The poultry industry was impacted in 2022 by rising feed costs and weak consumption. Post believes
overall poultry sector and chicken production to remain steady in 2023.

Corn
Corn production in MY2022/23 is adjusted to 277.2 MMT, up 1.7 percent or 4.6 MMT from last year
owing to higher yields on policy-driven lower planting acreage. Production loss from the water logging
in portions of the Northeast was offset by the bumper harvest in the North China Plain (NCP) region,
particularly in Henan and Shandong provinces. It is worth noting that the official government estimates
astonished industry contacts and analysts which estimate production closer to 267.5 MMT to 272 MMT
output due a lower planted area with intercropping and extreme weather in the Northeast. Both
Northeast and NCP new crop corn are reportedly good quality with low mold and vomitoxin rates.

Post’s MY2022/23 feed corn and residual use forecast is 4 MMT more than USDA’s January estimate,
as feed mills mix more corn in rations with more local supply and lower imported corn prices. Feed
mills report more corn in rations each month since July 2022. Compound feed was estimated an average
35 percent corn in the first eleven months of 2022, 4 percent higher than 2021, but still dramatically
lower than the more traditional 50 to 55 percent in 2019 and before.

Despite the official reports of a bumper harvest, fourth quarter 2022 local corn prices remained high at
U.S. $404 (RMB 2,827) per MT, up 3.3 percent quarter-on-quarter, or up 12.5 percent from October
2021 Wheat is currently U.S. $55 (RMB 387) per MT higher than corn, pushing wheat out of rations as
a viable alternative.

Post forecasts MY2022/23 corn demand for industrial use to fall from MY2021/22. Corn starch plants
operated at an average 56 percent of capacity in the last quarter of 2022, down 10 percent from the
previous year. Starch plants continue to struggle operating at a loss with high corn prices. Food and
industrial ethanol plants operated at an average of 43 percent of capacity in the first ten months, up 6
percent year-on-year, on strong demand for ethanol as a sanitizer, but remain unprofitable.
Chart 1. China: Percentage of Corn used in Compound Feed

Source: Industry Sources

Chart 2. China: National Average Corn Starch Operation Rates

Source: Industry Sources


Note: Operations are halted each year during the February Lunar New Year holiday

Post forecasts MY2022/23 corn imports at 18 MMT, the same as USDA's official estimate.

China currently holds contracts for 3.7 MMT of U.S. corn for delivery in MY2022/23, 70 percent less
than the same time last year. Customs data shows 600,000 MT of U.S. corn exported to China each
month in both October and November, the lowest monthly volume in two years.
With the arrival of the first vessel of Brazilian corn in early January 2023, China will likely turn to
Brazil for a substantial amount of its corn imports. Brazil is projected to have 40-50 MMT corn export
capacity in MY2022/23. China agreed to temporarily waive a key clause in the phytosanitary protocol
re-signed with Brazil in May 2022, in part to reduce dependence on the United States and replace
supplies cut off from Ukraine owing to Putin’s brutal war of aggression and the volatility surrounding
the Black Sea Grain Initiative (BSGI). In October, China approved over 130 Brazilian facilities for
export. Industry sources reported close to 2 MMT of Brazilian corn was planned to sail to China from
November 4 2022. According to industry contacts, over 900,000 MT was loaded by mid-December and
was en route with additional shipments expected in the first few months of 2023.

Southern American corn is relatively lower priced compared with U.S. corn. New crop Brazilian corn is
reportedly quoted at U.S.$400 (RMB 2,800) per MT after tariff (i.e., delivered duties paid or DDP) for
January delivery and U.S.$371 (RMB 2,600) per MT for 3rd quarter 2023. While January 2023 arrival
U.S. corn is quoted at U.S. $423 (RMB2,960) per MT DDP at Guangdong ports and U.S.$400
(RMB2,800) per MT DDP for June delivery. The war in Ukraine continues to disrupt trade from China’s
other leading supplier, but the current resumption of the BSGI deal allowed China to continue to import
Ukrainian corn, which is reportedly quoted at U.S.$379 (RMB 2,650) per MT for June delivery. Corn
prices in southern Guangdong province for domestic corn shipped form the Northeast averaged U.S.
$427 (RMB 2,990) per MT at the end of 2022.

On January 11, the PRC Ministry of Commerce issued notices on the expiry review of the antidumping
(AD) and export subsidy (i.e., countervailing duty, or CVD) measures imposed on U.S. Distillers Dried
Grains with or without Solubles (DDGS) which found continued harm to the domestic industry if the
AD/CVD measures were removed. As a result, China will continue to collect AD and CVD duties on
U.S. DDGS for five more years. For more information see GAIN CH2023-0005.

Corn 2020/2021 2021/2022 2022/2023


Market Year Begins Oct 2020 Oct 2021 Oct 2022
China USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Area Harvested (1000 HA) 41264 41264 43324 43324 43070 43070
Beginning Stocks (1000 MT) 200526 200526 205704 212704 209137 215137
Production (1000 MT) 260670 260670 272552 272552 277200 277203
MY Imports (1000 MT) 29512 29512 21884 21884 18000 18000
TY Imports (1000 MT) 29512 29512 21884 21884 18000 18000
TY Imp. from U.S. (1000 MT) 20863 20863 15174 15174 0 0
Total Supply (1000 MT) 490708 490708 500140 507140 504337 510340
MY Exports (1000 MT) 4 4 3 3 20 20
TY Exports (1000 MT) 4 4 3 3 20 20
Feed and Residual (1000 MT) 203000 196000 209000 210000 216000 220000
FSI Consumption (1000 MT) 82000 82000 82000 82000 81000 81000
Total Consumption (1000 MT) 285000 278000 291000 292000 297000 301000
Ending Stocks (1000 MT) 205704 212704 209137 215137 207317 209320
Total Distribution (1000 MT) 490708 490708 500140 507140 504337 510340
Yield (MT/HA) 6.3171 6.3171 6.291 6.291 6.44 6.4361

(1000 HA) ,(1000 MT) ,(MT/HA)


MY = Marketing Year, begins with the month listed at the top of each column
TY = Trade Year, which for Corn begins in October for all countries. TY 2022/2023 = October 2022 - September 2023
Sorghum
Lower U.S. sorghum production and disadvantageous prices are expected to reduce China’s MY2022/23
sorghum imports from previous levels. In late December 2022, South American corn and Australian
feed quality wheat were the most price competitive, followed by brown rice, feed quality wheat, and
then local corn. U.S. sorghum quotes have risen by more than 20 percent over the past six months to
U.S. $604 (RMB 4,227) per MT. As of late December 2022, China held only 190,071 MT of U.S.
sorghum contracts for MY2022/23, 95 percent less than the same time last year. Although Argentine and
Australian sorghum prices are more competitive than U.S. sorghum, their export potential is limited.

Table 3. China: Imported Coarse Grain and Substitute Prices in Major Ports
Grain RMB Price U.S. Dollar Price
Local Corn 2,800-2,990 $400-427
Imported U.S. Corn 2,960 $423
Imported Brazilian and Corn (quote for 2,770-2,854 $396-408
early 2023 delivery)
Imported U.S. Sorghum 4,227 $604
Imported Argentine and Australian 2,804-3,064 $401-438
Sorghum
Imported feed quality Australian (subject to 2,100-2,951 $300-422
AD/CVD), French and Argentine Barley
Local Wheat 3,200 $457
Imported U.S. Wheat 3,200-3,500 $457-500
Imported feed quality Australian Wheat 2,700 $386
Imported Indian Broken Rice 2,900 $417
Imported U.S. DDGs (without AD/CVD) 2,773 $396
Unit: RMB per metric ton, exchange Rate as of December 29, 2022 U.S. $1= RMB 7

Sorghum consumption in MY2022/23 is expected to decline from MY2021/22 levels with decreased
imports. Feed mills have exhibited increased flexibility in grain substitution in their feed formulas over
the last several years, making procurement even more price-driven than in the past. In addition, The
China Liquor Industry Association reported liquor production in the first eleven months decreased by
4.7 percent year-on-year.

China continues to diversify its grain imports sources. On October 14, China signed a phytosanitary
protocol with Uruguay to authorize Uruguay export sorghum to China. However, industry sources
postulate that Uruguay’s export potential to China will be relatively small.
Sorghum 2020/2021 2021/2022 2022/2023
Market Year Begins Oct 2020 Oct 2021 Oct 2022
China USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Area Harvested (1000 HA) 635 635 630 630 630 630
Beginning Stocks (1000 MT) 34 34 269 269 255 255
Production (1000 MT) 2970 2970 3000 3000 3000 3000
MY Imports (1000 MT) 8669 8669 10991 10991 5600 5600
TY Imports (1000 MT) 8669 8669 10991 10991 5600 5600
TY Imp. from U.S. (1000 MT) 6511 6511 6435 6435 0 0
Total Supply (1000 MT) 11673 11673 14260 14260 8855 8855
MY Exports (1000 MT) 4 4 5 5 30 30
TY Exports (1000 MT) 4 4 5 5 30 30
Feed and Residual (1000 MT) 8700 8700 11000 11000 5600 5600
FSI Consumption (1000 MT) 2700 2700 3000 3000 3000 3000
Total Consumption (1000 MT) 11400 11400 14000 14000 8600 8600
Ending Stocks (1000 MT) 269 269 255 255 225 225
Total Distribution (1000 MT) 11673 11673 14260 14260 8855 8855
Yield (MT/HA) 4.6772 4.6772 4.7619 4.7619 4.7619 4.7619

(1000 HA) ,(1000 MT) ,(MT/HA)


MY = Marketing Year, begins with the month listed at the top of each column
TY = Trade Year, which for Sorghum begins in October for all countries. TY 2022/2023 = October 2022 - September 2023

Barley
There are no changes for barley production, supply, and distribution figures for MY2020/21,
MY2021/22, or MY2022/23. The NBS reported 0.5 percent year-over-year more beer production in the
first eleven months of 2022. With diversified import sources and relatively good prices, there are still
chances China will import barley for feed in MY2022/23. In early December, China reportedly bought a
few boats of new crop French barley for January 2023 delivery at U.S.$393 (RMB 2,750) per MT. The
Australian government is reportedly seeking negotiation with China to reopen barley trade with requests
to PRC authorities to revoke their AD/CVD duties on Australian barley. Russian barley could be another
option with a cost and freight (CNF) quote at U.S.$394 (RMB 2,761) per MT in late November,
however logistics challenges remain. There were approximately 330,000 MT of barley stocks, mostly
Canadian barley for malt use, at major Chinese importing ports at the end of 2022.

2020/2021 2021/2022 2022/2023


Barley
Market Year Begins Oct 2020 Oct 2021 Oct 2022
China USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Area Harvested (1000 HA) 509 509 510 510 510 510
Beginning Stocks (1000 MT) 289 289 1374 1374 256 256
Production (1000 MT) 2036 2036 2000 2000 2000 2000
MY Imports (1000 MT) 12049 12049 8282 8282 9000 9000
TY Imports (1000 MT) 12049 12049 8282 8282 9000 9000
TY Imp. From U.S. (1000 MT) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Supply (1000 MT) 14374 14374 11656 11656 11256 11256
MY Exports (1000 MT) 0 0 0 0 0 0
TY Exports (1000 MT) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Feed and Residual (1000 MT) 8700 8700 7300 7300 7000 7000
FSI Consumption (1000 MT) 4300 4300 4100 4100 4100 4100
Total Consumption (1000 MT) 13000 13000 11400 11400 11100 11100
Ending Stocks (1000 MT) 1374 1374 256 256 156 156
Total Distribution (1000 MT) 14374 14374 11656 11656 11256 11256
Yield (MT/HA) 4 4 3.9216 3.9216 3.9216 3.9216

(1000 HA) ,(1000 MT) ,(MT/HA)


MY = Marketing Year, begins with the month listed at the top of each column
TY = Trade Year, which for Barley begins in October for all countries. TY 2022/2023 = October 2022 – September 2023

Wheat
Wheat production in MY 2022/23 is adjusted to 137.7 MMT, up 0.6 percent or 0.8 MMT from last year
owing to better yields. MARA claimed MY2022/23 wheat was of great quality, according to the “2022
Quality Monitor Report on New Crop Wheat in 13 Provinces” published by the State Administration of
Food and Strategic Reserve (SAFSR) in November. The report indicated more than 96 percent of the
newly harvested wheat was recorded above 3rd class quality and 63 percent met 1st class quality
standards. MY 2023/24 winter wheat planting is underway with no issues reported. The top producing
province, Henan, reported its best growing status in recent years with 90 percent 1st class seedlings, 12
percent higher than last year, and 3 percent better than normal years.

Post’s MY2022/23 and MY2021/22 wheat consumption for feed and fodder are both 5 MMT lower
than previous estimates and in line with USDA’s January update. After a short stumble due to COVID
waves spreading through China in November and December, local wheat prices resumed upward to U.S.
$471 (RMB 3,300) per MT in December, close to a 20 percent jump from early 2022. The wheat-corn
price gap continued to widen during the year and is roughly U.S. $57 (RMB 400) per MT at present
compared to roughly U.S. -$38 (RMB -260) per MT the previous year. SAFSR affiliated National Grain
& Oils Information Center (NGOIC) estimated 55 MMT of wheat were used for feed in MY2020/21 and
20 MMT were used in MY2021/22.
Chart 3. China: Wheat, Corn, Rice Price Comparisons

Source: National Food and Strategic Reserve Administration


MY2022/23 wheat imports are forecast at 9.5 MMT, the same as USDA’s January estimate.

China reportedly aggressively purchased Australian and French wheat at cheap prices. Customs data
showed China imported 5.2 MMT of Australian wheat and 1.6 MMT of French wheat in the first eleven
months of 2022, up by 135 percent and 52 percent respectively. The imports accounts for more than 70
percent of China’s wheat tariff rate quota (TRQ) level of 9.636 MMT for calendar year 2022.

As of November 1, China allowed the import of wheat flour from Belarus if it meets inspection and
quarantine requirements. From 2018-2020, China imported 200,000-300,000 MT of wheat flour mainly
from Ukraine, Russia, and Kazakhstan. The import volume was cut by about 75 percent in 2021 and
2022. Mills in Northeast China reportedly have used some Russian wheat flour to replace corn with
prices of U.S.$ 357 (RMB 2,500) per MT.

On September 29, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) set the 2023 Minimum
Support Price (MSP) for wheat procurement at U.S.$334 (RMB 2,340) per MT, up from U.S. $329
(RMB 2,300) per MT in 2022. Domestic wheat prices remain significantly above the government’s
MSP. The MSP was not triggered in 2022 and is once again not expected to be triggered in 2023. The
increase in MSP remains too low according to industry contacts to provide incentive for farmers to
expand their wheat area.

Wheat 2020/2021 2021/2022 2022/2023


Market Year Begins Jul 2020 Jul 2021 Jul 2022
China USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Area Harvested (1000 HA) 23380 23380 23568 23568 23519 23519
Beginning Stocks (1000 MT) 150015 150015 144120 139120 141759 141759
Production (1000 MT) 134250 134250 136946 136946 137723 137723
MY Imports (1000 MT) 10618 10618 9568 9568 9500 9500
TY Imports (1000 MT) 10618 10618 9568 9568 9500 9500
TY Imp. from U.S. (1000 MT) 3367 3367 0 0 0 0
Total Supply (1000 MT) 294883 294883 290634 285634 288982 288982
MY Exports (1000 MT) 763 763 875 875 900 900
TY Exports (1000 MT) 763 763 875 875 900 900
Feed and Residual (1000 MT) 40000 45000 35000 30000 30000 25000
FSI Consumption (1000 MT) 110000 110000 113000 113000 114000 114000
Total Consumption (1000 MT) 150000 155000 148000 143000 144000 139000
Ending Stocks (1000 MT) 144120 139120 141759 141759 144082 149082
Total Distribution (1000 MT) 294883 294883 290634 285634 288982 288982
Yield (MT/HA) 5.7421 5.7421 5.8107 5.8107 5.8558 5.8558

(1000 HA) ,(1000 MT) ,(MT/HA)


MY = Marketing Year, begins with the month listed at the top of each column
TY = Trade Year, which for Wheat begins in July for all countries. TY 2022/2023 = July 2022 - June 2023

Rice
Milled rice production in MY 2022/23 is adjusted to 146 MMT, down by 2 percent or 1 MMT from last
year owing to both lower planting area and yields, because of drought on mid and late-season crops.
Domestic rice prices increased slightly in response to local production loss and international price
fluctuations.
Table 4: China: Old Stock Rice Auctions in 2020-2022
Auction Period Amount Amount Notes
Offered Sold
2020 14.5 MMT 9.2 MMT

March 31-October 48 MMT 15.6 MMT -Floor price increased from RMB1,300 to 1,500
14, 2021 per ton
-Rice mixed with wheat to be used in feed -2
MMT rice offered each week
March 17 to April 7, 40.5 4.5 MMT -500,000—1 MMT rice offered each week
2022
May 19-September 24.6 MMT -Floor price increased from RMB1,500 to
2022 RMB1,600—1,700 per ton
-2 MMT rice was offered every other week
Source: Post Industry Sources

MY2022/23 rice consumption for feed and fodder are estimated to be 2 MMT lower than MY2021/22
due to fewer imports from India and Pakistan. The state reserve sold a total of 29.1 MMT of feed-grade
old stock paddy rice in 2022. The current spot price for old stock brown rice still has a price advantage
over other corn substitutes in Northeast, NCP, and South China. Some feed mills in these provinces
report replacing as much as 20 percent of corn with brown rice in swine feed formulas. SAFSR affiliated
National Grain & Oils Information Center (NGOIC) estimated around 30 MMT of paddy rice for feed
use annually over the past three years.

Rice imports forecast for MY2022/23 are decreased to 5.2 MMT, 300,000 MT lower than Post’s
September estimate on lower Indian and Pakistan rice output and India’s broken rice export ban that was
issued in September.

China’s 2022 rice imports exceeded its 5.32 MMT tariff-rate-quota (TRQ) for the first time in history.
According to China Customs data, from January to November 2022, China imported 5.7 MMT of rice,
an increase of 32.2 percent year-on-year. As grain and oilseed imports have dropped due to higher world
prices, China’s rice imports have risen due to steady world supplies, relatively stable import prices, and
increased demand from China’s livestock feed sector. Most import growth was driven by low-priced
broken rice from India (2 MMT, up 101 percent), Pakistan (650,079 MT, up 88 percent), and Thailand
(203,668 MMT, up 31 percent).

However, China will face challenges to continue importing broken rice as a corn substitute with both
production and exports forecast down in Pakistan and India. China’s October rice imports slumped by
19 percent from September, among which imports of Indian broken rice dropped 66 percent month-on-
month. November imports were even lower. October and November average unit prices of imported
broken rice also increased by 6 percent to U.S.$ 399 per MT. As such, imported broken rice has lost its
price advantage over other feed grains.
Chart 4. China: China’s Rice Import 2017-2022

Source: TDM

Chart 5. China: China’s Broken Rice Imports by Country 2017-2022

Source: TDM

Though rice stock levels are not publicly available, the industry consensus maintains overall rice
volumes in the national reserve for food use are stable and sufficient.

In November, the SAFSR launched an MSP program in Jiangsu, Anhui, Henan, Hubei, and
Heilongjiang provinces to prop up the new crop rice prices. Post estimates that the state reserve bought
close to 2 MMT of new crop rice under MSP in November. As the domestic rice prices started to rise
above the MSP level, the state reserve may not buy much rice under the price support program in
December.

Rice, Milled 2020/2021 2021/2022 2022/2023


Market Year Begins Jul 2020 Jul 2021 Jul 2022
China USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post
Area Harvested (1000 HA) 30076 30076 29921 29921 29450 29450
Beginning Stocks (1000 MT) 116500 116500 116500 116500 113000 113000
Milled Production (1000 MT) 148300 148300 148990 148990 145946 145947
Rough Production (1000 MT) 211857 211857 212843 212843 208494 208496
Milling Rate (.9999) (1000 MT) 7000 7000 7000 7000 7000 7000
MY Imports (1000 MT) 4215 4215 5949 5949 5200 5200
TY Imports (1000 MT) 4921 4921 6200 6200 5200 5200
TY Imp. from U.S. (1000 MT) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Supply (1000 MT) 269015 269015 271439 271439 264146 264147
MY Exports (1000 MT) 2222 2222 2079 2079 2200 2200
TY Exports (1000 MT) 2407 2407 2250 2250 2200 2200
Consumption and Residual (1000 150293 150293 156360 156360 153946 155000
MT)
Ending Stocks (1000 MT) 116500 116500 113000 113000 108000 106947
Total Distribution (1000 MT) 269015 269015 271439 271439 264146 264147
Yield (Rough) (MT/HA) 7.0441 7.0441 7.1135 7.1135 7.0797 7.0797

(1000 HA) ,(1000 MT) ,(MT/HA)


MY = Marketing Year, begins with the month listed at the top of each column
TY = Trade Year, which for Rice, Milled begins in January for all countries. TY 2022/2023 = January 2023 - December 2023

Attachments:

No Attachments

You might also like