Additional Assessment Materials
Summer 2021
Pearson Edexcel GCE in Mathematics
9FM0_3B (Public release version)
Resource Set 1: Topic 5
Central limit theorem
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Additional Assessment Materials, Summer 2021
All the material in this publication is copyright
© Pearson Education Ltd 2021
General guidance to Additional Assessment Materials for use in 2021
Context
Additional Assessment Materials are being produced for GCSE, AS and A
levels (with the exception of Art and Design).
The Additional Assessment Materials presented in this booklet are
an optional part of the range of evidence teachers may use when deciding
on a candidate’s grade.
2021 Additional Assessment Materials have been drawn from previous
examination materials, namely past papers.
Additional Assessment Materials have come from past papers both
published (those materials available publicly) and unpublished (those
currently under padlock to our centres) presented in a different format to
allow teachers to adapt them for use with candidate.
Purpose
The purpose of this resource to provide qualification-specific sets/groups
of questions covering the knowledge, skills and understanding relevant to
this Pearson qualification.
This document should be used in conjunction with the mapping guidance
which will map content and/or skills covered within each set of
questions.
These materials are only intended to support the summer 2021 series.
1. A biased spinner can land on the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 with the following probabilities.
Number on spinner 1 2 3 4 5
Probability 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3
The spinner will be spun 80 times and the mean of the numbers it lands on will be calculated.
Find an estimate of the probability that this mean will be greater than 3.25
(6)
(Total for Question 1 is 6 marks)
2. Malik is a circus clown. As a part of his act he throws darts at a modified dartboard whilst
blindfolded. He knows that there is a probability of 0.8 that each dart misses the bullseye.
In rehearsals, Malik throws darts at the dartboard whilst blindfolded until his assistant
tells him he has hit the bullseye 3 times.
(a) (i) Calculate how many darts Malik should expect to throw in order to hit the bullseye
3 times.
(3)
(ii) State two assumptions that need to be made about Malik’s throws of the darts in
order for this calculation to be valid.
(2)
Malik rehearses once a day for each of 100 days.
Given that the assumptions in part (a) are true,
(b) calculate an estimate of the probability that the mean number of throws required is at
least 16
(5)
(Total for Question 2 is 10 marks)
3. A radio station is running a contest each day for 30 days.
Each day it awards a prize to each of the first 12 callers who phone in and answer a
question correctly. Once 12 prizes are awarded, no more calls are taken that day.
3
It can be assumed that each caller has a chance of answering a question correctly,
4
independently of all other callers.
(a) Find the probability that there are exactly 15 calls taken on the first day.
(2)
(b) Find the probability that there are more than 13 calls taken on the first day.
(3)
(c) Estimate the probability that the mean number of calls taken over the 30 days is more
than 15.5
(6)
(Total for Question 3 is 11 marks)
4. A six-sided die has sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6
The random variable S represents the score when the die is rolled.
Alicia rolls the die 45 times and the mean score, , is calculated.
Assuming the die is fair and using a suitable approximation,
(a ) find, to 3 significant figures, the value of k such that P( < k) = 0.05
(8)
(b) Explain the relevance of the Central Limit Theorem in part (a).
(2)
Alicia considers the following hypotheses:
H0: The die is fair
H1: The die is not fair
If < 3.1 or > 3.9, then H0 will be rejected.
Given that the true distribution of S has mean 4 and variance 3
(c ) find the power of this test.
(3)
(d) Describe what would happen to the power of this test if Alicia were to increase the
number of rolls of the die.
Give a reason for your answer.
(2)
(Total for Question 4 is 15 marks)
