Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 5

Tropical Storm EGAY (DOKSURI)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 22 July 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.

EGAY INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA

Location of Center (10:00 AM)

The center of Tropical Storm EGAY was estimated

based on all available data at 750 km East of Virac,
Catanduanes (14.4°N, 131.1°E)

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center,
gustiness of up to 80 km/h, and central pressure of
1000 hPa
Present Movement

Westward Slowly
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong winds extend outwards up to 290 km from the
center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
8:00 PM 14.7 130.5 690 km East of Virac, Catanduanes TS 85 WNW 10
22 July 2023
24-Hour Forecast
8:00 AM 14.6 129.6 595 km East Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes STS 100 W 10
23 July 2023
36-Hour Forecast
8:00 PM 14.6 128.9 520 km East Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes TY 120 W Slowly
23 July 2023
48-Hour Forecast
8:00 AM 15.0 128.4 480 km East Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes TY 140 NW Slowly
24 July 2023
60-Hour Forecast
8:00 PM 15.8 127.9 670 km East of Baler, Aurora TY 175 NNW 10
24 July 2023
72-Hour Forecast
8:00 AM 17.2 127.1 570 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan STY 185 NNW 15
25 July 2023
96-Hour Forecast
8:00 AM 20.3 124.6 275 km East of Basco, Batanes STY 185 NW 20
26 July 2023
120-Hour Forecast
320 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes or
8:00 AM 23.6 121.2 TY 175 NW 20
in the vicinity of Hualien County, Taiwan
27 July 2023

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

No Wind Signals hoisted at this time.

Page 1 of 2

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 5

Tropical Storm EGAY (DOKSURI)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 22 July 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Forecast accumulated rainfall on Monday

 50-100 mm: Catanduanes

In addition, EGAY may also enhance the Southwest Monsoon during the weekend and into next week:
 Tomorrow: Occasional rains possible over Western Visayas
 Monday: Occasional rains likely over Western Visayas, Occidental Mindoro, and the northern portion of Palawan
including Calamian Islands.

A Weather Advisory may be issued for these areas in anticipation of the potential heavy rainfall.

Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-
induced landslides are possible, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as
identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.

Severe Winds

In anticipation of the arrival of strong breeze to near-gale conditions associated with EGAY, Wind Signals may be
hoisted within the day or tomorrow in some areas in Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas.

The enhanced Southwest Monsoon may bring gusty conditions over the following areas (especially in coastal and
upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:
 Today: The western and southern portions of Visayas, the northern portions of Northern Mindanao and Caraga,
Romblon, and Masbate
 Tomorrow: Most of Visayas and MIMAROPA and the northern portions of Northern Mindanao and Caraga.
 Monday: MIMAROPA, most of Visayas, the northern portions of Northern Mindanao and Caraga, and portions of
Zamboanga Peninsula.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

On Sunday, EGAY may bring moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 3.0 m) over the eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon,
Visayas, and Mindanao. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing
out to sea. If inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels, avoid navigating in these conditions.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

 EGAY is forecast to track generally west northwestward or westward today and tomorrow before turning
northwestward for the remainder of the forecast period. The current forecast track indicates that EGAY will remain
offshore over the Philippine Sea. However, the forecast confidence cone indicates that a landfall scenario over the
northern portion of Northern Luzon is not ruled out at this time. Analysis of available meteorological data indicates that
considerable shifts in its track forecast remain possible in succeeding bulletins.
 EGAY is forecast to intensify into a severe tropical storm in the next 24 hours. Through the forecast period, this tropical
cyclone will continue to steadily intensify. It may reach peak at super typhoon category on Tuesday or Wednesday
while over the Philippine Sea east of Extreme Northern Luzon.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.

DOST-PAGASA Page 2 of 2

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph