Part III - TB Data Project
Part III - TB Data Project
Part A
I choose Random sampling.
From the 194 members of the World Health Organization (WHO) I only selected countries that
had dark blue on their flags and ended up with 36 countries and with the help of a picker wheel
( https://pickerwheel.com/) I was able to randomly get the 10 countries I needed for the project.
Country Total TB
Incidence
Cabo Verde 31
Czechia 4.2
Gambia 145
Lesotho 661
Namibia 450
Saint Lucia 1.3
Seychelles 17
South Africa 468
South Sudan 227
Venezuela 46
Part B
1.3, 4.2, 17, 31, 46, 145, 227, 450, 468, 661
𝟏.𝟑+𝟒.𝟐+𝟏𝟕+𝟑𝟏+𝟒𝟔+𝟏𝟒𝟓+𝟐𝟐𝟕+𝟒𝟓𝟎+𝟒𝟔𝟖+𝟔𝟔𝟏
Mean = =205.05
𝟏𝟎
𝟒𝟔+𝟏𝟒𝟓
Median = 𝟐 = 95.5
Q1 = 17
Q3 = 450
IQR = Q3 - Q1 = 450 – 17 = 433
Lower fence = Q1 - 1.5 (IQR) = 17 – 1.5 ( 433 ) = - 632.5
Upper fence = Q3 + 1.5( IQR) = 450 + 1.5 ( 433 ) = 1000.5
Without any outlier
Part D
2. Sample Size: The total cohort size of all ten countries combined is
182+342+2,254+4,508+6,464+4+11+161,359+12,135+9,090=206,359182+342+2,254+4,508+6,
464+4+11+161,359+12,135+9,090=206,359. This is definitely larger than 30, so this condition is
met.
3. Normality of the Population: Due to the distribution of the population and considering the
wide range of values and the large sample size, we can reasonably assume that the Central Limit
Theorem applies, and the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be approximately
normal.
Based on these evaluations, all three conditions for using the normal model seem to be met.
Therefore, we can proceed with confidence interval computations or hypothesis tests, and the
results obtained should be valid.
Part E
We are 95% confident that the interval ( 205.05 , 170.94) captures the true proportion of the total
TB incidence in the 10 Countries selected.
Part F
H0 : µ = 132 σ= 0.05
Ha : µ ≠ 132
Test statistic = 0.97
Sample size p-value = 0.36
n ≥ 30
135 ≥ 30
We will fall to reject H0. There is sufficient evidence that conclude that the global incidence rate
of TB is higher than 132.
Interpretation of p-value:
If the global incidence rate of TB is 132 people, there is a 36% probability of getting a sample
mean of 205.05 or higher.