Minerals Council of Australia - Submission 1
Minerals Council of Australia - Submission 1
Minerals Council of Australia - Submission 1
JANUARY 2020
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Executive summary.......................................................................................................................... 3
2. Mining industry overview.................................................................................................................. 5
3. Economic outlook ............................................................................................................................. 6
4. Policy recommendations ................................................................................................................ 11
Australian mining is part of the identity of Australian communities and regions. It contributes to
national economic strength and to local commerce and employment. It is a responsive and
responsible neighbour, particularly during times of challenge.
Mining provides an economic bedrock for the Australian Government to meet its immediate and
long-term challenges. The priorities of the 2020-21 budget should be to maintain the stable policy
settings that underpin mining’s considerable contribution today, support investment (including in skills)
as the best path to support its contribution in future, and promote a partnership that deliver long term
community and environmental benefits.
Australian mining today contributes record exports of $273 billion, the highest wages in Australia with
an average of $141,000 a year, ongoing supply chain opportunities in regional areas, leading edge
innovation, respectful engagement with Traditional Owners and significant tax and royalties
contributions of $31 billion annually to underpin national prosperity and vibrant regional communities.
Mining continues to play its part during times of natural disaster providing practical support to
employees and communities – through paid leave for volunteers and donations – and a revenue
stream to support and federal government recovery expenditure.
To maintain this contribution, policy needs to provide confidence for investment today through:
• Stable fiscal settings
• A pathway to lower taxation
• Mining continues to make a significant contribution to the Australian economy and society. In
2018-19 it generated $273 billion of export revenue (which was 58 per cent of total export
revenue), directly employed 240,000 people in highly-paid, highly skilled jobs and invested
$33 billion in new capital expenditure. The mining industry also pays its fair share of taxes
with $31 billion of company taxes and royalties paid in 2017-18.
• The minerals industry’s number one value and commitment is the safety and health of its
workforce, where everyone who goes to work in the industry returns home safe and healthy.
The industry has set itself the ambitious goal of becoming free of fatalities.
• The industry is increasingly focused on long-term community partnerships and strategic
investment to support sustainable long-term development outcomes.
Australia has built its mining industry on a reputation for smart, sophisticated, sustainable exploration,
mining and minerals processing – from bulk commodities like iron ore, coal and bauxite, to metals like
gold, copper and nickel, and increasingly, critical minerals like lithium and rare earth elements. Mining
makes a significant contribution to the Australian economy and society. In 2018-19 it generated
$273 billion of export revenue (58 per cent of total export revenue), directly employed 240,000 people
1
in highly-paid, highly skilled jobs and invested $33 billion in new capital expenditure. Mining also
2
pays its fair share of taxes with $31 billion of company taxes and royalties paid in 2017-18.
More than just a driver of domestic economic growth, the Australian mining industry is the largest
exporter of minerals and metals in the world. It is an essential part of the supplier chains underpinning
the new transportation networks, clean energy systems and modern consumer products which are
improving the living standards of billions of people around the world. Importantly, the Australian
mining industry is meeting the world’s growing demand for steel, energy and critical minerals with an
unwavering commitment to sustainability, community engagement, rehabilitation and greenhouse gas
emission reductions.
Modern mining environmental practice is highly regulated, better implemented and more accountable
than ever before. The minerals industry upholds high standards of environmental protection based on
the use of sound science and robust risk-based approaches. The industry pursues continuous
improvement in the areas of land use and mine rehabilitation, water use and biodiversity
conservation. Companies may also offset significant residual environmental impacts and undertake
voluntary conservation initiatives that go beyond regulatory compliance.
The minerals industry’s number one value and commitment is the safety and health of its workforce,
where everyone who goes to work in the industry returns home safe and healthy. The minerals
industry is firmly committed to the principle that every individual, regardless of where they work,
whether as a direct employee or contractor, and whatever tasks they undertake, should have the
same high standard of workplace safety. The industry has set itself the ambitious goal of becoming
free of fatalities.
The minerals industry approach to community engagement has evolved over past decades. The
sector has developed innovative approaches to engagement and is supporting multi-party dialogues
and partnerships with local communities – particularly in regional Australia. The industry is
increasingly focused on long-term community partnerships and strategic investment to support
community priorities and aspirations for sustainable long-term development outcomes.
1
Australian Bureau of Statistics, cat. no. 5368 International Trade in Goods and Services, Australia, Oct 2019; cat. no.
6291.0.55.003 Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly, Aug 2019; cat. no. 5625 Private New Capital Expenditure and
Expected Expenditure, Australia, Sep 2019.
2
Deloitte Access Economics, Estimates of royalties and company tax accrued in 2017-18, report prepared for the Minerals
Council of Australia, MCA, 26 March 2019.
• The rise of protectionist sentiment in several key economies is a key risk to sustaining higher
rates of global economic growth and could affect commodity markets and price.
• Australia must be prepared to manage the potential impacts of commodity price cycles. The
government should continue to account for price risks in its budget planning and implement
policies such as exploration incentives, company tax cuts and skills programs that support the
mining industry investing in new technologies that will enable it to remain internationally
competitive in a lower price environment.
• Australia’s annual rate of GDP growth is declining and this has coincided with diminishing
growth in labour productivity. Ultimately productivity, not debt, drives long term economic
growth.
Macroeconomic outlook
In the last decade world GDP has expanded substantially, underpinned primarily by growth in non-
OECD nations such as China, India and Indonesia. Urbanisation, industrial expansion and rising
middle class incomes have led to rapid increases in the consumption of all mineral and energy
commodities which has allowed Australia to forge strong trade relations with its regional partners and
become a key part of global supply chains.
The rise of protectionist sentiment in several key economies is a key risk to sustaining higher rates of
3
global economic growth. As shown in chart 1, world trade is closely linked to world GDP growth. Free
and open trade is an optimal policy for improving living standards around the world as trade creates
greater competition among producers, facilitates technology transfers between nations and delivers a
broader range of goods for consumers. Recent policy shifts in several countries that aim to limit free
trade are now likely to reduce world economic growth rates in the short to medium term. This has
been highlighted in recent downwards revisions to economic outlooks by many of the world’s leading
economic institutions including the IMF, World Bank and OECD.
6% 16%
5% 12%
Volume of World Trade
4% 8%
GDP Growth
3% 4%
2% 0%
1% -4%
0% -8%
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
-1% -12%
3
Commonwealth of Australia, Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2019-20, p. 13.
60
Annual % change in IMF Metals Price
50
40
30
20
Index
10
0
-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
-10
-20
-30
-40
World GDP Growth %
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook database.
A productive and competitive Australian mining industry will be well-positioned to supply the world’s
growing metal and energy commodity needs in the 21st century. The economies of China, India and
South-East Asia are using increasing amounts of steel, aluminium and copper to increase their
industrial capacity, create more high-density housing in large cities, and build transportation networks,
communications systems and electrical grids. In addition, demand for consumer products – such as
cars, televisions, laptops, mobile ’phones and refrigerators – is rising rapidly as middle-class incomes
increase.
The growth in demand for advanced technologies will result in larger markets for critical minerals
(such as rare earth elements) as well as for key metals like iron ore, copper, zinc and nickel. Yet
Australia’s comparative advantage in resources exports is not guaranteed. Government policies must
attract greater exploration investment and support the development of new mines for Australia to
maximise the potential of its mineral endowments.
4
International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, released 15 October 2019, p. 47.
The emergence of the ‘coronavirus’ at the beginning of 2020 has cast uncertainty over economic
outlooks and commodity markets.
With responses to the health and humanitarian issues the priority, at the time of writing considerations
of economic impacts are speculative and subsidiary. Australian mining companies have extensive
links with the region and their first concern is the welfare of workers and the communities where they
operate. For the longer term considerations of the budget, the following observations may assist when
other priorities are dealt with.
The historical experience is generally useful, a point. In 2003, the severe acute respiratory syndrome
(SARS), a zoonotic virus outbreak, emerged in the southern Asian mainland. It led to the recorded
5
death of 774 people, around the world, mostly in Asia.
There was an immediate impact across the industrial, tourism and services sectors in this coastal
region as the outbreak reached its epidemiological peak in March and April 2003. Commodity prices
seem to have dipped, although the use of contract and benchmark pricing makes the picture opaque.
Across the calendar year, there was a fall of demand from Australia for bulk commodities in the
6
region, with iron ore down 2 per cent, and thermal coal 17 per cent. It is worth noting other factors
may have had caused secondary effects, such as the 2000-01 global economic crisis and military
actions in the Middle East.
This immediate impact was short-lived with prices and volumes soon recovering, though coming at
the beginning of the extraordinary surge in Chinese economic growth which continues to this day.
7
Research suggests that media and modelling of the impacts at the time may have been overstated.
The present outbreak has its own characteristics. Hubei province hosts a considerable steel
producing operation but the bulk of national production remains along the coast (where the SARS
8
epidemic emerged). Iron prices remain stable at this stage (US$ 93 per tonne). The province is
adjacent to significant hydropower resources. Hubei is a major manufacturing centre and
transportation hub which means downstream metals commodities may see more uncertainty. Copper
prices have dipped, though this may relate to media reports of the decision by Shanghai port
authorities, the main entry point for refined copper products, to extend leave for workers as a
9
precaution.
Domestic economy
Lifting the rate of economic growth
Australia’s economic performance has exceeded many OECD nations in the last decade with the
mining investment boom and recent growth in resources export volumes being key contributors to this
success. Nevertheless, the Australian economy is now faced with the economic challenges many
advanced economies have encountered in the last 20 years such as low productivity growth, rising
public debt and stagnant wage growth.
Australia has become an expensive place to do business, especially compared to other countries in
our region. Without significant economic reforms to boost productivity Australia risks an extended
period of stagnant growth in output, low wage growth and declining international competitiveness.
5
MR Keogh-Brown & RD Smith, ‘The economic impact of SARS: How does reality match predictions?’, Health Policy, Volume
88, 2008, p110-120.
6
Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Composition of Trade, Composition of Trade, electronic tables, 2004. Accessed 30
January, 2020.
7
Keogh-Brown & Smith, op. cit.
8
www.marketindex.com.au/iron-ore, accessed 30 January, 2020.
9
www.metalbulletin.com, ‘China’s virus lockdown puts copper smelters in logistic bind’, accessed 30 January, 2020.
3
Annual growth, %
0
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
-1
-2 Financial year
Capital deepening, or the increase in capital per worker, is an important contributor to labour
productivity growth. As shown in chart 4 (see next page), capital accumulation in Australian has
slowed significantly in the last seven years. The government’s plans to tackle regulatory congestion
and streamline approvals are welcome first steps towards addressing many of the barriers that have
held back greater investment in Australia’s mining industry. These reforms and internationally
competitive company tax rates are important measures for restoring growth in Australia’s capital
stock.
10
Australian Bureau of Statistics, cat. no. 5260.0.55.002 Estimates of Industry Multifactor Productivity, 2018-19, released
2 December 2019. The Australian Bureau of Statistics defines labour productivity as real output per person employed or per
hour worked and multifactor productivity as the output per combined unit of labour and capital.
250 7%
6%
200
Capital stock, real A$ billion
5%
Annual growth, %
150
4%
3%
100
2%
50
1%
0 0%
1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017
In response to lower labour productivity growth, wage growth in Australia has also slowed significantly
over the last seven years. Higher wage growth is optimal for an economy and the welfare of its
residents; however, imposing wage increases without commensurate increases in productivity would
be counterproductive. Such actions are likely to result in a number of unintended consequences
throughout the Australian economy as the additional business costs will further erode Australia’s
international competitiveness. While domestic industries that are not exposed to international
competition may be able to absorb the higher labour costs, the Australian mining industry is a price-
taker and cannot pass on higher domestic costs as higher prices.
Australia is already a high-cost place to do business. Additional unsupported wage pressures will
make it more challenging for Australian businesses to compete in international markets and drive
investment to other jurisdictions. Capital is highly mobile among investors planning long term ventures
– particularly those aiming to operate in highly competitive international markets. Australia’s
reputation as a leading destination for mining investment is already diminishing with several leading
Australian mining companies now preferring other countries for mine development or asset
acquisitions.
The impact of Australia’s declining productivity growth on GDP has until now been offset by large
increases in both household and public sector debt. However, this position is not sustainable and is
unlikely to drive long-term economic and wage growth in Australia. Ultimately productivity, not debt,
drives economic growth.
Mining
Health care
Professional services
Financial services
Ownership of dwellings
Construction
Public admin
Hiring & real estate services
Retail trade
Wholesale trade
Admin & support services
Education & training
Transport & warehousing
Information media & telecomms
Accommodation & food
Other services
Electricity, gas & water
Arts & rec
Agriculture
Manufacturing
-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
But this success is far from guaranteed in the future. Emerging mining jurisdictions are increasingly
competitive for investor capital and more must be done to retain Australia’s competitive advantage in
mining.
Mining is not only a driver of economic growth for Australia, it supports regional development and
delivers the essential materials for modern technologies that are delivering clean energy systems,
improving health outcomes and enriching our lives. To maintain this contribution, policy needs
primarily to provide confidence for investment today through stable fiscal settings, a pathway to lower
taxation and productivity-enhancing regulations.
11
Deloitte Access Economics, Mining and METS: engines of economic growth and prosperity for Australians, a report prepared
for the Minerals Council of Australia, MCA, released 29 March 2017.
12
Department of the Environment and Energy, Australian Energy Update 2019, released September 2019.
Fiscal strategy
The restraint in federal government spending growth in recent years and rising corporate tax revenue
have delivered a balanced budget in 2018-19. Sound fiscal management has also now enabled the
government to respond to the recent bushfire emergencies and fund assistance packages to people
and businesses in affected areas. Longer term fiscal strategy should remain focused on retaining on
operating surplus to give it the flexibility to respond to future fluctuations in the business cycle.
The government’s spending priorities should focus on investments that will lift Australia’s productivity
after a decade of decline. This includes invest in productive infrastructure such as transport, energy
and water projects that deliver tangible benefits to Australian businesses. Such projects must be
subject to rigorous cost-benefit analyses, demonstrate broad economic returns for multiple users and
support long-term economic growth.
Fuel tax credits are vital to mining’s competitiveness
Fuel Tax Credits (FTCs) are critical to a diverse range of regional industries reliant on diesel including
mining, agriculture and tourism. In the case of mining, diesel fuel is amongst the top three expenses
for many open cut mines and consumption can account for up to one-quarter of operating costs at
some mines.
FTCs are not a tax subsidy and are based on the fundamental tax policy principle that business inputs
should not be taxed – the same principle that underpins the GST. FTCs also ensure that fuel excise,
as an effective road user charge, is not applied to off-road use of fuel. Further, the minerals industry is
a builder of roads that service their projects and local communities. Bi-partisan support for FTCs is
grounded in sensible tax policy. Any reduction to FTCs would simply amount to a new tax on regional
industries and have a significant, negative and disproportionate impact on regional Australia.
Remote area workforce and Fringe Benefits Tax
The Productivity Commission’s draft report into Remote Area Tax Concessions and Payments
recommends changes to the Fringe Benefit Tax (FBT) concessions that, if legislated, would materially
increase the cost of employer-provided housing in remote mining communities. Currently the
provision of employer-owned or leased accommodation to employees located in remote mining
communities and towns is exempt from FBT. The Productivity Commission’s draft report recommends
13
Deloitte Access Economics, Estimates of royalties and company tax accrued in 2017-18, report prepared for the Minerals
Council of Australia, MCA, 26 March 2019.
14
Australian Bureau of Statistics, cat. no. Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, May 2019, released 15 August 2019, cat. no.
6291.0.55.003 Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly, Aug 2019, released 26 September 2019.
15
For more details, see Minerals Council of Australia, Submission on Attorney-General’s discussion paper on project life
greenfields agreements, 1 November 2019, MCA, Canberra.