Pep Exam 3
Pep Exam 3
Pep Exam 3
Agriculture
The text you provided discusses several key issues and challenges related to agriculture pricing and
poverty alleviation in Pakistan. Let's address these issues and challenges one by one:
These issues and challenges are complex and multifaceted. Research, data analysis, and informed policy
decisions are essential to address them effectively and create a more equitable and sustainable
agricultural sector in Pakistan.
Resolving issues in agriculture requires a comprehensive approach that addresses various aspects of the
agricultural sector. Here are some policies and strategies that can help improve agriculture:
Investment in Infrastructure:
Improve rural infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and storage facilities to reduce post-harvest losses.
Enhance irrigation systems to ensure a consistent water supply for crops.
Access to Finance:
Provide farmers with access to affordable credit and financial services to invest in their farms.
Promote microfinance institutions and loan facilities tailored to the needs of smallholder farmers.
Research and Development:
Strengthen agricultural extension services to provide farmers with knowledge and training on the latest
farming techniques.
Encourage the adoption of best practices for crop and livestock management.
Market Access and Value Chains:
Develop and maintain efficient marketing and distribution systems to help farmers reach wider markets.
Encourage the establishment of farmer cooperatives and associations to collectively bargain and access
better market opportunities.
Crop Diversification:
Promote diversification in crop selection to reduce risks associated with monoculture and enhance food
security.
Support cash crops and high-value crops that have export potential.
History of political economy
The overview you provided covers various phases in Pakistan's economic history, starting from its early
years of independence in 1947 and extending through different decades. I'll summarize the key points
from each of these eras:
1. **Fifties Era (1947-1958):** This period marked the early years of Pakistan's independence. The
country faced significant political and economic challenges, including the mass migration of people and
economic instability. The main focus during this era was on political survival, and agriculture was the
dominant sector of the economy. Economic growth was modest, with some exceptions, due to factors
like water shortages and partition-related issues.
2. **Growth Era (1958-1969):** Under the leadership of General Ayub Khan, Pakistan's economy
witnessed relatively high growth rates. The industrial sector expanded, driven by policies promoting
private investment and foreign aid. Agriculture was also given more attention. However, regional
disparities between East and West Pakistan became more pronounced during this period.
3. **Nationalization and Command Economy Era (1971-1977):** This era, under Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto, saw
the nationalization of large firms, banks, and manufacturing units, as well as various reforms aimed at
social and economic justice. The separation of East Pakistan (now Bangladesh) severely impacted the
country's economy, leading to trade imbalances and inflation.
4. **The Revivalist Eighties (1978-1988):** General Zia-ul-Haq's rule focused on economic growth and
introduced liberal policies. Pakistan's economy experienced solid growth during this period, driven by
large public investments, a flexible exchange rate policy, and industrial development. However, issues
like the debt burden and the energy crisis emerged.
5. **The Muddling Nineties (1988-1999):** This period witnessed significant political instability, with
frequent changes in government. Economic reforms, guided by international institutions like the IMF
and World Bank, aimed at addressing issues like inflation, fiscal deficits, and foreign reserves. However,
the decade saw mixed economic outcomes, with issues like inflation and unemployment.
6. **The Reforming Era (1999-2007):** Under General Pervez Musharraf's rule, Pakistan's economy saw
robust growth, attracting foreign investment. However, the economic bubble burst due to factors like
energy crises and overreliance on imports. Positive aspects included educational reforms and
improvements in infrastructure.
7. **Privatization Era (2008-2013):** The political situation stabilized under the rule of President Asif Ali
Zardari. Economic policies aimed at reducing fiscal deficits, inflation, and increasing foreign reserves.
Mixed results were achieved due to challenges in revenue collection, energy crises, and other issues.
It's important to note that Pakistan's economic history is complex, with both successes and challenges in
each era. The country's economic trajectory has been influenced by political events, global economic
conditions, and various government policies.
Taxation
The tax to GDP ratio in Pakistan has been relatively low due to various factors, including a large informal
economy, widespread tax evasion, limited tax base, ineffective tax administration, and structural
inefficiencies. These elements have made it challenging for the government to collect taxes effectively
and in turn, impacted the overall tax to GDP ratio. Efforts to broaden the tax base and improve tax
administration have been ongoing to address this issue.
The taxation system in Pakistan has been criticized for its regressive nature, primarily due to its heavy
reliance on indirect taxes such as sales tax and excise duties, which tend to impact lower-income groups
disproportionately. This approach places a heavier burden on the less affluent sections of society
compared to the wealthier segments. Furthermore, the lack of progressive income tax policies and an
ineffective mechanism for wealth redistribution have also contributed to the regressive nature of the
taxation system.
To make the taxation system more progressive in Pakistan, several measures can be implemented.
These include:
1. Reforming the income tax system to ensure that higher-income individuals and corporations pay a
proportionate share of their earnings in taxes.
2. Introducing wealth taxes to target accumulated wealth and assets, particularly for high net worth
individuals and businesses.
3. Enhancing the effectiveness of tax collection and enforcement mechanisms to prevent tax evasion
and ensure compliance across all income levels.
4. Expanding the tax base by bringing more informal economic activities into the formal sector and thus
broadening the taxpayer pool.
5. Implementing targeted social welfare programs and direct cash transfers to support low-income
individuals and families, thereby reducing their tax burden.
These measures, when executed effectively, can contribute to a more equitable and progressive
taxation system in Pakistan.
External factors
The passage you've provided is discussing various aspects of Pakistan's financial account, particularly in
the first half of fiscal year 2020. Here's a summary of the key points:
1. **Portfolio Investment:** In H1-FY20, there was a significant increase in portfolio investment in local
currency government securities in Pakistan. This was driven by foreign investors focusing more on
Pakistan due to reforms in the exchange rate market. This interest was also influenced by the attractive
risk-adjusted returns offered by fixed income securities in Pakistan.
2. **Foreign Direct Investment (FDI):** Net FDI in Pakistan grew by 68.2 percent year-on-year (YoY) to
reach US$1.3 billion in H1-FY20. This growth was attributed to lower outflows in H1-FY20 compared to
the previous year. One-off inflows from mobile phone operators for license renewals and ongoing
investments in sectors like power and telecommunications contributed to this increase.
3. **Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI):** Inflows into local currency government securities were the
dominant component of portfolio investment, totaling US$1.4 billion in H1-FY20. However, net inflows
were lower due to the retirement of a significant Sukuk. Foreign investors showed confidence in
Pakistan's economy and increased their FPI in equities, resulting in a net inflow of US$19.0 million.
4. **Net Incurrence of Liabilities:** Pakistan received a net inflow of foreign exchange (FX) liabilities of
US$3.9 billion in H1-FY20. This was a 27.3 percent decrease compared to the same period the previous
year. Government loans increased significantly to US$4.3 billion, while the central bank and private
commercial banks retired some of their liabilities.
5. **Exchange Rate and Reserves:** Pakistan's total liquid foreign exchange reserves increased to
US$17.9 billion by the end of December 2019, up by US$3.5 billion from the end of June 2019. The State
Bank of Pakistan (SBP) saw a substantial increase in its reserves. The PKR appreciated by 3.4 percent
against the US dollar during H1-FY20, and this was driven by better market conditions and higher official
disbursements. The Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) depreciated in the second quarter due to
currency movements against the US dollar, but the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) appreciated in
both quarters due to higher domestic inflation.
This information provides insights into the foreign investment landscape in Pakistan, particularly in the
first half of fiscal year 2020, and how various factors influenced these investments and the exchange
rate.
The excerpt you've provided discusses Pakistan's exports and imports in the first half of fiscal year 2020
(H1-FY20) and highlights key trends and factors influencing these trade flows. Here's a summary of the
main points from the text:
Exports:
1. Total exports in H1-FY20 increased by 3.1 percent, reaching US$ 11.5 billion, the highest first-half
exports since H1-FY15.
2. The growth in exports was notably higher than the 1.9 percent increase recorded in H1-FY19.
3. Pakistan witnessed a notable increase in exports, outperforming many competitor emerging
economies (EM) in the global market.
4. Factors contributing to the export growth include a decline in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER),
government initiatives to provide cheaper electricity to the textile sector, and expedited refunds for
major exporting sectors.
Non-Textile Exports:
- Non-textile exports decelerated to 1.8 percent in H1-FY20.
- Rice exports increased substantially, particularly milled basmati rice, with higher demand in Middle
Eastern markets.
- Food group exports, including tea, palm oil, soybean oil, and pulses, also played a crucial role in
supporting non-textile exports.
- Exports of petroleum products (POL) and cement experienced declines.
Imports:
1. Pakistan's imports dropped by 17.0 percent to US$ 23.2 billion in H1-FY20, the lowest level in four
years.
2. A wide range of factors influenced lower import quantums and lower international commodity prices.
Energy Imports:
- A drop in energy imports was largely driven by lower international oil prices, reduced demand for fuel
oil, and a changing energy mix.
Non-Energy Imports:
- Non-energy imports declined by 15.9 percent, with notable decreases in the transport, iron and steel,
and fertilizer and chemical categories.
This summary provides an overview of the key points and trends in Pakistan's trade dynamics during H1-
FY20, as discussed in the provided text.
The provided information discusses the current account of Pakistan in H1-FY20 and the growth in
workers' remittances. Here are the key points:
- The overall CAD was reduced to almost a quarter of the level seen in the same period the previous
year, indicating a substantial improvement in the country's external financial position.
**Workers' Remittances:**
- Workers' remittances play a crucial role in Pakistan's current account. During CY 2019, global
remittance flows slowed down for various reasons, including decelerating growth in advanced
economies, lower oil prices, and weakening currencies in source countries relative to the US dollar.
- Despite the slowdown, Pakistan's workers' remittances experienced reasonable growth in CY 2019,
with a growth rate of 5.3 percent compared to 6.9 percent in CY 2018.
- In H1-FY20, Pakistan's workers' remittances continued to grow, with a rate of 3.3 percent. Several
factors contributed to this growth, including an increased number of Pakistanis going abroad for work,
improved economic conditions in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries due to higher non-oil GDP
growth, a competitive exchange rate in the interbank market, and increased cost of living in Pakistan.
- The growth in remittances in Q1-FY20 was affected by lower inflows from GCC countries, especially the
UAE. However, remittances rebounded in Q2-FY20 and were more broadly based.
- To encourage remittance inflows through formal channels, the government of Pakistan provided
various incentives to customers, banks, and exchange companies. These incentives included schemes for
the reimbursement of marketing and telegraphic charges.
- The country-wise breakdown of remittances to Pakistan showed that flows from the GCC had slowed
down in H1-FY20, while remittances from the US and the UK recorded notable growth.
- In the case of Saudi Arabia (KSA), remittances from Pakistan increased during H1-FY20, reflecting
improved non-oil private sector activities driven by rising government expenditures.
- In the US, the tight labor market conditions and low unemployment rate led to higher wages,
particularly in 'blue-collar' jobs, which contributed to increased remittances. In the UK, despite
economic activity slowing due to Brexit-related uncertainty, the labor market improved, leading to
higher remittances.
Overall, the growth in workers' remittances during H1-FY20 contributed positively to Pakistan's current
account, helping to narrow the deficit. This was achieved through a combination of government
incentives and economic factors affecting remittance flows from different source countries.
Growth n development
The terms "economic growth" and "economic development" are related but distinct concepts in the
field of economics. Here's a breakdown of the key differences between them:
**Economic Growth:**
1. **Definition:** Economic growth refers to the increase in a country's output of goods and services,
usually measured by the change in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over a period of time, typically a year.
2. **Measurement:** It is typically measured as the percentage change in the level of national income
(GDP) over a specific time frame.
3. **Focus:** Economic growth primarily emphasizes the quantitative expansion of an economy. It is
often used as an indicator of a country's overall economic health and is associated with increased
production and consumption of goods and services.
4. **Limitations:** Economic growth measures do not account for various other factors that influence
the well-being of a society, such as income distribution, environmental sustainability, and overall quality
of life.
**Economic Development:**
1. **Definition:** Economic development is a broader concept that encompasses improvements in the
standard of living, well-being, and quality of life for the people in a society. It goes beyond mere
economic growth and includes various other socio-economic factors.
1. **Macroeconomic Stability:**
- Maintain low and stable inflation rates.
- Ensure fiscal discipline to prevent excessive budget deficits.
- Implement monetary policies that balance growth with price stability.
- Manage exchange rates to promote export competitiveness.
2. **Infrastructure Development:**
- Invest in transportation, communication, and energy infrastructure.
- Improve access to clean water and sanitation.
- Enhance digital infrastructure and broadband connectivity.
8. **Environmental Sustainability:**
- Promote environmentally friendly and sustainable development practices.
- Invest in renewable energy sources and conservation efforts.
- Enforce regulations to mitigate pollution and protect natural resources.
It's important to note that the specific policies and strategies should be tailored to the unique
circumstances and challenges of each country or region. Additionally, effective implementation,
monitoring, and evaluation of these policies are critical to achieving sustained economic growth and
development.