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A Guide To Implementing Concentrating Solar Power in Production Cost Models

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A Guide to Implementing Concentrating

Solar Power in Production Cost Models


Jennie Jorgenson, Matthew O’Connell, Paul Denholm,
Janna Martinek, and Mark Mehos
National Renewable Energy Laboratory

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy Technical Report


Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy NREL/TP-6A20-68527
Operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC December 2018
This report is available at no cost from the National Renewable Energy
Laboratory (NREL) at www.nrel.gov/publications.

Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308


A Guide to Implementing Concentrating
Solar Power in Production Cost Models
Jennie Jorgenson, Matthew O’Connell, Paul Denholm,
Janna Martinek, and Mark Mehos
National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Suggested Citation
Jorgenson, Jennie, Matthew O’Connell, Paul Denholm, Janna Martinek, and Mark Mehos.
2018. A Guide to Implementing Concentrating Solar Power in Production Cost Models.
Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory. NREL/TP-6A20-68527.
https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy19osti/68527.pdf.

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy Technical Report


Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy NREL/TP-6A20-68527
Operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC December 2018

This report is available at no cost from the National Renewable Energy National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Laboratory (NREL) at www.nrel.gov/publications. 15013 Denver West Parkway
Golden, CO 80401
Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308 303-275-3000 • www.nrel.gov
NOTICE

This work was authored by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, operated by Alliance for Sustainable
Energy, LLC, for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308. Funding
provided by the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. The views
expressed herein do not necessarily represent the views of the DOE or the U.S. Government.

This report is available at no cost from the National Renewable


Energy Laboratory (NREL) at www.nrel.gov/publications.

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and a growing number of pre-1991 documents are available
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Cover Photos by Dennis Schroeder: (clockwise, left to right) NREL 51934, NREL 45897, NREL 42160, NREL 45891, NREL 48097,
NREL 46526.

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Abstract
Concentrating solar power (CSP) is a unique form of renewable energy because it can be integrated with thermal
energy storage (TES). CSP-TES can provide value to the power grid by supplying a dispatchable source of
renewable energy and potentially other grid services such as operating reserves. These characteristics of CSP-TES
are often incompletely captured in utility-planning or technology-valuation analyses. We describe an approach for
representing the dispatchability of CSP-TES accurately in production cost models while still considering the
resource-dependent nature of the technology. We also discuss the challenge of properly representing the ability of
CSP-TES to provide operating reserves because of the technology’s energy-limited nature. We apply our modeling
methods to illustrate how the value of providing dispatchable energy and ancillary services can be captured together
and independently. This approach can be applied to most commercial, academic, and open-source production cost
models to value CSP-TES appropriately in power system planning studies.

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This report is available at no cost from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) at www.nrel.gov/publications.
Table of Contents
1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................... 1
2 Modeling Methodology ........................................................................................................................ 3
2.1 Modeling Test System: RTS-GMLC ............................................................................................ 3
2.2 General Approach to Incorporating CSP-TES in a Production Cost Model ................................. 4
2.3 Solar Electricity Availability from SAM ...................................................................................... 5
2.4 Modeling CSP-TES in PLEXOS ................................................................................................... 7
3 Value of Energy from CSP-TES ........................................................................................................... 9
3.1 Energy Value from First CSP-TES Plant ...................................................................................... 9
3.2 Energy Value from Additional CSP-TES Capacity ...................................................................... 9
4 Value of Reserves from CSP-TES ..................................................................................................... 11
4.1 Implementation of Constraints in Model..................................................................................... 11
4.2 Reserves Value from First CSP-TES Plant ................................................................................. 12
4.3 Reserves Value from Additional CSP-TES Capacity ................................................................. 14
5 Summary ............................................................................................................................................. 15
References ................................................................................................................................................. 16

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List of Figures
Figure 1. Dispatch of RTS-GMLC test system used in this analysis, for four days in the
summer and spring ................................................................................................................... 4
Figure 2. Generalized method for incorporating CSP-TES in a production cost model ............................... 5
Figure 3. Four components of an indirect molten salt CSP-TES plant ......................................................... 6
Figure 4. Optimized CSP-TES dispatch from the PLEXOS model .............................................................. 9
Figure 5. Decrease in energy value of CSP-TES with subsequent additions of capacity ........................... 10
Figure 6. Displacement of generation mix by CSP-TES changes with each capacity addition .................. 10
Figure 7. Energy and ancillary service dispatch for CSP-TES plant as determined by PLEXOS model ... 13
Figure 8. Decreases in value of reserve services provided by CSP-TES with subsequent addition of
CSP-TES capacity .................................................................................................................. 14

List of Tables
Table 1. Generator Capacity and Peak Load in the RTS-GMLC System ..................................................... 3

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1 Introduction
Electricity from solar energy is produced either through photovoltaic (PV) conversion or through
concentrating solar power (CSP). Unlike PV, which directly converts sunlight into electricity,
CSP systems use a field of mirrors to focus sunlight onto a receiver, generating intense heat that
can be used to drive a thermodynamic cycle [1]. While today’s CSP systems are typically
integrated with steam-Rankine power blocks, next-generation systems are being designed to
provide thermal energy to advanced supercritical carbon dioxide cycles operating at efficiencies
greater than 50% [2].

The number of worldwide solar energy installations is expected to continue increasing into the
foreseeable future [3]. Over the past five years, worldwide capacity of CSP has tripled to nearly
five gigawatts (GW) [4]. Although the cost of CSP has not dropped as dramatically as the cost of
PV in recent years, there are indications CSP is beginning to decrease as well [5]. One major
benefit of CSP technology is its ability to be coupled with thermal energy storage (TES) systems
to create a dispatchable resource. This ability to control generator output allows CSP with TES
(CSP-TES) to generate energy at more valuable times, provide firm system capacity, and
potentially provide operating reserve services to the grid, all of which can increase the economic
prospects of the technology [6-9].

The actual value of CSP-TES to the grid depends in part on the timing of the power plant
operation, including allocation of capacity to energy and ancillary services. Previous analysis has
demonstrated how optimizing CSP-TES dispatch against historical prices can increase revenue to
a power plant operator [10-14]. Although such price-taker analysis can be useful, utility system
planning typically requires an understanding of how all generators in a system will interact.
Price-taker analyses assume the addition of a new plant, such as CSP-TES, will not affect system
dynamics. In addition, price-taker tools use historical prices, which do not necessarily reflect
how changing fuel prices and generator fleets will affect prices into the future. For this reason,
planning studies typically use production cost models to evaluate different scenarios of generator
mixes, fuel costs, and policies to determine life-cycle costs, emissions, and other factors relevant
to policymakers and stakeholders [15]. Historically, production cost models have had limited
treatment of CSP-TES, and few studies thoroughly examine the value of CSP-TES relative
to other resources using these tools [16]. However, recently published studies do attempt to
quantify the value CSP-TES based on the displacement of conventional generation using
production cost modeling tools [7, 8, 17, 18]. These studies encompass a variety of current and
future scenarios for fuel prices, generator fleets, and renewable penetration levels, including
locations in the western United States, Australia, and northern Africa. However, only one of
these studies [18] presents a thorough method for modeling CSP-TES, and none of them presents
the methodology for modeling CSP-TES in providing ancillary services.

In this work, we discuss a method to implement CSP-TES in production cost model (PCM)
planning tools. The approach detailed here can be applied to most commercial, academic, and
open-source PCMs to properly represent the dispatchable and yet energy-limited nature of CSP-
TES. First, we describe a two-step process that first uses a publicly available model to simulate
the CSP-TES solar field and generates an hourly energy inflow that is then used by the PCM to
co-optimize provision of energy and ancillary services at the system level. This allows for an

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equitable comparison of CSP-TES with other generation resources, enables an evaluation of
different CSP-TES design configurations, and can help determine the value of providing various
services, including operating reserves. We then show the results of a case study using a test
system to estimate the value of CSP-TES for providing energy and ancillary services. We also
demonstrate how this approach can be used to evaluate the addition of multiple plants, which is
one of many types of analysis that cannot be performed with price-taker analysis.

The remainder of this report is organized as follows. Section 2 discusses the two-part modeling
methodology, Section 3 implements the methodology to quantify the operational value of energy
from CSP-TES, and Section 4 evaluates the value of CSP-TES for providing ancillary services.

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2 Modeling Methodology
The operation of the electric power grid on an hourly or subhourly timescale presents a
challenge in minimizing generation costs while maintaining reliability and adhering to many
types of physical and institutional constraints. Production cost models, such as the commercially
available PLEXOS software, simulate the commitment and dispatch of the power plant fleet to
meet demand at every time step [19]. We use a test system in PLEXOS to demonstrate our
approach and provide a test case to model the operational value of CSP-TES. Throughout this
report, we describe implementation in PLEXOS, but our method should be applicable to any
PCM that can simulate limited energy resources such as conventional hydroelectric plants.

2.1 Modeling Test System: RTS-GMLC


Production cost models require many types of input data, including generator parameters,
network topology, and time-varying profiles such as electric demand and the weather-dependent
generation patterns of solar and wind resources. We adopt the network and generator data from
the RTS-GMLC model, a test case developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory
(NREL) under the Grid Modernization Laboratory Consortium (GMLC) in 2017 [20]. This
version of the system comprises 73 nodes, 121 lines, and 125 generators, including wind and PV
generators. Table 1 shows the generator mix and peak load from the modeled system. The hourly
wind, PV, and load data represent the resources of an area in the southwestern United States and
are derived from the meteorology of 2006. These profiles have been used in multiple grid-
integration studies [21, 22]. The fuel prices are $2.1/MMBtu for coal, $3.9/MMBtu for natural
gas, $0.8/MMBtu for uranium, and $10.3/MMBtu for oil. Figure 1 shows an example of a
dispatch stack illustrating the generation mix for four days in spring and summer. The figure
indicates a coal-heavy system with intermediate gas and hydro plants, as well as gas and oil
peaker plants.

Table 1. Generator Capacity and Peak Load in the RTS-GMLC Test System

Generator Type Capacity (MW)


Coal 2,320
Non-dispatchable hydro 1,000
Natural gas combined-cycle 3,550
Natural gas combustion turbine 1,490
Nuclear 400
Oil (combustion turbine and steam) 324
Wind 862
PV (utility scale) 434
PV (distributed rooftop) 751
Total 11,100
Peak System Load 8,250

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Figure 1. Dispatch of RTS-GMLC test system used in this analysis,
for four days in the summer and spring
The test system contains three classes of ancillary services: spinning contingency reserves,
flexibility reserves, and regulating reserves. Spinning contingency reserves are calculated hourly
as 3% of total system load and must be supplied within 10 minutes. Almost any partially loaded
generator, constrained by its ramp rate, can provide spinning contingency reserves. Hydropower
generators—which are modeled as fixed-profile, non-dispatchable resources—cannot provide
contingency or any other class of reserve. The requirements of regulation and flexibility reserves
are based on the statistical variability of wind and PV generation, as described in [23, 24].
Both regulation and flexibility are modeled as separate upward and downward resources.
All generators that can provide contingency reserves can also contribute to the flexibility
requirements. Regulation reserves can be provided by the same generator classes, with the
exception of natural gas fired combustion turbines (CTs). Regulation reserves vary by hour but
are on average 1.2% of load and must be supplied within five minutes. Flexibility reserves also
vary in time and are on average 0.8% of load and must be supplied within 20 minutes. PLEXOS
models only the provision of each of these services, not the actual deployment (or real energy
use) of any class of reserve. The implications of this shortcoming are discussed in Section 4.1.

2.2 General Approach to Incorporating CSP-TES in a Production


Cost Model
Production cost models typically incorporate wind and PV as fixed-input profiles. These profiles
are generated by an external model that turns time-series wind-speed profiles and solar irradiance
into electricity output profiles [25, 26]. The PCM then uses these output profiles as part of a
larger generation fleet to minimize production costs while maintaining reliability. However,
CSP-TES systems, which are more complex than PV or wind technologies, require more detailed
modeling. An intermediate process is required to simulate the conversion of direct normal
irradiance into electricity. Moreover, the actual dispatch decision of when and how the CSP-TES
plant operates must be performed by the PCM, as determined by the system needs. Our approach
is illustrated in Figure 2. There are two major steps, which are described in detail in Sections 2,3
and 2.4. The first is the generation of hourly available electricity profiles, using a CSP simulation
tool, NREL’s System Advisor Model (SAM) [27, 28]. The second is incorporating this
electricity-availability profile—along with many of the particular CSP-TES parameters,
including configuration—into a PCM such as PLEXOS.

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Figure 2. Generalized method for incorporating CSP-TES in a PCM

2.3 Solar Electricity Availability from SAM


There are several types of CSP-TES plants, typically characterized by the solar field, receiver
type, and heat-transfer medium [28]. Figure 3 illustrates an indirect molten salt CSP-TES plant
including four basic components:

• A collector field that focuses solar energy onto a receiver


• A solar receiver that absorbs incident solar energy and transfers that energy to a heat-transfer
fluid (HTF) flowing through the receiver
• TES that stores energy from the HTF
• A power block that converts the thermal energy into electrical energy.
The solar multiple (SM) is an important consideration in CSP-TES design. It is the ratio of the
thermal power available from the collector field and receiver under reference conditions
(commonly solar noon on the summer solstice) to the thermal input required to operate the power
block at full load [2]. Increasing the SM increases the size of the solar field relative to the power
block and thus increases the amount of solar energy available to the power block. Generally,
plants with larger SMs have larger capacity factors owing to their increased solar energy, which
leads to a more-constant plant output. The small power block associated with a higher SM forces
a plant to store energy even during periods of high energy value. However, plants with lower
SMs can have more flexibility in when to dispatch their solar energy [29].

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Figure 3. Four components of an indirect molten salt CSP-TES plant
Solar energy reflects off of solar collectors onto the receiver, which uses an HTF to transfer thermal energy to the
molten salt in the thermal storage tank. The molten salt then powers a steam turbine and generator.

SAM estimates CSP-TES plant productivity using hourly or subhourly historical weather data
and a set of component submodels for the collector field, solar receiver, TES, and power block
that are evaluated in a time series of hourly or subhourly intervals. At each interval, the solver
evaluates all component models, determines operational states, and balances mass flows, energy
flows, and inlet/outlet temperatures. For the purposes of interfacing with a PCM such as
PLEXOS, the component models can be conceptually segregated into those associated with the
generation of thermal energy from incident solar energy in any period (collector and receiver)
and those associated with storing and/or dispatching thermal energy to generate electricity (TES
and power block). The collector and receiver submodels in SAM account for hourly insolation,
weather conditions, collector field performance, receiver startup requirements, HTF mass flow
rates to achieve design-point inlet and outlet temperatures, and receiver/piping thermal losses.
Evaluation of these submodels provides an hourly profile of thermal energy available from the
solar receiver (Qthermal) given a specified collector field sizing, location, and collector/receiver
design and operational characteristics. This thermal energy is converted to design-point
electrical-equivalent energy (It in Section 2.4) via multiplication by a design-point power block
efficiency (ηdes) and provides a time-varying electrical-equivalent inflow to the PLEXOS storage
reservoir.

All specifications regarding the storage and power block portions of the CSP-TES plant that may
affect or be affected by plant dispatch are delegated to the PCM. These include power block part-
load efficiency, startup losses and costs, ramping constraints, and TES capacity and losses,
which are detailed in Section 2.4. Thus, the operational characteristics of the power block and
TES within the SAM simulation are inconsequential, provided the selected values do not
constrain operation of the collector field or receiver. To this end, an artificially large TES
capacity is implemented in SAM with negligible TES losses. This stipulation is designed to
ensure the thermal output of the receiver (Qthermal) is never curtailed owing to insufficient

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storage. Excess energy can be “spilled” (or curtailed) in PLEXOS if the actual TES capacity
is insufficient to accept the provided inflow.

Operation of the CSP-TES plant incurs parasitic electrical requirements associated with
(1) collector tracking, (2) pumping HTF through the receiver, (3) pumping HTF through the TES
and power block, and (4) operating the Rankine cycle condenser. All fixed parasitic loads and
parasitic loads arising solely from collector field and receiver operation are aggregated into an
hourly profile (shown in the next section as E), which is independent of power block operation
and implemented as an additional load that must be satisfied within PLEXOS. This parasitic load
is calculated under the assumptions above that prevent curtailment of the receiver thermal output,
and they thus might be a slight overestimate of actual electrical requirements in cases with an
undersized TES or power block. A linearized approximation of parasitic loads associated with
power block operation can be incorporated in PLEXOS as a component of the part-load
efficiency curve (referred to as η(Pt) in the following section).

In the SAM simulation of the CSP-TES plant, the specified SM, power block capacity, and
design-point power block efficiency govern the receiver design-point thermal rating, which in
turn controls the size and layout of the solar field. The thermal energy produced by the solar field
and receiver (Qthermal) and the corresponding electrical-equivalent inflow to the PLEXOS storage
reservoir (It) depend only on this final collector/receiver configuration, and not intrinsically
on the SM or power block sizing used to create it. Thus, modifications to the SM can be
accomplished by either (1) fixing the power block capacity and varying the collector/receiver
sizing in SAM or (2) fixing the collector/receiver sizing in SAM and varying the power block
capacity in PLEXOS. In the following analysis, we implement a 200-MW CSP-TES plant (using
the molten salt tower module in SAM) with a SM of 1.6.

2.4 Modeling CSP-TES in PLEXOS


The electrical equivalent of thermal energy from SAM serves as the time-varying energy inflow
into the storage reservoir of the CSP-TES plant. The tank then fuels the power block portion of
the CSP-TES plant with solar energy. The energy balance on the thermal energy tank at time t is
described in Equation (1):

Volt = Volt −1 + I t − Ot − St (1)

subject to:

0 ≤ Volt ≤ hPmax (2)

where Vol is the volume of the thermal storage tank in megawatt-hours (MWh), I is electrical-
equivalent energy inflow from the solar field, is energy supply from the thermal storage tank to
the power block, S is spillage from the tank that may be needed to meet the constraint in
Equation (2), h is the number of hours of thermal storage in the tank, and Pmax is the rated
generating capacity of the power block.

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When the energy from the storage tank (O) flows to the power block for generation, Equation (3)
defines the amount of power produced. Note that the SM parameter, discussed in Section 2.3,
determines the ratio of inflow from the solar field ( ) to the power output of the plant (Pt):

Pt = η ( Pt )Ot − us ,t L − E (3)

subject to:

u p ,t 0.15 Pmax ≤ Pt ≤ u p ,t Pmax (4)

u p ,t ≤ u p ,t −1 + u s ,t
(5)

u s ,t + u p ,t −1 ≤ 1
(6)

0.1 0.1
Pt −1 − P max ×60 min ≤ Pt ≤ Pt −1 + Pmax × 60 min
min min
(7)

where us,t is a binary variable indicating whether the plant started up at time t, up,t is a binary
variable indicating whether the plant is operating at time t, L is the hourly plant startup loss
shown in Equation (8), E are hourly fixed parasitic loads and parasitic loads arising from
collector and receiver operation, and η(Pt) is a piecewise linear efficiency function that depends
on plant output, Pt, as shown in Equations (9)–(12).

The efficiency curve is based on the part-load heat rate of similar steam turbines in the western
United States [30]. Equation (4) specifies the operating range of the turbine, while Equation (7)
specifies the ramp rate of the plant. It is sufficiently high, in this case, that (7) is not binding in
hourly economic dispatch but is relevant for response time for the provision of reserves, as
discussed in Section 4.1.

L = 0.2 Pmax (8)

0.413Pt
η ( Pt ) = + 0.772 for 0.15 Pmax ≤ Pt < 0.33Pmax (9)
Pmax

0.232 Pt
η ( Pt ) = + 0.831 for 0.33Pmax ≤ Pt < 0.6 Pmax (10)
Pmax

0.096 Pt
η ( Pt ) = + 0.931 for 0.6 Pmax ≤ Pt < 0.8 Pmax (11)
Pmax

0.050 Pt
η ( Pt ) = + 0.950 for 0.8 Pmax ≤ Pt < Pmax (12)
Pmax

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3 Value of Energy from CSP-TES
3.1 Energy Value from First CSP-TES Plant
Production cost modeling tools, such as PLEXOS, simulate the optimal unit commitment and
economic dispatch of a system. They minimize total generation cost, subject to the many
constraints of the system. In this case, total generation cost is the sum of several components:
fuel cost, startup and shutdown costs, and variable operation and maintenance costs.

We determine the energy value of CSP-TES by completing one annual run without CSP-TES
and comparing the total generation cost to an annual run with CSP-TES. The difference between
the two is the direct result of adding CSP-TES to the system. Because CSP-TES has zero fuel
cost, it displaces more costly generation. The value of CSP-TES is then the reduction in cost
resulting from the displaced energy. Figure 4 indicates the dispatch of CSP-TES energy as
determined by the PLEXOS model for four days in two seasons. Less solar energy is available
during spring days, meaning less CSP-TES energy is dispatched then. In both seasons, the CSP-
TES plant is especially used to provide energy during the peak demand part of the day: late
afternoon and early evening. Note that to determine solely the energy value of CSP-TES, we do
not allow it here to provide ancillary services.

Figure 4. Optimized CSP-TES dispatch from the PLEXOS model


The base case run with no CSP-TES has an annual total generation cost of $792.9 million.
Adding a 200-MW CSP-TES plant supplying 912.5 gigawatt-hours (GWh) of annual energy
reduces the generation cost to $748.1 million. Therefore, the annual value of energy from the
CSP-TES plant is $44.8 million, or $49.1/MWh. About 90% of the savings results from avoided
fuel use, with the rest coming from avoided startup and shutdown costs. Note that this avoided
generation value includes only avoided operational costs and does not consider initial capital,
operating costs, or other fixed costs.

3.2 Energy Value from Additional CSP-TES Capacity


The initial addition of 200 MW of CSP-TES generation capacity has a quantifiable impact on
reducing total generation cost, but, as more CSP-TES is added to the system, each incremental
addition yields less benefit. Other studies have shown similar results when incrementally adding
more traditional PV to a system [31]. Figure 5 shows this trend when a second and third 200-
MW CSP-TES plants are added, which brings total CSP-TES capacity to 600 MW. As discussed
above, the first plant provides an annual value of $44.8 million. The second plant provides $41.7

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million while generating 893 GWh, and the third plant provides $38.5 million while generating
897 GWh over the year. Thus, the second and third plants exhibit reductions in the overall cost
benefit of 7% and 14%, respectively, compared with the first addition.

$50

Energy Value of CSP


$48

($/ M Wh)
$46
Total Value
$44
Marginal Value
$42
200 400 600
M W of CSP
Figure 5. Decrease in energy value of CSP-TES with subsequent additions of capacity
Although the average value of each MWh from CSP-TES remains high after three subsequent CSP-TES additions,
the marginal value of each megawatt-hour from the last (third) 200-MW plant is only $42.9/MWh, compared with
$49.1/MWh from the first 200-MW plant.

The decline in benefit occurs because the first CSP-TES plant uses its dispatchable and low-
marginal-cost energy to displace the most expensive fuels. The subsequent plants then displace
slightly less-costly fuels, providing less energy value, overall. Figure 6 shows the fraction of
other types of generation that the CSP-TES plants displace. The figure indicates that the first
CSP-TES plant displaces a larger fraction of more expensive natural gas-fueled plants. The
second and third CSP-TES plants displace a higher fraction of less-expensive coal-fired plants,
leading to a decline in value. Analyzing the decline in energy value is another benefit of using
PCMs to value CSP-TES. Price-taker models cannot evaluate the impact of increasing CSP-TES
capacity because they assume a static system.

Figure 6. Displacement of generation mix by CSP-TES changes with each capacity addition
CC= combined cycle; CT = combustion turbine
The first addition displaces the largest share of the most expensive natural gas fuel.
The third addition displaces less natural gas fuel and more of the less-expensive coal fuel.

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4 Value of Reserves from CSP-TES
4.1 Implementation of Constraints in Model
Another potential value stream for CSP-TES is ancillary service or reserve markets. Because
CSP-TES is a dispatchable resource, it can operate at part load and provide operating reserves,
including contingency and regulating reserves. As with any thermoelectric power plant, many
factors can affect the ability of CSP-TES to provide reserves. Response time (or ramp rate),
available capacity, and part-load efficiency all define a unit’s ability and cost for providing
reserves [32]. However, the response of CSP-TES is limited by solar resource and TES tank size,
in addition to the parameters mentioned above. For instance, a CSP-TES plant may have
sufficient response time and available capacity to provide ancillary services, but it could still be
restricted by insufficient insolation or stored energy. Furthermore, CSP-TES’s provision of
reserves may be inhibited by a lack of precedence, installed control equipment, or operating
experience.

The fact that CSP-TES is an energy-limited resource makes modeling its ability to provide
reserves challenging in models, because many simulations only consider the provision of
reserves, not the deployment of any actual energy associated with being called on to supply those
reserves. For conventional fossil-fuel-fired power plants, this distinction would rarely cause
problems, because plant operators can simply consume more or less fuel if they are called to
provide upward or downward reserves. However, the PCM may determine CSP-TES as the
lowest-cost source of upward reserves without considering that the energy available to the CSP-
TES plant is determined by weather. For instance, the CSP-TES plant may be providing 100
MWh of upward reserves when it only has 20 MWh of stored energy available. (We use the
nomenclature MWh to indicate a MW of capacity available for one hour, as opposed to a MWh
which is a unit of actual energy delivered.) If the plant were called on to deploy the reserve
capacity, the plant may be unable to respond adequately. Under certain conditions, the CSP-TES
plant may have sufficient stored energy available, but it could be scheduled to use that stored
energy later in the day. Deploying upward reserves would then deplete the storage earlier
than planned.

Many recent analyses do not attempt to accurately capture the reserve provision of energy-
limited resources. However, a failure to account for the fact that holding reserve services often
results in the expenditure of real energy may misrepresent the actual role a given technology
(e.g., CSP-TES) may play. However, there are multiple ways to constrain the reserve provision
of energy-limited resources in grid models. First, a dispatch-to-contract ratio can be implemented
in which the plant is obligated to provide (in real energy) a certain percentage of the reserves it
is allotted. Second, the CSP-TES plant can be required to provide equal upward and downward
reserves in every time step, which assumes that regulating reserve is an energy-neutral service
over the multi-hour period of economic dispatch [33]. In that case, CSP-TES may not be allowed
to provide spinning contingency reserves, because these reserves have only an upward
component. Third, a constraint can disallow CSP-TES from providing reserves if the storage
tank does not have sufficient energy. We use the third option and require that the plant be able to
provide 0.5 hour of real energy per unit of reserve capacity held. This means CSP-TES could
respond to a continuous regulation “up” signal, or it could provide additional energy during a

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contingency event for up to 30 minutes, as shown in Equation (15). The ability to provide
reserves is then governed by Equations (13)–(20):

Pt + pt , reg _ up + pt , flex _ up + pt , spin ≤ u p ,t Pmax (13)

Pt − pt , reg _ down − pt , flex _ down ≥ u p ,t 0.15Pmax (14)

subject to:

0.5( pt , reg _ up + pt , flex _ up + pt , spin ) ≤ Volt (15)

0.1
pt , reg _ up ≤ Pmax × 5 min (16)
min

0.1
pt , reg _ down ≤ Pmax × 5 min (17)
min

0.1
pt , flex _ up ≤ Pmax × 20 min (18)
min

0.1
pt , flex _ down ≤ Pmax × 20 min (19)
min

0.1
pt , spin ≤ Pmax × 10 min (20)
min

where pt,reg_up is the regulation up provision in time t, pt,reg_down is the regulation down provision
in time t, is the upward flexibility provision in time t, is the downward
flexibility provision in time t, and pt,spin is the spinning contingency provision in time .

Constraints (16)–(20) limit the amount of reserves that the plant can provide based on the
response rate requirement of each reserve product (5 minutes for regulation, 20 minutes for
flexibility, and 10 minutes for spinning contingency) and the plant’s assumed ramp rate, 10%
per minute.

4.2 Reserves Value from First CSP-TES Plant


We quantify the value of a CSP-TES plant in providing reserves by completing one annual run
without CSP-TES providing reserves and then comparing the total generation cost to an annual
run with CSP-TES providing reserves. Any difference between the two (including production
costs and the hourly dispatch of the CSP-TES plant) is the direct result of allowing CSP-TES to
provide reserve services to the system.

A 200-MW CSP-TES plant providing only energy results in an annual total generation cost of
$748.1 million, as discussed above. When this CSP-TES plant is allowed to provide reserves,
subject to the constraints above, the total annual generation cost is $745.3 million. This indicates

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an annual value of $2.8 million from reserves. Because the CSP-TES plant generates 888.7 GWh
of annual energy, the value of the reserve service is $3.1/MWh. In other words, the ability of
CSP-TES to provide reserves adds $3.1/MWh to the original energy value of $49.1/MWh,
bringing the total value to $52.2/MWh. Allowing CSP-TES to provide reserves adds value
because these reserves displace reserves provided by more expensive sources. Note that the
increase in value (about 6%) is lower than the increase suggested by previous studies [11, 34],
likely resulting in part from the extra constraints added to the energy-limited CSP-TES plant
(Equation 15). Furthermore, ancillary service prices from PCMs are often much lower than
observed historical prices [32]. Thus, price-taker analysis might show higher values associated
with the provision of ancillary services.

Figure 7 illustrates the energy and reserve dispatch of a CSP-TES plant from the PLEXOS model
for the same eight days as in Figures 1 and 3. For contrast, Figure 3 shows the dispatch of the
CSP-TES plant in providing only energy, whereas Figure 7 shows the plant co-optimized for
energy and reserves. The energy dispatches of the two are generally similar; however,
particularly in the spring, the CSP-TES plant turns on for more hours of the day at a lower
dispatch point to provide reserves. During the spring dispatch period, the CSP-TES plant is
reserving some energy in storage specifically to be able to provide reserves while still adhering
to the stored energy constraint in Equation (15).

Figure 7. Energy and ancillary service dispatch for CSP-TES plant as determined by
PLEXOS model

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4.3 Reserves Value from Additional CSP-TES Capacity
As more CSP-TES is added to the system, each incremental addition yields less benefit in terms
of reserve value. Providing reserve services adds about $2.8 million of annual value from a 200-
MW CSP-TES plant compared with providing energy only, as shown above. Allowing a second
200-MW CSP-TES plant to provide ancillary services (along with energy) provides an additional
$2.1 million in annual value. The reserves value from a third CSP-TES plant of the same size is
$0.9 million annually. Figure 8 illustrates this result by showing the additional value (in units of
$/MWh) of providing reserves. The marginal value of reserves drops by about 68% from the first
to the third plant (compared with a 12% drop in energy value) because of the limited system
reserve requirements.

Figure 8. Decreases in value of reserve services provided by CSP-TES with subsequent addition
of CSP-TES capacity
Although the average of CSP-TES reserves is worth $2.2/MWh after adding three plants, the reserves provided by
the third 200 MW of CSP-TES capacity are worth only $1.0/MWh.

In real-world operations, the ability of CSP-TES to provide reserves might be more constrained
than modeled here. For instance, even in the case with only 200 MW of CSP-TES in the system,
CSP-TES is providing just over 20% of all system reserves, including close to 50% of the
upward regulation requirements. With 600 MW of CSP-TES in the system, the reserve provision
of CSP-TES increases to almost 40% of system reserves and over 60% of upward regulation
requirements. Furthermore, CSP-TES provides 100% of the reserve requirement for upward
regulation reserves in 40% of hours in the 200-MW case and 55% of hours in the 600-MW case.
The ability of CSP-TES to provide these levels of reserve services would depend on market rules
allowing an individual generator to provide a large fraction of a reserve product.

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5 Summary
In this report, we describe a useful approach for accurately representing the dispatchability and
weather-dependence of CSP-TES in production cost models. We also discuss the challenge of
properly representing the ability of CSP-TES to provide reserves because of the technology’s
energy-limited nature. We apply our modeling methods to illustrate how the value of CSP-TES
providing energy and ancillary services can be captured together and independently. We also
demonstrate how the marginal value of different generation capacities can be captured. This
approach can be applied to most commercial, academic, and open-source production cost
models, so CSP-TES can be appropriately valued in power system planning studies, which may
be imperative to the future of the technology.

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