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Apuntes Unit 2

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
19 views9 pages

Apuntes Unit 2

Uploaded by

Sara Tapia
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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____________UNIT 2: FISCAL POLICY______________________________

INDEX
- The aggregate demand: consumption and investment.
- Fiscal policy.
- The fiscal multiplier.
- Taxes.
- The contractionary fiscal policy.
- The public budget.
- The IS curve.

1. AGGREGATE DEMAND

Economic activity
- Fluctuates from year to year
Recession
- Economic contraction
- Period of declining real incomes and rising unemployment
Depression
- Severe recession

Economic fluctuations
Three key facts about economic fluctuations
1. Economic fluctuations are irregular and unpredictable
- The business cycle
2. Most macroeconomic quantities fluctuate together
- Recessions → economy-wide phenomena
3. As output falls, unemployment rises
Short-Run Economic Fluctuations
AD-AS model
- Model of aggregate demand (AD) & aggregate supply (AS)
- Most economists use it to explain short-run fluctuations in economic activity
▪ Around its long-run trend

Aggregate-demand curve
- Shows the quantity of goods and services
- That households, firms, the government, and customers abroad
- Want to buy at each price level
- Downward sloping

Aggregate-supply curve
- Shows the quantity of goods and services
- That firms choose to produce and sell
- At each price level
- Upward sloping
AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE
Three effects – explain why AD curve slopes downward:
- Wealth effect (C )
- Interest-rate effect (I)
- Exchange-rate effect (NX)
- Assumption: government spending (G)
- Fixed by policy

Y = C + I + G + NX

Price level & consumption (C): wealth effect


- Decrease in price level
▪ Increase - real value of money
▪ Consumers – wealthier
▪ Increase in consumer spending
▪ Increase in quantity demanded of goods & services
Price level & investment (I): interest-rate effect
- Decrease in price level
▪ Decrease – interest rate
▪ Increase spending on investment goods
▪ Increase in quantity demanded of goods & services

Price level & net exports (NX): exchange-rate effect


- Decrease in EURO price level
▪ Decrease – interest rate
▪ EURO – depreciates
▪ Stimulates the EU. net exports
▪ Increase in quantity demanded of goods & services

A fall in price level


- Increases quantity of goods and services demanded
Because:
1. Consumers are wealthier - stimulates the demand for consumption goods
2. Interest rates fall - stimulates the demand for investment goods
3. Currency depreciates - stimulates the demand for net exports
A rise in price level
- Decreases the quantity of goods and services demanded
Because:
1. Consumers are poorer – depress consumer spending
2. Higher interest rates fall - depress investment spending
3. Currency appreciates – depress net exports

The AD curve might shift:


- Changes in consumption
- Changes in investment
- Changes in government purchases
- Changes in net exports

Changes in consumption, (C):


- Events that change how much people want to consume at a given price level
▪ Changes in taxes, wealth
- Increase in consumer spending
▪ Aggregate demand - shift right

Changes in investment, (I):


- Events that change how much firms want to invest at a given price level
▪ Better technology
▪ Tax policy
▪ Money supply
- Increase in investment
▪ Aggregate demand - shift right

Changes in government purchases, (G):


- Policy makers – change government spending at a given price level
▪ Build new roads
- Increase in government purchases
▪ Aggregate demand - shift right

Changes in net exports, (NX):


- Events that change net exports for a given price level
▪ Recession in Europe
▪ International speculators – change in exchange rate
- Increase in net exports
▪ Aggregate demand - shift right

2. FISCAL POLICY INFLUENCES AD

Fiscal policy
- Government policymakers
- Set the level of government spending and taxation
▪ Shift the aggregate demand:
1. Multiplier effect
2. Crowding-out effect

The multiplier effect


- Additional shifts in aggregate demand
▪ Result when expansionary fiscal policy increases income
▪ And thereby increases consumer spending

Example:
The multiplier effect of an increase in
government purchases by $20 billion:
- Aggregate-demand curve
▪ Shifts right by exactly $20 billion
- Consumers respond
▪ Increase spending
- Aggregate-demand curve
▪ Shifts right again

Multiplier effect
- Response of consumer spending
- Response of investment

Investment accelerator
- Higher government demand
▪ Higher demand for investment goods
- Positive feedback from demand to investment

Spending multiplier
- Marginal propensity to consume, MPC
▪ Fraction of extra income that
consumers spend
- Size of the multiplier
▪ Depends on the MPC
- A larger MPC
▪ Larger multiplier

Because of multiplier effect


- $1 of government purchases
▪ Can generate > $1 of aggregate demand
- $1 of consumption, investment, or net exports
▪ Can generate > $1 of aggregate demand

The crowding-out effect


- Offset in aggregate demand
- Results when expansionary fiscal policy raises the interest rate
- Thereby reduces investment spending

The crowding-out effect of an increase in government spending


- Aggregate demand curve – shifts right
▪ Increase in income
▪ Money demand – increases
▪ Interest rate – increases
▪ Aggregate-demand curve – shifts left

A decrease in personal income taxes


- Households income – increases
- Multiplier effect
▪ Aggregate demand -- increases
- Crowding-out effect
▪ Aggregate demand – decreases
- Permanent tax cut - large impact on AD
- Temporary tax cut - small impact on AD

Using policy for stabilisation:


The case for active stabilisation policy:
- A change in aggregate – demand  use
fiscal policy
- The central bank  use monetary policy
- To stabilise the economy

Keynes
- Key role of AD in explaining short-run
economic fluctuations
- The government should actively stimulate
aggregate demand
▪ When AD appeared insufficient to maintain
production at its full-employment level

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