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Part Ii-Tb Data Project

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58 views5 pages

Part Ii-Tb Data Project

Uploaded by

api-741135214
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Part II: TB Data Project

Part A
Country Total TB Incidence Success Rate Cohort Site
Czechia 4.2 68% 342
Gambia 145 84% 2,254

1st Country: Czechia


Cohort Size: 342
TB Treatment Success Rate: 68%

2nd Country: Gambia


Cohort Size: 2,254
TB Treatment Success Rate: 84%

Random Sampling: The data was collected through a random sampling method with the help of a
picker wheel ( https://pickerwheel.com/) which I organized in alphabetical order and for this
project I chose country 2 and 3 from my list of 10.

We need to check if both npA and n(1−pA) are greater than or equal to 10 for both Countries

Czechia

npA =342 × 0.68 ≈ 232.56

n(1 – pA) = 342 × (1 − 0.68 ) ≈ 109.44

Both npA and n( 1−p A ) are greater than 10, so the sample size condition is met.

Based on the information provided, all three conditions appear to be met for Czechia

Gambia

npA = 2,254 × 0.84 ≈ 1893.36

n(1−pA)= 2,254 × (1−0.84) ≈ 360.64

Both npA and n(1− pA) are greater than 10, so the sample size condition is met.

Based on the information provided, all three conditions appear to be met for Gambia
Independence: The Countries in the sample were selected independently of each other.

Part B

Part C
Czechia:

Confidence Interval: (0.6319, 0.7307)

The confidence interval does not include the 85% threshold for successful treatment.

It is unlikely that the true success rate for TB treatment in Czechia is 85% because the lower
bound of the confidence interval is below this threshold. This suggests that the true success rate
may be lower than 85%.

Gambia:

Confidence Interval: (0.8247, 0.855)

The confidence interval includes the 85% threshold for successful treatment.

It is plausible that the true success rate for TB treatment in Gambia is 85% because the threshold
falls within the confidence interval. This suggests that the true success rate may be close to or
above 85%.
In summary, based on the confidence intervals:

For Czechia, the success rate of 85% is unlikely to be the true success rate.

For Gambia, the success rate of 85% is plausible and may represent the true success rate.

Part D
We are going check the conditions for carrying out a two-sided test of whether p ≠ 0.5 where p is
the proportion of success, using the provided data for Cabo Verde given on Part I of the TB
project.

Given the success rate p = 0.85, sample size = 182 n=182, we just need to calculate

n⋅ p and n⋅ (1−p)

n⋅p=182×0.85

n⋅p=182×0.85=154.7

n⋅(1−p)=182×(1−0.85)

n⋅(1−p)=182×(1−0.85)=182×0.15=27.3

Both n⋅p and n⋅(1−p) are greater than 10, so the large enough sample size condition is met.

Therefore, all three conditions for carrying out a two-sided test of whether p ≠ 0.5 appear to be
met for the given data.

Part E
1-The Hypotheses that are being tested (should be the same as from Part 1 of the project)

Reject Ho

There is insufficient evidence to support that the treatment success rate in Cabo Verde is more
than the global threshold.

Country Total TB Incidence Success Rate Cohort Site


Cabo Verde 31 92% 182
α = 0.05
null hypothesis p= 0.05
n= 182 ( Cohort size)
Success rate : 92% = 0.92
0.92 x n= 0.92 x 182 = 167.44
Rounded to the nearest whole person
Sample success = 167

Given:

Number of successes (x): 167


Sample size (n): 182
𝑥 167
Observed proportion (p̂ ): 𝑛 =182 ≈0.9175824176
Null hypothesis proportion (Po ): 0.05
Z-score (Z): 2.55

𝑝̂−𝑝0 0.9175824176−0.05
Z= = =53.70
𝑝𝑜 (1−𝑝𝑜) 0.05(1−0.05)
√ √
𝑛 182

The test statistic Z = 53.70

p-value = 0.010

I reject the null hypothesis.

There is sufficient evidence to conclude that there is a statistically significant difference to


support that the treatment success rate in Cabo Verde is more than the global threshold.
Part F
Cabo Verde

The hypothesis for both parts is the same. The proportional sample for the first part is 0.1200 and
for the second part it is 167, neither of which indicates that treatment success in Cape Verde is
above the global threshold.

There was not sufficient evidence to support that the treatment success rate in Cabo Verde is
more than the global threshold.

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