BUS5PB-Lecture1 Introduction To Business Analytics S1-2024
BUS5PB-Lecture1 Introduction To Business Analytics S1-2024
au
Teaching team
• Dr. Binh Tran
Subject Coordinator
(e: [email protected])
• Research interests are directed towards the ethical and effective implementation of
artificial intelligence and machine learning in business environments.
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Rohan
o Data Architecture and Data Strategy Leadership Service Coach for operational
analytics, performance management and business analysis
Vishal
• Lead Data Integration Consultant at Capgemini
Subject Housekeeping
Housekeeping
• Get the latest subject schedule online and note key dates for this subject
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Subject protocols
Subject protocols
• Questions:
Assessment
• Quiz 1 (10%)
Assessment
• Quiz 1 (10%)
Assessment
• Quiz 1 (10%)
Assessment
• Quiz 1 (10%)
Assessment
• Quiz 1 (10%)
Assessment extensions
• Assignments submitted after the due date without an approved extension will
incur a late penalty (5% penalty per day late)
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Subject Schedule
BUS5PB Principles of Business Analytics S1 – 2024 (Tentative)
BUS5PB Software
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Recommended readings
• Stubbs, E. (2011). The Value of Business Analytics: Identifying the Path to Profitability (1st Edition).
• Provost, F. and Fawcett, T. (2013). Data Science for Business: What You Need to Know About Data
Mining and Data-Analytic Thinking (1st Edition).
• Sharda, R., Delen, D. and Turban, E. (2017), Business Intelligence, Analytics and Data Science: A
Managerial Perspective (4th Edition).
• Davenport, T. H. and Harris, J. G. (2017). Competing on Analytics: The New Science of Winning
(Revised Edition).
• Few, S. (2019). The Data Loom: Weaving Understanding by Thinking Critically and Scientifically with
Data.
• Evans, J. R. (2020). Business Analytics: Methods, Models and Decisions (3rd Edition).
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Learning objectives
[ https://www.slanecartoon.com/ ]
Topic 1: Introduction
to Business Analytics
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• Global revenue in BI and analytics market is forecast to reach $18.3 billion in 2017, an
increase of 7.3 percent from 2016, and forecasted to grow to $22.8 billion by 2020 (Gartner)
• https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2017-02-17-gartner-says-
worldwide-business-intelligence-and-analytics-market-to-reach-18-billion-in-2017
• Revenues for big data and business analytics will grow from $130 billion by the end of 2016 to
$203 billion by 2020 — a compound growth rate of 11.7%” (IDC)
• https://www.forbes.com/sites/gilpress/2017/01/20/6-predictions-for-the-203-billion-big-
data-analytics-market/#7cbb72682083
• “Data Scientist is the sexiest job of the 21st century” (Harvard Business Review)
Job opportunities
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IBM Corp.
• Business analytics is a set of automated data analysis practices, tools and services that help
you understand both what is happening in your business and why, to improve decision-
making and help you plan for the future.
NGDATA
• The study of data through statistical and operations analysis, the formation of predictive
models, application of optimisation techniques and the communication of these results to
customers, business partners and colleague executives.
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BA phenomena are seen as occurring in a three- Orientation: The direction of thought, that transcends
dimensional space of domain, orientation, and across all domains.
technique. (Holsapple et al 2014)
What analytics does:
Domain: subject fields and sub-fields in which
aspects of analytics are being applied – Descriptive analytics, Predictive analytics and
Prescriptive analytics (A three-fold taxonomy
– Financial analytics introduced in 2010 by Capgemini)
– Marketing (or customer) analytics - sub-field – SPED taxonomy - Sense of a Situation, make
can be retail analytics Predictions, make Evaluations, or make Decisions
– Human resources (or talent) analytics What are the benefits of analytics:
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Holsapple et al framework
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Type of analytics
• Descriptive analytics
• What happened?
• Diagnostic analytics
• Why it happened?
• Predictive analytics
• What might happen?
• Prescriptive analytics
• What should we do?
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• Business Intelligence
• Data Science
Computer Maths &
• Big Data Science Statistics
Business
• Data Mining Analytics
• Knowledge Discovery
Business
• Forecasting Domain
History of analytics
• 1940: Kerrison Predictor — a computerised anti-aircraft fire control system
• 1950: Manhattan Project — Monte Carlo simulation to predict nuclear chain reactions
• 1950: First computerised weather forecast models
• 1958: FICO’s use of predictive modelling to assess credit risk (FICO score)
• 1979: Visicalc — the first commercial tool for model-based decision support (DSS)
• 1980 onwards: Structured data, databases, EIS, data warehouses
• 1980 onwards: Office automation, digitisation of business functions
Emergence of BI
• 2000 onwards: Structured and unstructured data — social media, big data, multimedia
• 2000 onwards: Digitisation of personal information and behaviours
Topic 3: Deriving
Business Value
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https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/04/26/actionable-insights-the-missing-link-between-data-and-business-value/#7dab4d5451e5
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Alignment
• In line with business goals and/or strategic initiatives
• Linked to KPI’s
• Connected to a lever the business can act on
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/04/26/actionable-insights-the-missing-link-between-data-and-business-value/#7dab4d5451e5
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Context
• Make comparisons — Good versus Bad / Past versus Predicted
• Benchmark against known metrics
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/04/26/actionable-insights-the-missing-link-between-data-and-business-value/#7dab4d5451e5
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Relevance
• Know your audience
• Place your insights where your audience is
• Show your insights how your audience likes to see them
• Share your insights when your audience can absorb them
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/04/26/actionable-insights-the-missing-link-between-data-and-business-value/#7dab4d5451e5
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Specificity
• Describe what your insight is, and
• What is isn't
• Explain why it happened
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/04/26/actionable-insights-the-missing-link-between-data-and-business-value/#7dab4d5451e5
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Novelty
• Come from a unique perspective or a different angle
• First-mover advantage
• Peak curiosity and challenge beliefs (carefully)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/04/26/actionable-insights-the-missing-link-between-data-and-business-value/#7dab4d5451e5
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Clarity
• Visualisation and storytelling can make it clearer, but …
• Insights can get lost in the shiny, sexy new pictures
• Articulate exactly what action to take, how and when
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/04/26/actionable-insights-the-missing-link-between-data-and-business-value/#7dab4d5451e5
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• BI provides a overview of historical and present data to show what has happened or
what is currently happening
• BI answers the questions “what” and “how” so you can replicate what works and
change what does not
• Business analytics uses data mining, modelling, machine learning and deep learning
to determine the likelihood of future outcomes and predictions
• BA answers the question “why” so it can provide predictions about what will happen
Source
Topic 4: The Analytics
Lifecycle
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An analytics approach
Structure the problem Analyse the problem
• The data mining process must be reliable and repeatable by people with
little data mining background.
CRISP-DM
• CRISP-DM is an open standard
data mining process model.
• Conceived in 1996, by five leading
European organisations in data
mining, later acquired by IBM
• CRISP-DM 2.0 was proposed in
2008 and in 2015 IBM released
ASUM-DM, but neither was widely
adopted.
• Despite being from the “data
mining” era, it is widely used as it is
goal-directed and process-driven
Source:
• Chapman et al. (2000) CRISP-DM 1.0 Step-by-Step Data Mining Guide
• Martínez-Plumed, Fernando, et al. "CRISP-DM twenty years later: From data mining processes to data science
trajectories." IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering (2019).
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CRISP-DM: Phases
1. Business understanding: understand the problem to be solved — often need to recast the
problem when designing a solution (as cycles within a cycle).
• With an element of creativity, what exactly do we want to do? How exactly would we do
it? What requires analytical models? Loop back and adjust to better reflect the actual
business need.
2. Data understanding: understand the strengths and limitations of the data because rarely is
there an exact match with the problem. Estimate the costs and benefits of each data source.
• Discover the structure of the business problem and the data that are available, and then
match them to one or more analytics activities.
3. Data preparation: largely driven by the analytics techniques as they require data to be in a
form different to its natural form.
• Converting data to tabular format, removing or inferring missing values, and converting
data to different types. Handling unstructured data — text, images, video. Integrating
different data sources.
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CRISP-DM: Phases
4. Modelling: actual application of analytics techniques — descriptive (summarise),
predictive (predict/forecast) and prescriptive (action the future).
• Output of this phase is some sort of model or pattern capturing regularities in the
data. A large number of techniques and methods.
5. Evaluation: assess results and insights rigorously to gain confidence that they are
valid and reliable before actual use in business strategy. Need to establish models
and patterns extracted from the data are true regularities and not just idiosyncrasies or
sample anomalies.
• Also used to ensure that the model satisfies original business goals. This includes
both quantitative and qualitative assessments. Models and outcomes need to be
comprehensible to stakeholders.
6. Deployment: models, outcomes or the techniques are put into real use in order to
realise some return on investment.
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CRISP-DM: Phases
The outer circle in the diagram
symbolises the cyclic nature of the data
mining process itself.
• A data mining process continues after
a solution has been deployed.
• The lessons learned during the
process can trigger new, often more
focused business questions.
• Subsequent data mining processes
will benefit from the experience of
previous ones.
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[ Source: Chapman et al. (2020) CRISP-DM 1.0 Step-by-Step Data Mining Guide ]
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CRISP-DM: Modeling
What is a model?
• Input -> Process -> Output
CRISP-DM: Sins?
Scrum
Sin 1
• Sin 1: Lack of clarity and changes in
business objectives
Sin 4
• Sin 2: Data driven iteration rather than Sin 3
business driven
• Sin 3: Blind trust in IT in deployment
• Sin 4: Poor adaptivity — dying models Sin 2
• https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/architecture/data-science-process/overview
• https://blogs.sas.com/content/hiddeninsights/2013/10/11/how-well-are-you-managing-the-
analytical-life-cycle/
• https://www.knime.com/blog/the-data-science-life-cycle-a-new-standard
Topic 5: Applications,
Successes and Examples
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• Financial forecasting
• Product placement
• Churn analysis
• Fraud detection
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CBA — HR
• Uses predictive analytics to create advocacy from within the HR function itself.
• HR has successfully shifted from operational metrics to strategic and predictive analytics.
• Which employees are most likely to resign? How are resignations and performance
related?
• Determining factors leading to patterned sick leave on a Monday!
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Qantas Loyalty
• Originally the marketing department at Qantas — started building customer datasets from
2017.
• A 360-degree view of customer behaviour, preferences and psychographics.
• Initial disruptive changes based on insights gained: redeem points outside of airline seats,
partnering with the banking industry and other businesses (such as Woolworths).
• Now generates $1.3 billion in revenue, and captures 800,000 unique member opinions
annually.
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Challenges in analytics
References
• Power, D. J., Heavin, C., McDermott, J. and Daly, M. (2018). Defining Business Analytics: An Empirical Approach,
Journal of Business Analytics 1(1), pp. 40–53. https://doi.org/10.1080/2573234X.2018.1507605
• Dykes, B. (2016). Actionable Insights: The Missing Link Between Data and Business Value.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/04/26/actionable-insights-the-missing-link-between-data-and-
business-value/#7dab4d5451e5, last accessed on 18 July 2021.
• Dykes, B. (2016). Data Storytelling: The Essential Data Science Skill Everyone Needs.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/brentdykes/2016/03/31/data-storytelling-the-essential-data-science-skill-everyone-
needs/#262635fb52ad, last accessed on 18 July 2021.
• Gartner (2020). Top Strategic Technology Trends for 2021.
https://www.gartner.com/smarterwithgartner/gartner-top-strategic-technology-trends-for-2021/, last accessed on 18
July 2021.
• Davenport, T. H. and Patil, D. J. (2012). Data Scientist: The Sexiest Job of the 21st Century.
https://hbr.org/2012/10/data-scientist-the-sexiest-job-of-the-21st-century, last accessed on 18 July 2021.
• Hudson (2019). Data Analytics Salary Guide by Hudson Analytics.
https://au.hudson.com/analytics-salary-guide-2019, last accessed on 18 July 2021.
• Petrov, C. (2021). Impressive Big Data Statistics 2021.
https://techjury.net/blog/big-data-statistics/, last accessed on 18 July 2021.
Thank you
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