Zoya Hasan - Ideology and Organization in Indian Politics - Growing Polarization and The Decline of The Congress Party (2009-19) - Oxford University Press (2022)
Zoya Hasan - Ideology and Organization in Indian Politics - Growing Polarization and The Decline of The Congress Party (2009-19) - Oxford University Press (2022)
Zoya Hasan - Ideology and Organization in Indian Politics - Growing Polarization and The Decline of The Congress Party (2009-19) - Oxford University Press (2022)
ZOYA HASAN
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Acknowledgements
Introduction
1. Democratic Reorganization Eludes the Congress Party
2. Collapse of the United Progressive Alliance
3. The Gujarat Model and the Turn to the Right
4. Secular Politics on the Back Foot
5. Hindu Nationalism to the Fore
6. Opposition Interrupted
Conclusion
Bibliography
Index
Acknowledgements
A sea-change has taken place in Indian and global politics in the decade
since my book Congress After Indira: Policy, Power, Political Change
(1984–2009) was published. That book focussed on the comeback of the
Congress party after the unexpected victory in the 2004 elections. It was a
story of political recovery. But it is now clear that the political revival was
transitory. The two staggering defeats in 2014 and 2019 have brought the
dire state of the Congress party to the front and Centre of public debate.
This book seeks to understand the reasons for these enormous changes by
looking, first, at the underlying conditions that led to the steep decline of
the Congress and, second, the challenges—both external and internal—
confronting the Congress and, while doing so, estimating its impact on
Indian politics.
The central question is what accounts for these changes in this critical
decade of 2009–2019: a decade defined by tremendous political changes in
India, which are reflected in the dramatic decline of the Congress party. The
book focusses on ideological and organizational issues, which, I argue, are
critical for understanding the crisis facing the party. Exploring ideological
shifts in this period that shaped the decline of the Congress party makes a
compelling case for the significance of the Congress story in understanding
the larger political transformation underway in India. Congress’s crisis is
not just the crisis of a party; it represents the vanishing of a certain
conception of politics in the midst of the ideological consolidation of the
Right in India. The argument is focussed on the Congress party, but
comparatively speaking, it has relevance for the experience of centrist and
centre-left parties in other countries, which too suffered a decline in the
context of an upsurge of populist nationalism and right-wing politics in the
past few years.
During the writing of this book I have benefited immensely from the
support of several individuals, friends, and institutions. I want to thank the
faculty and staff of the Council for Social Development (CSD, New Delhi)
for their support for this and other academic endeavours during my
association with the CSD for the past few years. I am most grateful to
Seema Chishti, Christophe Jaffrelot, Gyanesh Kudaisya, and Mujibur
Rehman for reading the manuscript and giving valuable comments, and
above all, I am indebted to Amrita Basu for her meticulous reading of the
manuscript and detailed and perceptive comments and suggestions for
revisions and sharpening my analysis.
I have learnt a great deal about Indian politics and the Congress party
from numerous discussions with wonderful friends and colleagues, as many
of us watch the waning of the Congress party. Fortunately, these discussions
have been plentiful as the Congress is always ready with a crisis or two to
talk about. These splendid interlocutors include Amir Ali, Rajeev Bhargava,
Bharati Bhargav, Anuradha Mitra Chenoy, Mannika Chopra, Suranjan Das,
Peter Ronald deSouza, Jayati Ghosh, Ajay Gudavarathy, S. Irfan Habib,
Farida Abdullah Khan, Harish Khare, Jawid Laiq, Fawzia Mujeeb, Geetha
Nambeesan, Seema Mustafa, Saeed Naqvi, Anand Sahay, Asha Sarangi,
Tanika Sarkar, Eswaran Sridharan, Pamela Philipose, Prabhat Patnaik,
Rajen Prasad, Ritu Menon, Imrana Qadeer, Achin Vanaik, (late) Hari
Vasudevan, and Vidhu Verma. I’m also obliged to many journalists,
activists, and politicians who have shared their thoughts and understanding
about the Congress with me.
For helping me with research for this book, I want to thank Divyakshi
Jain, Avishek Jha, Rupak Kumar, and Anantveer Sinha for their
commendable research assistance. I’m most grateful to my long-standing
editor Adil Tyabji for his excellent editing of the manuscript. I would also
like to thank various members of my family, especially my nieces and
nephews, for their warmth and support at all times.
Finally, this book is dedicated to the memory of my husband Mushirul
Hasan with infinite affection and gratitude for his companionship for
several decades and for much more, for his exceptional courage, generosity,
and good humour, and for our shared academic interest in the history of the
Congress party and Indian nationalism. Mushir’s absence is acutely felt, but
his intellectual creativity, social commitment, and luminous sparkle will
always shine and inspire me.
Introduction
Indian and global politics have undergone a seismic transformation over the
past decade. This has been most apparent in the spectacular decline of the
Indian National Congress. Devastatingly defeated twice, in 2014 and 2019,
it ceased to be the fulcrum of the Indian political system. In 2013, Rahul
Gandhi had said that if India was a computer, then the Congress was its
default programme.1 The statement was widely criticized for betraying the
Congress’s feudal mindset. He wasn’t, however, entirely off the mark
because, until 2013, the party had lost national power only thrice: in 1977,
1989, and 1996. On two of those occasions, it maintained a very healthy
vote share of 34.5 per cent in 1977 and 39.5 per cent in 1989 and 1996. A
non-Congress government completed its first full term only in 2004, a full
57 years after Independence. The party staged a comeback when a
Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) defeated the Bhartiya
Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and formed
the government in 2004 (although it won just seven seats more than the
BJP) and did so again in 2009. The party increased its seat share from 145
in 2004 to 206 in 2009, with its vote share that had dipped to 26.3 per cent
(2004) increasing to 28.55 (2009). Since 2009, it has been a steep downhill
curve for the Congress.
The political history of India is intimately intertwined with the history of
the Congress, a party synonymous with modern India. It played a crucial
role in shaping and establishing a democratic system and ‘providing the
core of institutions and processes of power through which the Indian polity
had begun its career in 1947’, said Rajni Kothari.2 However, the Congress,
which led India to freedom from colonial rule and the party of Mahatma
Gandhi and Jawaharlal Nehru, is a pale shadow of its former self. It
performed dismally in the last two general elections and in most assembly
elections since 2014.
The formation of the first full-fledged right-wing government in 2014
with an absolute majority marks a critical turning point in India’s modern
political history.3 In what was an event of great significance, the BJP
replaced the Congress party at the Centre of the political system. The
political footprint of the Congress has shrunk dramatically in a matter of
years. Even as the Congress declined, the BJP and its mentor, the Rashtriya
Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), grew in strength.4 The growth of the BJP–RSS
combine began in the late 1980s when Hindutva—a form of religious
nationalism that views Hinduness or Hindu culture as the core of
nationhood—emerged as an important influence in Indian public life.5 The
BJP promoted Hindu nationalism, as opposed to the Nehruvian concept of
secular nationalism, which had thus far found general acceptance. It self-
consciously propagated an ideology that was at odds with composite
nationalism deeply embedded in the life of the Republic. The demolition of
the Babri Masjid by karsewaks (religious volunteers) owing their allegiance
to the Sangh Parivar in 1992 was the most overt demonstration of this line
of thought.6
The Congress crumbled in state after state, with the BJP replacing it as
the alternative, especially in north, central, and western India. In the five
states which account for the highest number of seats in the 543 member Lok
Sabha—Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Bihar, and Tamil Nadu
—the Congress won only 12 of the 248 seats in 2014 from these five states.
The party does not have a single MLA in Andhra Pradesh, Delhi, Tripura,
Sikkim, and Nagaland.7
The Congress party witnessed a complete rout in several other states
until it succeeded in forming a government in Punjab and Puducherry in
2017, in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh in 2018, a post-
election coalition government in Karnataka (which lasted just over a year),
and Maharashtra and a pre-poll coalition government in Jharkhand in 2019.
It is almost extinct in Uttar Pradesh and virtually non-existent in Bihar; it
has ceded ground in West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Odisha
to either the BJP or to regional parties. The party’s social alliances have
completely collapsed in major states of north India, and in consequence it
has never succeeded in regaining power in Lucknow or Patna. Its strength
declined significantly in the industrial and commercial powerhouses of
Maharashtra, Gujarat, and Tamil Nadu. It had, of course, lost out to regional
parties much earlier in Tamil Nadu, an erstwhile stronghold. The last time it
was in power on its own there was in 1967. It has found it extremely
difficult to stage a comeback in these states.
This brief outline of electoral trends underlines the Congress party’s
downslide over the past decade,8 but the crisis has a longer history.9 It
began with the setbacks suffered in 1967, when the party lost elections in
several states, and this was followed by a split in the party in 1969. While
the split saw the emergence of a decisive leader in Indira Gandhi, it had far-
reaching implications for the Congress, which was gradually transformed
from a loose coalition of ideologically diverse groups into a highly
centralized party completely dominated by its leader. These shifts led to an
institutional crisis that the party has been facing since then. It has not been
able to reorganize itself in the intervening years.
The crisis of the Congress also stemmed from transformational changes
underway in the polity, economy, and society. The party was both shaping
and being shaped by these transformations. Change stemmed from a shift
from a state-regulated economy to a market-based model of economic
growth. It was also influenced by wide-ranging reservation and affirmative
action policies, which threw up substantial numbers of lower-caste elites
who formed the nucleus of a highly vocal political leadership which began
weighing in on the opposition ranged against the Congress. As a
consequence, political power moved downwards from the old established
elites to new groups who sought a politics of parity and representation.
These castes drifted towards regional parties, greatly weakening the
Congress, while the upper castes began gravitating to the BJP. The
Congress hold over the Dalit and Muslim vote fell significantly in several
states, most noticeably in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.10 These two groups had
constituted the very foundation of Congress power, and once they began
shifting their loyalties elsewhere, the party’s political dominance was truly
shaken. The middle classes, the greatest beneficiaries of economic
liberalization in 1991, were nonetheless dissatisfied and favourably
considered its rival, the BJP. These lost spaces were difficult to recover, and
after 2014 it became an even more uphill task.
The Congress began flirting with communal politics to shore up its
dwindling support but eventually became the principal victim of this
misjudged course. Its greatest failure was in the way it approached Hindu
assertiveness being spearheaded by the BJP–RSS combine. The decisive
moment came in 1989 after the implementation of the Mandal
Commission’s recommendation of 27 per cent reservations in public
employment for the Other Backward Classes (OBCs).11 This drastically
changed the balance of power between upper and backward castes in favour
of the latter prompting widespread disturbances and violence in several
parts of India. It was opposed to reservations for OBCs, and even after the
party returned to power in 1980; it did not include OBCs in its electoral
coalition, which continued to be a combine of upper castes, minorities,
Dalits, and Adivasis, with both Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi refusing to
implement the Mandal Commission’s recommendations. Rajiv Gandhi had
criticized the V. P. Singh government for thinking only ‘around caste’ and
‘vested interests in particular castes’.12 When, however, the UPA-1
government came to power in 2004, it introduced 27 per cent reservations
for OBCs in publicly funded educational institutions of higher learning.
This decision was a crucial element in the new strategy of counterbalancing
backward castes’ long-standing distrust of the party, which was generally
viewed as being elitist. This, however, did not help the Congress to gain
their support; indeed, many among them gravitated towards the BJP.13
The BJP–RSS combine was incensed that reservations for OBCs would
exacerbate divisions in Hindu society. The upper castes were hugely upset
but these reservations could no longer be wished away. Mandal politics had
fired up the OBCs as the fulfilment of a long-standing demand for greater
representation in government. Mandal emerged as the greatest hindrance to
the quest for Hindu unity, which typically based itself on an external enemy
outside the majority community against whom all Hindus could unite. Caste
divisions would upset that modus operandi, with this crucial event upending
their political plans. The dream of a unified Hindu identity was likely to get
sidelined by exposing caste divisions and contradictions. In response,
Hindutva was propagated to unify a divided Hindu society. The Ram temple
movement was positioned as an antidote to Mandal to promote Hindu unity
and dominance. The villains of the piece would inevitably be Muslims. The
idea was to bring together Hindus under the banner of Hindutva while
painting Muslims as the ‘other’. Thus, the Ram Janmabhoomi campaign
was launched in 1989, with L. K. Advani leading it with his rathyatra
(chariot pilgrimage) through large parts of India in a demonstration of
Hindu unity, culminating in the demolition of the Babri Masjid in Ayodhya
in December 1992. Around 2,000 people died in the violence following the
demolition; even the Gujarat violence in 2002 was set off by an incident
involving the death of Hindu pilgrims returning to Gujarat from Ayodhya.
Following this, vilification of Muslims became routine and served as a
foundation for the formation of a sizeable Hindu communal majority in the
northern, central, and western parts of India.
Conditions were conducive for the emergence of the BJP as a rival
power Centre; indeed, within a few years of the Ram Janmabhoomi
movement it formed the government at the Centre in 1998, albeit in a
coalition, ending decades of political isolation. This marked the emergence
of a right-wing alternative at the Centre and regional parties backed by the
OBCs in the states, later also moved towards the BJP. Following this
development, the Congress wasn’t easily able to position itself at the
Centre. It attempted to remain broadly centrist but the centre-ground was
squeezed and pressed from both sides by identity politics of different kinds.
Historically, the Congress was built as a centrist catch-all party, but to
remain a catch-all party became very difficult in the 1990s when two
powerful cleavages based on caste (after Mandal) and religion (related to
Ayodhya) were building up, gaining momentum and popular acceptability.
This resulted in a major confrontation between the upper and backward
castes, displacing the Congress from its position of dominance in Uttar
Pradesh. This had a cascading effect too on the party’s political fortunes in
other states. The party never recovered from this transformation of India’s
politics, which challenged the pluralist foundation of the political system by
shifting the discourse towards identity politics. This political shift, in part a
consequence of the backward castes decisively backing non-Congress
formations and upper castes backing the BJP, reshaped politics across a
large swathe of India. The Gujarat violence was another turning point in
this chain of events that compelled the Congress to confront communal
politics, which it had until then strenuously attempted to avoid. It did not,
however, fully confront the implications of this turn of events by not
actively pursuing the pending criminal investigations into the Gujarat
violence when the UPA came to power. It thereby helped the BJP and
Narendra Modi, its prime ministerial candidate, from taking any
responsibility for the mass violence under his watch.14
Significant shifts during this period can also be traced to the neoliberal
restructuring of the economy begun by the Congress government in 1991.
While it accelerated economic growth, it also deepened class, regional, and
rural-urban divisions. In the wake of the economic transformation wrought
by liberalization, social inequalities compounded economic inequality with
an incredible concentration of wealth in few hands. Old sectors died and
new ones arose with incredible rapidity. The crucial question was whether
inequality could be lessened without impeding economic growth essential
to sustain social spending.
This question was addressed through redistributive public welfare
policies aimed at greater inclusiveness and what can be called an Indian
version of ‘social democracy’. This was a time when the Congress entered
into power-sharing arrangements with several regional and state-based
parties that eventually took shape as the UPA, which ruled from 2004 to
2014.15 Backed by the Left parties, the Congress-led alliance steered the
ideological course of the UPA in a progressive direction. Although
neoliberal policies were never abandoned, the UPA government promoted a
raft of groundbreaking rights-based welfare policies—the Mahatma Gandhi
Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA), the Right to Education
(RTE) Act, the Mid-day Meal Scheme, and National Food Security Act
(NFSA)—which proved to be effective in tackling economic deprivation.
The harsh effects of neoliberalism were neutralized to some degree,
although there was no decisive change in the economic policy paradigm.
The rights-based welfare programmes were an important achievement.
These were not just welfare programmes; rather they were part of an effort
to merge social and economic rights (the material payouts) with elements of
political and civil rights guarantees of participation and accountability
found within the Acts and the Right to Information (RTI) Act. But the idea
of social democracy, such as it was, hadn’t emerged through regular
political processes but outside them. This agenda had been outsourced to
civil society organizations, most notably the National Advisory Council
(NAC), which comprised a mix of civil society activists and ex-bureaucrats,
headed by Sonia Gandhi, but hardly included any other politician from her
party which was not involved in the initiation and mobilization for these
landmark moves. In the event, all hope for a participatory welfare society to
catalyze changes in the political landscape was probably overblown and
they didn’t take place.
Nonetheless, the Congress appeared to have regained political support, at
least temporarily, with its UPA governments, keeping the middle class
happy through growth and also, through MGNREGA, delivering for the
poor. These initiatives paid political dividends in the 2009 elections, with
the Congress seat share rising from 146 to 206. Notwithstanding these
impressive returns, the political support evaporated quite rapidly. Congress
was outmanoeuvred in 2011, just two years after its return to power. The
dramatic turn of events began with the anti-corruption movement
spearheaded by India Against Corruption (IAC), backed by the RSS and
24/7 television coverage. This triggered an upsurge of public anger against
the UPA government and the Congress, which was unable to shake off the
corruption charges, a point the BJP exploited to the hilt to attack the
government, which eventually culminated in its devastating defeat in 2014.
The party was overwhelmed by the combined opposition of the corporate
sector, middle class, and major media outlets, which led the charge against
the Congress and redistributive policies championed by it.
The 2014 election shifted the Centre of gravity to the Right. The year
2019 ratified the trajectory India had embarked upon that year which saw
the decimation of the Congress and of liberal progressive forces. The 2019
elections produced a further shift, with the pivot of politics moving more
decisively to the Right. Exceeding its tally of 282 out of 543 Lok Sabha
seats, the BJP now crossed the 300 mark while its vote share jumped from
31 per cent to 38. Its victory was so complete that it captured all or most of
the seats in some states and reduced the Congress to a mere 54, for the
second time insufficient to win the leader of the opposition post in the Lok
Sabha.
The catastrophic defeat of the Congress in two successive elections has
prompted major debates about the Congress and the UPA and whether the
errors of the latter led to the Congress downfall. The public debate was
prompted by the BJP’s strong disapproval of the UPA, which gained greater
traction after its defeat. Political pundits were quick to follow suit with the
claim that the UPA had collapsed because the Congress was elitist and was
out of touch with the aspirations of the ‘new India’ and had focused
excessively on entitlement and welfare and not empowerment and jobs.
Corporate media took the lead in projecting UPA’s social policies as
bottlenecks to economic growth and presented the Gujarat model as the
panacea. This played an important part in shaping the public discourse,
which burgeoned rapidly through social media platforms.
The past two decades have witnessed a proliferation of studies on the
dramatic growth of the BJP and the political changes shaped by this.16
Tracking this shift in power dynamics has been the focus of academic
research and analysis for the past few years. The consequence has been a
neglect of attention to changes taking place on the other side of the political
spectrum: notably other political parties. This book directs attention to the
other side—the Congress party in the context of the rise of the Right in
Indian politics and its impact on the future of the once-dominant party.
The Congress party is particularly important when it comes to exploring
the challenges facing non-BJP parties caught in the potentially destabilizing
politics of polarization and communal mobilization. While it is difficult to
find something new to say about the party, whose past history and current
failings have been thoroughly debated and scrutinized, it seemed useful to
put the Congress alongside the BJP amid the rise of the Right and ask some
questions regarding this interface and the role of polarization in changing
the structure of Indian politics and in hastening its crisis. Political scientists
tend to explain the decline and fall of parties in terms of institutional factors
that are internally specific to the party concerned. The interface between
parties and the role of internal and external factors in their development is
frequently ignored. This analysis emphasizes both sets of factors and, above
all, the role of context and ideology and organization in the making and
unmaking of parties. The crisis of the Congress is discussed in the context
of transformations provoked by the expansion of majoritarianism in India.
Whether in power or in opposition, the 136-year-old Congress remains a
significant political party. It is no longer the default party of power but the
one which propelled the freedom struggle, established the structures and
institutions of democracy, initiated the economic liberalization of 1991, and
established the rights-based social security architecture of the UPA years.
However, the Congress party’s record in government and opposition should
not be idealized. In significant ways, its failings and manipulation of the
politics of religion set the stage for the rise of Hindu nationalism and for its
own crisis and decline. But even in its depleted state, it has historical,
social, and intellectual capital of which few other parties can boast. That’s
why the BJP attacks it relentlessly, well aware that only the Congress party
is capable of challenging it nationally.
This book builds on my earlier work, Congress After Indira: Policy,
Power, Political Change (1984–2009).17 That book focused on the
comeback of the Congress, particularly the period after the unexpected
victory in the 2004 elections, which brought the party back to power on the
national stage. It chronicled changes in the new political landscape, raising
hopes of a revival. It was a story of political recovery. The party leadership
had shifted the debate from identity politics to secular and distributive
politics, which created substantive difficulties for the return of the NDA in
2004. In hindsight, the victories in 2004 and 2009 provided a temporary
reprieve. It worked because Sonia Gandhi was able to hold the Congress
together and forge a political alliance that held for a decade. It is now clear
that the political revival was a mere postponement of a future long-term
decline. The party had wasted the opportunities provided by the back-to-
back electoral victories of its coalition to rebuild and restructure its own
organization. These issues are addressed through an examination of key
political developments from 2009 to 2019 in order to understand how and
why one of the world’s oldest political formations lost its place in the public
imagination within a few years of its return to power. Discussed are the
major issues that have been at the Centre of public debates: the collapse of
the UPA, the Gujarat model of politics and development, secularism,
nationalism, and majoritarianism, which have contributed to this
denouement.
Broadly speaking, the principal concern of this foray into the
contemporary history of the Congress is essentially to reflect on the decline
of the Congress and its impact on Indian politics at the national level. In
significant respects, the Congress experience resembles the experience of
centrist parties in other democracies in the wake of an upsurge of populist
nationalism and right-wing parties.18 Several centrist parties have been
affected by the sharpened political polarization created by social and
religious divisions sweeping across the world. Analysis of the critical
decade of 2009–19 in India affords insights into these processes of
transformation on the back of political polarization that grounded the
Congress party, so to speak.
Notes
1. ‘Rahul Gandhi Says if India Is a Computer, Then Congress is Its Default Program’, The Times
of India, 24 Aug.2013.
2. Rajni Kothari, ‘The Idea of Congress’s, The Indian Express, 18 Apr. 2009.
3. Pratul Sharma, ‘The Indian Right Arrives in Official Policy Prime’, Sunday Standard, 7 Dec.
2014.
4. Hindu Right, refers to organizations and parties that subscribe to the ideology of Hindutva or
Hindu primacy, are socially conservative and in favour of a strong quasi-authoritarian state. It
would include organizations such as the RSS, Vishva Hindu Parishad (VHP), and Bajrang
Dal, among others. It has dozens of affiliates representing women, youth, and students, all
loosely linked under an RSS umbrella of Hindu nationalist organizations. It also runs
thousands of schools across India under the Sangh Parivar’s affiliate Vidya Bharati. Its
affiliates hold shakhas, the morning marching-and-meditation sessions, in dozens of other
countries, including the United States.
5. For the BJP’s self-description of its ideology, see http://www.bjp.org/index.php?
option=com_content&view=article&id=369:hindutva-the-great-
nationalistideology&Itemid=501. Accessed 17 Nov. 2020.
6. Sangh Parivar is an umbrella term that refers to a whole host of political, cultural, and social
organizations affiliated to the RSS.
7. Kaushik Deka, ‘What’s Wrong with the Congress’s, India Today, 3 Aug. 2020.
8. For more recent writings on the Congress party, see Adnan Farooqui and E. Sridharan, ‘Can
Umbrella Parties Survive? The Decline of the Indian National Congress’, Journal of
Commonwealth and Comparative Politics, 54, no. 3, ; Suhas Palshikar, ‘Congress in the
Times of the Post-Congress Era’, Economic and Political Weekly, 50, no. 19, 9 May 2015;
Praveen Rai and Sanjay Kumar, ‘Decline of Congress in India Politics’, Economic and
Political Weekly, 52, no. 12, 25 Mar. 2017; Express Web Desk, ‘Mapped: Congress’s Decline
Through the Years’, The Indian Express, 21 May 2016.
9. Roshan Kishore, ‘Is the Decline of the Congress Seasonal, as Veerappa Moily Claims?’, Live
Mint, 22 Mar. 2017, https://www.livemint.com/Politics/yJ5cGKzuQq8268lu2zc1vK/Is-the-
decline-of-the-Congress-seasonal-as-Veerappa-Moily-c.html. Accessed 17 Nov. 2021.
10. On the changing social base of the Congress, see Anthony Heath and Yogendra Yadav, ‘The
United Colours of the Congress: Social Profile of Congress Voters, 1996 and 1998’,
Economic and Political Weekly, 34, no. 34/35, 8 Aug.1999.
11. Reservations of 27 per cent for the OBCs in government employment were put into practice
at the national level in the 1990s after Prime Minister V. P. Singh decided to accept the
recommendations of the Mandal Commission and after the recommendations were modified
by the Supreme Court. Fifteen years later, in April 2006, the UPA government introduced
reservations for the OBCs in elite institutions of higher and professional education. See Zoya
Hasan, ‘The Die Is Cast(e): The Debate on Backward Caste/Class Quota’, inAnthony Heat
and Roger Jeffery (eds.), Diversity and Change in Modern India: Economic, Social and
Political Approaches, Oxford Clarendon: Oxford University Press, 2010.
12. Rajiv Gandhi’s speech on the Mandal Commission in the Lok Sabha, published in The Indian
Express, 9 Jun. 2006.
13. Kancha Iliah Sheperd, ‘Shudras and Democratic India’, in Kancha Ilaiah Shepherd and
Karthik Raja Karuppusamy (eds.), The Shudras: Vision for a New Path, New Delhi: Penguin
Books, 2021.
14. R.B. Sreekumar was with the Gujarat Intelligence Bureau in April–September 2002. Terming
the conduct of the Congress leadership in the aftermath of the riots as ‘quite vacillatingly
obnoxious’, Sreekumar writes, ‘Soulless secularism and over-sensitivity to Hindu sentiments
presumably prompted Congress leaders to block the plans of Congress president Sonia
Gandhi to visit Zakia Jafri … during her Gujarat visit after the riots, for expressing
condolence.’ Report on Sreekumar’s book titled Gujarat Behind the Curtain, Manas
Publication, (2015) published in Leena Misra, ‘Congress Didn’t Let Sonia Meet Zakia Jafri
After Riots: 2002 “Whistleblower” ’, The Indian Express, 28 Dec. 2015.
15. The Tenth Indira Gandhi conference organized by the Indira Gandhi Memorial Trust in 2010,
presided by Sonia Gandhi, addressed the challenges and the prospects of creating an
alternative Indian social democracy. See the two volumes which were an outcome of this
discussion. Sunil Khilnani and Manmohan Malhoutra (eds.), An Indian Social Democracy:
Integrating Markets, Democracy and Social Justice, Two Volumes, New Delhi: Academic
Foundation, 2013.
16. Achin Vanaik, Hindutva Rising: Secular Claims, Communal Realities, New Delhi: Tulika
Books, 2017; Angana P. Chatterji, Thomas Blom Hansen, and Christophe Jaffrelot (eds.),
Majoritarian State: How Hindu Nationalism Is Changing India, London: Hurst & Co, 2019;
Meghnad Desai, Making Sense of Modi’s India, New Delhi: Harper Collins, 2015; Ashutosh
Varshney, ‘The Emergence of Right-Wing Populism in India’, in Niraja Gopal Jayal (ed.), Re-
Forming India: The Nation Today, New Delhi: Penguin India, 2019; Saba Naqvi, Shades of
Saffron: From Vajpayee To Modi, New Delhi: Westland Publications, 2018.
17. Zoya Hasan, Congress After Indira: Policy, Power, Political Change (1984–2009), New
Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2012.
18. John Feffer, ‘Nationalism Is Global: The Left Is on the Defensive’, The Nation, 6 Nov. 2019.
Accessed 15 Nov. 2019.
1
Democratic Reorganization Eludes the Congress
Party
Institutional erosion
All of this changed with the arrival of Indira Gandhi at the Centre stage of
national politics and the split of the Congress party in 1969. The split was
the consequence of a bitter battle between Indira Gandhi and the Syndicate
or the old guard, led by party president, S. Nijalingappa, who was expelled
by her. Indira Gandhi accused the old guard of being reactionaries and
opposed to progressive policies such as the nationalization of banks and
abolition of the princes’ privy purses.10 The break was complete when
Indira Gandhi, after proposing N. Sanjeeva Reddy’s name for the post of
president, asked Congressmen to ‘vote according to their conscience’. V. V.
Giri, the rebel Congress candidate supported by her, won. She later led her
faction of the party known as the New Congress Party or Congress-R (R
stood for Requisition) to an overwhelming victory in the 1971
parliamentary elections. The Congress-R won 352 seats, roughly a two-
third majority in the Lok Sabha. The split had transformed the Congress,
clearly establishing the supremacy of the parliamentary wing over the
organizational and the political executive over the party. Prior to the split,
the party organization had enjoyed some independence from the executive.
Once Indira Gandhi had established political supremacy, she did not
countenance any leader with an independent power base in any state as
he/she might pose a potential challenge to the central leadership, appointing
office-bearers personally selected by her. She established total control over
the CWC, CPB, and the CEC. Chief ministers were nominated by her as the
party in the states usually requested her to nominate the chief minister. The
centralization of power in party and government remained the defining
feature of Congress dominance, dispensing with all processes of intra-party
democracy connecting the Centre to lower levels in the system.11
It soon became clear that the move towards centralization had cost the
party heavily in terms of popular credibility and broke its political
monopoly by the late 1970s. The party lost power in the 1977 general
elections held after the Emergency had been lifted and began the process of
the party’s long decline. Its political influence began to be seriously
challenged once the party machinery began breaking down in the states.
The centralizing drives coupled with a penchant for tight control and
political manipulation were largely responsible for organizational erosion.
Centralization
The workings of the party organization underwent a major change in this
period. Until the split in 1969, the Congress held regular elections, but no
elections were held after the party split. The party has never recovered from
the atrophy that set in then and has continued to operate with a top–down
structure ever since. Decision-making became the preserve of the high
command headed by the party president.12 In consequence, loyalty was
privileged over the political support base of the leader. The sole criterion of
loyalty for any Congress worker was to the people who had nominated
them. ‘There’s no loyalty to party or ideology’.13 The high command
syndrome that decided party matters earlier at the national level and in
relation to state matters was extended to local levels with no connection
with party functionaries there.
At various points since the mid-1980s, Congress leaders have signalled
their awareness of organizational erosion. Rajiv Gandhi’s address at the
party’s centenary celebrations in Bombay (now Mumbai) in 1985 famously
declared it to be a party of power-brokers, but he did very little to change
that. Elections that had been promised early in his tenure were never
conducted during his term as party president.14 During his time, the
Congress leadership became even more personalized, managerial, and Delhi
centric. The massive mandate given to the Congress in memory of his
mother was squandered and misunderstood as a personal mandate for him.
Although he was acutely aware that the party organization required a
thorough overhaul he made no serious effort to change or revitalize it, and
therefore the centralization of the party continued. Like his mother, he
depended on the institutions of the state and not the party to mobilize
people.
During his tenure, the party functioned as a centralized unit, although
every now and again the high command recognized that only a strong
organization anchored in public support could enable the party to grow. The
party, however, did not move away from its dependence on a single leader,
the Congress remaining a leader-driven party, completely dependent on
Rajiv Gandhi. He did not trust Congress leaders, even those who had been
known to have been close to his mother. He went on to change the decision-
making structure in the party by bringing in professionals and friends as
advisors. He replaced her coterie with his own set of friends who had little
exposure to political realities. They had no mass base, yet they were given
important positions in the party. Some of them, like Arun Nehru, gave
disastrous advice, for example, on unlocking the gates of Babri Masjid in
Ayodhya or overturning the Supreme Court judgment in the Shah Bano
case.15
No reorganization
Sonia Gandhi was re-elected president of the Congress in May 2004 when
the party returned to power as the head of the United Progressive Alliance
(UPA). The Congress that assumed power was different both
organizationally and ideologically. Politically, it wrested a position of
dominance by dislodging the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led NDA. The
mandate for the party, to quote Rajni Kothari, was more ‘exciting than the
assumption of power by the Indian National Congress after
Independence’.25 For him, the distinctive thing about the renewed mandate
was that ‘the Congress was a party rather than a governing structure that has
been assigned the role of providing a new institutional structure’.26 He
expected the focus on the party would contribute to its renewal as an
organization.27 Disappointment was, however, in store for those who
expected change. This was particularly so because, for the first time after 30
years, there was a division of power and authority between the prime
minister and the Congress president, and between the government and the
party, a new socio-political configuration. Sonia Gandhi had an opportunity
to reorganize the party, especially because the party president was not the
prime minister. The party was, however, unable to take advantage of it
because the focal point of Sonia Gandhi’s leadership was not, and has not
been, on party building or reform but on managing a fractious coalition.28
There was therefore no change in the party’s functioning. But she had
certainly restored the party to Centre stage without holding any
governmental position. She took the lead in providing the ideological
foundations for a welfare-oriented government policy which directly
benefited the people.29 She remained party president for 20 years until
December 2017.
As noted above, Sonia Gandhi was unable to shake up the party even
though she enjoyed unparalleled dominance in the party. This raised serious
doubts about the regeneration and efficacy of the party, leading, as in the
past, to greater reliance on government and welfare programmes to win
support than on reforming the party to mobilize the electorate. The response
of the Congress to most fundamental issues has been generally
‘governmental rather than political. This failure to distinguish between
modes of governmental action and possible responses of a party apparatus
is obvious.’30 The lack of organizational heft was a severe limitation,
hampering the party’s ability to reap the political dividends which could
have accrued to it from the unprecedented welfare spending by the central
government. Organizational degeneration hampered the party’s capacity to
engage with mass politics.
As the Congress began losing ground in several states, it became clear
that the organization was dysfunctional. As a corrective, Sonia Gandhi set
up several committees to recommend ways of reorganizing and
strengthening the organization.31 The first was a task force headed by P. A.
Sangma, and the second, headed by A. K. Antony, was entrusted with
looking into the reasons for the Congress’s poor performance in the 1998
elections. The report was submitted but none of the recommendations were
ever implemented. ‘We deliberated on it for nine hours. Yet, when the time
for reorganization came in 2000, all the PCC chiefs were retained and the
AICC posts were filled up by senior leaders.’32
Sonia Gandhi set up a third committee, known as ‘The Group to Look
into Future Challenges’, headed by Veerappa Moily, to examine the same
issues: party reorganization and intra-party reforms.33 ‘This group too
proposed internal reforms but went a step further and recommended that
Congress build cadres on the lines of organizations like the BJP and the
Left parties. The party had to find out some way of touching every
household right from the day of election notification till the end of the
campaign’, Moily said.34 Cadres must reach out to people rather than the
party banking on its candidates’ abilities and resources to mobilize support
to achieve victory, the committee suggested. According to a news report,
this proposal was prompted by the Election Commission’s greater
stringency in relation to limits to election expenditure and the ban of posters
and graffiti that led the committee to propose this drastic and clearly
unrealistic change of the Congress into a cadre-based party.35 However, the
suggestion that campaigns needed to be more party oriented than just
candidate oriented was an important one. ‘Now our campaigns are mainly
candidate-oriented. We want to make them party-oriented. That’s why the
need for committed workers or cadres who can do door-to-door
campaigning instead of organizing meetings for the candidate or big party
leaders’, said a member of the Future Challenges Group.36 According to
Mani Shankar Aiyar, ‘these changes were also recommended in the Uma
Shankar Dikshit recommendations to revamp and democratize the party
which was endorsed by Rajiv Gandhi and steered by him through the CWC
and AICC in July 1990’.37 There was, however, no discussion or follow-up
on these committee reports. All the reports were shelved for fear of stirring
up the pot and upsetting the status quo and the established hierarchies in the
party. No progress could be achieved because the top leadership just did not
have the political will to restructure the organization.
No-changers
There was no change in the party structure with no-changers having their
way. The party was not serious about decentralization of decision-making,
although Sonia Gandhi was disinclined to exercise absolutist control.38 Her
approach was consultative and she allowed discussion to proceed on most
subjects so that members could have their say. ‘She listens to criticism’ and
gives ‘space to various disagreements, questions and concerns’, commented
Aruna Roy on the basis of her experience of working with her as a member
of the NAC.39 However, unlike Indira and Rajiv Gandhi, who had created
new leadership structures, Sonia Gandhi relied on the existing leadership to
work the party hierarchy even after 2004 when she had fully established her
pre-eminence. She was clear from the outset that she would work with
senior leaders who had backed her during the 20 years she held the reins of
the party. Many of these leaders lacked a political base. The absence of
linkage between those who were given political responsibilities and the
rough and tumble of state politics was glaring. This gulf was aggravated by
the tendency to marginalize leaders who had at least some links with
ground-level politics for fear of disturbing local power structures. It was
difficult to change this structure because ‘Sonia Gandhi herself relied
heavily on the old order in the party’.
It is a pervasive fear of those around the Congress president that elections might lead to
undesirable consequences such as instability that stands in the way of party rejuvenation. All
those in the coteries might find themselves booted out because they are all nominated and few
of them have any mass support. Moreover, they are keen to retain their influence irrespective of
whether they face the electorate or win elections or not.
Organizational stagnation
Rahul Gandhi has made several attempts to usher in change but has met
with grief because of the inter-generational clash within the party and old-
timers refusing to make way for younger leaders, and also because, under
him, the party has faced major electoral losses. But even when the party has
performed well as in the Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh state
assembly elections in 2018 he has not had his way in promoting younger
leaders to leadership positions. The process of lobbying during the selection
of chief ministers in these three states became so intense that eventually the
party decided to appoint senior leaders as chief ministers in all the three
states, in the face of much heartburn among the young leaders close to
Rahul Gandhi. While Kamal Nath was appointed chief minister of Madhya
Pradesh and Ashok Gehlot chief minister of Rajasthan, these appointments
left the two young leaders, Jyotiraditya Scindia in Madhya Pradesh and
Sachin Pilot in Rajasthan, extremely unhappy and discontented. Both began
plotting their own strategies to strengthen their influence at the expense of
the party, which eventually led to Scindia’s exit from the party and the
eventual downfall of the Kamal Nath government in Madhya Pradesh in
March 2020. As regards Pilot, he raised a banner of revolt against the
Gehlot administration along with a band of his supporters over complaints
of their neglect and deliberate sidelining in the Rajasthan government but
was persuaded to remain in the party.
The top–down model run by backroom specialists with a disinclination
to engage with the risks of mass politics holds sway at the cost of party
building. The party functions as a bureaucratic organization and its
approach to politics is essentially managerial and technocratic.49 This
process has killed innovation, and discussion and debate have ceased to
exist. There is, besides, perfunctory discussion on most issues. When the
Congress was in power, discussions took place only in the Cabinet and by
Groups of Ministers (GoMs).
Decisions were taken by the Core Group formed by Sonia Gandhi in
2004 to help the UPA government, which became the effective decision-
making body. All crucial decisions were taken by this group which replaced
important party institutions which in any case never met.50 The CPB, for
instance, didn’t meet at all after the formation of the Core Group. ‘Meetings
of the Congress Parliamentary Party (CPP) have been reduced to [the]
customary address by the Congress president and obituary references. The
past practise of discussion has been discontinued. That is required now that
the party is in Opposition.’51 CWC meetings are episodic and reactive
rather than those of a deliberative body setting a national agenda and taking
policy initiatives. Consensus was evolved even before an issue was decided
in the CWC, although members were permitted to speak and air their views.
Decisions were taken ‘by managing consensus and consensus was managed
through backroom discussions’.52 In short, as a former Congress leader
said, ‘the party structure exists on paper. Nominated small coteries play
musical chairs, they become ministers or chief ministers when Congress is
in power, and when the party is in opposition, they are office-bearers of the
party’.53 In these circumstances, ‘the Congress knows what it has to do. It
also knows why, for more than three decades this has not been done’.54
‘And the inner circle of the Congress knows that it is none other than the
inner circle that is blocking organizational reforms’, observed a Congress
leader.
The contrast between the Congress and the BJP organizations is stark,
not in terms of internal democracy and decision-making structure, which is
centralized in both cases, but especially in terms of electoral management.
The Congress party’s ramshackle organization is no match for the RSS,
which provides ground support in election engineering, propaganda,
mobilization, and booth management. The Congress is not a cadre-based
party which puts it at a great disadvantage in comparison with the
organizational strength of the BJP–RSS combination. The BJP has, at its
disposal, a well-oiled political machine led by the RSS and its affiliated
organizations. During the 2019 election, the BJP had workers in the
position of panna pramukh (page in-charge) who were responsible for
mobilizing voters listed on a single page of the published voter list (which
contains approximately 30 voters, although in practice they may have
handled up to 60). This is the greatest strength of the BJP and the Congress
has nothing remotely similar dedicated to election management. In six
states—Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, West Bengal, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, and
Tamil Nadu, which account for over 250 Lok Sabha seats—the party has no
credible organizational structure. At one time, it had a strong organization,
although it was a loosely organized party with no cadres. Most leaders
agree that the organization is not what it should be and needs to be
revamped, and yet nothing has been done to change this. The party is bereft
of a dedicated cadre of grassroots workers in the states or districts even as
the BJP–RSS continued its steady expansion. It has no ground game
because it lacks cadres and workers at the booth level, which is essential for
winning elections.
‘The AICC does not meet regularly, CWC meets sporadically and PCCs
and the Block level units exist virtually on paper’, lamented a former
Congress leader. One political advisor said that ‘hardly any CWC members
has ever been to a village or spent a night there’.55 Most CWC members are
Delhi based with little or no relevance in their own regions, and yet they
continue to exercise power to decide the future course of action within the
party even though they have no mass base and are entirely dependent on the
patronage of the party president. A majority of them have either never
contested a Lok Sabha or Assembly election or did so decades ago when the
politics, discourse, and tools of fighting elections were very different. Their
influence has, however, grown in direct proportion to the weakening of
party units across India.56 Therefore, ‘the only thing the CWC has ensured
is status quo so that they remain relevant to the power-mongers within the
set-up’, remarked Pradyot Manikya Bikram Debbarma, former president of
the Tripura PCC.57
It is thus amply clear that the idea of internal democracy has not
travelled very far.58 Organizationally, centralized command and control and
loyalty have replaced ideology. Nothing much has been done to rebuild the
organization from the time Rahul Gandhi was appointed vice president in
2013 until May 2019, when he resigned as president. Although he had been
president since December 2017, his writ did not run as forcefully in the
party as his mother’s did, and leaders loyal to the two Gandhis frequently
do not see eye to eye with one another, leading to speculation that there are
two power centres in the Congress. Centralized functioning has impeded the
party’s ability to regain support leading to a gradual shrivelling and
withering away of the party structure, with a high command which is
disconnected not only from its workers but also from its own leaders.
Barring a few states, notably Kerala, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh,
Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, and Assam, the Congress has no strong
organization in any of the other states.
It is true that it is not easy for a loosely organized mass-based party to
build a strong organization, but at least the Congress can begin with a
genuine pan-Indian membership drive. Most PCC members are ‘resourceful
middlemen with close links to businessmen’ who can easily mobilize bogus
members.59 The PCCs could be asked to submit reports on organizational
and political issues in the states ‘but even this minimum work hasn’t been
done’.60 The party organization is weak, factional, and chaotic in most
states. District units remain headless because the party was unable to even
fill important posts in the states.
Political consequences
The Congress party is never short on declarations of intent, and such
declarations come far more frequently than actual change. Indeed, the
changes that are required have been spelt out in a series of reports
commissioned by the high command mentioned above. But these
recommendations have not been acted upon. The party would not have
come to such a pass had it implemented these recommendations and the
repeated promises of party leaders to revitalize the party.
The overall organizational decay and leadership crisis has had major
political consequences for the party over the past decade. ‘Organizational
atrophy and ideological obfuscation can be fixed by a leadership with a
clear vision. That is the elephant in the room’, observed one leader.61
Several prominent leaders have left the party and joined the BJP.
Defections, splits, and the ensuing electoral decline is not a new
phenomenon in the party’s long history, but the defections after the last two
defeats in 2014 and 2019 have weakened the party more than ever before.
Some of these defections were a consequence of the leadership’s slow and
sometimes confusing movement on key organizational matters. The party
has not only suffered from defections in key states but also lost
governments due to the inaction of its leaders and office-bearers. The party
has not encouraged state leaders who could have been entrusted with the
task of rebuilding the party. Its crisis has coincided with the rise of regional
parties, most of whom are breakaways from the Congress: the Trinamool
Congress in West Bengal, the Nationalist Congress Party in Maharashtra,
and Jaganmohan Reddy’s YSR Congress in Andhra Pradesh, to name a few.
The Congress has paid a heavy price for its failure to give space and leeway
to mass leaders at the state level leading many, such as Mamata Banerjee,
Himanta Biswa Sarma, and Jaganmohan Reddy, to leave.
Andhra Pradesh and Assam are prime examples of this phenomenon. In
2009, Andhra Pradesh gave the Congress 33 Lok Sabha seats, the party’s
largest contingent from any state in India, thereby strengthening the UPA
position at the Centre. There was, however, a serious crisis in the Congress
soon after the sudden death of Chief Minister Y. S. Rajasekhara Reddy in a
helicopter crash on 2 September 2009 when he was just settling down to
serve a second consecutive stint as chief minister. He had almost single-
handedly achieved the challenging feat of defeating the Telugu Desam Party
(TDP) in two consecutive elections and outwitted the Telangana Rashtra
Samithi (TRS) chief K. Chandrashekar Rao by speaking in favour of
Telangana before the elections and subsequently reversing his position.
The Congress crisis deepened at the same time as it had spurned
Jaganmohan Reddy, who was keen to replace his father as chief minister
after his death.62 Not only was he denied the post but he was arrested by the
Central Bureau of Investigation on charges of embezzlement and jailed for
16 months. K. Rosaiah, with no mass base, was appointed as the new chief
minister and was later replaced by Kiran Kumar Reddy in a bid to retain
him in the party. The refusal to appoint Jaganmohan as chief minister
resulted in a division of the party because Jaganmohan was backed by most
in the Andhra Congress. Thereupon, he left the party and formed the YSR
Congress Party (YSRCP). The crisis was aggravated further on the issue of
Telangana and spiralled out of control after the bifurcation of the state.63
Far from reaching out to disgruntled leaders, important decisions such as
the bifurcation of the state were taken by the central leadership without
fully considering its implications for the future of the party in the state.
Ironically the mishandling of the state’s bifurcation spelt the end of the
Congress in both Andhra Pradesh and Telangana as neither state was
satisfied with the hastily created new state of Telangana. This was the end
of the Congress in Andhra Pradesh, where it had been a formidable force
since Independence, and after 2014 it was unable to regain lost ground in
both states. The Telangana fiasco underscored the pitfalls of the command
and control approach, which proved to be disastrous for the party.
The same was the case in Assam, which the Congress lost again due to
the inability of the central leadership to accommodate the ambitions of state
leaders. As in Andhra Pradesh, the sidelining of a powerful leader like
Himanta Biswa Sarma resulted in his defection to the BJP.64 This provided
the BJP with an opportunity to make inroads not just into Assam but the
entire north-east. In 2015, Sarma left the Congress, where he had played the
role of deputy to former chief minister Tarun Gogoi for nearly 14 years
since 2001. Cracks between the two leaders had, however, begun appearing
soon after the Congress’s victory in the 2011 Assembly elections, which
was largely organized and coordinated by Sarma. He had expected to be
rewarded with the chief-ministerial post for steering the Congress to
victory, but Gogoi was chosen again by the party high command. According
to Sarma, his decision to leave the party was further sparked by Rahul
Gandhi’s cavalier approach to his demands. Shortly after walking out of the
party in 2015, Sarma entrenched himself as the key strategist of the BJP in
the north-east, successfully pushing the Congress out of power in the
region. His electoral expertise led to the BJP forming governments in
Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Nagaland, and Tripura.65 Before
Sarma’s entry into the BJP, the party had very small electoral presence in
the region.66 In 2018, the BJP formed part of the government in six of the
seven north-eastern states. The Congress performed poorly in the
subsequent general elections, winning just 3 out of the 14 seats in the state
in the 2019 general elections. The Congress, which traditionally had strong
state leaders, cannot afford to lose them to other parties. Indeed, even in the
post-2014 period, it remained relevant as a political force on the strength of
its state leaders. The centralization of political authority by an exaggerated
deference to party bosses has robbed the party of leaders in the states who
were denied their due.
The Congress failed to initiate organizational changes, which would
have helped it in elections. The organizational neglect has been blamed on
the leadership’s indecisiveness and inability to do what it takes to
reorganize the party. However, as noted above, party reform was attempted
by Rahul Gandhi, but notwithstanding his primacy in the party, he has been
unsuccessful in democratizing the party. He has faced stiff resistance every
time he has made an attempt to break the grip of the old guard and
patronage networks in the states. This has prevented the party from
evolving as an effective organization in the states. Its inability to motivate
the cadres for the long haul has greatly hampered it as a party that fully
awakens only when elections are upon it. Restructuring and democratizing
the organization is imperative because the party requires leaders backed by
the masses and not office-bearers in Delhi with little connection with
ground realities.
Notes
1. My book Congress after Indira: Policy, Power, Political Change (1984–2009), New Delhi:
Oxford University Press, 2012 provides a detailed account of the party organization and the
pitfalls of dynastic leadership in Chapter 4, some of which is recounted here.
2. On the Congress party, see the official website of the Congress, which includes a brief history
of the party. https://www.google.com/url?
sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjErZbJiKf0Ah
UWxDgGHZtVCtkQFnoECAsQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fwww.inc.in%
=AOvVaw2PMqpViLT3zTMV22EyhH5q. Accessed 20 Nov. 2021.
3. A note circulated in 2015 on party revamp suggested the redraft of socio-economic policies.
It said the party must take up all progressive issues including ‘but not limited to secularism or
welfare for the poor’. ‘We have to redraft our socio-economic policies keeping their
aspirations in view.’ ‘Congress Outlines Blueprint for Party Revamp Post-electoral Debacle’,
The Economic Times, 10 Jan. 2015.
4. Rajni Kothari, ‘The Congress System in India’, Asian Survey, 4, no. 12, Dec. 1964, pp. 1161–
73.
5. Ibid.
6. For a description and discussion of this, see Gopal Krishna, ‘The Development of the Indian
National Congress as a Mass Organization, 1918–1923’, Journal of Asian Studies, 25, no. 3,
May 1966, pp. 413–30.
7. Stanley Kochanek, The Congress Party of India, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1968,
189.
8. Ibid.
9. Zoya Hasan (ed.), Parties and Party Politics in India, New Delhi: Oxford University Press,
2002; Rajni Kothari, Politics in India, New Delhi: Orient Longman, 1970; Kochanek, The
Congress Party of India; Myron Weiner, Party Building in a New Nation: Indian National
Congress, Chicago: Chicago University Press, 1967; Richard Sisson and Ramashray Roy
(eds.), Diversity and Dominance in Indian Politics: Changing Bases of Congress Support,
New Delhi: Sage Publications, 1990.
10. For details on this period of Congress history and the 1969 split, see Ch. 10 in Francine R.
Frankel, India’s Political Economy: 1947–2004, New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2005,
2nd ed.; Robert L. Hardgrave, Jr., ‘The Congress in India—Crisis and Split’, Asian Survey,
10, no. 3, Mar. 1970, pp. 256–62.
11. James Manor, ‘Organizational Renewal’, Seminar, no. 526, 13 Mar. 2009.
12. The Electoral College for the election of the party president comprises 7946 PCC delegates.
13. Interview with Kishore Deo, 8 Jul. 2020. V. Kishore Chandra Deo was a member of the
Congress Party and part of its highest decision-making body, the Congress Working
Committee. He has been a five-time Lok Sabha MP and a one-term Rajya Sabha MP, and
Union Minister of Tribal Affairs and Panchayati Raj in the Manmohan Singh-led UPA - 2
government from 2011 to 2014. He joined the Telugu Desam Party in 2019.
14. Sukumar Murlidharan, ‘A Difficult Legacy’, Frontline, 15, no. 2, 24 Jan.–6 Feb. 1998.
15. On this, see Ch. 1, ‘Ayodhya and the Politics of Religion’, in Hasan, Congress after Indira,
pp. 10–45.
16. Murlidharan, ‘A Difficult Legacy’.
17. Shekhar Gupta, ‘Yes, Chief Minister’, The Indian Express, 3 Sep. 2005.
18. Jyotirmaya Sharma, ‘Spluttering on All Cylinders’, DNA (Mumbai), 18 May 2006.
19. Harish Khare, ‘Sonia Gandhi’s Decade as Congress Mascot’, The Hindu, 12 Mar. 2008.
20. James Manor, ‘Organisational Renewal’, Seminar, no. 526, 13 Mar. 2009.
21. Interview with Mani Shankar Aiyar, New Delhi, 26 Sep. 2010. Mani Shankar Aiyar was a
career diplomat until he joined the Indian National Congress in 1989. He has been a three-
time Lok Sabha MP (1991, 1999, and 2004) and a nominated member of the Rajya Sabha. He
served in multiple positions in the first UPA government as Union Minister of Petroleum and
Natural Gas (2004–6), Panchayati Raj (2004–9), Youth Affairs and Sports (2006–8), and
Development of North Eastern Region (2008–9).
22. Manor, ‘Organisational Renewal’.
23. Ibid.
24. See Chapter 4 for details of Congress organization in Hasan, Congress after Indira.
25. Rajni Kothari, ‘The Idea of Congress’, The Indian Express, 18 Apr. 2009.
26. Ibid.
27. Ibid.
28. For a discussion on the state of party organization during UPA-1, see Ch. 4 in Zoya Hasan,
Congress after Indira.
29. Khare, ‘Sonia Gandhi’s Decade as Congress Mascot’.
30. Tridip Suhrud, ‘Is Congress a Political Party’, The Indian Express, 11 Mar. 2008.
31. This account draws on my book, Hasan, Congress after Indira, Chapter 4.
32. Lakshmi Iyer, ‘Tiring of Sonia Gandhi’, India Today, 6 Mar. 2000.
33. The panel chaired by Veerappa Moily included Rahul Gandhi, Jairam Ramesh, Sachin Pilot,
Digvijay Singh, Jagdish Tytler, Salman Khurshid, and Anand Sharma.
34. D. K. Singh, ‘EC Tight Leash Prompted Cong to Go Cadre Way’, The Indian Express, 4 Jun.
2008.
35. Ibid.
36. Ibid.
37. Mani Shankar Aiyar, ‘It’s Good to Lose’, The Indian Express, 10 Dec. 2013.
38. Interview with a senior journalist, New Delhi, 5 Jul. 2020.
39. Aruna Roy, ‘Sonia Gandhi, a Friend of the Poor’, National Herald, 9 Dec. 2018 .
40. Interview with Arjun Singh, 20 Nov. 2009. Arjun Singh was a veteran Congress leader who
served as chief minister of Madhya Pradesh between 1980 and 1985. He was the HRD
minister in the first UPA government.
41. Bharat Bhushan, ‘Modi Shouldn’t Be Attacked: Why Congress Has Knives Out for Rahul’,
Quint, 10 Jul. 2020, https://www.thequint.com/voices/opinion/pm-narendra-modi-rahul-
gandhi-priyanka-gandhi-congress-old-guard. Accessed 11 Jul. 2020.
42. Editorial, ‘Beyond the Wall: On the Gandhis Looking for Scapegoats’, The Hindu, 15 Jun.
2019.
43. ‘Congress Outlines Blueprint for Party Revamp Post Electoral Debacle’, The Economic
Times, 10 Jan. 2015.
44. Ibid.
45. Kaushik Deka, ‘Can the Congress Heal Itself? Cover Story’, India Today, 19 Jul. 2019.
46. C. G. Manoj, ‘Congress Is Screaming for Change but Is Rahul Gandhi Listening? If Not, Why
Not?’ The Indian Express, 16 Mar. 2017.
47. ‘Election Results 2019: Rahul Gandhi Wins from Wayanad, but Loses from His Traditional
Amethi’, NDTV, 23 May 2019, https://www.ndtv.com/people/lok-sabha-election-results-
2019-rahul-gandhi-wins-from-wayanad-but-loses-from-his-traditional-amethi-2042173.
Accessed 21 Nov. 2021.
48. C. G. Manoj, ‘CWC Strike Rate 4/18, Many Last Fought Elections Decades Ago’, The Indian
Express, 28 May 2019.
49. Interview with Mohan Gopal, 28 Feb. 2020. Mohan Gopal is a lawyer and has been the head
of the National Judicial Academy of the Supreme Court of India (NJA) from 2006 to 2011,
former Vice-Chancellor of National Law School of India, Bangalore, and Director of the
Rajiv Gandhi Institute for Contemporary Studies (RGICS).
50. Interview with Kishore Deo, 8 Jul. 2020.
51. Ibid.
52. Interview with Mohan Gopal, 28 Feb. 2020.
53. Interview with Kishore Deo, 8 Jul. 2020.
54. Interview with Mani Shankar Aiyar, 10 Jul. 2020.
55. Interview with a senior political analyst, 16 Mar. 2020.
56. This was the comment of a political analyst who has worked closely in election strategizing
with the Congress party. Interview, 17 Mar. 2020.
57. Pradyot Manikya Bikram Debbarma, ‘Ambition Isn’t a Bad Word. Lack of Hunger Has
Reduced Congress to Its Present Position’, The Indian Express, 16 Jul. 2020.
58. ‘Rahul Gandhi’s Big Plan to Revamp Cong Faces Resistance from Party Veterans’, Deccan
Chronicle, 8 Mar. 2018.
59. Interview with Kishore Deo, 8 Jul. 2020.
60. Interview with Kumar Ketkar, 12 Mar. 2020. Kumar Ketkar has been a senior journalist who
has served as the editor-in-chief of the Dainik Divya Marathi. He has worked with other print
platforms such as the Loksatta and Maharashtra Times, among others. He is currently a
Rajya Sabha member of the Indian National Congress.
61. Sanjay Jha, The Great Unravelling: India After 2014, New Delhi: Westland Publications,
2020.
62. D. P. Satish, ‘Sonia’s Insult, Reddys’ Revenge, Curse of Andhra: Jagan’s Rise Is Filmier Than
Fiction’, News 18, 24 May 2019, https://www.news18.com/news/politics/sonias-insult-
reddys-revenge-curse-of-andhra-jagans-rise-is-filmier-than-fiction-2158419.html. Accessed
20 Aug. 2020.
63. For details, see Jairam Ramesh, ‘How the Congress Lost Andhra Pradesh’, India Today, 9
Jun. 2016.
64. Sandeep Phukan, ‘Himanta Biswa Sarma, Congress’s Big Loss, Delivers Another State to
BJP’, NDTV Opinion, 15 Mar. 2017, https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/with-manipur-bjps-
north-east-strategist-himanta-biswa-sarma-delivers-again-1669460. Accessed 26 Aug. 2020.
65. Nilima Pathak, ‘I Joined BJP to Take Revenge on Congress’, India Gulf News, 25 Mar. 2018,
https://gulfnews.com/world/asia/india/i-joined-bjp-to-take-revenge-on-congress-1.2193969.
Accessed 21 Nov. 2021.
66. Abantika Ghosh, ‘Assam Congress Leaders Think over What Could Have Been—With
Himanta’, The Indian Express, 21 May 2016.
2
Collapse of the United Progressive Alliance
He also noted:
There were, of course, times when they [Sonia and Rahul] differed from what the government
had done. The government reconsidered those issues, and I don’t think this is wrong, or a
disadvantage, to make corrections if the party leadership feels that such corrections were
required in the national interest.23
Also for Pranab Mukherjee, the second most important person in the
government who had expected to be nominated at least as deputy prime
minister, if not prime minister, ‘the duality of power in the Congress and the
UPA was not a hindrance’.24 He too claimed Sonia Gandhi and Manmohan
Singh ‘had a perfect understanding.’25
Coalition troubles
Apart from the problem of dual centres of power, political problems were
compounded by the dynamics of coalition politics. The Congress lacked the
necessary numbers to effectively set the legislative agenda even within the
coalition. Stitched together in 2004 by Sonia Gandhi to defeat the BJP
government, the coalition began unravelling in the early days of its second
term. Several crises within months of taking over revealed the internal
contradictions of the coalition, which was struggling to guarantee its own
survival. Every now and again allies would threaten to withdraw support
over policy disagreements. The Trinamool Congress (TMC) and Dravida
Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) left the coalition in 2012 and 2013,
respectively, and by 2014 virtually no coalition remained.
Politically and ideologically, the coalition was broadly centrist and Left
of Centre, although ideological unity was not its strong point. Some parties
in the coalition, such as the DMK, had previously been a part of the NDA
coalition when it was in power, indicating that their alliance with the
Congress was based less on common ideology and more on striking a
bargain to remain in power. Pranab Mukherjee shouldered the responsibility
of keeping the alliance partners on board.26 He was so important to the
coalition that at one time he chaired 97 Groups of Ministers (GoMs) to
decide on important policy and governance issues. That’s why Sonia
Gandhi turned down the proposal in 2007 to nominate him for the president
of India ostensibly because she felt he was indispensable to the functioning
of the coalition.27 Although his ambition to become prime minister was
thwarted because she trusted Manmohan Singh more than him, the
influence he wielded both within party and government was huge and much
greater than any position he held. Mukherjee notes in his interview to India
Today that UPA-1 was more cohesive than UPA-2 and was therefore able to
deliver more on the ground.28 Notwithstanding its stronger position, the
Congress was reluctant to take decisions on important issues in its second
term. As he says, ‘Somehow or the other, in UPA-2 we appeared to have
lost steam.’29 The crucial reason was coalition compulsions. To quote him,
‘The coalition compulsion was such that each of the political parties had to support us, and
without support, you couldn’t run the government. If they insisted that such a person had to be
taken as minister, then we had to yield. We tried to counsel them and resolve it. But we never
thought that the fallout would be so bad.’ 30
The UPA, in this turmoil, lost the momentum it had gained after its re-
election with the disarray in the BJP camp, which only further enhanced the
initial gains. This momentum, however, didn’t last long.
Despite these differences, the media and the corporate sector didn’t spare
the NAC because they feared its mere existence would nudge the
government towards social welfare policies. They expected the government
to put these aside and focus in all earnest on economic reforms. They were
therefore keen to stop the NAC in its tracks and were eminently successful
in achieving this.
The editorial went on to note a ‘direct link between the claims of 1.73
lakh crore loss in the 2G scam and the election of Modi’.59
Significantly, there was no effective rebuttal from the Congress and the
matter was only made worse when senior leaders refused to speak to the
media or the public. Both Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi believed that
the best response was to insist that they had played no significant role in the
decisions taken by the respective ministries and officials. In retrospect, it is
obvious that they underestimated the public anger aroused by corruption
which underpinned the growth story of those years. The prime minister’s
unwillingness to speak in defence of his government made the UPA
government appear corrupt. Instead of finding a way of combating the
attack, Manmohan Singh retreated into a shell. The barrage of scams turned
the prime minister’s image of integrity into an object of mockery. Some of
this was self-inflicted and some of this was the creation of the CAG. In any
case it allowed the BJP to make him the target of attack. This inflicted
incalculable damage to his government and party.60
The government was attacked relentlessly on numerous issues, but what
mattered most were the accusations of crony capitalism. The central story
was the huge favours conferred to big business by politicians. Most of the
problems arose from the politics–business nexus and the scams it
engendered.61 Business tycoons were particularly cut up when the law
began catching up with them. This nexus came under great strain after the
Vodafone controversy and a series of high-profile tax disputes, including
shutting the door on the contentious and damaging issue of retrospective
taxation. British telecom giant Vodafone’s acquisition of Hutch Essar in
2007 ducked Indian taxation laws.62 The Income Tax Act was amended in
2012 with retrospective effect making offshore deals in India taxable. This
amendment was intended to bypass a Supreme Court verdict that ruled that
Vodafone’s transaction was not taxable in India. This annoyed Vodafone
and business groups in general and gave rise to an impression that even
with Manmohan Singh at the helm the UPA government was not business
friendly. The capitalist class was in any case uncomfortable with the UPA
because ‘they never trusted the Congress’.63 The Vodafone case sealed that
belief.
The slowing down of economic reforms had also upset the corporate
sector because they had believed that with the Left parties out of the way
the Congress–UPA would speed ahead with economic reforms.64 This did
not, however, happen on expected lines. The Right to Fair Compensation
and Transparency in Land Acquisition, Rehabilitation and Resettlement Act
2013 (also known as Land Acquisition Act, 2013) was widely blamed for
stalled projects and policy paralysis. An RTI inquiry, however, revealed that
the UPA’s Land Acquisition Act was not the principal reason why projects
were being stalled.65 Only 34 projects were stuck for lack of environmental
clearances.66 After the anti-corruption campaign, ministers and bureaucrats
were reluctant to take decisions lest they be caught in some form of media
expose or face police investigations or jail.67
Countering charges of policy paralysis, the Congress–UPA government
announced policy changes and reform initiatives to introduce foreign direct
investment (FDI) in multi-brand retail in November 2011. The proposal met
with protests in parliament, leading the government to backtrack. Even a
year later, there was no consensus in the cabinet on FDI and yet a decision
was taken to go ahead. In October 2012, the cabinet cleared FDI in multi-
brand retail and the limit on foreign investment in the insurance sector was
raised from 26 to 49 per cent. The cabinet’s nod was designed to spur
sentiments and rally the stock market. This agenda did not, however, really
take off. Trying to please both sides, which didn’t quite work, the
Congress’s dilemma was apparent in December 2013 when Rahul Gandhi
sought to placate big businesses and dispel the swelling criticism of
industrialists by highlighting the strong connection between the Congress
and Indian industry. He told the gathering at the Federation of Indian
Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) that members of industry are
‘stakeholders of the Congress Party’ and that he had removed an obstacle to
growth by changing the minister (Jayanthi Natarajan) who had in the
perception of businessmen delayed environmental clearances.68 However, a
year later he said: ‘Let me make it very clear … I don’t do politics for
industrialists. I do politics for the poor and will continue to fight for their
rights.’69
But even in UPA-1 there were numerous signs that the pro-business
elements in the Congress (and its allies) were engaged in activities
calculated to make the government extremely unpopular. The Special
Economic Zones (SEZs) Act in particular, which was introduced with
almost no debate and implemented with great opacity, led to ceaseless
charges of corruption, incompetence, and favouritism, among other ills.70
The business elite lost confidence in the UPA–Congress as 2014 drew near,
and some of this had to do with the Congress trying to recover its image as
a friend of farmers and the rural poor (which had been seriously dented by
land seizures for SEZs and other projects, as well as the usual
pricing/subsidy and other complaints) by enacting the Right to Fair
Compensation and Transparency in Land Acquisition Act, etc. Some of the
distributive zeal was therefore still alive, but in a weakened form and in
forms that alienated other constituencies. Indian business was not thrilled
with the persistence of this agenda.
Notes
1. For details on this aspect, see Zoya Hasan, Congress After Indira: Policy, Power, Political
Change (1984–2009), New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2012, see Chapter 4, pp. 97–122.
2. The varied criticisms of the UPA are discussed in Maitreesh Ghatak,Parikshit Ghosh, and
Ashok Kotwal, ‘Growth in the Time of UPA: Myths and Reality’, Economic and Political
Weekly, 49, no. 16, 19 Apr. 2014.
3. Ibid.
4. Ibid.
5. Sumit Ganguly, ‘The UPA 2: Looking Back, Looking Forward’, Heinrich Boell Foundation,
29 Jan. 2014, https://in.boell.org/en/2014/01/29/UPA 2-looking-back-looking-forward.
Accessed 7 Mar. 2020.
6. Yamini Aiyar and Michael Walton, ‘Rights, Accountability and Citizenship: Examining
India’s Emerging Welfare State’, Oct. 2014, Accountability Initiative, Engaging
Accountability: Working Paper Series. https://www.cprindia.org/research/papers/rights-
accountability-and-citizenship-examining-indias-emerging-welfare-state. Accessed 9 Nov.
2019.
7. Congress-Left differences on the Indo-US nuclear deal discussed in Hasan, Congress After
Indira. See Chapter 8.
8. For a discussion of this, see Hasan, Chapters 5 and 6 in Congress After Indira.
9. Interview with Kumar Ketkar, 12 Mar. 2020.
10. Interview with Mohan Gopal, 28 Feb. 2020.
11. For an assessment of Manmohan Singh, see Peter Ronald deSouza, ‘Five-Point Nobody?’,
Outlook, 19 May 2014; Harish Khare, ‘The Man Who Wasn’t There?’, Outlook, 19 May
2014; Vinod K. Jose, ‘Falling Man: Manmohan Singh at the Centre of the Storm’, The
Caravan, Oct. 2011, https://caravanmagazine.in/reportage/falling-man/4. Accessed 26 Jul.
2020.
12. See Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Backstage: The Story Behind India’s Growth Years, New Delhi:
Rupa Publications, 2020, pp. 233–34.
13. Sanjaya Baru, The Accidental Prime Minister: The Making and Unmaking of Manmohan
Singh, New Delhi: Penguin Books, 2014.
14. R. Jagannathan, ‘PM’s Surrender to Sonia: Baru Proves What We Already Knew’, Firstpost,
14 Apr. 2014, https://www.firstpost.com/politics/pms-surrender-to-sonia-baru-proves-what-
we-already-knew-1477069.html. Accessed 18 Nov. 2021.
15. Manini Chatterjee, ‘Manmohan Sting: Baton in the Air, PM Batters Modi’, The Telegraph, 4
Jan. 2014.
16. Mark Tully, Personal communication, 30 Oct. 2019. Mark Tully was the Chief of Bureau for
the BBC in New Delhi for over two decades. He is an acclaimed author who has written
extensively on India.
17. ‘Rahul Gandhi Trashes Ordinance, Shames Government’, The Times of India, 28 Sep. 2013.
18. Ibid.
19. Ahluwalia, Backstage, pp. 342–4.
20. ‘Transcript of the Q&A Portion of the Prime Minister’s Press Conference on January 4,
2014’, The Hindu, 4 Jan. 2014.
21. ‘BJP’s Politics Is One of Hubris and Anger’, Rahul Gandhi Interview to Varghese George,
The Hindu, 24 Apr. 2014.
22. ‘Dual Centres of Power Worked Well: PM’, Business Standard, 3 Jan. 2014.
23. Ibid.
24. Pranab Mukherjee Interview to Raj Chengappa, India Today, 23 Oct. 2017, p. 36.
25. Ibid.
26. Raj Chengappa, ‘The Insiders Story’, India Today, 23 Oct. 2017.
27. Ibid.
28. Ibid.
29. Ibid.
30. Ibid.
31. Ibid.
32. Harish Khare, ‘An Opportunity, Not a Crisis’, The Hindu, 20 Sep. 2012.
33. Editorial, ‘Congress Today’, Economic and Political Weekly, 45, no. 40, 2 Oct. 2010.
34. Swaraj Thapa, ‘Now or Never, Says Sonia; and Party Falls in Line’, The Indian Express, 10
Mar. 2010.
35. Zoya Hasan, Agitation to Legislation: Negotiating Equity and Justice in India, New Delhi:
Oxford University Press, 2018, p. 138.
36. Neena Vyas, ‘Government Develops Cold Feet’, The Hindu, 9 Mar. 2010.
37. Akshat Kaushal, ‘Power Centre or Toothless Body?’, Business Standard, 20 Jan. 2013.
38. T. J. Rajalakshmi, ‘Wages of Tokenism’, Frontline, 11 Feb. 2011.
39. Kaushal, ‘Power Centre or Toothless Body?’.
40. Ibid. Jean Dreze cited in Akshat Kaushal.
41. Sanjay Ruparelia, ‘Modi’s Saffron Democracy’, Dissent Magazine, Spring 2019.
42. Mihir Sharma, ‘Farewell, a Golden Age’, Business Standard, 11 May 2014.
43. Harish Khare, ‘2014: The Great Middle Bulge Is Back to Business’, Hardnews, 5 Dec. 2013,
p.17.
44. Editorial, ‘Monstrous Indian Income Inequality’, Economic and Political Weekly, 52, no. 40,
7 Oct. 2017.
45. Lucas Chancel and Thomas Piketty, ‘Indian Income Inequality, 1922–2015: From British Raj
to Billionaire Raj?’, WID. World Working Paper Series N° 2017/11, World Inequality
Database, World Inequality Lab, 2017. wid.
world/dev/document/chancelpiketty2017widworld Accessed 17 Nov. 2021.
46. Ibid.
47. The numbers and wealth of billionaires have risen dramatically for a relatively poor country,
with many feeling marginalized from the growth that has occurred. SeeAditi Gandhi and
Michael Walton, ‘Where Do India’s Billionaires Get Their Wealth’, Economic and Political
Weekly, 47, no. 40, 6 Oct. 2012.
48. Interviews conducted for Congress After Indira and Agitation to Legislation highlight the
problems facing Congress in undertaking these legislations.
49. Editorial, ‘Food for Politics’, The Hindu, 6 Jul. 2013.
50. Venkitesh Ramakrishnan, ‘Drowning in Scams’, Frontline, 31 May 2013.
51. Mritunjoy Mohanty, ‘The Growth Model Has Come Undone’, The Hindu, 11 Jul. 2012.
52. Ibid.
53. Maitreesh Ghatak et al., quoted in Mayank Mishra, ‘UPA’s Decade Wasn’t All That Dark’,
Business Standard, 15 Apr. 2014.
54. Credit Suisse India put out the names of the top ten business groups which owed about Rs 7.5
lakh crore to the banks. Piyush Pandey, ‘The Biggest Ever Fire Sale of Indian Corporate
Assets Has Begun to Tide over Bad Loans Crisis’, The Hindu, 8 May 2016.
55. Gaurav Vivek Bhatnagar, ‘Ex-CAG Vinod Rai’s Appointment as Bank Board Head Raises
Debate on Propriety’, Wire.in, 29 Feb. 2016, https://thewire.in/banking/ex-cag-vinod-rais-
appointment-as-bank-board-head-raises-debate-on-propriety.
56. Nistula Hebbar and Sandeep Phukan, ‘We lost the perception battle in 2014: Salman
Khurshid’, The Hindu, 30 May 2018.
57. Sanjay Datta, ‘CAG: Govt Lost Rs 10.7 Lakh Crore by Not Auctioning Coal Blocks’, The
Times of India, 23 Mar. 2012.
58. Editorial, Economic and Political Weekly, L2, no. 57, 30 Dec. 2017. p. 7.
59. Ibid.
60. ‘Credibility Crisis’, Frontline, 13–26 Aug. 2011.
61. M. K. Venu, ‘Saving Crony Capitalists from Raghuram Rajan’, Wire.in, 20 Jun. 2016.
https://thewire.in/politics/saving-crony-capitalists-from-raghuram-rajan. Accessed 23 Jan.
2018.
62. India’s tax dispute with Vodafone Plc revolves around its purchase of Hutch Essar in 2007 for
$11 billion. ‘Warned UPA of Retrospective Tax Law Change against Vodafone: Montek
Singh Ahluwalia’, Livemint, 13 Feb. 2020, https://www.livemint.com/politics/policy/warned-
upa-of-retrospective-tax-law-change-against-vodafone-montek-singh-ahluwalia-
11581594666167.html. Accessed 20 Mar. 2020.
63. Interview with Kumar Ketkar, 12 Mar. 2020.
64. Banker Deepak Parekh,Wipro’s Azim Premji,Mahindra & Mahindra’s Keshub Mahindra, and
Thermax’s Anu Aga wrote a letter to the prime minister on the government’s lack of policy
reforms and that large projects were stuck. Sunil Jain, ‘UPA versus India Inc’, The Financial
Express, 31 Dec. 2011.
65. The Land Acquisition, Resettlement and Rehabilitation (LARR) Bill, which was supposed to
replace the archaic Land Acquisition Act, 1894, states that ‘a humane, informed, consultative
and transparent process for land acquisition for industrialization, development of essential
infrastructural facilities and urbanization with the least disturbance to the owners of the land
and other affected families and provide just and fair compensation to the affected families
whose lands have been acquired,’ T. J. Rajalakshmi, ‘A Law and Its Losers’, Frontline, 29,
no. 26, 29 Dec.–11 Jan. 2013.
66. Of the total projects that were on a standstill, land acquisition problems affected only 8 per
cent. Of the 804 projects stalled, 97 were in that situation due to unfavourable market
conditions, 95 because they had not received clearances (unrelated to environmental issues),
94 due to lack of promoter interest, and 84 for lack of funds and 34 due to environmental
clearances. For details, see ‘What Policy Paralysis? Projects Got Stuck during UPA due to
Poor Market, Not Land Bill’, Firstpost, 28 Apr. 2015,
https://www.firstpost.com/business/policy-paralysis-projects-got-stuck-upa-due-poor-market-
not-land-bill-
2217104.html#:~:text=The%20party%20attacked%20the%20Congress,Modi%20becomes%2
0the%20prime%20minister. Accessed 20 Nov. 2021.
67. James Manor discussed policy paralysis under UPA in an interview with Prashant K. Jha,
‘Rahul Gandhi Erratic and Intermittent; Congress Organisation Chaotic: Manor’, The
Hindustan Times, 24 Feb. 2015.
68. ‘Rahul Gandhi Pushes for Middle Path in Development’, Sakal Times, 21 Dec. 2014.
69. Jatin Anand, ‘Rahul Gandhi Breaks Silence on Jayanthi’s Charges’, The Hindu, 5 Feb. 2015.
70. On this see Rob Jenkins,Loraine Kennedy, and Partha Mukhopadhyay, Special Economic
Zones in India: Interrogating the Nexus of Land, Development and Urbanization, Sage
Publications, New Delhi, 2015.
71. Maya Chadda, ‘India in 2011: The State Encounters the People’, Asian Survey, 52, no. 1
Jan./Feb. 2012, pp. 114–29.
72. For details on the anti-corruption campaign and the Lokpal issue, see Hasan, Agitation to
Legislation. See Chapter 2, pp. 74–122.
73. Arvind Rajagopal, ‘Am I Still Anna When Nobody Is Watching’, The Hindu, 7 Sep. 2011.
74. See Partha Chatterjee, ‘Against Corruption = Against Politics’, Kafila, 28 Aug. 2011,
https://kafila.online/2011/08/28/against-corruption-against-politics-partha-chatterjee/.
Accessed 20 Nov. 2021; Arjun Appadurai, ‘Our Corruption, Our Selves’, Kafila, 30 Aug.
2011, https://kafila.online/2011/08/30/our-corruption-our-selves-arjun-appadurai. Accessed
20 Nov. 2021.
75. The government nominees included Union Ministers Pranab Mukherjee (chairman), P.
Chidambaram, Kapil Sibal, M. Veerappa Moily (convener), and Salman Khurshid. Apart
from Anna Hazare himself, his nominees included former Law Minister Shanti Bhushan (co-
chairman), lawyer and civil rights activist Prashant Bhushan, Karnataka Lokayukta Justice
Santosh Hegde, right to information campaigner Arvind Kejriwal, V. Venkatesan, and
Purnima S. Tripathi. ‘Hazare Effect’, Frontline, 6 May 2011.
76. C. G.Manoj, ‘Meeting Baba Ramdev: I Should Not Have Done It, Admits Pranab
Mukherjee’, The Indian Express, 25 Oct. 2017.
77. For details of his arrest, Rahul Tripathi, ‘The Story Behind Anna Arrest’, The Indian Express,
24 Aug. 2011.
78. Interview with Kumar Ketkar, 12 Mar. 2020.
79. Purnima S. Tripathi, ‘Coming Adrift’, Frontline, 28, no. 22, 22 Oct.–22 Nov. 2011.
80. The Lokpal Act (2013) provided for setting up a Lokpal at the Centre and Lokayukta at the
level of the states. It stated that the body would comprise: (a) a chairperson, who is or has
been a Chief Justice of India (CJI) or is or has been a judge of the Supreme Court or an
eminent person who fulfils the eligibility specified; and (b) members, not exceeding eight,
out of whom 50 per cent were to be judicial members. The selection of the chairperson and
the members of Lokpal shall be through a selection committee comprising the prime minister,
speaker of Lok Sabha, leader of the opposition in the Lok Sabha, the CJI or a sitting Supreme
Court judge nominated by the CJI, and an eminent jurist to be nominated by the president of
India on the basis of recommendations of the first four members of the selection committee.
81. A seminar on black money organized in April 2011 by the Vivekananda India Foundation
(think tank affiliated to the RSS) set the ball rolling. Ajit Doval, National Security Advisor to
the NDA government and the RSS, played a key role in the anti-corruption campaign and in
the turn of events leading to the fall of the Congress. See Praveen Donthi, ‘How Ties with the
Think Tanks Vivekananda International Foundation and India Foundation Enhance Ajit
Doval’s Influence’, The Caravan, 5 Nov. 2017,
https://caravanmagazine.in/vantage/vivekananda-international-india-foundation-ajit-doval-
influence. Accessed 15 Feb. 2021.
82. ‘Prashant Bhushan Says India Against Corruption Movement “Propped up by BJP-RSS” ’,
Scroll.in, 15 Sep. 2020, https://www.thehindu.com/society/the-independence-of-the-
judiciary-has-collapsed-prashant-bhushan/article33193377.ece. Accessed 14 Feb. 2021.
83. Amrita Johri,Anjali Bhardwaj, and Shekhar Singh, ‘Lokpal Act 2014’, Economic and
Political Weekly, XLIX, no. 5, 1 Feb. 2014.
84. For details, see Hasan, Agitation to Legislation, pp. 112–4.
85. Sandeep Phukan, ‘Jyotiraditya Scindia and Sachin Pilot Were the “princelings” of Congress,
says Manish Tiwari’, The Hindu, 3 Aug. 2020.
86. Mani Shankar Aiyar, ‘The Four Year Toll’, The Indian Express, 6 Jun. 2018.
87. Sanjay Jha, The Great Unravelling: India After 2014, New Delhi: Westland Publications,
2020. p. 198.
88. Anita Katyal, ‘ “Disrupting Parliament Is Important”: BJP’s Words from Opposition Days
Come Back to Haunt It’, Scroll.in, 24 Dec. 2014, https://scroll.in/article/696910/disrupting-
parliament-is-important-bjps-words-from-opposition-days-come-back-to-haunt-it. Accessed
2 Apr. 2021.
89. Interview with Anand Sahay (Asian Age), New Delhi, 29 June 2020. Sahay is a senior
journalist, columnist, and editor based out of New Delhi. He writes regularly for different
print and digital media platforms.
90. See Pradeep Chhibber and Rahul Verma, Ideology and Identity: The Changing Party Systems
of India, New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2018, pp. 101–6.
3
The Gujarat Model and the Turn to the Right
Leadership Contest
Congress completely lost out in this election because it had no clear
strategy and no clear leader to head the campaign. Modi stressed his strong
leadership credentials in contrast to the feckless and weak Manmohan
Singh.54 His campaign based itself on his Vikas Purush image, which would
get the government moving and unshackle the paralysis of the UPA years.
This appealed to many people who felt that the UPA government had
stagnated since 2010 when the 2G scam burst onto the national scene,
followed, among other things, by an unbridled anti-corruption campaign. It
is well known that right-wing populists do not just feed on socio-economic
discontent but on a perception of ineffective governance, their great appeal
being a claim that they will replace it with a government that is effective
through its autocratic power. That was exactly the situation here.
Rahul Gandhi was reluctant to assume a leadership position, let alone
identify himself as a prime ministerial candidate for his party. In 2009, the
Congress had sought votes in the name of Manmohan Singh. In 2014,
Rahul Gandhi’s name was on the hoardings that dotted the landscape but
the party fought shy of calling him the prime ministerial candidate. There
were doubts about his ability and willingness to provide hands-on
leadership to the party. He was ‘the leader who won’t lead’, as one TV
anchor put it, in sharp contrast to Modi, who was over-eager to lead and
dominate.55 As The Hindu editorial put it after the Congress scored a zero
in the 2015 Delhi Legislative Assembly elections, ‘He does not have what it
takes: he has neither demonstrated the ability to sustain an idea or the hard
work demanded of a full-time politician in a leadership role.’56 He was
reluctant to take up even a ministerial position, which was a mistake. He
denied himself vital experience, which would have helped him to compete
with more experienced leaders. He made the mistake of believing that
‘political mobilization and outreach can happen independently of your
record in government’.57 The lack of any prior government role was held
against him. It was a great disadvantage in a contest with Modi, who was
seen as an experienced, decisive, and hardworking leader. He was chief
minister of Gujarat for 12 years, general secretary of the BJP for many
years, and an active member of the RSS from a very young age. He had
loads of administrative experience to back his political claims.
The BJP’s entire messaging was organized around the idea of a strong
leader who would cut through the labyrinthine system and bring change.
The Modi-centric character of the BJP’s campaign found expression in a
full-page newspaper ad showing Modi telling Indian citizens: Your vote for
the BJP candidate is a vote for me. The personalization of the act of voting
in 2014 enhanced an already existing tendency to presidentialise a
parliamentary system where members of parliament have begun to matter
less and less, noted Jaffrelot58 parliamentary elections.
Modi is a consummate demagogue. His political rhetoric laced with
scorn and mockery is difficult to match for anyone and Rahul Gandhi is
certainly no match for it. The latter’s communication and speech-making
skills fall short, and yet, facing an extremely negative campaign, Rahul
Gandhi still took on Modi in the 2014 and 2019 elections. The entire BJP
machinery attempted to challenge him, ridiculing and undercutting him,
launched daily attacks on his leadership style, and questioned his
capabilities and even his nationality. For close to a decade he has been at
the Centre of a concerted propaganda barrage that distorts everything he
says or does. Since a disastrous interview given to Arnab Goswami of the
Times Now TV channel in 2014, Rahul Gandhi has been the target of trolls
on social media and of television anchors that spare no effort in destroying
his political brand.59 He speaks up for the marginalized and the poor and
those left out of India’s economic growth trajectory. He has also reminded
people that they need not hate or base their identity on the exclusion of
other communities. Far from appreciating his concern for the marginalized,
Rahul Gandhi was scoffed at and lampooned by the BJP–RSS machinery
and the media during the election. In that sense, he was not only pitched
against a political party but a much mightier political force forged by the
collaboration of the corporate sector, the media, and the BJP–RSS.
Modi has upended the political order by projecting his plebian
beginnings to crafting a compelling story of an outsider taking on the
political establishment comprising elites. His social background was a
perfect antidote to Rahul Gandhi’s elite background. Modi was presented as
a chaiwala, although his closest allies were big businessmen who powered
his campaign and enlisted their media outlets, especially electronic media,
to promote him. As noted above, the corporate sector was the first to
support his ascent to respectability and power. The personal success story of
Modi was an unquestionably more compelling narrative than that of Rahul
Gandhi, who has apparently had success hand-delivered to him.
Rahul Gandhi too attacked the Indian power structure and positioned
himself against Modi’s plebeian imaging of himself. In his speech after he
was appointed vice-president of the Congress in 2013 in Jaipur, he said:
It does not matter how much wisdom you have, if you have no position, you mean nothing.
This is the tragedy of India. Why is our youth angry? Why are they out on the streets? They are
angry because they are alienated. They watch from the sidelines as the powerful drive around in
their lalbattis (red beacon cars). All our public systems — administration, justice, education,
politics — are designed to keep people with knowledge out. They are all closed systems. They
are designed to promote mediocrity and mediocrity dominates discussions while the voice of
insight and thought are crushed.60
This, however, gained little traction. When Modi said something similar on
the campaign trail, it had many takers because of his own social background
and because his attack was personalized and directed against the Gandhis,
whereas Rahul Gandhi was general and non-figurative.
Modi termed all the attacks against the BJP as attacks directed at him
personally. In this way he blunted the Congress attack while at the same
time continually aiming personal and dynastic barbs at Rahul Gandhi even
though there are several dynasts in the BJP. Modi was aware that in
damaging the Gandhi name he was damaging the Congress because the
party’s history is so closely intertwined with theirs. He projected the
Gandhis as elitist, corrupt, and immoral and took them to task for
everything that had gone wrong in India. Rahul Gandhi was dismissed as a
symbol of the entitled elite and a child of privilege, who was seen as living
off his famous lineage and illustrious pedigree. Congress was described as a
party that did not work for the people but for its first family. He repeatedly
said that it is only the Nehru–Gandhi family that matters whether they are in
power or in the opposition. Responding to the dynasty charge, Rahul
Gandhi said in an interview in 2019:
Members of my family have been in politics, but their experience is not my experience. My
experience has been of tremendous battles and violence. I’ve seen my father and grandmother
getting killed, I have seen elections being won and lost. How can you encapsulate my entire
experience in one word? Understand me and judge me for what I am and what I do.61
Sonia Gandhi wasn’t spared either even though she had refused the post
of prime minister, fearing her foreign origin would generate a backlash but
remained the Congress president and chairperson of the UPA. This roiled
Hindu supremacists who were livid with the idea that a woman of foreign
origin should be directing the course of government. This situation was
somewhat similar to that in the United States, where the election of a black
president inflamed white supremacists who voted in droves for Donald
Trump in the American presidential elections in 2016. The Congress party
wholly underestimated the propaganda against its leadership, and Sonia
Gandhi in particular. Apart from her foreign origins, she was targeted for
being responsible for minority appeasement and the appointment of
members from the minority community to important government positions
while at the same constructing a counter-narrative of Hindu victimhood on
the basis of imaginary grievances.
Lacklustre campaign
The Congress party went into the elections giving the impression that defeat
was a foregone conclusion, almost as if they had surrendered the field even
before the battle had begun. There was a perception that it lacked the will to
fight and had lost the desire to counter corruption charges and, above all,
the will to defend its record, seriously hurting the party. Public
dissatisfaction with the UPA government was extremely high and the
Congress was blamed for it. The party ran a lacklustre, diffused campaign
which proved no match for the BJP’s tightly controlled nationwide one
against Congress misrule and ineptitude and the alternative it offered as an
agent of change. The Congress campaign was directionless and disjointed,
forever playing catch-up rather than defining the political narrative. The
BJP ran a meticulously structured campaign where every location was
intricately mapped and every intervention multiplied through an elaborate
outreach programme. By contrast, as Pratap Bhanu Mehta argued later in
the context of Congress defeats in a string of assembly elections after 2014,
‘The Congress is being defeated by defeatism.’62
The Congress undersold its achievements and gains even when faced
with the opprobrium being heaped upon it. Despite economic slowdown
and inflation, there has been an enormous expansion of well-being over the
last decade. People were far better off than they had been at the turn of the
millennium. According to Planning Commission estimates, about 140
million people were lifted out of poverty from 2004 to 2012, with the
poverty ratio declining by at least 15 percentage points. The gap between
the rich and poor had shrunk appreciably, with 40 per cent of the population
experiencing upward mobility, and some 15 per cent of the total population,
or 40 per cent of the poor, moved above the poverty line. Arvind
Subramaniam, the chief economic advisor to the NDA government, said
that the rate of poverty reduction achieved during the five-year period from
2005–6 to 2011–12 was the fastest in India’s recorded history.63 Some
redistribution of wealth to the poor had indeed occurred under the UPA and
growth had been fairly inclusive as the Congress had intended. It was
astonishing that these important achievements were not widely broadcast
and discussed. This was hardly ever mentioned by the prime minister or
even the party president even when the party was under ceaseless attack and
therefore failed to become a part of public discourse.
Montek Singh Ahluwalia, former Deputy Chairman of the Planning
Commission, defends the prime minister’s reluctance to do so, arguing that
‘Manmohan Singh never bragged about his achievements. He genuinely
believed it was best to let the results speak for themselves.’64 He, however,
acknowledges that as neither he nor his party projected these achievements;
‘they never formed part of the political discourse’ even though it was
‘important to establish that the UPA strategy was working in a way that
earlier strategies had not’.65 This lack of confidence cost the party dearly in
terms of a lack of recognition of its greatest achievement, reduction of
poverty, and its success in establishing social peace. Once matters are taken
for granted, they are soon forgotten.
It was not poverty reduction alone that was absent in the campaign. The
Congress took no credit for an array of progressive social legislations
enacted during its two tenures, many of which were extremely significant
and had yielded very positive results. No one took political ownership of or
projected these policies and the accumulated silences greatly damaged the
Congress. ‘But nobody in the government defended it, and nobody out of
the government admired it,’ summed up a columnist.66 Parties are not re-
elected for things voters are unaware you have done nor for legislation
whose effect the voters cannot yet feel. Meanwhile, the BJP mobilized the
classes and groups annoyed with the Congress, whereas those who had
benefited during their tenure were not activated to protect their gains by the
Congress. While Modi, to quote an article in the Wall Street Journal,
‘tapped into the frustrations of a generation of Indians who climbed out of
poverty in the past decade, but who have been prevented from joining the
middle classes by slowing growth and a lack of employment’.67 The
problem was that the Congress focussed too much on policies and not
sufficiently on politics, and, going into election, it needed to do both. It
wasn’t able to use radical ideas and policies to change the national
discourse and was handicapped by the lack of political leadership and
organization which could send party loyalists to villages to ensure that
programmes were effectively implemented and to ensure that the party
received credit for them. Needless to say, the only issue people were talking
about was corruption rather than the positives of ten years of UPA rule.
Right side up
The Congress suffered an ‘electoral disaster rather than a defeat’ in 2014,
observed Suhas Palshikar.68‘The politics of dynasty, entitlement and
inheritance has been rejected in favour of the politics of initiative and
accomplishment based on hard work,’ claimed a BJP minister.69 This defeat
brought the party down to 44 seats in the Lok Sabha. In state after state it
was unable to halt the BJP’s electoral juggernaut.70 This was the worst
defeat suffered by the Congress in its history, and much worse than those of
1977, 1989, and 1999, failing to open its account in 13 states. Following
this, the party headed into a protracted downward spiral, losing power in
several states. A swathe of saffron swept across from Gujarat and
Maharashtra in the west to the Hindi-speaking heartland to Jharkhand,
Assam, and the northeast. State-level data shows that the BJP’s gains had
largely come at the expense of the Congress. It drew a near blank in most
key states across the Hindi heartland and did not win a single seat in Delhi,
Gujarat, Goa, Himachal Pradesh, Odisha, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, Tamil
Nadu, and Uttarakhand. It made no dent in the crucial states of Uttar
Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal, which, together, account for nearly
160 Lok Sabha seats. The state of Andhra Pradesh did not elect a single
Congress MP or MLA, a terrible blow for a party which in May 2009 had
won 156 of the 294 Assembly seats and 33 of the 42 Lok Sabha seats in the
combined state, and these had served as the party’s principal contingent in
the UPA. It made no headway in the newly created state of Telangana
despite its decision to create it. The Congress, on the other hand, retained
significant support in Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh,
Chhattisgarh, Kerala, and Karnataka.
The most striking feature of this election was the BJP’s successful
consolidation of the Hindu vote, religion serving as the deciding factor in
vote preference, most notably in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Rajasthan, and
Gujarat, key states for the BJP.71 During the long campaign in Uttar
Pradesh, the BJP actively courted the Hindu vote, systematically stoking
Hindu sentiments and anxieties there.
Notes
1. There is a considerable body of work on the 2014 elections. See, for example, Irfan Ahmad
and Pralay Kanungo (eds.), The Algebra of Welfare-Warfare: A Long View of India’s 2014
Elections, New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2019; Mujibur Rehman (ed.), The Rise of
Saffron Power: Reflections on Indian Politics, New Delhi: Routledge India, 2018, especially
Introduction, pp. 1–43; Suhas Palshikar, Party Competition in Indian States: Electoral
Politics in Post-Congress Polity, New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2014; Achin Vanaik,
‘India’s Landmark Election’, Socialist Register, 51, 2014; Rahul Verma and Sanjay Kumar,
‘The Implications of the 2014 Elections: Is BJP the New Congress?’, in Ashutosh Kumar and
Yatindra Singh Sisodia (eds.), How India Votes: A State-by-State Look, New Delhi: Orient
Black Swan, 2019; Rekha Saxena, ‘The Indian National Congress: Coping with Challenges
of Deepening Democracy, Federalism and Neoliberal Capitalism’, in How India Votes: A
State-by-State Look, New Delhi: Orient Black Swan, 2019; Shreyas Sardesai and Pranav
Gupta, ‘The Religious Faultline in the 2014 Election’, in How India Votes: A State-by-State
Look, New Delhi: Orient Black Swan, 2019. There are also interesting journalistic accounts:
Harish Khare, How Modi Won It: Notes from the 2014 Election, New Delhi: Hachette India,
2014; Rajdeep Sardesai, The Election That Changed India, New Delhi: Penguin India, 2014;
Prashant Jha, How the BJP Wins: Inside India’s Greatest Election Machine, New Delhi:
Juggernaut, 2017.
2. Analysis by the Association for Democratic Reforms (ADR) and National Election Watch
(NEW) found that BJP cornered about 69 per cent of total donations made to parties in 2013–
14. The party gained the most even though it was not in power at the Centre. Kumar Vikram,
‘BJP Coffers Bulged with Corporate Cash in Financial Year 14’, Mail Today, 25 Feb. 2015.
3. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘Modi-Centric BJP 2014 Election Campaign: New Techniques, and Old
Tactics’, Contemporary South Asia, 23, no 2, 2015, pp. 151–66.
4. Mohan Guruswamy, ‘Myth of the Gujarat Model Miracle’, Observer Research Foundation,
13 Feb. 2013, https://www.orfonline.org/research/myth-of-the-gujarat-model-miracle/.
Accessed 16 Jun. 2016.
5. A. K. Bhattacharya, ‘Singur to Sanand’, Business Standard, 20 Jan. 2013.
6. ‘It’s Stupid If You Are Not in Gujarat: Ratan Tata’, Business Standard, 5 Feb. 2013.
7. This single-window, all powerful Chief Minister’s Office (CMO) meant that even anti-
corruption watchdogs were made subservient to the political executive. The conflict between
the chief minister and the Gujarat governor over the appointment of a state Lokayukta is a
classic example of how the Modi government in Gandhinagar was unwilling to cede space to
even a constitutional authority when it came to major appointments.
8. On investment promises, see Hemant Kumar Shah, ‘Why PM Modi No Longer Speaks of
“Gujarat Model”: Jobless in Gujarat Expose His Exaggerated Claims’, National Herald, 19
Apr. 2019.
9. Atul Sood, ‘Development Outcomes and Politics in Gujarat’, Kafila, 7 Dec. 2017,
https://kafila.online/2017/12/07/development-outcomes-and-politics-in-gujarat-atul-sood/.
Accessed 13 Jun. 2020.
10. Jean Dreze, ‘Gujarat Muddle’, The Hindu, 26 May 2014.
11. Rohini Hensman, ‘The Gujarat Model of Development: What Would It Do to the Indian
Economy?’, Economic and Political Weekly, 49, no. 11, 15 Mar. 2014.
12. See, for example, Jayati Ghosh, ‘Gujarat Model’s Failure Explains Why the Economy Is
Significant Factor in the Coming Elections’, Wire.in, 27 Nov. 2017,
https://thewire.in/economy/gujarat-models-failure-explains-economy-significant-factor-
coming-elections. Accessed 29 Nov. 2017; Prabhat Patnaik, ‘Gujarat Economic Trajectory’,
People’s Democracy, 29 Dec. 2013. Accessed 30 Nov. 2017; Paronjoy Guha-Thakurta,
‘Gujarat Model of Development: More Hype Than Substance’, Rediff.com, 2 Apr. 2015,
https://www.rediff.com/business/column/gujarat-model-of-development-more-hype-than-
substance/20150402.htm. Accessed 12 Jun. 2016; Maitreesh Ghatak, ‘Gujarat Model: The
Gleam of State’s High Growth Numbers Hides Dark Reality of Poverty, Inequality’, Scroll.in,
25 Oct. 2017, https://scroll.in/article/855027/gujarat-model-the-gleam-of-states-high-growth-
numbers-hides-dark-reality-of-poverty-inequality. Accessed 30 Nov. 2018.
13. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘Modi of the Middle Class’, The Indian Express, 24 May 2014.
14. Jayati Ghosh, ‘Gujarat Model’s Failure Explains Why the Economy Is Significant Factor in
the Coming Elections’.
15. Maitreesh Ghatak and Sanchari Roy, ‘Why So Many Economists Are Disillusioned with the
“Gujarat Model” ’, Wire.in, 29 Nov. 2017, https://thewire.in/economy/narendra-modi-gujarat-
model-economists.Accessed 30 Nov. 2017.
16. Patnaik, ‘Gujarat Economic Trajectory’.
17. ‘Gujarat Model Is Growth with Minimal Development: Political Scientist Christophe
Jaffrelot’, The Financial Express, 25 Nov. 2017.
18. Ghatak and Roy, ‘Why So Many Economists Are Disillusioned with the “Gujarat Model” ’.
19. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘Gujarat Model?’ The Indian Express, 20 Nov. 2017.
20. ‘India Inc. promises Modi Much Investment, as Always, at Vibrant Gujarat Meet’, NDTV, 11
Jan. 2013, https://www.ndtv.com/business/india-inc-promises-modi-much-investment-as-
always-at-vibrant-gujarat-meet-316012. Accessed 21 Nov. 2021.
21. Ibid.
22. Editorial, ‘Anger, Aspiration, Apprehension’, Economic and Political Weekly, 49, no. 21, 24
May 2014.
23. Sanjay Kumar, ‘Interpreting the Electoral Verdict of 2014 Lok Sabha Elections in India: A
Significant Shift in the Nature of Electoral Politics’, Panjab University Research Journal
(Arts), XLIV, no. 1, Jan.–Jun. 2017, pp. 25–54.
24. Sevanti Ninan, ‘The Media Moving to the Right’, in Making Sense of Modi’s India, New
Delhi: Harper Collins, 2016, pp. 177–89 .
25. Sandeep Bhushan, ‘How the Television News Industry Scripted the Indian Elections’, The
Caravan, 14 May 2014, https://caravanmagazine.in/vantage/television-scripted. Accessed 21
Nov. 2021.
26. Study by Centre for Media Studies analyzed the coverage of five major news channels:
AajTak, ABP News, Zee News (Hindi), NDTV24x7, and CNN IBN (English) in the 8 p.m. to
10 p.m. prime-time band from 1 Mar. to 30 Apr. ‘Modi and BJP Hogged Prime Time TV,
Finds CMS Media Analysis’, The Hindu, 8 May 2014.
27. Ibid.
28. Maitreesh Ghatak, Parikshit Ghosh, and Ashok Kotwal, ‘Growth in the Time of the UPA’,
Economic and Political Weekly, 49, no. 16, 19 Apr. 2014.
29. Interview with Alok Mehta, 6 Jun. 2020. Alok Mehta is the former chief editor of Outlook
Hindi. As a journalist and television broadcaster, he has worked with several other platforms
such as Nav Bharat Times, Nai Duniya, Dainik Bhaskar, and Governance Now, among
others.
30. Paronjoy Guha-Thakurta, ‘Gujarat Model of Development: More Hype Than Substance’,
Rediff.com, 2 Apr. 2015, https://www.rediff.com/business/column/gujarat-model-of-
development-more-hype-than-substance/20150402.htm. Accessed 12 Jun. 2016.
31. Pradeep Chhibber and Rahul Verma, ‘The BJP’s 2014 Modi Wave: An Ideological
Consolidation of the Right’, Economic and Political Weekly, XLIX, no 39, 27 Sep. 2014, p.
50.
32. See Amrita Basu, Violent Conjunctures in Democratic India, Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 2015. Chapter 5 on Gujarat, pp. 162–202; Martha Nussbaum, The Clash
Within: Democracy, Religious Violence and India’s Future, Cambridge, MA: Harvard
University Press, 2007, Chapter 1 Genocide in Gujarat, pp. 17–51.
33. For an account of how the Gujarat riots occurred and its aftermath, see Ashis Khetan,
Undercover: My Journey into the Darkness of Hindutva, New Delhi: Context, 2021.
34. Arvind Rajagopal, ‘The Reinvention of Hindutva’, The Hindu, 4 Mar. 2015.
35. Ibid.
36. Radhika Desai, ‘A Latter-Day Fascism’, Economic and Political Weekly, 49, no. 35, 30 Aug.
2014.
37. Harsh Mander, ‘15 Years After Godhra Riots: The Politics of Hate Still Divides Us’, The
Hindustan Times, 27 Feb. 2017.
38. Ibid.
39. Dibyesh Anand, ‘Indian Fantasies About Gujarat and Narendra Modi’, The Guardian, 28
Dec. 2012, https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/dec/28/india-fantasy-gujarat-
modi-hindus. Accessed 20 Nov. 2021.
40. Shoaib Daniyal, ‘It’s Becoming Increasingly Dangerous in Uttar Pradesh to Even Look
Muslim’, Scroll.in, 27 Nov. 2017, https://scroll.in/article/859333/opinion-its-becoming-
increasingly-dangerous-in-uttar-pradesh-to-even-look-muslim. Accessed 30 Nov. 2017.
41. Editorial, ‘Anger, Aspiration, Apprehension’.
42. Radhika Desai, ‘The Question of Fascism’, in Making Sense of Modi’s India, New Delhi:
Harper Collins, 2016 .
43. Irfan Ahmad, ‘Democracy as Permanent Advertising: Indian Media and Elections’, Kafila, 8
May 2014, https://kafila.online/2014/05/08/democracy-as-permanent-advertising-indian-
media-and-elections-irfan-ahmad/. Accessed 17 Jun. 2016.
44. On the role of violence in elections, see Steven I. Wilkinson, Votes and Violence: Electoral
Competition and Communal Riots in India, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2004
and Basu, Violent Conjunctures in Democratic India; Amrita Basu and Srirupa Roy (eds.),
Violence and Democracy in India, Calcutta: Seagull Books, 2007.
45. Varghese K. George, ‘A Pull Away from the Periphery’, The Hindu, 21 Aug. 2014.
46. Seshadri Chari quoted in Saba Naqvi, ‘Numerocracy’, Outlook, 25 Aug. 2014.
47. Quoted in Prashant Jha, ‘BJP Win Blow to Muslim Politics: Singhal’, The Hindustan Times,
17 Jul. 2014.
48. Ibid.
49. Ashish Tripathi, ‘Modi’s UP Campaign: Development or Deception?’, The Times of India, 6
Feb. 2014.
50. Irfan Ahmad, ‘Democracy as Permanent Advertising: Indian Media and Elections’, .
51. ‘Dark Decade in Governance: BJP’s Chargesheet on Congress-Led UPA’,
https://www.google.com/url?
sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwitp_mOvKf0
AhWdxjgGHYvJDPoQFnoECAoQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttp%2Fcdn.narendramodi.in%2Fwp-
content%2Fuploads%2F2014%2F04%2FBJPBooklet-ExecutiveSummary.pdf&usg=.
Accessed 20 Nov. 2021.
52. Economic Times Bureau, ‘UPA Presided over a Wasted Decade: BJP’, The Economic Times,
19 Jan. 2014 .
53. Pradeep Chhibber and Rahul Verma, ‘The BJP’s 2014 Modi Wave: An Ideological
Consolidation of the Right’, Economic and Political Weekly, 49, no 39, Sep. 2014, p. 27.
54. On Modi’s leadership, see Nilanjan Mukhopadjyaya, Narendra Modi: The Man, The Times,
New Delhi: Westland Publications, 2013.
55. NDTV Anchor Barkha Dutt quoted in Sadanand Dhume, ‘The Last Gandhi’, First Post, 19
Aug. 2014.
56. Editorial, ‘Congress Zero’, The Hindu, 12 Feb. 2015.
57. Ibid.
58. Jaffrelot, ‘Modi-Centric BJP 2014 Election Campaign: New Techniques, and Old Tactics’,
Contemporary South Asia, 23, no 2, 2015, pp. 151–166.
59. Arnab Goswami, ‘Frankly Speaking with Rahul Gandhi’, Times Now, 29 Jan. 2014,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Psen10db1k0. Accessed 7 Mar.2020.
60. D. K. Singh, ‘Rahul Seeks Sweat, Party Has Tears’, The Indian Express, 21 Jan. 2013.
61. ‘From Naamdar to Kaamdar: Rahul Gandhi the Challenger’, Rahul Gandhi interview to Raj
Chengappa and Kaushik Deka, India Today, 13 May 2019.
62. Pratap Bhanu Mehta quoted in Rajdeep Sardesai, ‘Rahul Gandhi Has to Lead His Troops’,
The Hindustan Times, 31 Oct. 2014.
63. Puja Mehra, ‘Rate of Poverty Reduction Fastest Under UPA II’, The Hindu, 26 May 2015 .
64. Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Backstage: The Story Behind India’s Growth Years, New Delhi:
Rupa Publications, 2020.
65. Ibid.
66. Mihir Sharma, ‘Farewell, a Golden Age’, Business Standard, 11 May 2014.
67. Niharika Mandhana, ‘Narendra Modi’s Election Win Heralds New Era in India’, The Wall
Street Journal, 17 May 2017, https://www.wsj.com/articles/vote-counting-begins-in-indias-
national-election-1400210643. Accessed 20 Jun. 2020.
68. Suhas Palshikar, ‘The Defeat of the Congress’, Economic and Political Weekly, XLIX, no. 39,
27 Sep. 2014, p. 57.
69. Jason Burke, ‘Narendra Modi’s Landslide Victory Shatters Congress’s Grip on India’, The
Guardian, 16 May 2014, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/16/narendra-modi-
victory-congress-india-election. Accessed 25 Jun. 2019.
70. Liz Mathew and C. G. Manoj, ‘The Shrinking of Indian National Congress’, The Indian
Express, 26 Jun. 2018.
71. Sanjay Kumar, ‘Interpreting the Electoral Verdict of 2014 Lok Sabha Elections in India: A
Significant Shift in the Nature of Electoral Politics’, Panjab University Research Journal
(Arts), XLIV, no. 1, Jan.–June 2017.
72. Sardesai, ‘Rahul Gandhi Has to Lead His Troops’.
73. Hemant Kumar Shah, ‘Why PM Modi No Longer Speaks of “Gujarat Model”: Jobless in
Gujarat Expose His Exaggerated Claims’. National Herald, 19 Apr. 2019.
74. Atul Sood, ‘Development Outcomes and Politics in Gujarat’, Kafila, 7 Dec. 2017.
4
Secular Politics on the Back Foot
Apart from the six years of the BJP-led coalition government in Delhi
(1998–2004), India was not governed by a political party or a coalition of
parties that made explicit appeals to religion. This changed after the BJP
won an absolute majority in 2014 and an even bigger one in 2019.
Religious politics has been an important element in Indian public life much
before the BJP came to power at the Centre. It has assumed greater salience
during BJP rule but that party alone is not responsible for the increasing
politicization of religion. Most parties are guilty of using religious issues
for narrow political gains. Parties seeking to stake out a position as pro-
Hindu or simultaneously pro-Hindu and pro-minorities, have given a fillip
to communal politics.
The focus of this chapter is on the Congress and its often ill-advised
actions that weakened both the party and the secular state, which it
proclaimed to uphold and, in an important sense, helped to establish. This
should be read in conjunction with Chapter 3 on the rise of the Gujarat
model, which helps to connect the Congress decline with the rise of the BJP
and the consequent decline in secular politics. The argument advanced here
is that the crisis of the Congress cannot be understood without placing it in
the context of the rise of the Hindu Right and its propaganda against
secularism not just to discredit the Congress but the entire liberal spectrum.1
The BJP–RSS and its sundry ideological affiliates hold a critical view of
pluralism and secularism. They envision India as a majoritarian nation-state
rather than a pluralist multicultural one. The tensions inherent in these
competing visions have come to the fore in recent years. The ruling party
has relentlessly attacked and denigrated secularism. Indeed, Prime Minister
Narendra Modi was quick to point out how ‘no party dared to wear the
mask of secularism and mislead the people’ soon after winning a second
term in 2019.2 He stressed how people had used the tag of secularism to
engage in evil acts. ‘It was used like Gangajal to wash all your sins,’ Modi
said, adding how it stood demolished after 2014.3
Both these narratives underline the difficulty faced by the Congress in
reversing its decline without ideological clarity on the question of secular
politics. The BJP’s decisive victories in 2014 and 2019 have intensified
these difficulties and the critique of secular politics, but, as Rajmohan
Gandhi argues, these ‘do not translate so readily into a defeat of secular
ideology’.4
The backstory
Secularism is a central idiom of political life in India.5 It can mean many
different things, but what is clear from the debates in both the Constituent
Assembly and parliament, in various situations and iterations, is that one of
its key features is an endeavour to separate religion from politics. The basic
constituents of this separation, however, are not exactly the same as, for
example, in Europe or the United States. Secularism was adapted to suit
Indian conditions in order to combine the demands of statecraft while
incorporating the religious ideals of Gandhi and the modernist outlook of
Jawaharlal Nehru. On 18 April 1949, Nehru elaborated the rationale of the
secular state, arguing:
I am convinced that the measure of India’s progress will be the measure of our giving full effect
to what has been called a secular state. That, of course, does not mean a people lacking in
morals or religion. It means that while religion is completely free, the state, including in its
wide fold various religions and cultures, gives protection and opportunities to all and thus
brings about an atmosphere of tolerance and cooperation.6
Secularism was the legitimating ideology of the Congress in the struggle for
Independence, repudiating any religious identity. This position derived from
the commitments made during the freedom struggle that all religions would
enjoy equality and parity in Independent India.7
The party in the immediate decades after Independence worked to
establish a secular state in India. For Nehru secularism was necessary to
hold India’s disparate communities together under a single roof. Indeed,
Nehru often pronounced that India’s composite culture was one of its
greatest strengths. It was a specific response to India’s astonishing pluralism
and the need to accommodate minorities in the aftermath of Partition in
1947.8 The Nehruvian consensus on secularism emphasized democracy,
religious neutrality (or equal standing for all citizens, regardless of
religion), and social justice.9 It was a central feature of the Indian project of
modernity, democracy, and development.10
Notwithstanding its many weaknesses, this strategy worked for many
decades. But as the unabated Congress hegemony waned, the party began
compromising with the tenets of secularism. It found the idea of making
quick electoral gains by compromising with secular principles and
institutions too tempting to resist. Congress leaders were sometimes eager
to curry favour with religious leaders to use them to marshal political
support in elections.11 Its political supremacy began declining after it
started flirting with religious politics from the early 1980s. Before this
period, the political influence of religion was limited and communal parties
won few seats. The clear separation between politics and religion necessary
to maintain the secularist polity in India eventually blurred. The politics of
expediency damaged the general perception of secularism, and above all it
damaged the Congress.
Political pandering
Even before Hindutva forces began attacking Indian secularism, the
Congress had started undermining it by pandering to one religious
community after another on divisive issues. One of the cardinal errors the
party made in the 1980s was to get directly involved in the controversy over
the role of the state in regulating the personal law of religious minorities,
especially at a time when Hindutva politics was beginning to raise its
head.12 Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi, concerned about losing Muslim
support, decided to enact the Muslim Women’s (Protection of Rights on
Divorce) Act (MWA) of 1986. This was done to revoke the landmark
Supreme Court judgment, which granted a maintenance allowance to Shah
Bano, a 73-year-old Muslim divorcee, to be paid by her husband under the
Criminal Procedure Code (CrPC). This controversy sparked off a huge
political uproar, demanding exclusion of Muslim women from the purview
of the CrPC, to which otherwise all citizens have recourse. The government
took the decision to nullify the court’s verdict and enact the MWA,
declaring that Muslim women would not have recourse to the provisions of
the CrPC in regard to maintenance in the event of divorce. Rajiv Gandhi
had clearly succumbed to the pressure from the clergy and Muslim leaders
in his own party to pass this statute.
This legislation became a bone of contention between Muslim
conservatives and critics of the government. This surrender of Muslim
women’s rights was part of a larger ideological shake-up in this period
resulting in a closer entanglement of politics and religion. The conciliatory
response to Muslim misgivings against the Supreme Court verdict tipped
the balance in favour of opposition parties who had campaigned against it.
The excessive regard for Muslim sensibilities in areas of personal law
provoked an indignant reaction that India would be overrun by a rapidly
rising Muslim population propagated by multiple wives. There was strong
opposition from the middle classes, from Hindus more generally, and from
the women’s movement, which regarded the MWA as a concession to
Muslim fundamentalism and a break from secularism. This was a blessing
for the BJP, which was on the same page as the middle classes who agreed
that India’s Muslims were being pampered by the Congress. Ever since its
passage, it has been used by the BJP to draw attention to the compromises
the Congress was willing to make to endear itself to the minorities.
Exploiting the mistakes of the Congress, the Hindu nationalists accused it
of playing vote bank politics.
The BJP had long mocked secularism, which it regards as a Western
construct unsuited to India. Importantly, it sought to demonstrate that the
Congress was not genuinely secular. To the BJP, and many others outside its
circles, the Shah Bano episode was a touchstone of this politics. The
passage of the MWA gave them a significant opportunity to build on this
critique to condemn the double standards of the state’s constitutional law
and jurisprudence.
The Congress was shaken by the vehement opposition to this decision
among Hindus who completely and fervidly opposed its government’s
position with regard to Muslim personal laws. Having done this, it felt
compelled to mollify Hindu militants demanding concessions on the
disputed Mandir-Masjid site at Ayodhya. In 1989, with a view to winning
the Hindu votes, the government allowed the Vishwa Hindu Parishad
(VHP) to perform the shilanyas at the site13 that Hindu nationalists had long
proclaimed to be the exact birthplace of Lord Ram or ‘RamJanmbhoomi’.
Hindu activists had claimed that the mosque at the site and its use by
Muslims were sacrilegious.14
The RSS and Sangh affiliates demanded that the temple that once
purportedly stood above Ram’s birthplace in Ayodhya should be rebuilt in
place of Babri Masjid. During this period, the BJP and its affiliates
launched a nationwide campaign to construct a Ram temple in Ayodhya,
which gathered momentum after the Mandal decision to give 27 per cent
reservations to OBCs in government employment. The unresolved dispute
in Ayodhya seemed to offer an opportunity to Hindu nationalists to garner
public support. This movement must be understood in the context of the
attempt by the RSS to mobilize the Hindu community around the powerful
symbol of Lord Ram. That historic moment was primarily the outcome of a
series of events in the late 1980s and early 1990s that created a climate
conducive to the growth of communal politics.
Together, these two decisions—the revocation of the Shah Bano verdict
and the reopening of the gates to the Babri Masjid in Ayodhya—were part
of a ‘grand’ strategy to arrest the Congress’s declining hold over Hindu and
Muslim votes. Post-shilanyas, its leaders were keen to harness the political
advantages provided by the Ayodhya controversy, even if that meant
brushing aside secular principles and the prime minister’s assurances to the
Muslim community that the Babri Masjid was safe.
The Congress was playing the Ayodhya card in the fond hope that Hindu
votes would go to it. That was not, however, quite how it transpired. The
BJP–RSS campaign convinced Hindus that the shilanyas had been the
result of their efforts to compel the government to concede to their demand.
This inflicted serious damage on the party’s Hindu base in Uttar Pradesh
and equally inflamed contrary Muslim sentiments. It was only much later
that the party realized that it was alienating Muslims and also losing the
support of Hindus. The principal consequence of this process was the
acceleration of communal polarization contributing to a groundswell of
support for the BJP and a point of no recovery for the Congress, which had
completely lost the plot.15 The leadership admitted that permitting the
shilanyas had been an error, but by then it was too late to retrieve lost
ground.
Allowing the opening of the gates was seen by the right-wing as an
opportunity to demolish the mosque. Soon, the situation spiralled out of
control and the Babri Masjid, in a public spectacle on 6 December 1992,
was demolished. This time the Congress had played right into the hands of
the BJP–RSS. In the past, it dealt with these tangled issues by deferring or
fudging them. By facilitating access to the disputed site and by doing
nothing to stop it when it was clear the BJP–RSS were mobilizing to pull it
down, both Rajiv Gandhi and P. V. Narasimha Rao, respectively, laid the
groundwork for the destruction of the mosque. The effect of both these
decisions, calculated to please both Hindus and Muslims, had the effect of
boosting communal politics. The attempt to provide concessions to a
particular community and then offsetting it by granting concessions to
another left both dissatisfied and a feeling they had lost something. This
was a dangerous approach that provoked a backlash from both sides of the
Hindu–Muslim divide.
The Ayodhya issue forced the Congress to cede more space to the Hindu
Right. The demolition of the Babri Masjid in brazen disregard of the stay
order of the Supreme Court was the defining moment in this process.16 The
political rupture opened up the prospect of changing both the ideological
discourse and institutional politics in favour of a majoritarian idea of India,
contrary to the hitherto established concept of a non-parochial India. The
demolition was a clear reflection of the Sangh Parivar’s anti-secular agenda,
which remains its core position till today.17 This was an important step
towards turning India into a Hindu Rashtra and, more importantly, the
‘obliteration’ of Muslims from the public sphere. The Hindu Right took the
lead in shaping this narrative which would be decisive three decades later.
Far from helping the Congress, these developments brought its political rule
to an end and led to a steady decline of secular politics. This discourse
foregrounded the hurt sentiments of the majority community, exemplified
by the very existence of the Babri Masjid at the birthplace of Lord Ram,
which demanded rectification.18 It opened up the political space for the
advance of Hindu nationalism facilitated by the cluster of organizations
affiliated with the RSS. These organizations mobilized support in in favour
of the majoritarian agenda and the demolition of the Babri Masjid was a
critical part of this process. This enhanced BJP’s influence, which offered
newer opportunities to carry forward this political project after it had
replaced the Congress as the central point of reference in the Indian polity.
It advanced the idea that Hindus had not received their due because of
the alleged partiality of the state towards religious minorities when there
was no evidence to support this. This approach blames Muslims and labels
them as the adversary for all Hindus regardless of their internal differences,
beliefs, and practices.19 That is to say, it seeks to unite Hindus not by what
they share but by what they oppose, which is the common opposition to the
‘enemy’ within. Muslims and Christians do not fit into this scheme because,
according to the RSS, although India is their place of birth and place of
work, it is not their land of origin and their holy land. Since its inception in
1925, the RSS has never deviated from this fundamental ideological
premise.
The charges stuck even though no substantial policy actions were taken by
the government. Any policy initiative benefiting Muslims provoked
resentment and intensified the perception that this was minority
appeasement and that secularism was not about equal treatment but was, in
reality, a policy of preferential treatment of Muslims. The formation of the
SCR was the foundation of this renewed critique.34
Dwindling representation
While Muslims loomed large in public debates it is no secret that they
continued to remain on the sidelines of public institutions, indeed largely
absent. This was confirmed by the Amitabh Kundu Committee appointed to
evaluate the implementation of SCR recommendations, which concluded
that serious bottlenecks stymied implementation and any substantive
improvement.35 Muslim representation in parliament is abysmal.36 For the
first time in 2014, the ruling party did not have a single Muslim MP in the
Lok Sabha. The BJP had one Muslim MP in 2019 out of 303.37 Its decision
of not fielding Muslim candidates aims to free the BJP from mobilizing the
Muslim vote that it accuses other parties of wooing for electoral gain at the
expense of the Hindu majority. This strategy has been so successful that all
parties are busy chasing the Hindu vote and giving fewer tickets to
Muslims. This is evident in the Congress party’s ticket distribution strategy.
It has fielded very few Muslim candidates in elections, especially where the
party faces off against the BJP in two-party states. In the 2014 election, the
party contested 464 seats but fielded just 31 Muslim candidates38; in the
2019 election, 32 of the party’s 423 candidates were Muslim. Congress
courtship of Muslim voters has not translated into tickets for Muslim
candidates. The Congress seems to have made a strategic decision to
nominate fewer Muslims on the assumption that Muslims have no choice
but to vote for it if they want to defeat the BJP, and also because BJP’s
under-representation of Muslims is far more significant. Each time the BJP
establishes its dominance in a new state, the number of Muslim MLAs
immediately drops.39 The Congress feared being attacked as anti-Hindu if it
gave tickets to Muslim candidates.
The dwindling representation of Muslims in elected assemblies matters
because it is important to have ‘your people’ represent your interests in
elected bodies because if not, ‘there will be less people in defence of the
minorities’.40 The huge increase in the number of legislators belonging to
the BJP has had an unfavourable effect on development outcomes and on
the prospects of employment for the Muslim community in the public and
private sector and can also affect their safety and security.41
The truth is that the Home Ministry rejected the CVB, fearing a Hindu
backlash.
Following 2014, the major episodes of mass violence had given way to
vigilante violence against individuals. Most of these were not spontaneous
acts of violence; systematic planning usually lay behind them. According to
a fact-finding report, Lynching Without End, 86 per cent of those killed in
lynching incidents in 2017 were Muslims.47 This was not conventional
Hindu–Muslim violence but targeted violence, which, given its frequency,
could no longer be regarded as episodic but a continuum, with Muslims
being lynched on issues ranging from allegations of eating beef or even just
transporting cattle for slaughter to love jihad to petty theft. Most of these
incidents were perpetrated by vigilante militias and were the direct result of
the communal atmosphere that the Hindu Right created, leaving little scope
for redressal or recourse to justice against persons who committed these
hate crimes.48 The Alwar-Dadri-Latehar incidents are three of several
disturbing events of a similar nature witnessed in the past few years in
which the government showed an unwillingness to respond adequately and
in time.49 Cow vigilantism has prevailed more in BJP-ruled states,
especially Uttar Pradesh.50 But it has also spread beyond them. The
Congress did not take the lead in mobilizing opposition against it. The
muted stand on mob lynchings dismayed many of its own leaders, who
believed that the party had allowed itself to be browbeaten by the BJP.
A delegation of opposition parties led by the Congress, which met
President Pranab Mukherjee on 12 April 2017, raised issues of mob
lynching of citizens, vigilantism, and moral policing, among others. These
meetings seemed, however, no more than a mere formality as there was no
follow-up with mobilization on the ground. The opposition would be more
convincing when the Congress takes on the BJP through concrete actions
and mobilization but it didn’t do so against cow vigilantism, perhaps
because of the constant fear that BJP would accuse the party of minority
appeasement.51
She also said that the Congress had been ‘pushed into a corner’ and so it
felt the need to draw attention to, rather than play down, Rahul Gandhi’s
frequent temple visits before the Gujarat assembly elections in December
2017.57 His visits to temples were an attempt to shed this particular
perception. His temple visits had sparked a debate on whether the Congress
was resorting to ‘soft Hindutva’ and was in the process of abandoning
secularism. Asked if his temple visits were aimed at not letting the BJP
monopolize the Hindutva movement, she said, ‘There is a bit of that
because we have been pushed into a corner. Perhaps rather than going to a
temple quietly, may be a little more public focus on that.’58 ‘The BJP
branded us as [a] Muslim party. It’s a conscious decision to shed that tag
thrust on us by our rivals.’59
Sonia Gandhi was echoing the growing concern that the Congress had
paid a heavy price for being painted as a ‘Muslim party’.60 Several senior
leaders, including general secretaries, had conveyed this sentiment to the
party before the elections. Digvijaya Singh said that although the Congress
‘does not flaunt religious preferences’, the BJP succeeded in ‘pinning down
the Congress as a Muslim party’.61 A general secretary had written to A. K.
Antony expressing the apprehension that the BJP would project the
Congress as a pro-Muslim party and try and exploit this politically.62
The A. K. Antony report, investigating the reasons for the 2014 defeat,
had apparently concluded that the Congress was perceived as pro-Muslim,
which hurt the party, and that it had to impress on the Hindu voter that it
was not anti-Hindu.63 The report was not, however, made public and so its
findings and recommendations are not known. He expressed misgivings
about the party’s version of secularism, which, according to him, was seen
to tilt towards minorities and had eroded the electorate’s faith in the party’s
commitment to secularism. This he stated at a function in
Thiruvananthapuram where he said:
People have lost faith in the secular credentials of the party. They have a feeling that the
Congress bats for a few communities especially minorities. The people are really worried
whether Congress can ensure social justice. The people are concerned whether the Congress is
ensuring social equality in society. There appears to be doubts in the minds of some people that
while professing and practicing secularism, the party has some slants that all sections of people
do not receive equal justice. This has to be removed.64
These remarks were made in the context of the need for the Congress to halt
the BJP’s march in his home state of Kerala.65 They, however, revived the
national debate on minority bias because Anthony was heading a committee
to look into the causes of the party’s defeat, and it was seen as one of the
major reasons for the defeat.66 The BJP had also picked on a remark
allegedly made by Rahul Gandhi in a closed-door meeting with Muslim
intellectuals on 12 July 2018 to ratchet up the attack on the Congress as a
‘Muslim party’ and to attack the meeting as ‘part of some sinister
conspiracy to divide India … What precisely is the BJP’s argument? Are
minority rights entirely off the agenda in democratic India today? Does the
mere presence of people with Muslim names portend communal
polarization?’ asked social activist Farah Naqvi, one of the participants at
the meeting.67 Rahul Gandhi never made the remark but facts don’t come in
the way of post-truth and propaganda. The party leaders challenged the
veracity of the BJP’s version of what transpired at the meeting and accused
it of peddling ‘untruth, half-truth, and lies’.68 Labelling the Congress as
pro-Muslim to attack it has coarsened the public debate. Even then, some in
the party felt that ‘the Congress is also mealy-mouthed in handling the
minority appeasement charge’.69
Imitating Saffron
The electoral success of the BJP in the Hindi heartland states triggered
unease in Congress circles that this misconception has to be corrected.
Some party leaders sought to do this by publicly demonstrating their Hindu
credentials typically associated with the BJP and thus indulging in what
some observers have called soft Hindutva.70
The first step in this process was Rahul Gandhi’s trek to the Kedarnath
temple in the summer of 2015, followed by temple-hopping since the 2017
Gujarat assembly elections. The elections campaigns in Gujarat, Madhya
Pradesh, and Rajasthan were dominated by visits to temples. During these
campaigns, Rahul Gandhi presented himself as a Shivbhakt, displayed his
janeu (sacred thread), and let his entourage discuss his Brahmin background
and his gotra (lineage) in response to BJP leaders who repeatedly brought
up the Italian heritage of his mother. Rahul Gandhi justified his temple run
by drawing a distinction between the BJP’s Hindutva, which he
characterized as hatred, insecurity, and anger and the Congress’s belief in
Hinduism as a liberal, progressive concept that teaches love and respect for
others. ‘We are committed to secularism. But secularism does not mean
being irreligious or anti-religion,’ he said.71 ‘We all worship our gods but
don’t use it for politics. The BJP created a misconception that secular
parties are anti-Hindu. This deception suits their power game. Unlike them,
we respect all religions.’72 This was an important distinction but the very
fact that he felt compelled to highlight the party’s Hindu identity was part of
the attempt to contain the backlash by shedding its pro-Muslim image.
But things went beyond this. The party manifesto in Madhya Pradesh
promised to build gaushalas (cow shelters), develop commercial production
of gaumutra (cow urine) and cow dung, promote the Ram Van Gaman Path
(the path that Lord Rama took during his exile from Ayodhya), pass laws to
conserve sacred rivers, and promote Sanskrit. The BJP accused the
Congress government of discontinuing the mass recitation of ‘Vande
Mataram’ at the secretariat on the first day of every month, a practice the
BJP introduced in 2005. The Congress chief minister responded by
announcing a bigger ‘Vande Mataram’ event.73 The manifesto in 2013 had
devoted a whole section to the minority community.74 However, the
Congress drubbings in 2014 and 2019 proved that voters were not
impressed with a duplicate copy of the original poster boys of publicized
Hinduness, the BJP.75
The shrinking political space of the Congress prompted the need to do
things that would please the majority community. So, its attempts swung
from minority to majority accommodation, which did not help the party to
wean away Hindu voters from the BJP, nor prevent minority votes from
going to regional parties. Notably, such strategies backfired disastrously,
resulting in further political marginalization as it failed to pick up electoral
dividends from this competitive wooing of the Hindu vote.
As Mani Shankar Aiyar puts it:
While this overwhelming principle of governance was projected as ‘secularism’ by the
Congress, electoral compulsions of attracting the Hindu vote or at least not alienating it have
resulted, since the second coming of Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi’s time, in drifting away
from Nehruvian ‘secular fundamentalism’ … Try as it might, this masking of its fundamental
secular principles by the Congress party at election time (which has now become ‘all the time’)
has not paid any electoral dividends because the extreme end of the politico-religious spectrum
has been irrevocably captured by the Sangh Parivar.76
The real danger lies in seeking to thwart the BJP by becoming pale
imitations of the original.
Competing with BJP on its turf resulted in scepticism from the target
audience and ‘its dismissal as a pretender’.77 ‘The Janeudhari politics
makes the Congress appear like Saffron lite,’ said Sanjay Jha.78 In the
event, the Congress did not frontally confront Hindutva; rather, it ‘adjusted’
to Hindutva. This adjustment strategy hasn’t rocked the BJP boat but
instead that of the Congress, which has slipped between two streams.
Recent research in relation to this trend has consistently shown that when
mainstream parties move to the Right in an attempt to co-opt the issues of
the radical Right, it does not hurt populist Right parties—instead buoys
them.79 Also, ‘it shows that it does not stop the electoral bleeding of social
democratic parties either.’80
Ideological dilemmas
Well until the early 1990s, India’s secular model seemed to work reasonably
well. Religion and religious polarization was not exploited for political
gain. Hindu nationalism has since then gained traction to the point that most
political parties believe that it is the only legitimate strategy of electoral
success. The attitude of the Congress lends itself to such an interpretation as
the party has sought to downplay its secularist roots and embrace pro-Hindu
sentiments. The spate of electoral reverses appears to have compelled it to
take this stance as it does not wish to risk popular support by being seen as
a champion of secularism.
The ideological dilemma within the Congress was well illustrated by the
controversy over the entry of women into the Lord Ayyappa temple in
Sabarimala. In September 2018, the Supreme Court decided to lift the ban
on women of all ages entering the Sabarimala temple in Kerala. There was
a visible divide in the Congress over this issue. The central leadership
supported the verdict, but state leaders opposed it. In fact, Rahul Gandhi
openly contradicted his state party’s stance in the name of equality.81 But
realizing the adverse impact of his stand on the Hindu vote base of the
party, he diluted his position, saying that he was not ‘able to give an open
and shut position on this [question]’ as he could ‘see validity in the
argument that tradition needs to be protected … and that women should
have equal rights’.82
Arguably this kind of flip-flop has strengthened majoritarianism, which,
however, has a long history and a momentum that is independent of the
failings of secularism and the Congress. Importantly, the assiduous work of
the Sangh Parivar for the last 90 years and in recent years the nationwide
campaigns for the demolition of the Babri Masjid in Ayodhya and the
propaganda about Hindu hurt have facilitated the shift from a secular
discourse to a majoritarian one. Additionally, the political success of the
BJP has been ‘aided by the skills of Modi, by a flow of massive funds to the
BJP, and by the Sangh’s mounting influence, if not control, of TV channels,
social media, and institutions of the state’.83
The Congress party has a fundamentally different approach from the BJP
on secularism and the majority–minority relationship.84 This difference is
diluted by Congress leaders themselves, who have had no compunctions in
migrating to the BJP.85 Digvijaya Singh noted in this context that:
Those who came to Congress for power and authority when they suddenly find themselves out
of power leave Congress to seek power elsewhere. Those who came to Congress attracted to its
ideology shall stay on and fight the forces of right-wing communal forces in India.86
A similar observation was made by another senior leader who said that
those who have left the party ‘never had any ideological convictions or
emotions attached to the party. For them, it was but a vehicle to catapult
them into organizational or governmental positions.’87 Of the 303 BJP MPs
in the current Lok Sabha, at least 31 are former Congress members.
Between 2015 and 2020, nearly 150 elected Congress MLAs have switched
over to the BJP.
From the oft-quoted principle of secularism, as envisaged by Nehru and
Indira Gandhi, the Congress has moved to acknowledging and catering to
the growing Hindu sentiment across India. Basically, the party was
attempting to deny the BJP the monopoly over Hindu sentiment, which has
helped the latter to make electoral gains at the expense of the Congress. The
party was put on the defensive by first calling it ‘sickular’ and then
labelling it a ‘Muslim party’, which made the Congress even shakier about
its core ideology.88 The deeper purpose behind this was Hindu
consolidation and remaking of the state on Hindutva lines. The BJP’s
campaign has focussed on consolidating a political majority based on a
majoritarian identity to unite Hindus beyond other factors of identity,
especially caste. However,
Even in these very bad days for traditional Congress secularism, at least 60 per cent of Hindu
voters (country-wide) remain outside the ambit of the BJP’s Hindutva and at least another 10
per cent of the drift is tepid and opportunistic. The Congress can attract it by providing a
credible alternative at the hustings.89
Notes
1. For the early debates on secularism, see essays in Rajeev Bhargava (ed.), Secularism and Its
Critics, New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1998.
2. J. P. Yadav, ‘After Victory, Modi Is Magnanimous with a Secular Swipe’, The Telegraph, 24
May 2019.
3. Ibid.
4. Rajmohan Gandhi, ‘Indian Secularism Still Has a Future if Followers Stop Blame Game with
RSS: Rajmohan Gandhi’, The Print, 15 Jul. 2020, https://theprint.in/opinion/indian-
secularism-still-has-a-future-if-followers-stop-blame-game-with-rss-rajmohan-
gandhi/460265/. Accessed 15 Jul. 2020.
5. On secularism, see essays in Linell Cady and Elizabeth Shakman Hurd (eds.), Comparative
Secularism in a Global Age, New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2010.
6. Jawaharlal Nehru cited in Sumantra Bose, Secular States, Religious Politics: India, Turkey
and the Future of Secularism, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2018, p. 34.
7. Ibid., p. 38.
8. The Partition of British India in 1947, which created the two independent states of India and
Pakistan, was followed by one of the greatest migrations in history. An estimated 12 to 15
million people were forcibly transferred between the two countries. The religious fury and
violence that it unleashed caused the deaths of some 2 million Hindus, Muslims, and Sikhs.
At least 75,000 women were raped. The trauma incurred in the process has been profound
and has had a lasting impact on the politics and relations between the two states.
9. See, for instance, Gyan Prakash, ‘Secular Nationalism, Hindutva and the Minority’, in
Anuradha Dingwaney Needham and Rajeswari Sunder Rajan (eds.), The Crisis of Secularism
in India, New Delhi: Permanent Black, 2007, 177–88.
10. Anuradha Dingwaney Needham and Rajeswari Sunder Rajan (eds.), The Crisis of Secularism
in India, p. 15.
11. SeeRajeev Bhargava, ‘Liberal, Secular Democracy and Explanations of Hindu Nationalism’,
Commonwealth and Comparative Politics, 40, no. 3, Nov. 2002.
12. The backstory section is based on excerpts from ‘Ayodhya and Politics of Religion’, in Zoya
Hasan Congress After Indira: Policy, Power and Political Change (1984–2009) published in
Scroll.in, ‘Ayodhya: How Rajiv Gandhi’s Plan to Use the Ram Temple for the Congress Party
Came Undone’, Scroll.in, 21 Oct. 2019, https://scroll.in/article/941140/ayodhya-how-rajiv-
gandhis-plan-to-use-the-ram-temple-for-the-congress-party-came-undone. Accessed 4 Apr.
2020.
13. Liz Mathew, ‘Explained: Milestones in the Ayodhya Ram Temple Journey’, The Indian
Express, 6 Aug. 2020.
14. For an account of the history of the Ayodhya dispute, see Valay Singh, Ayodhya: City of
Faith, City of Discord, New Delhi: Aleph Book Co., 2019. The author points to the collective
failure of the judiciary, parliament, and political parties to resolve the issue.
15. On aspects of communalism, see essays in Mujibur Rehman (ed.), Communalism in
Postcolonial India: Changing Contours, New Delhi: Routledge India, 2016.
16. An insider’s account of why P. V. Narasimha Rao, as prime minister, did not act to prevent or
stop the demolition of the Babri Masjid. See P. V. Narasimha Rao, Ayodhya: 6 December
1992, New Delhi: Penguin India, 2006.
17. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘The Fate of Secularism in India Today: The BJP in Power’, 4 Apr.
2019, https://carnegieendowment.org/2019/04/04/fate-of-secularism-in-india-pub-78689.
Accessed 6 Apr. 2021.
18. For an analysis of the history and politics of communalism during this period, see essays in
David Ludden (ed.), Contesting the Nation: Religion, Community, and the Politics of
Democracy in India, Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1996; AchinVanaik, The
Furies of Communalism: Religion, Modernity and Secularisation, London: Verso, 1997.
19. Bhargava, ‘Liberal, Secular Democracy and Explanations of Hindu Nationalism’.
20. See Zoya Hasan, ‘Minority Identity, State Policy and the Political Process’, in Zoya Hasan
(ed.), Forging Identities: Gender, Communities and the State in India, Delhi: Kali for
Women, 1998.
21. See Akeel Bilgrami, ‘Secularism, Multiculturalism, and the Very Concept of Law’, in Akeel
Bilgrami, Secularism, Identity and Enchantment, New Delhi: Permanent Black, 2014.
22. Justin Jones, ‘India’s Triple Talaq Law Has Divided Even Those Who Oppose the Practice’,
Conversations, 16 Sep. 2019, https://qz.com/india/1709560/will-criminalising-triple-talaq-
help-indias-muslim-women/. Accessed 24 Mar. 2020.
23. The prime minister constituted a ‘High-Level Committee on the Social, Economic and
Educational Status of the Muslim Community of India’, charged with investigating the socio-
economic status of Muslims in 2005. Social, Economic and Educational Status of the Muslim
Community of India, Prime Minister’s High Level Committee, Cabinet Secretariat, GoI, Nov.
2006. The Committee chaired by Rajinder Sachar, former chief justice of the Delhi High
Court, submitted its report to the Prime Minister in November 2006.
24. Prime Minister’s High Level Committee, 2006, p. 96.
25. Rohit Lamba and Arvind Subramanian, ‘Dynamism with Incommensurate Development: The
Distinctive Indian Model’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 34, no. 1, winter 2020, pp. 3–
30.
26. ‘Reservation Bill Passed in Lok Sabha’, Rediff.com, 14 Dec. 2006,
https://www.rediff.com/news/2006/dec/14quota1.htm.Accessed 17 Nov. 2021.
27. Vinay Sitapati, ‘Reservations’, in Sujit Chowdhary, Madhav Khosla, and Pratap Bhanu Mehta
(eds.), The Oxford Handbook of the Indian Constitution, New Delhi: Oxford University
Press, 2016 .
28. Sanjiv Gajanan Punalekar vs Union of India on 6 Jun. 2011, PIL 84 of 2008,
https://indiankanoon.org/doc/1952085/?type=print. Accessed 25 Mar. 2020.
29. Heewon Kim, The Struggle for Equality: India’s Muslims and Rethinking the UPA
Experience, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2019, pp. 123–241.
30. Ibid., p. 123.
31. ‘Muslim Activists Unhappy with Non-Implementation of Sachar Committee
Recommendations’, The Hindu Business Line, 29 Jan. 2014.
32. ‘Muslims Must Have First Claim over Resources’, The Times of India, 9 Dec. 2006.
33. ‘Rajnath Singh Hits Back at Congress, Says It Divides on Religious Lines’, The Indian
Express, 21 Jan. 2014.
34. For a detailed discussion on the Sachar committee report, see Zoya Hasan and Mushirul
Hasan, ‘Assessing UPA Government’s Response to Muslim Deprivation’, in Zoya Hasan and
Mushirul Hasan (eds.), India Social Development Report 2012: Minorities at the Margins,
Council for Social Development, New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2013.
35. Post-Sachar Evaluation Committee, Chairman Amitabh Kundu, Ministry of Minority Affairs,
GoI, New Delhi, 2014. The Kundu Committee was set up in August 2013 to look at the
socio-economic and educational status of Muslims after the Sachar report. The Kundu panel
was mandated to evaluate the process of implementation of the Report’s recommendations
and the prime minister’s 15-Point Programme to assess the outcome of the programmes
implemented by the Ministry of Minority Affairs (MoMA), to look into the mismanagement
of funds released for multi-sectoral development programme (MSDP) in Minority
Concentration Districts (MCDs) to revive the proposal and to recommend corrective
measures.
36. Nissim Munnathukaren, ‘The Fast Disappearing Muslim in the Indian Republic’, The Indian
Express, 22 Jan. 2018.
37. Katherine Adeney, ‘A Move to Majoritarian Nationalism? Challenges of Representation in
South Asia’, Representation, 51, no. 1, 7–21, DOI: Published Online 7 Apr. 2015.
https://www.google.com/url?
sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwio9rGT_aH0A
hWYH7cAHRqDDq4QFnoECAUQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fwww.tandfonline.com%2Fd
oi%2Fabs%2F10.1080%2F00344893.2015.1026213&usg=AOvVaw1EohWxEQ_62JJqGB3k
JiMz Accessed 18 Nov. 2021.
38. Christophe Jaffrelot and Gilles Vernier, ‘The Dwindling Minority’, The Indian Express, Jul.
30, 2018.
39. Ibid.
40. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘Losing by Religion: Muslim Exclusion in Modi’s de facto Hindu
Rashtra’. Caravan Magazine, 1 Mar. 2019, https://www.google.com/url?
sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjDpa7w_6H0
AhUZfX0KHetiBzkQFnoECAIQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fcaravanmagazine.in%2Fpersp
ective%2Fmuslim-exclusion-modi-de-facto-hindu-
rashtra&usg=AOvVaw1apLKKLCb8u3FOY0jyiDNo Accessed 18 Nov. 2021.
41. Sonia Bhalotra, Clots-Figueras, Irma Cassan Guilhem, and Lakshmi Iyer, ‘Religion,
Politician Identity and Development Outcomes: Evidence from India,’ Journal of Economic
Behavior & Organization, 104, 2014, pp. 4–17 .
42. Farah Naqvi, ‘Kiska saath, kiska vikas’, Seminar, 665, Jan. 2015.
43. Ibid.
44. The NAC drafted a Communal Violence Bill. The Bill is intended to prevent acts of violence
or incitement to violence directed at people by virtue of their membership to any ‘group’. An
existing Bill, entitled the ‘Communal Violence (Prevention, Control and Rehabilitation of
Victims) Bill, 2005’, was pending in the Rajya Sabha. The Bill makes illegal acts that result
in injury to persons or property if such acts are directed against persons on the basis of their
affiliation to any group and if such an act destroys the secular fabric of the nation. It makes
public servants punishable for failing to discharge their stated duties in an unbiased manner.
In addition, public servants have duties such as the duty to provide protection to victims of
communal violence and also have to take steps to prevent the outbreak of communal
violence.
45. ‘Table Communal Violence Bill Early’, The Hindu, 19 Nov. 2011.
46. Farah Naqvi, ‘When Equal Protection Matters Most’, The Indian Express, 21 Jul. 2011.
47. Lynching Without End: Report of Fact Finding into Religiously Motivated Vigilante Violence
in India, New Delhi: Citizens Against Hate, Sep. 2017, Accessed 18 Nov. 2021,
http://www.misaal.ngo/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/FINAL-report-Lynching-without-
End.pdf. Citizens Against Hate is a collective of individuals and groups committed to a
secular, democratic, caring India. It seeks to provide practical help to victims of hate crime,
and to counter, through research, outreach, advocacy, and litigation, hate in all its forms.
Constituents that took part in the fact finding study were: Aman Biradari Trust, New Delhi,
Anjuman Islamiya, Ranchi, Quill Foundation, New Delhi, Misaal, New Delhi, Yuva Ekta
Jagruk Manch, Nuh, Haryana, Afkar India Foundation, Shamli, Uttar Pradesh.
48. David Barstow and Suhasini Raj, ‘Indian Muslim, Accused of Stealing a Cow, Is Beaten to
Death by a Hindu Mob’, The New York Times, 4 Nov. 2015,
https://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/05/world/asia/hindu-mob-kills-another-indian-muslim-
accused-of-harming-cows.html. Accessed 21 Nov. 2021.
49. Three major incidents of cow vigilantism include: (1) Mohammad Akhlaq, father of an Indian
Air Force employee, was murdered in 2015. (2) Two Muslim cattle traders, including a
minor, were found strung and hanged in Latehar in Jharkhand. (3) A young man died in
police custody in the same state for allegedly WhatsApping cow-related texts. For details, see
Seema Chishti, ‘The Cow Test’, The Indian Express, 8 Apr. 2017.
50. Uttar Pradesh administration leads in applying the draconian National Security Act
indiscriminately to put people behind bars, and 94 out of 120 such orders have been quashed
in recent years by the Allahabad High Court, which has criticized the administration. Cow
slaughter is Category Number One when it comes to invoking NSA: it accounts for 41 cases,
more than a third of the total that reached the High Court. All the accused are from the
minority community and were detained by the District Magistrate based on FIRs alleging
cow slaughter. See report ‘94 Out of 120 Orders Quashed: Allahabad High Court Calls Out
Abuse of NSA in Uttar Pradesh’, The Indian Express, 6 Apr. 2021.
51. Ajaz Ashraf, ‘Uttar Pradesh Meat Politics: Why Have the “Sickular Parties” Failed to Show
Support for Muslims?’, Scroll.in, 14 Apr. 2017, https://scroll.in/article/834267/uttar-pradesh-
meat-politics-why-have-the-sickular-parties-failed-to-show-support-for-muslims. Accessed
14 Apr. 2017.
52. On this, see Achin Vanaik, Hindutva Rising: Secular Claims, Communal Realities, New
Delhi: Tulika Books, 2017; Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘A De Facto Ethnic Democracy? The
Obliteration and Targeting of the Other: Hindu Vigilantes and the Making of an Ethno-State’,
in Angana P. Chatterji, Thomas Blom Hansen, and Christophe Jaffrelot (eds.), Majoritarian
State: How Hindu Nationalism is Changing India, London: Hurst & Co., 2019.
53. Interview with Sanjay Jha from The Telegraph), 14 Jul. 2020. Sanjay Jha is a senior journalist
who has covered the Congress party for over a decade.
54. Editorial, ‘The Dividing Line’, The Indian Express, 17 Jul. 2018.
55. ‘BJP Managed to Convince People We Are a Muslim Party: Sonia Gandhi’, The Indian
Express, 10 Mar. 2018.
56. Ibid.
57. Ibid.
58. Ibid.
59. Kaushik Deka, ‘The Myth of a Monolith: The Muslim Vote’, India Today, 13 May 2019, p.
54.
60. Ibid.
61. ‘BJP Succeeded in Pinning the Congress as a Muslim Party’, says Digvijaya Singh, ‘Off the
Cuff with Digvijaya Singh’, The Print, https://theprint.in/off-the-cuff/digvijaya-singh/54438/.
Accessed 20 Nov. 2021.
62. Smita Gupta, ‘Antony’s Remark on Minorities Revives Debate in Congress’, The Hindu, 29
Jun. 2014.
63. Sanjay Jha, The Great Unravelling: India After 2014, New Delhi: Westland Publications,
2020, p. 180.
64. ‘Antony Attacks Congress’s Minority Appeasement’, The Times of India, 28 Jun. 2014.
65. Gupta, ‘Antony’s Remark on Minorities Revives Debate in Congress’.
66. C. L. Manoj, ‘Congress Revisiting Religion & Votes, Signals AK Antony’, The Economic
Times, 30 Jun. 2014.
67. Farah Naqvi, ‘India’s Muslims Are Not the Enemy, Madam Raksha Mantri’, Wire.in, 15 Jul.
2018, https://thewire.in/communalism/indias-muslims-are-not-the-enemy-madam-raksha-
mantri. Accessed 17 Jun. 2020.
68. Editorial, ‘The Dividing Line’, The Indian Express, 17 Jul. 2017.
69. Interview with Congress leader, Sanjay Jha, 6 Aug. 2020.
70. Jaffrelot, ‘The Fate of Secularism in India’.
71. Rahul Gandhi quoted in Sanjay Jha, ‘Unstated Message of Rahul Pilgrimage’, The Telegraph,
4 Sep. 2018.
72. Ibid.
73. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘Beyond Optics, Congress Has Begun Flirting with Some of BJP’s
Favourite Campaign Themes’, The Indian Express, 13 Mar. 2019.
74. Ibid.
75. T. K. Arun, ‘View: Soft Hindutva Approach Can Prove Disastrous for Congress’, The
Economic Times, 28 Nov. 2018.
76. Interview with Mani Shankar Aiyar, 10 Jul. 2020.
77. Interview with Sanjay Jha (The Telegraph), 14 Jul. 2020.
78. Interview with Congress leader Sanjay Jha, 6 Aug. 2020.
79. Cas Mudde, ‘Why Copying the Populist Right Isn’t Going to Save the Left’, The Guardian,
14 May 2014, https://www.theguardian.com/news/2019/may/14/why-copying-the-populist-
right-isnt-going-to-save-the-left. Accessed 4 Apr. 2020.
80. Ibid.
81. ‘Sabarimala: Rahul Gandhi Contradicts Congress Stand, Favours Women Entry’, Week, 30
Oct. 2018.
82. ‘Can’t Take Open-and-Shut Stand on Sabarimala, Let People of Kerala Decide: Rahul
Gandhi’, Livemint, 14 Jan. 2019,
https://www.livemint.com/Politics/3ue8jzaPtDgqC0JsttHP6J/Cant-take-openandshut-stand-
on-Sabarimala-let-people-of.html. Accessed 6 Apr. 2021.
83. Rajmohan Gandhi, ‘Indian Secularism Still Has a Future if Followers Stop Blame Game with
RSS: Rajmohan Gandhi’.
84. Interview with Anand Sahay, New Delhi, 29 Jun. 2020. Anand K. Sahay is a senior journalist,
columnist, and editor based out of New Delhi. He was formerly with The Times of India and
The Asian Age. He writes regularly for various print and digital media platforms.
85. Jyotiraditya Scindia, Rita Bahuguna Joshi, Kalita, Himanta Biswa Sarma, Shankasinh
Vaghela, S. M. Krishna, Jaganmohan Reddy, Jayanti Natarajan, Ajay Kumar, and Pradyot
Manikya Bikram Debbarma are among the leaders who have left the Congress.
86. Interview with Digvijaya Singh, 2 Aug. 2020.
87. Sandeep Phukan, ‘Jyotiraditya Scindia and Sachin Pilot Were the “Princelings” of Congress,
Says Manish Tiwari’, The Hindu, 3 Aug. 2020.
88. Interview with Sanjay Kapoor, 5 Jul. 2020. Sanjay Kapoor is the editor of Hardnews
Magazine, partner of Le Monde Diplomatique in South Asia.
89. Interview with Mani Shankar Aiyar, 10 Jul. 2020.
5
Hindu Nationalism to the Fore
The party allowed the BJP–RSS to run away with the nationalist
narrative because it was on the defensive once the BJP assumed the mantle
of nationalism. It did not defend its record on national security and
therefore allowed the BJP to arrogate to itself the claim to be the latter’s
sole arbiter and guardian. The BJP was convinced that it alone represented
nationalism. The party presented itself as the principal guardian of
nationalism and national security.
The Congress contested the nationalist label the Sangh Parivar has
ascribed to itself but failed to build a counter-narrative highlighting its
conception of nationalism or its contribution to national security. The party
was in power when Pakistan was split into two in 1971 and over 90,000
Pakistani soldiers surrendered in what was an unprecedented military action
when Bangladesh was formed. It faced down Khalistani separatism in
Punjab, which posed a serious threat to the unity of India in the late 1970s
and early 1980s. In the aftermath of the 2008 Mumbai attacks, the
government was instrumental in isolating Pakistan internationally as a
sponsor of terrorism through responsible diplomatic efforts and even
initiated covert measures such as surgical strikes.19 The party, however,
failed to capitalize on its historic achievements to punch holes in BJP’s
claims to be the sole guardian of national interest.
There was no debate in the Congress on nationalism, let alone Hindu
nationalism. No concerted effort was made to question its claims. No
discussions were organized on nationalism to generate a country-wide
debate on its hijacking by the BJP. Even the absence of the RSS from the
freedom struggle was not seized upon to corner the BJP. Given the
Congress’s long history of nationalist credentials, it was an issue that the
party had taken for granted for years and therefore perhaps did not see the
need to reiterate its claims over nationalism as a political battle. This
confidence was misplaced because nationalism had already emerged as the
principal political battleground of contesting ideologies. The party should
have joined the debate by spelling out how inclusive nationalism was
different from religious nationalism but effectively allowed itself to be left
out of the debate. The two nationalisms are indeed poles apart but the Right
has been largely successful in fusing Indian nationalism with Hindutva
while stridently emphasizing uniformity of identity and belief. With no
serious challenge to their redefinition of nationalism, inclusive nationalism
was replaced by the narrow definition of the Sangh Parivar, reminiscent of
European hyper-nationalism, which reached its apogee during the inter-war
years.20
The BJP’s 2019 election manifesto entitled ‘Sankalpit Bharat–Sashakt
Bharat (Determined India—Empowered India)’, declared ‘nationalism’ to
be the party’s ‘inspiration’. Soon after the manifesto was launched at the
BJP headquarters, finance minister Arun Jaitley said the document had been
prepared with a ‘nationalist’ and not a ‘tukde-tukde or Ivy League’ vision.21
Through such insinuations and campaigns, the government cultivated an
image of a staunchly dedicated nationalistic regime. This form of hyper-
nationalism was also evident in government directives. For instance, the
Vice-Chancellors of 42 Central universities were asked to fly the national
flag on their buildings, although most of the central universities already
have the tricolour flying from their administrative buildings.22 Ministers
and some retired military men called for tanks to be installed on campuses
that would display the portraits of all the 21 Param Vir Chakra (recipients of
India’s highest gallantry award) winners. This variety of hyper-nationalism
was promoted by social media and anchors on their television chat shows,
with repeated focus on the dangers posed by terrorism from Pakistan and of
illegal Muslim immigrants from Bangladesh.23
Stunning defeat
The Congress party suffered a huge defeat in 2019. The BJP cemented its
hold on power, even as the Congress was unable to even make inroads in
states it had been expected to win. The BJP crossed the 300 mark while its
vote share jumped from 31 to 38 per cent in 2019. Among the 421 seats the
party contested, it won just 52. It came second in 196 and third or below in
173 constituencies. However, even in the 196 seats in which it came second,
the Congress lost by huge margins in a large number of them. It drew a
blank in 18 states and Union Territories; nine former chief ministers lost in
the election. The Congress was completely routed in the Hindi-speaking
states, where the BJP won nearly every seat. The party’s dismal
performance in Uttar Pradesh stands out, with its vote share dipping from
7.53 to 6.31 per cent. It lost Maharashtra, did poorly in Karnataka and West
Bengal. It was invisible in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. Most of its seats
came from just three states: Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Punjab.77
This dismal performance raised questions about Rahul Gandhi’s
leadership and many blamed him for his party’s miserable performance. He
wasn’t, however, a complete pushover and the BJP’s relentless attack on
him was testimony to this till the post-Pulwama-Balakot events altered the
political narrative. Throughout the campaign, the BJP leaders relentlessly
attacked Rahul Gandhi and the Congress and indeed reserved their
munitions for the Congress, not bothering much about the rest of the
opposition. Rahul Gandhi fought a fierce battle against the BJP despite the
restricted opportunities the surcharged political climate allowed. He did
raise real issues while the prime minister concentrated entirely on terrorism,
the threat from Pakistan, and India’s vulnerability. Nonetheless, the party
lost badly because a combination of Hindu nationalism, populism, and the
Balakot airstrikes proved unbeatable. After the Balakot airstrikes the
Congress never found its footing again and was outgunned by the BJP’s
deep pockets and disciplined party machine.
The party was too far behind in organization, money, and momentum to
catch up. The BJP’s nationalist discourse was given credibility by key
players in the electronic media and also some in the print media. The media
sees itself as the conscience-keeper of the state, waging a battle against
‘enemies’ of the nation, principally those who disagree with the
government. It has become complicit in the manufacture of the nationalist
narrative and in signalling to supporters and dissidents alike who are
national and who are anti-national.78
During primetime, the prime minister received three times more airtime
than the Congress president. Hindi media is particularly enamoured of
Modi.79 His 64 rallies received most of the attention from Hindi channels
across India, while Rahul Gandhi’s 65 rallies within the same time period
were largely ignored. TV channels presented Modi not merely as the
frontrunner but as the only choice,80 as they had done in 2014. Pakistan was
used as a punching bag for the BJP to retain power, electronic media
reinforcing this campaign.
While there are many reasons for the Congress’s defeat, we must not
overlook the asymmetry in resources, most importantly the mind-boggling
money power of the BJP. Money was a major factor as this election which
was the most expensive ever.81 The BJP broke all records for election
spending,82 was by far the richest party in the fray,83 and outspent the
Congress and all the other political parties combined.84 The Centre for
Media Studies estimated that about Rs. 60,000 crores was spent in the 2019
elections, of which the BJP accounted for at least 45–55 per cent spending,
while the Congress spent only about 15–20 per cent of this amount.85
Before the campaign had even started, the BJP had spent more money on
ads than the previous government had done in ten years.86 It benefited from
the bulk of electoral bonds purchased during the two months preceding the
results.87 These funds helped the BJP to craft a campaign that no other
competitor could match, and when it came to electioneering, they were able
to rent all the available helicopters and private jets in India, leaving the
opposition stranded.
The BJP spent over Rs. 20 crores, which was six times as much as its
principal rival, the Congress, on Internet and social media-based
advertising.88 The BJP’s IT cell head, Amit Malaviya, had declared in
March that, ‘The upcoming elections will be fought on the mobile phone …
In a way, you could say they would be WhatsApp elections.’ He later said,
‘This is India’s first truly social media-driven election, fought on WhatsApp
with much greater intensity than in a TV studio.’89 The BJP is the master of
this technique, running an estimated half a million WhatsApp groups across
the country,90 making full use of WhatsApp and other social media
technologies to spread fake news. The IT cell was actively relaying
misinformation in the elections.91 According to a BBC report, online
accounts that favour the BJP are more prone to disseminating fake news in
comparison to those who oppose them; in fact, the prime minister’s NaMo
app has itself been a major source of misinformation.92
The BJP’s campaign was turbo-charged by Hindu nationalism and it won
the second five-year term on the strength of this platform despite the
ravaged economy, record joblessness, and widespread rural distress. In
2014, the BJP concentrated on economic issues, which gave rise to the hope
that it would bring economic growth and rid India of corruption. There was,
however, no reason to hope the same in 2019 as virtually nothing that was
promised was delivered. In such a situation, majoritarianism helped by
shifting the public discourse from the economic crisis to national security
and threats to the nation from internal and external enemies saved the day.
The Congress has never been able to take on the BJP and the Sangh Parivar
when they have used the national security mantra to keep it on the backfoot.
The BJP won the elections with a larger majority indicating that shift in
public discourse is what mattered. The defeat of the Congress makes it clear
that nationalism and perception of threats to national security motivated
voters more than policy choices. Economic discontent was swept aside as
large numbers of people from the majority united behind the BJP. In the
past, the focus was on what Arjun Appadurai described as the power of
small numbers, which top BJP leaders saw as an attempt to split the Hindu
vote. The BJP first implemented its strategy of Hindu unity in the 2017
Uttar Pradesh assembly elections by uniting lower castes while painting
Muslims as the ‘other’.93 Any counter-discourse was seen as pro-Muslim
and anti-national.94 Many people were happy that the ‘topiwala, darhiwala’
(Muslims) were shown their place.95 Some of them criticized the BJP but,
at the same time, said, ‘Modi is the only one who can show Muslims their
place, reduce them to the status of second class citizens.’96
The BJP’s ideologyoffered a sense of belonging to the nation while
masking conflicting interests. It popularized the idea that it is the nation,
albeit a Hindu nation, that matters. The 2019 verdict in this sense is a
triumph of the idea of a Hindu nation in the garb of national security. This
strategy succeeded in securing an unprecedented electoral endorsement as a
significant percentage (38 per cent) of the electorate thinks it can best
protect the nation. This was an election neither about past performance nor
about future promise but one to achieve ideological dominance through the
terrain of nationalism. The success of this platform highlights the structural
shift in Indian politics reflected in the emergence of a de facto majoritarian
democracy. There were now fewer barriers to the project of establishing a
Hindu state that might emanate from the fragmentation of power in Indian
society.
Notes
1. Dibyesh Anand, ‘Modi’s Election Win Is a Victory for Far-Right Hindu Nationalism—India’s
Secular Democracy Is Under Threat’, Independent (UK), 24 May 2019,
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/india-general-election-narendra-modi-bjp-hindu-
nationalism-a8926831.html. Accessed 21 Nov. 2021.
2. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘Hindu Nationalism and Democracy’, in Francine R. Frankel et al.
(eds.), Transforming India: Social and Political Dynamics of Democracy, New Delhi: Oxford
University Press, 2000, pp. 353–78.
3. Milan Vaishnav, ‘Religious Nationalism and India’s Future: The BJP in Power’, Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace, 4 Apr. 2019,
https://carnegieendowment.org/2019/04/04/religious-nationalism-and-india-s-future-pub-
78703. Accessed 20 Oct. 2019.
4. Walden Bello, ‘Understanding the Global Rise of the Extreme Right’, Counterpunch, 8 Oct.
2018, https://www.counterpunch.org/2018/10/08/understanding-the-global-rise-of-the-
extreme-right/. Accessed 15 Nov. 2019.
5. Partha Chatterjee, ‘Populism Plus’, India Forum, 7 Jun. 2019,
https://www.theindiaforum.in/article/populism-plus. Accessed 20 Apr. 2020.
6. Prabhat Patnaik, ‘How the Nationalism of India’s Anti-Colonial Struggle Differs from
Hindutva and Why It Matters Today’, The Telegraph, 12 Jun. 2019.
7. Peter Friedlander, ‘Hinduism and Politics’, inJeffrey Haynes (ed.), Routledge Handbook of
Religion and Politics, Abingdon: Routledge, 2016.
8. Sumit Ganguly, ‘India’s Prime Minister Modi Pursues Politics of Hindu Nationalism—What
Does That Mean?’, Conversation, 27 May 2019, https://theconversation.com/indias-prime-
minister-modi-pursues-politics-of-hindu-nationalism-what-does-that-mean-117794. Accessed
1 May 2020.
9. Lauren Frayer and Furkan Latif Khan, ‘The Powerful Group Shaping the Rise of Hindu
Nationalism in India’, npr, 3 May 2019, https://www.npr.org/2019/05/03/706808616/the-
powerful-group-shaping-the-rise-of-hindu-nationalism-in-india. Accessed 4 Apr. 2020.
10. The Nehru-Gandhi family, which has been multi-religious since the time Indira Gandhi
married the Parsi political leader Feroze Gandhi, and the Italian origins of Sonia Gandhi,
have made them an easy target to bolster the project of internal exclusion. See Vikas Pathak,
‘Why Did the Congress Lose Its Grip Over Nationalism’, Asiaville, 17 Mar. 2019,
https://www.asiavillenews.com/article/why-did-the-congress-lose-its-grip-over-nationalism-
3128. Accessed 6 Jul. 2020.
11. Prasenjit Chowdhury, ‘Communalism of the Majority’, Deccan Herald, 20 Jan. 2020.
12. Pathak, ‘Why Did the Congress Lose Its Grip Over Nationalism’.
13. Shruti Kapila, ‘Once Again, Sedition Is at the Heart of Defining the Nation’, Wire.in, 28 Feb.
2016, https://thewire.in/politics/once-again-sedition-is-at-the-heart-of-defining-the-nation.
Accessed 21 Mar. 2020.
14. For the series of lectures on nationalism organized by the Jawaharlal Nehru University
Teachers Association (JNUTA), see Rohit Azad, Janaki Nair, Mohinder Singh, and Mallarika
Sinha Roy (eds.), What the Nation Really Needs to Know: The JNU Nationalism Lectures,
New Delhi: Harper Collins, 2016.
15. Samanth Subramanian, ‘How Hindu Supremacists Are Tearing India Apart’, The Guardian,
20 Feb. 2020, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/20/hindu-supremacists-
nationalism-tearing-india-apart-modi-bjp-rss-jnu-attacks. Accessed 15 Jun. 2020.
16. The Home Ministry’s reply to a query by RTI activist Saket Gokhale stated: ‘We don’t have
information about “tukde-tukde gang” ’, Scroll Staff, ‘Home Ministry Says in Reply to RTI
Query’, Scroll in, 20 Jan. 2020, https://scroll.in/latest/950531/we-dont-have-information-
about-tukde-tukde-gang-home-ministry-says-in-reply-to-rti-query. Accessed 30 Jun. 2020.
17. ‘Campus Trouble: 10 Times Colleges Turned into War Zones’, The Hindustan Times, 7 Apr.
2016.
18. Shashi Tharoor, ‘Eight Ways to Rescue the Congress’, India Today, 23 May 2014.
19. ‘UPA Govt Did Multiple Surgical Strikes, Never Used Them to Seek Votes: Manmohan
Singh’, India Today, 2 May 2019.
20. For a discussion on Indian nationalism, see Shashi Tharoor, The Battle of Belonging: On
Nationalism, Patriotism and What It Means to Be Indian, New Delhi: Aleph Book Co., 2020.
21. See Monobina Gupta, ‘Poll Vault’, Wire.in, 9 Apr. 2019.
22. Anuradha Raman, ‘National Flag to Fly at All Central Universities’, The Hindu, 18 Feb.
2016.
23. Amy Kazim, ‘How Hindu Nationalism Went Mainstream in Modi’s India’, Financial Times, 8
May 2019.
24. ‘Bangladeshi Migrants Are Like Termites: Amit Shah’, The Hindu, 22 Sep. 2018.
25. The Rafale deal controversy in India pertained to the purchase of 36 multirole fighter aircraft.
The NDA’s decision to enter an $8.7 billion government-to-government deal with France to
buy 36 Rafale warplanes made by Dassault was announced in April 2015, with an agreement
signed a little over a year later. This replaced the previous UPA regime’s decision to buy 126
Rafale aircraft, 108 of which were to be made in India by the state-owned Hindustan
Aeronautics Ltd. (HAL). The Congress alleged loss to the public exchequer because of the
high price of the fighter jets.
26. ‘India Launches Air Strike in Pakistan; Islamabad Denies Militant Camp Hit’, Reuters, 26
Feb. 2019, https://in.reuters.com/article/india-kashmir-pakistan/india-launches-air-strike-
inside-pakistan-islamabad-denies-militant-camp-hit-idinkcn1qf07g. Accessed 7 Apr. 2020.
27. Marcus Hellyer,Nathan Ruser, and Aakriti Bachhawat, ‘India’s Strike on Balakot: A Very
Precise Miss?’, ASPI, Strategist, 27 Mar. 2019, https://scroll.in/article/923534/indian-voters-
cared-most-about-jobs-healthcare-drinking-water-then-pulwama-attack-happened. Accessed
7 Jan. 2020.
28. Nathan Ruser, ‘Did Balakot Airstrikes Hit Their Target? Satellite Imagery Raises Doubts’,
Wire.in, 1 Mar. 2019, https://thewire.in/security/balakot-airstrikes-india-pakistan-satellite-
images. Accessed 7 Aug. 2020.
29. Hellyer, Ruser, and Bachhawat, ‘India’s Strike on Balakot: A Very Precise Miss?’.
30. Martin Howell and Salahuddin, ‘Inside the Pakistani Madrasa Where India Said It Killed
Hundreds of “Terrorists” ’, Reuters, 11 Apr. 2019, https://in.reuters.com/article/india-
kashmir-pakistan-madrasa/inside-the-pakistani-madrasa-where-india-said-it-killed-hundreds-
of-terrorists-idINKCN1RN0XH. Accessed 7 Aug. 2020.
31. Nathan Ruser, ‘Were India’s Airstrikes in Pakistan a Strategy for Public Approval?’, ASPI,
Strategist, 1 Mar. 2019, https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/were-indias-airstrikes-in-pakistan-
a-strategy-for-public-approval/. Accessed 15 Aug. 2020.
32. Kunwar Singh, ‘Indian Voters Cared Most About Jobs, Healthcare, Drinking Water. Then,
Pulwama Happened’, Scroll.in, 16 May 2019, https://scroll.in/article/923534/indian-voters-
cared-most-about-jobs-healthcare-drinking-water-then-pulwama-attack-happened. Accessed
10 Feb. 2020.
33. Ibid. Rajdeep Sardesai, How Pulwama Made Modi’s Balakot Response His 1971 Moment’,
Business Standard, 30 Nov. 2019.
34. It has been repeatedly pointed out that the opposition had no such hesitation in questioning
Jawaharlal Nehru after the Sino-Indian border war of 1962. Criticism of Nehru’s handling
was not interpreted as disparaging the Indian army.
35. Ritu Sareen, ‘Pulwama Attack: Intelligence Failure … We Are at Fault Also, Admits
Governor’, The Indian Express, 15 Feb. 2019.
36. ‘Centre Counters J&K Governor on Pulwama Attack, Denies Intel Failure’, The Indian
Express, 26 Jun. 2019.
37. The government hasn’t so far explained how such a huge quantity of explosives made its way
to one of the most protected roads in the country—the Jammu–Srinagar highway—and how
the car carrying them could penetrate a security convoy of the CRPF. Failure to fix
accountability for the lapse that killed 40 CRPF jawans hasn’t been done yet. Rahul Gandhi’s
question about who ‘benefited the most’ from the Pulwama attack was a direct reference to
what many see as brazen exploitation of the sacrifice of soldiers for political gain by the BJP.
38. ‘Lok Sabha Elections 2019: Amit Shah Invokes National Security’, The Hindustan Times, 5
May 2019.
39. Barkha Dutt, ‘In 2014, Modi Ran on Aspiration. In 2019, He Is Running on Fear’,
Washington Post, 16 Apr. 2019, https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/04/15/modi-
ran-aspiration-he-is-running-fear/. Accessed 15 Aug. 2020.
40. Bruce Stokes, ‘How Indians See the World’, Pew Research Center, 17 Sep. 2015,
https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2015/09/17/3-how-indians-see-the-world/. Accessed 10
Jul. 2020.
41. ‘NES-Post Poll 2014-Findings’, Lokniti CSDS, 2014, https://www.lokniti.org/media/PDF-
upload/1536130357_23397100_download_report.pdf. Accessed 10 Jul. 2020.
42. ‘BJP Scores Big on National Security, Congress Pushes Back on Economic Welfare (IANS-
CVoter 2019 Survey)’, Business Standard, 1 Apr. 2019.
43. Nilanjan Mukhopadhyaya, ‘Tale of “Two Modis”: What the “Politician” & PM Achieved in
Leh’, Quint, 4 Jul. 2020. https://www.google.com/url?
sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjj9Nf2tKL0A
hUFxjgGHZXeAw8QFnoECAsQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fwww.alignindia.in%2Ftale-of-
two-modis-what-the-politician-pm-achieved-in-
leh%2F&usg=AOvVaw0oKavwisRHwl5NSQi2OUuX. Accessed 5 Jul. 2020.
44. Mukul Kesavan, ‘What Modi Signalled with Excursion to Nimu’, NDTV Opinion, 6 Jul.
2020, https://www.ndtv.com/opinion/what-modi-signalled-with-excursion-to-nimu-by-
mukul-kesavan-2257752. Accessed 7 Jul. 2020.
45. Shekhar Gupta, ‘Not Growth & Jobs But Nationalism, Hindutva, Corruption Will Drive
Modi’s Push to 2019’, The Print, 30 Dec. 2017, https://theprint.in/national-interest/modis-
politics-to-2019/25694/. Accessed 16 Aug. 2020.
46. Hartosh Singh Bal, ‘Modi’s Campaign of Fear and Prejudice’, The New York Times, 17 Apr.
2019, https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/17/opinion/modi-india-election.html. Accessed 16
Jun. 2020.
47. Manoj Joshi, ‘In His Attempt to Win Elections, Narendra Modi Does Not Seem Bound by
Propriety—or Even Dignity’, Scroll.in, 12 Dec. 2017.
48. Dutt, ‘In 2014, Modi Ran on Aspiration. In 2019, He Is Running on Fear’.
49. ‘Congress Hatched “Hindu Terror” Conspiracy to Defame Religious Heritage: PM Modi’,
The Economic Times, 12 May 2019.
50. Ibid.
51. ‘BJP Pivots Campaign to Attacking Congress for “Linking Hindus to Terrorism” ’, Wire.in, 2
Apr. 2019, https://thewire.in/communalism/bjp-pivots-campaign-to-attacking-congress-for-
linking-hindus-to-terrorism. 16 Aug. 2020.
52. ‘Modi Blames Congress for Creation of Pakistan, Slams “Chowkidar Chor” Jibe’, Hindu
Business Line, 9 Apr. 2019.
53. Amulya Ganguli, ‘Verdict 2019: Triumph of BJP’s Hindu Nationalist Card’, News Click, 27
May 2019, https://www.newsclick.in/verdict-2019-triumph-BJP-hindu-nationalist-card.
Accessed 15 Aug. 2020.
54. Dutt, ‘In 2014, Modi Ran on Aspiration. In 2019, He Is Running on Fear’.
55. ‘Lok Sabha Elections 2019: Amit Shah Invokes National Security’, The Hindustan Times, 5
May 2019.
56. Pralay Kanungo, ‘The Rise of the NaMo Cult and What Lies Ahead for “New India” ’,
Wire.in, 26 May 2019, https://thewire.in/politics/narendra-modi-cult-bjp-election-victory.
Accessed, 20 Jul. 2019.
57. Ibid.
58. Interview with Nilanjan Mukhopadhyay, 5 July 2020. Nilanjan Mukhopadhyay is a senior
journalist and writer. He has authored several books such as The Demolition: India at the
Crossroads (1994), Narendra Modi: The Man, the Times (2013), and Sikhs: The Untold
Agony of 1984 (2015).
59. Interview with Nilanjan Mukhopadhyay, 5 Jul. 2020.
60. Shiv Shankar Menon quoted in Kashif Kakvi, ‘Armed Forces Action Never Publicised as
Being Done by Modi Govt: Former NSA’, Newsclick, 13 Jan. 2020,
https://www.newsclick.in/armed-forces-action-never-publicised-being-done-modi-govt-
former-nsa. Accessed 4 July 2020.
61. Field Notes from a visit to Lucknow, Allahabad, Banaras, Rae Bareli, and Amethi in April–
May 2019.
62. Ibid.
63. ‘ “We Will Wipe Out Poverty”: Rahul Gandhi Announces Minimum Income Guarantee
Scheme’, Scroll.in, 25 Mar. 2019, https://scroll.in/latest/917806/it-will-bring-justice-to-the-
poor-rahul-gandhi-announces-minimum-income-guarantee-scheme. Accessed 5 Apr. 2020.
64. Tushar Dhara, ‘Anonymous Note Circulated Within Congress Highlights Failures of Its
Election Ad Campaign’, The Caravan, 3 Jul. 2019,
https://caravanmagazine.in/politics/anonymous-note-circulated-within-congress-highlights-
failures-election-ad-campa. Accessed 5 Apr. 2020.
65. Apparently, in 2014, there were NREGA billboards in Breach Candy, Mumbai, an affluent
locality, but there were none that we spotted during our field visit in the midst of the 2019
election campaign. Sanjay Jha, The Great Unravelling: India After 2014, New Delhi:
Westland Publications, 2020, p. 198.
66. Interview with Nilanjan Mukhopadhyay, New Delhi, 5 Jul. 2020.
67. ‘Govt to Transfer Rs 2,000 Under PM-KISAN Scheme to 8.69 Farmers in April 1st Week’,
The Economic Times, 26 Mar. 2020.
68. Interview with Zafar Agha, New Delhi, 7 Jul. 2020. Zafar Agha is the editor-in-chief of the
National Herald. He is a veteran journalist and political commentator who earlier served as
editor-in-chief of Quami Awaz.
69. Shakti was among the first policy initiatives of Rahul Gandhi as party president. It was
supposed to ‘help the party evolve a much better ground game at the booth level’ through
Project Shakti, a database of booth-level Congress workers/sympathizers by their voter card
numbers.
70. Roshan Kishore and Sunetra Choudhury, ‘Over Dependence on Data May Have Derailed
Congress’s 2019 Campaign’, The Hindustan Times, 20 Jun. 2019.
71. Betwa Sharma, ‘How Project “Shakti” Misled Rahul And Deepened Congress’s Lok Sabha
Rout’, Huffpost, 30 May 2019, https://www.huffingtonpost.in/entry/bogus-app-rahul-gandhi-
congresss-lok-sabha-rout_in_5cee2e83e4b0793c23476816. Accessed 30 Mar. 2020.
72. Since his days as Gujarat chief minister, whenever the Congress made personal attacks
against him, Modi turned around the slogans to his advantage. In the 2007 Gujarat assembly
elections, the BJP had turned around the ‘Maut Ka Saudagar’ comment by Sonia Gandhi to
polarize the electorate. In 2014, Congress leader Mani Shankar Aiyar made the controversial
remark that Modi cannot become prime minister, but he can come to the Congress conclave
and sell tea, a dig at his humble background. In response, his team launched the ‘Chai Pe
Charcha’ campaign that put Congress on the backfoot. See Rakesh Mohan Chaturvedi and
Kumar Anshuman, ‘Chowkidar Beats Chor Hai: Modi Uses Insults to His Advantage’, The
Economic Times, 24 May 2019.
73. ‘Rajdeep Sardesai Explains How Marketing Professionals Run Narendra Modi’s and BJP’s
Social Media’. An excerpt from his book on the 2019 elections published in Scroll.in. ‘2019:
How Modi Won India’, Scroll.in, 25 Dec. 2019, https://scroll.in/article/947789/rajdeep-
sardesai-explains-how-marketing-professionals-run-narendra-modis-and-bjps-social-media.
Accessed 7 Apr. 2020.
74. Ibid.
75. The Hindu published a series of investigative reports on Rafale procurement by N. Ram.
These reports reveal the great increase in the price of the Rafale transaction was because the
deal bypassed mandated procedures. The French side took advantage of parallel parleys by
the PMO, which weakened the Indian negotiating team’s position. ‘Modi’s Decision to Buy
36 Rafales Shot the Price of Each Jet up by 41%’, The Hindu, 18 Jan. 2019; ‘Rafale: Modi
Govt. Gave Unprecedented Waivers in Offset Agreements’, The Hindu, 9 Apr. 2019; ‘No
Bank Guarantees Meant a More Expensive New Rafale Deal’, The Hindu, 6 Mar. 2019;
‘Government Waived Anti-Corruption Clauses in Rafale Deal’, The Hindu, 11 Feb. 2019;
‘Rafale Deal Not on “Better Terms” Than UPA-Era Offer’, The Hindu, 13 Feb. 2019.
76. Katherine Adeney, ‘India Election: How Narendra Modi Won with an Even Bigger Majority’,
Conversation, 24 May 2019, https://theasiadialogue.com/2019/05/24/india-election-how-
narendra-modi-won-with-an-even-bigger-majority/. Accessed 14 Apr. 2020.
77. Aditya Menon and Abhidek Deb, ‘How Congress Lost 2019 Elections: 4 Charts Give the Full
Picture’, Quint, 25 May 2019, https://www.thequint.com/elections/how-congress-lost-2019-
elections-narendra-modi-bjp-rahul-gandhi. Accessed 3 Dec. 2019.
78. ‘Television News in India Is Missing the Wisdom That Comes with Age’, Wire.in, 4 Aug.
2018, https://thewire.in/media/television-news-in-india-is-missing-the-wisdom-that-comes-
with-age. Accessed 25 Aug. 2018.
79. On the role of Hindi media in elections, see Tabrez Neyazi, Political Communication and
Mobilisation: The Hindi Media in India, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2018.
80. Several persons interviewed said the media propaganda is that ‘BJP May Not Be Good, But
Modi Is Good’. Interviews in Allahabad, 14–15 Apr. 2019.
81. Devesh Kapur and Milan Vaishnav, Costs of Democracy: Political Finance in India, New
Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2018. Also see, Milan Vaishnav, When Crime Pays: Money
and Muscle in Indian Politics, New Haven: Yale University Press, 2017.
82. Bibhudatta Pradhan and Shivani Kumaresan, ‘Indian Elections Become World’s Most
Expensive: This Is How Much They Cost’, Bloomberg, 3 Jun. 2019,
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-03/india-s-bitterly-fought-poll-becomes-
the-world-s-most-expensive. Accessed 15 Aug. 2020. ‘BJP Flush With Poll Cash, No
Questions Asked in These Elections’, The Telegraph, 2 May 2019.
83. Two ABM-managed pages are the top two biggest spenders on Facebook, a fact disclosed
once the social network rolled out its advertiser transparency campaign in Feb. 2019.
Samarth Bansal,Gopal Sathe,Rachna Khaira, and Aman Sethi, ‘How Modi, Shah Turned a
Women’s NGO Into a Secret Election Propaganda Machine’, Huffington Post, 4 Apr. 2019,
https://www.huffingtonpost.in/entry/how-modi-shah-turned-a-women-s-Rights-ngo-into-a-
secret-election-propaganda-machine_in_5ca5962ce4b05acba4dc1819?
ncid=other_email_o63gt2jcad4&utm_campaign=share_email. Accessed 8 Jan. 2020.
84. Alexandra Ulmer and Aftab Ahmed, ‘Modi’s War Chest Leaves India Election Rivals in the
Dust’, Reuters, 1 May 2019, https://in.reuters.com/article/india-election-spending-bjp-
congress/modis-war-chest-leaves-india-election-rivals-in-the-dust-idINKCN1S7390.
Accessed 10 Feb. 2020.
85. Over 20 years, involving six elections to Lok Sabha between 1998 and 2019, election
expenditure rose by around six times from Rs. 9,000 crores to around Rs. 55,000 crores. The
BJP spent about 20 per cent in 1998 against about 45 per cent in 2019 out of total poll
expenditure estimated at Rs. 9,000 crores to Rs. 55,000 crores. In 2009, the Congress party’s
share was 40 per cent of total expenditure in 2009, against 15–20 per cent in 2019. Centre for
Media Studies, Poll Expenditure: The 2019 Elections: A CMS Report,
http://cmsindia.org/sites/default/files/2019-05/Poll-Expenditure-the-2019-elections-cms-
report.pdf. Accessed 5 Mar. 2020.
86. Sonia Faleiro, ‘Absent Opposition, Modi Makes India His Hindu Nation’, New York Review
of Books, 3 Aug. 2019, https://www.nybooks.com/daily/2019/07/29/absent-opposition-modi-
makes-india-his-hindu-nation/?printpage=true. 3/9 Accessed 15 Aug. 2019.
87. ‘What Are Electoral Bonds’, India Today, 12 Apr. 2019.
88. Anumeha Chaturvedi, ‘BJP Top Spender on Political Ads on Digital Platforms’, The
Economic Times, 16 May 2019.
89. ‘Rajdeep Sardesai Explains How Marketing Professionals Run Narendra Modi’s and BJP’s
Social Media’.
90. Alt News, which monitors social media feeds, found that ‘he [Amit Malaviya] repeatedly uses
misinformation in an attempt to discredit individuals, communities, opposition parties,
leaders and social movements.’ Since he is the official head of the BJP’s online propaganda
machine, the misinformation promoted by Malaviya has a dangerous ripple effect. His false
claims are echoed by party members and supporters of the BJP, giving rise to large-scale
misinformation campaigns. Pooja Chaudhuri, ‘Amit Malaviya’s Fake News Fountain: 16
Pieces of Misinformation Spread by the BJP IT Cell Chief’, Scroll.in, 10 Feb. 2020,
https://scroll.in/article/952731/amit-malviyas-fake-news-fountain-16-pieces-of-
misinformation-spread-by-the-bjp-it-cell-chief. Accessed 12 Feb. 2020.
91. With some 625 million Internet users in India and upwards of 80 per cent of Internet use on
mobile phones, there could be 625 million pairs of eyes looking at social media during the
2019 election, nearly eight times more than in 2014. Over a third of India’s population, and
perhaps over 40 per cent of its voters, use social media though there are no reliable studies on
how frequently they use it for political news and views. Shashi Tharoor, ‘Modi, the BJP and
Social Media: India’s WhatsApp Elections’, Qantara, 6 Jun. 2019,
https://en.qantara.de/content/modi-the-bjp-and-social-media-india%CA%B9s-whatsapp-
elections. Accessed 16 Aug. 2020.
92. Aria Thaker, ‘There’s No Stopping Fake News in India When the Prime Minister’s Own App
Spreads It’, Quartz India, 28 Jan. 2019, https://qz.com/india/1534754/modis-namo-app-
spreads-pro-bjp-fake-news-before-indian-elections/. Accessed 19 Jul. 2020.
93. A popular BJP slogan in the 2019 election in Uttar Pradesh was: ‘Yadav, Chamar Chodo,
Sabko Jodo’.
94. Interview during a field visit to Banaras, 15 Apr. 2019.
95. Interview with a master weaver in Banaras, 15 Apr. 2019.
96. Interviews during a field visit to Allahabad, 15 Apr. 2019.
6
Opposition Interrupted
Communal-authoritarianism
Three events which occurred within months of BJP’s massive victory in
2019—(1) the abrogation of Articles 370 and 35A (which grants Jammu
and Kashmir special autonomous status) and downgrading the state to a
Union Territory, (2) the settlement of the Ayodhya dispute in favour of the
Hindu party, and (3) the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) and the
proposed National Register of Citizens (NRC)—exemplify the convergence
of communalism and majoritarianism to establish a communal-authoritarian
regime.9
Reading down Articles 370 and 35A and the abolition of the state are
central to this form of politics.10 Describing political arguments as the
‘people’s mandate’ or the ‘will of the people’, an entire state was caused to
disappear from the map under a presidential order unconstrained by
constitutional practice and disregarding the state’s legislative apparatus on 5
August 2019. That unconstitutionality is further exacerbated by the fact that
this declaration was made with the concurrence of the governor at a time
when the state was under the president’s rule. Anticipating outrage and
protest, the entire population was placed under curfew, high-speed Internet
taken down, and virtually every mainstream politician in the Kashmir valley
was placed under house arrest or jailed, including former BJP allies, and the
state was downgraded to the status of a Union Territory controlled by the
Centre from New Delhi.
Kashmir, over which India and Pakistan have fought four wars since the
Partition in 1947, has been the battleground for conflicting ideologies.11 For
India after Independence, the state became a symbol of secularism in its
post-colonial nation-building project.12 For Hindu nationalism, Kashmir is
not a symbol of secularism but a geographical expression of land that had to
be conquered, homogenized, and Hindu nationalism emblazoned upon it.
This agenda couldn’t have found a better place than Kashmir as a starting
point. ‘For them, Kashmir was a symbol waiting to be rebranded, the
perfect geography from where to announce the rise to dominance of India’s
new aggressive nationalism and unabashed majoritarianism,’ notes Haseeb
Drabu, former finance minister of the then state.13 Even in this instance, the
focus was on India’s only Muslim-majority state, thereby firmly coupling
nationalism with Hindutva.14
The Congress Working Committee (CWC) deplored the ‘unilateral,
brazen, completely undemocratic manner’ in which Article 370 of the
Constitution was abrogated and the State of Jammu and Kashmir
dismembered by misinterpreting the provisions of the Constitution, which
calls into question the very idea of India being a Union of States. ‘Every
principle of constitutional law, states’ rights, parliamentary procedure and
democratic governance was violated,’ said the CWC resolution.
The second critical issue was the Supreme Court’s unanimous verdict in
the historic Ayodhya case on 9 November 2019.15 The five-judge bench
legally buried the prolonged and tangled dispute, which began as a minor
litigation and expanded into a major political issue that deepened
polarization and transformed the course of Indian politics. The apex court’s
verdict pronounced that the disputed land in Ayodhya would go to a
government-monitored trust to build a temple, and Muslims would receive a
separate five-acre plot of land in the city to build a mosque. The bench
recorded its revulsion at the desecration of the mosque in 1949 when Hindu
idols were planted surreptitiously under its central dome and the planned
destruction of the entire structure on 6 December 1992, describing it as an
‘egregious violation of the law’. However, handing over the entire disputed
site where the mosque once stood to the Hindu party amounted to
legitimizing the very demolition it unequivocally condemned. The Supreme
Court thus ensured that a temple would be built on the land where the
mosque once stood, which by the court’s own admission was illegally
demolished. The greater significance of the judgment lies in the tacit
endorsement of majoritarian politics by the highest court.16 The Hindu
editorial correctly noted in this context that, ‘After nearly three decades of
unrelenting pursuit of communal polarization, the majoritarian, revanchist
forces in the country have fatigued their secular adversaries into passive
acquiescence.’17 Allowing faith and belief to determine a modern legal
claim undermines the ground on which the Indian republic was built.
Assigning to the central government the task of setting up a Hindu religious
trust to build a Ram temple on the site of the Babri Masjid implies that it
was the government’s duty to cater to Hindu religious interests.
The ruling, just six months after the landslide election triumph, was a
huge victory for the BJP government, which had made the construction of
the Ram temple at Ayodhya a focal point of its agenda to transform India
into a Hindu nation. The construction of the temple would not have been
possible without the indulgence of the Supreme Court.18
The Congress signalled its acceptance of the verdict, with the CWC
welcoming the verdict in the Ayodhya case and asserting its support for the
Ram temple construction. ‘After 26 years, the Supreme Court has done
exactly the same thing that the Congress party had sought to do through an
Act of Parliament (the Ayodhya Act, 1993), vis-a-vis construction of the
Ram temple, a mosque and a museum,’ the Congress chief spokesman
claimed.19 The party said in its communiqué, ‘The name of Lord Ram can
never be used to divide people. Those who will dare to do so, they don’t
understand the values and traditions established by Lord Ram.’20 Given its
past positions on this issue, this was hardly surprising.
The third important issue is the CAA 2019. The amended law seeks to
fast-track citizenship to non-Muslim minorities from India’s three
neighbouring countries—Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Bangladesh—on the
grounds of religious persecution. It offers quick protection and citizenship
by creating an exemption from the ‘illegal migrants’ category for Hindus,
Sikhs, Buddhists, Jains, Parsis, and Christians from these three countries
but discriminates against refugees and immigrants who happen to be
Muslim. This is in complete violation of the right to equality and equal
protection before the law enshrined in Article 24 of the Constitution. The
Act is illogical as it singles out one particular religion for exclusionary
treatment.21 Clearly, the idea is not simply to help persecuted minorities but
to demonize and isolate one group. The CAA, in addition to making the
naturalization of Muslim migrants from the neighbouring countries
difficult, would, at an ideological level, establish the notion of India as a
Hindu Homeland to which the RSS is doctrinally committed.
This exercise was correctly seen by many as an intensification of
communal polarization that feeds into the larger construct of targeting
Muslims for political ends. Tens of thousands of people in cities across
India joined in protests to oppose the CAA and the projected
implementation of the NRC.22 Far from responding to concerns regarding
the CAA, the protests were met with strong-arm tactics by the
establishment in most places. These protests were significant because they
came at a time when the very idea of dissent had been delegitimized and
criminalized on a regular basis over the past seven years. Consequently,
protestors were continuously under threat from mob vigilantes and state
agencies who tried to stop them.
The CWC demanded that the CAA be withdrawn and the NPR process
be stopped forthwith, accusing the BJP government of using its brute
majority to impose a ‘divisive and discriminatory’ agenda.23 Congress chief
ministers rejected the amended citizenship law and said they would not
implement the NRC. The CAA, along with the NRC, gives rise to a legal
regime that is not consistent with the tenets of the Constitution.24 It violates
the basic structure of the Constitution and the principle of secularism
embedded within the constitutional framework. At stake is the conflict
between the secular spirit of the Constitution and the sectarian narrative
propagated by the ruling dispensation.
The BJP singled out the Congress for criticism on all these issues to
demonstrate that the latter was on the side of Muslims rather than on that of
the nation. The political strategy is to pin down the Congress to these
issues, and to fiercely attack all other critics of their policy, and declare
them to be anti-national.
Curbing dissent
Sharpening political divisiveness has been accompanied by vigorous curbs
on dissent. The government is seriously averse to criticism, NGOs, and
protests;25 targeting and stifling the opposition is its avowed objective.
While every previous government is guilty of similar abuses, the nature and
scale of curbs are qualitatively and quantitatively different, as evidenced by
the present dispensation’s dismal record when it comes to the use of central
agencies to rein in dissenting voices in political battles against the
opposition and curtailment of freedom of expression. The consequence is
India’s plummeting record on democratic indices over the past few years.26
The fundamental right to freedom of expression has been restricted
through many means. Hate speech is rife; peaceful dissent is criminalized;
and freedom of expression and association faces new constraints. Previous
governments too sometimes crossed the line on dissent but this government
has gone much further than they had ever ventured. The BJP government
has used a heavy-handed approach to put critics and dissenters in their
place, which is often in jail. It has used overwhelming resources, power,
and skills to silence its critics who are accused of being anti-national and
wrapping itself in the national flag. Any criticism of the state is labelled
anti-national, thus blurring the distinction between government and state
and confusing dissent with disloyalty. Branding dissent as an anti-national
activity is a crucial component of the political agenda driving this regime.
This encroachment on the space for dissent has resulted either in self-
censorship or arrests that have generated an atmosphere of fear, anxiety, and
mistrust.
Activists have been held in preventive detention to stop them from
organizing protests, students have been assaulted in university libraries and
within campuses, and civil society organizations, countering hate and
discrimination, have been hounded rather than protected by the law
enforcement agencies. The passage of the Unlawful Activities (Prevention)
Act (UAPA), 2019, although intended to fight terror, has been used against
those who have raised their voice against the government, including Right
to Information (RTI) activists, public intellectuals, thinkers, journalists, and
ordinary citizens.27 These laws permit the state to designate someone as a
terrorist without trial and with no prospects of bail. It has been liberally
used to arrest prominent intellectuals and advocates of civil liberties such as
those accused in the Bhima Koregaon case.28 The government’s wide-
ranging actions clearly suggest that it sees democratic rights as an obstacle
to political consolidation.
Salman Rushdie sums up the situation in India today. He writes on the
completion of 40 years of his landmark book, Midnight’s Children, that,
‘right now, in India, it’s midnight again.’29
India today, to someone of my mind, has entered an even darker phase than the Emergency
years. The horrifying escalation of assaults on women, the increasingly authoritarian character
of the state, the unjustifiable arrests of people who dare to stand against that authoritarianism,
the religious fanaticism, the rewriting of history to fit the narrative of those who want to
transform India into a Hindu-nationalist, majoritarian state, and the popularity of the regime in
spite of it all, or, worse, perhaps because of it all – these things encourage a kind of despair.
Erosion of institutions
The political ecosystem has been vitiated by calculated erosion of the
neutrality of public institutions, which are intended to serve as checks and
balances on the exercise of executive power.30 There has been a complete
takeover of public institutions. The BJP–RSS has been entrenched at every
level of government over the past few years.31 The party has used its
electoral majority to capture institutions ‘to consolidate its authoritarian and
ideological control over institutions’, argues Prabhat Patnaik.32 Institutions
have been hollowed out, accompanied by a centralization of power, abuse
of authority, a growing personality cult, and a clear negation of personal
freedoms.33 There is growing evidence, as Pranab Bardhan notes, of
Concentration of power in one person, intimidation of critics and dissenters, weakening of
institutions of checks and balances, and misuse of police, bureaucracy, tax, and investigative
agencies against political opponents, are all gross violations of the Constitution which can put
the world’s largest democracy to shame.34
The BJP had accused Sonia Gandhi of running the UPA government by
remote control and thereby undermining political institutions. It was
assumed that once elected to power it would restore the authority and
sanctity of public institutions. Events have, however, moved in the opposite
direction, with increased government interference in institutions resulting in
institutional denigration.35 Decision-making is concentrated in the hands of
the prime minister, demonstrating his total command and control over the
Indian state and its instruments. ‘No other prime minister has enjoyed such
complete ascendancy in every power and constitutional equation,’ which
led Harish Khare to describe this phenomenon as ‘prime-ministerial
autocracy’.36
Although state institutions have always had to negotiate with political
rulers, and there have been periods in India’s past when matters came to a
flashpoint, such as during the Emergency (1975–77), never before or since
have constitutional institutions had to function for purely political ends to
such a degree, especially at a time when there has been no formal
declaration of Emergency. The chosen method to muzzle institutions is to
fill such posts with loyal bureaucrats and thereby turn autonomous statutory
bodies into virtual government departments. The checks and balances of
constitutional government have been weakened as major public institutions
have become deeply partisan. The autonomy of the Election Commission of
India (ECI), the Central Bureau of Investigation, the Central Vigilance
Commission, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), media, universities, the
Right to Information, Parliament, and its committees have all been seriously
undermined.
The ECI has enjoyed a global reputation for democratic integrity and
operational excellence in conducting the world’s biggest elections. It has
historically benefited from a robust constitutional mandate, granting it wide
powers and significant independence from the executive.37 T. N. Seshan
turned the ECI into one of the best in the world, but in recent years many of
its decisions have been biased and often favoured the incumbent party.38 Its
reputation for integrity has been undermined by allegations of subservience
to the BJP government and accused of modifying election dates and
schedules to favour it.39 The ECI has turned a blind eye to senior BJP
leaders, including the prime minister flouting rules. Prime Minister Modi
was accused of invoking the Indian Army and the Balakot airstrikes for
election propaganda, thereby violating the model code of conduct, but the
ECI took no action40 He was cleared on the technicality that he did not seek
votes for either his party or himself while doing so.41 The ECI permitted
NaMo TV, a propaganda channel dedicated to Modi, to continue to screen
coverage of the prime minister well up to polling day, although its contents
were breaking rules that prohibit political advertising during the election.42
Subscribers didn’t have to pay for the 24-hour channel, which appeared in
the menu options just prior to the elections, and then, as mysteriously,
vanished once polling was over.
The opposition parties, most notably the Congress, have expressed
concerns regarding the ECI’s favouritism in relation to the BJP, raising
doubts about the Commission’s institutional integrity. The party accused the
ECI of bias and abdication of constitutional responsibility in ensuring a
level-playing field in the 2019 elections. Voicing its fears that the ECI
might have been captured by the BJP government, the party observed,
The sanctity of the electoral process and the institutional integrity of the Election Commission
of India is in jeopardy. There must be a thorough credible enquiry into the issues raised by
[Ashok] Lavasa and restoration of the commission’s independent status as the watchdog of
[the] world’s largest democracy.43
The Supreme Court appeared to be infallible but its impartial functioning
has been compromised too. Of all the institutions, the Supreme Court has
grown considerably in power and stature during the past two decades,
becoming one of the most powerful courts in the world. Judges are least at
risk from a domineering executive but have chosen to be more pliant in the
face of an authoritarian government. ‘It is precisely in such circumstances
that the judiciary is called into play, as a check on executive excess and
despotism,’ argues Sanjay Hegde, senior advocate in the Supreme Court.44
Four Supreme Court judges took the unprecedented step of holding a
press conference to voice their protest against arbitrary allocation of cases
to benches by the Chief Justice of India, questioning the independence of
the court, which they warned could be manipulated in the appointment of
judges.45 That, however, did not change things. Justice Ranjan Gogoi, when
he became chief justice, presided over some crucial cases which were of
great import to the government: The Rafale scam, the Ayodhya land title
dispute, abrogation of Article 370, NRC in Assam, and electoral bonds. His
nomination to the Rajya Sabha four months after his retirement cast serious
doubts on the independence of the judiciary.46 Prashant Bhushan remarks47:
Over the past six years, we have seen a striking decline in the role of the Supreme Court as
being the guardian of the Constitution and rights of people. Also, during the terms of these last
four CJIs, there has been an abdication by the Supreme Court of its constitutional duty to
protect basic constitutional values, fundamental rights of citizens, and the rule of law.
Media controls
One institution that might be expected to hold the government accountable
is the media but, through a variety of means, this medium has been reduced
to a collaborative platform or amplifier for the BJP. The BJP’s greatest
advantage is that it has had consistently good press.67 The leading lights of
the Indian media have given close attention to the problems of the
opposition and the Congress but have no questions whatsoever for the
government. The media has asked very tough questions, but only to the
opposition with Rahul Gandhi being singled out for special attention,
relentlessly held to account, especially by television channels, as if he were
the prime minister with an absolute majority and therefore accountable to
the people. Political opponents are mercilessly pilloried while the
government gets away unscathed.68 This is unusual because in most
democracies the media serves to keep a critical eye on the government, but
in India, it has been the opposition that has been under scrutiny.
Corporate control of the media is a major reason for this but that alone
cannot explain its shrill pro-government tone. Earlier it was the same
corporate sector that controlled the media and freely lambasted the UPA
government, but now it more or less uncritically accepts the government’s
view and has readily aligned with the ideological impulses of the state.69
The government swears by the freedom of the press, yet there is increasing
evidence that the long arm of the government is finding ways of compelling
media houses and journalists which/who question or expose its
wrongdoings to toe the line. The new trend is the use of media not to
communicate news but to propagate the ruling ideology.70 By encouraging
friendly corporations to take control of the media and by way of some arm-
twisting and selective allocation of government advertisement, the ruling
dispensation has succeeded in ensuring that the media is completely in sync
with the dominant narrative.71 What is also apparent, although less
recognizably, is the denial of access to information to people holding public
office as a form of limiting the freedom of press.72 This government refuses
to accept that the role of the media is to ask questions and expose
shortcomings of policy and its implementation.73 As the Economic and
Political Weekly noted:
rarely has there been such tight control of information from the central government to the point
that bureaucrats are afraid to speak or mingle openly with journalists. People in power publicly
endorse what is deemed to be the Prime Minister’s view. There is no open debate within the
government and independent voices within it are afraid to speak. This leaves little or no space
for independent journalists to investigate issues of importance. When they do, they are accused
of being allied with an opposition party.74
This, however, also happens because the media is willing to abdicate its
responsibility of revealing the truth.
Indian political trends no longer are what the Congress thought they
were. They are now driven by right-wing television networks, WhatsApp
groups, and gigantic campaign extravaganzas staged at the cost of billions
of corporate rupees, much of it secret and untraceable. Although traditional
media continues to be an important source of information, digital platforms
are an even more potent tool with which to woo voters.75 As many as 230
million Indians use WhatsApp, making India its biggest market.76 Many
political groups use the platform to circulate undiluted propaganda.77 The
BJP’s 400+ Cyber Army, a WhatsApp group, is quite frank about its
political objectives: ‘This Group is a Nationalists Group with Hindu
Warriors Working to Save Nation from Break India forces led politically by
Congress, Communist and religiously by Islam and Christianity [sic].’78
The depth of the BJP’s social media control was evident from Amit Shah’s
remark that the group had the power to make any message go viral, whether
real or fake.79 In short, as a Congress activist put it, ‘Social media is the jet
fuel that took their message from shakhas to lakhs of people.’80
This comment came in the context of raids on media outlets, but it speaks
volumes of executive overreach to muzzle the voices of the opposition.
Income tax raids and summons intensify especially when an election is
around the corner or whenever an opposition government is in crisis.
Income tax raids occur, apparently coincidentally, largely in opposition
ruled states.
The list of opposition leaders who have been investigated by central
agencies is long and is not restricted to the Congress party and its leaders
alone. In recent years it extends across political parties but only those
opposed to the BJP. ‘But when it comes to BJP, which itself is the richest
political party in the world, there is no accountability or questioning,’ said a
Congress spokesperson.86 Most opposition leaders have been cowed into
remaining silent under the threat of punitive action by the investigation
agencies.87 This is not, however, a battle against corruption because the
investigations and raids are restricted to opposition leaders even as the
government dragged its feet for five years in appointing a Lokpal.88
The opposition has been trumped in state after state through active
encouragement of defections and purchasing MLAs.89 There has been no
hesitation in welcoming MLAs from the Congress, even those who were
earlier trenchant critics of the BJP. Opposition legislators have in sizeable
numbers switched over from various parties, especially the Congress, to
join the BJP, and this has immeasurably helped the party gain a majority by
default in states where it had lost the elections. The BJP has lost several
state elections in Goa, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, and Arunachal Pradesh
but succeeded in forming governments by luring Congress MLAs to its
side. Each time a Congress-led government fell, there were reports of large
sums of money changing hands to make this possible. The loss of so many
state governments further erodes the Congress party’s financial power and
the opportunity to generate funds.
Public scrutiny of government actions has been crippled by the dilution
of RTI. The UPA government was instrumental in passing the RTI Act in
2005, which helped in exposing government corruption as it was no longer
possible for state authorities to conceal information on the way they made
decisions or spent taxpayers’ money.90 This government has systematically
diluted the RTI in different ways, most importantly, by refusing to comply
with RTI demand for information.91 Stonewalling information sought under
the RTI began soon after 2014. The RBI refused information on a range of
queries about demonetization, from who had been consulted92 to the
reasons for the move,93 and the cost incurred in scrapping the banned notes.
The Indian Air Force refused to release crucial information relating to the
pricing of the 36 Rafale aircraft purchased by India from France.94 Besides
denying information, in July 2019, parliament passed amendments
providing the government with powers to fix salaries, tenures, and other
terms and conditions of employment of information commissioners.95 Sonia
Gandhi accused the government of launching the ‘final assault’ in the
decimation of the historic RTI Act, diluting the powers of the information
commissioners through amendments to the legislation, and enforcing their
‘majoritarian agenda without being held accountable to people’.96 The
Congress opposed these amendments in parliament and activists feared it
‘would reduce autonomous information commissions to the status of “caged
parrots” ’.97 ‘The effect would be to erode the independence of the
information commissions at the national level and in India’s states.’98
The Congress has provided a semblance of opposition to the BJP but
nowhere approaching the scale necessary, advancing its case both in the
Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha but without any tangible impact given the
government’s overwhelming majority.99 The government, for example,
refused to reach out to the opposition parties even on crucial legislations
such as the Land Acquisition Bill. This was, however, one instance in
which the opposition, led by the Congress, prevailed. Singled out by the
corporate sector as the principal obstacle in the path of development, three
ordinances amended the Land Acquisition Act passed in 2013 by the UPA
government. These were projected as pro-reform measures designed to
make it easier for the state to acquire land for infrastructure and industry.100
The opposition was, however, able to compel the government to revert to
the situation prevalent before the BJP came to power, in effect admitting
that the Land Acquisition Ordinance was an error.
Congress politics outside parliament was largely non-existent. The huge
vote swing the Congress needs to increase its vote and seat share requires a
transformation on the ground, which can be brought about only through
mass mobilization or mass contact programmes, public campaigns, and
political movements, which the party hasn’t conducted for several years. It
simply doesn’t organize protests any longer, which further weakens the
party by disengaging from mass politics. There was no mass mobilization to
galvanize the opposition and no resistance even when it was evident that the
BJP government was dismantling the achievements of successive Congress
governments built up over half a century of democratic legislation and
institution-building.
Opposition was frequently expressed through press conferences, and
even these were organized only in Delhi. Press conferences obviously
cannot be a substitute for public action. The other major tool is social
media. Until recently, the Congress faced criticism that it had no presence
in the social media, which was saturated by the BJP. This has changed, with
the Congress making a conscious effort to become active on social media
platforms. This, however, appears to have gone to another extreme, with
Twitter becoming a substitute for real political action. The Congress cannot
fight its battles on Twitter and social media alone.101 Political struggle has
to be waged on the streets on the with ground mass mobilization.
Despite constraints, there has been unprecedented opposition and
protests on the streets from students, farmers, workers, women, Dalits, and
Muslims against a range of highhanded decisions taken by the government,
and the systematic use of pressure tactics to suppress dissent and dilute the
autonomy of institutions. Several modes of resistance have gathered
momentum, particularly outside traditional party politics, in response to
increasing polarization and the accelerating decline of democratic
institutions in recent years. Resistance efforts have been organized around a
variety of causes; grassroots organizations have been joined by larger civil
society bodies and formal political opposition groups. Much of this
opposition has come from non-party groups rather than political parties,
which haven’t taken to the streets in opposition to the government, but have
amplified the political message, although off the protest stage.
Nonetheless, Congress still remains the party best placed to lead the
opposition against the saffron onslaught because it still has a national
presence. Regional parties cannot be a substitute for a national opposition.
Even in its debilitated state it offers a challenge to Hindutva on an all-India
plane: in ideas, policy, governance, and political experience. The party still
commands roughly 20 per cent of the national vote and is in power in a few
states. It has a base of committed followers nationwide. Without the
Congress, the opposition is reduced to a collection of regional parties with
competing agendas and often amenable to alliances with the BJP. However,
given its shrunken base, the Congress is not in a position to function as the
opposition in several states. It just doesn’t have the electoral bandwidth to
take on the BJP singlehandedly and can compensate for its weakness only
by banding together with other opposition parties. The Congress has to
learn ‘the politics of “give a lot, take a little”, and so as to eventually prevail
in the alliance-coalition framework by virtue of being the only national
party in the opposition.’102 Without alliances or seat adjustments ‘there is
no way in which the Congress and the non-BJP opposition can offer an
effective challenge, particularly in the Hindi heartland.’103 However, as a
senior leader acknowledged, the Congress would prefer to have a joint front
against the BJP but it was difficult to forge a viable opposition front with
other parties because of all forms of unethical pressures exerted on them to
prevent this.104
Notes
1. The Economist’s cover story on the BJP’s dramatic victory entitled ‘Intolerant India: How
Modi Is Endangering the World’s Biggest Democracy’, summed up the shift. The cover
depicts a lotus, the BJP’s election symbol, sitting on a barbed-wire fence. ‘Veneer Off on
World Stage’, The Telegraph, 25 Jan. 2020.
2. Pratap Bhanu Mehta, ‘A Hundred Days on Modi 2.0: Its Purpose Is the Show of Power,
Nationalist Fervour, Social Control’, The Indian Express, 9 Sep. 2019.
3. Bruce Stokes,Dorothy Manevich, and Hanyu Chwe, ‘Three Years in, Modi Remains Very
Popular’, Pew Research Center, 15 Nov. 2017,
https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2017/11/15/india-modi-remains-very-popular-three-
years-in/. Accessed 4 Jun. 2020. Niha Masih and Joanne Slater, ‘U.S.-Style Polarization Has
Arrived in India. Modi Is at the Heart of the Divide’, The Washington Post, 21 May 2019.
Accessed 4 Jun. 2020.
4. See Ziya Us Salam, Of Saffron Flags and Skullcaps: Hindutva, Muslim Identity and the Idea
of India. New Delhi: Sage Publications, 2018.
5. Sugata Srinivasraju, ‘The Trap of the Lutyens’ Liberal’, The Wire, 8 Jun. 2019,
https://thewire.in › rights › india-liberalism-lutyens-regional. Accessed 15 Aug. 2019.
6. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘Rise of Hindutva Has Enabled a Counter-Revolution Against Mandal’s
Gains’, The Indian Express, 10 Feb. 2021.
7. Ibid. The percentage of OBCs who supported the party jumped from 22 per cent in 2009 to 34
per cent in 2014, and 44 per cent in 2019.
8. Avishek Jha, ‘BJP’s 2019 Victory: How Caste-Based Politics Has Been Redefined and
Reinvented’, LSE Blogs,.https://blogs.lse.ac.uk › southasia › 2019/06/26 › bjps-2019-victory-
how-caste-based-…June 26, 2019. Accessed 5 Sep. 2019.
9. On the BJP under Narendra Modi, see Kapil Komireddy, Malevolent Republic: A Short
History of the New India, London: Hurst & Co., 2019.
10. Happymon Jacob, ‘A Year on, Article 370 and Kashmir Mythmaking’, The Hindu, 4 Aug.
2020.
11. For a historical account of the Kashmir dispute, which brings the story to the present, see
Radha Kumar, Paradise at War: A Political History of Kashmir, New Delhi: Aleph Books,
2018.
12. Jeffrey Gettleman,Kai Schultz,Hari Kumar, and Suhasini Raj, ‘Modi’s Kashmir Move Places
India’s Secular Status in Doubt’, The Irish Times, 7 Aug. 2019,
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/asia-pacific/modi-s-kashmir-move-places-india-s-
secular-status-in-doubt-1.3979452. Accessed 15 Aug. 2019.
13. Haseeb Drabu, ‘Modi’s Majoritarian March to Kashmir’, The New York Times, 8 Aug. 2019,
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/08/opinion/modis-majoritarian-march-to-kashmir.html.
Accessed 15 Aug. 2019.
14. Gowhar Geelani argues: ‘The BJP’s ideological and civilisational motives can be well
understood from the kind of symbolism and importance the saffron party is attaching to
August 5 as a day of “Hindu conquest”; August 5, the day Kashmir was put under the
guillotine last year, is the day Prime Minister Narendra Modi would be attending the
“bhoomipujan” of the temple site in Ayodhya.’ Gowhar Geelani, ‘Concertina in Our Souls’,
The Telegraph, 2 Aug. 2020.
15. ‘Complete Text of Ayodhya Verdict’, The Hindu, 9 Nov. 2019.
16. Editorial, ‘Peace and Justice: On Ayodhya Verdict’, The Hindu, 11 Nov. 2019.
17. Ibid.
18. Sanjay Hegde and Pranjal Kishore, ‘The Ayodhya Verdict Can Shake the Very Foundations of
India’, Quartz India, 8 Feb. 2018, https://qz.com/india/1199361/babri-masjid-ayodhya-
dispute-the-supreme-court-verdict-can-shake-the-very-foundations-of-india/. Accessed 15
Aug. 2019.
19. Randeep Surjewala, the Congress party spokesman, quoted in Puneet Nicholas Yadav, ‘Of
Ideologies and Compromises: Post Ayodhya Verdict, Congress Romp with Shiv Sena Not
Surprising’, Outlook, 20 Nov. 2019.
20. Ibid.
21. Ramchandra Guha, ‘Why the CAA Is Illogical, Immoral and Ill-Timed, Writes Ramachandra
Guha’, The Hindustan Times, 12 Jan. 2020.
22. The tense political environment eventually led to communal violence in the national capital,
Delhi, in February 2020. Over 50 men, women, and children were killed, most of them
Muslim. Beyond the killings, Muslim properties were destroyed to cripple them
economically. Ajoy Ashirwad Mahaprashasta, ‘Ground Report: In Riot City, Hindutva Mobs
Rage with Impunity as Police Watch in Silence’, Wire.in, 25 Feb. 2020,
https://thewire.in/communalism/delhi-riots-jai-shri-ram-hindutva-bjp. Accessed 10 Mar.
2020. Ajoy Ashirwad Mahaprashasta, ‘Ground Report: How the Riots Unfolded in Delhi’s
Chand Bagh’, Wire.in, 28 Feb. 2020, https://thewire.in/communalism/delhi-riots-chand-bagh-
arson-mazaar. Accessed 10 Mar. 2020.
23. ‘Congress Working Committee Demands Withdrawal of CAA, Stopping of NPR Process’,
Business Line, 11 Jan. 2020.
24. Gautam Bhatia, ‘Challenge Against the Citizenship (Amendment) Act’, Live Law
www.livelaw.in. Accessed 10 Mar. 2020; Bharat Bhushan, ‘Citizens, Infiltrators, and Others:
The Nature of Protests Against the Citizenship Amendment Act’, South Atlantic Quarterly,
Jan. 2021. http://read.dukeupress.edu/south-atlantic-quarterly/article-
pdf/120/1/201/835969/1200201.pdf Accessed 10 Mar 2020.; Jhalak M. Kakkar, India’s New
Citizenship Law and its Anti-Secular Implications. www.lawfareblog.com › indias-new-citi…
Accessed 19 Nov. 2021.
25. NGOs receiving foreign funding through the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Act (FCRA)
have been pursued and chased out of the country. Greenpeace and Amnesty International
offices were closed down.
26. ‘India Slips Two Positions to 53rd Spot in EIU’s Democracy Index’, The Hindustan Times, 4
Feb. 2021.
27. Abhinav Sekhri, ‘How the UAPA Is Perverting the Idea of Justice’, Article-14.com, 16 Jul.
2020, https://www.article-14.com/post/how-the-uapa-is-perverting-india-s-justice-system.
Accessed 18 Jul. 2020.
28. In June 2018, the Pune police launched raids at the homes and offices of lawyers and activists
across Delhi, Pune, Hyderabad, and Ranchi in connection with the Bhima Koregaon violence
investigation. The police arrested nine rights activists and lawyers in an all-India level
investigation into what it termed ‘urban Naxalism’. The arrests were justified in the context
of the violence that took place in the wake of a celebratory gathering in Maharashtra in
January 2018 to mark the 200th anniversary of the battle of Koregaon. Bhima Koregaon is a
village in Pune district where Dalit soldiers of the British army, mostly Mahars, roundly
defeated the troops of the local ruler, Peshwa Bajirao II, a Brahmin, in 1818. On 1 January
2019, Mahars gathered to commemorate this event, which they do every year. On the eve of
the event, an Elgar Parishad in Pune, whose organizers included two retired judges, saw
speakers contesting Hindutva and criticizing the BJP government. The police allege that this
was the provocation for violence at Bhima Koregaon: participants of the event were attacked
by upper-caste Hindu nationalists. They retaliated, leading to the death of one person. See
Sukanya Shantha, ‘Bhima Koregaon: Amid Demands for Fresh Probe, a Hard Look at the
Case’s Discrepancies’, Wire. in, 21 Dec. 2019, https://thewire.in/rights/discrepancies-bhima-
koregaon-investigation-sharad-pawar-demands-fresh-probe. Accessed 1 Jul. 2020.
29. Salman Rushdie, ‘Salman Rushdie on Midnight’s Children at 40: “India Is No Longer the
Country of This Novel” ’, The Guardian, 3 Apr. 2021, https://www.google.com/url?
sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjU9_en9KT0
AhWXyDgGHTTBDb4QFnoECAcQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fwww.theguardian.com%2
Fbooks%2F2021%2Fapr%2F03%2Fsalman-rushdie-on-midnights-children-at-40-india-is-no-
longer-the-country-of-this-novel&usg=. Accessed 19 Nov. 2021.
30. For an Assessment of NDA rule, see essays in Niraja Gopal Jayal (ed.), Re-Forming India:
The Nation Today, New Delhi: Penguin Books, 2019.
31. Ibid.
32. Prabhat Patnaik, ‘Democracy: All for One’, The Telegraph, 3 Jan. 2020.
33. In the widely cited report of the Economist Intelligence Unit on the State of Democracy in the
World for 2018, India’s rank has declined sharply since 2014, from 27 to 42 in 2018,
registering the second largest fall in ranking after Indonesia, which fell by 20 ranks to 68.
34. Pranab Bardhan, ‘India Has Gone from False Hopes in 2014 to False Pride in 2019’, The
Indian Express, 15 Jun. 2019.
35. Rohan Venkataramakrishnan, ‘From CBI to RBI, An Incomplete List of Institutions That
Narendra Modi Has Undermined or Threatened’, Scroll.in, 31 Oct. 2018,
https://scroll.in/article/900097/from-cbi-to-rbi-an-incomplete-list-of-institutions-that-
narendra-modi-has-undermined-or-threatened. Accessed 3 Jun. 2020.
36. Harish Khare, ‘Let Us Gratefully Count the Leadership Dividend Offered by Narendra Modi’,
Wire.in, 31 May 2020, https://thewire.in/politics/leadership-dividend-narendra-modi.
Accessed 31 May 2020.
37. Anjali Modi, ‘Opinion: By Giving Modi a Free Pass, Election Commission Has Abandoned
Any Attempt to Appear Neutral’, Scroll.in, 3 Mar. 2019,
https://scroll.in/article/922121/opinion-why-is-the-election-commission-giving-narendra-
modi-special-treatment. Accessed 9 May 2020.
38. Siddharth Bhatia, ‘The Reputation of the Election Commission Has Been Severely
Tarnished’, Wire. In, 20 May 2019, https://thewire.in/government/elections-2019-election-
commission. Accessed 3 Jun. 2020.
39. See Seema Chishti, ‘The Biased Referee: Why the Election Commissionʼs Neutrality Is in
Doubt’, The Caravan, 31 Mar. 2021, https://www.google.com/url?
sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwi0o__G9aT0A
hVM4jgGHXW8Df4QFnoECAIQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fcaravanmagazine.in%2Fpoliti
cs%2Fwhy-election-commission-neutrality-doubt&usg=AOvVaw2WfeI-
0wU4X9aG64c4M1ZY. Accessed 8 Apr. 2021.
40. Bhatia, ‘The Reputation of the Election Commission Has Been Severely Tarnished’.
41. Modi, ‘Opinion: By Giving Modi a Free Pass, Election Commission Has Abandoned Any
Attempt to Appear Neutral’.
42. Aishwarya Paliwal, ‘NaMo on, NaMo TV Gone: Channel Disappears from All Platforms as
Lok Sabha Election Ends’, India Today, 20 May 2019.
43. Sanjay Jha, ‘Election Commission Might Have Been Captured by Modi Government, Says
Congress’, The Telegraph, 19 May 2019.
44. Sanjay Hegde, ‘How the Higher Judiciary Let Down the Citizenry’, The Telegraph, 20 Oct.
2019.
45. ‘Supreme Court Crisis: All Not Okay, Democracy at Stake, Say Four Senior-Most Judges’,
Business Line, 18 Jan. 2018.
46. For over six years, Gogoi presided over multiple benches to ensure the creation of the NRC,
the establishment of Foreigners Tribunals, and urging governments to identify and deport
illegal immigrants. His judgments on controversial cases, from Rafale to Ayodhya and
several others, went in favour of the government.
47. Prashant Bhushan, ‘In Reply to Contempt Case, Bhushan Offers Detailed Critique of SC’,
Quint, 3 Aug. 2020. https://www.thequint.com/news/law/details-of-prashant-bhushan-
affidavit-reply-to-contempt-case-supreme-court-freedom-of-speech-cji-controversies.
Accessed 7 Aug. 2020.
48. Justice A. P. Shah points out that threats from within have also damaged the judiciary’s
independence. He notes that ‘There is a tendency to view threats to judicial independence as
emerging from the executive, and occasionally from the legislature. But when persons within
the judiciary become pliable, it is a different story altogether.’ A. P. Shah, ‘Court Adrift and
Chinks in the Judiciary’s Armour’, The Hindu, 7 Sep. 2020.
49. Christophe Jaffrelot, ‘A Different Court’, The Indian Express, 7 Sep. 2020.
50. Manu Sebastian, ‘How Has the Supreme Court Fared’, The Telegraph, 20 Oct. 2019.
51. ‘It Redefines Independence & Integrity of the Judiciary: Justice (Retired) Lokur Over Gogoi’s
Nomination to RS’, National Herald, 17 Mar. 2020.
52. Indian billionaires increased their wealth by 35% during the lockdown to ₹3 trillion, ranking
India after United States, China, Germany, Russia, and France. Out of these, the rise in
fortunes for the top 100 billionaires since the lockdown in March is enough to give every one
of the 138 million poorest Indian people a cheque for ₹94,045 each, according to Oxfam’s
‘Inequality Virus Report’. The report points out, ‘In fact, the increase in wealth of the top 11
billionaires of India during the pandemic could sustain the MNREGA scheme for 10 years or
the health ministry for 10 years,’ according to Oxfam’s calculations. Jagriti Chandra, ‘Indian
Billionaires Increased Their Wealth by 35% during the Lockdown, Says Oxfam Report’, The
Hindu, 25 Jan. 2021.
53. On the back of the Facebook investment in Jio, over 40 per cent FDI inflows were captured
by Ambani’s Reliance Group. Six airports, including some profitable ones, controlled by the
Airports Authority of India (AAI), were won by a group headed by Gautam Adani in 2019.
54. Harish Damodaran, ‘Real Power Is with Centre, Which Holds the Purse-Strings in These
Fiscally-Challenging Times’, The Indian Express, 20 Dec. 2020.
55. Interview with Kishore Deo, 8 Jul. 2020.
56. ‘In 2019, Is BJP Riding a Modi Wave or a Money Wave?’, Wire.in, 8 May 2019,
https://thewire.in/politics/bjp-modi-political-funding-money. Accessed 10 Mar. 2020.
57. M. V. Rajeev Gowda and E. Sridharan, ‘Reforming India’s Party Finance and Election
Expenditure Laws’, Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics, and Policy, 11, no. 2, Jun. 2012,
p. 239.
58. V. Venkatesan, ‘Chequered Relations,’ Frontline, 16, no. 16, 31 Jul.–13 Aug. 1999.
59. Bibhudatta Pradhan, Archana Chaudhary, and Abhijit Roy Chowdhury, ‘Empty Coffers
Hinder India Congress Party’s Plans to Topple Modi’, Bloomberg Quint, 23 May 2018,
https://www.bloombergquint.com/global-economics/empty-coffers-hinder-india-congress-
party-s-plans-to-topple-modi. Accessed 19 Jul. 2020.
60. ‘Corporate Donations: Report Shows BJP Received 16 Times More Than Congress’, 10 Jul.
2019, https://adrindia.org/content/corporate-donations-report-shows-bjp-got-16-times-more-
congress. Accessed 19 Jul. 2020.
61. Adil Rashid, ‘Electoral Bonds Have Legalised Crony Capitalism: Ex-Chief Election
Commissioner S.Y. Quraishi’, Outlook, 7 Apr. 2019.
62. Electoral bonds were introduced through amendments in the Reserve Bank of India Act,
Companies Act, Income Tax Act, Representation of Peoples Act, and Foreign Contributions
Regulations Act.
63. ‘The Election Fix: Despite Note Ban, Cash Is All Over India’s Elections—but Can Votes Be
Bought?’, Scroll.in, 7 Apr. 2019, https://scroll.in/article/919108/the-election-fix-despite-note-
ban-cash-is-all-over-indias-elections-but-can-votes-be-bought. Accessed 9 Jan. 2020.
64. Abhishek Manu Singhvi, ‘Part 2: Electoral Bonds—the Tool BJP Used to Route Illicit and
Foreign Funding’, The Times of India, 9 Jul. 2019.
65. On 26 March 2021, the Supreme Court refused to stay the release of fresh electoral bonds
ahead of assembly polls in four states and a Union territory.
66. Bibhudatta Pradhan,Archana Chaudhary, and Abhijit Roy Chowdhury, ‘Congress Facing
Financial Crisis Ahead of 2019 Lok Sabha Elections’, Business Standard, 25 Sep. 2018.
67. Siddharth Varadarajan, ‘The State and/of the Media in Modi’s India’, in Alf Gunvald Nilsen,
Kenneth Bo Nielsen, and Anand Vaidya (eds.), Indian Democracy: Origins, Trajectories,
Contestations, London: Pluto Press, 2019, pp. 58–71.
68. Paranjoy Guha-Thakurta, ‘Mass Media and the Modi “Wave” ’, Himal South Asian, 30 Jun.
2014. https://www.himalmag.com/media-modi-elections/. Accessed 6 May 2020.
69. Pratap Bhanu Mehta, ‘The Age of Cretinism’, Open Magazine, 10 Aug. 2018,
www.openthemagazine.com/article/essay/the-age-of-cretinism. Accessed 24 Aug. 2018.
70. India has dropped two places on a global press freedom index to be ranked 140th out of 180
countries in the annual reporters without borders. ‘India Drops Down on World Press
Freedom Index’, The Economic Times, 18 Apr. 2019.
71. Kalpana Sharma, ‘ABP Resignations: This Isn’t the Emergency—So Why Are Many Media
Houses Falling in Line?’, Scroll.in, 25 Aug. 2018, https://scroll.in/tag/ABP. Accessed 24
Aug. 2018.
72. Editorial, ‘Creeping Unfreedoms’, Economic and Political Weekly, 53, no. 4, 27 Jan. 2018.
73. Raksha Kumar, India’s Media Can’t Speak Truth to Power’, Foreign Policy.com
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/08/02/indias-media-cant-speak-truth-to-power-modi-bjp-
journalism/. Accessed 20 Feb. 2021.
74. Editorial, ‘Creeping Unfreedoms’, op cit.
75. Snigdha Poonam and Samarth Bansal, ‘Misinformation Is Endangering India’s Election’, The
Atlantic, 1 Apr. 2019, https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2019/04/india-
misinformation-election-fake-news/586123/information. Accessed 7 Jun. 2020.
76. Vidhi Choudhary, ‘Ahead of LS Polls, WhatsApp Tells Political Parties Not to Spam Users’,
The Hindustan Times, 7 Feb. 2019.
77. Two ABM-managed pages are the top two biggest spenders on Facebook, this being disclosed
once the social network rolled out its advertiser transparency campaign in February 2019.
Samarth Bansal,Gopal Sathe,Rachna Khaira, and Aman Sethi, ‘How Modi, Shah Turned a
Women’s NGO Into a Secret Election Propaganda Machine’, Huffington Post, 4 Apr. 2019,
https://www.huffingtonpost.in/entry/how-modi-shah-turned-a-women-s-rights-ngo-into-a-
secret-election-propaganda-machine_in_5ca5962ce4b05acba4dc1819?
ncid=other_email_o63gt2jcad4&utm_campaign=share_email. Accessed 8 Jan. 2020.
78. Ibid.
79. ‘Real or Fake, We Can Make Any Message Go Viral: Amit Shah to BJP Social Media
Volunteers’, Wire.in, 26 Sep. 2018, https://thewire.in/politics/amit-shah-bjp-fake-social-
media-messages. Accessed 7 Jun. 2020.
80. Swati Chaturvedi, I Am a Troll: Inside the Secret World of the BJP’s Digital Army, New
Delhi: Juggernaut, 2016.
81. Sanjay Jha, The Great Unravelling: India After 2014, New Delhi: Westland Publications,
2020, p. 103.
82. Archis Mohan, ‘Vipaksh Mukt Bharat: How Modi, Shah Want to Herald the Golden Age of
BJP’, Business Standard, 2 Aug. 2017.
83. Ibid.
84. Several opposition leaders have come under the scanner of the central investigation agencies.
The former home and finance minister P. Chidambaram, Congress leader D.K. Shivakumar,
NCP leader, and Ajit Pawar, among many others, have been investigated. Ajoy Ashirwad
Mahaprashasta, ‘Why Opposition’s Claim of Central Agencies Being Misused Rings True’,
Wire.in, 5 Sep. 2019, https://thewire.in/politics/chidamabaram-shivakumar-arrest-central-
agencies. Accessed 10 Feb. 2020.
85. Editorial, ‘Media as Target’, The Hindu, 11 Feb. 2021.
86. ‘Modi Govt’s Single Point Agenda Is Vendetta, Says Congress’, National Herald, 12 Oct.
2019.
87. K. S. Dakshina Murthy, ‘India’s Political Opposition Wakes Up to New Reality Under Modi
& Co’, TRT World, 24 Aug. 2019, https://www.trtworld.com/opinion/india-s-political-
opposition-wakes-up-to-new-reality-under-modi-co-29256. Accessed 1 Jul. 2020.
88. On this, see A. K. Bhattacharya and Paranjoy Guha-Thakurta, ‘Many Claims, Few Results:
Modi’s Campaign Against Corruption’, in Niraja Gopal Jayal (ed.), Re-Forming India,New
Delhi: Penguin Books, 2019.
89. As of July 2020, Assam: 10 MLAs, Uttarakhand: 9, Arunachal: 43, Manipur: 4, Gujarat: 16,
Goa: 10, Karnataka: 17, and Madhya Pradesh: 22 MLAs have defected and joined the BJP to
help it form the state government.
90. Betwa Sharma, ‘5 Scams the RTI Act Helped Bust in Its First 10 Years’, HuffPost, 12 Oct.
2015, https://www.huffingtonpost.in/2015/10/12/5-most-critical-scams-exp_n_8263302.html.
Accessed 9 Jun. 2020.
91. Vidya Venkat, ‘With 26,000 Queries Pending, India’s Right to Information Law Is as Good as
Defunct’, Quartz, 7 Jan. 2019. https://www.google.com/url?
sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjporGSr6b0A
hX8zDgGHZpGC5cQFnoECAIQAQ&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fqz.com%2Findia%2F1516380
%2Fhow-indias-modi-government-is-killing-the-rti-
law%2F&usg=AOvVaw1vnCcr4XVu6EyE6tnyJ62f. Accessed 29 Jun. 2020.
92. ‘Were Jaitley, CEA Consulted on Demonetisation? RBI Refuses to Answer RTI Query’, The
Hindu, 1 Jan. 2017.
93. ‘RBI Refuses to Give Reasons Behind Demonetisation’, The Hindu, 29 Dec. 2016.
94. Venkat, ‘With 26,000 Queries Pending, India’s Right to Information Law Is as Good as
Defunct’.
95. Scroll Staff, ‘Amendments to RTI Act Passed in Rajya Sabha, Opposition Alleges
Intimidation by Government’, Scroll.in, 25 Jul. 2019,
https://scroll.in/latest/931800/amendments-to-rti-act-passed-in-rajya-sabha-opposition-
alleges-intimidation-by-government. Accessed 7 Aug. 2020.
96. ‘ “Final Assault!” Sonia Gandhi Tears Into Modi Government Over “Dilution” of RTI Act’,
The Financial Express, 31 Oct. 2019.
97. Anjali Bhardwaj and Amita Johri, ‘To defend Modi Govt’s RTI Act Changes, BJP Released a
“Factsheet”. It Doesn’t Have Much Facts’, The Print, 24 Jul. 2019,
https://theprint.in/opinion/to-defend-modi-govts-rti-act-changes-bjp-released-a-factsheet-it-
doesnt-have-much-facts/267161/. Accessed 30 Jun. 2020.
98. Vidya Venkat, ‘The Steady Dilution of the RTI Act Is One of the Legacies of the Modi
Government’s Term’, Scroll.in, 8 Jan. 2019, https://scroll.in/article/908524/the-steady-
dilution-of-the-rti-act-is-one-of-the-legacies-of-the-modi-governments-term. Accessed 29
Jun. 2020.
99. Editorial, ‘Parliament Deadlocked’, Economic and Political Weekly, 1, no. 31, 1 Aug. 2015.
100. Niharika Mandhana, ‘India Land-Acquisition Measures Gain, but Face Hurdle in Upper
House of Parliament’, The Wall Street Journal, 10 Mar. 2015,
https://www.wsj.com/articles/india-land-acquisition-measures-gain-but-face-hurdle-in-upper-
house-of-parliament-1426006694. Accessed 7 Jul. 2020.
101. Interview with Vinod Sharma 23 Jul. 2020. Vinod Sharma has been the political editor of the
Hindustan Times. He was also appointed member of the National Commission for Minorities
in 2010.
102. Interview with Mani Shankar Aiyar, 10 Jul. 2020.
103. Interview with Javed Ansari (formerly India Today), 12 Jul. 2020. Javed Ansari has been a
senior journalist and political analyst, reporting on Indian politics and elections for the past
30 years. He has worked with several electronic and print media platforms and was
associated with the India Today Group for over two decades.
104. Interview with Javed Ansari (formerly India Today), 12 Jul. 2020. Javed Ansari has been a
senior journalist and political analyst
Conclusion
The Congress party is no stranger to crises but those it has faced over the
past decade are unprecedented and probably the worst in the course of its
long history. They have come at a pace and scale that perhaps few in the
party could have foreseen. Two of the worst defeats in its history have
raised questions and concerns for its very survival. These crises have been
building up for years and yet no leader has faced them head on and sought
to address the challenges confronting the party. This lack of a sense of
urgency is conspicuous in the post-election conduct of its central leadership,
which has failed to draw up a roadmap for revival. There has been no
attempt to analyze or a committee appointed to investigate the causes of the
2019 debacle, essential in the wake of such a major debacle. That apart, the
top leadership has not taken a hard look at why the party has lost traction
with the people. After its loss in 2014, the Congress set up a committee
chaired by former defence minister A. K. Antony but did nothing with the
report it submitted. After its loss in 2019, the party did not systematically
analyze the reasons for its colossal defeat. No one in a position of authority
within the Congress has offered a comprehensive explanation of the party’s
devastating defeat that year.
The Congress has faced three major challenges in a political conjuncture
defined by ‘the great moving Right show’, to borrow a phrase from cultural
theorist Stuart Hall, and the polarization engendered by it. It must agree on
or elect a leader capable of keeping the party united, reconstruct its
organizational structure across the states, and, finally, project and propagate
a clear alternative ideological narrative to the BJP.
Historically, as a party of consensus, the Congress had always come to
power on a centrist platform, reflecting its varied social base, including,
most notably, its support from the lower sections of Indian society.
Centrism and consensual politics, which explained its early success, do not
seem to work in a deeply divided polity. A party that once famously
claimed to represent everyone seems to have lost the support of most
groups in India’s deeply polarized polity. The party is confronting a
dilemma because of the fracture of its electoral coalition owing to the
breakdown of the traditional forms of identity. This occurred when
cleavages based on caste (post-Mandal) and religion (related to Ayodhya)
were exacerbated. The party no longer enjoys Dalit support, competing for
their vote with regional parties and the BJP; it has lost the support of upper
castes who prefer to vote for the BJP; it has no OBC support except in some
states such as Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, thanks to state leaders; and the
Muslim vote has drifted to regional parties or whoever can offer an
alternative to the BJP. The Congress garnered 12 crore votes (BJP got 22
crores) and 20 per cent of the vote share in the 2019 parliamentary elections
and, therefore, cannot be underestimated, but its social base has shrunk and
it lacks a core vote in key states.
The crisis of the Congress party is not unique. It is not the only centrist
party to be knocked off its pedestal. The support for such parties has
dwindled if not collapsed in many countries as they have faced difficulties
in grappling with right-wing populism and nationalism. In India, the decline
of the centre-left parties is a conspicuous feature of the contemporary
political landscape. Thus, parties like the Communist Party of India
(Marxist) and Communist Party of India, and several state-based parties
such as the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Samajwadi Party (SP), and Bahujan
Samaj Party (BSP) have seen their support markedly shrink.
The shrinking support of these parties is closely linked to the move of
the Centre of gravity to the Right in the wake of the national community
being redrawn on the basis of religious identity and communal polarization.
Caste does matter but religion and the politics surrounding it matters as
much, if not more, especially in north and north-western India—regions in
which the BJP has a strong presence. The crucial divide over the past
decade has been Hindu–Muslim polarization, with a much greater gap
developing between the majority and minority communities than between
caste groupings. This underlines the significance of communal mobilization
on the basis of a pan-Hindu identity marking a real shift, with large
numbers of voters viewing themselves through the prism of their
overarching religious identity rather than caste and region. These
ideological divisions have shaped the polarization of Indian politics more
than ever before.
The fundamental difference between the 2014 elections that brought
Narendra Modi to power and the 2019 elections makes this amply clear. In
the 2014 elections BJP’s victory was made possible by his slogan of ‘vikas’
or development. He didn’t spell out development and how it would be
achieved; nonetheless, he made the point that development had suffered
because of the Manmohan Singh government’s leadership deficit and policy
paralysis. Development received short shrift between 2014 and 2019. The
aspirations of the middle classes and lower middle classes were not
addressed but that didn’t seem to matter. The BJP’s manifesto promise of
two crore jobs had not materialized but that didn’t seem to matter either.
The frying pakoras solution for joblessness had been the subject of ridicule
and countless jokes but this was forgotten in 2019. Even when the
government had actually done nothing much on the job front, it still got
voted because Modi was seen as the only person capable of doing
something.
The success of the BJP derives from its ability to redirect public
discourse. The discourse it has tried to displace had occupied Centre stage
of post-Independence politics in India and revolved around people’s
material life and the here moved from material concerns to issues that
divide people through a systematic inculcation of a politics of hate and the
weaponization of religion. The BJP leaders were able to mould large
sections of the majority community to think that they are victims, that they
have been deprived of their rightful place in the Hindu nation. To achieve
their rightful place, they must embrace Hindu identity.
Two back-to-back defeats raised questions about the ability of the
Congress, and the Nehru-Gandhis in particular, to win elections. This
emboldened their critics to demand that the family relinquish control of the
party to fresh faces, exactly a century after Rahul Gandhi’s great-great-
grandfather, Motilal Nehru, assumed presidency of the party in 1919.
Rahul’s own defeat in Amethi in 2019 underscored the dwindling relevance
of India’s most famous political dynasty, alongside the decline of the
pluralistic vision of India, which has been synonymous with them. This has,
however, not diluted their relevance to the Congress. The predicament for
the Congress is, however, that the latter are unable to provide the strong
leadership that the party requires at this juncture. The Congress as a party is
caught in a political bind: the prospects of the party falling apart without the
Gandhis at the helm as the latter are an important glue holding together a
loosely organized party, and on the other, the bleak chances to prosper with
a Gandhi at the helm as it has made the party an easy target for its
detractors.
Shocked by the electoral debacle, Rahul Gandhi resigned as party
president in May 2019, taking responsibility for his party’s disastrous
showing in the 2019 elections. His resignation plunged the Congress into an
even deeper crisis as the party was unable to agree to a non-Gandhi as his
successor. This is partly because the challenge isn’t just about his
ineffectual leadership or a poorly executed electoral strategy but something
more profound. Essentially, the old form of accommodative politics, which,
for long, held together a social coalition and fractious nation, is not capable
of galvanizing the imagination of ‘new India’. The Gujarat model of
politics, marked by an exclusive focus on individual leadership as the driver
of election campaigns, a strong sense of Hindu pride, a shift in popular
attention to aggressive nationalist appeals regardless of reality or facts, and
a complete rejection of the entire democratic past and superimposition of
perception over performance, appears to hold voters in thrall. Changes
unleashed by liberalization, globalization, and the information
communication revolution initiated by the Congress have undercut its
political ethos and ideological architecture to a greater degree than that of
its principal rival.
Following Rahul Gandhi’s resignation the party witnessed discontent and
disintegration in several states, most notably in Karnataka, Madhya
Pradesh, and Rajasthan. Several prominent leaders had resigned from the
party and joined the BJP. Defections are not new in the party’s long history
but the problem has clearly been aggravated by the inability to resolve the
organizational and leadership issues. It remained leaderless for months and
did not have a full-time president for nearly two years. The uncertainty of
finding a replacement for Rahul Gandhi cost the party dearly with no
serious attempt to halt its downward slide.
It is clear that (for now) Rahul Gandhi, notwithstanding his humane,
compassionate, and progressive politics, doesn’t evoke the faith and trust of
India’s electorate, especially when pitted against BJP’s ‘Hindutva plus
neoliberal economics (development)’ pitch in increasingly presidential-style
elections. Therefore his return to the top leadership position would not have
helped the party’s electoral prospects; nonetheless, the decision on
leadership should not have been postponed ad infinitum. Rahul Gandhi’s
backseat driving, even after resigning as party boss, was a major hindrance
in the reorganization of the party. With his unwillingness to lead the party
from the front, several leaders expressed their disquiet with the way power
was being exercised with no clear lines of individual responsibility and
accountability.
At the organizational level, there has been a complete collapse of the
Congress system established in the early years of post-Independent India.
The organizational weakening was principally due to centralization and a
concentration of power in the hands of top leaders. Basically, Congress
lacks a modern political machine to fight elections. It has neither the will
nor the wherewithal nor the resources to fight a good fight in India’s highly
competitive and hugely expensive elections. Poll debacles highlighted the
contrast between the Congress and the BJP organization, the latter having
succeeded in expanding and building its organization in states where a few
years ago it had no presence, while the Congress was organizationally very
poorly equipped to provide a counter.
The party’s loose structure, with no organizational presence on the
ground to speak of, was thus incapable of taking on what is clearly the most
formidable organizational machinery that India has ever seen.
Consequently, there were very few local leaders and workers to conduct
ground-level campaigns, a far cry from what it once was: a well-oiled
machine with grassroots contact right down to the district level. Essential
organizational changes, such as appointment of state presidents, have
remained pending for very long and no discernible efforts have been made
to change this. These delays have seriously damaged the organization. This
issue was brought front and Centre by 23 senior leaders (in August 2020)
who pointed out that ‘uncertainty’ over the leadership and the ‘drift’ in the
organization had demoralized workers and weakened the party.
The Congress desperately needs a democratic renewal, with
democratization at the front and Centre. However, fundamental issues
concerning renewal and restoration of internal democracy have been
repeatedly set aside and weighed down by the debate on leadership and an
obsessive focus on the Gandhis because of the widely held belief that it is
the leadership vacuum in the Congress that BJP rushed in to fill. The party
hasn’t held elections for 23 years, though it must be admitted that the BJP
too has not held competitive elections with two or more contestants for the
post of president or other party posts. Regardless of the situation in other
parties, the Congress must hold party elections but not with a single
candidate for a post, as has often been the case in the past. It is important
for the Congress to hold competitive elections for the post of president, and
positions in the CWC, AICC, and PCC. A genuinely competitive electoral
process can throw up new leaders. It could give a boost to the party by
changing the perception that it is a family business. In the absence of inner-
party democracy, power brokers, and rootless leaders hold sway and deny
members the right to decide who is best equipped to lead them at different
levels of the polity.
Given Modi’s popularity, which has so completely captured
contemporary Indian politics, the BJP has monopolized national politics but
has faced strong headwinds in several states. The party has not won any
state election on its own since 2017, when the Congress mounted a stiff
challenge to the BJP’s electoral supremacy in the Gujarat assembly
elections. Modi campaigned vigorously in the Karnataka, Haryana, and
Maharashtra elections, but this notwithstanding, his party did not fare well
and failed to win outright in any of these states. It lost power in Jharkhand
and in Maharashtra to a post-poll alliance led by its former ally, the Shiv
Sena, and regained power in Haryana by forging a post-poll alliance.
The Congress party’s respectable performance in several states since
2017 indicates that strong state leaders can hold out against the BJP. Punjab
(2017), Chhattisgarh (2019), Rajasthan (2019), Madhya Pradesh (2019),
and Haryana (2019) are examples of the party performing well with strong
state leadership which can take on the BJP. The party won in these states
because it had a strong state leadership. It can revive its national fortunes on
the back of state leaders who have a mass base and enjoy political
credibility in the states. The erosion of the party base and persistence of the
practice of nomination to key posts within the party are important issues
that have not been addressed.
One important failure of the Congress has been its reluctance to tell its
own story, especially the story of the ten years of the UPA. The UPA did not
publicize its achievements or highlight its distinctive approach, and that was
one reason why the Congress did not play to its strengths, allowing itself to
be outsmarted in 2G and spectrum distribution controversies. The BJP has
correctly calculated that so long as they sustain the argument that the UPA
was a period of elitism, corruption, policy paralysis, and economic
stagnation, it can prevent the Congress from emerging as a credible
alternative. What aids and abets these half-truths is the passivity of the
Congress in defending its record even as the NDA government successfully
obfuscates data on its own underperformance.
The Congress, as indeed the entire opposition, faced an unequal playing
field but, this notwithstanding, Rahul Gandhi has consistently spoken up
against the government’s several failures, in particular, its mismanagement
of the economy and national security. It is another matter that the systematic
dismantling of his political equity by the BJP–RSS and its troll armies has
prevented him from emerging as the pivot of the opposition. In the event,
the Congress has been restricted and hasn’t been able to offer a robust
counter to the BJP. Congress crisis is beyond personality and leadership
issues. The greatest challenge facing it is to define its ideological message
and communicate it loudly and clearly to the electorate as an underpinning
for political mobilization. It is therefore necessary for it to decide what it
stands for and communicate it effectively and repeatedly. Political
ambiguity makes no sense amidst the growing influence of the Hindu Right.
The key issue is disagreement about an appropriate response to Hindu
nationalism. The party has swung between making ideological
compromises with majoritarian nationalism and plotting a frontal battle
against it. It has often adopted a majoritarian undertone on certain
controversial issues. Political ambiguity arises from the fact that most of its
leaders don’t see the growing expression of Hinduism in the public sphere
as a form of Hindutva politics. Both as a strategy and as an actuality, the
mixing of religiosity and politics doesn’t guarantee electoral dividends.
Moreover, the conflict in India is not about the growing prominence of
Hinduism in our public life (which most political parties readily accept) but
about the BJP’s idea of nationalism, which is utterly majoritarian and
exclusivist, pitted against the inclusive nationalism championed by the
Congress during the freedom struggle. Indian politics has never been more
polarized than it is today; never before has the gulf been so wide. Hence,
today, the battle is more fundamental; it is about the very idea of India—the
idea of a diverse, pluralistic nation committed to liberal values. By
remaining silent on the way in which nationalism has been redefined, the
Congress has ceded the nationalist space to the BJP, which poses as the pre-
eminent torch-bearer of nationalism today even though it made no
contribution to the freedom struggle, the crucible which defined Indian
nationalism, from which it either absented itself or collaborated with the
British. For several decades after Independence its leaders rejected the
composite nationalism and plurality which Gandhi and the Congress
espoused. Yet, its conception of Indian nationhood, which it has fought for,
has prevailed, over the past decade and more, against the Congress’ ‘Idea of
India’.
The Congress party needs to provide India with an alternative unifying
vision to the divisive policies adopted by the BJP government. For this, it
must unequivocally reaffirm its philosophy of secularism, nationalism, and
social justice and underline India’s innumerable achievements in past
decades, which evolved from an adherence to these commitments. The
party could do so by building an ideological opposition through mass
contact campaigns and a battle for constitutional rights. The party should
take the lead in forging an alliance of all the progressive forces that have
stood up to safeguard the constitutional idea of India over the past few
years. This requires building organizations and/or linkages with democratic
processes on the ground to mobilize public opinion against majoritarianism.
This is possible only if the Congress, along with other Opposition parties,
hammers out an agenda around which different sections of the people can
coalesce and develop programmes to fight authoritarian tendencies and
polarization in society.
Defending a pluralist view of politics and governance is one aspect of
the political strategy; the other is grounding its politics in the idiom of
social justice, which both sidesteps identity politics and resonates with an
aggrieved population, particularly the rural population alienated by BJP’s
policies (demonetization, the Land Acquisition Bill, farm laws) and thereby
placing the party in the mainstream of Indian politics. The rural
employment guarantee scheme was a perfect example of this political pitch.
In 2014, the Congress party was gifted an opportunity to formulate an
alternative position when Prime Minister Modi staked considerable political
capital on passing the Land Acquisition Bill, which appeared to place the
interests of corporations over landowning peasants. Intervening in a debate
on the contentious bill, widely regarded as anti-farmer, Rahul Gandhi
described the government as ‘suit-boot ki sarkar’, a jibe which eventually
forced the prime minister to abandon this controversial piece of legislation.
Rural grievances and the farmers’ cause offered a rare opportunity for
ideological repositioning and a possible basis for common political action
and cooperation across the board on structural remedies for the agrarian
crisis. Unlike the Rafale issue, which dealt with corruption in the purchase
of French fighter aircraft which didn’t touch most people, the farmers’ issue
presents a powerful political canvas to build an anti-capitalist narrative
linking it to economic issues, joblessness, and development. This can steer
the political discourse to the material problems of life, thereby giving the
Congress party a more capacious agenda and one that pitches a wider
political tent in opposition to the right-wing BJP.
There is a larger ideological point to this story that relates to the
implications of declining Congress influence for India’s democratic politics
and the substance of democracy itself. The shrinking political space of the
Congress is disconcerting not only for the party but also deleterious for
democracy itself and for the various diversities of India—religious,
linguistic, region based—being flattened by the exclusivist idea of the
nation. Whether or not this will happen will depend on the political process.
A pushback against this requires political struggles and sustained and united
opposition in elections and between elections. Although nothing much has
been done to revive the Congress in the past few years, it is still a party with
pan-India support and it seems to counter the BJP ideologically and has
mobilized a semblance of opposition to the BJP and, therefore, has to be at
the front and Centre of opposition to it. Even in its shrunken state, the party
has political footprints all over the country. It is difficult to imagine a liberal
consolidation without it. For all its faults, the pluralist character of the
Congress represents a non-parochial idea of India, which is politically
worth preserving because India needs a credible and modern voice of
liberalism to retain its equilibrium.
Bibliography
For the benefit of digital users, indexed terms that span two pages (e.g., 52–53) may, on occasion,
appear on only one of those pages.
Lamba, Rohit, 99
Land Acquisition Ordinance, 169, 188–89
lobbying power of corporations, 162–64
Lokpal bill, 45, 56
Tata, Ratan, 67
Telangana fiasco, 29–30, 45
Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS), 29
Telugu Desam Party (TDP), 29
Tharoor, Shashi, 127
Trinamool Congress (TMC), 29, 42–43, 104
Tully, Mark, 41
Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act (UAPA), 2019, 158