Questions Exercises 2023

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International Finance - Questions & Exercises 2023

TOPIC 2: BOP
I. Multiple choice question
1. Calculate Current Account (CA) if (Million USD):
Export goods(+) 79,500 Import goods(-) 75,400
Export services(+) 14,800 Import services(-) 25,050
Personal transfer payment(-) 6,930 Personal transfer receipt(+) 1,180
CA= -11900
2. Calculate Financial Account (FA) if (Million USD):
Category Assets Liabilities
FDI Increase by 90(-) Increase by 3,520(+)
FPI Decrease by 100(+) Decrease by 305(-)
Other investments Increase by 1,640(-) Decrease by 1,020(-)
FA=565
3. Providing the following changes:
Balance Value (million: USD)
Current Account - 1,541
Capital Account - 150
Financial Account + 3,506
Errors and omissions ?
Reserve assets and related items + 955
Determine the value of the missing item?
OM= OB-(CA+KA+FA)= (-OFB)-(CA+KA+FA)= -2770
4. Given: Reserve assets decrease by 250 million USD. Central Bank borrows IMF 100 million
USD. Determine the value of Reserve assets and Related items?

R= 250, L=100, #=0 => OFB= 250+100= 350


II. Exercise
#Record the following transactions into BOP of Vietnam:
(1) Vietnamese workers in Korea repatriate 200 million USD.
CA
Secondary incomes receipt +200
FA
Assets increase -200
(2) The Vietnamese enterprises pays the British company a transport fee of 2 million GBP.
CA
Services import -2
FA
Assets decrease +2
(3) WB forgives a 50 million USD debt owed by Vietnam.
FA
Liability decrease -50
KA
Capital transfer receipt +50
(4) Vietnam supports the natural disaster areas in Laos with 40 million USD, of which 25 million
is in goods, 10 million in medical support and 5 million in money.

CA

Secondary incomes payment -40

Goods export +25

Services export +10

FA

Assets decrease +5
(5) Vietnam issues bonds worth 100 million USD abroad, 60 million is used to import machinery
and equipment, the rest is used to pay debt to ADB.

CA

Goods import -60

FA

Liabilities increase +100

Liabilities decrease -40


(6) The Japanese enterprise sells goods to the Vietnam company worth of 50 million JPY with
deferred payment. (trả chậm)
CA
Goods import -50
FA
Liabilities increase +50
(7) The Vietnamese exporter is prepaid (trả trước) by the British importer for goods worth of 100
million GBP.
FA
Assets increase +100
Liabilities increase -100

TOPIC 3: FOREX
I. Multiple choice question
1. Assume that E(GBP/USD) = 1.3398 – 1.3407. How much GBP would you gain from selling
200,000 USD?

Sell USD= 200,000/ 1.3407= 149,176


2. Assume that E(USD/JPY) = 142.04 -142.12. How much JPY do you need to buy 300,000 USD?

Buy USD= 300,000 x 142.12= 42,636,000

TOPIC 4: IRP
I. Multiple choice question
1. The USD and AUD annual interest rates are 3% and 4.5% respectively. Based on the
international Fisher effect, calculate the expected inflation rate of GBP, knowing that the
expected inflation rate of AUD is 1.5% per annum?
2. The HKD and USD annual interest rates are 6.05% and 4.5% respectively. Compute the 3-
month forward point based on CIP?
USD/ HKD
R*= 4.5%
R= 6.05%
T=3 months => N=12/3=4
¿
r−r 6.05 %−4.5 %
pt = ¿= =0.38 %
n+ r 4 +4.5 %
3. The CAD and USD annual interest rates are 4.5% and 3% respectively. Calculate the 60-day
forward rate according to CIP knowing that the USD/CAD spot rate is 1.3246?
USD/ CAD
R*= 3%
R=4.5%
S(USD/ CAD)= 1.3246
T= 60 days=> n= 365/60
365
+4.5 %
n+ r 60
F t=S × =¿ F =1.3246 × =13278
n+ r ¿ 365
60
+3 %
60
4. The annual interest rates of USD and CHF are 5% and 2.4% respectively; the spot rate is
0.9788; the 6-month forward rate is 0.9763. If you take a loan, which currency would you choose
to borrow?
USD/ CHF
R*= 5%
R= 2.4%
S(USD/ CHF) = 0.9788
T=6 months => n= 12/6=2
F6= 0.9763

C
C1: r T =n × ( ( ) ) (
S
F
r
× 1+ −1 =2 ×
n
0.9788
0.9763
× 1+ (
2.4 %
2 ) ) ¿
−1 =2.92% <r =5 %

Borrow CHF, invest USD

( ( ) ) ( ( ) )
¿
T F r 0.9763 5%
C2: r C =n × × 1+ −1 =2× × 1+ −1 =4.48 %> r=2.4 %
S n 0.9788 2

Invest USD, borrow CHF


5. Assume that the one-year USD/VND forward exchange rate is 23,890 and the one-year
expected spot exchange rate is 23,850. How will you speculate in the foreign currency market to
make money? How much money will you make in VND?
USD/VND
F(USD/ VND) = 23,890
Se(USD/ VND) = 23,850
Sell forward, buy spot at the maturity
Money in VND = 40 VND
II. Exercise
1. Apply PPP and IRP to solve the following:
Market data at the beginning of 20xx: USD interest rate is 4%/year and VND interest rate is
7.5%/year; the spot rate is 23,517; The expected real interest rate of two currencies is 2.5%/year

a. Calculate the expected inflation rates of USD and VND?


b. The 4-month forward exchange rate of commercial bank X is 23,615. How will you arbitrage
in the international money market to make money?

USD/VND

IRP

R=7.5%

R*= 4%

F4= 23,615

S = 23,517

T= 4 months => n=12/4

C
r T =n ×
( ( ) ) (
S
F
r
× 1+ −1 =3 ×
n
23,517
23,615
× 1+ (
7.5 %
2 ) ) ¿
−1 =9.96 %>r =4 %

Invest VND, borrow USD


2. Suppose that the one-year interest rates of USD and SGD are 3.1% and 4.5% respectively. The
USD/SGD spot exchange rate is currently 1.5243.
a. Calculate the 7-month forward premium.
b. Show how you can make a speculation if the 5-month forward exchange rate is 1.5219.
Determine the expected profit.

USD/SGD
R*= 3.1%
R= 4.5%
S(USD/SGD) = 1.5243
T=7 months => n=12/7
¿
r−r 4.5 %−3.1 %
pt = ¿= =0.8 %
n+ r 12
+3.1 %
7
T= 5 months => n=12/5
12
+ 4.5 %
e n+ r e 5
St =S 0 × =¿ S 5=1.5243 × =1.5331
n+r ¿ 12
+ 3.1%
5
e
S5 > F 5=1.5219 => should buy forward, sell spot => profit= 0.0112 SGD/ USD

3. Suppose that the one-year interest rates of USD and NZD are 5% and 3% respectively. The
NZD/USD spot exchange rate is currently 0.6166 and the 6-month forward exchange rate is
0.6229.
a. Show how you can make a covered interest arbitrage.
b. Determine profit/loss if a trader sells a 6-month forward contract worth 3 million NZD against
USD at the forward rate above if the spot exchange rate is 0.6238 after 6 months

c. Determine profit/loss if a trader sells a 6-month forward contract worth 3 million USD against
NZD at the forward rate above if the spot exchange rate is 0.6238 after 6 months

NZD/USD

R*= 3%

R= 5%

S (NZD/USD) = 0.6166; F6 = 0.6229; t=6 months => n=12/6=2

C
r T =n ×
( ( ) ) (
S
F
r
× 1+ −1 =2 ×
n
0.6166
0.6229
× 1+
5%
2( ) ) ¿
−1 =2.93 % <r =3 %
 Borrow USD, invest NZD

( ( ) ) ( ( ) )
¿
T F r 0.6229 3%
r =n × × 1+ −1 =2×
C × 1+ −1 =5.07 %>r =5 %
S n 0.6166 2

 Invest NZD, borrow USD


e
S6 =0.6238> F 6=0.6229 => should buy forward, sell spot

 Loss = 3 × ( 0.6238−0.6229 ) =0.0027 mNZD/USD


TOPIC 5: PPP
I. Multiple choice question
1. The prices of the "standard basket of goods" in Canada, Australia and the US are 3,100 CAD,
2,950 AUD and 2,000 USD, respectively. Determine the Purchasing power parity of USD/CAD,
AUD/USD, and AUD/CAD?
2. In 2022, prices of a standardized basket of good are 1,000 USD and 5,200 CNY. After one
year, these prices are 1,150 USD and 5,100 CNY. Suppose PPP holds, determine percentage
change of USD/CNY over one year.
3. The 2022, inflation rates of EUR and the USD are 3.5% and 6.2% respectively, E(EUR/USD)
= 1.0875. If PPP holds, determine the exchange rate after 4 months.
II. Exercise
1. Providing annual inflation rates of USD, CAD (% per annum):
Year Inflation rate The inflation Year Inflation rate The inflation
of USD rate of CAD of USD rate of CAD
2020 4.0 3.75 2022 4.25 3.0
2021 4.5 3.5 2023 5.0 2.0
Questions:
a. If PPP holds, calculate the percentage change of exchange rate USD/CAD from the end of
2023 to the end of 2020.
b. Calculate the exchange rate at the end of 2023 if exchange rate at the beginning of 2020: 1 USD
= 1.3075 CAD
2. Inflation rates of VND and USD are given as follows (% per annum):
Year Inflation rate Inflation rate Year Inflation rate Inflation rate
of USD of VND of USD of VND
2020 2.0 7.5 2022 3.25 7.25
2021 3.0 7.0 2023 3.5 6.5
Questions:
1. Calculate the exchange rate at the end of 2020 if exchange rate at the beginning of 2021: 1 USD
= 22,600 VND
2. Calculate the percentage of real overvaluation/undervaluation of 2 currencies if market
exchange rate at the end of 2023: 1 USD = 23,670 VND

TOPIC 6: EXCHANGE RATE & FOREIGN EXCHANGE INTERVENTION


I. Multiple choice question
1. Calculating the percentage of overvaluation and undervaluation if:
Market rate: USD/HKD = 7.2450
Exchange rate of the Central Bank: USD/HKD = 7.3705
2. Calculate the percentage of devaluation and revaluation of VND and USD if the SBV
adjusts the interbank exchange rate from 23,250 to 23,888.
3. Given the following information
Year E(USD/VND) CPIVN CPIUSD
2011 23,150 100 100
2022 23,635 108.5 104.5
Calculate the real exchange rate and make a comment about Vietnam trade competitiveness
4. The AUD/USD exchange rate at the beginning is 0.7003; at the end of the year is 0.7078.
Calculate the real exchange rate and make a comment about the change in the trade
competitiveness between Australia and the US. Given the inflation of AUD and USD
respectively is 5% and 3.5%.
II. Exercise
1. Providing the supply and demand functions of USD
QS = 130,800 + 5E; QD = 345,000 – 4.5E
a. Suppose SBV (State Bank of Vietnam) and FED (US Federal Reserve) maintain the floating
exchange rate regime. What is the equilibrium exchange rate? What is the amount of VND and
USD traded on FX? Illustrated by a graph.
b. Suppose SBV and FED maintain floating exchange rate regime, assuming SBV decides to
intervene to buy USD 5,000 in the foreign exchange market. How will the exchange rate in the
market change and how much USD is traded on the foreign exchange market? Illustrate by a
graph.
c. Suppose SBV and FED maintains a fixed exchange rate regime at E (USD/VND) = 23,300
How does SBV’s foreign exchange reserve change if the SBV is responsible for intervening on
FOREX? Explain why and illustrate by a graph.
2. Providing the supply and demand functions of EUR (unit: million)
Qs = 206 + 3.5E QD = 216.5 – 6E
a. Suppose ECB (European Central Bank) and FED (US Federal Reserve) maintain the floating
exchange rate regime. What is the equilibrium exchange rate? What is the amount of EUR and
USD traded on FX? Illustrated by a graph.
b. Suppose ECB and FED maintain a fixed exchange rate regime at E (EUR/USD) = 1.2067
Calculate the overvaluation and undervaluation of EUR and USD. With all other factors being
constant, how does the exchange rate of E(EUR/USD) = 1.2069 affect the Australian and US
economies?
c. Suppose ECB and FED maintain a fixed exchange rate regime at E (EUR/USD) = 1.2075
How does ECB’s foreign exchange reserve change if the ECB is responsible for intervening on
FOREX? Explain why and illustrate by a graph.

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