Me I Internal
Me I Internal
return in future is less attractive than thc same return today. The future nust, therefore, be discountcd both for
the clenents of delay and risk of future.
The concept of discounting future is bascd on the fundlamental fact that a rupce now is worth more than
a rupco carned a year after. Evon if onc is certain about future incomo, yct it must be discounted because to
wait for future implies a sacrifice for the present. For cxample, you are given a choice of Rs. I,000 today or
Rs. 1,000 next yeur. Naturally you will ch0ose Rs. I,000 toduy, Supposc you can carn 0 per cent nterest
cduring a ycar, you may say that 'lwould be indifleront bctwcon Rs. I,000 today and Rs. 1,00 next year', ie.,
Rs. 1,100 has the prescnt worth of Rs. L,000. For making a deciN0on regarding investment which will yicld a
rcturn ovcr a period ot tinc, it is, theroforo, advisable to find its net present worth. Unless these relurns are
discounted to find their prescnt worth, it is not possible to judye whcther or not it is worth undertaking the
investment today. The net worth may be caleulated for various investment proposals: some of which may yield
higher rcturns in the carlier years, while others higher returns in the later years. Some investments may yicld
higher rcturns for only a limited nunmber of ycars, whilc the others a small return for a longer period. Thus,
a diffcrent
cven thc samc amount of investmcnt in two alternative uses may have different annual returns and
duration of such returns. Totransform these returns into acommon measure we use the discounting principle.
Now, had he not
Supposc an investor wants to invest Rs, 100, assuming that tho bank rate of interest is 10%.
invested he would have earned at least this rate of interest and his money would havogrown from Rs. 100 to
In
Rs. 110ncxt ycar. So, he would invest only when his investment becomes worth at least Rs. I10 next ycar.
cqual to Rs.
other words, Rs. l10 next year have a prescnt worth of Rs. I00, i.e., to him Rs. 110 next ycar are
100today. Thus, in case of present worth, we bring all of the future rupces up to today's rupees.
we can
Supposc a sum of Rs. 100 is duc after I ycar. Let the rate of interest be 10 per cent. Then,
determinc the sum to be invested now so as to producc the return (R) of Rs. 100 at the cnd of 1 year. Thc
present value or the discounted value of Rs. 100 will then be,
R 100
Rs. 90,90.
(1+i) 1.10
value of Rs. 100
The same reasoning can be used to find the present valuc of longer periods. A present
due two years later would be,
Rs. 100 Rs. 100 Rs. 100
Rs. 82.64.
(1+i)? (.10)? 1.21
We can thus write the present worth of astream of income sprcad over n ycars (i.e., R,, Ry,... R,) as
R R, Ry
(1+)'(1+ i)²' (1+ i)' (1+ i)"
The sum of present valucs of returns for n years would thus be
R, t....+ R,
(1+i) (1+i² (|+i (1+)"
2.1.6. Risk andUncertainty. Economic theory of the firm generally assumes that the firm has perfect
knowledge of its cost and demand relationships andof its environment. Uncertainty is not allowed to influence
the decisions ofthe firm: the firm proceeds to maximise the profits after it has acquired the relevant information
oncosts and revenue. Yet, we know that in the real world, uncertainty influences the estimation of costs and
revenues, and hence the decisions of the firm. Management deals with decisions which have long-term bearing.
and since future conditions are not perfectly predictable, there is always a sense of risk and uncertainty about
the outcome of such decisions. Moreover, when afirm is operating in amarket along with the rest of the firms,
there is generally an element of uncertainty regarding the actions and reactions of the competitors. The
consumers, to satisfy whose wants the firm exists, also have shifting choices. Also, there are unexpected
environmental changes,like changes in governmental policies, national and internationalpolitical scene, etc.
.anywell-informed manager either in the private or the public sector should have aguod understanding of
what economists call consumer demand theory. After all, consumer demand affects not only marketing deci.
sions but also decisions in the areas ofproduction, distribution, inventories, and so forth.
MAURICE AND SMITHSON
4
Theory of Consumer Choice
LEARNING OBJECTIVES :
On reading this chapter, you should be able to
understand the basis of emergence of demand for goods and scrvices.
state the underlying assumptions of the theory of consumer's behaviour.
sociological factors of the consum
have an insight into the effects of changes in psychological and
er's behaviour.
dTUx
Another way of finding marginal utility is bydifferentiating total utility function : MUx* dx
where utility function is taken as continuous rather than discrete.
To illustrate the concepts of TU and MU, let us take utility function TU, =10 Qy-O. As consumpuon
of X
changes the total and marginal utilities also undergo achange, as shown in Table 4.1.
Table 4.1:Utility Schedule (units)
Units of Total utility Discrete marginal Continuous
goodX (TUy) utility marginal utility
MUy = 4TUy/AOx MU, = dTU,IdOx
0 0
9
1 9
7
2 16 6
5
3 21 4
3
4 24 2
1
25
-1
6 24 -2
-3
21
From the table it may be observed that when total utility is maximum, marginal utility falls to zero.
4.1.2. The Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility. This is the basic hypothesis of cardinal utility theory.
According to the law of diminishing marginal utility, "for any individual consumer the value that he attaches
to successive units ofa particular commodity will diminish steadily as his total consumption ofthatcommodity
increases, the consumption of allother goods being held constant." (R.G. Lipsey)
In other words, as the consumer consumes more, his total utility willincrease but at a decreasing rate.It
is a natural fact that when a consumer consumes additional units of aparticular good at a point of time, his
desire for every successive unit becomes less intense, consequently utility derived from each successive unit
diminishes. This is illustrated with the help of Table 4.1 and Fig. 4.1.
Utility (utils)
30
25
TU,
20
15
10
0 Units of Good X
1 2 3 4 6
MU,
Fig. 4.1. Diminishing Marginal Utility
S6
Managerial Economics
Assumptions of the Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility
1. Various units of the good arc
homogeneous.
2. There is no time gap betwecn consumption of the different units.
3. Consumer is rational (i.e., has complete knowledge and maximises utility).
4. Tastes, prcferences and fashions remain unchangcd.
4.1.3. Hypothesis of Utility Maximisation (or, Equilibrium of the Consumer). We begin by the basic
assumption about the behaviour of the consumer that the individual consumer so acts with respect to hi
COnsumption decisions as to gain the largest possible 1otal utility (i.e., his action is rational), subject to his
income. Thus,the quantity ofa commodity that a consumcr purchasc is constraincd by both the law of dimin
Ishing marginal utility and the purchasing power with the consumer. In cquilibrium, the consumer balances
the utility of the good against its cost. That is, MU, - P,. So long as MU,> Py, he should buy that unit.
MU,> Price
MU, Price
MU, Price
Markct Price ofX
MU,
2 3 4
Quantity of Good X
Fig, 4.2. Consumer's Equilibrium
Now, if we assumcthat the moncy a consumeris rcady to pay forcach unit ofagood rcflects thc marginal
utility of that good, we canrepresent themarginal utility curvc of agood in terms of money units. Duc to the
operation of law of diminishing marginal utility, such a curve will be downward sloping (Fig. 4.2). Now, if for
all units ofgood Xconsumer pays a pricc cqualto OP, the consumer will buy 5 units ofX, because for the first
4units MÚ, >Py and it is the cost of the 5th unit that cquals the utility he derives from it. He will not consume
beyond 5units as theutility from these units is less than thcir cost. The consumer is, thus, in equilibrium (i.e.,
gets maximum totalutility) if he consumes up to the point where the marginal utility of the good equals the
market price of the good. *
4.1.4. Law of Equi-marginal Utility. Case of MoreThan OneGood. In rcal life, consumers purchase
many goods with the hclp of their incomes, Each commodity has a price and cach of them provide lesser and
lesser utility as moreunits of it arc purchased. He has to dccide how he should spendhis limited income on
different goods so as to get maximum possible satisfaction. This problem of allocation of income betwcen
goods can be solved with the hclp of the law of cqui-narginal utility.
As different goods (e.g., shocs andcars), bave differcnt priccs, thcir utilities are comparable only if these
arereduced to a common unit:'utility per rupce spent'on cach ofgoods,(i.e., theratio MU,IP). With thehelp
of the marginalutility per rupee spent on cach good we can decide how much of cach of the good we should
buy. Suppose aconsumer buys cggs and novcls. Ifthe last rupec spent on cggs providesgrcater marginal utility
than thc last rupce spent on novels, the consumcr must obviously consumemorc cggsfor which he willreduce
fewer
the consumption of novcls. As morc cggs arc consumcd thcir marginal utility decreases, and as
*e.g. givcn utility fn: U 50x-2.5x' and P, 10, consumer cquilibrium : duldx = P, or 50 - 5x = 10.
mamdAnalh:six 79
how the
induate
quantity demanded for a product is relatcd to the valuc of their respcctive variablc in the
demand
tunction. If we assume that we know the value of the paramcters, then by substituting the arsumed
demandfunction we get afunction likethis :
aluesinthe
2,--200 P, +100 Y,+0.001 Pop, +0.05 A,.
We findfrom
the above cquation that refrigerators' demand falls by 200) units for each Re. 1 increase in its
price:itincreases by 100units for each Re. l increase in per capita incomc; it
incrcases by 0.00 l units for each
population;: and it increases by 0.05 units for every additional rupce spentton advertisement.
alditionalpersonin
a illustrate, if we assume P,= Rs. 4,000, Y,= Rs. 1,000, Pop, == 700,000,000 and 4,=Rs. 100,000,000
then by
substituting these values in the above cquation we gct,
-200 x 4,000+ 100 × 1,000 + .001 x 700,000,000 +.05 x 100,000,000 =5,000,000 units.
Tlustration 1. It was found that the cstimated demand function for 1.5 ton air-conditioners of Kenstar in
aparticularzone:
Q=6,000 - .5 P+ .002 |+.0004 A+.05 P,+ .00003 N.
Where Oand Pare thequantity and price of ACsrespectively; I is the annual disposable income per family; 1
wthe advertising expenditure of Kenstar in the zone, P, is the average price of competing brands; and Nis the
population of the zone. Find the estimated quantity demanded when P= Rs. 20,000, I= Rs. 20,000;
ERS. 2,00,00,000, P. =Rs. 15,000; and N=6,00,00,000. What willbe the change in quantity demanded it
Pis reduced to Rs. 18,000and A to Rs. 1,50,00.0002
Solution. The following table shows the calculation of quantitydemanded as per the demand function given
here.
Variable Value Coefficient Total
When P reduces to Rs. 18000 and Ato Rs. 1,75,00,000 then in the total column we will have values as:
Q=+8,000 + (Rs. 18,000 x0.5) + Rs. 40 + (Rs. 1,75,00,000 × .0004) + 750 + 1800 = 8595.
5.4.4. Why do Demand Curves Slope Downwards? The law of demand states that, other things remaining
commodity
the same, an individual consumer will buy more of a commodity at a lower price and less of that
several reasons
at a higher price. Generally the demand curves slope downwards from left to right. There are
for this.
diminishing
1. The law of diminishing marginal utility is at the root of the law of demand. The law of him goes on
utility to
utility states that as one goes on consuming more and more units of a commodity its
diminishing. In order to get maximum satisfaction, a consumer buys a commodity in such a way that marginal
equilibrium
utility of the commodity is equal to its price. It means that an individual consumer comes to anutility and the
marginal
where marginal utility isequal to price. A rational consumer always tries to equate the
price. When the price comes down, he buys more quantity to bring the marginal utility to the level of price.
take large quantities.
The price paid for a good, therefore, must be lowered if consumers are to be induced to utility is the basis of the law
And this is what the law of demand states. Thus, the law of diminishing marginal
of demand.
Thus the exiting buyers purchase
2. A commodity tends to be put to more use when it becomes cheaper.thus,
is, an extension of demand when
more andsome new consumers enter the market. The cumulative effect
price falls.
consumer's real income. The consumer
3. A fall in the price of a superior good will lead to a rise in the
superior good will result in a decline in
can, therefore, buy more ofit. On the contrary, a rise in the price of a
of it. The consequent increase or decrease
the consumer's real income, the consumer will, therefore, buy less attributed
may be to the income effect.
in a consumer's demand for the good under consideration
substitution effect also. A fall in the
4. Reason for a downward movement of a demand curve lies in the make it attractive to the buyers who
price of a good. while the prices of its substitutes remain unchanged, will
commodity, while the prices of its
will now demand more of it. On the contrary, a rise in the price of a now purchase less of it.
substitutes remain unchanged, will make it unattractive to the purchasers who will
with the help of some specific
5.4.5. Forms of Demand Function. It is useful to represent demand law
functional forms, like:
or p=a- bg
(1) 9=
a
p= -C
(2) q= --b, or q+b
p+c
or
p=a-b¡?
(3)
1
(4) 9ae-bp or
p= log
and so on.
-Theconcept offolasticity of demand and of cross-elasticity of demand are the essential heart of the meaning
economic concept offdemand."
ofthe CHESTER R. WASSON
6
Elasticity of Demand
And Demand Estimation
LEARNING OBJECTIVES :
After going through the present chapter, you should be able to
understand the meaning of elasticity of demand;
quantify the elasticity of demand;
interpret the coefficients of elasticity;
jdentify the determinants of demand elasticity:
learn the steps involved in the empirical estimatjon of demand.