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The document discusses a lesson on probability taught by a teacher to students. It defines key probability terms, provides examples of simple events and how to calculate probability using formulas. Students practice calculating probabilities of different scenarios like rolling dice, picking cards and are evaluated on their understanding.

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Jeffrey Macalino
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26 views

Lesson Plan

The document discusses a lesson on probability taught by a teacher to students. It defines key probability terms, provides examples of simple events and how to calculate probability using formulas. Students practice calculating probabilities of different scenarios like rolling dice, picking cards and are evaluated on their understanding.

Uploaded by

Jeffrey Macalino
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 5

I.

OBJECTIVES
At the end of this session, learners should be able to:
1. define probability
2. find the probability of simple events
3. express appreciation on the use and importance of probability in real-life

II. CONTENTS
Topic: Probability
Reference:
a. https://teacherph.com/statistics-probability
b. https://youtu.be/iBdjqtR2iK4
Materials: LED TV, Laptop

III. PROCEDURE:

Teacher’s Activity Students’ Activity


Good morning, class. Good morning, Sir.
Please stand. Fix yourselves. Let us pray. In the name…Amen.
Is everybody present? Yes, Sir.
Great.
Before we start, let’s watch this video clip from Watching...
the movie “21”.
Are you familiar with the scene? It is like being a Yes, Sir.
contestant for SHOPEE at Wowowin, but in this
case we only have 3 doors.

What did the student use to make his choice? Sir, statistics.
Statistics? Yes, but it is actually probability.

Today, we will have Probability. Topic will be


Probability of Simple events.

Will someone read the objectives, please? 1. define probability


2. find the probability of simple events
3. express appreciation on the use and
importance of probability in real-life

There are many problems that can be solved


using probability. One good example is when you
guys are taking your exams. Answering Multiple
choice questions, True or False, and others.
When you have choices to make, we can always
solve it by probability.
Do you understand, class? Yes, Sir.

Will someone give a problem that can be


answered using probability? (Different answer from students)
All your answers are correct. Remember that if
you will have choices to solve a problem, it has
probability.

Hence, the more likely an event is to occur, the


higher its probability. Also, the less likely an event
is to occur, the lower its probability.

Can you give me an example that will make the


sentence true? Sir, tossing a coin. We only have two choices. It
has higher probability.

Very good example. The fewer the choices the


higher the probability.

Let us talk about the choices or the simple


events.

Kindly read the meaning of simple events. Simple event it is an event which has a single
outcome.
Thank you.

Here are some examples of simple events. Will


you read one? Tossing a coin
Rolling a die
Picking a card
Picking a letter from S H O P E E
Thank you.

In finding the probability of simple events, we


need to have this formula.

Probability = NUMBER OF FAVORABLE


OUTCOMES / NUMBER OF ALL POSSIBLE
OUTCOMES

Let us try this formula.


In tossing a coin, what is the Probability of getting
Head? Any idea, anyone? (Different answer from the students)

Very good. We can use the formula like this,


P(Head) = 1 (FAVORABLE OUTCOMES)/ 2 (ALL
POSSIBLE OUTCOMES)
The answer will be 1/2. Do you understand? Yes, Sir.

Let us try another example. In rolling a die, what


is the Probability of getting a “4”? Would anyone
wants to try to answer this? Sir, P(4) = 1 (FAVORABLE OUTCOMES)/ 6 (ALL
POSSIBLE OUTCOMES). The answer is 1/6.

Very good.
In rolling a die, what is the Probability of getting a
“2” and a “3”? In this example, the chance of
getting a 2 or a 3 in a single roll of a die will be,
2/6. P(2&3) = 2 (FAVORABLE OUTCOMES)/ 6 (ALL
POSSIBLE OUTCOMES). Does everybody Yes, Sir.
understand?

Try this one, If a letter is chosen at random from


the word S H O P E E, what is the Probability of P(E) = 2 (FAVORABLE OUTCOMES)/ 6 (ALL
getting “E”? POSSIBLE OUTCOMES)

Great. Moving on.


Kindly interpret this picture. It is called (Different answers from students)
Probability Line.

Very good.

Events are categorized as impossible event,


unlikely event, equally likely event, likely event
and certain event.

Remember this,
Impossible event - favorable outcome = 0
Unlikely event – favorable outcome > 0 but less
than 50%
Equally likely event – favorable outcome = 50%
Likely event – favorable outcome > 50% but less
than 100%
Certain event – favorable outcome = 100%

There are certain rules in probability. Kindly read 1. The probability of any event is a number
the rules. (either a fraction, a decimal, or a percent)

Example: The weather forecast shows 70% of rain


(70%, 7/10 or 0.7) 2. If an event will never happen, then its
Next. probability is 0.

Same with impossible event, where the


probability is zero. 3. If an event is sure to happen, then the
Next. probability is 1.

Same with certain event, where the probability is


1. 4. The sum of the probabilities of all outcomes in
Lastly. the sample space is 1.
Example: If a fair coin is flipped,
P(Head) = ½ , P(Tail) = ½
½+½=1
Note:
The answer should be in SIMPLIFIED FORM.
But in some situation, we don’t need to do this to
better understand the problem. Although
simplified or not if we need to have an answer as
percentage it will always be the same. Does Yes, Sir.
everybody understand?

IV. EVALUATION
Find the probability of the following :
In rolling a die.
1. Probability (Even number) 1. 3/6 or 1/2
2. Probability (less than 3) 2. 2/6 or 1/3
3. Probability (less than 5) 3. 4/6 or 2/3
4. What is the probability of getting an 8 from a
deck of 52 cards? 4. 4/52 or 1/13
5. If a letter is chosen at random from the word
GRADUATION,
a. What is the probability that the letter chosen 5a. 2/10 or 1/5
is A?
b. What is the probability that the letter chosen 5b. 1/10
is D?

V. REFLECTION
Tell me something about this question. Before
taking actions to anything, do we consider its end
results?
Any answer for this? (Different answer from students)

Sometimes, we act first before thinking of the


result.
Have we thought of the probability of taking the
wrong actions and having regrets in the end? Sometimes.

Choices, Chances and Changes.

You must make a choice to take a Chance or your


life will never change. Because in every chance
you get in life it only happen one time.

Good day, everyone. See you tomorrow. Good day, Sir.


Prepared by:

JEFFREY MACALINO
Applicant

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