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Tutorial 4

The document contains 9 probability and statistics problems involving Poisson distributions. The problems cover topics like defective products, random variable distributions, machine breakdowns, call volumes, and more.

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19 views

Tutorial 4

The document contains 9 probability and statistics problems involving Poisson distributions. The problems cover topics like defective products, random variable distributions, machine breakdowns, call volumes, and more.

Uploaded by

lordbuzz123
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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BIRLA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE, PILANI

K. K. BIRLA GOA CAMPUS


First Semester 2020-2021
Tutorial-4

Course No. MATH F113 Course title: Probability and Statisitcs

1. A manufacturer of cotter pins knows that 5% of his product is defective.


If he sells cotter pins in boxes of 100 and guarantees that not more than
10 pins will be defected, what is the approximate probability that a box
will fail to meet the guaranteed quality?

2. If X and Y are independent Poisson random variables with parameter


k1 , k2 respectively, show that the conditional distribution of X, given
the value of X + Y , is a binomial distribution.

3. A loom experience one yarn breakage approximately every 10 hours.


A particular style of cloth is being produced that will take 25 hours
on this loom. If 3 or more breaks are required to render the product
unsatisfactory, find the probability that the style of cloth is finished
with acceptable quality.

4. Suppose that the number of telephone calls coming into a telephone


exchange between 10 A.M. to 11 A.M., say, X1 , is a random variable
with Poisson distribution with parameter 2. Similarly, the number of
calls arriving between 11 A.M. and 12 noon, say, X2 , has a Poisson
distribution with parameter 6. If X1 and X2 are independent, what is
the probability that more than 5 calls come in between 10 A.M. to 12
noon ?

5. A company rents out time on a computer for periods of t hours, for


which it receives Rs. 600/- an hour. The number of times the computer
breaks down during t hours is a r.v. having the Poisson distribution
with λ = 0.8t and if the computer breaks down x times during t hours
it costs Rs. 50x2 to fix it. How should the company select t in order to
maximize its expected profit.
6. The number of times that an individual contracts a cold in a given year
is a Poisson process with parameter λ = 3 per year. Suppose a new
drug just has been marketed that reduces the Poisson parameter to
λ = 2 per year for 75 percent of the population. For other 25 percent
of the population, the drug has no appreciable effect on colds. If an
individual tries the drug for a year and has 0 colds in that time, how
likely is it that the drug is beneficial for him/her ?

7. Assume that cars pass under a bridge at a rate of 100 per hour according
to a Poisson process. (i) Find the time interval such that the probability
that no car will pass during this interval is at least 0.25. (ii) Find the
probability that during a 3 minute period no cars will pass under the
bridge ?

8. If electricity power failures occur according to a Poisson distribution


with an average of 3 failures every twenty weeks, calculate the proba-
bility that there will not be more than one failure during a particular
week.

9. The number of calls coming per minute into a hotels reservation center
is Poisson random variable with mean 3. (a) Find the probability that
no calls come in a given 1 minute period. (b) Assume that the number
of calls arriving in two different minutes are independent. Find the
probability that at least two calls will arrive in a given two minute
period.

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