Article 5
Article 5
Computational Neuropsychology
and Bayesian Inference
Thomas Parr 1* , Geraint Rees 1,2 and Karl J. Friston 1
1
Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging, Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, United Kingdom,
2
Institute of Cognitive Neuroscience, University College London, London, United Kingdom
of functional diaschisis of this form (Boes et al., 2015; Fornito phrased in terms of two questions: ‘what are the prior beliefs that
et al., 2015). Solutions that have been proposed to the above would have to be held to make this behavior optimal?’ and ‘what
problems include the use of multivariate methods (Karnath and are the biological substrates of these priors?’
Smith, 2014; Nachev, 2015) to account for dependencies, and the The notion of optimal pathology may seem counter-intuitive,
use of models of effective connectivity to assess network-level but we can draw upon another theorem, the good regulator
changes (Rocca et al., 2007; Grefkes et al., 2008; Abutalebi et al., theorem (Conant and Ashby, 1970), to highlight the difference
2009; Mintzopoulos et al., 2009) in response to lesions. between healthy and pathological behavior. This states that a
In this paper, we consider a complementary approach that brain (or any other system) is only able to effectively regulate its
has started to gain traction in psychiatric research (Adams environment if it is a good model of that environment. A brain
et al., 2013b, 2015; Corlett and Fletcher, 2014; Huys et al., 2016; that embodies a model with priors that diverge substantially
Schwartenbeck and Friston, 2016; Friston et al., 2017c). This from the world (i.e., body, ecological niche, culture, etc.) it is
is the use of models that relate the computations performed trying to regulate will fail at this task (Schwartenbeck et al.,
by the brain to measurable behaviors (Krakauer and Shadmehr, 2015). If pathological priors relate to the properties of the
2007; Mirza et al., 2016; Testolin and Zorzi, 2016; Iglesias et al., musculoskeletal system, we might expect motor disorders such
2017). Such models can be associated with process theories as tremors or paralysis (Friston et al., 2010; Adams et al., 2013a).
(Friston et al., 2017a) that map to neuroanatomy and physiology. If abnormal priors relate to perceptual systems, the results may
This complements the approaches outlined above, as it allows include sensory hallucinations (Fletcher and Frith, 2009; Adams
focal neuroanatomical lesions to be interpreted in terms of et al., 2013b) or anesthesia. In the following, we review some
their contribution to a network. Crucially, this approach ensures important concepts in Bayesian accounts of brain function.
that the relationship between brain structure and function is These include the notion of a generative model, the hierarchical
addressed within a conceptually rigorous framework – this is structure of such models, the representation of uncertainty in
essential for the construction of well-formed hypotheses for the brain, and the active nature of sensory perception. In doing
neuropsychological research (Nachev and Hacker, 2014). We so we will develop a taxonomy of pathological priors. While
focus here upon models that employ a conceptual framework this taxonomy concerns types of inferential deficit (and is not
based on Bayesian inference. a comprehensive review of neuropsychological syndromes), we
Bayesian inference is the process of forming beliefs about the draw upon examples of syndromes to illustrate these pathologies.
causes of sensory data. It relies upon the combination of prior We relate these to failures of neuromodulation and to the notion
beliefs about these causes, and beliefs about how these causes give of a ‘disconnection’ syndrome (Geschwind, 1965a; Catani and
rise to sensations. Using these two probabilities it is possible to Ffytche, 2005).
calculate the probability, given a sensation, of its cause. This is
known as a ‘posterior’ probability. This means that prior beliefs
are updated by a sensory experience to become posterior beliefs. THE GENERATIVE MODEL
These posteriors can then be used as the prior for the next
sensory experience. In short, Bayesian theories of brain function Bayesian Inference
propose the brain encodes beliefs about the causes of sensory Much work in theoretical neurobiology rests on the notion that
data, and that these beliefs are updated in response to new sensory the brain performs Bayesian inference (Knill and Pouget, 2004;
evidence. Doya, 2007; Friston, 2010; O’Reilly et al., 2012). In other words,
Our motivation for pursuing a Bayesian framework is that it the brain makes inferences about the (hidden or latent) causes
captures many different types of behavior, including apparently of sensory data. ‘Hidden’ variables are those that are not directly
suboptimal behaviors. According to an important result known observable and must be inferred. For example, the position
as the complete class theorem (Wald, 1947; Daunizeau et al., 2010), (hidden variable) of a lamp causes a pattern of photoreceptor
there is always a set of a prior belief that renders an observed activation (sensory data) in the retina. Bayesian inference can be
behavior Bayes optimal. This is fundamental for computational used to infer the probable position of the lamp from the retinal
neuropsychology as it means we can cast even pathological data. To do this, two probability distributions must be defined
behaviors as the result of processes that implement Bayesian (these are illustrated graphically in Figure 1A). These are the
inference (Schwartenbeck et al., 2015). In other words, we can prior probability of the causes, and a likelihood distribution that
assume that the brain makes use of a probabilistic model of its determines how the causes give rise to sensory data. Together,
environment to make inferences about the causes of sensory data these are referred to as a ‘generative model,’ as they describe the
(Knill and Pouget, 2004; Doya, 2007), and to act upon them processes by which data is (believed to be) generated. Bayesian
(Friston et al., 2012b). Another consequence of the theorem is inference uses a generative model to compute the probable causes
that computational models that are not (explicitly) motivated by of sensory data (Beal, 2003; Doya, 2007; Ghahramani, 2015).
Bayesian inference (Frank et al., 2004; O’Reilly, 2006) may be Many of the inferences that must be made by the brain relate to
written down in terms of Bayesian decision processes. Working causes that evolve through time. This means that the prior over
within this framework facilitates communication between these the trajectory of causes through time can be decomposed into a
models, and ensures they could all be used to phenotype patients prior for the initial state, and a series of transition probabilities
using a common currency (i.e., their prior beliefs). It follows that that account for sequences or dynamics (Figure 1B). These
the key challenges for computational neuropsychology can be dynamics can be subdivided into those that a subject has control
FIGURE 1 | Generative models. These schematics graphically illustrate the structure of generative models. (A) The simplest model that permits Bayesian inference
involves a hidden state, s, that is equipped with a prior P(s). This hidden state generates observable data, o, through a process defined by the likelihood P(o|s)
(vertical arrow). (B) It is possible to equip such a model with dynamically changing hidden states. To do so, we must specify the probabilities of transitioning between
states P sτ+1 |sτ (horizontal arrows). (C) Transitions between states may be influenced by the course of action, π, that is pursued. (D) Hierarchical levels can be
added to the generative model (Friston et al., 2017d). This means that the processes that generate the hidden states can themselves be accommodated in the
inferences performed using the model.
over (Figure 1C), such as muscle length, and environmental and Howard, 1999). This phenomenon, known as Charles Bonnet
causes that they cannot directly influence. syndrome (Teunisse et al., 1996; Menon et al., 2003), can be
interpreted as a failure to constrain perceptual hypotheses with
Predictive Coding sensations (Reichert et al., 2013). In other words, there are
Predictive coding is a prominent theory describing how the no prediction errors to correct predictions. A similar line of
brain could perform Bayesian inference (Rao and Ballard, 1999; argument can be applied to phantom limbs (Frith et al., 2000;
Friston and Kiebel, 2009; Bastos et al., 2012). This relies upon the De Ridder et al., 2014). Following amputation, patients may
idea that the brain uses its generative model to form perceptual continue to experience ‘phantom’ sensory percepts from their
hypotheses (Gregory, 1980) and make predictions about sensory missing limb. The absence of corrective signals from amputated
data. The difference between this prediction and the incoming body parts means that any hypothesis held about the limb is
data is computed, and the ensuing prediction error is used unfalsifiable. In the next sections, we consider some of the
to refine hypotheses about the cause of the data. Under this important features of generative models, and their relationship
theory, the messages passed through neuronal signaling are to brain function.
either predictions, or prediction errors. There are other local
message passing schemes that can implement Bayesian inference
(Winn and Bishop, 2005; Yedidia et al., 2005; Dauwels, 2007; HIERARCHICAL MODELS
Friston et al., 2017b), particularly for categorical (as opposed
to continuous) inferences. Although we use the language of Cortical Architecture
predictive coding in the following, we note that our discussion An important feature of many generative models is hierarchy.
generalizes to other Bayesian belief propagation schemes. Hierarchical models assume that the hidden causes that generate
The notion that hypotheses are corrected by prediction errors sensory data are themselves generated from hidden causes at
makes sense of the kinds of neuropsychological pathologies that a higher level in the hierarchy (Figure 1D). As the hierarchy
result from the loss of sensory signals. For example, patients with is ascended, causes tend to become more abstract, and have
eye disease can experience complex visual hallucinations (Ffytche dynamics that play out over a longer time course (Kiebel et al.,
Anosognosia Low exteroceptive or interoceptive Insula lesions Karnath et al., 2005; Fotopoulou
sensory precision et al., 2010; Fotopoulou, 2012
Failure of active inference Hemiplegia
Apraxia Disrupted likelihood (action to vision or Callosal disconnection Left Geschwind, 1965b
command to action consequences) frontoparietal disconnection
Autism High sensory precision ↑Cholinergic transmission? Dayan and Yu, 2006; Lawson et al.,
Secondary to high volatility ↑Noradrenergic transmission 2014; Marshall et al., 2016;
Lawson et al., 2017
Complex visual hallucinations Low sensory precision ↓Cholinergic transmission Collerton et al., 2005; Reichert
(Lewy body dementia, Charles Disrupted likelihood mapping Retino-geniculate disconnection et al., 2013; O’Callaghan et al.,
Bonnet syndrome) 2017
Conduction aphasia Disrupted likelihood mapping (speech Arcuate fasciculus disconnection Wernicke, 1969
to proprioceptive consequences)
Parkinson’s disease Low prior precision over policies ↓Dopaminergic transmission Friston et al., 2013
Visual agnosia Disrupted likelihood (‘what’ to Ventral visual stream disconnection Geschwind, 1965b
sensory data)
Visual neglect Disrupted likelihood (fixation to ‘what’) SLF II disconnection Karnath et al., 2002; Thiebaut de
mapping Schotten et al., 2005; Bartolomeo
Biased outcome prior Pulvinar lesion et al., 2007
Biased policy prior Putamen lesion
of beliefs about hidden causes into multiple streams. Bayesian that relate disorders of spatial processing to interhemispheric
inference often employs this device, known as a ‘mean-field’ (Kinsbourne, 1970) or intrahemispheric disruptions (Bartolomeo
assumption, which ‘carves’ posterior beliefs into the product et al., 2007; Bartolomeo, 2014). Any intrahemispheric lesion
of statistically independent factors (Beal, 2003; Friston and that induces a bias toward one side of space necessarily alters
Buzsáki, 2016). The factorization of visual hierarchies into the interhemispheric balance of activity (Parr and Friston,
ventral and dorsal ‘what’ and ‘where’ streams (Ungerleider and 2017b).
Mishkin, 1982; Ungerleider and Haxby, 1994) appears to be
an example of this. A closely related factorization separates the Disconnections and Likelihoods
dorsal and ventral attention networks (Corbetta and Shulman, The factorization of beliefs into distinct processing streams is not
2002). This factorization has important consequences for the limited to the visual system. Notably, theories of the neurobiology
representation of objects in space. Location is represented of speech propose a similar division into dorsal and ventral
bilaterally in the brain, with each side of space represented in streams (Hickok and Poeppel, 2007; Saur et al., 2008). The former
the contralateral hemisphere. As it is not necessary to know is thought to support articulatory components of speech, while
the location of an object to know its identity, it is possible the latter is involved in language comprehension. This mean-
to represent this information independently, and therefore field factorization accommodates the classical subdivision of
unilaterally (Parr and Friston, 2017a). It is notable that object aphasias into fluent (e.g., Wernicke’s aphasia) and non-fluent
recognition deficits tend to occur when patients experience (e.g., Broca’s aphasia) categories. The anatomy of these networks
damage to areas in the right hemisphere (Warrington and has been interpreted in terms of predictive coding (Hickok,
James, 1967, 1988; Warrington and Taylor, 1973). Lesions 2012a,b), and this interpretation allows us to illustrate the point
to contralateral (left hemispheric) homologs are more likely that disconnection syndromes are generally due to disruption
to give rise to difficulties in naming objects (Kirshner, of the likelihood mapping between two regions. We draw
2003). upon examples of aphasic and apraxic syndromes to make this
The bilateral representation of space has an important point.
consequence when we frame neuronal processing as probabilistic Conduction aphasia is the prototypical disconnection
inference. Following an inference that a stimulus is likely to syndrome (Wernicke, 1969), disconnecting Wernicke’s
be on one side of space, it must be the case that it is less area from Broca’s area. The former is found near the
likely to be on the contralateral side. If neuronal activities temporoparietal junction, and is thought to contribute to
in each hemisphere represent these probabilities, this induces language comprehension. The latter is in the inferior frontal lobe,
a form of interhemispheric competition (Vuilleumier et al., and is a key part of the dorsal language stream. Disconnection of
1996; Rushmore et al., 2006; Dietz et al., 2014). An important the two areas results in an inability to repeat spoken language.
role of commissural fiber pathways may be to enforce the This connection between these two areas, the arcuate fasciculus
normalization of probabilities across space [although some (Catani and Mesulam, 2008), could represent the likelihood
of these axons must represent likelihood mappings instead mapping from speech representations in Wernicke’s area to
(Glickstein and Berlucchi, 2008)]. This neatly unifies theories the articulatory proprioceptive data processed in Broca’s area
Visual Neglect
A common neuropsychological syndrome, resulting from
damage to the right cerebral hemisphere, is visual neglect
(Halligan and Marshall, 1998). This is characterized by a failure
to attend to the left side of space. This rightward lateralization
may be a consequence of the mean-field factorization discussed
earlier. Although space is represented bilaterally in the brain, FIGURE 5 | The anatomy of visual neglect. Three lesions implicated in visual
there is no need for representations of identity to be bilateral. neglect are highlighted here. 1 – Disconnection of the second branch of the
right superior longitudinal fasciculus (a white matter tract that connects dorsal
This means that the relationships between location and identity
frontal with ventral parietal regions); 2 – Unilateral lesion to the right putamen;
should be asymmetrical, complementing the observation that 3 – Unilateral lesion to the right pulvinar (a thalamic nucleus). Note that lesion
visual neglect is very rarely the consequence of a left hemispheric 1 here is the same as lesion 2 in Figure 3.
lesion.
A behavioral manifestation of this disorder is a bias in
saccadic sampling (Husain et al., 2001; Fruhmann Berger et al.,
ventral parietal regions, we would expect there to be no
2008; Karnath and Rorden, 2012). Patients with neglect tend
change in beliefs following a saccade to the left. These
to perform saccades to locations on the right more frequently
would make for very poor ‘visual experiments’ (Lindley, 1956).
than to those on the left. There are several different sets
A very similar argument has been put forward for neglect
of prior beliefs that would make this behavior optimal. We
of personal space that emphasizes proprioceptive (rather than
will discuss three possibilities (Parr and Friston, 2017b), and
visual) consequences of action (Committeri et al., 2007). In
consider their biological bases (Figure 5). One is a prior
these circumstances, optimal behavior would require a greater
belief that proprioceptive data will be consistent with fixations
frequency of rightward saccades. Lesions to SLF II (Doricchi
on the right of space. The dorsal parietal lobe is known
and Tomaiuolo, 2003; Thiebaut de Schotten et al., 2005; Lunven
to contain the ‘parietal eye fields’ (Shipp, 2004), and it is
et al., 2015), and the regions it connects (Corbetta et al.,
plausible that an input to this region may specify such prior
2000; Corbetta and Shulman, 2002, 2011) are associated with
beliefs. A candidate structure is the dorsal pulvinar (Shipp,
neglect.
2003). This is a thalamic nucleus implicated in attentional
A third possibility is that the process of policy selection may be
processing (Ungerleider and Christensen, 1979; Robinson and
inherently biased. Above, we suggested that these computations
Petersen, 1992; Kanai et al., 2015). Crucially, lesions to this
may involve subcortical structures. The striatum, an input
structure have been implicated in neglect (Karnath et al.,
nucleus to the basal ganglia, is well known to be involved in
2002).
habit formation (Yin and Knowlton, 2006; Graybiel and Grafton,
A second possibility relates more directly to the question
2015). Habits may be formalized as a bias in prior beliefs about
of good experimental design. If a saccade is unlikely to
policy selection (FitzGerald et al., 2014). It is plausible that a
induce a change in current beliefs, then there is little value
lesion in the striatum might induce a similar behavioral bias
in performing it. One form that current beliefs take is the
toward saccades to rightward targets. One of the subcortical
likelihood distribution mapping ‘where I am looking’ to ‘what
structures most frequently implicated in visual neglect is the
I see’ (Mirza et al., 2016). As illustrated in Figure 3 (right)
putamen (Karnath et al., 2002), one of the constituent nuclei of
this likelihood distribution takes the form of a connection
the striatum. Such lesions may be interpretable as disrupting the
between dorsal frontal and ventral parietal regions (Parr
prior belief about policies.
and Friston, 2017a). To adjust beliefs about this mapping,
observations could induce a plastic change in synaptic strength
following each saccade (Friston et al., 2016b). If the white Anosognosia
matter tract connecting these areas is lesioned, it becomes The ideas outlined above, that movements can be thought of
impossible to update these beliefs. As such, if we were to as sensory experiments, are not limited to eye movements and
cut the second branch of the superior longitudinal fasciculus visual data. Plausibly, limb movements could be used to test
(SLF II) on the right, disconnecting dorsal frontal from hypotheses about proprioceptive (and visual) sensations. This
has interesting consequences for a neuropsychological deficit asymmetry in the behaviors they elicit. It is also plausible that
known as anosognosia (Fotopoulou, 2012). This syndrome can functional disconnections might occur within a cortical
accompany hemiplegia, which prevents the performance of region. This would allow for disruption of transition
perceptual experiments using the paralyzed limb (Fotopoulou, probabilities. While not as vulnerable to vascular insult, other
2014). In addition to the failure to perform such an experiment, pathologies can cause changes in intrinsic cortical connectivity
patients must be able to ignore any discrepancy between (Cooray et al., 2015).
predicted movements and the contradictory sensory data Epistemic, foraging, behavior is vital for the evaluation of
suggesting the absence of a movement (Frith et al., 2000). beliefs about the world. Unusual patterns of sensorimotor
As this failure of monitoring movement trajectories can be sampling can be induced by abnormal beliefs about the
induced in healthy subjects (Fourneret and Jeannerod, 1998), motor experiments that best disambiguate between perceptual
it seems plausible that this could be exaggerated in the context hypotheses. These computations implicate subcortical structures,
of hemiplegia, through a dampening of exteroceptive sensory such as the basal ganglia. There are two ways that disruption
precision. of these computations may result in abnormal behavior. The
This explanation is not sufficient on its own, as anosognosia first is that prior beliefs about policies may be biased. This can
does not occur in all cases of hemiplegia. Lesion mapping be an indirect effect, through other beliefs, or a direct effect
has implicated the insula in the deficits observed in these due to dysfunction in basal ganglia networks. The second is
patients (Karnath et al., 2005; Fotopoulou et al., 2010). that an impairment in performing these experiments, due to
This is a region often associated with interoceptive inference paralysis, might impair the refutation of incorrect perceptual
(Barrett and Simmons, 2015) that has substantial efferent hypotheses. This may be compounded by a disconnection
connectivity to somatosensory cortex (Showers and Lauer, or a neuromodulatory failure, as has been proposed in
1961; Mesulam and Mufson, 1982). Damage to the insula anosognosia.
and surrounding regions might reflect a disconnection of the One further source of an aberrant priors, not discussed in
mapping from motor hypotheses to the interoceptive data the above, is neuronal loss. In neurodegenerative disorders,
that accounts for what it ‘feels like’ to move a limb. This is there may be a reduction in the number of neurons in a
consistent with evidence that the insula mediates inferences given brain area. This results in a smaller number of possible
about these kinds of sensations (Allen et al., 2016). A plausible activity patterns across these neurons and limits the number
hypothesis for the computational pathology in anosognosia of hypotheses they can represent. This means that disorders
is then that a failure of active inference is combined with in which neurons are lost may cause a shrinkage of the
a disconnection of the likelihood mapping between motor brain’s hypothesis space. In other words, the failure to form
control and its interoceptive (and exteroceptive) consequences accurate perceptual hypotheses in such conditions may be
(Fotopoulou et al., 2008). due to an attrition of the number of hypotheses that can
be entertained by the brain. An important future step in
Bayesian neuropsychology will be linking tissue pathology with
A (PROVISIONAL) TAXONOMY OF computation more directly. This may be one route toward
COMPUTATIONAL PATHOLOGY achieving this.
pathological priors that give rise to Bayes optimal behavior AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
in patients is promising both scientifically and clinically. If
individual patients can be uniquely characterized by subject- All authors listed have made a substantial, direct and intellectual
specific priors, this facilitates a precision medicine approach contribution to the work, and approved it for publication.
grounded in computational phenotyping (Adams et al., 2016;
Schwartenbeck and Friston, 2016; Mirza et al., 2018). This also
allows for empirical evaluation of hypotheses about abnormal FUNDING
priors, by comparing quantitative, computational phenotypes
between clinical and healthy populations. Relating these priors TP was supported by the Rosetrees Trust (Award Number
to their biological substrates offers the further possibility of 173346). GR was supported by a Wellcome Trust Senior Clinical
treatments that target aberrant neurobiology in a patient specific Research Fellowship (100227). KF is a Wellcome Principal
manner. Research Fellow (Ref: 088130/Z/09/Z).
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