WINSEM2023-24 BMAT202L TH VL2023240502271 2024-03-06 Reference-Material-I

Continuous Probability Distributions
The Normal Distribution

Normal Distribution, also called Gaussian Distribution, is one of the widely used
continuous distributions existing which is used to model a number of scenarios such as
marks of students, heights of people, salaries of working people etc.
f(X) Changing μ shifts the

distribution left or right.
Changing σ increases or
decreases the spread.
X
The Normal Distribution:
as mathematical function (pdf)
1 x 2
1  ( )
f ( x)  e 2 
 2
This is a bell shaped curve
Note constants: with different centers and
=3.14159 spreads depending on 
e=2.71828 and 
The Normal PDF
It’s a probability function, so no matter what the values of 

and , must integrate to 1!
 1 x 2
1  ( )

 2
 e 2  dx 1
Normal distribution is defined by its mean
and standard dev.
 1 x 2
1  ( )
E(X)= = x
 2
e 2  dx
 1 x 2
1  ( )
Var(X)=2 =
 x2 dx )   2
( e 2 
  2
Standard Deviation(X)=
The moment generating function of a normal distribution with respect to

origin is
**The beauty of the normal curve:
No matter what  and  are, the area between - and + is about 68%;
the area between -2 and +2 is about 95%; and the area between -3
and +3 is about 99.7%. Almost all values fall within 3 standard
deviations.
68-95-99.7 Rule
68% of
the data
95% of the data
99.7% of the data

68-95-99.7 Rule
in Math terms…
  1 x 2
1  ( )

  
 2
 e 2  dx  .68
  2 1 x 2
1  ( )

  
2 2
 e 2  dx  .95
  3 1 x 2
1  ( )

  
3 2
 e 2  dx  .997
Example
• Suppose GATE scores roughly follows a normal distribution in the
Indian population of college-bound students (with range restricted
to 200-800), and the average score is 500 with a standard deviation
of 50, then:
• 68% of students will have scores between 450 and 550
• 95% will be between 400 and 600
• 99.7% will be between 350 and 650
The Standard Normal (Z):
“Universal Currency”
The formula for the standardized normal probability
density function is
1 Z 0 2 1
1  ( ) 1  ( Z )2
p( Z )  e 2 1
 e 2
(1) 2 2
The Standard Normal Distribution (Z)
All normal distributions can be converted into the standard
normal curve by subtracting the mean and dividing by the
standard deviation:
X 
Z

Somebody calculated all the integrals for the standard normal

and put them in a table! So we never have to integrate!
Even better, computers now do all the integration.
What is the area to the
left of Z=1.51 in a
standard normal curve?
Area is 93.45%
Z=1.51
Z=1.51
Example
• For example: What’s the probability of getting a math SAT score of 575 or less,
=500 and =50?
575  500
Z  1.5
50
i.e., A score of 575 is 1.5 standard deviations above the mean
575 1 x 500 2 1.5 1

1  ( ) 1  Z2
 P( X  575) 
200
-
 (50) 2
·
 e 2 50 dx  

2
 e 2 dz
Yikes!
~
But to look up Z= 1.5 in standard normal chart  no problem! = .9332
Practice problem
If birth weights in a population are normally distributed with a
mean of 109 oz and a standard deviation of 13 oz,
a. What is the chance of obtaining a birth weight of 141 oz or heavier
when sampling birth records at random?
b. What is the chance of obtaining a birth weight of 120 or lighter?
Answer
a. What is the chance of obtaining a birth weight of 141 oz or heavier
when sampling birth records at random?
141  109
Z  2.46
13
From the chart  Z of 2.46 corresponds to a right tail (greater than)

area of: P(Z≥2.46) = 1-(.9931)= .0069 or .69 %
Answer
b. What is the chance of obtaining a birth weight of 120 or lighter?
120  109
Z  .85
13
From the chart  Z of .85 corresponds to a left tail area of:

P(Z≤.85) = .8023= 80.23%
Ex: A certain type of storage battery lasts, on average, 3.0 years with a standard
deviation of 0.5 year. Assuming that battery life is normally distributed, find the
probability that a given battery will last less than 2.3 years.
Solution: To find P(X < 2.3), we need to evaluate the area under the normal curve
to the left of 2.3. This is accomplished by finding the area to the left of the
corresponding z value. Hence, we find that
and then, using Table,
I , ,
P(z) 4) P(z1 1 4)
(by symmetry)
1
.
= 1 .
=
-
0 ODOD
I -0 9192
= .
.
.
=
Ex: The marks obtained by a number of students in a certain subject are approximately
normally distributed with mean 65 and standard deviation 5. If 3 students are selected
at random from this group, what is the probability that at least 1 of them would have
scored above 75?
Solution: If X represents the marks obtained by the students, X follows the distribution
N(65, 5).
P(a student scores above 75)
= 1 -
P( -
N(2 = 2)
=>
I - 0 .
9773 = 0 0227
.
.
Let p = P(a student scores above 75) = 0.0228 · and n = 3. Since p is the
& then q = 0.9772
same for all the students, the number Y, of (successes) students scoring above 75,
follows a binomial distribution.
↳

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Continuous Probability Distributions

The Normal Distribution

f(X) Changing μ shifts the

It’s a probability function, so no matter what the values of 

The moment generating function of a normal distribution with respect to

95% of the data

99.7% of the data

Somebody calculated all the integrals for the standard normal

575 1 x 500 2 1.5 1

From the chart  Z of 2.46 corresponds to a right tail (greater than)

From the chart  Z of .85 corresponds to a left tail area of:

and then, using Table,

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