Globalization

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IJER, Vol. 10, No. 2, July-December, 2013, pp.

265-275

GLOBALIZATION AND THE INSTABILITY OF GLOBAL


FINANCIAL MARKETS
PANTELIS SKLIAS*
Associate Professor, Dept. of Political Science & International Relations,
University of Peloponnese, Corinth, Greece

GEORGE MARIS
Researcher, Dept. of Political Science & International Relations,
University of Peloponnese, Corinth, Greece, (E-mail: [email protected])

ABSTRACT
The financial and economic crisis that began in 2007 is a clear example of how is
globalisation connected to the instability of global financial markets. Our target is not to
analyze the immediate and direct contributing factors for the current financial instability.
This paper focus on the issue of how globalisation is related to the instability of global
financial markets by noting that the instability of global financial markets can be
influenced not only from the vulnerabilities of global financial and banking system but
also from the impact of globalisation on state power and uneven development and
distribution of the wealth. These factors have contributed to the creation of a highly fragile
financial system which is vulnerable to prospect crises anytime.
JEL CODE: F02, G01.
KEYWORDS: Globalisation, Global Financial Markets, Financial Crises.

1. INTRODUCTION
Globalisation is one of the most ambiguous notions in social sciences. Even now,
the debates and clashes between skeptics, globalists, and transformationalists remain
remarkable. On the one hand, globalisation is just a myth and on the other
globalisation is not. Despite the disagreement between the theorists for the existence
of globalization, the notion has acquired a universal acceptance. It could be said that
globalisation affects anything from the stability or instability of global financial
markets to the protestors in Seattle and Genoa.
The global economic system can be seen among others as a ‘casino capitalism’ as
‘market fundamentalism’ and as a ‘flat world’. Under these conditions, an entire
argumentation has been developed the last years under the headings of the so-called
*Corresponding author: E-mail: [email protected]
266 Pantelis Sklias & George Maris

‘Washington Consensus’. It could be argued that today the problem is that markets
and especially financial markets have been deregulated so much (Krugman, 2008).
Moreover, it could be said that globalisation is responsible for the current
vulnerabilities on the financial and banking system and the uneven development and
distribution of the wealth. In other words, the financial and economic crisis that began
in 2007 is a clear example of how is globalisation connected to the instability of global
financial markets.
However, our target is not to analyze like Orlowski (2008) the immediate and
direct contributing factors for the current financial instability. Instead, this paper will
begin by introducing the notion of globalisation and it will analyze some important
theoretical matters like the idea globalisation as an ideological construction. It will
then go on to the analysis of how globalisation is related to the instability of global
financial markets. According to this organization, the chapter three will analyze how
is globalisation connected to the instability of financial markets in four different cases
(a) the case of the nation state (b) the case of the financial system, (c) the case of the
banking system and (d) the case of income inequality and distribution of the wealth.
Finally, the last chapter will provide some concluding remarks on how is
globalisation related with the instability of global financial markets.
As a result, this paper will focus on the issue of how globalisation is related to the
instability of global financial markets by noting that the instability of global financial
markets can be influenced not only from the vulnerabilities of global financial and
banking system but also from the impact of globalisation on state power and uneven
development and distribution of the wealth. The aforementioned factors have
contributed to the creation of a highly fragile financial system which is directly or
indirectly vulnerable to prospect crises anytime.
2. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK

2.1. Definitions and Explanation


Even though globalisation’s origins can be traced back to the works of Saint-Simon
and Karl Marx, the concept was mainly first used during 1960s and 1970s (Held and
McGrew, 2005). In particular, after the collapse of communism in 1989 and the
information revolution many could argue that because of globalisation the ideas of
geography and time became vague (O’ Brien, 1992). However, this is only one aspect
of the complex and in many ways controversial globalisation debate. In fact, there are
three main considerations namely the skeptics, the globalists and the transformationalist.
According to Held and McGrew (2005, p. 3) the main divergence between all
those considerations is ‘the differential emphasis which it is given to the material,
spatio-temporal and cognitive aspects of globalisation’. As a consequence, an
agreement for what defines globalisation is very complex and difficult task.
In general, the dispute about globalization can be separated in three main stages
and in the current last stage even the anti-globalist thesis acknowledges that
Globalization and the Instability of Global Financial Markets 267

globalisation is unavoidable (Talani, 2009). Moreover, two main definitions namely


the quantitative and the qualitative definition for the term globalisation can be
identified. According to the quantitative definition globalisation is ‘the intensification
of economic, political, social, and cultural relations across boarders’ (Talani 2009, p. 29).
However, as Talani (2009) argues by this explanation many questions remain
unresolved. On the other hand globalisation is a process or a syndrome by which ‘a
number of qualitative transformations, which in turn characterize the current phase
of capitalist development’ can be identified (Talani 2009, p. 30).
The aforementioned qualitative definition of globalisation comprises many
elements of the current unstable global political and economic system. As
Talani (2009, p. 30) observes these are ‘the technological transformation; financial
transformation; geographical reallocation of production; the process of commodification;
the polarisation of wealth; the subordination of politics to economics and the related
decline of the nation state; and the emergence of a new global division of labour’. As a
result, it can be said that by analysing many of the elements of the qualitative
definition of globalisation, a better exegesis of how globalisation is related to the
instability of global financial markets can be provided.
2.2. Globalisation as an Ideological Construction
Even though the skeptics believe that globalisation is just a myth (Hirst and
Thompson, 1999) this essay will not provide any evaluation of whether or not
globalisation is a fact. However, a more critical view that confronts globalisation as an
ideological construction, as convenient excuse for the justification and legitimization
of the so called Washington Consensus needs a closer attention (Held and McGrew,
2005). According to this perspective ‘Neoliberalism gave capitalists and states
managers alike the ideological cohesion and self confidence to force back organized
labour; it legitimized the deregulation and global integration of financial markets’
(Callinicos 2009, p. 207). Moreover, Watson (2005) argues that globalisation not only
offers the justification and legitimization for self-interest behavior and actions but
also it offers an exegesis and explanation to confront their actions as moral. As a
result, it can be said that the last century the United States has used the globalisation
as an excuse for their imperialistic plans and the consolidation of global neoliberal
markets (Callinicos, 1994; Hirst, 1997).
Nevertheless, this is not to say that globalisation does not exist or globalisation is
just a myth. Rather, globalisation is an arena for political, economic and geopolitical
movements, an image for a unique and unified global market, an inevitable reality. In
this respect, Susan Strange (1996) believes that the United States was encompassed in
the global neoliberal market forces when they tried to liberalize not only the
American economy but also the European, Latin-American, Asian, and African
economies. According to her the global markets are impersonal, immaterial, and do
not have a rational behavior (Strange, 1996). As a result, it can be argued that it is
crucial first to analyze how state’s behavior influences the instability of global
financial markets in the globalisation era.
268 Pantelis Sklias & George Maris

3. GLOBALISATION AND THE INSTABILITY OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL


MARKETS

3.1. The Case of the Nation State


Although, Callinicos (2009, p. 190) refers that the ‘non-territorial imperialism of the
open door suited US interest better’ one can be said that the shift of power from the
states to markets was the most important change in the global political economy the
last century (Strange, 1996). As Keohane (1995, p. 157) states ‘Globalisation seems
irreversible with all its implications for the permeability of borders and the
transformation of sovereignty among the economically advanced democracies’.
Furthermore, it can be said that economic globalisation transforms the state’s role and
power crucially (Ohmae, 1995). Thus, the states seems unable to protect manage and
regulate not only their national economies but also the global economic activity.
Consequently, ‘the sovereignty and regulatory power of the state have been
weakened by transnationalism and that politics have been subordinated to economic
forces’ (Talani 2009, p. 25). Indeed, it seems that globalisation entails the decline of the
legitimization of the nation states to act as political authorities (Habermas, 2004;
Sassen, 1996). In this context, it can be argued that the absence of state’s authority was
the one of the main reasons for the global financial and economic crisis that begun
in 2007. The aforementioned result is a clear example of how is globalisation related
to the instability of global financial markets. Obviously, the states, which are
constrained by the global financial forces, pursue even more neoliberal plans, and at
the same time assign parts of their authority and sovereignty to the markets. Hence,
the states are trapped in a vicious cycle under which anytime they liberalize the
markets at the same time they lose their ability to stabilize their economy.
In addition, it can be argued that states affect the instability of global financial
markets because they are unable to cooperate in the globalisation era. As Wade (2009)
says the weak and eroding interstate cooperation in both finance and trade was one of
the main destabilizing factors for the global financial crisis that began in 2007.
According to him there is a mismatch between regulatory capacities and the global
scope of markets in trade and finance and as a result the persistent global imbalances
deficits are direct drivers of financial instability which lead to financial crises. As it is
believed the global financial crises confirm the great importance of collaboration
between states and the greater difficulty of achieving it (Pauly, 2007). Clearly as Soros
(1997) wrote ‘Too much competition and too little cooperation can cause intolerable
inequities and instability’. Besides, one can says that globalisation’s syndrome affect
states which remain and stand unable to evaluate and in many times to act against a
potential financial crisis in the global financial markets. This feature can be observed
not only in the financial crisis in Mexico, Argentina, Japan and Asia but also in the
financial crisis that begun in 2007. In contrast, to remarkable scholars who had stated
that the global economy will not anymore suffer from depressions, the last two
decades severe crises started worldwide (Lucas, 2003). Furthermore, it could be said
Globalization and the Instability of Global Financial Markets 269

that even though realists believe that the ‘stabilization and regulation of financial
markets depends on major states willingness to cooperate in order to impose common
rules on the system’ (Talani 2009, p. 34), it seems that this is not completely true.
Rather, as Hay (2007, p. 259) states ‘globalisation poses a series of problems for the
nation state which it has never had the capacity to deal with’. As a result, the
aforementioned interpretations clearly shows how is globalisation related to the
lack of political capacity, to the subordination of politics to economics, to the
related decline of the nation state and consequently to the instability of global
financial markets.

3.2. The Case of the Financial System


As Wade (2009) states ‘features of post 1970s world financial regime generate chronic
financial instability’. Despite this, how is globalisation related to the post 1970s world
financial regime? As stated above, the qualitative definition of globalisation is mainly
connected to the post 1970s technological and financial transformation. By this way
the global markets has been transformed into a unique arena where the financial
instability is transmitted everywhere. Moreover, many could argue that the post
1970’s world financial architecture, the neoliberal project or the so called Washington
Consensus is responsible for the post 1970’s global financial instability. The
Washington Consensus adopts the idea that the economic growth is better achievable
with lower inflation rates, healthier balances, market deregulations, limited
government, privatization, programmes of structural adjustments and free trade.
However, Strange (1994, p. 92) states that ‘the market system may be more efficient
and flexible and better adapted to change and innovation; but it is also apt to be more
unstable. It suffers bankruptcies and bank failures. It experiences financial crises both
national and international’. Under these conditions De Grauwe (2010, p. 5) believes
that ‘bubbles and crashes are endemic features of financial markets […] financial
markets are incapable of regulating themselves’. As a result, in order to analyze how
globalisation is related to the instability of global financial markets one should
analyze the features of the neoliberal financial regime and the policies that have been
developed the last 40 years that have created not only an unstable financial system but
also an unregulated banking system.
One very important feature of the contemporary financial globalisation is the
highly interconnected vulnerable financial system. According to Held, McGrew,
Goldblatt and Perraton (2008, p. 235) the contemporary financial market is ‘a highly
institutionalized infrastructure such that twenty-four-hour real-time cross-border
financial trading constitutes an evolving global financial market which generates
significant systemic risks’. In this case, the volatility and systemic risks in global
financial markets can easily be transferred from one market to another. The contagion
effect was obvious during not only during the financial crisis that begun in 2007 but
also in Mexico 1995-95, and Asian 1997-98. As a result, it could be argued that the
features that differentiate the global financial era from the previous one like the
270 Pantelis Sklias & George Maris

extensity, intensity, complexity and speed of financial transactions are related with
the instability of global financial markets.
It can also be argued that the aforementioned vulnerable financial system was
the effect of the deregulatory neoliberal policies since the 1970s. As Helleiner (2007, p.
169) states ‘the first step in a liberalizing direction took place when the British
government encouraged the growth of the ‘euro-market’ in London’. Indeed,
during the last forty years the deregulation of global financial markets, the removal
of capital controls and the elimination of restrictions were responsible not only for
the expansion of new financial products and instruments of international banking,
international bonds, international equities, derivatives, and the new financial
money markets but also for the highly vulnerable financial system (Held, McGrew,
Goldblatt, and Perraton, 2008). At the same time that the global transactions were
facilitated by significant technological changes, some scholars believed that the
world was becoming flat (Friedman, 2005). However, at the same time many
economies became more vulnerable because they borrowed huge amounts of
money from abroad (Krugman, 2008). As Crouch (2008) said the encouragement of
debt among people facilitated by the developments of financial products created an
ever tougher and more unstable system. According to Roubini (2008, p. 45) ‘in
today’s flat world, interdependence boosts growth across countries in good times
but unfortunately, these trade and financial links also mean that an economic
slowdown in one place can drag down everyone else’. Clearly, the liberalization and
deregulation of the global financial markets, which was caused by financial
globalisation, has diminished the state’s authority and control on financial markets.
Subsequently, it seems all these technological and market innovations like
derivatives, options, and swaps are the endogenous deficiencies of the current
global financial era that on the one hand increase economic growth but at the same
time generate a more vulnerable system.
The deregulation of financial markets since 1970s gave also to the speculators the
opportunity to intervene with capital flows in emerging countries (Grabel, 1995). In
particular, as Woods (2005, p. 340) states ‘the financial crisis in Asia highlighted the
potential vulnerability of all countries to massive inflows and outflows of capital […]
some states suffer the impact of globalization more than others’. As Strange (1997)
argues the contemporary financial system looks like a casino where the players and
speculators are able to use the stock exchange markets instead of roulette or poker. It
could be argued that the globalisation of financial markets is accompanied with
increasing role of speculators anywhere and anytime and at the same time the hedge
funds was released without any control. However, as Krugman (2008) states in the
long run the casino wins and the speculators loose and at the same time many
speculative investments become boomerang. Moreover, their role is not only
prominent but also devastating for entire countries. Furthermore, as Pauly (2007, p. 177)
states ‘the panic that moved rapidly in 1997 and 1998 from East Asia to Russia and
Latin America and eventually to Wall street, vividly threatened the system itself’.
Globalization and the Instability of Global Financial Markets 271

The speculators not only negatively affect the countries but also have a destabilizing
effect for the whole of the neoliberal project.
Finally, it can be said that the most important feature of how globalisation is
related to the instability of global financial markets is the vulnerability of the financial
markets to the financial crises (Helleiner, 2007). As Soros (1997) put it the contemporary
financial markets are inherently unstable and are liable to break down. In this context,
without any doubt manias, panics and crashes are inherent elements of any
contemporary financial market (Kindleberger, 1978). Subsequently, the financial
bubbles are look like an irrational ponzi game (Shiller, 2000). As Krugman (2008) put
it an eruptive vicious cycle of financial crises can be identified between the loss of
trust, the economic problems in general and devaluation, increased interests rates and
depression. Thus, the excessive optimism of economic actors is changed instantly to
excessive pessimism. In particular, from July 2007 to July 2008 the stock prices
dropped by 30%, destroying $3.5 trillion of value (De Grauwe, 2010). Besides, the
direct global financial links between economic actors spill over not only the financial
crises but also their devastating costs anywhere instantly. According to Pauly
(2007, p. 186) these are ‘unemployment, increasing taxes, personal despair and
hopelessness, family breakdown, and rising crime rates’. As a result, it could be said
that because of the globalisation not only financial crises and the global financial
instability have become an inherent cyclic element of the financial markets but also
the aforementioned costs are spilling over directly everywhere in the world.

3.3. The Case of the Banking System


During 1980s considerable reforms were noticed in the banking system worldwide.
Moreover, De Grauwe (2010) argues that the efficient market paradigm was not only
extremely influential but it provided to the bankers the excuse for more deregulations.
Consequently, the new neoliberal remedies imposed further deregulations and
consequently an independent and more vulnerable banking system was created. In
this respect, the Glass-Steagall Act was cancelled in 1999. Hence, the financial
risks increased considerably, the moral hazard diffused globally, and the new
ambiguous and lazy financial and banking regime was unable to provide stability
(Krugman, 2008). Indeed, according to Roubini (2008, p. 45) today in the United States
there is ‘a shadow banking system, made up of non-bank financial institutions
that borrow cash or liquid investments in the near term, but lend or invest in the long
term in non liquid forms’. This unregulated shadow banking system without any
doubt has emerged on the basis of excessive risk-taking and it is the one of the major
causes for the global financial instability (Orlowski, 2008). Unfortunately, it can be
said that ‘the deregulation of the banking sector that started in the 1980s fully exposed
the banks to the endemic occurrence of bubbles and crashes in asset markets’
(De Grauwe 2010, p. 11). As a result, it could be argued that the current globalisation
era is related with a more deregulated-unregulated banking system which is more
vulnerable to crises.
272 Pantelis Sklias & George Maris

Despite this, one can argue that under these conditions in the era of globalisation
the commercial and investment banks were allowed to act uncontrollably (De
Grauwe, 2010). According to this ‘double movement’ commercial and investment
banks ‘built up a lethal combination of credit and liquidity risks’ (De Grauwe 2010, p.
26). For instance, in 1984 Lehman Brothers invented the auction-rate security which
where readjusted with an auction and its system collapsed in the beginning of 2008. In
fact, there are many banking transactions that cannot be protected by the whether or
not shadow banking system (Krugman, 2008). According to Geithner (2008) president
of the Federal Bank of New York ‘The scale of long-term risky and relatively illiquid
assets financed by very short-term liabilities made many of the vehicles and
institutions in this parallel financial system vulnerable to a classic type of run, but
without the protections such as deposit insurance that the banking system has in
place to reduce such risks’. As a result, it can be argued that globalisation’s pressures
created chaotic and dynamic banking system whose products and links are able to
diffuse the instability even with or without regulations. Under these conditions the
lack of a global central bank to control and regulate the financial operations is obvious
(Strange, 1996).

3.4. The Case of Income Inequality and Distribution of the Wealth


In fact globalisation ‘is associated with growing and uneven worldwide economic
integration’ (McGrew 2007, p. 221). In this context, globalisation is a phenomenon that
has not been everywhere and by everybody to the same extent (Scholte, 2005). As
Callinicos (2009, p. 205) believes the economic exclusion is not a situation that has
erased during the last forty years and ‘because uneven development is pervasive in
contemporary capitalism, massive global economic poverty and inequality will
persist’. Even though globalisation a positive impact on poverty and inequality, it
seems that the neoliberal argument may be wrong (Wade, 2007). In this case, the
growth of the US economy has released almost thirty million people under the
minimum levels of hunger and poverty (Krugman, 2008). Accordingly, it can also be
said that the financial crisis that begun in 2007 had also a direct considerable impact
on the labour and employment rates worldwide (ILO, 2009). In this respect, it can be
observed a decreasing support of globalisation not only in developing but also in
developed countries. According to Wade (2009) this can be observed also in the
United States because the share of the top 1% of United State’s income increased from
7% in 1960’s to nearly 20% the last decades. As Robert Wade (2009) believes the high
and rising income inequality in the west but especially in the US is the second more
important de-cause, a cause that exist outside the financial system, for the current
global financial instability. Under these conditions he said, the relative economic
weakening and the United States political polarization create a state that is unable to
take the leadership in global economic governance. As a result, it can be argued that
globalisation created the conditions under which none hegemonic power can provide
stability not only to the global financial markets but also in global political arena.
Globalization and the Instability of Global Financial Markets 273

4. CONCLUSION
In conclusion, from the aforementioned analysis it is clear that there are four different
areas in which globalisation can influence the instability of global financial markets.
Namely, these factors are the nation state, the financial and banking system and the
income inequality and distribution of the wealth. In this context as Strange (1994, p. 92)
has already stated by ‘liberalizing the system of credit creation brought with it risks
of greater financial and thus economic stability’. In this sense it can be said that
the ‘Unregulated financial markets carried the seeds of their own destruction’
(De Grauwe 2010, p. 14). Even though globalisation has been confronted as an
ideological construction, it could be said that its impact on the contemporary
instability of financial markets is nonnegotiable. However, neither the refusal of
globalisation as a phenomenon of the contemporary world helps to the understanding
of the current episodes in the field of global political economy. This is not to say that
the skeptical approaches are wrong. On the contrary, there are many theoretical
explanations that offer us valuable alternative views. Under the aforementioned
conditions, it is clear that the analysis and evaluation of how is globalisation related to
the instability of financial markets is not as simple as it looks. There is a need to
deepen our understanding for the above phenomenon that direct or indirect affect our
way of living so easily.

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