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    DADM Homework 3

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    Thuyết Trương Dũng
    This document contains a homework assignment with two questions. The first question asks to perform a quadratic regression on annual Tmall Double Eleven Day sales data from 2009-2019 and explain the results. The second question provides a simplified diet problem to minimize cost subject to daily nutrient requirements, and asks to build and solve the linear program in Excel.

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    DADM Homework 3

    Uploaded by

    Thuyết Trương Dũng
    6 views7 pages
    This document contains a homework assignment with two questions. The first question asks to perform a quadratic regression on annual Tmall Double Eleven Day sales data from 2009-2019 and explain the results. The second question provides a simplified diet problem to minimize cost subject to daily nutrient requirements, and asks to build and solve the linear program in Excel.

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    This document contains a homework assignment with two questions. The first question asks to perform a quadratic regression on annual Tmall Double Eleven Day sales data from 2009-2019 and explain the results. The second question provides a simplified diet problem to minimize cost subject to daily nutrient requirements, and asks to build and solve the linear program in Excel.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as doc, pdf, or txt
    6 views7 pages

    DADM Homework 3

    Uploaded by

    Thuyết Trương Dũng
    This document contains a homework assignment with two questions. The first question asks to perform a quadratic regression on annual Tmall Double Eleven Day sales data from 2009-2019 and explain the results. The second question provides a simplified diet problem to minimize cost subject to daily nutrient requirements, and asks to build and solve the linear program in Excel.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as doc, pdf, or txt
    of 7

    Sichuan University

    Homework 3 (100 points)

    Course Name：Data Analysis and Decision Making Lecturer:


    Student Name:
    Score: _______________

    1. Please use Excel to do a quadratic regression based on the 2009-2019 Tmall “Double Eleven” Day
    GMV data, and explain the detailed process and results (including estimated parameters, R 2) with
    screenshot. (50 points)

    Ans:
    (1) Assume x=1 and y=0.52 (RMB 108) in Year 2009, and x=2 and y=9.36 (RMB 108) in
    Year 2010, and so on
    Year x y
    2009 1 0.52
    2010 2 9.36
    2011 3 52
    2012 4 191
    2013 5 352
    2014 6 571
    2015 7 912
    2016 8 1207
    2017 9 1682.69
    2018 10 2135
    2019 11 2684
    (2) Insert a new column to calculate x^2
    x x^2 y
    1 1 0.52
    2 4 9.36
    3 9 52
    4 16 191
    5 25 352
    x x^2 y
    6 36 571
    7 49 912
    8 64 1207
    9 81 1682.69
    10 100 2135
    11 121 2684
    (3) In the tab of Data, click on Data Analysis

    (4) The Regression and OK

    (5) Choose the data range


    (6) Select “Label” checkbox and then click OK

    (7) The Result:


    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 0.999814346
    R Square 0.999628726
    Adjusted R Square 0.999535907
    Standard Error 20.03197
    Observations 11

    ANOVA
    df SS MS F Significance F
    Regression 2 8643328.753 4321664.377 10769.70268 1.90012E-14
    Residual 8 3210.238578 401.2798222
    Total 10 8646538.992

    Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
    Intercept 72.35533333 21.99926784 3.288988245 0.011038692 21.62493072 123.0857359 21.62493072 123.0857359
    x -95.28182517 8.425892288 -11.3082178 3.36622E-06 -114.7119676 -75.85168272 -114.7119676 -75.85168272
    x^2 30.2159324 0.68388018 44.18307956 7.59934E-11 28.63890188 31.79296292 28.63890188 31.79296292

    So, we can get the quadratic regression model for the above historical data is:
    y = 30.22x^2 – 95.28x + 72.36
    R^2 = 0.9996, which mean 99.96% of y (GMV) can be explained by x-variables (year)

    (Results were round up)


    2. Consider the simplified diet problem. Suppose a person need to eat apples and bananas every day.
    Both of the two types of food contain protein, vitamin C, and iron. The minimal daily diet
    requirement for a person as well as the cost for buying the two types of food are shown in the
    following table. Please build the mathematical programming for minimizing the cost, and use Excel
    to solve the problem and show the screenshot of your results. (50 points)

    Ans:
    Suppose that: x1 and x2 are the quantity consumed of Apples and Bananas respectively to
    minimize the cost.
    Based on the Minimal Daily Diet Requirement,
    (1) 0.4x1 + 1.2x2 >= 70
    (2) 6x1 + 10x2 >= 50
    (3) 0.4x1 + 0.6x2 >= 12
    (4) 8x1 + 10x2 is minimal
    (5) x1, x2 >= 0

    Run programming on Excel, we have the result:


    Foods Me asure of a Unit Prote in (g/ unit) Vitamin C (mg/ unit) Iron (mg/ unit) Cost (ce nts/ unit)
    Apples 1 med. 0.4 6 0.5 8
    Bananas 1 med. 1.2 10 0.6 10

    Minimal Daily Diet Requirement 70 50 12

    Consumption
    Apples x1 0
    Bananas x2 58.33333333

    Minimal cost 583.3333333

    Constraint LHS RHS


    Protein 70 >= 70
    Vitamin C 583.3333333 >= 50
    Iron 35 >= 12
    x1 0 >= 0
    x2 58.33333333 >= 0

    So, to minimize cost while still address Minimal Daily Diet Requirement, the person has to eat
    59* bananas per day. Minimal cost is about 590 cents
    *Result was round up

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