Investment Analysis CHAPTER ONE
Investment Analysis CHAPTER ONE
At this point, we have answered the questions about why people invest and what they
want from their investments.
• Why?
They invest to earn a return from savings due to their deferred consumption.
• What they want?
They want a rate of return that compensates them for the time, the expected rate of
inflation, and the uncertainty of the return.
• Funds to be invested may come from assets already owned, borrowed money,
savings or foregone consumptions.
• By forgoing consumption today and investing the savings, investors expect to
enhance their future consumption possibilities by increasing their wealth.
▪ Investment can be made to intangible assets like marketable securities or to real
assets like gold, real estate etc. More generally it refers to investment in
financial assets.
•Financial assets are divisible, whereas most physical assets are not. An asset is
divisible if investor can buy or sell small portion of it. In case of financial assets it
means, that investor, for example, can buy or sell a small fraction of the whole
company as investment object buying or selling a number of common stocks.
Marketability (or liquidity) reflects the feasibility of converting of the asset into cash
quickly and without affecting its price significantly.
• Most of financial assets are easy to buy or to sell in the financial markets.
Financial markets
- are segmented into money markets and capital markets.
•Certificates of deposit;
•Treasury bills;
•Commercial paper;
•Bankers’ acceptances;
•Repurchase agreements
Certificate of deposit :-
▪ Is debt instrument issued by bank that indicates a specified sum of money
has be deposited at the issuing depository institution.
▪ Certificate of deposit bears a maturity date and specified interest rate and
can be issued in any denomination.
▪ Most certificates of deposit cannot be traded and they incur penalties
for early withdrawal.
▪ For large money-market investors financial institutions allow their large-
denomination certificates of deposits to be traded as negotiable certificates
of deposits.
Treasury bills (also called T-bills):-
• Are securities representing financial obligations of the government.
• Treasury bills have maturities of less than one year.
• They have the unique feature of being issued at a discount from their nominal
value and the difference between nominal value and discount price is the only
sum which is paid at the maturity for these short term securities because the
interest is not paid in cash, only accrued.
• The other important feature of T-bills is that they are treated as risk-
free securities ignoring inflation and default of a government, which was rare
in developed countries, the T-bill will pay the fixed stated yield with certainty.
But, of course, the yield on T-bills changes over time influenced by
changes in overall macroeconomic situation.
• T-bills are issued on an auction basis. The issuer accepts competitive bids and
allocates bills to those offering the highest prices.
• Noncompetitive bid is an offer to purchase the bills at a price that equals the
average of the competitive bids. Bills can be traded before the maturity, while
their market price is subject to change with changes in the rate of interest. But
because of the early maturity dates of T-bills large interest changes are
needed to move T-bills prices very far.
• Bills are thus regarded as high liquid assets.
Commercial paper:-
▪ is a name for short-term unsecured promissory notes issued by corporation.
▪ Is a means of short-term borrowing by large corporations.
▪ Large, well-established corporations have found that borrowing directly from
investors through commercial paper is cheaper than relying solely on bank loans.
▪ It is issued either directly from the firm to the investor or through an intermediary.
▪ Commercial paper, like T- bills is issued at a discount.
▪ The most common maturity range of commercial paper is 30 to 60 days or
less.
▪ It is riskier than T-bills, because there is a larger risk that a corporation will
default.
▪ Also, commercial paper is not easily bought and sold after it is issued, because the
issues are relatively small compared with T-bills and hence their market is not
liquid.
Bankers acceptances :-
▪ Are the instruments created to facilitate commercial trade transactions.
▪ Called bankers acceptances because a bank accepts the responsibility to repay a
loan to the holder of the instrument in case the debtor fails to perform.
▪ Banker’s acceptances are short-term fixed- income securities that are created by
non-financial firm whose payment is guaranteed by a bank.
▪ This short-term loan contract typically has a higher interest rate than similar
short –term securities to compensate for the default risk.
▪ Since bankers’ acceptances are not standardized, there is no active trading
of these securities.
Repurchase agreement (often referred to as a repo) :-
▪ is the sale of security with a commitment by the seller to buy the security back
from the purchaser at a specified price at a designated future date.
▪ Basically, a repo is a collectivized short-term loan, where collateral is a
security.
▪ The collateral in a repo may be a Treasury security, other money-
market security.
▪ The difference between the purchase price and the sale price is the interest
cost of the loan, from which repo rate can be calculated.
▪ Because of concern about default risk, the length of maturity of repo is
usually very short.
▪ If the agreement is for a loan of funds for one day, it is called overnight repo;
if the term of the agreement is for more than one day, it is called a term repo.
▪ Using repos helps to increase the liquidity in the money market.
A reverse repo is the opposite of a repo. In this transaction a corporation buys the
securities with an agreement to sell them at a specified price and time.
Capital markets
We subdivide the capital market into four segments: longer-term bond markets,
equity markets, and the derivative markets for options and futures.
• Preferred stocks.
Financial markets
• Pension funds;
• Hedge funds.
1.3 INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES:
This is because financial assets are claims to the income generated by real assets or
claims on income from the government.
When the real assets used by a firm ultimately generate income, the income is
allocated to investors according to their ownership of the financial assets, or
securities, issued by the firm.
Bondholders, for example, are entitled to a flow of income based on the interest rate
and par value of the bond. Equity holders or stockholders are entitled to any residual
income after bondholders and other creditors are paid. In this way the values of
financial assets are derived from and depend on the values of the underlying real
assets of the firm. Real assets produce goods and services, whereas financial assets
define the allocation of income or wealth among investors. Individuals can choose
between consuming their current endowments of wealth today and investing for the
future. When they invest for the future, they may choose to hold financial assets. The
money a firm receives when it issues securities (sells them to investors) is used
to purchase real assets. Ultimately, then, the returns on a financial asset come from the
income produced by the real assets that are financed by the issuance of the security.
In this way, it is useful to view financial assets as the means by which individuals
hold their claims on real assets in well-developed economies. Most of us cannot
personally own auto plants (a real asset), but we can hold shares of General Motors or
Ford (a financial asset), which provide us with income derived from the production
of automobiles. Real and financial assets are distinguished operationally by the
balance sheets of individuals and firms in the economy. Whereas real assets appear
only on the asset side of the balance sheet, financial assets always appear on both
sides of balance sheets. Your financial claim on a firm is an asset, but the firm’s
issuance of that claim is the firm’s liability
Securities:
Security Groupings:
• Equity securities,
• Fixed income securities, or
• Derivative assets.
1) Equity Securities:
Most companies do pay dividends, and most companies try to increase these dividends
on a regular basis.
A fixed income security usually provides a known cash flow with no growth in the
income stream. Bonds are the most important fixed income securities.
Conversely, a convertible bond is a debt security paying a fixed interest rate. It has then
added feature of being convertible into shares of common stocks by the bond holders.
If the terms of the conversion feature are not particularly attractive at a given
moment, the bonds behave like a bond and are classified as fixed income securities.
On the other hand, rising stock prices make the bond act more like the underlying
stock, in which case the bond might be classified as an equity security. The point is that
one cannot generalize and group all stock issues as equity securities and all bonds as
fixed income securities. Their investment characteristics determine how they are
treated. For investment purposes, preferred stock is considered a fixed income security.
3) Derivative Assets:
The value of such an asset derives from the value of some other asset or the relationship
between several other assets. Future and options contracts are the most familiar
derivative assets.