Systems For Decision
Systems For Decision
Systems For Decision
com
Chapter 1:
An Overview of Analytics, and AI
CHAPTER OVERVIEW
The business environment (climate) is constantly changing, and it is becoming more and
more complex. Organizations, both private and public, are under pressures that force
them to respond quickly to changing conditions and to be innovative in the way they
operate. Such activities require organizations to be agile and to make frequent and quick
strategic, tactical, and operational decisions, some of which are very complex. Making
such decisions may require considerable amounts of relevant data, information, and
knowledge. Processing these in the framework of the needed decisions must be done
quickly, frequently in real time, and usually requires some computerized support. As
technologies are evolving, many decisions are being automated, leading to a major
impact on knowledge work and workers in many ways. This book is about using business
analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) as a computerized support portfolio for
managerial decision making. It concentrates on the theoretical and conceptual
foundations of decision support as well as on the commercial tools and techniques that
are available. The book presents the fundamentals of the techniques and the manner in
which these systems are constructed and used. We follow an EEE (exposure, experience,
and exploration) approach to introducing these topics. The book primarily provides
exposure to various analytics/AI techniques and their applications. The idea is that
students will be inspired to learn from how various organizations have employed these
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CHAPTER OUTLINE
1.1 Opening Vignette: How Intelligent Systems Work for KONE Elevators and
Escalators Company
1.2 Changing Business Environments and Evolving Needs for Decision Support and
Analytics
1.3 Decision-Making Processes and Computer Decision Support Framework
1.4 Evolution of Computerized Decision Support to Business Intelligence/ Analytics/Data
Science
1.5 Analytics Overview
1.6 Analytics Examples in Selected Domains
1.7 Artificial Intelligence Overview
1.8 Convergence of Analytics and AI
1.9 Overview of the Analytics Ecosystem
1.10 Plan of the Book
1.11 Resources, Links, and the Teradata University Network Connection
1. It is said that KONE is embedding intelligence across its supply chain and enables
smarter buildings. Explain.
KONE uses a variety of IoT applications to record and communicate a wide variety
of systems status and performance information that can then be used to identify
issues and collect important data for future applications.
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4. Check IBM Advanced Analytics. What tools were included that relate to this case?
The tools available have many possible applications to the case, specifically the
ability to evaluate the data collected across a large number of systems and different
parameters.
3. Describe the major external environments that can impact decision making.
Political factors. Major decisions may be influenced by both external and internal
politics. An example is the 2018 trade war on tariffs.
Economic factors. These range from competition to the genera and state of the
economy. These factors, both in the short and long run, need to be considered.
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4. What are some of the key system-oriented trends that have fostered IS-supported
decision making to a new level?
Computer applications have shifted from merely processing transaction and
monitoring activities to actively analyzing and seeking solution to problems through
cloud-based systems.
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Problems arise out of dissatisfaction with the way things are going. It is the result
of a difference or gap between what we desire and what is or is not happening. A
symptom is how a problem manifests itself. A familiar personal example is a high
temperature (symptom) and an illness (problem). It is necessary to diagnose and
treat the underlying illness. Attempting to relieve the temperature works if the
illness is one which the body’s defenses can cure, but, can be disastrous in other
situations. A business example: high prices (problem) and high unsold inventory
level (symptom). Another is quality variance in a product (symptom) and poorly
calibrated or worn-out manufacturing equipment (problem).
4. Define implementation.
Implementation involves putting a recommended solution to work, but not
necessarily implementing a computer system.
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7. What are the nine cells of the decision framework? Explain what each is for.
The nine cells of the decision framework (see figure 1.2) aligns the three types of
decisions (structured, semistructured and unstructured) with the three types of
control (operational, managerial and strategic). Each of these cells can provide
information about the types of decisions that need to be made based on the
availability of information on past decisions or data for decision-making as well as
the level of the decision-making involved.
9. How can computers provide support for making semistructured and unstructured
decisions?
In these situations, computers can be used to collect the underlying information
needed for decision as well as potentially applying some of the learnings from past
solutions that may exist. Additionally they may provide the computational ability
to conduct a thorough analysis of the identified problem.
2. What was the primary difference between the systems called MIS, DSS, and
Executive Information Systems?
The primary differences between the systems are the amount of information available
for analysis as well as the sophistication of the display and problem solving
capabilities of each.
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4. Define BI.
Business intelligence (BI) is an umbrella term that combines architectures, tools,
databases, analytical tools, applications, and methodologies.
6. Define OLTP.
Online transaction processing (OLTP) systems handle a company’s routine ongoing
business.
7. Define OLAP.
Online analytical processing (OLAP) systems are used to process information and
research requests.
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1. Define analytics.
The term replaces terminology referring to individual components of a decision
support system with one broad word referring to business intelligence. More
precisely, analytics is the process of developing actionable decisions or
recommendations for actions based upon insights generated from historical data.
Students may also refer to the eight levels of analytics and this simpler descriptive
language: “looking at all the data to understand what is happening, what will happen,
and how to make the best of it.”
Predictive analytics is the use of statistical techniques and data mining to determine
what is likely to happen in the future. Businesses use predictive analytics to forecast
whether customers are likely to switch to a competitor, what customers are likely to
buy, how likely customers are to respond to a promotion, and whether a customer is
creditworthy. Sports teams have used predictive analytics to identify the players
most likely to contribute to a team’s success.
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Prescriptive analytics is a set of techniques that use descriptive data and forecasts to
identify the decisions most likely to result in the best performance. Usually, an
organization uses prescriptive analytics to identify the decisions or actions that will
optimize the performance of a system. Organizations have used prescriptive
analytics to set prices, create production plans, and identify the best locations for
facilities such as bank branches.
As Application Case 1.6 illustrates, analytics uses descriptive data to create models
of how people, equipment, or other variables operate in the real world. These models
can be used in predictive and prescriptive analytics to develop forecasts,
recommendations, and decisions.
Major sources include clickstreams from Web sites, postings on social media, and
data from traffic, sensors, and the weather.
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Today Big Data refers to almost any kind of large data that has the characteristics of
volume, velocity, and variety. Examples include data about Web searches, such as
the billions of Web pages searched by Google; data about financial trading, which
operates in the order of microseconds; and data about consumer opinions measured
from postings in social media.
One computer, even a powerful one, could not handle the scale of Big Data. The
solution is to push computation to the data, using the MapReduce programming
paradigm.
1. What are three factors that might be part of a PM for season ticket renewals?
Examples might include ticket cost, marketing and team success.
2. What are two techniques that football teams can use to do opponent analysis?
Examples might include frequency of running plays and individual athlete trends
and matchups.
6. How would you convince a new health insurance customer to adopt healthier
lifestyles (Humana Example 3)?
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7. Identify at least three other opportunities for applying analytics in the retail value
chain beyond those covered in this section.
Student responses will vary.
8. Which retail stores that you know of employ some of the analytics applications
identified in this section?
Student responses will vary.
10. Can you think of other applications using satellite data along the lines presented in
this section?
Student responses will vary.
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10. List five major AI applications for increasing the food supply.
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2. Why did analytics initiatives fail at such a high rate in the past?
Responses will vary but may focus on a lack of availability of data, lack of
processing tools and complexity of the required analysis.
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Application Case 1.2: SNAP DSS Helps OneNet Make Telecommunications Rate
Decision
Application Case 1.3: Silvaris Increases Business with Visual Analysis and Real-
Time Reporting Capabilities
2. How did Silvaris solve its problem using data visualization with Tableau?
Tableau allow the company to easily connect and visualize live data and create
dashboards for reporting purposes.
Application Case 1.4: Siemens Reduces Cost with the Use of Data Visualization
2. How did the data visualization tool Dundas BI help Siemens in reducing cost?
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The system allowed them to create highly interactive dashboards that enabled early
detection of issues.
2. How do visualizations aid in understanding the data and delivering insights into the
data?
These visualizations made understanding and depicting the information easier by
displaying healing time based on position, severity of injury or injuries healing time
treatment offered in the associated healing time etc.
Application Case 1.6: A Specialty Steel Bar Company Uses Analytics to Determine
Available-to-Promise Date
1. Why would reallocation of inventory from one customer to another be a major issue
for discussion?
This action may require a discount to the first customer or may result in the delay that
may jeopardize the customer relationship.
Application Case 1.7: A Specialty Steel Bar Company Uses Analytics to Determine
Available-to-Promise Date
1. What is the purpose of knowing how much ground is covered by green foliage on a
farm? In a forest?
In a farm setting, this may indicate the level of plant growth. In a forest setting, this
may provide details on how the forest is evolving.
2. Why would image analysis of foliage through an app be better than a visual check?
It will provide a more consistent quantitative estimate than individual qualitative
perceptions of growth.
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3. Relate this case to machine vision and other AI tools that deal with people’s biometrics
This case provides an example of how machine vision and other AI tools can be used
as a part of biometric recognition systems that more quickly and accurately identify
individuals as they enter an airport.
Application Case 1.9: Robots Took the Job of Camel-Racing Jockeys for Societal
Benefits
2. Why do the owners need to drive by their camels while they are racing?
This is necessary for the camels to react and run. Additionally owners can vary their
interaction with the camel based on how the camel is performing in comparison to
the others in the race.
4. Summarize ethical aspects of this case (Read Boddington, 2017). Do this exercise after
you have read about ethics in Chapter 14.
Student responses will vary.
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1. Watch the video. What did you like in it, and what did you dislike?
Student preferences will vary.
3. The store was opened in downtown Seattle. Why was the downtown location selected?
This location was selected because of the proximity of a large number of potential
customers.
1. Survey the literature from the past six months to find one application each for DSS,
BI, and analytics. Summarize the applications on one page, and submit it with the
exact sources.
Student responses and research will vary.
3. You are about to buy a car. Using Simon’s (1977) four phase model, describe your
activities at each step in making the decision.
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6. Review the major characteristics and capabilities of DSS. How does each of them
relate to the major components of DSS?
A DSS includes a variety of characteristics with associated capabilities. Each of
these capabilities may be housed in one or more DSS system components. The
arrangement of this architecture will vary based on system. The characteristics of
the DSS are listed below:
Provides support for semistructured or unstructured problems
Supports managers at all levels
Supports individuals and groups
Supports interdependent or sequential decisions
Supports intelligence, design, choice, and implementation
Support variety of decision processes and styles
Is adaptable and flexible
Provides interactivity, ease of use
Improves effectiveness and efficiency
Provides complete human control of the process
Provides ease of development by end users
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7. List some internal data and external data that could be found in a DSS for a
university’s admissions office.
Student responses will vary, but may include some of the following examples:
internal data - application information, results of application essays
external data - high school GPA, results from standardized tests
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2. Go to. Explore the Sports Analytics page, and summarize at least two applications of
analytics in any sport of your choice.
3. Go to. The TUN site, and select “Cases, Projects, and Assignments.” Then select the
case study “Harrah’s High Payoff from Customer Information.” Answer the
following questions about this case:
a. What information does the data mining generate?
b. How is this information helpful to management in decision making? (Be specific.)
c. List the types of data that are mined.
d. Is this a DSS or BI application? Why?
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6. Search the Internet for material regarding the work of managers and the role
analytics plays in it. What kinds of references to consulting firms, academic
departments, and programs do you find? What major areas are represented? Select
five sites that cover one area, and report your findings.
7. Explore the public areas of dssresources.com. Prepare a list of its major available
resources. You might want to refer to this site as you work through the book.
Student list will vary based on the time the search is conducted.
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Student reports will vary based on the time the analysis is conducted.
10. Go to the TUN questions site. Look for BSI videos. Review the video of “Case of
Retail Tweeters.” Prepare a one-page summary of the problem, proposed solution,
and the reported results. You can also find associated slides on slideshare.net.
11. Review the Analytics Ecosystem section. Identify at least two additional companies
in at least five of the industry clusters noted in the discussion.
12. The discussion for the analytics ecosystem also included several typical job titles for
graduates of analytics and data science programs. Research Web sites such as
datasciencecentral.com and tdwi.org to locate at least three similar job titles that
you may find interesting for your career.
13. Go to Brainspace at MIT lab brainspace.com. View the video about “Augmented
Human Intelligence.” Find the activities that deal with the enabling of meaningful
combination of people and machines. Write a report.
14. Find information about IBM Watson’s activities in the healthcare field. Write a
report.
Student reports will vary based on the date the research is conducted.
15. Examine Daniel Power’s DSS Resources site at dssresources.com . Take the
Decision Support Systems Web Tour (dssresources.com/tour/index.html).
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Explore other areas of the Web site. List at least three recent resources related to
analytics. What topics do these cover?
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