For Reference
For Reference
For Reference
Group assignment
BTQS2054 Development Economics, 2021/ 2022
Lecturer / Tutor : TS TAN TIEN SHEN / Assoc. Prof. Ts. Dr Abdul Rahman Bin Ayub
Tutorial group : 08
Submission : Week 9
Datuk John Tan is a Managing Director for a plastic manufacturing company in Malaysia.
Unfortunately, the plastic price was fluctuating in recent years due to the fear of oversupply
in the market. Therefore, he is considering the options to either venture into the business of
property development using his company land or invest in other type of investment using his
company cash reserve.
You are a registered quantity surveyor who completed several projects over the past 10 years.
You are to address the following questions before giving your advice to Datuk John Tan.
1. List the types of investments available in the market. Advise the client on the risk, returns
and factors that affect the investment. Recommend one to the client with explanation.
2. Assess the past historical economic cycle based on GDP, Interest rate and relevant indexes.
Advise Datuk John Tan the current economic situation and best action to be taken as a
property developer.
3. Discuss the characteristics of property as an investment with example.
4. Examine the differences of property yields for shops, offices, industrial factories,
residential and recommend one for the client’s land.
5. Demonstrate your understanding of the concept income stream and property value for the
property development of client’s land by giving an example.
Instructions to students
1. Students are to form groups at their own choice of not more than five persons per
group.
2. Read the case study carefully; understand the instructions, read the report format,
cover page design, pagination, and type of binding, etc in the next few pages.
3. You should submit the group report (minimum 2,500 words) on end of week 9 to the
tutor concerned.
4. Clearly state the questions you have answered.
5. As each question carries equal marks in the group section. please attempt to answer
all of them.
6. Begin each new question on a new page.
7. As a reminder, students are asked to start reading power points issued to them that
covered materials of LW 1, 2, 3, and 4:
8. Beware of merely re-stating views from power point notes will not earn full marks.
Use your own words, and provide examples to show you understand the
concept/theory well.
9. Marks will also be given for research efforts based on the following criteria:
Obtaining additional information beyond power point notes;
Use library’s online databases such as Scopus, EBSCOhost, Emerald,
ProQuest, Science Direct, Springer, etc. Visit your librarian please.
Originality of views; and
Depth of analysis.
Format of Submission
1. All writing be typed by using Font 12 for Times New Roman.
2. The whole assignment must be written in English.
3. The report must be properly cited and referenced using Harvard System of Reference.
4. The cover page should include the name of programme and subject, student’s name
and ID number, lecturer’s name and date of submission.
5. Students are required to prepare standard report writing e.g., table of contents,
a list of references or bibliography and appropriate appendices.
6. Students will be given the feedback by week 10.
7. The marking scheme form needs to be attached together with the report during
Submission and late report submission will not be accepted.
8. For late submission, there will be a reduction of absolute marks from the
mark’s score submitted.
9. Late 1 to 3 days after deadline of submission: minus 10 marks;
10. Late 4 to 7 days after deadline of submission: minus 20 marks;
11. Late more than 7 days after deadline of submission: 0 marks.
12. You are required to generate and submit the similarity index report via Turnitin. In
addition, please attach the Student Self Declaration ( Coursework & e-Assessment).
The information for Datuk John Tan’s land is enclosed for your reference.
Location : 43300 Lot 2096, KG. BaruBalakong, Off Jln. Balakong, Balakong Selangor,
43200.( For education purposes only)
FACULTY OF BUILT ENVIRONMENT
Signature :
Name of Student: Lau Yong Liang
Student ID: 20WVR12800
Date: 19 August 2021
Signature
Name of Student: LEE HAN SEN
Student ID: 20WVR12803
Date: 19 AUG 2021
Signature
Name of Student: NG CHOONG WEI
Student ID: 20WVR12835
Date: 19 AUGUST 2021
Signature
Name of Student: NG XUE FENG
Student ID: 20WVR12840
Date: 19 AUGUST 2021
Signature
Name of Student: TAN ZHEN HUI
Student ID: 20WVR12873
Date: 19 AUGUST 2021
income stream and property discussion on the topic or the topic. Student able to
value for the property not complete at all. Very
of the topic. Poor
performance in
the topic. Rather average
in demonstrating the skill
demonstrate good skill and
the topic. Student able to
demonstrate great skill and
4.4 X 4 17.6 / 20%
development of client’s land poor performance in knowledge with
demonstrating the skill and knowledge in Question knowledge with
by giving an example demonstrating the skill and emphasising details in
and knowledge in 5. emphasising greater
knowledge in Question 5. Question 5.
Question 5. details in Question 5.
Sub-total 88 / 100%
After deduct [ ] marks(s) for [ ] day(s) late / 100%
Type t
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
ORIGINALITY REPORT
11 %
SIMILARITY INDEX
10%
INTERNET SOURCES
3%
PUBLICATIONS
%
STUDENT PAPERS
PRIMARY SOURCES
1
www.investopedia.com
Internet Source 2%
2
www.moneysense.gov.sg
Internet Source 1%
3
realestate4investing.com
Internet Source 1%
4
academy.shareinvestor.com.my
Internet Source <1 %
5
www.moneycontrol.com
Internet Source <1 %
6
www.coursehero.com
Internet Source <1 %
7
courses.lumenlearning.com
Internet Source <1 %
8
www.straitstimes.com
Internet Source <1 %
9
www.elearnmarkets.com
Internet Source <1 %
Table of Contents
Table of Figure iv
1.0 Introduction 1
2.0 Types of Investments Available in the Market 2
2.1 Bank Deposit 2
2.1.1 Bank Deposits’ Return 2
2.1.2 Risks Involved in Investing Fixed Deposit 2
2.1.2 Factors that Affects the Demand of Fixed Deposit 3
2.1.2.1 Bank Negara Interest Rate 3
2.1.2.2 Additional Incentives 3
2.1.2.3 Economy Conditions 3
2.2 Unit Trust 4
2.2.1 Return of Unit Trust 4
2.2.1 Risk & Factors Involves in Investing Unit Trust 4
2.2.2.1 Liquidity 4
2.2.2.2 Interest rate 4
2.2.2.3 Currency 5
2.2.2.4 Counterparty factor 5
2.3 Bond 5
2.3.1 Bond’s Return 5
2.3.2 Risk Involved in Investing Bonds 6
2.3.3 Factors that Affects the Demand of Bond 6
2.3.3.1 Interest Rate 6
2.3.3.2 Stock 6
2.4 Property Investment 6
2.4.1 Return on property investment 7
2.4.2 Risk of property investment 7
2.4.3 Factors that Affect Property Investment 7
2.4.3.1 Interest rate 7
2.4.3.2 Government Policy 7
2.5 Shares 7
2.5.1 Return of Share 8
2.5.2 Risk & Factors that affect the share investment 8
2.5.2.1 Market risk 8
2.5.2.2 Business risk 9
2.5.2.3 Liquidity risk 9
2.6 Mineral 9
2.6.1 Risk and factors that affect the mineral investment 10
2.6.1.1 Price fluctuations 10
2.6.1.2 Operational efficiency 10
2.6.1.3 Science and technology 10
2.7 Commodity 10
2.7.1 Return of commodity 11
2.7.2 Risk in Commodity investment 11
2.7.2.1 Price risk 11
2.7.2.2 Political risk 11
2.7.3 Factor that affected the commodity investment 11
2.7.3.1 Political factor 11
2.7.3.2 Science and Technology 12
2.8 Foreign Exchange 12
2.8.1 Forex’s Return 13
2.8.2 Risk Involves in Trading Forex 13
2.8.3 Factors that Affects Forex Trading 13
2.9 Derivatives 14
2.9.1 Risk & Factor that affects the derivatives investment. 15
2.9.1.1 Liquidity risk 15
2.9.1.2 Market risk 15
2.9.1.3 Credit risk 15
2.10 Cryptocurrency 15
2.10.1 Risk & Factor that affects Investing in Bitcoin 16
2.10.1.1 Intangibility 16
2.10.1.2 Volatility 16
2.10.1.3 Vulnerable to Hackers & Frauds 16
2.11 Recommendation to Mr John 17
3.0 Past Historical Economic Cycle 18
3.1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 18
3.1.1 Factor Affecting Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 19
3.1.1.1 Government Expenditure 19
3.1.1.2 Business Investment 19
3.1.1.3 Net Export 19
3.1.1.4 Private consumption expenditure 20
3.2 Interest Rate 22
3.2.1 Factor Affecting Interest Rate 23
3.2.1.1 Supply and Demand of Money 23
3.2.1.2 Inflation 24
3.2.1.3 Central Bank 24
3.2.1.4 Global Interest Rates and Foreign Exchange Rates (FOREX) 24
3.3 Construction Industry Growth 24
3.3.1 Factor Affecting Construction Industry Growth 25
3.3.1.1 Political issue 25
3.3.1.2 Inflation 25
3.3.1.3 Interest Rate 26
3.4 Technical Recession 26
3.4.1 Factor Affecting Technical Recession 26
3.4.1.1 Financial factors 26
3.4.1.2 Psychological factors 26
3.4.1.3 Real factors 27
3.5 Demand and Supply of Real Estate 27
3.5.1 Factors Affecting Demand and Supply of Real Estate 27
3.5.1.1 Affordability index (demand side factor) 27
3.5.1.2 Population (demand side factor) 28
3.5.1.3 Economy (demand side factor) 29
3.5.1.4 Land use (supply side factor) 29
3.6 Advice to Datuk John Tan 30
4.0 Characteristics of Property Investment 32
4.1 Durability 32
4.2 Lack of Transparency 32
4.3 Illiquid 33
4.4 High Startup Costs 33
4.5 Investment Vulnerability 34
5.0 Differences of Property Yields 35
5.1 Shop lot 36
5.2 Offices 37
5.3 Industrial Factories 38
5.4 High Rise Residential 39
5.5 Landed Residential 40
5.6 Recommendations 41
6.0 Property Development 43
6.1 Concept Income Stream 43
6.2 Property Value 44
6.2.1 Shop Lots 44
6.2.2 Offices 45
6.2.3 Industrial Factories 45
6.2.4 High Rise Residential 46
6.2.5 Landed Residential 46
6.3 Recommendation on Selling Price to Datuk John Tan 47
7.0 Conclusion 48
8.0 Reference 49
Table of Figure
Figure 9 GDP (RM Billion) and Annual Percentage Change (%) ......................................30
iv
1.0 Introduction
Economics is the social science that studies the production, distribution and
consumption of goods and services. It encompasses how individuals, businesses, governments
and the state choose how to allocate resources. The use of economics is to determine which
methods of labour produce better results for the economy.
The task was to research the type of investment that exists in the market to understand
the risk, return and other factors of that investment type. There are various types of investments
to choose from, such as equities, real estate, debt papers etc. This research aimed to provide
Datuk John Tan with the best advice and recommendations on which type of investment would
be more suitable for him.
1
2.0 Types of Investments Available in the Market
2.1 Bank Deposit
Bank deposits involve deposit funds into banks to safeguard money from theft and other risks
of losses (Kagan, 2020). To deposit funds in a bank, one must first open a bank account in any
commercial or other type of bank. In return, the bank would provide interest rates against one’s
balance amount. However, interest rates vary from bank to bank and from time to time,
depending on the types of bank accounts one holds. Nevertheless, one can open various
accounts, such as a current account, savings account, and fixed deposit account. A fixed deposit
is a savings or investment account that promises a fixed interest rate if the investor does not
withdraw the funds in a fixed period.
2
2.1.2 Factors that Affects the Demand of Fixed Deposit
2.1.2.1 Bank Negara Interest Rate
When the Bank Negara provides a higher interest rate for fixed deposits. In that case, the
demand for fixed deposits will increase as more people will be attracted to register a fixed
deposits account because it would offer a higher return. However, suppose interest rates remain
high during a period where the economy is weak. In that case, consumers and companies will
be unlikely to borrow and repay loans, and bank earnings would eventually suffer. In other
words, bank deposit’s demand will become lower at this point.
3
2.2 Unit Trust
A unit trust is a fund made of various assets such as shares, bonds, properties, etc. The portfolio
is then divided into units that are then sold to investors. The money one invested will be
gathered together with other investors by a professional fund manager. In return, each investor
will receive their returns based on their contributions. The fund managers are monitored by a
trustee, who helps to ensure that investment decisions are made in one’s best interests. In other
words, unit trusts help investors with limited funds to diversify their portfolios with several
different stocks and assets.
2.2.2.1 Liquidity
Investing unit trust also will be affected by the liquidity risk. For funds listed and traded on
stock exchanges, the secondary market may also lack liquidity. This may affect the price at
which investors buy or sell the unit trust.
4
because the prices of debt securities are often the opposite of interest rates. For example, when
interest rates rise, the prices of debt securities usually fall.
2.2.2.3 Currency
Foreign currency or foreign exchange risk is also one of the risks that affect investing the unit
trust. Funds that invest in assets denominated in foreign currencies may face adverse currency
movements. The currency base of the fund may also be different from the investor's own.
2.3 Bond
Bonds can be interpreted as loans from an investor to a government or corporation.
Governments or corporations issue them to finance projects (Fernando, 2021). In return, the
government or corporation will make regular interest payments to the investor at a specific
interest known as coupon rate on the amount borrowed known as face amount until the maturity
date. When the bond matures, the government or company will repay the investor the face
amount and stop the interest payments . This method of investment is known as hold to
maturity. However, suppose the investor has decided not to invest until the maturity date. In
that case, he could always sell the bond to another investor any time at the prevailing market
price. Like fixed deposits, bonds offer a series of predictable cash flows with minimal risk to
one’s invested capital but higher interest. To start investing in bonds, one can open a
stockbroking account or buy from platforms like Fundsupermart or public mutual funds
companies. On top of that, bonds can be further categorised into Corporate bonds, Government
bonds, Islamic bonds, etc.
5
2.3.2 Risk Involved in Investing Bonds
Although bonds are low-risk investments, they carry a higher risk when compared to fixed
deposits. This is because fixed deposits are insured up to RM250,000 by the PIDM, while there
is not a single statutory body that insures bonds. Besides that, bonds with higher default risks
also come with higher coupon rates. The amount of risk depends mainly on the stability or
credit rating of the issuer. For example, government bonds will generally have a lower coupon
rate when compared to corporate bonds. On the other hand, corporate bonds typically have a
greater risk of default as corporations can go bankrupt. Thus, the issue’s credit rating shall be
taken into account when investing in bonds.
2.3.3.2 Stock
Bonds and stock often have an inverse relationship, implying that bonds become more
appealing as stocks fall, increasing bond’s demand. In other words, bonds can be considered
as a stock investor’s safe heaven when stocks are not performing well.
6
2.4.1 Return on property investment
The return on the property investment is in the form of dividends, interest rates, rents, or profit.
Compared with stocks and bonds, property investment is less affected by market fluctuations.
Monthly rental income provides the most direct return on property investment. Rents of a
property will increase over time if demand for rental property increases in the local market.
Once the property owner decides to liquidate and place the property on the market, the long-
term return takes the form of an increase in the property's price.
2.5 Shares
Shares are traded between the buyer and seller through the stock market, equity market or share
market. Shares represent an equity interest in a company or financial asset. They are owned by
investors who exchange capital for these shares. Investment in the share market usually
requires consideration of investment strategies. It is traded through stockbrokers or electronic
trading platforms such as Rakuten. In addition, only the shares of large companies are listed on
7
the stock exchanges to make their shares more liquid and attractive to many potential investors.
Some international companies are listed on multiple stock exchanges in different countries to
attract foreign investors. For example, Nestlé is registered in many stock exchange markets,
including India, Switzerland, and Malaysia. This is because of the range of stock market
participants from individual shares investors to large investors located anywhere globally.
Besides, the stock market will provide all listed company news, announcements, financial
reports, and other company-level trading-related activities such as dividends that a company
may pay to their investors from part of its earnings. This is because the stock exchange ensures
price transparency, liquidity, pricing, and fair trading in stock market trading activities.
However the stock market may be a valuable investment, but it is fraught with market risk,
business risk and liquidity risk. As a result, some people are unwilling to invest in the stock
market due to the uncertainty and risk resulting in significant losses.
8
2.5.2.2 Business risk
Business risks usually come from unfavourable company operations or changes in company
leadership, or disappointing earnings reports. This is because when a particular company faces
an emergency or test, negative news such as serious losses caused by its improper operation
will affect investors' confidence in its company, which will cause the company's stock price to
fall (Academy, 2021).
2.6 Mineral
Almost all commercial products in the mining industry are extracted from the ground, including
raw materials such as silver, oil and gold. Besides, Investing in the mining industry requires
understanding the various types of mines and how to invest in them, such as buying shares in
mining companies, investing in new mining projects, or companies that provide mining
equipment. In addition, investors in mining stocks should be keenly aware of the cyclical nature
of the mining industry and its capital-intensive nature; even some of them consider gold and
silver as safe-haven investments (DiLallo, 2021). This is because gold and silver can create
volatile returns at certain times, creating opportunities to earn high returns for savvy investors.
Therefore, the mineral industry is an opportunity based on challenging investments with high
risk. The mineral investment risks are affected by various factors, including operational
efficiency, price fluctuations, political decisions, and regulatory authorities’ will. However,
the economic and commercial aspects of the mineral market are not in the hands of investors
and are mainly determined by global market conditions. Nevertheless, the risk can be
minimised by generating sufficient information during the stages of exploration or critical
economic analysis to ensure safer investment. Investment decisions made at all stages of the
mineral market revolve around the interrelated components of resources, risks and revenue.
9
2.6.1 Risk and factors that affect the mineral investment
2.6.1.1 Price fluctuations
Minerals are the raw materials for energy or supplies that people need daily, maintaining the
demand for minerals. However, the price fluctuation rate of minerals is based on the demand
of the global market and the volume of supply, especially in certain seasons. For example,
some countries usually use coal for electricity production, resulting in a significant increase in
coal demand and price during winter (Chand, 2021). On the other hand, the mining side might
control its daily mining volume to reduce international price trends when the supply is greater
than the global demand. Therefore, the investor must focus on the volatile returns and risk of
mineral investment to measure the return on investment.
2.7 Commodity
Commodities are basic commodities used in trading and can be replaced with other similar
commodities. Commodities are commonly used as input for the production of other goods or
10
services. Commodities are divided into two categories such as hard commodities (natural
resources) and soft commodities (livestock or agriculture stock) (Fernando,2021). For instance,
gold, oil, beef, cereals, natural gas, etc. are the traditional commodities.
11
States compared to other parts of the country. However, China also collected tariffs on
American crops to retaliate against Trump’s tariffs (Hayes, 2021). As a result, surplus crops of
America must be sold in other markets due to a drop in the demand of China. Therefore, the
price of crops in the United States fell in 2019 (Hayes, 2021).
12
2.8.1 Forex’s Return
A realistic return for Forex trades is about 1-5% per month. However, it should be noted that
this number results from a combination of trades that thousands of traders make, meaning that
there is always a possibility that something could go wrong (Axiory, 2021). Therefore, instead
of a 5% return, 1% of return is much more realistic (Axiory, 2021). However, it all depends
on how dedicated a trader is towards each trade and how much he trades (Axiory, 2021). Not
to mention that every trade carries significant risk (Axiory, 2021). There is a possibility to bring
a 5% return to -5% in a week. Hence, even if it is a 1% return, it is still regarded as a decent
return if the balance is positive (Axiory, 2021).
13
demand for USD. Suppose a forex trader anticipates the US to hike interest rates unexpectedly.
In that case, he can buy the USD against a currency with lower interest rates to make a profit.
2.9 Derivatives
A derivative is a general term for special financial instruments used to buy and sell in the
market and for contracts between two or more parties based on the value of agreed underlying
financial assets, indexes, or securities (Chen, 2021). The rate and time of return for such
transactions are derived from the performance of financial instruments such as commodities,
stocks, interest rates, securities or various indices in the market. In addition, derivatives can be
used for various purposes, including increasing exposure to speculative price movements,
preventing commodity price changes, or obtaining other assets or markets that are difficult to
trade. The main types of derivatives include forwards, futures, option swaps and their variants,
such as synthetic collateralised debt obligations and credit default swaps. These financial
derivatives can be traded on exchanges or over-the-counter (Vahey and Oppenheimer, 2021).
Investors are typically exposed to four common risk exposures when investing in derivatives:
market risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk. Therefore, investors need to be very cautious when
trading in such financial instruments. The losses may be greater than the initial capital invested
by investors. Also, as they do not represent any asset, their purchase or sale should not be
considered an investment.
14
2.9.1 Risk & Factor that affects the derivatives investment.
2.9.1.1 Liquidity risk
Investing in derivatives will generate two kinds of liquidity risks, such as market liquidity risk
and capital liquidity risk. First of all, market liquidity risk refers to the increased risk of
insufficient market depth or market disruption resulting in the inability to close a position or
offset a specific position. On the other hand, capital liquidity risk is the risk that customers
cannot meet future cash flow obligations for derivative activities, such as the need for margin
calls in their future contracts.
2.10 Cryptocurrency
A cryptocurrency is a form of a digital asset. It is almost impossible to counterfeit a
cryptocurrency. These digital assets are not issued by any central bank, making them immune
to government interference (Frankenfield, 2021). Instead, they run on decentralised networks
based on blockchain technology. This technology acts as a distributed ledger enforced by a
disparate network of computers which helps ensure the legitimacy of each transaction.
Coinbase is one of the many platforms where one can buy or sell cryptocurrencies such as
Bitcoin, Etherum, USD Coin and Stellar, just to name a few.
15
2.10.1 Risk & Factor that affects Investing in Bitcoin
2.10.1.1 Intangibility
Bitcoin is a digital asset, it does not have a physical form, and one could not touch or see it.
Furthermore, Bitcoin has value because individuals or corporations who invest in it say that it
has value. Despite that, in reality, there are no tangible resources that backed them up.
Therefore, if the market wherever deemed that Bitcoins no longer have any value, one would
result in financial loss.
2.10.1.2 Volatility
Since there is no single entity responsible for stabilising cryptocurrencies, the value of Bitcoin
is constantly changing due to various factors that are beyond our control. For instance, Elon
Musk announced that Tesla would no longer accept Bitcoin as payment for its environmental
impact, caused a collapse in Bitcoin’s price and lost 15% value in less than 24 hours. With such
an unpredictable market, there is no telling if one will get a return on investing in Bitcoin.
16
2.11 Recommendation to Mr John
Based on the evaluation above, we would recommend Datuk John Tan to use his company land
to invest in the property development construction project. This is because the returns on
property investments are considered higher and more conservative than other types of
investments. In addition, the returns on property investment are more stable, and more profits
are gained from property investment such as interest rates, rents and property appreciation.
Coupled with the fact that Datuk John Tan owns the land, it saves the cost of purchasing land
to develop a property project and reduces property investment risk. Therefore, Datuk John Tan
should invest its free cash flow in developing property projects on his land to get more returns.
On the other hand, we do not recommend Datuk John Tan to use his free cash flow to invest in
equities or other commodity investments. This is because the economy of Malaysia is currently
in a recession due to the Covid-19 pandemic and also political instability, which has created a
highly volatile market for investments in equities, debt instruments and other commodities. For
example, the Movement Control Order issued by the Malaysian government has affected the
production value of various industries, their equities and debt issues, which makes them
required to take some time to recover their production value. As other investments are riskier
than real estate investments, we recommend that Datuk John Tan invest in developing new
properties projects to ensure that its investments are more stable and will bring greater returns.
17
3.0 Past Historical Economic Cycle
3.1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total market value of all final/completed goods and
services manufactured and provided within a country's geographic boundaries in a particular
time frame. It usually is calculated annually (Investopedia, 2021). Final goods and services
mean the products are ready to be served, e.g. food, television and gasoline. GDP indicates the
economic growth of a country. The line chart above is showing the Malaysia GDP growth from
the year 2000 until 2020. The formula below shows the formula for calculating GDP.
There are two types of GDP, the nominal GDP and the real GDP. The nominal GDP is
calculated based on the price of products produced in the year. In contrast, the real GDP is
calculated by the price affected by the economy’s inflation. The difference is that when the
price is increased but output remains unchanged, the nominal GDP will change and real GDP
will not change (Lumen, 2021). In order to identify a country's GDP growth every year, a GDP
deflator is introduced. The GDP deflator is used to calculate the yearly GDP index to measure
the price level.
18
GDP Deflator = Nominal GDP x 100
Real GDP
19
imports more (Tracy, 2020). Positive net exports mean the country enjoys a trade surplus, while
negative net exports mean the country has a trade deficit. Therefore, a country’s net exports
are an integral part of its overall trade balance. When our country exports goods and services
to other countries,our country’se Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will increase due to the
foreigner purchasing our country’s goods and services. On the contrary, if our country imports
goods and services from other countries, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will decrease due
to our country purchasing foreign goods and services. Therefore, net export is also one of the
factors that affects Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Tracy, 2020).
The data of Figure xxx shows the net exports of Malaysia from 2018 Quarter 2 until 2021
Quarter 2. The highest net exports of Malaysia is 2019 Quarter 1, and the lowest net exports is
2020 Quarter 2. The data also shows that the current net exports of Malaysia are positive net
exports. The data proves that the export of Malaysia is more than the import of Malaysia.
Therefore, Malaysia enjoys a trade surplus in net exports.
20
help the households do not need to do it by themselves. For instance, yard maintenance,
financial services and dry cleaners are included in the services (Amadeo, 2020). Besides, goods
can be deemed as tangible objects, and they can be classified as durable goods and non-durable
goods. Durable goods are goods that have more than 3 years or more of lifespan while non
durable goods have a lifespan of less than three years (Futures, 2021). For instance, cars and
furniture are durable goods, while food and clothing are non-durable goods. Services and goods
have higher demand and consumption for the public, so manufacturers will continue to provide
and manufacture them to fulfil the public’s demand.
The data on Figure xxx illustrates that the private consumption to Nominal GDP gradually
increased from 1991 to 2021 in Malaysia. According to CEIC, it shows the average of private
consumption to Nominal GDP is 47.6% from March 1991 to Jun 2021 (Ceicdata, 2021). The
private consumption expenditure will drive the country’s economy due to it occupying about
half of the Gross Domestic Products (GDP) in Malaysia. Therefore, the more money people
spend on services and goods, the faster the country’s economy will grow.
21
3.2 Interest Rate
The interest rate is defined as the amount charged by the lender to the borrower and is based
on a percentage of the principal of the total loan amount. The loan interest rate is usually
recorded annually and is called the annual interest rate (APR) (Banton, 2021). There are two
interest rate models of mortgage loans, namely simple interest and compound interest.
However, the borrower prefers a simple interest loan (Banton, 2021). Generally, the loan
interest rate given by the lender will be determined based on the borrower’s ability to repay
and measure its borrowing risk. For example, the borrower’s loan interest rate will lower when
the lender believes that the borrower’s loan is aw-risk. On the other hand, interest rates are used
for loans and apply to money earned from savings accounts or certificates of deposit (CD) at
banks or financial institutions. The terms of annual yield (APY) can be defined as the interest
earned on these savings accounts (Banton, 2021).
22
Simple interest = principal X interest rate X time
Compound interest is the interest calculated based on the initial principal and accumulated
interest in the previous period (Fernando, 2021). Therefore, some lenders prefer this interest
because it will increase the amount faster than the simple interest, which indicates that the
borrower will have to pay higher interest. The table below shows the calculation of compound
interest.
where:
p = principal
23
3.2.1.2 Inflation
Inflation refers to the prices of goods and commodities taken into account by the overall price
increase in the economy (Moneycontrol, 2021). Also, the inflation rate affects the interest rates,
especially the higher inflation rate le, leadinga higher interest rate. This is because the lender
will receive a higher interest rate as compensation for the decline in the purchasing power of
the currency paid in the future (Heakal, 2021). Therefore, the speed and rate of inflation will
be linked to interest rates, which will also affect the investment plans of investors. This is
because the high-interest rates will deter potential borrowers.
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driving forces of Malaysia's economic growth. However, many factors affect the growth of the
construction industry ,such as the country’s political issues, interest rate, inflation rate, and
other factors. The figure below shows the trends of the construction industry in Malaysia over
the past 20 years.
3.3.1.2 Inflation
Large construction projects are likely to take several years to complete, and the annual increase
in inflation will significantly increase the cost of construction materials. Although the
construction company will predict the inflation rate in advance, sometimes external factors will
cause the inflation rate to continue to rise, even exceeding the budget of the construction
25
company. According to the signed contract, the construction company must absorb the costs
on its own, thereby reducing its profits and the company's opportunities for growth. Therefore,
inflation is one of the major factors limiting the growth of the construction industry.
26
expansion. These speculative behaviors can easily trigger financial crises and economic
recession. A good example of this is the financial crisis caused by the real estate bubble in
2008. This is because too many people blindly followed the speculators to invest in a large
amount of real estate at that time, which directly caused the real estate bubble.
27
usually compares good prices or general living costs in one region with prices in other regions
or some measure of personal income (Kenton, 2021). When the income is increasing, it means
that people are able to afford to spend money on housing. In other words, the demand for
housing increases during periods of economic growth. In addition, the demand for housing is
often a luxury good. Therefore, the increase in income leads to a greater percentage of demand
increase (Pettinger, 2021) .
Figure 2 shows the population in Malaysia is forecast to grow over 41 million in 2080. In 2021,
the population of Malaysia will be over 30 million which represents a gradual increase in the
population of Malaysia. The population is one of the important factors affecting the demand
for housing. It is not just the number of people, but the changes in the demographic. For
example, the increasing number of singles living alone has led to an increase in demand for
28
housing (Pettinger, 2021). The demand for housing not only depends on the population but also
on the average size of the family. Certain social and demographic factors have led to an increase
in the number of households which is faster than population growth. The demographic changes
include the issues such as the divorce rate, increased life expectancy and age of people leaving
home. As a result, the population is one of the factors affecting the demand for housing.
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3.6 Advice to Datuk John Tan
The current economy of Malaysia has been in a downturn due to the impact of the
Covid-19 pandemic and political instability. According to the data provided by the Department
of Statistics Malaysia, GDP in 2020 has started to recover after falling to a percentage of -
17.2, which is a good sign after the Movement Control Order period (DOSM, 2021). Although
the economy of Malaysia is still in a downturn, there are signs of a gradual recovery in 2021.
This factor affected the speed of the recovery of the economy and also includes the continued
weakness of the currency in the international market. As a result, the central bank of Malaysia
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decided to lower interest rates and cut the key interest rate by 50 basis points to 2% to help
Southeast Asia's economy withstand the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and also the energy
prices on exports (The Straits Times, 2009). Lastly, as can be seen from the chart above,
Malaysia's House Price Index (HPI) remained in a downturn, which may also be affected by
the Covid-19 pandemic.
Based on the current economic situation described above, it is suggested that the best
course of action for Datuk John Tan as a property developer is to develop affordable housing.
This is where Malaysia’s beginning to show signs of economic recession, which results in the
market’s consumption habits not favoring high-priced properties in the near future. Although
this situation will change as a gradual recovery of economic activities, the HPI has been in a
long-term downturn and it is difficult to justify consumers buying high-priced properties in the
current situation. In addition, the central bank of Malaysia has cut interest rates twice in order
to revitalize the economy, which will allow developers to raise funds from banks to develop
new projects at lower mortgage costs. During this period, speculative investors will also
purchase lower-price properties as they currently enjoy low interest loans and stamp duty
exemption under the Home Ownership Campaign program (Kathy, 2021). Therefore, the
development of affordable housing is currently the best short-term construction strategy to
prevent their companies from being eliminated by the market during the economic recession.
Normally, it takes several years for Malaysia's economy to fully recover. During
recovery, consumers tend to prefer low priced houses to high priced luxury houses. Therefore,
in the current economic downturn and low interest rate environment, the construction of
affordable housing has a greater market advantage and will bring more profits in the future.
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4.0 Characteristics of Property Investment
Property investment provides a stable source of income, and can increase investors’ wealth and
rate of return through long-term asset appreciation. Investors need to understand the
characteristics of real estate investment in order to effectively formulate some profitable
strategies, and they can also avoid possible traps in property investment. Therefore, compared
with other investment tools, property investment is quite stable and conservative (Vazquez,
2015).
4.1 Durability
Property investment is durable and can build multi-generational wealth (Vazquez, 2015) .
There is no fixed maturity for property investment. As such, it can be preserved for longer and
be valuable for the property. It is often said that property investment is durable because
buildings built on the land can stand for decades or centuries. In order to maintain the durability
of the building, the investor needs to invest more money in repairs and maintenance for the
building such as repairing, inspecting and others. In addition, we need to ensure that the
building retains a good appearance and operates at optimum efficiency. Consequently, the
property will not deteriorate, and the value of the property or the building falls.
For example, most investors will buy properties for investment because the land has been
affixed to the property and can be held for decades. If the investors bought the land at prime
land and the land will have better value. The longer time for keeps the property then, the
property of the land more valuable. Therefore, in markets, sales tend to consist primarily of
stock rather than new builds (Wargent, 2017).
32
For example, auction is one of the reasons for the lack of transparency in investment. This is
also a source of risk when the investor will bid to purchase the property being auctioned without
any specific information and knowledge about the property. Also, there is unseen sight
condition of the property such as wall crack, no pipework outside the house and sometimes
only the address and picture of the property are shown. Therefore, it is important to take risky
and venturesome considerations when making an offer with the seller.
4.3 Illiquid
An illiquid investment is an investment that takes a long time to invest and which is difficult
to convert quickly into cash because it takes a long time to sell the asset. It also cannot be sold
easily without a substantial amount loss in value(Realtymogul, 2021). Illiquid investment
includes investment in properties, cars and antiques are illiquid assets and others. Also, illiquid
investment cannot be sold quickly due to the lack of ready and the purchaser to purchase the
product. The lack of liquidity is good when it comes to investing in properties because
illiquidity contributes to a stable and appreciating asset class for long-term investors. However,
the problem with illiquid investments is that they are difficult to convert into cash quickly, and
often investors need to reduce their returns to sell the property quickly when they need cash
urgently.
For example, illiquidity should be part of the analysis when choosing real estate as an
investment. This is because it has a high potential return (Frankel, 2019). Therefore, illiquidity
is vital for property investment because there is a high demand for property types.
33
rent, the more you earn. Therefore, there are several investors in this asset class since it is stable
and long-term income appreciation (Vazquez, 2015).
34
5.0 Differences of Property Yields
The figure above shows the location of Datuk John Tan’s land is located at the gridline of
3.040246,101.771308. A 7,700 square meters of land equals 82,882 square feet. Return
Operating Income (ROI) allows understanding of the return of investment. It is a percentage of
profitability that is calculated using the following formula.
35
Annual Rental x 100%
Property Price
5.1 Shop lot
Shop allows consumers to browse their needs of goods and services in a particular area.
By using the data from Table 2 above and excluding the construction of facilities such as
roadwork and pathway, the maximum number of shop lots that can be constructed is only 62
units (82,882 sq ft / 1,324 sq ft) and the minimum is 25 units (82,882 sq ft / 3,300 sq ft). Using
36
the average price per square feet, RM1,349.92, the maximum price can be collected is
RM111,368,400.00 (RM1,349.92 x 3,300 sq ft x 25 units).
5.2 Offices
By using the data from Table 4 above and excluding the construction of facilities such as
roadwork and pathway, the maximum number of offices that can be constructed is only 145
units (82,882 sq ft / 570 sq ft) and the minimum is 43 units (82,882 sq ft / 1,907 sq ft). Using
the average price per square feet, RM771,41, the maximum price can be collected is
RM63,757,036.05 (RM771.41 x 570 sq ft x 145 units).
37
5.3 Industrial Factories
By using the data from Table 6 above and excluding the construction of facilities such as
roadwork and pathway, the maximum number of industrial factories can be constructed is only
22 units (82,882 sq ft / 3,750 sq ft) and the minimum is 5 units (82,882 sq ft / 16,000 sq ft).
Using the average price per square feet, RM545.41, the maximum price can be collected is
RM44,996,325.00 (RM545.41 x 3,750 sq ft x 22 units).
38
5.4 High Rise Residential
By using the data from Table 8 above and excluding the construction of facilities such as
roadwork and pathway, the maximum number of 30 storey residential property can be
constructed is only 4,110 units (82,882 sq ft / 604 sq ft x 30 storey) and the minimum is 2220
units (82,882 sq ft / 1,114 sq ft x 30 storey). Using the average price per square feet, RM501.70,
the maximum price can be collected is RM1,245,440,148.00 (RM501.70 x 1,114 sq ft x 4,110
units).
39
5.5 Landed Residential
By using the data from Table 10 above and excluding the construction of facilities such as
roadwork and pathway, the maximum number of industrial factories can be constructed is only
70 units (82,882 sq ft / 1,170 sq ft) and the minimum is 21 units (82,882 sq ft / 3,900 sq ft).
Using the average price per square feet, RM362.03, the maximum price can be collected is
RM29,650,257.00 (RM362.03 x 1,170 sq ft x 70 units).
40
5.6 Recommendations
When comparing low rise property and high rise property in a very limited land area,
high rise property is much more profitable. Limited numbers of low rise property such as shop
lots, factories, offices and terrace houses can be constructed. Whereas for high rise property,
the more storey it is, the more it can earn. But, instead of just a tower of residential property, a
mix development is encouraged. Figure 16 below shows the concept of mix development.
41
AB C D
With the concept of mix development, 30 storey of service apartments, 1 storey of shop lots
and 2 storey of offices, a rough calculation shows that the maximum price that can be collected
is RM1,484,322,620.10 (RM6,3757,036.05 x 2 + RM111,368,400.00 + RM1,245,440,148.00).
42
6.0 Property Development
6.1 Concept Income Stream
The conceptual income stream in a development property is the long-term or short-term passive
income that the property will generate for the developer in the future. Also, the income stream
also can be known as passive income (Oliver, 2021). By developing an income property it is
possible to earn ongoing income for the developer primarily by renting it out to others, and
waiting for the price of its property to appreciate and change its business strategy. An income
property is a form of investment property which can be a residential property or a commercial
property that is rented out to receive ongoing passive income. Therefore, it is important for the
developer to determine the required rate of return, and it will be calculated by analysing the
current rental price in that area and also need to take into account the monthly payments
required for the developer's mortgage (Kagan, 2021).
However, while conceptual income streams are attractive to investors, there are a number of
factors that can affect them. When considering a concept income stream, investors need to be
aware of the risks, including interest rates, housing market conditions, disruptive tenants and
political factors. Often political factors can influence the housing policies made by the
government, even policies such as raising stamp duty on housing. Therefore, investors also
need to have a financial cushion to pay for the maintenance and renovation of their property
and to deal with government policies such as property taxes. Income property offers investors
the security of properties with many investment diversification advantages and is less risky
than other investments such as equities and bonds (Kagan, 2021).
43
6.2 Property Value
Property value is influenced based on the type of property to be constructed and the location
of the said property. Investigation that went through allows us to identify the higher selling
price, lower selling price and average selling price (proposed selling price) in order to have
good sales performance with good profitability.
44
6.2.2 Offices
45
6.2.4 High Rise Residential
46
6.3 Recommendation on Selling Price to Datuk John Tan
The proposed selling price stated is the recommendation selling price for Datuk John
Tan. The proposed selling price is recommended to achieve better sales performance and
greater profitability. If Datuk John Tan is required to sell his products in a very short period,
the selling price shall not lower than the lower selling price stated. Selling prices lower than
that may face losses and bankruptcy while prices higher than the price stated above may result
in bad sales performance. As government policy to stimulate the property market, the interest
rate was lowered from 3.29% to 1.75% by decreasing the stressness of the potential buyers
(Country Economy, 2021). Hence, the demand for property increased.
47
7.0 Conclusion
In short, this assignment is for Datuk John Tan to conduct a detailed study on the
feasibility of undertaking a property development. This takes into consideration many aspects
such as how to general a better income in terms of property development and factors that affect
the selling price of the building. This detailed study will provide Datuk John Tan with the best
recommendations and suggestions.
Based on a study of the types of investments available in the market, it was found that
the current stock market is experiencing high levels of volatility. In addition, the study on the
types of investments available also adequately outlines the risks and precautions to be taken.
Furthermore, by examining relevant indicators such as GDP, interest rates and housing sales
indices, it was found that Malaysia is recovering from the economic recession. The
development of construction projects is a viable plan during this period of economic recovery,
but precautionary measures such as reducing development costs must be taken to prevent cash
flow problems for the company. Furthermore, a study of the supply and demand of properties
in the vicinity has revealed that affordable housing development is the best option at the
moment to cope with factors such as the economic downturn.
48
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