Uganda
Uganda
Uganda
FOREX BUREAU
BY
KATANA AllEN
.NO: 1153-05014-00084
OF KAMPALA INTERNATIONAl
UNIVERSITY
AUGUST,2018
DECLARATION
I, Katana Allen declare to the best of my knowledge and ability that this report
is my original work and it has never been submitted anywhere for any
academic qualification award and a ll work that is not originally mine has been
cited and acknowledged.
(RESEARCHER)
u \ ....
Date: .. ........ 0'\... ..... p
\ \................ ... .. ... .... .
APPROVAL
I certify that this research report has been submitted by the candidate for
examination with my approval.
MR. TIMBIRIMUMICHAEL
(SUPERVISOR)
ii
DEDICATION
I dedicate this pierce of work to my parents, brothers, sisters and friends for
their academic support, time, prayers and guidance rendered to me. May the
good Lord reward you all.
iii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Special thanks goes to Almighty God for the great gift of life and wisdom offered
to me and by whose grace he has seen me through the hard times I
encountered and made me complete this course successfully.
I also acknowledge the help and support of my parents in making this research
a success in my education.
Lastly, I would like to thank all my friends and relatives who have given me
help in one way or another but their names have not appeared here, know that
I really appreciate your support in my form.
iv
LIST OF ACRONYMS
UG Uganda.
IC International Corporations.
IV Independent Variable.
DV Dependent Variable.
EV Extraneous Variable.
GP Gross Profit.
PM Profit Margin.
EUR Euros.
$ Dollars.
Rd Road.
us United States.
+ Positive Change.
Negative Change.
wu Western Union.
MG Money Gram.
EM Express Money.
CB Central Bank
vi
TABLE OF CONTENT
DECLARATION .......................................................................................................................................... i
APPROVAL .................................................................................................................................................. ii
DEDICATION ............................................................................................................................................ iii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ............................................................................................. ;........................... iv
LIST OF ACRONYMS .............................................................................................................................. v
TABLE OF CONTENT ........................................................................................................................... vii
LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................... :...................... x
LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................................................. xi
ABSTRACT ............................................................................................................................................... xii
vii
2.2.4 Market Speculators .......................................................................................... 10
2.2.5 Inflation rate .................................................................................................... 10
2.2.6 Govemment budget deficits and surpluses ........................................ :.............. 10
2.2.7 Balance ofTrade ............................................................................................... 11
2.2.8 Economic growth and health ............................................................................ 11
2.3 Performance of Corporations in Uganda .............................................................. 11
2.6.0 Measures taken by Corporations to manage foreign exchange rate
fluctuations in Uganda ..................................................................................... 18
2.6.1 Payment Netting ............................................................................................... 18
2.6.2 Prepayments .................................................................................................... 19
2.6.3 Leading and Lagging ......................................................................................... 19
2.6.4 Hedging with derivatives ................................................................................... 20
2.6.5 Forward and Future contracts .......................................................................... 20
2.6.6 Currency Option ............................................................................................... 21
2.6.7 Currency Swaps ............................................................................................... 21
2. 7 Factors that affect the performance of Corporations besides Foreign Exchange Rate
fluctuations ........................................................................................................ 22
viii
3.6 Data analysis ...................................................................................................... 27
3.7 Ethical Considerations ........................................................................................ 27
ix
LISTOFTABLES
X
LIST OF FIGURES
xi
ABSTRACT
xii
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.0 Introduction
This chapter focuses on the background of the study, problem statement,
purpose of the study, objectives of the study, research questions, scope of the
study and the significance of the study.
These foreign exchange rate fluctuations are due to the existing monetary
system of today's global economy. With the abolishment of the fixed exchange
rate system in 1971 at Bretton Woods's agreement, exchange rate movements
have been a big concern for corporations. These fluctuations exposes
companies to foreign exchange risks as more corporations internationalize and
more economies become open to international trading (El-Masry and Abdel-
Salam 2014).
1
Today all currencies are affected by the forces of demand and supply. High
demand for a currency makes it appreciate which means a higher price in
relation to other currencies whereas low levels of demand for a currency
depreciates it (Hill 2014).
The implication for corporations is that their exports can become expensive in
other markets if they are produced from a country where the currency has
appreciated or cheaper in foreign markets if there is a currency depreciation in
the country of origin.
Many corporations respond by trying to reduce their foreign exchange risks, for
example by employing lead or lag strategies, setting up strategies in low cost
manufacturing locations or they develop policies to manage the risks
associated with foreign exchange fluctuations such as setting up in-house
foreign exchange centers, forecasting future exchange rate movement among
others (Hill 2014).
However it should be noted that foreign exchange rate fluctuations is not the
only determinant of the performance of corporations in Uganda, but other
factors such as legal, political, socio-cultural, economic environment and the
stage of the corporations growth play their parts too (Terpstra 2014).
2
1.3 Purpose of the study
The purpose of the study is to determine the influence of foreign exchange rate
fluctuations on the performance of corporations in Uganda.
The subject scope examines foreign exchange rate fluctuations and the
performance of corporations in Uganda.
The year of interest is 2016 and the study is scheduled for 3 months.
3
The study will help the corporations in Uganda to know how to deal with
foreign exchange rate fluctuations and devise policies that will help minimize
their risk of foreign exchange rate fluctuations and enjoy their full advantages
of operation.
The study will not only help corporations but also the financial
institutions interested in providing hedging products to these corporations
in Uganda.
The study report is also a partial fulfillment for the requirement for the award
of aBBA of KIU.
4
A conceptual framework showing the independent variables,
dependent variables and extraneous variables of the study.
Figure 2.2.1
The conceptual framework of the study shows how foreign exchange rate
fluctuations affects the performance of corporations in Uganda. It reveals
that exchange rate 1s independent variable while performance IS
5
A favorable and reliable exchange rate will lead to effectiveness and efficiency in
the performance of corporations in Uganda due to increased demand for the
currency and other currencies both locally and worldwide and thus attracting
more customers. Frequent appreciations in the currency will lead to low
demand and a shift to other currencies which are favorable to corporations.
Chapter one introduces the study, chapter two shows the literature review of
the study,. chapter three the research methodology, chapter four discusses the
interpretations of findings and finally chapter five bears the conclusions and
recommendations.
6
CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.0 Introduction
This chapter explains In details the theoretical review, causes of foreign
exchange rates fluctuations, performance level of corporations, effects of
foreign exchange fluctuations on the performance of corporations and
measures taken by them to manage foreign exchange rate fluctuations in
Uganda.
7
2.2.0 Causes of foreign exchange rate fluctuations
Foreign exchange rate is the price or rate at which one currency is exchanged
for another. A high level of demand for a currency forces its price up and it is
called currency appreciation whereas low levels of demand for a currency
lowers its price and it depreciates (Hill, 2015).
The 1971 Bretton Woods Agreement abolished the fixed rate system and
introduced the floating rate system where the price of currencies is determined
by demand and supply of money which has led to currency fluctuation. (El-
Masry and Abdel-Salam 2015).
The major trading currencies today are the USD, EUR, Japanese Yen, GBP,
Swiss Franc, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, Swedish Krona, Hong Kong
Dollar, Norwegian Krone and other currencies accounting for only 15.5% out of
200%.
8
2.2.1 Monetary regimes
Fixed exchange rates encourages currency mismatches because banks and
firms hedge their dollar liabilities, they overlook the need to limit their open
foreign accounts since they believe themselves to be immune to exchange rate
fluctuations (Burnside et al 2014 and Goistein 2014).
On the other hand greater flexibility increases the cost of hedging and therefore
leads to lower currency mismatch (Mekinnon 2014). Floating regimes lead to
greater volatility therefore raising the cost of insurance and results in less
hedging rather than more. Floating regimes exacerbate rather than ameliorate
currency mismatches in markets (Arteta 20 15).
2.2.2 Dollarization
Dollarization of banks, forex bureau and credit in developing countries has
resulted into varying degrees of currency in domestic financial intermediation
(ARTETA 2015). Highly dollarized economies operate as small open economies
and since dollarization has tended to be self-perpetuating, it has encouraged
the growth of foreign currency lending which has led to exchange rate
instability (Sigh al 2015).
9
2.2.4 Market Speculators
They take open positions by buying foreign exchange without simultaneously
contracting to sell and sell foreign currency without processing the currency to
meet the obligations (Hill 2014). Basing on political events or changing
commodity prices, speculators decide whether a currency will depreciate or
appreciate and then buy or sell a currency. In the process affecting a
currency's demand or supply leading to exchange rate fluctuations (JIFB)
Surveys of foreign currency trading by major US corporations indicates that
while a very small proportion (Perhaps 5%) engage in such trading solely as
speculators for trading profits, a much longer share (about 75%) ·speculate
some times.
10
2.2. 7 Balance of Trade
Trade flows illustrates demand for goods and services which indicates a
demand for a country's currency to conduct trade (Good friend, 2015). A
Country with substantial trade surplus results in other countries wanting its
exports followed by a large demand for its currency and its value appreciates. A
large trade deficit makes a country sell its currency to buy foreign goods
causing the currency to depreciate (JIFB).
11
Jet Set Fo:rex Bureau - Gum Municipality
This is a 13.8 billion dollar company serving people in more than 10 countries
by providing services in foreign exchange and related services.
To meet daily needs of customers who need to send and receive money
worldwide, JSFB now avails its customers with WU, MG and XMT
services 24 hours across their locations.
With their strategic locations at the heart of Kampala city and around
Kampala, Entebbe Town, Entebbe Air Port and Gulu Town. With all
these locations you are sure to have excellent on spot forex services and
money transfer service much closer to you.
JSFB buy and sell all major foreign currencies like USD, GBP, EUR, KSH,
ZAR, TSH and SSP among others.
JSFB Gulu branch is located at the heart of Gulu Town along Atwal
Juba Rd. This branch also offers on spot forex services, western union,
money gram, and express money services to the residents of Gulu town,
NGO'S, Government parastatals, and foreigners including the traders who
trade between Sudan and Uganda because its most competitive rates,
excellent customer experience and the long hours of service given to
customer.
12
Others are;
Colgate-Palmolive Company
13
Ameron International
Fiberglass group
14
Water transmission group
Infrastructure group
Overall sales increased by 81.8 million dollars in 2015 due to increase demand
for marine piping, impact of foreign exchange rates on the company's Asian
and European subsidies and higher demands for construction materials.
Overall GP was 146 million dollars or 23% of sales compared to 132.4 million
dollars or 24.4% of sales in 2014. The 13.6 million dollar increase in GP was
due to the high sales volume while decline in GPM was due to reduced
profitability of the water transmission group.
15
2.5 Effects of foreign exchange rate fluctuations on the performance of
corporations in Uganda
Examining simple cash flow models of firms as well as their anecdotal evidence
from business press suggests that unexpected exchange rate fluctuations has
an effect on the value of corporations with foreign currency based activities,
assets and competition (El-Masry and Abdel-Salam 2015).
Exchange rate fluctuations affect relative prices of local currency and goods,
frequent appreciation of foreign currencies against local currency and the
difficult in retaining local customers because of high priced imported
inputs which tend to affect prices locally, such risks impact on all IC's
operations (Oxeiheim and Wihlborg, 20 15). Output and prices are affected
because foreign exchange rate fluctuations determine aggregate demand
through exports, imports and the demand for domestic currency and aggregate
supply through the cost of imported intermediate goods (IMP 2014).
Corporations as well as small and medium size businesses are running the risk
of major losses on foreign exchange dealings as they have failed to protect
themselves against currency movements in the volatile markets. A company
16
conducting $2 million of foreign exchange could be exposing itself to losses up
to $ 320,000 (CBP).
Milani and Rivera 2014, yet again explained the effect of foreign exchange rate
fluctuations on budgeting difficulty basing on three theories that examine the
underlying demand for assets denominated in a particular currency.
Translation exposure
17
Transaction exposure
Results from international transactions like hedging contracted cash flows that
characterizes international trade, repatriation of profits and acquisition or
disposal of foreign assets.
Economic exposure
18
includes bilateral and multilateral netting. Bilateral netting the transfer of a
netted amount between two affiliates. Multilateral netting involves
transfer of a netted amount between three or more affiliates. They use
payment netting to reduce physical flow of funds from one subsidiary to
another. As a result, measureable cost such of purchasing foreign
exchange, the opportunity cost of float (time in transfer) and other cost
are minimized or eliminated.
2.6.2 Prepayments
This method of payment requires the importer to pay the exporter in full
before shipment is made (Hill, 2015). Payment is always made in form
of international wire transfer to the exporters account or foreign bank
draft. This method affords the supplier the greatest degree of protection
and its normally requested of first time-buyers whose credit worthiness
is unknown or whose country are in financial difficulty. If currency is
thought to appreciate, then payment enables a corporation to pay at a
lower rate. If the future rate finally depreciates the firm is worse than
it had done nothing. This method Imposes a big risk to the importer as
he/she depends totally on the integrity of the exporter but offers
greatest protection for exporters because no credit extension is required.
The primary disadvantage of prepayment IS that it can limit the
exporters sales potentials (Dennis 2014).
21
2. 7 Factors that affect the performance of Corporations besides. Foreign
Exchange Rate fluctuations.
Countries where corporations operate may set come barriers such as levels of
local content used in manufacturing methods, service delivery and technologies
used in production as well as percentage of foreign ownership of local
corporations.
22
market participators, BOT, economic growth and also health lead to foreign
fluctuations.
Corporations perform well when research is carried out on the new market to
be entered. If the parent company expands and performs well, it makes it
easier for international subsidiaries to succeed
23
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.0 Introduction
This chapter presents the methodology which was used in the study; it was
divided into ten sections: the research design. Area and population of the
study, Sample framework, sample procedure, methods for collection, sample
size, sources of data, research instruments, methods of data analysis and
Ethical considerations.
24
than 30. Beyond basic description it was difficult for the researcher to
undertake more complex statistical analysis, as most of these analyses require
a minimum sample of 30.
3.4.1 Instruments
(i) Interviews
This involved face to face interaction between the researcher and the
participant through discussion. The interviews were in two ways, namely:
Structured interview in which the responses by the participants were brief and
specific. Unstructured interviews, where the responses took long, elaborate and
not specific, the interviews will be conducted in groups and with individuals.
The researcher carried out the interview using the interview guide because it
was the most appropriate method which was used to study the attitudes,
values, beliefs and motives of people. It also had an element of flexibility. These
persons were interviewed individually so as to get independent answers
(H) Questionnaire
This was the discussion In written form whereby the responses of the
participants were put on paper provided by the researcher, the questionnaire
were in two forms, namely:
25
The close-ended questionnaires in which responses were provided by the
researcher and the participants one of them accordingly, for example strongly
agree, agree or strongly disagree. The researcher left out questionnaires to
mainly the literate group. The researcher gave some two days to respondents to
study and fill the questionnaires. She requested the respondents to ask for
clarification where they did not understand.
(i) Primary this was got by designing questionnaires and using the same
questionnaires the researcher proceeded to the field and collected the data,
while in the field the researcher interviewed respondents so that she can get
the required data.
(ii) Secondary
This data was got by extracting information regarding foreign exchange rate
fluctuations and performance of corporations by reading newspapers, journals,
text books plus the already existing work on internet and magazines.
The researcher used accurate questions which are open ended in nature by use
of questionnaires from the managers, accountants and tellers. The questions
set had enough space to give appropriate responses. Close ended questions
were also used by the researcher.
26
.... · -
This ensured that information given was logical, accurate and consistent.
Obvious errors and omissions were corrected to ensure accuracy, uniformity
and completeness so as to facilitate coding.
3.5.2 Coding
This ensured that all answers obtained from various respondents were given
codes and classified into meaningful forms for better analysis.
The recorded data was later edited and interpreted which ensured uniformity,
legibility and consistence. Also, interview results will be were coded on
frequency tables and then calculated in terms of percentages and presented in
this study.
3. 7 Ethical Considerations
After the approval of the proposal by the responsible authority, the researcher
got an introductory letter from the Faculty to progress to the field for data
collection. The researcher presented the letter to the concerned officials at the
company who assisted her to make sampling frames with the help of other
relevant respondents.
27
Another important consideration, involved getting the informed consent of
those going to be met during the research process, which involved interviews
and observations bearing in mind that the area hears conflict.
Accuracy and honesty during the research process was very important for
academic research to proceed. The researcher treated the project with utmost
care, in that there was no temptation to cheat and generate research results,
since it jeopardized the conception of research.
Personal confidentiality and privacy was very important since the thesis was
public. If individuals had been used to provide information, it was important
for their privacy to be respected. If private information was accessed then
confidentiality was maintained (Stephen, p. 2002).
28
CHAPTER FOUR
4.0 Introduction
This chapter presents the discussions and presentation of findings of key
issues from theoretical and empirical literature, the comparisons and contrasts
of findings and brings our new inferences and insights on the study variables.
Table 4.1 shows that the biggest percentage of the interviewees were in
customers with a representation of 78 %( considered due to having varied
information),then followed by tellers with a representation of 10%,managers
with a representation of 4% similar to those of internal auditors and
29
accountants. This implies that that the information was g1ven by the right
respondents.
From table 4.2 above, the biggest percentage of respondents, completed tertiary
institutions as represented by 50% of the respondents, then 30% of the
respondents held bachelors' degrees in different fields followed by 14% Diploma
holders the least 06% of the respondents completed secondary school level.
This shows that the biggest percentage of the respondents have attained
reasonable education and can appreciate the topic of study therefore making
their responses reliable.
From table 4.3 above, it was found out that the biggest percentage of the
respondents had worked with the forex bureau for 5 years as represented by
40% whereas 30% shows employees who had worked with the forex bureau for
30
the period between 6-10 years, 20% represents employees who have worked for
a period between 10-15 years and the least percentage (10%) represents
workers who had worked with the forex bureau for the period between 10 years
and above, implying that they have been in service for a long time, thus they
are experienced, and could provide reliable information.
From table 4.4 above, an assessment of the respondents' marital status was as
follows the biggest percentage of the respondents were found to be married as
shown by 40% where as 36% of the respondents reported to be single, then
04% of them attributed to be living with partner they are married lastly 20% of
the respondents appeared to be separated from their spouses as illustrated in
table 4 above.
31
Table 5: 5.5 Respondents' religion
30
25
>
u
20
r::
~
C"
15
Q)
J: 10
5
Religion
During the field study, it was found out that majority of the respondents were
Protestants making 30% of the respondents, 20% of the respondents were
Moslems and 15% were Adventists and lastly the Roman Catholics which were
revealed by 25% of the respondents in figure 5 above.
32
Figure 1: Respondents view on varying amounts of currency in circulation
no
• Seriesl
yes
33
Figure 2: Respondents view on bank attempts to regulate inventories
•ves
•no
not sure
•ves
•no
not sure
34
4.2.4 Lack of a well-functioning foreign exchange rate management
system
. 4%>%
11 yes
II no
II not sure
35
4.4 Relationship between foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and
corporation performances
When asked about their view on the relationship between foreign exchange rate
fluctuation and corporation performances,35 respondents representing 70%
responded that there is an extreme relationship, 10 respondents representing
20% said that there is a good relationship,2 respondents representing 4% said
that there is a fair relationship, similar to two respondents who said that there
is an extremely bad relationship whereas 1 respondent representing 2 %
replied that there is a bad relationship as illustrated below. A conclusion was
made that there is an extreme relationship between foreign currency exchange
rate fluctuations and corporation performances.
.--- ---·-·-----·-··-·------·--·--·---····-·------·--·--···········-·---··-----..-----·---......................--.....
80%
60%
40%
20%
• Seriesl
Seriesl
36
When asked whether exchange rate fluctuations affect a company's prices, they
all replied that yes and said that it in fact affects all other operations of the
international co-operations.
4.4.3 Do you think exchange rate fluctuations affect the domestic value of
assets, liabilities and operating incomes of corporations?
When asked about whether exchange rate fluctuations affect the domestic
value of assets, liabilities and operating incomes of IC's 45 respondents
representing 90% said that yes,5 repenting 10% said that no, and 0
respondents were not sure. A conclusion was made that exchange rate
fluctuations affect domestic value of assets, liabilities and operating incomes of
corporations.
10% ayes
0% 0% ano
not sure
4.4.4 Do you think the company has a risk of making great losses when
translating foreign currencies from foreign operations to domestic
currency for making balance sheet and income statements?
When asked about whether they thought the company had a risk of making
~reat losses when translating foreign currencies from foreign operations to
iomestic currency for making balance sheet and income statements,40
~espondents representing 80% said that yes, 5 representing 10 said no while 5
37
representing 10% were not sure. Therefore a conclusion was made that the
company has a risk of making great losses when translating foreign currencies
from foreign operations to domestic currency for making balance sheet and
income statements.
not sure
38
decisions, pnc1ng and budgeting are complicated by fluctuations 1n foreign
currency exchange rates.
yes
• no
not sure
39
CHAPTER FIVE
5.0Introduction
5.1 Conclusions
From the findings, I made the following conclusions.
40
transfer from focusing on translation exposure. External market can then
be assessed according to economic risk factors like exchange value
variations attributed to foreign market environments.
5.2 Recommendations
In light of the above conclusions, I recommends the following;
A different exchange rate would be required for each revenue and expense
category to remove all the effects of foreign rates changes. This however may be
cumbersome and time consuming.
IBM's method of using derivatives to limit the effects of foreign exchange rates
D.uctuation and exposure on financial results can be copied.
Corporation can select the segment markets that minimize the effects of
foreign exchange rate fluctuations while maximizing the long term cash flow by
raising capital in foreign country's currencies instead of using capital provided
by the parent corporation's home currency, locating plants in countries that
lend to minimize the negative consequences of exchange rates changes, develop
mix of sales strategy for both currency devaluation and revaluation and shift
41
production among plants to allocate where the currency has devalued therefore
achieve low production costs.
How other factors such as government intervention, interest rates and inflation
rates affect international corporations in Uganda.
42
REFERENCES
Ahmed El-Masty, Omeya AbdelSalam (2015). Managerial Finance; Volume 33,
Issue 9, 2015, Research paper.
Jet Set Forex Bureau- Gulu Municipality, 2015 Annual Financial Report.
Dr. Charles W. L. Hill (2010) International Business, post Script 2014, Third
Edition, Me Graw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Peter Neary, (2014) Foreign Investment and the Single Market, 2nd Market
8dition, New York.
43
Salvador Boriors, Holger George (UCD) (2015), Multinational Enterprises and
New Trade Theory, Himalaya Publishing House.
44
APPENDICES
1. Designation
2. Gender
3. Age bracket
45
[f) Others specify) .................................... .
Yes D No D
9. Bank attempts to regulate the inventories?
46