12 Mathematics sp04
12 Mathematics sp04
Class 12 - Mathematics
Sample Paper - 04
Maximum Marks: 80
Time Allowed: : 3 hours
General Instructions:
1. This Question paper contains - five sections A, B, C, D and E. Each section is compulsory. However, there are internal
choices in some questions.
2. Section A has 18 MCQ’s and 02 Assertion-Reason based questions of 1 mark each.
3. Section B has 5 Very Short Answer (VSA)-type questions of 2 marks each.
4. Section C has 6 Short Answer (SA)-type questions of 3 marks each.
5. Section D has 4 Long Answer (LA)-type questions of 5 marks each.
6. Section E has 3 source based/case based/passage based/integrated units of assessment (4 marks each) with sub parts.
Section A
[ ]
0 −5 8
1. The matrix 5 0 12 is a
−8 − 12 0
a) symmetric matrix
b) scalar matrix
c) diagonal matrix
d) skew-symmetric matrix
[ ]
1 k 3
2. If A = 3 k − 2 is singular then k =?
2 3 −4
16
a)
3
34
b)
5
c) None of these
33
d)
2
3. If A is a square matrix such that A2 = I, then A-1 is equal to
a) A + I
b) 2A
c) 0
d) A
{
π
mx + 1, if x ≤ 2 π
4. If f(x) = π is continuous at x = 2
then
sinx + n, if x > 2
[ ()
] [ ()
]
x x
sin − 1(xπ) tan − 1 π
− cos − 1(xπ) tan − 1 π
1 1
10. If A = π
, B= π
, then A - B is equal to
sin − 1
()
π
x
cot − 1(πx) sin − 1
() x
π
− tan − 1(πx)
− e − by e ax
a) b
= a
+C
b) none of these
c) eax - e-by = C
d) beax + aeby = C
→ → → → → → → → →
16. If a + b + c = 0, | a | = 3, | b | = 5, | c | = 7, then the angle between a and bis
π
a) 3
5π
b) 3
2π
c)
3
π
d)
6
OR
√3
.
22. Find the intervals in which the function f given by f(x) = 2x3 – 3x2 – 36x + 7 is decreasing.
23. Find the maximum and minimum value, f(x) = (2x - 1)2 + 3
OR
(x +1 )
2
24. Evaluate: ∫ dx
(x +1 )
4
25. A ladder 13 m long is leaning against a vertical wall. The bottom of the ladder is dragged away from the wall along the
ground at the rate of 2 cm/sec. How fast is the height of the wall decreasing when the foot of the ladder is 5 m away
from the wall?
Section C
OR
π xsin x
∫0
1 + cos 2x
OR
dy
For the differential equation xy dx = (x + 2)(y + 2), find the solution curve passing through the point (1, -1).
30. Solve the following linear programming problem graphically:
Minimize z = 6x + 3y
Subject to the constraints:
4x + y ≥ 80
x + 5y ≥ 115
3x + 2y ≤ 150
x > 0, y ≥ 0
OR
In Fig, the feasible region (shaded) for a LPP is shown. Determine the maximum and minimum value of Z = x + 2y.
dy (x −1 )
2 3
( 2x − 1 )
31. Find when y =
dx √ ( x − 3 ) ( 4x − 1 )
Section D
32. Using integration, find the area of the region: {(x, y) : 9x2 + 4y2 ≤ 36, 3x + y ≥ 6}.
x
33. Show that the function f : R → {x ∈ R : -1 < x < 1} defined by f(x) = 1+ |x|
,x ∈ R is one-one and onto function.
[ ]
2 −3 5
34. If A = 3 2 − 4 , find A-1. Using A-1 solve the system of equations 2x - 3y + 5z = 11; 3x + 2y - 4z = -5; x + y - 2z
1 1 −2
= -3
35. Show that the lines →r = (2î − 3k̂) + λ(î + 2ĵ + 3k̂) and →r = (2î + 6ĵ + 3k̂)+ μ(2î + 3ĵ + 4k̂)intersect. Also, find their point
intersection.
OR
By computing the shortest distance determine whether the pairs of lines intersect or not:
→ →
r = (î − ĵ) + λ(2î + k̂) and r = (2î − ĵ) + μ(î + ĵ − k̂)
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Section E
36. Read the text carefully and answer the questions:
There are two antiaircraft guns, named as A and B. The probabilities that the shell fired from them hits an airplane are
0.3 and 0.2 respectively. Both of them fired one shell at an airplane at the same time.
OR
If it is know that the shell fired from exactly one of them hit the plane, then what is the probability that it was
fired from B?
37. Read the text carefully and answer the questions:
Sonu left from his village on weekend. First, he travelled d1 displacement up to a temple. After this, he left for the zoo
and travelled d2 displacement. After this he left for shopping in a mall - Total driving time of Deepal from village to
Mall was 1.5 hr.
OR
i. Is the function differentiable in the interval (0, 12)? Justify your answer.
ii. If 6 is the critical point of the function, then find the value of the constant m.
Class 12 - Mathematics
Sample Paper - 04
Solution
Section A
1. (d) skew-symmetric matrix
[ ]
0 −5 8
Explanation: We have A = 5 0 12
−8 − 12 0
[ ]
0 5 −8
∴ A' = − 5 0 − 12 = - A
8 12 0
So, matrix A is skew-symmetric
33
2. (d) 2
Explanation: When a given matrix is singular then the given matrix determinant is 0.
|A| = 0
Given,
( )
1 k 3
A= 3 k −2
2 3 −4
|A| = 0
1(-4k + 6) -k(-12 + 4) + 3(9 - 2k) = 0
-4k + 6 + 12k - 4k + 27 - 6k = 0
-2k + 33 = 0
33
k= .
2
Which is the required solution.
3. (d) A
Explanation: A2 = I
A-1A2 = A-1I
A = A-1
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mπ
4. (b) n =
2
{
π
mx + 1, if x ≤ 2 π
Explanation: We have, f(x) = π
is continuous at x =
2
sinx + n, if x > 2
= lim cosh + n = 1 + n
n→0
Since the function is continuous, we have
LHL = RHL
π
⇒ m⋅ +1=n+1
2
π
∴ n=m⋅
2
5. (d) 3√30
Explanation: Use formula for shortest distance between two skew lines.
6. (d) 4xy = y4 + C
dx x
Explanation: Consider the given differential equation, + = y2
dy y
dx 1
On comparing with linear differential equation of the form + Px = Q. Here, P = and Q = y2
dy y
1
∴IF = e ∫ Pdy = e ∫ y dy = e ∫ ln ( y ) = y
Now, the solution of given differential equation is
(
xy = ∫ y ⋅ y 2 dy + C1 ) ⇒ xy = ∫ y 3 dy + C1
y4
⇒ xy = + C1 ⇒ 4xy = y4 + C,
4
where C = 4C1
7. (b) q = 3p
Explanation: The maximum value of Z is unique.
It is given that the maximum value of Z occurs at two points (3,4) and (0,5)
∴ Value of Z at (3, 4) = Value of Z at (0, 5)
→ →
a | 2 | b | 2sin 2θ + | →
= |→ a | 2 | b | 2cos 2θ
→
(
= | a | 2 | b | 2 sin 2θ + cos 2θ = 36
→
)
1
9. (a) − 6 cosec3 (2x + 1) + C
Explanation: Given integal is: I = ∫ cosec 3(2 x+1) cot (2 x+1) d x=?
So,
I =∫ cosec 3(2 x+1) cot (2 x+1) dx
[ ]
1 1 x
− cos − 1xπ tan − 1
π π π
Explanation: In the given question, B = 1 x 1
sin − 1 − tan − 1πx
π π π
[ ]
1 1 x
π
sin − 1xπ π
tan − 1 π
and A = 1 x 1
sin − 1 cot − 1πx
π π π
[ (sin )
]
1
− 1xπ + cos − 1xπ 0
π
∴ A-B=
(cot )
1
0 − 1πx + tan − 1πx
π
[ ]
1 π
[ ]
⋅ 0 1 0
π 2 1 1
= = = I
1 π 2 0 1 2
0 ⋅
π 2
| |
î ĵ k̂
→ →
∴ a × b = −1 1 1
1 −1 1
^
= î[1 + 1] − ĵ[ − 1 − 1] + qk[1 − 1]
= 2î + 2ĵ + 0k̂ = 2(î + ĵ)
→ →
and | a × b | = √4 + 4 = 2√2
∴ Required unit vector
2 ( iˆ + jˆ ) iˆ + jˆ
= ± = ±
2√2 √2
13. (c) no solution
| |
3 1 −1
Explanation: The given system of equations does not has a solution if: 5 2 −3 = 0 ⇒ 3(-18 + 18) - 1(-45 + 45)
15 6 −9
-1( 30 - 30) = 0
14
14. (c) 17
7 17
Explanation: Here, P(A ∩ B) = 10
and P(B) = 20
,
A P(A∩B) 7 / 10 14
∴ P( ) = = =
B P(B) 17 / 20 17
− e − by e ax
15. (a) b
= a
+C
dy
= e ax + by
dx
dy
= e axdx
e by
On integrating on both sides, we obtain
e − by e ax
− = +c
b a
π
16. (a)
3
→ → → →
Explanation: Given a + b + c = 0
→ →
⟹ a +b = −→
c
→ → → →
( a + b) 2 = − c . − c 2 2
+ 2( a. b) =∣ c ∣ 2
→ → → → →
⟹ ⟹ ∣ a ∣ + ∣ b ∣
→ → → → → →
⟹ 3 2 + 5 2 + 2( a. b) = 7 2 ⟹ 4 + 25 + 2( a. b) = 49 ⟹ 2( a. b) = 49 − 34 = 15
→ → → →
⟹ 2[ ∣ a ∣∣ b ∣ cosθ = 15 where θ is angle between a and b
15 1 1 π
⟹ 2 × 3 × 5 cos θ=-15 ⟹ cosθ = 30
⟹ cosθ = 2
⟹ θ = arccos( 2 ) = 3
17. (b) is equal to 0
1
π
From the graph of sin x, we observe that f(x) increases on the interval (0, ).
2
Reason: Given function is f(x) = cos x.
π
From the graph of cos x, we observe that, f(x) decreases on the interval (0, ).
2
Hence, Assertion is false and Reason is true.
20. (a) Both A and R are true and R is the correct explanation of A.
Explanation: Given A = {0, 1}
f(2n - 1) = 0, f(2n) = 1 ∀ n ∈ N
⇒ every element in A has its preimage in N.
so A is true.
and we know range is subset or equal to codomain
so R is true.
and for onto function, Range = Codomain
so R is correct explanation of A.
Section B
21. The domain sec-1 x is ( − ∞, − 1] ∪ [1, ∞).
Therefore, sec-1(2x + 1) is meaningful, if
2x + 1 ≥ 1 or 2x + 1 ≤ -1
⇒ 2x ≥ 0 or 2x ≤ -2
⇒ x ≥ 0 or x ≤ -1
⇒ x ∈ ( − ∞, − 1] ∪ [0, ∞)
Hence, the domain of sec-1(2x + 1) is ( − ∞, − 1] ∪ [0, ∞).
OR
Let x = cot-1 −
( ) 1
√3
⇒ cotx = −
1
√3
= cot ()
2π
3
2π
⇒ x= 3
2π
∴ Principal value of cot − 1(√3) is .
3
22. It is given that function f(x) = 2x3 - 3x2 - 36x + 7
⇒ f'(x) = 6x2 - 6x + 36
⇒ f'(x) = 6(x2 - x + 6)
⇒ f'(x) = 6(x + 2)(x - 3)
If f'(x) = 0, then we get,
⇒ x = -2, 3
So, the point x = -2 and x = 3 divides the real line into two disjoint intervals, ( − ∞, 2), ( − 2, 3) and (3, ∞)
1
Now, f' (x) = 4x - 2 = 0, ⇒ x= is the only critical point which is a minimum.
2
Therefore, function f does not have a maximum value.
OR
(x +1 ) 2
I=∫
( )
1+
1
x2
( )
x2 +
1
x2
( )
1+
1
x2
=∫ dx
( ) x− x
1 2
+2
=∫
[
dt
t 2 + ( √2 ) 2 ] ( )
, where x −
1
x
= t and 1 +
( ) 1
x2
dx = dt
() ()
1
1 t 1 x− x
= tan − 1 +C= tan − 1 +C
√2 √2 √2 √2
=
√2
1
tan − 1
( )x2 − 1
√2x
+C
Suppose OA = x & OB = y
Given that
The bottom of the ladder is pulled along the ground, away the wall at the rate of 2cm/s
dx
i.e., = 2cm/sec ..... (i)
dt
We need to calculate at which rate height of ladder on the wall.
Decreasing when foot of the ladder is 4 m away from the wall
dy
i.e. we need to calculate when x = 4 cm
dt
Wall OB is perpendicular to the ground OA
( )
d y2 ( )
d x2
+ =0
dt dt
( )
d y2
dy ( )
d x2
dx
× + × =0
dt dy dt dx
dy dx
2y × + 2x × =0
dt dt
dy
2y × + 2x × (2) = 0
dx
dy
2y + 4x = 0
dt
dy
2y dt = − 4x
dy − 4x
dt
= 2y
dy
We need to find when x = 4cm
dt
dy
dt | x=4
=
−4×4
2y
dy
dt | x=4
=
− 16
2y
..... (iii)
Finding value of y
From (ii)
x2 + y2 = 25
Putting x = 4
(4)2 + y2 = 25
y2 = 9
y=3
Section C
x2
26. Let I = ∫ dx
x 2 + 6x + 12
Therefore by long division we have,
Therefore,
x2 ( 6x + 12 )
2 =1− ...(i)
x + 6x + 12 x 2 + 6x + 12
d
Let 6x + 12 = A (x2 + 6x + 12) + B
dx
⇒ 6x + 12 = A(2x + 6) + B
⇒ 6x + 12 = (2A)x + 6A + B
Equating Coefficients of like terms
2A = 6
A=3
6A + B = 12
18 + B = 12
B = -6
x2 3 ( 2x + 6 ) − 6
∴
2 =1−
x + 6x + 12 x 2 + 6x + 12
x 2dx
I=∫
x 2 + 6x + 12
( 2x + 6 ) dx dx
= ∫ dx - 3 ∫ + 6∫
x 2 + 6x + 12 x 2 + 6x + 12
( 2x + 6 ) dx dx
= ∫ dx - 3 ∫ 2 + 6∫
x + 6x + 12 ( x + 3 ) + ( √3 ) 2
2
= x - 3 log |x + 6x + 12| +
6
√3
tan − 1
( )
x+3
√3
+C
√3
+C
27. Let A, B, C and D denote events of getting a white ball in first, second, third and fourth draw respectively. Therefore,
Required probability is given by,
P (A ∩ B ∩ C ∩ D)
B C D
= P (A) P ( A ) P ( A ∩ B ) P ( A ∩ B ∩ C )
Now, we have,
5 1
P(A) = Probability of drawing a white ball in first draw = 20
= 4
When a white ball is drawn in the first draw, there are 19 balls left in the bag, out of which 4 are white.
B 4
∴ P( )=
A 19
Since the ball drawn is not replaced, therefore after drawing a white ball in second draw there are 18 balls left in the bag,
out of which 3 are white.
C 3 1
∴ P( A ∩ B ) = 18
= 6
After drawing a white ball in third draw there are 17 balls left in the bag, out of which 2 are white.
D 2
∴ P( )=
A∩B∩C 17
Therefore, Required probability is given by,
1−x 1−x
=∫
√ 1+x
× 1−x
dx
1−x
=∫ dx
√1 − x 2
d
Let 1 - x = λ dx (1 - x2) + μ
= λ(- 2x) + μ
⇒ 1 - x = (-2λ)x + μ
I= √1 − x2 + sin-1 x + c
OR
π xsin x
I = ∫0 dx ...(1)
1 + cos 2x
π ( π − x ) sin ( π − x )
=∫ dx [By P4]
1 + cos 2x ( π − x )
0
π ( π − x ) . sin x
=∫ dx
1 + cos 2x
0
π π . sin x
⇒ I=∫ dx − I
1 + cos 2x
0
π π . sin x
⇒ 2I = π∫ dx
1 + cos 2x
0
Put cos x = t, then,
sin x dx = - dt
As x → 0, t → 1
As x → π, t → − 1
− 1 dt
∴ 2I = − π∫ 1
1 + t2
⇒ 2I = − π tan − 1t [ ] −1
1
⇒
[
2I = − π tan − 1( − 1) − tan − 1(1) ]
= −π − [ π
4
−
π
4 ]
2π
= −π× − 4
2π 2
⇒ 2I =
4
π2
⇒ I=
4
29. The given differential equation is,
xcos () y
x
dy
dx
= y cos ()
y
x
+x
dy
ycos () y
x
+x
⇒ =
dx
xcos () y
x
OR
For this question, we need to find the particular solution at point(1, -1) for the given differential equation.
Given differential equation is
dy
⇒ xy = (x + 2)(y + 2)
dx
⇒
(1−
2
y+2 ) ( )
dy = 1 +
2
x
dx
⇒
(
∫ 1−
2
y+2 ) ( )
dy = ∫ 1 +
2
x
dx
1 1
⇒ ∫ dy − 2∫ y + 2 dy = ∫ dx + 2∫ x dx
⇒ y − 2log(y + 2) = x + 2logx + C
Now separating like terms on each side,
⇒ y - x - c = 2 log x + 2 log (y + 2)
It can be observed that the feasible region is bounded. The coordinates of the corner
points of the feasible region are A(2, 72), B(15, 20) and C(40, 15) The values of the objective function, Z at these corner
points are given in the following table:
Corner Point Value of the Objective Function Z = 6x + 3y
OR
From the shaded bounded region, it is clear that the coordinates of corner points are ( )( )( )
3
13 13
,
24
,
18 2
7
,
7
,
7 3
,
2 4
and
( )
3 15
2
,
4
( 3
13 13
,
24
) 3
13
+
48
13
=
51
13
=3
12
13
( 18 2
7
,
7 ) 18
7
+
4
7
=
22
7
1
= 3 7 (Minimum)
( 7 3
2 4
, ) 7
2
+
6
4
=
20
4
=5
( 3 15
2
,
4 ) 3
2
+
30
4
=
36
4
= 9 (Maximum)
1
Hence, the maximum and minimum value of are 9 and 3 respectively.
7
( x2 − 1 ) 3
( 2x − 1 )
31. We have, y = ...(i)
√ ( x − 3 ) ( 4x − 1 )
(x −1 ) 2 3
( 2x − 1 )
⇒ y= 1 1
( x − 3 ) 2 ( 4x − 1 ) 2
Taking log on both sides,
[ (x −1 )
]
2 3
( 2x − 1 )
logy = log 1 1
( x − 3 ) 2 ( 4x − 1 ) 2
1 1
⇒ log y = log (x2 - 1)3 + log(2x - 1) - log (x − 3) 2 - log (4x − 1) 2
1 1
⇒ log y = 3 log (x2 - 1) + log(2x - 1) - log(x - 3) - log(4x - 1)
2 2
Differentiating with respect to x using chain rule,
{log (x − 1 )} +
1 dy d d 1 d 1
2
=3 {log(2x − 1)} − {log(x − 3)} − {log(4x − 1)}
y dx dx dx 2 dx 2
⇒
1 dy
y dx
=3
( ) 1
x2 − 1
d
dx (
x2 − 1 + )
1
( 2x − 1 )
d
dx
(2x − 1) − 2
1
( )
x−3
1 d
dx
(x − 3) −
1 1
2 ( 4x − 1 ) dx
d
(4x − 1)
⇒
1 dy
y dx
=3
( ) 1
x2 − 1
(2x) +
1
2x − 1
(2) −
1
2 ( ) 1
x−3
(1) −
1
2 ( ) 1
4x − 1
(4)
⇒
1 dy
y dx
=
[ 6x
x2 − 1
+
2
2x − 1
−
1
2(x−3)
−
2
4x − 1 ]
⇒
dy
dx
=y
[ 6x
x2 − 1
+
2
2x − 1
−
2(x−3)
1
−
2
4x − 1 ]
(x −1 )
[ ]
2 3
( 2x − 1 )
dy 6x 2 1 2
⇒
dx
= + − − [using equation (i)]
√ ( x − 3 ) ( 4x − 1 ) x2 − 1 2x − 1 2(x−3) 4x − 1
2
√( )
= ∫0 9 1 −
x2
4
2
dx - ∫ 0(6 − 3x)dx
]
2
=3 [√4
x
2
4 − x + 2 sin
4
−1
x
2
− 2x +
x2
2
0
=3 [√2
4
4
4 − 4 + sin − 1 − 4 +
2
2
2
4
2
−0 ]
[ ] π
= 3 2 2 − 2 = 3(π - 2) square units.
OR
[ ]
2 −3 5
34. Given: Matrix A = 3 2 −4
1 1 −2
| |
2 −3 5
∴ |A| = 3 2 −4
1 1 −2
⇒ |A| = 2(-4 + 4) - (-3)(-6 + 4) + 5(3 - 2) = 0 - 6 + 5 = -1 ≠ 0
[ ][ ]
0 2 1 ′ 0 −1 2
∴ adj. A = − 1 −9 −5 = 2 −9 23
2 23 13 1 −5 13
[ ][ ]
0 −1 2 0 1 −2
1
A-1 = 2 −9 23 = −2 9 − 23
−1
1 −5 13 −1 5 − 13
[ ][ ] [ ]
2 −3 5 x 11
⇒ 3 2 −4 y = −5
1 1 −2 z −3
[ ] [] [ ]
2 −3 5 x 11
Here A = 3 2 −4 , X = y and B = − 5
1 1 −2 z −3
[ ] [ ][ ]
x 0 1 −2 11
⇒ y = −2 9 − 23 −5
z −1 5 − 13 −3
[ ]
0−5+6
= − 22 − 45 + 69
− 11 − 25 + 39
[]
1
= 2
3
Therefore, x = 1, y = 2 and z = 3
35. Here, it is given that
→
r = (2î − 3k̂) + λ(î + 2ĵ + 3k̂)
→
r = (2î + 6ĵ + 3k̂)+ μ(2î + 3ĵ + 4k̂)
Here,
→
a 1 = 2ı̂ − 3k̂
→
b 1 = ı̂ + 2ȷ̂ + 3k̂
→
a 2 = 2ı̂ + 6ȷ̂ + 3k̂
→
b 2 = 2î + 3ĵ + 4k̂
Thus,
| |
→ → î ĵ k̂
b1 × b2 = 1 2 3
2 3 4
| |
→ → → →
( b1 × b2 ) ⋅ ( a2 − a1 )
d= → →
| b1 × b2 |
⇒ d=
| |
√14
6
6
∴ d= units
√14
As d ≠ 0, the given lines do not intersect.
OR
| |
1̂ ȷ̂ k̂
→ →
b1 × b2 = 2 0 1
1 1 −1
→ →
b 1 × b 2 = (0 − 1)î − ( − 2 − 1)ĵ + (2 − 0)k̂
→ →
⇒ b 1 × b 2 = − 1̂ + 3ĵ + 2k̂
→ →
| b 1 × b 2 | = ( − 1) 2 + 3 2 + 2 2
√
→ →
⇒ | b1 × b2| = √14
→ → → →
| (a 2 − a 1)(b 1 × b 2) | = | (ı̂ + 0ȷ̂ + 0k̂)( − ı̂ + 3ȷ̂ + 2k̂) |
→ → → →
⇒ | ( a − a )( b × b ) | = 1
2 1 1 2
Substituting these values in the expression,
→ → → →
| ( a2 − a1 ) ( b1 × b2 ) |
d= → →
| b1 × b2 |
1
d=
√14
1
d= units
√14
Shortest distance d between the lines is not 0. Hence the given lines are not intersecting.
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Section E
36. i. Bayes' theorem defines the probability of an event based on the prior knowledge of the conditions related to the
event whereas in case of the condition probability, we find the reverse probabilities using Bayes' theorem.
ii. Consider on event E which occurs via two different events A and B. The probability of E is given by the value
of total probability as:
P(E) = P(A ∩ E) + P(B ∩ E)
P(E) = P(A) P ()
E
A
+ P(B) ()
E
B
iii. Let P be the event that the shell fired from A hits the plane and Q be the event that the shell fired from B hits the
plane. The following four hypotheses are possible before the trial, with the guns operating independently:
E = PQ, E = Pˉ Q,
1
ˉ E = PQ,ˉ E = PQ
2 3
ˉ
4
Let E = The shell fired from exactly one of them hits the plane.
P(E1) = 0.3 × 0.2 = 0.06,
P(E2) = 0.7 × 0.8 = 0.56,
P
() () () ()
E
E1
= 0, P
E
E2
+0, P
E
E3
= 1, P
E
E4
=1
() ()
P(E) = P(E1) ⋅ P
E
E1
+ P(E2) ⋅ P
E
E2
+ P(E3).
P
() ()
E
E3
+ P(E4) ⋅ P
E
E4
OR
By Bayes' Theorem,
P E3( ) P
( )
E
()
⋅
E3
E3
P E
=
0.14 7
( )
P E1 ⋅ P
( ) E
E1 ( )
+ P E2 ⋅ P
( )
E
E2
+ P E3 P( ) ( )
E
E3 ( )
+ P E4 ⋅ P
( )
E
E4
= 0.38
= 19
NOTE: The four hypotheses form the partition of the sample space and it can be seen that the sum of their
OR