MARICO Ltd. - Financial Model
MARICO Ltd. - Financial Model
MODEL
About the Company
Marico (BSE: 531642, NSE: "MARICO") is one of India's leading consumer products companies, in
the global beauty and wellness space. In FY 2022-23, Marico recorded a turnover of about USD 1.2
billion through its products sold in India and chosen markets in Asia and Africa.
Marico touches the lives of 1 out of every 3 Indians, through its portfolio of brands such as
Parachute, Saffola, Saffola FITTIFY Gourmet, Saffola ImmuniVeda, Saffola Mealmaker, Hair & Care,
Parachute Advansed, Nihar Naturals, Mediker, Pure Sense, Coco Soul, Revive, Set Wet, Livon, Just
Herbs, True Elements and Beardo. The international consumer products portfolio contributes to
about 23% of the Group’s revenue, with brands like Parachute, Parachute Advansed, HairCode,
Fiancée, Caivil, Hercules, Black Chic, Code 10, Ingwe, X-Men, Purité de Prôvence, Ôliv, Thuan Phat
and Isoplus.
DISCLAIMER : The model is made as a part of educational assignment and is meant for educational purpose only. The author of the
report is not liable for any losses due to actions taken based on this report. It is advisable to consult SEBI registered research analyst
before making any investment . - Ekta Bhatt
Historical Financial Statement - MARICO Ltd.
Years March 17 March 18 March 19 March 20 March 21 March 22 March 23
# Income Statement Figures in Crores
Sales ₹5,917.79 ₹6,322.00 ₹7,334.00 ₹7,315.00 ₹8,048.00 ₹9,512.00 ₹9,764.00
Sales Growth - 6.83% 16.01% (0.26%) 10.02% 18.19% 2.65%
Selling and adm. Expenses ₹1,224.52 ₹1,091.00 ₹1,177.00 ₹1,270.00 ₹1,287.00 ₹1,457.00 ₹1,950.00
S&G Expenses in sales 20.69% 17.26% 16.05% 17.36% 15.99% 15.32% 19.97%
Earnings Before Tax (EBT) ₹1,052.39 ₹1,032.00 ₹1,154.00 ₹1,279.00 ₹1,416.00 ₹1,503.00 ₹1,599.00
EBT % Sales 17.78% 16.32% 15.73% 17.48% 17.59% 15.80% 16.38%
Adjusted no. of Equity Shares 129 129 129 129 129 129 129
Dividend Per Share ₹3.49 ₹4.24 ₹4.74 ₹6.73 ₹7.48 ₹9.23 ₹4.49
Dividend Payout Ratio 63.20% 73.89% 59.61% 91.85% 88.60% 103.13% 49.28%
Fixed Asset Net Block ₹1,084.70 ₹1,110.00 ₹1,300.00 ₹1,396.00 ₹1,612.00 ₹1,760.00 ₹2,246.00
Capital Work In Progress ₹11.16 ₹27.00 ₹45.00 ₹58.00 ₹24.00 ₹39.00 ₹67.00
Investments ₹608.21 ₹543.00 ₹450.00 ₹733.00 ₹854.00 ₹828.00 ₹1,096.00
Other Assets ₹182.75 ₹340.00 ₹621.00 ₹579.00 ₹478.00 ₹407.00 ₹541.00
Total Non Current Assets ₹1,886.82 ₹2,020.00 ₹2,416.00 ₹2,766.00 ₹2,968.00 ₹3,034.00 ₹3,950.00
SALES Growth - 6.83% 16.01% (0.26%) 10.02% 18.19% 2.65% 8.91% 8.43%
EBITDA Growth - (1.92%) 16.53% 10.87% 8.17% 5.79% 7.67% 7.85% 7.92%
EBT Growth - (1.94%) 11.82% 10.83% 10.71% 6.14% 6.39% 7.33% 8.55%
Net Profit Growth - 3.83% 38.54% (7.78%) 15.19% 5.95% 1.82% 9.59% 4.89%
Dividend Growth - 21.38% 11.76% 42.11% 11.11% 23.33% (51.35%) 16.57%
Gross Margin 40.28% 35.24% 34.12% 37.44% 35.74% 32.99% 38.51% 36.33% 35.74%
EBITDA Margin 19.59% 17.98% 18.07% 20.08% 19.74% 17.67% 18.54% 18.81% 18.54%
Operating Margin/EBIT Margin 18.06% 16.58% 16.28% 18.17% 18.02% 16.21% 16.95% 17.18% 16.95%
EBT Margin 17.78% 16.32% 15.73% 17.48% 17.59% 15.80% 16.38% 16.73% 16.38%
Net Profit Margin 12.08% 11.74% 14.02% 12.96% 13.57% 12.16% 12.06% 12.66% 12.16%
Sales Expenses %Sales 20.69% 17.26% 16.05% 17.36% 15.99% 15.32% 19.97% 17.52% 17.26%
Depreciation %Sales 1.53% 1.41% 1.79% 1.91% 1.73% 1.46% 1.59% 1.63% 1.59%
Operating Income % Sales 18.06% 16.58% 16.28% 18.17% 18.02% 16.21% 16.95% 17.18% 16.95%
Return on Capital Employed 41.68% 36.71% 35.89% 39.54% 38.66% 40.29% 37.55% 38.62% 38.66%
Retained Earnings% 36.80% 26.11% 40.39% 8.15% 11.40% - 50.72% 24.80% 26.11%
Return on Equity% 30.73% 29.18% 34.55% 31.36% 33.70% 34.56% 31.01% 32.16% 31.36%
Self Sustained Growth Rate 11.31% 7.62% 13.96% 2.56% 3.84% - 15.73% 7.86% 7.62%
Interest Coverage Ratio 64.47x 65.50x 29.85x 26.58x 42.65x 39.54x 29.55x 42.59x 39.54x
Debtor Turnover Ratio 23.96x 18.59x 14.19x 13.57x 20.74x 14.59x 9.62x 16.47x 14.59x
Creditor Turnover Ratio 5.59x 5.19x 4.67x 4.56x 4.80x 5.14x 3.85x 4.83x 4.80x
Inventory Turnover Ratio 4.72x 4.18x 5.20x 5.30x 7.15x 6.74x 7.97x 5.89x 5.30x
Fixed Asset Turnover 5.46x 5.70x 5.64x 5.24x 4.99x 5.40x 4.35x 5.25x 5.40x
Capital Turnover Ratio 2.54x 2.49x 2.47x 2.42x 2.48x 2.84x 2.57x 2.54x 2.49x
Debtor Days 15 Days 20 Days 26 Days 27 Days 18 Days 25 Days 38 Days 24 Days 25 Days
Payable Days 77 Days 87 Days 70 Days 69 Days 51 Days 54 Days 46 Days 65 Days 69 Days
Inventory Days 77 Days 87 Days 70 Days 69 Days 51 Days 54 Days 46 Days 65 Days 69 Days
Cash Conversion Cycle 13 Days 16 Days 19 Days 19 Days 13 Days 17 Days 21 Days 17 Days 17 Days
CFO/Sales 10.96% 8.16% 14.48% 16.60% 24.94% 10.68% 14.53% 14.34% 14.48%
CFO/Total Assets 17.90% 12.67% 21.69% 24.46% 36.99% 17.90% 20.43% 21.72% 20.43%
CFO/Total Debt 17.90% 12.67% 21.69% 24.46% 36.99% 17.90% 20.43% 21.72% 20.43%
Sales Forecasting - MARICO Ltd. EBITDA Forecasting - MARICO Ltd. Common Size
EPSIncome
Forecasting
Statement
- MARICO
- MARICO
Ltd. Ltd.
Weightage Year Sales Growth Weightage Year EBITDA Growth Weightage Year EPS Growth
1 2017 A ₹5,917.79 - 1 2017 A ₹1,159.27 - 1 2017 A ₹5.53 -
2 2018 A ₹6,322.00 6.83% 2 2018 A ₹1,137.00 (1.92%) 2 2018 A ₹5.74 3.83%
3 2019 A ₹7,334.00 16.01% 3 2019 A ₹1,325.00 16.53% 3 2019 A ₹7.95 38.54%
4 2020 A ₹7,315.00 (0.26%) 4 2020 A ₹1,469.00 10.87% 4 2020 A ₹7.33 (7.78%)
5 2021 A ₹8,048.00 10.02% 5 2021 A ₹1,589.00 8.17% 5 2021 A ₹8.44 15.19%
6 2022 A ₹9,512.00 18.19% 6 2022 A ₹1,681.00 5.79% 6 2022 A ₹8.95 5.95%
7 2023 A ₹9,764.00 2.65% 7 2023 A ₹1,810.00 7.67% 7 2023 A ₹9.11 1.82%
8 2024 E ₹10,406.49 6.58% 8 2024 E ₹1,924.92 6.35% 8 2024 E ₹10.10 10.89%
9 2025 E ₹11,071.94 6.39% 9 2025 E ₹2,042.93 6.13% 9 2025 E ₹10.73 6.24%
10 2026 E ₹11,737.39 6.01% 10 2026 E ₹2,160.94 5.78% 10 2026 E ₹11.36 5.88%
11 2027 E ₹12,402.84 5.67% 11 2027 E ₹2,278.94 5.46% 11 2027 E ₹11.99 5.55%
12 2028 E ₹13,068.29 5.37% 12 2028 E ₹2,396.95 5.18% 12 2028 E ₹12.62 5.26%
2024 E
2025 E
2026 E
2027 E
2028 E
2017 A
2018 A
2019 A
2020 A
2021 A
2022 A
2023 A
2017 A
2018 A
2019 A
2020 A
2021 A
2022 A
2023 A
2024 E
2025 E
2026 E
2027 E
2028 E
2017 A
2018 A
2019 A
2020 A
2021 A
2022 A
2023 A
Comparable Company Valuation Amount in crores
Current Assets :
Inventories ₹926.00 ₹1,253.00 ₹1,511.00 ₹1,411.00 ₹1,380.00 ₹1,126.00 ₹1,412.00
Trade receivables ₹252.00 ₹247.00 ₹340.00 ₹517.00 ₹539.00 ₹388.00 ₹652.00
Cash Equivalents ₹317.00 ₹236.00 ₹201.00 ₹552.00 ₹279.00 ₹944.00 ₹579.00
Short term loans ₹5.00 ₹6.00 ₹4.00 ₹6.00 ₹5.00 ₹6.00 ₹5.00
Other asset items ₹228.00 ₹177.00 ₹336.00 ₹615.00 ₹574.00 ₹472.00 ₹402.00
Total Current Assets ₹1,728.00 ₹1,919.00 ₹2,392.00 ₹3,101.00 ₹2,777.00 ₹2,936.00 ₹3,050.00
Current Liabilities :
Trade Payables ₹669.00 ₹697.00 ₹822.00 ₹944.00 ₹950.00 ₹1,134.00 ₹1,344.00
Advance from Customers ₹27.00 ₹23.00 ₹23.00 ₹30.00 ₹20.00 ₹41.00 ₹27.00
Other liability items ₹299.00 ₹326.00 ₹360.00 ₹583.00 ₹620.00 ₹482.00 ₹422.00
Total Current Liabilities ₹995.00 ₹1,046.00 ₹1,205.00 ₹1,557.00 ₹1,590.00 ₹1,657.00 ₹1,793.00
Net Working Capital ₹733.00 ₹873.00 ₹1,187.00 ₹1,544.00 ₹1,187.00 ₹1,279.00 ₹1,257.00
Non-Current Assets
Land ₹50.00 ₹49.00 ₹48.00 ₹71.00 ₹74.00 ₹73.00 ₹81.00
Building ₹266.00 ₹276.00 ₹291.00 ₹560.00 ₹617.00 ₹597.00 ₹620.00
Plant Machinery ₹272.00 ₹359.00 ₹401.00 ₹470.00 ₹583.00 ₹590.00 ₹671.00
Equipments ₹10.00 ₹13.00 ₹17.00 ₹18.00 ₹20.00 ₹23.00 ₹26.00
Furniture n fittings ₹12.00 ₹14.00 ₹20.00 ₹21.00 ₹28.00 ₹32.00 ₹36.00
Vehicles ₹2.00 ₹3.00 ₹4.00 ₹4.00 ₹5.00 ₹6.00 ₹6.00
Intangible Assets ₹519.00 ₹502.00 ₹543.00 ₹554.00 ₹573.00 ₹830.00 ₹945.00
Other fixed assets ₹11.00 ₹45.00 ₹45.00 ₹36.00 ₹40.00 ₹53.00 ₹138.00
Gross Block ₹1,142.00 ₹1,260.00 ₹1,369.00 ₹1,734.00 ₹1,940.00 ₹2,204.00 ₹2,523.00
Accumulated Depreciation ₹85.00 ₹167.00 ₹249.00 ₹434.00 ₹540.00 ₹592.00 ₹763.00
Net Non-Current Assets ₹1,057.00 ₹1,093.00 ₹1,120.00 ₹1,300.00 ₹1,400.00 ₹1,612.00 ₹1,760.00
Invested Capital ₹1,790.00 ₹1,966.00 ₹2,307.00 ₹2,844.00 ₹2,587.00 ₹2,891.00 ₹3,017.00
EBIT ₹1,068.97 ₹1,048.00 ₹1,194.00 ₹1,329.00 ₹1,450.00 ₹1,542.00 ₹1,655.00
ROIC 59.72% 53.31% 51.76% 46.73% 56.05% 53.34% 54.86%
Godrej Consumer India ₹1,129.58 ₹108,707.90 30.00% 1.04% 95.76% 0.58 1.25
Dabur India India ₹1,173.79 ₹103,927.80 30.00% 1.13% 95.91% 0.72 1.39
Marico India ₹608.00 ₹69,761.67 30.00% 0.87% 92.40% 0.55 1.20
Emami India ₹90.51 ₹18,250.24 30.00% 0.50% 64.42% 0.52 0.97
Jyothy Labs India ₹46.54 ₹8,577.79 30.00% 0.54% 48.21% 0.50 0.84
Bajaj Consumer India ₹9.29 ₹2,832.71 30.00% 0.33% 15.67% 0.63 0.74
Average 30.00% 0.73% 68.73% 0.58 1.07
Median 30.00% 0.71% 78.41% 0.57 1.08
WACC 15.72%
Senstivity Analysis - MARICO Ltd.
Particulars Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 Mar-26 Mar-27 Mar-28
EBIT ₹1,655.00 ₹1,871.97 ₹2,117.39 ₹2,394.98 ₹2,708.96 ₹3,064.10
Tax Rate 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%
EBIT(1-t) ₹1,241.25 ₹1,403.98 ₹1,588.04 ₹1,796.23 ₹2,031.72 ₹2,298.08
Less : Re- investment Rate (4.14%) 3.87% 11.88% 19.89% 27.90% 27.90%
Free Cash Flow To Firm(FCFF) ₹1,292.61 ₹1,349.62 ₹1,399.36 ₹1,438.95 ₹1,464.87 ₹1,656.91
Mid Year Convection 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5
Discounting Factor 0.930 0.803 0.694 0.600 0.518
P.V. of FCFF - ₹1,254.58 ₹1,124.07 ₹998.81 ₹878.64 ₹858.78
Calculation Of Terminal Value Senstivity Analysis
₹93.68 12% 14% 15.72% 18% 20%
FCFF(n+1) ₹1,874.13 3% 104.52465 89.349885 89.349885 71.14017 65.248792
WACC 15.72% 4% 114.9573 96.178528 96.178528 74.717078 68.010375
Terminal Growth Rate 5.38% 5.38% 114.9573 96.178528 96.178528 74.717078 68.010375
6% 146.25524 114.9573 114.9573 83.659349 74.717078
Terminal Value ₹18,117.05 7% 171.2936 128.3707 128.3707 89.349885 78.84428
Calculation Of Equity Value Per Share Inputs Used
P.V. of Future Cash Flows ₹5,114.88 Expected Growth 13.11%
P.V. of Terminal value ₹9,390.14 Terminal Growth 5.38%
Value of Operating Asset ₹14,505.02 WACC 15.72%
Add: Cash ₹756.00
Less: Debt ₹3,147.00 Notes
Value Of Equity ₹12,114.02 1. Sector Re- investment rate is assumed as the company's re-inventment rate.
no. of equity shares 129 2. Expected growth rate is also taken as same as that of the sector.
Equity value per share ₹93.68 3. Long Term Debt Growth Rate is taken as the terminal Growth rate.
500.00 ₹ 471.52
₹ 452.62 ₹ 462.70
400.00
300.00
200.00 ₹ 171.29
₹ 128.37
100.00 ₹ 78.84
₹ 104.52
₹ 89.34
₹ 65.24
0.00
Comps DCF Bear DCF Base DCF Bull 52 W H/L
Year Annual
2000 (14.65%) Average Return 15.41%
2001 (16.18%) Dividend Yied 1.39%
2002 3.25% Total Market Return 16.80%
2003 71.90%
2004 10.68%
2005 36.34%
2006 39.83% RATE OF MARKET RETURNS
2007 54.77% 100.00%
2008 (51.79%) 80.00%
2009 75.76% 60.00%
2010 17.95% 40.00%
2011 (24.62%) 20.00%
-
2012 27.70%
(20.00%)
2013 6.76% (40.00%)
2014 31.39% (60.00%)
2015 (4.06%)
2016 3.01%
2017 28.65%
2018 3.15%
2019 12.02%
2020 14.17%
2021 24.12%
2022 4.32%