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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
34 viewsProbability Course Terchi Edited
Uploaded by
Nihad DjebbarCopyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
/ 29
20:
—— Bhs: Ki ‘Gy Space.
le space. +e
—— Fs eve space; “rea
— Cty Panel 7
SS einat be fF
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ei be:
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sever! signals
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prsible\_cukcomes
3 wins
pant) (4.5, ilrnat
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rent He: Sample speck ts called) ‘sample post tack
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ao giosped) ito sc of cibermts Hob: saiehy
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au elementary | event sa
eb)
pee po» fn
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Sobelines! tobe big Le toa useful 5
fec bony) f sulascle aS. 5 We his
a ae ri fet
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Ased| Bi ate ised,
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= 3 solactiet-4}
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A- add}
cj
1] as powte
e214 OR I
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favorable oukedwes
eutuames
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fang
aps.
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sepia a 1 3
im
= ib Prey te)
TS)
TA
eee Definite
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«a preboab.
cexeut_of
is aed fuuwlel arsigned te
ee
5 cn in Pit ents
eveta tn ie aa : ee
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0+ Pla} Z PL) # AeB
el Beale 1a ||
(24) 2-2
eA P{ AABa)
Pls) APA)
ec es
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ba.
1 Plana) 1s ,
1 Playa) ai PLAY Ste 4 ! z hehng cefecleve
Ale Ptaidye(a)=- P(A\A\ Play
Plas) iP (BvAa)- Pa)
¢ j PB)
L PEL) =
PED
=
i
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fot} PY IO)
Plbing) «joist pobol
P(A) od-F(B): marginal
PlA\B hank P(B\P): aaditionel >
i — be 4B ek! Clare seas
| ip(4ABinc) = | Pla).2(2) 13)
Coli pO. ba Bae oe pecplicl fm ee od
pepe a PAC) «| Pla)P{e).
papas Flac |e lereadd= | 2a) |A%e)
oa oc TR eveat] At Asta | ake tadapanent of Pact
ee B= 2 Maa) if Aina = p fit) Ser cee. Aspe (extn) of sie el
PA|(4oe)) P (are) PCO) PAOD) (AL) PLA) = Plas)
en L- P(AR} ES |
py) =| Pllc) + PB)c) . P(a08) Ic) | pally exchucivenes (Aigetotness). sacra a es
a
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P 1 1 Gat A fs skt c ted ta 8 if PALE) S Pla}
pig 2 ea)
ak
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|2(p) -emms
ee lager melas sind ny bosch
Rephece.
Reanclorm Variables fe
eo af A Alendite (tte possibly degatve) cong,
Lefferect Yolath ef ere) Bain mpective. proba
obser He xptsimbat | oP! oping oc
é Pipi 2 ete Hat hing sdluvcow
SHUA), at) Md, A
Has Ha ample space
As $WHH HUT, HTH, MTT, 2. Thy
Hefine a varinble X detng te number f H enc b xa tord
KSB Ryde ld el 2,14, 4, 2 : :
with Pt re is Je E. = >
Hes). 4 Pte] ie | “Ve | he | Ya | He
477. THT, ThHf P(x). 48 i
Xs 2 ping
a HTH, THuf Per). 3/e
P (Kea): 47 load.
Ba), =p 42 aes
al at dala boo tps ek atte
fais
“Ha | *he.
feom st de Rf y: 2)
1 Dhe Kayle dutcome _(elepentacy sat)
- 4 Al nadleas exteomts (Cevter)
rn coftesponpanacueta| an) Yalan Hf
4s. : 2
Defi 5 { i
us| {codon efpecinet ait | semplt_space
Cows}
Arcomddn Necinb\e X{w) is stage vabaad, teal funatios that
eal dam bec called al ralue| of X(0) te cach
assigns of 1
sample | a ¢ De.
ree fa. selec, aif, i
eh if ee ‘are Fal sy pas
xtgehets 1) tk A Ma erent ak cacapordn to Met
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= eas 9(xet}: Pla) = 3/5 d j t ‘
See] py Ot B (x2)
=a B-| ays Fa Xs) 23} ar, THT, TH, art
Pla crs RES) gy a =
Fil suaph ge Di Ba clemain of 12k these
cotectou ell unabecs oa
Kad te |cotecton of ot (ats f x(2))
| Frents clefined x texxders \varteble +
EA Bate Yable (8) and. #6 4 fond =
“mnker-\2e can Aifne (X=) as
Xen o 4 2
Heo) | Ve] af
Plea] ve} | ie
KPa) of a7] a4
fis Xle)ex f => Plex}. P(FisrX(o}-al)
humbetss 1% ok 2%, we cape He
7 tptkeodl (Soc Aw lent
acl pete Aeent)
} fer acre} aah
Lett
Pa
Vpn ah Pababiby, mess fonction: (pnp)
ie x 2 adisctk cudioa veriable,
are fled: aa!
Z ace P(Xia)
pao
Laadive function « e(edp)|
ubative oe fanstion (cf) 44 cain d m
fined aay
ld> le)so
Fils) fle) fela);4att to gut
a= ae
eoatnacn tea eye
FecbabiPby alae ty Function: (pap)
Kok X he roucdoon variable (ith calf” F(x)
Tf Rl) & contivisd aed Kad daisatves wihicie exist
evecyorhi except at posibility 2 finite mune. of print and
ipl
[oise, eaatcnueuk, Mtg —X. i called 9 chtnuons —Chmddr
varatble | aud
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jlo)» ao Je eated_probabitiGy is
Aneto
ea
te fy bh) 9,0
a SF yy )idecie 4
20
4
Filo) pltengie sobenapaa
Plackes)+ Sf oe
dB, (), ofa gentinudes doe ratsble tr,
S4 (ide
flode= FW). fele)
4 Fela)2Pltex) =
laut ups Condon ee
Pladxcr)s |
| Moments
i Expat (ape vole 2 mean)
Els)| ney 1s difined Hy
Za Al)
iS ue be
ae: 4 Kaudem variable
Fe} = oe
2 Sch tlie
= b “Cait kaa:
—— fr
XK disk
ty = EU
Xs cartinused
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Xe disearts
Xs eoetinwens
Me cand vatiable , We centval woweat ‘+ —dupinel
es -£(x))" fon) A timc
=o
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Janson Aafia
caf a candatn vecinlde |X, dindlnd
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{2a Ae)
ce wa Peeyde.
1 we (xi 2
lo) = £6)- Ele)
ped hg te teak
Egle) Abe)
= ef (54)-doe 1 eztinsiotah
dcsoukt
ace
|
|
|
= PReoten:
Ab
4. —E(a
Se
3. af PI
1 Ff 9
K be) rot with finite mean E(x)
ab) + 1a E(x) 4-6
ahje Ais a Elxleb
advds)iad ten | a etxen
EG, W00) = E (900) » A (A(x)
(Candi tone! Disttilouton>
rails) + (Ax\B) = P(4xMB
Pray,
wi X(s)=%
= ie) SGrbiktral y = eal
|
aud K(x) (i fonile means, Ken»
| Cond:tiosa\ (spestablent Clea).
ince ff, (718) is 4. proloabitstiy mass Fanctseu ib
met on eptctation Thu conditional tepectatcon of K
given_an jet Bit dlancted E(B). and! defined a
E (xis) - 3.x f, (als) « Z xP (-n)]8)
Poop tet!
Ket X he a cv witb exptttatiis. EO) tnd BEB ams extent Fe
pa) Th ew =
+ E(11B). PB), €(x1B): PA)
{byt} isa ccllection oP event suck et Rrotatype| Senacos
} Benac a teat te eet
er tad fon fbstnel—Plboah 3
Hey haplpe Bo beBeatior if Booenents:|— Dish bateeuo
impet | Expenmenttebatsb tora’ indaptaled Peto Piela att:
Precaotlt va prsotstty of secest Pp tad padi op Plate CoP)
Exped cits 2, UReDh—osteomed FP PedbahSG) of sutess_ Pl elect ok age. Great 12h bahia
Mo | Re fitch ented sales wit pcb oP eae SF slice E
Pas lta is coiled Goabire —ccodses wink Festal png
+ Kk my nt
Fito Pbk) = |p) pha -eS — tae
ieiPfadeeipapl hea |
Testing 4 tepetively fants We felcin Weed,
jn} a coin 3 bie = af tiels
X=_abt-of reads obseaded - le prBak ts 1. prcknbilaty oP bp gts Bead | afer k riels?
i By Ba) ad Ot dat ‘ pk aha ath
BFR) PER HA) gtd Ut te ma went 2h pholesliby. af lsuckehas
a, HAT HTH, HTD, Tet, THT TH are Pods tte
i | Plue) eh) phe
Pgs) Pe
Pk): la-p) op
wo) hea
Oh com — Greomebl: Deshibben.
Exgecnast sequtete of indipendevt Beto tocke aay
f san f and_peamstity of foslare Wig)
sins eovstant Macusfeent Ya expecinest
shee of Natale leequicad te gek success,
Cake (0p) p dene. =
Bobmial Dideibedron
Silla a bequtuce of independed identica’ Bene
Ric X beta vbciof tials oc sequiced ke
KE success where Kis a fxed Steger. a
9 Re fre kad sachets in the A ok trial ond Pre
Success in eae tal (Cast tial} 4
P te F
Nomad STB seimckimes iad
sels. Af
_ obsecve if
2k, Ket, aR, gE
es cnae ae Me A
(cr_epuideltly 2k guectsves)-— aafone
1 COfeg) « eA eee a
Exangle:|
A baege lot oP tices dontaias 57,.\ dafeetives
aber a tbe clzen fa 2c
bJbad- is the proloabitily Mak tee defect tires | ee
found before 4 goed craes
| Plya)= fee ) eel et
pede
a=
ete: Fae atl a spec
binowiial lastlbautfon| 4°
plyes)-tecno3t
J ccte PP Hea negate
t
comeric Antibabion
consis bs tapetemelt seit L Son ing seth
pa sige
ae skataa in -fpephatbes
Hy
Sa
=a
a
sige (ane deans) =
a err sufeesied
Seo stribetion Apscral
[Ric thpigenns ane cseeeg ere
of cbsading K s4ccesta a.snmple_ Af iat nt ( sleipy
wilted eeplatembst) From finite pophlatigg - a et ee
teat contains success —steitas .
Va) ace este
smc
aoe
t al tm asnaipte at hentai fs
pcokpleitily ve
be comely datected with prebele ty (avi)
Famplest_—__ j F free sainplt ce beng classified
Dia tarde Prom aidink ontrack ceglacemmb, = ey iat
== what is Ma aobaeitity 2 geting 2 Gears ae efataine
= Pipelatibn Ne St elassifie) 0 abeiQaty [¢-1)
feat ede 4
Ne = noc f non ebencls * 2-182 39 3 PLE) pee prabnbitity Wat Be cesable ss rons
— Pinay (2) 0) ek). Ple/a) Pla) « P(E/A) PA)
ae
ess he Gonctet Oy
PlEIA) p+ Pl ELA) (e-P)
v: t Plata) a +
ene last adcede laterite —PCe14) 4 Prebsta)is Pleat/4)
Plajdagstt Hee tio. ket {cabal 1 (aa) pe (eh
fms Yok Beck edatatn clecmal cts, whim Mo
ve (Pt
a> Mahe ple Dm +) ect
PU /0) =
Pld) = Pla/4) Pia) + P(ajh) PAA)
= P(h1A) p+ PAA) (4-7)
Feow ic) | P(D\A).
P(pas/a).
Pl A/D):
is given by
Fla). Plex) = 4
Pisco Villu) of the clisoaks
Alx):| Plrge) » f
Ploja)z P(oasya)+ Pld
+ En) 4 (nat) and Shri) 4 I
ala dis
cldeawiise
xa
ad7eid bh
nab
cae
}
at
so we bever iE l=, Ab
z A peso” process is ea
He ube of taste ni te very lege
+ smell, rach 6b Ha prtaduc AaB
4a time inglspescdenth. eae
af time J A
Example. 2 phenomena at 2
iactude =
Sadioal bed Seana pees
loft. a!
rs decid as 1a tot
baba
(process
Deciscernce
Break ccust i4_6 Fiver, antec
(74 2 Given iateey
(arateon)), cae
A. Fhal_ probe by fee cA ore events signi freante
Subintecdal iso. S 4abhytt
3. Ts fprobabitity of = Pode rei :
Le ~ <—_ Passi alisiailta aloe
i
fatecoal ff He
ecu reences
y= PRe| nb a
excurencsd
do.net ofecep
t
SA ey olan.
5 Ti probaly
Iakerva\ pp Re
fo He Upration skd= War), =F
e PEE
Ela) = i
OA rat
(ad ia slosed formal bash te
=a
Niocma\ Sistibutast a 2 ce
Lnpertdacss
eWide | variety of phenemena caw ¥
= Height / waryot fc 709:
— Hacks ty _aclass usta
v
_Heashce mek escacs
~ Neil Summasiging Pentaceds
mmetiic <
o {The ace
bndec
— Re stondaed anions lexprecae Wu dssperion |
2p motose\ AAS ilwiions bs steiteut
Sipps tee tine repunced to aaa acempeion A Retenl
2 wiinictad ond shard olaeintccn PC mide
for tx assembly tne te be Heanor
Deft The fond
process are
pic
Plxy es [x>e) =
fx. Pramie| Hak thott, ibe
ace_mgmory bess
Function pafined Joy >
a 3}
Foy 2g) = Pita, yey)
PLB) = fla)
AAR —
=, (4.9) « P(xen, yeg) Plana)
ace tnelspeadent, then
Plans)
Pla)P(a) = Fala)Fy Gy).
a Fy ly)
indapanlent if.
32 BV ty). _ act Y) can tha
eas Jee
Paz es ane
5 Fila.) Al 4-4) ~f)
Pay (aciaed
Hagging) 0
dl
iy (m4)
Discrete cvs:
) re pon pap te
KE(K,Y) be 2 discate bi 1 Gt (
Cenngp) fs ettein aloe tof see on 5. bs bee tent peg =
Pry lreeje) Plex, 4) Fey (x3): J) Foyle) aS
He functor Paylnsye) 2 called ts joint rf fp (4
Pepsi pf i
Pf Pyle st) foy| ng)
BF Py ltiegi) at - =
zt = ff Pi (acy) tie ay a
> P[ tryed) < 22 Pry (x
(si g5) Ba PI tay)eal J Fay lag) dey
) Pape
Pladxth,
