PA00XKT9
PA00XKT9
PA00XKT9
October 2020
This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development
(USAID). It was prepared by the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC).
OFF-GRID TECHNICAL STANDARDS AND GREEN MINI-GRID FEASIBILITY STUDY GUIDELINES (FINAL
REPORT)
This publication is made possible by the generous support of the American people through the United
States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents are the responsibility of the
National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC) and do not necessarily reflect the
views of USAID or the United States Government.
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Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 9
Intended audience....................................................................................................................................................... 9
Approach ...................................................................................................................................................................... 9
Functionalities .............................................................................................................................................. 19
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INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................. 29
2.1.2 Surveys........................................................................................................................................................... 30
2.1.2.1 Socio-demographic characteristics of target village................................................................... 31
End-user survey .................................................................................................................................................... 32
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4.1 Generation.................................................................................................................................................... 41
4.1.1 PV support structure ............................................................................................................................. 42
4.1.2 PV array .................................................................................................................................................... 42
4.1.3 PV inverter (AC-coupled) / Charge Controllers (DC-coupled) ................................................. 42
4.1.4 Battery inverter / chargers ................................................................................................................... 42
4.1.5 Batteries.................................................................................................................................................... 43
4.1.6 Backup genset.......................................................................................................................................... 45
4.1.7 Protection of persons and equipment against electrical hazards ................................................ 45
7 DRAWINGS .................................................................................................................... 52
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List of Figures
FIGURE 1: BALANCING REGULATION AND INNOVATION, PRACTICAL GUIDE TO REGULATORY TREATMENT
OF MINI-GRIDS (USAID, NARUC, 2017) ..................................................................................................... 11
FIGURE 2: COMPARISON OF ANNUAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION OF AC VS. DC REFRIGERATORS; “THE STATE
OF THE OFF-GRID APPLIANCE MARKET” REPORT (GLOBAL LEAP, 2020) .............................................. 12
FIGURE 3: FREQUENCY-BASED ACTIVE POWER CONTROL EXAMPLE, SMA ........................................................ 15
FIGURE 4: TEMPORARY VOLTAGE SAG CAUSED BY MOTOR STARTING (IEEE 1159-2019) .............................. 16
FIGURE 5: RIPPLE ILLUSTRATION BECAUSE OF AN AC-TO-DC WAVEFORM ...................................................... 17
FIGURE 6: OPERATIONAL REPORTING FRAMEWORK FOR EEA, SOURCE: TTA ................................................ 22
FIGURE 7: DATA MONITORING STAGES.................................................................................................................. 26
FIGURE 8: PRODUCTIVE USE LOAD PROFILES (SOURCE: WILLIAMS ET AL. 2018) .............................................. 36
FIGURE 9: PRODUCT SPECIFICATIONS OF TYPICAL PRODUCTIVE USES (SOURCE: LIGHTING GLOBAL 2019)37
FIGURE 10: INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF DIFFERENT PRODUCTIVE USES
(SOURCE E4I) ..................................................................................................................................................... 39
FIGURE 11: TYPICAL DAILY LOAD PROFILE OF A VILLAGE (EXAMPLE BUILT BY TTA) ........................................ 40
FIGURE 12: AC-COUPLED, DC-COUPLED AND HYBRID AC/DC-COUPLED SOLAR PV MINI-GRIDS .............. 41
FIGURE 13: PERFORMANCE CHARACTERISTICS OF BATTERY CHEMISTRIES (SOURCE: CLAUDE CAMPION, 3C
PROJECTS, FRANCE) .......................................................................................................................................... 43
FIGURE 14: BATTERY SELECTION FOR GMGS (SOURCE: CLAUDE CAMPION, 3C PROJECTS, FRANCE) ........ 44
List of Tables
TABLE 1: OTHER MINI-GRID DEFINITIONS ............................................................................................................... 10
TABLE 2: POWER QUALITY DEFINITIONS ................................................................................................................ 12
TABLE 3: PROPOSED POWER QUALITY CATEGORIES (TTA) ............................................................................... 13
TABLE 4: AC VOLTAGE VARIATION PER POWER QUALITY CATEGORY ............................................................. 14
TABLE 5: DC VOLTAGE VARIATION PER POWER QUALITY CATEGORY ............................................................. 14
TABLE 6: VOLTAGE IMBALANCE PER POWER QUALITY CATEGORY ................................................................... 14
TABLE 7: FREQUENCY PER POWER QUALITY CATEGORY .................................................................................... 15
TABLE 8: TOTAL HARMONIC DISTORTION PER POWER QUALITY CATEGORY ................................................ 15
TABLE 9: TRANSIENTS PER POWER QUALITY CATEGORY .................................................................................... 16
TABLE 10: SHORT AND LONG-VOLTAGE DURATIONS PER POWER QUALITY CATEGORIES .......................... 16
TABLE 11: RIPPLE VARIATION AND SWITCHING NOISE PER POWER QUALITY CATEGORY ............................. 17
TABLE 12: POWER QUALITY ATTRIBUTES PER CATEGORY ................................................................................... 17
TABLE 13: TIERS OF ELECTRICITY SERVICE AVAILABILITY ....................................................................................... 18
TABLE 14: TIERS OF ELECTRICITY SERVICE CAPACITY ............................................................................................ 18
TABLE 15: PROPOSED POWER RELIABILITY CATEGORIES (TTA)......................................................................... 18
TABLE 16: NEP 2.0 SUMMARY ON COMPONENT ELECTRIFICATION ................................................................... 19
TABLE 17: INTERCONNECTION REQUIREMENTS DEPENDING ON RATED PEAK LOAD OF THE ASSETS AND
DISTANCE TO THE NATIONAL GRID................................................................................................................ 20
TABLE 18: REMOTE MONITORING REQUIREMENTS DEPENDING ON RATED PEAK LOAD OF THE ASSETS AND
DISTANCE TO THE NATIONAL GRID................................................................................................................ 21
TABLE 19: RECOMMENDED RESTORATION TIMES BY POWER RELIABILITY CATEGORY (SOURCE: TTA) ...... 27
TABLE 20: OFF-GRID KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIS) SUMMARY........................................................ 28
TABLE 21: MAIN INFORMATION TO BE GATHERED THROUGH A VILLAGE SURVEY ........................................... 31
TABLE 22: SAMPLE TYPE AND NUMBER OF BUSINESSES AND INSTITUTIONS TABLE, SURVEY DEMAND ........... 33
TABLE 23: INDICATED SERVICE OFFERED BY EACH EDA....................................................................................... 35
TABLE 24: SAMPLE HOUSEHOLD DEMAND PER TIER MINI-GRID CONNECTIONS TABLE .................................... 38
TABLE 25: SAMPLE ANCHOR LOADS INFORMATION TABLE .................................................................................. 38
TABLE 26: RISK ASSESSMENT FOR GMG ................................................................................................................. 50
TABLE 27: GMG MAIN TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS SUMMARY ...................................................................... 53
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AC Alternating Current
AtP Ability to Pay
CAPEX Capital Expenditure
CES Collective Electrification System
DC Direct Current
DFS Detailed Feasibility Study
DSM Demand Side Management
DoD Depth of Discharge
EDA Energy Daily Allowance
EEA Ethiopian Energy Authority
EEU Ethiopian Electric Utility
ESMAP Energy Sector Management Assistance Program
GMG Green Mini-grid
GPS Global Positioning System
HH Household
HRSL High Resolution Settlement Layer
IEC International Electrochemical Commission
IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
IES Individual Electrification System
IEV International Electrotechnical Vocabulary
IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency
IRR Internal Rate of Return
KPI Key Performance Indicator
kVA Kilo Volt-Amps
LED Light-emitting diode
LV Low Voltage
MG Mini-grid
MGRL Main Grid Readiness Level
MTF Multi-Tier Framework
MV Medium Voltage
NARUC National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners
NASA National Aeronautics and Space Administration
NEP National Electrification Program
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Introduction
Intended audience
This document is written for the Ethiopian Energy Authority (EEA) and off-grid project implementers
(both public and private) in Ethiopia, as a framework and recommendations for technical regulation.
As per the recent off-grid developments in Ethiopia and the rural electrification goals for 2030 set
forth in the National Electrification Program 2.0 (NEP 2.0), EEA, NARUC and the consultants have
identified off-grid technical standards as an important missing piece for off-grid market development,
monitoring, and evaluation.
Approach
This document provides a series of recommendations for the minimum power quality, power service
availability, and operational standards in a demand-driven approach, or in other words, for off-
grid electricity tiers as per the end-user's requirements for both direct current (DC) and
alternating current (AC) Green Mini-Grids (GMG), and more in general for off-grid assets (such as
autonomous renewable energy plants). This document categorizes the service level provided to
the end-user, from least to most technically demanding.
The ESMAP Multi-tier Framework1 for measuring energy access categorization has been used and
adapted in this document for capacity categorization and proposed values, while the International
Electrochemical Commission (IEC) Technical Specification (TS) 62257-22 and the Quality Assurance
Framework3 have been used to propose categorizations and values of power quality and power
reliability (the values have been adapted to be suitable for the Ethiopian context). The concept behind
these tiered service levels is to recognize the need for this categorization—as opposed to
regulating on a kWh basis only—motivated by the cost implications and the different energy needs of
the tiers and the end-user’s requirements of many rural customers.
Additionally, this document should be circulated among key stakeholders (including renewable and
electrical engineer associations, relevant project developers and off-grid associations, donors, and
financiers) for comments and feedback to foster a participatory approach.
Mini-grid definition
The term mini-grid (also referred to as a rural micro-grid or MG) refers to a small-scale distribution
network (LV or MV) supplied by one or more power generation plants. It is usually conceived to
operate as an isolated system with clearly defined physical and electrical boundaries, however it can
be interconnected to other electricity grids such as the national grid. A mini-grid is comprised of the
following elements:
1 Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP), Multi-Tier Framework for Measuring Energy Access.
https://www.esmap.org/node/55526
2 IEC TS 62257 Series, “Recommendations for Small Renewable Energy and Hybrid Systems for Rural Electrification”.
3 National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Quality Assurance Framework for Mini-grids, 2016.
https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy17osti/67374.pdf
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Electricity consumers (may also be co-located with generators, e.g., solar homes,
rooftop generation, etc.). Internal wiring and appliances may be included or not
depending on the scope of work undertaken by the operator.
A Green Mini-grid (GMG) is a mini-grid which mainly uses local renewable resources (such as solar,
wind, biomass, or hydro) to generate power and does not depend on fossil fuels to serve client
electricity needs. The cost-effectiveness of GMG versus conventional fuel-based mini-grids depends
on the local energy resources, fuel prices, financial incentives, and the utilization rate of the power
generation.
Solar photovoltaics (PV) tend to be the least expensive option and the most often chosen technology
in remote areas for power generation. This is the result of the following factors:
Ubiquitous resource
Low installation capital expenditure (CAPEX)
Quick installation pace
Simplicity (no moving parts, proven technology)
Robust operations and maintenance (O&M)
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Technical standards
The proposed technical standards can be sub-divided into 4 main categories:
Power quality
Power availability
Power reliability
Operational requirements
Certain appliances have become more efficient with regards to electricity consumption in recent years
thanks to innovation. This is particularly true for DC lighting bulbs (LED), entertainment appliances
such as televisions that can be powered through 12/24V DC input or 100-240V AC input, and
refrigerators (Figure 2). Moreover, other appliances like motors (e.g., for milling) are currently being
tested in DC or renewable-energy powered mini-grids in countries like Nigeria and Tanzania.7
Ultimately, innovation drives cost down.
6International Renewable Energy Agency, Innovation Outlook: Renewable Mini-Grids, 2016. https://www.irena.org/-
/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2016/IRENA_Innovation_Outlook_Minigrids_2016.pdf
7Dougherty, Jane, Milling on Mini-Grids: How Africa’s Largest Crop Could Go Diesel Free, April 16, 2020.
https://nextbillion.net/milling-on-mini-grids-africa-maize/
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The above figure shows a comparison between the consumption in kWh/year of DC refrigerators
(green triangles) and AC fridges (blue dots) for different volumes (in liters). For the same volume
capacity, DC fridges consumer less energy; in other words, they are more efficient in using electricity.
Technical regulation should find the right balance between protecting customers and investors while
favoring innovation.
Power quality refers to the diversion from the nominal values of several electricity attributes (mainly
voltage, frequency, and harmonics) and how they affect the interoperability between generation
sources, distribution networks, and consumption loads (receivers of electricity).
Power quality is usually linked to compatibility with appliances and the potential damage to these
appliances or receivers if some or any of the electricity attributes change or exceed certain thresholds.
Historically these standards were created to protect appliances that were highly sensitive to changes
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in voltage, frequency, or harmonics from the rated value at which they were manufactured to operate.
However, technology developments in the last decade has made these appliances more robust and
sturdier in responding to these variations.
Three categories of end-user power quality are presented in the following table:
Power Quality III (PQIII) The most demanding power quality category: Healthcare equipment, such as
for those users and appliances that require the respirators
least disturbances (i.e., have the least tolerance Electric motors
for disturbances) in the electricity supply and
Light industries
therefore the tightest power quality
regulations. Rural households with heavier
power consumptions
Telecom stations
Other critical loads
a. Voltage
In Ethiopia, 230V is the nominal voltage level for AC low voltage distribution in a single-phase
distribution line, and 400V is the nominal voltage level from phase to phase in a 3-phase line. The
Ethiopia National Electricity Distribution Code (ENEDC) establishes the maximum design voltage
variation for High, Medium, and Low Voltage.
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In line with the ENEDC, the proposed voltage variation values for the three PQ categories are as
follows:
In DC off-grid assets, the DC bus that distributes electricity is typically coupled to the DC voltage at
the battery level (source).8 Therefore, the variations that occur in the voltage level because of the
battery’s state of charge (charging, discharging, floating) is translated into variations of the voltage level
at the DC distribution, too. The following maximum variations are recommended for any of the power
qualities, as long as the appliances and machines can work within range:
b. Frequency
Frequency, defined as the nominal frequency of the oscillations of alternating current (AC) in a wide
area synchronous grid transmitted from a power station to the end-user is 50Hertz (nominal value).
Frequency oscillations allow renewable energy control systems to adjust power generation to match
demand (among other features) through “frequency-based active power control.” This is also called
power/frequency droop. This is a very important characteristic as it is relied on by most solar PV mini-
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grids and autonomous renewable energy generation power plants to adjust generation based on the
state of the battery charge and demand.
To allow for the operability of these controls, wide ranges of frequency need to be permitted in AC
grids. The proposed regulation per end-user category is as follows:
c. Harmonics
A harmonic is a voltage or current at a multiple of the fundamental frequency of the electrical system
(50Hertz in Ethiopia). It is produced by the action of non-linear loads such as rectifiers, discharge
lighting, or saturated magnetic devices. Harmonic frequencies result in increased heating in some
equipment and conductors and could cause major damage to equipment, such as motors and variable
speed drivers. The Total Harmonic Distortion (THD) is proposed to be regulated as follows:
d. Transients
A transient is a sudden change in the steady-state condition of voltage, current, or both. Transients in
electrical distribution networks result from the effects of lightning strikes and/or network switching
operations, such as capacitor banks.
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Short-duration voltage variation (also called “discontinuities” or short interruptions) are root-mean-
square (rms) deviations from the nominal value for a greater time than 0.5 cycles of the power
frequency, but less than or equal to 1 minute. These variations are typically caused by the operation
of automatic reclosing systems like fault conditions or energizing loads that require high starting
current.
Long-duration voltage variation are rms deviations at power frequencies for longer than 1 minute.
Long-duration voltage variation can be over-voltage, under-voltage or simply voltage interruptions.
Over-voltage is generally caused by load variations on the system and system switching operations.
Table 10: Short and Long-Voltage Durations per Power Quality Categories
f. Ripple
For DC grids, ripple is a residual periodic variation of the DC voltage due to the AC-to-DC conversion
process. This ripple results from an incomplete suppression of the AC waveform after rectification.
DC ripple can cause additional wear on devices designed to operate at a fixed DC voltage.
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Table 11: Ripple variation and switching noise per Power Quality Category
g. Summary table
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This section uses the term “tier” as an energy categorization of a customer or connection from the
service availability and capacity perspective. From the most basic category (Tier 1) to the most
demanding category (Tier 5) in terms of availability and capacity of the electric service.
a. Availability is defined as the number of hours of electricity required for the different
end-user tiers as per their needs, regardless of the quality of the electricity during
these hours.
b. Capacity is the maximum power provided for consumption and daily energy availed
or served regardless of the power quality provided.
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Power Reliability III (PReIII) Both planned and unplanned interruptions should ensure a 99% ≥ 99%
reliability supply throughout a year.
Example: Health centers and small industrial customers
The above-defined percentages are calculated on yearly basis, adding the number of hours the service
has not been available to the end-user (planned and unplanned) and dividing them to the equivalent
number of hours the service should have been available as per the Tier availability (Tier 1 to Tier 5).
Safety Standards
Off-grid assets should comply with the Ethiopian electrical safety standards or national code, whether
they are DC or AC. Mini-grids use complex technology that sometimes includes energy storage and
they could pose chemical and electrical hazards if not properly handled and operated.
Beyond complying with safety standards, certified electricians and/or competent professionals should
always be employed when executing, operating, and supervising electrical works. The decision of
higher voltages than Low Voltage distribution (i.e. Medium Voltage) should be carefully considered, as
the safety measures and protocols in Medium Voltage are significantly stricter and require specialized
technicians. Beyond the safety implications, there is also a cost implication as the professional fees and
equipment that needs to be in place has a higher cost.
Functionalities
The following functionalities should be provided as mandatory or optional depending on the category
threshold of the off-grid power system. They should also be considered based on the component
electrification project definitions per the NEP 2.0. The NEP 2.0 define component electrification as
follows:
As an immediate consequence, any off-grid asset that is installed beyond 25km from the national grid
is considered to be “long-term off-grid” and not planned to be interconnected to the national grid in
the foreseeable future.
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These technical standards suggest three levels of main grid readiness based on the maximum energy
demand they serve in kVA and distance to the national grid, as per the NEP 2.0:
Main Grid Readiness level 0 (MGRL0), for off-grid infrastructure projects that fall into
the long-term rural category (beyond 25km as per NEP 2.0) and have a rated peak load of 150
KVA as per the “Small Connections” category definition in the ENEDC.10 These projects do
not need to comply with interconnection procedures or synchronization protocols and
standards, nor with the national distribution network construction standards, as they are
expected to never interconnect to the main grid. Project developers may select any
technology and materials as long as they comply with the health and safety codes of Ethiopia
and they comply with other standards recommended and presented in this document.
Main Grid Readiness level 1 (MGRL1), for infrastructure that may be interconnected to
the national grid at some point in the future as per the projections of NEP 2.0, or for
infrastructure that falls within the category of “Medium Connections” as per the ENEDC
based on the maximum energy demand. For these projects, following a minimum of 1-year
notice by EEU or other relevant authority, the project operator will need to comply with
interconnection procedures, synchronization protocols, and distribution network standards
defined in the interconnection or upgrade solicitation requirements. Additionally, the
distribution network must comply with the Low Voltage and Medium Voltage standards,
requirements, and interconnection voltage as per the agreement with EEU.
Main Grid Readiness level 2 (MGRL2), for infrastructure that falls into the category of
“Big Connections,” as per the ENEDC. Here, the main grid readiness level of the mini-grid
should be immediate, meaning that from the moment the project is commissioned it should
be capable of interconnection with the national grid without any upgrade or retrofitting.
Additionally, the transmission and distribution network standards should comply with EEU
standards.
Table 17: Interconnection requirements depending on rated peak load of the assets and
distance to the national grid
Remote Monitoring and Control (RMC) is the capacity to observe and manage off-grid power plants,
distribution networks, and smart-meters with some degree of automation. RMC is a useful feature for
technical cooperation and asset operators as it provides data that can inform maintenance operations
in remote locations and allows the evaluation of technical parameters and operability of off-grid assets
10Ethiopian Energy Authority (EEA), Ethiopia National Electricity Distribution Code, Draft, 2018.
11 Ibid.
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or end-user consumption upon project commissioning. Three categories of remote monitoring and
control are distinguished here:
Following the same categorization as before, minimum remote monitoring requirements per category
are proposed in the following table:
Table 18: Remote monitoring requirements depending on rated peak load of the assets
and distance to the national grid
2. OPERATIONAL STANDARDS
To assess the power quality and service performance of an off-grid customer (and therefore its
associated infrastructure), first the electric service performance should be measured and monitored
appropriately. The amount of data to be collected and how it is to be collected should vary based on
the limitations of operating in rural areas, the associated cost to the mini-grid operator, and the
capacity of the regulator and other stakeholders to process and utilize this information.
As a best practice in the off-grid industry, a contractual relationship is defined with the customers
(whether it’s a mini-grid, a pay as you go (PAYGO) solar kit, or another technological solution),
employing a standard classification of customers, gathering long-term data, and unlocking the
economies of scale through aggregation. Therefore, the proposed operational standards have two
components: customer accountability and off-grid accountability, as represented in the figure below.
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These three attributes above will give a sound indication of power quality, energy availability, and
power reliability at the customer point of connection. Note that the level of service verification does
not require that all elements to be measured continuously, although it is important to monitor these
attributes at the customer level at least periodically and maintain a historical record over time. The
use of smart meters facilitates the collection of robust real-time data across some or all these domains,
but may be cost-prohibitive for some off-grid infrastructure.
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tariffs and fees, payment processes, compliance with applicable standards and regulations, customer
responsibilities, customer complaint procedures, and other relevant information.
For full transparency, the service agreement should also specify the type and frequency of service data
that the off-grid operator will provide to the customer, as well as clear processes for addressing
customer concerns if the appropriate service is not provided.
A. Technical reporting
B. Business reporting
C. Other reporting, including social, environmental, and health
The proposed sections and content of off-grid operator reporting should always have an author and a
date, for the purposes of traceability and accountability.
The selection of metrics or monitoring parameters will determine the choice of monitoring equipment
and the method of data collection (e.g., voltage surveys for small mini-grids, power monitoring for
larger power systems, etc.). Data collection methods also include the triggering thresholds, data
storage and analysis technique employed, and uses for the information collected.
1) Annual electricity production during the calendar year (January 1 to December 31) (kWh)
2) Monthly average load factor (%): average load demand/maximum demand
3) Renewable energy contribution: renewable energy production (kWh)/total energy production
(kWh)
4) Power reliability reported for the period (January 1st to December 31st and/or monthly):
a. At customer location (at least 5% of the total customers randomly chosen, and 1
customer that is the furthest to the power plant)
b. At power plant location (in percentage or in hours)
5) Technical diesel generator (genset) data
a. Total fuel consumption (liters) for the same calendar year (if applicable)
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Reporting can be completed at any interval, although annual reporting is recommended to EEA at a
minimum.12 While the level of business reporting discussed above is desirable and valuable, it is also
expensive. Further, to be fully credible, it must be audited, which adds expense. The value of detailed
reporting must be balanced against costs, to select an appropriate level of tracking and reporting.
12After the presentation on the Draft Technical Standards and Green Mini-grid Feasibility Study Guidelines and EEA feedback on
the document held through Zoom platform on the 08th of August 2020. The consultant and EEA agreed that annual reporting
would be an appropriate frequency given EEA’s capacity to process this information.
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Summary
Data Data
Information:
Acquisition Aggregation
KPIs
On-site monitoring involves reporting any information gathered during staff operations and
maintenance of the mini-grid. This information would be recorded in different formats which should
be stored in a proper filing system and used to produce reports required for compliance or decision-
making purposes.
2.2.4.3. Verification
Independent verification is a critical part of any accountability framework. Verification processes
should cover the entire project timeline, incorporating a formal commissioning of the power assets,
commissioning of any data collection processes, ongoing assessment of asset performance, and general
reporting.
The intended verification process should be developed in the early stages of the project so that the
requirements for data acquisition, reporting, and verification are identified and the associated costs
are considered in the development of the project.
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13
The defined percentages are calculated on yearly basis, adding the number of hours the service has not been available to
the end-user (planned and unplanned) and dividing them to the equivalent number of hours the service should have been
available as per the Tier availability (Tier 1 to Tier 5).
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5 Technical genset data: Hardware expenses for equipment Health and safety incidents
replacements, consumables and similar
Total fuel consumption
Total hours operated by
the genset
Total litres of oil
6 Assessment of power quality Number of staff employed in the mini- Waste management report
events grid and their associated cost
7 Insurance expenses
8 Land rentals and wayleaves
9 Transport costs (including fuel)
10 Total operating expenses
11 Total fuel costs for the reported
period
12 Revenues by sector and tier of service
13 Total and monthly average revenues
from power sales
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Introduction
Within the context of the new NEP14, which aims to achieve 35% off grid access by 2025 and universal
access across the country by 2030, mini-grids should play an important role in reaching remote rural
communities. A rise in private sector involvement is expected and required to develop such
infrastructures. As such, feasibilities studies will be of utmost importance to define where mini-grids
will be the most technologically and economically suitable. Ultimately a feasibility study should
determine if a mini-grid is a suitable technological solution for a given site(s) and flag any
important risks that may undermine the success and sustainability of the project.
This guide lays out the minimum steps, industry best practices, and lessons learned from previous
experiences for the mini-grid developers to carry out detailed, technically-sound GMG feasibility
studies. This guide also aims to assist the EEA in understanding the steps that a GMG feasibility study
should cover. This guideline can be used as a checklist and a reference as it reviews the mini-grid
developers’ feasibility studies as part of the licensing application.
The inputs, tools, and recommendations cited in this guide are based on the current regulatory and
funding frameworks in the region, the consultant experience, and relevant inputs and insights raised
by other local and international companies and public agencies.
14Ministryof Water, Irrigation, and Electricity, National Electrification Program 2.0, 2019. https://www.powermag.com/wp-
content/uploads/2020/08/ethiopia-national-electrification-program.pdf
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The DFS aims to evaluate the viability of the project’s technical, social, environmental, and
financial terms through an assessment of the potential energy demand. The energy demand is
determined through a socio-economic study of the community. This study includes an on-site survey
investigating the demographics, energy needs, and the communities’ willingness and ability to pay. From
the collected data and other relevant information available, a load profile is built and a preliminary
sizing of the associated mini-grid can be performed. Costs are also estimated and the final key
indicators estimating the viability of the projects are established.
Location of the site (district, province, region and most importantly the GPS coordinates);
Population and number of households; and
Current electrification status.
This data can usually be collected from governmental organizations (such as national institutions of
statistics) or from previous studies realized as part of other development projects. The reliability of
such data can vary widely depending on the area concerned; it is therefore essential to check them
against the information collected from satellite imagery.
Assessments on each selected site will then be performed to obtain the socio-demographic
characteristics of the following:
These characteristics will form the backbone of the DFS, as they will be used to determine the energy
demand per site and the associated cost estimations of the mini-grid.
2.1.2 Surveys
This chapter describes the surveys that a developer must carry out for the site characterization and
needs assessment of the end-users. At an initial stage of the project, at least two different types of
surveys can be defined:
The village-level survey; and
The end-user surveys.
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Ahead of a survey, the appropriate sample size needs to be defined using the data initially obtained on
the population of each village.15 The tolerable margin of error and the budget allocated for the survey
will be key factors to determine the sample size.
-
the disabled, children and youth, etc.
- Main obstacles for increasing household income (e.g., farmers, fishermen, entrepreneurs)
- Existing conflict resolution mechanisms in the village (rule of law, others)
-
- Sources of income (e.g., salaries, remittances, etc.)
- Seasonality of income
15 Several tools can be found online such as the Sample Size Calculator (https://www.surveysystem.com).
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Residential:
- Number of households with fuel generator; what the generator powers (lighting/
productive use/ TV/ fridge/ others)
- Number of households with solar panel; what the solar panel powers (lighting/
productive use/ TV/ fridge/ others)
Commercial and productive uses:
Energy needs
The demographics data needs to be crosschecked with the information initially collected for site
selection. The coherence of these numbers is important to obtain a realistic evaluation of the energy
demand.
End-user survey
The end-user survey aims to assess the socio-economic status of the potential end-users, their energy
needs, and willingness to connect to the GMG and pay for electricity services.
The end-user survey includes a series of questions for the potential residential, commercial/ industrial,
and institutional clients of the mini-grid. This survey is intended to collect information on the
purchasing power, energy needs, current energy uses, expenses, and other pertinent concerns of end-
users. The questions should cover the following topics:
- End-user’s occupation;
- Monthly income and seasonality;
- Disposable income for electricity;
- Current energy uses and expenses (e.g., kerosene lamps, torches, rechargeable batteries, private
or shared fuel generator, phone charging, etc.);
- Willingness to support the project (by providing workforce, materials, etc.); and
- Willingness to pay for electricity tiers and services.
For the end-user survey, the project developer will need to employ a few enumerators to gather a
representative sample from the target communities. In addition to the previous data gathering, the
developer will also need to calculate willingness to pay from the potential household clients.
Prompts for the willingness to pay survey must be carefully designed to capture realistic information.
Anonymity in the survey should be considered by the developer. It is recommended that an
estimation of the cost of electricity service is prepared beforehand and potential clients are asked if
they would be willing to meet that figure, and, if not, adjust the cost or the service level to be provided
based on the survey outcome. Alternatively, the estimation can be updated by analyzing the percentage
of monthly household income that would be required to pay for electricity.
For clients other than households, the developer should gather information on the following:
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The following table shows an example of different types of businesses and institutions to consider
when gathering the initial data.
Table 22: Sample type and number of businesses and institutions table, survey demand
Type of Businesses No. of Businesses Type of Institutions No. of Institutions
Car/motorbike repair Church/Mosque/Religious
shop centers
Bicycle repair shop Primary school
Market Secondary school
Small Shops or Kiosks Health center
Salons/Barbers Police Station
Grain Mills Other
Carpentry
The developer will assess the current use of energy employed by existing businesses and public
institutions in the community. This may come in the shape of diesel generators, lighting (e.g., clinics
may have kerosene or traditional lighting), or other sources. Monthly expenditure will also be
registered. For agricultural-related businesses or activities, which are often seasonally based, data
gathering will be done based on seasons or services (e.g., agricultural value chains such as cooling or
drying).
16 Produced by the Facebook Connectivity Lab in collaboration with Columbia University, the dataset can be downloaded
from the CIESIN website: https://www.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/hrsl/.
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3. Solar resource: There are several databases available (SolarGIS, NASA, NREL, etc.)17
4. Security: Collect information on the location and severity of conflicts in the envisaged area
with descriptions of the groups involved and the recommended level of security. This data is
typically supplied by international security agencies and foreign affairs offices.18
5. Accessibility: This is critical for localization, logistics, and analysis, like measuring distance to
the grid. The dataset provided by OpenStreetMap (OSM) on road data is among the most
used accessibility datasets.19
6. Phone Coverage: Maps the availability of cellular data and mobile money networks for
payments. If the area does not have access to a mobile network, a satellite connection point
must be integrated into plans. Once the geospatial data has been collected, it can be integrated
into the GIS tool by creating layers for further analysis. Localities can be filtered based on
population and distance from the national grid using the above-mentioned categories. Once
these layers are filtered, the aerial images of each locality can be visually inspected and analyzed
based on different parameters:
1. Community size;
2. Population density; and
3. Other factors, such as:
a. Community access to tarmac road;
b. Permanent, semi-permanent and temporary structures;
c. Presence of institutions (schools, health centers, and others);
d. Agricultural activity around the community; and
e. Presence of lakes, rivers, or streams near the community.
These parameters will help gather initial relevant demand data, and to correlate that data with the
information gathered through surveys and previous assessments.
2.3 Recommendations
Preliminary GIS analysis must be conducted prior to on-the-ground data gathering. It is
extremely important to correlate the information gathered under both analyses.
The analysis of current energy consumption and expenditure (correlated to the ability to pay
of the population) is critical, as this will provide insight into the realistic current capacity to
pay of different clients. However, the willingness to pay analysis will also provide additional
information and understanding for future demand growth and socio-economic trends within
the community.
Identifying PUE is another key factor. Anchor clients are financially the most attractive ones
and will help secure financial viability.
This stage will build the bedrock of the GMG; therefore, gathering enough and reliable
information will require having a significant sample of surveyed clients.
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3 Electricity Demand
Other than MTF service levels, other tier-based concepts exist in the GMG market, such as the
demand assessment methodology, based on the Energy Daily Allowance (EDA)21. EDAs are
standardized energy tiers or packages assigned to the different levels of users. They are all multiples
of the basic EDA (275 Wh/day), which is the required daily energy for minimum electricity use for
lights, phone charging, and other low-consumption appliances. Each tier can supply a specific type of
service during a day, as shown in the following table.
Table 23: Indicated service offered by each EDA
Tier 2 Lights, phones, fan, radio, TV, other small appliances 550
Tier 3 Lights, phones, fans, TV, other small appliances, fridge 2,200
Each type of connection is classified under different tiers according to the estimated energy use, and
an EDA is allocated to each tier. The process for tier classification and EDA allocation differs slightly
for household, commercial/productive, and institutional connections.
The use of meters with daily energy limitation ensures that the client’s individual consumption does
not exceed the assigned EDA. This way, the power plant will never exceed its capacity, which ensures
reliable electricity service and makes the mini-grid operator’s financial and business planning more
predictable.
20 National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Productive Use of Energy in African Micro-Grids: Technical and Business Considerations.
https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/71663.pdf
21 EDA is a concept developed by TTA and widely used in many GMG worldwide.
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Electricity demand estimates are a key factor in GMG financial sustainability because it directly impacts
the size and design of the generation unit and distribution line, and therefore the cost of the initial
CAPEX. An analysis of existing and foreseeable appliances, current consumption, forecasted
consumption when the GMG arrives, characteristics, and alternatives must be estimated and evaluated.
Part of this complexity and sizing challenge can be attributed to the lack of data regarding load profiles
from productive use of energy in operating systems. While residential customers make up most of the
connections, commercial and productive local businesses have much higher electricity consumption
per connection and are more adaptable to the solar generation peak during daylight working hours.
Actual load data of operating mini-grids has been shown to be a better predictor of future consumption
than surveys (Blodgett et al. 2017). When designing mini-grids to incorporate productive use loads, it
is worthwhile to compare survey data with this operational data, aiming to adjust or confirm estimates.
Additionally, it is valuable to review these load profiles and determine which types of business are best
suited for operation at the time the loads occur. Finally, this data can be used to better understand
what types of productive uses and businesses are currently operating in rural villages and how and
when are they operated.
Within each product group, there is a diverse range of technologies which have different system size
requirements.22 Product specifications of typical productive uses are shown in Figure 9.
22World Bank Group, The Market Opportunity for Productive Use Leveraging Solar Energy (PULSE) in Sub-Saharan Africa,
September 23, 2019. https://www.lightingglobal.org/resource/pulse-market-opportunity/
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The estimation of the electricity generation provided by the mini-grid throughout its lifecycle is a
critical factor for the correct power plant sizing. An incorrect estimate of the energy required at
deployment, and over time, will cause non-optimum sizing of components, which will lead to an
inadequate power plant for the service requirements, financial inutility, and eventually GMG failure.
Additionally, generation capacity shortages will keep the service from meeting clients’ expectations,
cause frequent service outages, and reduce the lifecycle of batteries. This will affect the confidence the
clients in the infrastructure, and consequently reduce their willingness to pay. On the contrary, an
oversizing of the generation plant will increase installation costs which can translate into higher energy
prices for consumers and jeopardize the financial sustainability of the investment.
CAPEX is one of the primary obstacles to deploying GMGs. There are several ways to reduce CAPEX,
including:
The estimation of demand will be based on the application of these criteria and on energy efficiency
measures—both from the consumer's point of view and from the design point of view.
It may occur that a significant amount of electricity demand grows over time, either because some
potential clients are not connected from the beginning, or because demand grows after time. For this
reason, when sizing GMG´s components, demand must be considered based on future growth and a
connectivity rate, or on progressive connectivity until a certain year of the project.
As a general recommendation, sizing for estimated demand and connections in years 3-5 will result in
an MGM with sufficient, but reasonable, overcapacity that leaves space to ensure that short-term
demand growth can be served.
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Error! Reference source not found.4 shows the estimated demand (Wh/day) per user in the
community based on the identified tiers by the mini-grid developer, indicating the user´s tier level and
the level of GMG sharing (as some users may prefer to use other generation equipment such as gen-
sets or SHS).
Table 24: Sample household demand per tier mini-grid connections table
Tier Estimated demand (Wh/day) Share for mini-grid
Basic
Medium
High
Error! Reference source not found.5 is an example showing existing users in the community and
their estimated daily demand from the mini-grid.
Figure 10 compares the initial CAPEX requirements and financial performance of several different
productive uses. It shows which of the productive use opportunities considered have high investment
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requirements and the likely cost of promoting different productive uses through the provision of
equipment to business owners. The figure also shows the electricity demand for the different
equipment, which helps inform the anticipated installed capacity of the micro-grid. For entrepreneurs,
the figure shows the expected investment cost for the different productive uses compared to the
anticipated monthly sales and net profit. The figure will increase awareness among entrepreneurs of
the likely range of power consumption for different appliances, which allows them to consider how to
consume electricity more efficiently.
As mentioned previously, using meters with daily energy limitations (based on the tier of the client)
makes it easier to estimate the rated peak load for each planned connection. To validate the data, it
should be compared to consumption data for other areas with access to electricity that share similar
socio-economic characteristics. Existing GMGs, public/private developers, or mini-grid industrial
associations in the region can sometimes provide valuable data. However, when comparing with data
from another country, one must assess whether the regulatory framework or funding-subsidy
structure is comparable, and whether differences may affect the consumption data.
23Rocky Mountain Institute, Mini-grids in the money: Six ways to reduce mini-grid cost by 60% for rural electrification, 2018.
https://rmi.org/insight/minigrids-money/
24 For more details, please refer to ECREEE Guide Micro-réseaux photovoltaïques hybrides “Annexe 2 : Exemple de calcul
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Using standard tools and processes for data acquisition, storage, and analysis is recommended to help
minimize human error. As an example, KoBoToolbox is an existing suite of tools for field data
collection in challenging environments.25
Feedback from surveys is used to understand what services the local population requires. Results
commonly show that lighting is the priority service, followed by phone charging and entertainment
activities (such as TV or radio) for residential clients. Surveys also identify existing types of productive
use. GMG business models and financial sustainability rely heavily on energy demand originating from
potential anchor clients based on their productive and commercial activities. GMGs with only
residential clients are often not profitable. For this reason, GMGs that serve strictly residential clients
are not recommended if utilizing a market-based approach.
Each tier is associated with an average daily electricity consumption as presented above. The
aggregation of number of clients per tier, individual load profiles and typology of clients (productive
uses versus residential), and an average consumption per type of clients is used to define or build the
village load curve and main input for sizing of the GMG. An example of a village load curve is shown
in Figure 11.
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
0:00
1:00
2:00
3:00
4:00
5:00
6:00
7:00
8:00
9:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
13:00
14:00
15:00
16:00
17:00
18:00
19:00
20:00
21:00
22:00
23:00
Figure 11: Typical daily load profile of a village (example built by TTA)
Once the community or village load profile is built for year 1, the developer can forecast the load
profile into the future, typically for year 4. In the Ethiopian context, following the guidelines provided
in the ENEDC, the load forecast should be projected to year 5.
3.7 Recommendations
As data gathering and demand analysis are critical for mini-grid financial sustainability, it is
recommended that sufficient resources are mobilized to create a reliable community load
profile.
The first GMGs are often used to test the approach and gather lessons learned. Subsequent
projects can employ a clustering approach for projects in the same region to scale up the
business and bring down investment and operational costs.
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DSM and promoting energy efficiency are critical approaches to drive costs down and improve
the final sizing of the plants.
For component sizing, existing techno-economic tools can be utilized in analysis. However, prior to
the employment of specific software, it is first recommended that developers understand all the mini-
grid components and their characteristics as well as the way these components interact. Software
employed to calculate the proper sizing of a GMG requires a deep understanding of the variables, the
behavior of the components, and the relationships between the two. The next sections describe the
main GMG components and the usage of the software. IEC 62257 series software is highly
recommended as it is the backbone of rural mini-grids.
4.1 Generation
A solar PV mini-grid generation plant is made up of the following main components, described in the
sections below.
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It is important that metallic structures are well-designed, specifically suited to solar PV applications,
and appropriate for the environmental conditions of the site (e.g., wind and humidity).
4.1.2 PV array
The PV generator is composed of solar PV panels, including photovoltaic cells transforming solar
radiation into electrical energy of DC. When designing the photovoltaic field, the following parameters
must be considered:
Orientation (depending on the latitude and the sizing month): The PV panels generate
maximum yield when facing south in the Northern hemisphere or facing north in the Southern
hemisphere. It is also possible that an East-West double-tilt mounting structure for high-power
density design panels can be an option for flat roofs or roofs with low slopes.
Tilting of the panels: Depending on the angle of the PV modules and the season of the year,
the modules will produce a different yield. For the ECOWAS and Mauritania sub-region, the
optimum tilt is below 20º.
Absence of shadows.
It is advisable to install active or passive anti-theft and anti-vandalism systems for security reasons. This
measure, coupled with community involvement and canopy installations as close as possible to the
center of the village are usually the most effective ways to secure PV panels in a GMG. Conversely,
fenced ground mounted PV fields are more accessible for maintenance.
Based on this final demand of the mini-grid, the performance ratio of the plant (PR) and the peak sun
hours (PSH) of the region, the optimum PV capacity to be installed is calculated by the formula:
In the case of a DC-coupled mini-grid, the conversion is performed by a Solar Charge Controller,
responsible for controlling and optimizing the battery charge from the PV modules.
Generally, the inverters will be bidirectional, so that they can also convert the AC generation (from
the AC coupled solar PV or a renewable source of AC injection, the genset or the national grid) to
DC so that it is stored in the battery.
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The main parameters for the selection of the battery inverter are the nominal power and the peak
power. Special attention must be paid to these parameters since the efficiency of the inverters is low
when they work in low part loads.
4.1.5 Batteries
The battery is a rechargeable electrochemical cell, capable of storing electrical energy through a
reversible chemical transformation. Thanks to the battery, a photovoltaic plant will have the autonomy
to satisfy consumption demands at any time, regardless of the solar generation.
The most used batteries for GMGs are lead-acid stationary ones: they are suitable for slow and deep
charges / discharges and have a large cycling capacity. Among these, the most common are the OPzS
(O: stationary, Pz: armored tubular plate, S: liquid electrolyte, with positive tubular plate, open and
liquid electrolyte) and OPzV (O: stationary, Pz: armored tubular plate, V: gel electrolyte with positive
tubular plate, gelled, closed and maintenance-free electrolyte). In general, OPzS batteries will be used
because of their lower cost, their greater number of life cycles and better behavior at high
temperatures. If periodic maintenance—like refilling of electrolyte—cannot be easily ensured, OPzV
batteries are preferable.
Sizing of the batteries is the estimation of the necessary capacity to be installed that will ensure the
desired autonomy of the plant. For this calculation, the inputs needed are the depth of discharge
(DOD) and the battery voltage (V). Bearing all the above in mind, the capacity of the batteries is given
by the formula:
Figure 13 presents a summary of the pros and cons in terms of performance characteristics of the
four main battery technologies commonly used in off-grid projects, namely lead-acid, lithium-based,
nickel-based, and flow batteries.
Lead-acid batteries are the most mature and tested technology for off-grid projects but have lower
efficiency in comparison to lithium-ion technology, which have an excellent energy efficiency rate even
when discharged completely, as well as a higher energy density. Nickel-based batteries perform better
in extreme temperatures, while the flow batteries have excellent cycle performance.
Long cycle life expectancy even with 100 % One poor cell can reduce drastically
Lithium-ion
DOD with excellent energy efficiency rate the cycling performance
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Figure 14 shows the main battery chemistries used in GMGs (lithium-based, lead-based and nickel-
based) and selection criteria depending on the existence or not of a backup genset and the
temperature of the battery room.
Figure 14: Battery Selection for GMGs (source: Claude Campion, 3C Projects, France)
OPzS
The main advantages of OPzS batteries are lower price, useful life, good performance at high
temperatures, and the possibility of equalization charges, which allow the balancing of the series of
elements of the battery.
However, OPzS require maintenance to replenish electrolytes, emit flammable gases (hydrogen in
small quantities) which must be exhausted, and are delicate and subject to greater restrictions in
transportation (since the acid must be transported separately).
OPzV
The primary advantages of OPzV batteries are lower maintenance requirements and no restrictions
for shipping. On the other hand, their price is higher than OPzS (around 25%) and they offer a shorter
life cycle.
In general, it is recommended to opt for batteries of the OPzS type except when basic maintenance
cannot be guaranteed locally (due to lack of trained technical personnel, isolation of the site, difficulty
in obtaining distilled water, etc.), or when the security conditions do not allow the installation of
flooded batteries; in this case it is advisable to opt for a gel battery type like OPzV.
Lithium-based batteries
Lithium-based batteries represent a good economic and technical alternative to lead-acid ones and are
gaining more market share due to their decrease in cost. The most common technologies for stand-
alone solar applications combine lithium with nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC) or are lithium iron
phosphate (LFP).
Advantages include higher energy density, longer life, and allow for higher current discharges, over
lead-acid batteries.
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Drawbacks include larger up-front investment, requirement of more sophisticated control electronics,
and lithium-based batteries usually cannot be recycled as well as lead-acid batteries.
Contrary to photovoltaic production, one of the great advantages of the genset is that their use (and
therefore their production of electricity) can be planned. This flexibility makes them a great
complement to the solar plant.
Current photovoltaic inverters generally include synchronization mechanisms with gensets which
greatly facilitate their interconnection and integration into the management strategy of the GMGs.
This automatic start/stop feature is recommended for any genset meant to be integrated in the GMGs.
For the usual power range in GMGs, diesel engines are usually used with 1,500 rpm equipped with a
single-phase or three-phase alternator depending on the configuration chosen for the GMGs.
In general, the genset must be able to guarantee a continuous active power at least equal to the total
power of the inverters (so that it can replace them if needed) and also guarantee the peak power
demand.
In this respect, there is no major difference from other rural distribution networks. However, there
are some elements specific to mini-grids:
● All active equipment in the photovoltaic installation (regulators, inverters, etc.) must be
properly protected against over voltages of atmospheric origin for both electrical input and
output connections;
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● It is necessary to provide a general switch allowing the total switch of consumption on the
auxiliary generator in the event of disconnection of the photovoltaic plant;
● It is advisable to carry out the grounding connecting of the metal frames of the photovoltaic
modules and the support structures with the earth of the building, separately from the general
electrical outlet linked to the neutral, the negative pole of the batteries, and the chassis of the
electronic equipment;
● For the dimensioning of the section of the conductors of the electrical distribution lines, the
maximum intensity should be limited by the power of the photovoltaic inverters and the
auxiliary generator of the mini-grid. The voltage drop at the most distant point in the low-
voltage (LV) network will also be calculated based on this maximum power of the equipment
installed;
● The street lighting lines can be controlled preferably from the photovoltaic plant, allowing the
activation of its operation at twilight and regulation of hours of operation according to the
charge of the plant; and
● Installation of the meters should preferably be carried out outside homes. Meters must be
sealed and with the connection conductors suitably protected on arrival, which prevents
access to contacts and connections and allows visual inspection and detection of possible
fraud.
The major outputs under this analysis will be: i) Return on investment; ii) Payback; and iii) Key financial
metrics to assess the bankability and profitability of the project and the level of funding required. Such
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key financial metrics can be the internal rate of return (IRR) and the Net Present Value (NPV) of the
project.
As GMGs are long-term investments with middle- or long-term payback, it is key to understand and
show the financial metrics to demonstrate a bankable project. If the output is not attractive enough, a
new iteration will be required to assess how to improve the business model. This will imply modifying
the technical and economic approach and variables (as inputs), which in exchange will produce new
major outputs.
The bankability of the project will be always related to several metrics. For example, the IRR may be
the most important metric for an investor, but if the payback period is too long or the positive cash
flows come too late in the project lifecycle, it will not be seen as an attractive investment.
It is important also to understand the target (size of ticket; expectations in terms or return) and type
of vehicle (equity; debt) of potential investors upfront.
As mentioned throughout this guide, it will be very difficult to show an attractive and profitable
business model if it includes only household needs and does not demonstrate an increase in demand
over time. The evidence of productive uses is therefore mandatory, as is demonstrating the project’s
enabling of economic activity in the village.
Although software is an efficient tool for calculating major technical, economic, and financial metrics
quickly and reliably, it represents only an important first step in this process. Software does not usually
provide all necessary techno-economic indicators, hence additional work needs to be done using
custom-made spreadsheets.
For example, when using Homer Pro, additional techno-economic analysis must be done to complete
a DFS. Some missing elements include:
The simulations only include the generation plant. The distribution line must be designed and
budgeted apart, as well as the cost of client-connections. These costs must be added after the
first techno-economic calculation.
Homer Pro only simulates costs and not revenues. A financial model must be elaborated in
parallel, in order to carry out a cash flow analysis. The main inputs like annual CAPEX, OPEX
and electricity generation can be imported from Homer (or any other similar software).
Once the techno-economic analysis has been undertaken using specialized software or custom-made
spreadsheets, some of the key items to be analyzed are:
A. Technical
- Number of clients per type (residential, institutional, commercial, and industrial, related to
TIER framework)
- Demand forecasts per clients’ type and aggregated
- Size of the components
- Other technical indicators (performance ratio, battery autonomy, excess power)
- Reliability of service (e.g., hours of service availability, SAIFI, SAIDI)
B. Economic
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C. Other (social/environmental)
- Timeline planned for construction and operations (long term)
- Greenhouse gas savings (compared to alternative generation technology)
Since these facilities are often located in remote locations - where it is often difficult to find and secure
qualified personnel permanently - the assets should be designed in a simple and durable manner to
minimize the maintenance required. Maintenance must be planned from the beginning of the project.
During the procurement, a stock of spare parts should be acquired, along with necessary tools for
maintenance and instructions provided by equipment manufacturers. The project’s maintenance plan
should be based on reviews of the operation of the asset and corrective actions that identifies
weaknesses and improvements to be implemented during the lifetime of the installation.
The existence of several GMGs in a region (bundling of mini-grids) can become a key factor in lowering
and optimizing the costs of periodic maintenance visits by qualified technicians.
In general, three different levels of maintenance can be distinguished which can be performed by one
or more organizations or enterprises under the supervision of the plant manager or operator, and
which are described in the following sections of this chapter.
This type of preventive un-skilled maintenance is important for the operation of the assets. It includes
basic monitoring and control tasks that must be completed on a regular basis to ensure the proper
functioning of the assets and the efficient resolution of problems that arise. The personnel in charge
do not require a high level of training in electricity or photovoltaic plants, but it is essential that they
have received specific and practical training to understand the meaning of the various indicators and
alarms in the control room, the basic elements for handling the plant, and the protocols to be followed.
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Common operations of basic daily maintenance, with a weekly frequency, are as follows:
● Verification of the general indicators, alarms, and warnings which would signal a malfunction;
● Control of the state of charge of the batteries and of the auxiliary elements (generator, etc.);
● Checking the level of the electrolyte in the batteries and, if necessary, filling with distilled water
(not necessary in the case of sealed batteries);
● Cleaning the surface of the photovoltaic panels if necessary (normally during the rainy season,
this task can be postponed);
● Control of the absence of shade on the photovoltaic panels (at least for 3 hours before and
afternoon);
● Cleaning and maintenance of technical rooms and space of the photovoltaic installation;
● Generator commissioning, if necessary;
● Control and supply of the fuel reserve;
● Control and supply of the distilled water reserve (unnecessary in the case of sealed batteries);
● Revision of the stock of spare parts and tools; and
● In case of alarm or malfunction that cannot be solved by the caretaker, give notice to the
technicians responsible for corrective maintenance and managers established by the operator.
Under no circumstances should the personnel in charge of basic daily maintenance be handling the
generation facilities beyond their technical capacities and the tasks assigned to them.
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The frequency of performing preventive maintenance tasks must be strictly observed. For more
information on (1) standard technical specifications for power quality, reliability, and availability and
(2) a standard accountability and performance reporting framework, please refer to the Quality
Assurance Framework for Mini-Grids from NREL.26
Corrective maintenance work must be carried out by technical personnel with specialized training in
photovoltaics and other equipment that comprise a GMG. Often, the same technicians in charge of
preventive maintenance can also be responsible for corrective maintenance. If more complex failures
must be dealt with, they must be able to rely on external specialized support (e.g., manufacturers or
specialized firms).
Activity Risk
Theft of electricity from the distribution network
Deployment of a low voltage network
Vandalism
Receipt of customer payments Risks of embezzlement / corruption / theft / security / assaults
26National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Quality Assurance Frameworks for Mini-Grids, 2016.
https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy17osti/67374.pdf
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Liquidity risk: Risk that the working capital will not be sufficient or
Financing of activities
that the expected financing arrives later than planned
Commercial, marketing, and technical Inability of teams to support the volume of business
operations
Appearance of a substitute product
Misunderstanding of market expectations
Sales and marketing operations
Underconsumption of customers/ potential customers
Customer dissatisfaction
Connection of homes to the low Bodily injury / electrocution
voltage network
Personal injuries / electrocution
Corruption and fraud
Construction / civil engineering
Risks related to suppliers
Risks related to access to the site (rain, roads, etc.)
Bodily injury / electrocution
Poor sizing of capacities (estimate of demand)
Reliability of the equipment (quality of the equipment installed)
Risks related to access to the site (rain, roads, etc.)
Maintenance and technical operations
Risk of battery explosion
Poor quality of telecommunications networks
Lightning risks
Battery recycling
Data loss
Use of computer systems Risks of hacking, spying, data leakage and protection of privacy
Delays in the implementation of the integration of mobile money
Matching skills to needs
Human resource management Employee retention rate
Capacity building and training
5.3 Recommendations
A techno-economic analysis can be done with or without specialized software. It is important
to have good input data, such as demand, costs, and renewable energy resource. Models only
work if the input data is accurate.
When estimating project CAPEX, all unit costs should be under the same conditions,
depending on the desired budget (e.g., EXW27 or installed costs). International logistics, local
transportation, insurance, and storage should not be overlooked.
Component selection must consider various parameters such as price and quality, but also
availability in the local market and after sale services. Technology providers must be well
selected and have a good reputation and experience of minimum 5 years.
27 Ex works (EXW) is an international trade term that describes when a seller makes a product available at a designated
location, and the buyer of the product must cover the transport costs.
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Battery selection is tricky. Although the prices of lithium-based batteries are falling and there
is increasingly more local market availability, experience using them in rural electrification in
remote locations are limited. The selection must consider predominantly robustness,
reliability, simplicity, and low maintenance needs.
The generation plants can be easily expanded in terms of generation, power capacity and energy
storage, as described below:
PV generator: A set of PV panels and charge controllers (if DC-coupled) is called a solar basic
unit (SBU), which in each design is one or more controller connected to several panels. Expansion
of the generation can be done through adding SBUs, if:
i. The DC bus can support the total current of the PV; and
ii. The maximum charging current of the batteries is respected.
Storage: Storage can also be expanded by adding battery banks, with each bank having a battery
voltage level (12/24/48 or other). The restriction to adding storage is that the battery cells should
be the same as the existing ones (manufacturer and model) and that the total number of battery
banks placed in parallel should only be done according to manufacturer guidance.
Battery inverters: Battery inverters can be added in parallel in case the power demand increases.
In all cases of expansion, in addition to the restrictions mentioned, other restrictions concerning
communications should be considered. Each manufacturer allows a certain number of components to
be placed in parallel due to communications limitations.
Similar to expanding the mini-grid by adding components, components can also be removed and
placed in other mini-grids (SBUs, battery banks or inverters), if the respective limitations are
considered. The only challenge would be the PV structure, which is more challenging in dismantling
and installing in a different place.
7 Drawings
The following set of preliminary drawings should be performed as part of a feasibility study:
Site Layout: A map of the village should be provided indicating a potential location of the
plant and using satellite imagery.
Single Line Diagram (SLD): A simple electrical drawing of the generation plant, including
all the main components, should be provided.
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These drawings will act as a foundation over which a preliminary design could be made if the feasibility
study concludes positively.
8 Components Summary
As part of the detailed feasibility study, the GMG developer should present a summary description
of high-level sizes and quantities of the power generation plant and distribution network. A
recommended template is provided in the following table:
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For questionsof
National Association regarding this publication,
Regulatory please contact (NARUC)
Utility Commissioners
Colleen Borovsky (cborovsky@naruc.org)
1101 Vermont Ave, NW, Suite 200
ErinWashington,
Hammel (ehammel@naruc.org).
DC 20005 USA
Tel: +1-202-898-2210
www.naruc.org
For questions regarding this publication, please contact
Colleen Borovsky (cborovsky@naruc.org)
Erin Hammel (ehammel@naruc.org).