Forecastins: Measurement
Forecastins: Measurement
Exponential For
smoothingecast
monthly demand for unts
i
with
ns measurement of erro
companygven as folows: manutactured the
by
Manus mantacturng
Month
nits
May
June
Ay 11
Augst
Septen
Octe
12
LDecem
a Use the
esponential
for lune January. Thesmoothing method to forecast the number of
intial forecast for Maywas
Mayw 105 units and unts
alphao.2
6. Calculate the absolute percentage eror or each
through December and the MAD and MAPE of month from June
trecast eror asof the
end of December.
F= Fe-t« (A--Fe-)
At Ft At-F JAt-P|
10
1
At
-5
30
-24
|08
49-2 I-960
13-64
13- 64
116 Iol-36 9686
8 912 .412.
lo5
6.2246 S4246
Io43204
IS6669
lq.s®se3 (958368
1o5-41632
8. 8912
|o9.330S 0.6644 (0-66944
(2 |20
I.46949
1
90334 Ae
Ju orot
MA D
Qo.334e