Crime Type and Occurrence Prediction Using Machine Learning
Crime Type and Occurrence Prediction Using Machine Learning
Abstract:
This project aims to develop a machine learning model for crime type
and occurrence prediction based on historical data. The process
involves collecting diverse datasets encompassing crime reports,
demographics, weather conditions, and socioeconomic factors. After
thorough preprocessing and feature engineering, exploratory data
analysis provides insights into underlying patterns and relationships.
Feature selection is performed to identify the most influential variables,
and a suitable machine learning algorithm, such as Random Forests, is
selected for modeling. The model is trained on a split dataset, and
hyperparameters are tuned for optimal performance. Evaluation metrics,
including accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, are utilized to assess
the model's effectiveness. Deployment of the model for real-time
predictions is followed by continuous monitoring and improvement,
ensuring adaptability to changing circumstances. Ethical considerations,
transparency, and collaboration with domain experts are integral to
addressing potential biases and ensuring the model's fairness and
usefulness in real-world scenarios
Introduction
Crime prediction has been a longstanding challenge for law enforcement
agencies seeking to enhance proactive strategies and community safety.
With the advent of machine learning techniques, there is a growing
opportunity to leverage historical data to predict the types and
occurrences of crimes. This project delves into the development of a
machine learning model designed to forecast crime patterns based on a
comprehensive dataset that includes crime reports, demographics,
weather conditions, and socioeconomic indicators.
Object
3. Feature Engineering:
Explore and engineer features that capture temporal, spatial, and
contextual aspects of crime occurrences. Extract relevant information
from timestamps, geographical coordinates, and other available data to
enhance predictive capabilities.
5. Feature Selection:
- Identify and select the most influential features for crime prediction.
Employ techniques such as correlation analysis, recursive feature
elimination, or feature importance scores from machine learning models.
6. Model Selection:
Choose a suitable machine learning algorithm (e.g., Random Forests,
Support Vector Machines) based on the nature of the crime prediction
task. Consider ensemble methods for robustness and scalability.
9. Deployment:
Deploy the trained model for real-time crime predictions. Ensure
seamless integration with existing systems and evaluate the model's
effectiveness in practical scenarios.
List review
Comparison of Algorithms:
Privacy Concerns:
Community Impact:
Investigate the impact of deploying crime prediction models on
communities. Assess whether these models lead to positive outcomes in
terms of public safety and community trust, or if there are unintended
consequences that need addressing
.
3. Real-World Deployment and Practicality
Scalability and Integration:
User-Friendliness:
Existing System
In pre-work, the dataset obtained from the open source are first pre-
processed to remove the duplicated values and features.
Decision tree has been used in the factor of finding crime patterns
and also extracting the features from large amount of data is
inclusive. It provides a primary structure for further classification
process.
The classified crime patterns are feature extracted using Deep
Neural network. Based on the prediction, the performance is
calculated for both trained and test values.
The crime prediction helps in forecasting the future happening of
any type Proceedings of the International Conference on Artificial
Intelligence and Smart Systems of criminal activities and help the
officials to resolve them at the earliest.
Drawbacks
1.The pre-existing works account for low accuracy since the classifier
uses a categorical values which produces a biased outcome for the
nominal attributes with greater value.
3. The value of the classifier must be tuned and hence there is a need of
assigning an optimal value
1. Overview:
Name: PredPol (Predictive Policing)
Description: PredPol is a predictive policing system that employs
machine learning algorithms to forecast areas where specific types of
crimes are more likely to occur. The system analyzes historical crime
data, including the type, location, and time of incidents, to identify
patterns and trends.
2. Functionality:
3. Key Features
4. Challenges
Ethical Concerns: Predictive policing systems, including PredPol, have
faced criticism for potential biases in historical data and concerns about
exacerbating existing inequalities.
Advantages
1. The proposed algorithm is well suited for the crime pattern detection since
most of the featured attributes depends on the time and location.
3. The initialization of optimal value is not required since it accounts for real
valued, nominal value and also concern the region with insufficient
information.
4. The accuracy has been relatively high when compared to other machine
learning prediction model
Mapping The crime features such as crime type, the date on which the
crime has been occurred including the time of occurrence are first
segregated
It is then mapped to an integer for easy labelling.
The labelled details are further analysed and used are used in
graph plotting.]
The crime which occurred the most can be plotted in the graph
which contributes for further prediction process
.
Data Flow:
Functional Components:
.
Evaluation Metrics Module: Assess the model's performance using
metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score.
Interactions:
Ethical Considerations:
Modular Description
Model Performance Evaluation:
Conclusion
Features:
Explore additional data sources and types of features that could further
improve the accuracy of crime prediction models. This might include
incorporating data from social media, urban infrastructure, or emerging
technologies such as Internet of Things (IoT) devices to capture more
nuanced patterns.
Temporal and Spatial Dynamics:
Investigate methods to better model temporal and spatial dynamics of
crime. Develop models that can adapt to seasonal variations, changes in
urban landscapes, and dynamic patterns of criminal activity over time.
Explainability and Interpretability:
Explore methods for dynamic model adaptation that can quickly adjust to
changing crime patterns or unforeseen events. This could involve the
integration of real-time data and adaptive learning strategies.
Interdisciplinary Research:
Biblio graphy