Table of Contents

3) Legal Disclaimer

4) About Scott Redler

5) Welcome Letter

6) Frequently Asked Questions

7) Education Bonus #1: Scott Redler Interview

13) Education Bonus #2: 15 Keys to Trading Success

22) Education Bonus #3: 5 Moving Average Rules You Need to Know

28) Education Bonus #4: Red Dog Reversal Case Studies

35) 2017 Review: The Year of the Pain Trade

44) 2018 Market Outlook Begins

53) Scott Redler’s Top Stocks of 2018

79) Final Words

80) 2017 Market Outlook Report Review

100) About T3 Live

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 Legal Disclaimer
Before we dive in, I need to share a few disclaimers about the nature of this report.

T3 Live is a media company, not an investment advisor or broker dealer, thus the
information provided to you in this report is for information purposes only. No
information presented constitutes a recommendation by T3 Live or its affiliates to buy,
sell or hold any security, financial product or instrument discussed therein or to engage in
any specific investment strategy. The content neither is, nor should be construed as, an
offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy, sell, or hold any securities. You are fully
responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based
solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk
tolerance and liquidity needs. The opinions I express in this report, and previous reports
of the same nature, are based on my own individual trading strategy which is driven most
prominently by technical analysis. All of my trading decisions are based on numerous
factors and done independent from the ideas expressed herein. I employ a short-term
trading strategy and my opinion on stocks, indices and ETFs can change on various time
frames.

Neither T3 Live LLC (T3L), nor its affiliates nor any of their respective officers, personnel,
representatives, agents or independent contractors are in such capacities licensed
financial advisors or registered investment advisors. Nothing contained in this report
other communications constitutes a promotion, recommendation, solicitation or offer of
any particular investment, security or transaction.

Trading options involves risk. Before placing an options trade, read the Characteristics
and Risks of Standardized Options, which is available from the Options Clearing
Corporation at
http://www.optionsclearing.com/about/publications/character-risks.jsp, or by
calling 800-435-4000.

You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in
trading securities, options, currencies, and “Crypto Currencies”. Due to the currently
unregulated nature of Bitcoin and other “Crypto Currencies,” investing and/or trading in
Bitcoin and/or other “Cryptocurrencies” may involve risks greater than that of other asset
classes, and may result in a total loss of investment.

Past performance is not an indicator of future results.

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 About Scott Redler
Scott Redler has been a professional
trader since 1999.

After 8 years of successful trading, Scott

co-founded T3 Companies, LLC in 2007,
and began serving as Chief Strategic
Officer of both T3 Live and T3 Trading
Group.

As the financial crisis began, Scott became

a recurring guest on CNBC, repeatedly
warning investors of the danger ahead.

Today, Scott remains a professional

trader, and regularly appears on CNBC,
Bloomberg Television, and Fox Business.

His technical analysis work has been cited

by media outlets including the Wall Street
Journal, Reuters, MarketWatch, and
Investor’s Business Daily, among many
others.

Scott has presented on behalf of Charles

Schwab at the Las Vegas MoneyShow for
over 5 years, and speaks regularly at other
trading and investment conferences
around the world.

Through Redler All-Access, Scott helps

traders, money managers, and individual
investors view the markets through his
eyes, and approach each day with a
steady, measured approach.

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 Welcome to Your 2018
Market Outlook Report!
Thank you for purchasing my 2018 Market Outlook report!

This report was written and designed with one simple goal in mind: to help you win
in 2018 and beyond.

In it, you’ll find:

● A complete review of 2017

● 15 keys to trading success, up from 10 last year
● 4 Red Dog Reversal case studies, up from 2 last year
● My top 5 moving average rules
● My 23 top stock, ETF, and options ideas for 2018 plus my #1 crypto play
● My SPX and Nasdaq outlooks
● Bonus commentary on Bitcoin, gold, oil, and more!

Every year, we try to make the Market Outlook a bigger, better value for readers,
and I hope we’ve accomplished that again this time around.

In 2016, we added my 10 Keys to Trading Success report, plus 3 bonus quarterly

reports to help you stay on the right track throughout the year.

In 2017, we added a small trading education section.

And for 2018, we’ve expanded the education component in a big way.

Plus, we have a total of 24 picks, up from 17 last year.

To get straight to my 2018 Outlook and picks, turn to page 44 right now.

But I really hope you’ll dig in and embrace all the bonus educational material we’ve
put together for you.

-Scott J. Redler

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 Frequently Asked
Questions
Q: Does Scott use simple or exponential moving averages in this report?

All moving averages in this report are exponential.

Q: How do I know which stock picks to use?

All investors must make buy and sell decisions based upon their own preferences
and risk tolerances. Our customers use this report in all different ways, so it boils
down to one’s own strategy.

Q: How can I learn more about Scott’s trading methodology?

Scott Redler is launching a suite of education programs, including a LIVE program

this February. Email our customer service team directly at [email protected], or call
us at 1-888-998-3548.

Q: How can I get more frequent updates on the stocks Scott discusses?

If you want Scott’s trading commentary on a more frequent basis, we recommend

taking a $7 trial to Redler All-Access. That way, you can test out RAA for a whole
month to make sure it’s right for you. Click here for more information.

Q: Why don’t you offer a print version of this report?

A print version would take longer to produce, and would make it impossible for you
to get Scott’s latest, most up-to-date information. Staying digital means we can
publish quickly so you get Scott’s freshest analysis.

Q: What positions is Scott holding?

Here were Scott’s positions on the morning of 12/28/17 at the time of publication:
Long: Ethereum, VRAY, TWTR, SNAP, AAPL, BABA, XLE, IBB, RXDX, ROKU, AMZN,
ZIOP calls, UNG calls, SLV calls, SQ calls, OIH calls, ZYNE calls, UA calls, OIH calls,
INTC call spread, TWTR calls, GWPH calls, JUNO calls, IBM calls; Short: SPY

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 Exclusive Interview with
Scott Redler

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 Scott Redler Interview
To help you get to know Scott a little better, we conducted an interview so you can
better understand his background and trading philosophy.

Here’s what we learned:

Q: How did you get started in trading?

After college, I worked as a Junior Broker at a small Wall Street firm. I made my way
up to Junior Partner.

I had some success but it wasn’t the right fit for me.

I didn’t like having to sell my ideas to others, and the pace was too slow.

Often, by the time I reached my clients with my best ideas, the opportunities were
gone.

At the same time, I was working as a concert promoter.

I promoted shows for artists like James Brown, Chubby Checkers, and even Prince!

Now here’s where it gets interesting.

In 1999, I booked the rights to promote a big concert tour that included other
artists like Nas and Foxy Brown, and I reached out to all my connections to finance
the tour.

So my first big trade was going long a concert tour with $2 million of other people’s
money!

We got off to a great start with our first 7 shows, but sales eventually hit the wall
and the tour went bankrupt.

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 One of the investors in the tour was Marc Sperling, who is now one of my partners
at T3.

Marc invited me to join his trading firm to “trade off” my debt to him.

It was a natural fit. Trading was what I should have been doing all along.

Q: You’ve talked a lot about your experiences competing in triathlons. How

has that affected your trading?

When I started doing triathlons, my trading profits doubled.

I was a busy guy. And to balance trading, training, and time with friends and family,
I had to rearrange my life from top to bottom.

I started getting up earlier, partying less, and I started every trading day with a
game plan.

That intense focus immediately translated into bigger profits, and I was actually
accomplishing more in less time. I just had no time for distractions.

That’s why I urge the importance of game-planning.

It prevents you from wasting time, and it keeps your eye on the prize.

Q: How would you describe your trading methodology?

First and foremost, I am a technical analyst.

I follow the news flow and chatter just like anyone else, but when it comes to
putting money to work, I am 100% focused on price action.

You may have heard me call myself a “cocktail napkin technician.”

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 That’s because I’m all about the basics.

I incorporate concepts like moving averages, trendlines, and sentiment into my

trading.

And of course, I have several patterns that I keep coming back to, like the Red Dog
Reversal, which you’ll read about later in this report.

Bruce Lee said “I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear
the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times.”

I’m the guy that practices one kick 10,000 times, and then I try another one.

Do you use stop losses?

Yes.

When a trade changes and goes against me, I’m never afraid to get out.

I’m okay with paper cuts. We all lose money sometimes.

But my losers always have a leash on them, because paper cuts can turn into
gushers if you let them go too far.

Do you use price targets on your trades?

I use targets on most of my trades, but I stay flexible because trends can go way
further than we think.

So if something’s working for me, I’ll slowly scale out on the way up rather than
rushing just because my initial target was hit.

For example, I may plan to sell something at resistance, but if that resistance gets
taken out in a hurry, I may hang on longer.

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 In those situations, I’ll use a trailing stop to prevent me from getting caught
offsides at a top.

How do you deal with a bad trading day?

Every day is a fresh start, no matter how I did the prior day.

I just take it one step at a time, and my daily goal is to just do the best I can with
what’s in front of me.

One of the biggest mistakes you can make is to try to make up for a losing day,
because that means you’re trading on emotion.

If you ever feel like you need to make up for what happened yesterday, just take
the day off and get your head clear.

Do you trade options?

I mostly trade stocks and ETFs, but I also trade options when I want to keep my risk
defined, especially around events.

For example, I’ll often use options into earnings, or to play crazy high-beta names.

How about futures?

If I traded futures, I’d be glued to the screens 24/7 and my wife would divorce me!

So for now, it’s all stocks, ETFs, and options… and just a little crypto action.

Are you concerned about high-frequency and algorithmic grading?

I try to keep my focus on my own trading.

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 Even if HFT’s and algos are having an impact and taking some unfair advantages, I
can’t worry too much about them day-to-day.

I can only control what I do, so that’s where I focus.

What is the one piece of advice you wish you were given when you started
out?

I wish I knew about the importance of game planning.

I did well when I got started, but I’d have done a lot better if I had more discipline.

It was only when I had no choice but to be focused that I found real success.

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 15 Keys to Trading Success

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 Scott Redler’s 15 Keys to
Trading Success
Trading isn’t easy.

But it’s not impossible.

So let’s go over my 15 keys to trading success, based on what I’ve learned in my

18-year trading career, and as a mentor to up-and-comers at T3.

1. HAVE A PLAN

I follow a strict set of risk management principles so I keep moving in the right
direction. I respect key moving averages, pay close attention to the big trends, and I
keep losing trades in check.

And most importantly, I enter every day with a plan.

When the market opens, I have a list of stocks I’m ready to buy or sell at specific
levels depending upon what I see.

This way, I’m ready to react instead of hoping to stumble onto opportunities.

2. CREATE A DAILY ROUTINE YOU ENJOY

The number-one thing traders waste time and energy doing is… figuring out how
to use their time and energy.

Create a daily routine that you keeps you happy and productive. This includes
everything from chart reviews to gym time to coffee breaks.

There’s nothing less exciting than a schedule.

But the more I plan out my day ahead of time, the easier it is to concentrate on the
market.

Distractions kill your profits. So kill distractions with a routine!

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 3. TAKE A BLUE-COLLAR MENTALITY

Trading isn’t about turning on your screens and swinging for the fences each day.

It’s about hitting singles and doubles, not home runs. Success comes from showing
up and doing the work every day, the same way carpenters, ironworkers, and
plumbers put together a building.

For traders, this includes forming an effective trading plan, observing the market,
and aiming for consistent profits.

I’ve seen a lot of traders search and search and search for some kind of secret
sauce.

Hard, steady work is the closest thing to it.

4. DON’T TRY TO FIX MONDAY’S LOSSES ON TUESDAY

Every day is a fresh start.

As traders, we must maximize the opportunities that are in front of us at the

present moment. Forget about what happened yesterday, and don’t obsess over
what may happen tomorrow.

Let’s say you have a bad Monday. Don’t come in Tuesday thinking you have to make
up for it.

You won’t be able to manage risk because you’ll be trading out of desperation.

Even the best of us have rough stretches.

But if we follow our principles and enter every day with a plan, our good days will
outweigh the bad.

Just take it one day at a time.

On the flip side, if you make a fortune on Tuesday, don’t get lazy on Wednesday!

Stick to your plan and make the most out of what you see.

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 5. WHEN THINGS GO WRONG, GET SMALL

Trading is a lot like poker.

You can prepare and study for years to get an edge over the house.

But sometimes you just get bad cards.

We all find ourselves on losing streaks from time to time.

What matters is how we pick ourselves up.

If you’re in a rut, trade smaller and focus on just getting profitable again. This way,
you can rebuild your confidence without digging an even bigger hole.

One thing you must never do is upping your bets after you’re down.

That’s how you go from 5% down to 20% down to 50% down.

6. KEEP AN EVEN KEEL

I don’t know what’s worse: having too much confidence, or not enough.

So don’t go overboard celebrating your trading wins.

We want winning to be a normal day at the office -- not special occasions that are so
rare they’re worth celebrating!

And don’t go overboard crying over your losses, because underconfidence will
prevent you from executing on good trades.

Losing is part of the game.

Just make sure you lose small!

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 7. USE TECHNICALS -- NOT NEWS HEADLINES AND ECONOMIC
STATISTICS -- AS YOUR GUIDE TO THE MARKETS

I earn my living trading, so price is the only thing that really matters.

The news flow and macro trends are important, but not as much as actual market
movement.

Be aware of what’s going on the world.

Just take it all with a grain of salt.

We make money by riding price movements -- not by being ‘right’ about politics
and the economy.

As you’ll learn in this report, following the trend was what mattered in 2017.

The news was exciting, but mostly irrelevant for traders.

8. KNOW YOUR TIME FRAME

If you’re a short-term trader, you have to know your levels, what sectors are doing,
and what’s on the calendar each day.

But if you’re a long-term investor in a 401/K or 529 plan, just keep those funds
pumping in every month.

So for each type of account or portfolio you have -- short-term, long-term,

aggressive, conservative, etc. -- let your time frame guide your pace of activity.

Be active and tactical with your short-term money, and slow and steady for
long-term wealth building.

In my short-term trading account, I can be in and out of positions in minutes, but I

never touch my retirement and college savings accounts.

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 9. DON’T OVERCOMPLICATE THINGS

Don’t get caught up chasing every bright shiny object, and every new flavor of the
month.

You don’t need to know 100 strategies and 2,000 stocks.

You can make a lot of money trading just a few strategies, and a core group of
10-20 stocks that you know well.

If you read Redler All-Access, you know that my universe isn’t that big.

I focus on 20-30 tech, biotech, financial, and Chinese names while rotating other
names in and out. It’s working for me, so why complicate things?

Once you have your core strategies and stocks in place, and you’re making money,
you can start looking to expand your coverage.

But until you start succeeding, don’t complicate.

Simplify!

10. FOCUS ON EXECUTION FIRST, MONEY SECOND

If you get good at anything, the money’s going to come eventually.

So focus on developing your skills, and properly executing the strategies you learn.

That’s what’s going to keep you in the game for the long run.

Fast money leaves just as fast as it arrived.

You want to develop a set of trading strategies that can give you consistent profits,
no matter what’s happening in the market.

Once your brain gets big, your wallet follows.

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 11. DEVELOP A PRO MINDSET

You can have a 180 IQ, but to succeed, you’ve got to adopt the mindset of a pro.

Pros don’t think about Ferraris and private jets while they’re trading.

We think about what we could lose.

Sometimes, no matter how much we plan and how hard we work, we’re going to
lose money.

So if you want to be a pro, you must be able to accept defeat and put it behind you.

But I don’t want you to think that great traders sit around waiting for the sky to
drop. You have to...

12. GIVE YOURSELF A CHANCE

I talk a lot about keeping your ego in check.

But at the end of the day, you’ve got to believe in yourself.

You need to know that you can develop trading skills, and then apply them in the
real world with real money on the line.

One of the biggest mistakes you can make is not giving yourself a fair chance.

Too many aspiring traders never get started, because they don’t think they can do
it.

They’ll spend all day paper trading and reading books, but they never actually pull
the trigger.

Get an education, and get started.

Don’t take too much risk.

But start!

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 13. TREAT TRADING LIKE A BUSINESS

The average person on the street thinks trading is like hitting the craps table at
Caesars Palace.

But it’s a business just like any other.

You have to balance your books every month, make it through slowdowns, and
most of all, not put yourself at risk of bankruptcy.

Sometimes I talk to people about my career and they think I lose $10 million one
day, and make $20 million the next.

NOTHING could be further from the truth.

My trading account is a business.

It’s not a rollercoaster!

14. BE PART OF A COMMUNITY

Trading attracts people with competitive, individualistic mindsets.

But it’s actually is a team sport.

I can promise you, I would not be where I am today without the support of my
partners like Marc Sperling and Sean Hendelman.

They made me better, and I hope I’ve made them better.

So get out there and start talking with your fellow traders, whether it’s online or off.

When a group of traders regularly shares ideas and techniques, everyone gets
better.

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 15. LIVE A BALANCED, HEALTHY LIFE

If you’re happy and healthy, you’ll think more clearly when trading.

So tackle your personal problems as best you can. A good home life means a sound
mind.

And when you can, put your body to work and let your mind get away from the
markets.

You don’t have to run a marathon.

Play basketball. Lift weights. Or just take a walk.

There’s a time to work hard, and there’s a time to settle down.

You need both in your life.

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 5 Moving Average Rules
You Need to Know

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 Moving Average Rule 1
Let the 8 and 21 day moving averages guide your short-term approach.

When the SPX/SPY is above the 8 and 21 day moving averages, I want to stay long
with a Portfolio Approach.

This means I’ll be long about 8-12 positions that show relative strength.

Let’s take a look at the late-August to mid-December action:

SPY clears the 8 & 21 DMA

Rides the 8 & 21

Day Up

As you can see, after SPY reclaimed the 8 & 21 day moving average with authority,
it rode them up aggressively into year-end.

Every test of the 21 day was bought. It was easy to buy into the bears’ doom &
gloom predictions, but the technicals said stay long!

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 Moving Average Rule 2
Don’t fight stocks trending above the 8 & 21 day moving averages. Ride
them!

Let’s take a look at one of 2017’s top high-beta tech stocks, Shopify (SHOP).

For the first half of the year, the stock barely even tested the 8 & 21 day.

This is the type of stock you want to ride.

Don’t fight a trend

like this!

Barely tests the 21

day. Wow!

When a stock just keeps powering higher and barely even tests the 21 day, you’re
looking at pure momentum.

These are the types of stocks you should keep on the long radar.

Or at the very least, do not fight this kind of trend!

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 Moving Average Rule 3
When the 8 & 21 day break, it’s time to get tactical.

There were no real pullbacks this year, and the SPY never lost the 8 & 21 day for
more than a week or so.

So let’s go back to the action just before the 2016 Presidential Election.

SPX loses the 8 & 21

DMA

Every time the SPX lost the 8 & 21 day, some momentum was lost.

Since a lot of my trading is short-term for cash flow, I ease up on the gas pedal
when these moving averages get lost.

I clean up my ‘least best’ longs and think about testing shorts.

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 Moving Average Rule 4
Use the 50 day to judge the intermediate trend.

If a stock loses the 8 & 21 day moving averages, the next stop to watch is the 50.

If it holds, the intermediate trend stays intact. If it breaks, go on alert.

Needs to get above

50 day to keep trend

50 day holds

For most of 2017, the bears failed to keep Nvidia (NVDA) under the 50 day moving
average.

Every time the 50 day was tested, the ‘buy the dip’ crew showed up and pushed the
stock above the 50, and then the 8 & 21 day.

However, on the right side of the chart, you can see that NVDA made its first real
trip below the 50. If it can’t get back above, it could be in trouble.

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 Moving Average Rule 5
Anything below the 200 day is a short-term trading vehicle, not an
investment.

Even before you look at the ticker on this next chart, what is the chart telling us
about this stock?

Buy and hold would be painful!

This is Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX), which had a major accounting scandal.

You could have taken some short-term trades here and there, but you’re looking at
a major broken trend.

On the very right side of the chart, VRX creeped over the 200 day, so maybe the
major trend is changing.

But my 200-day rule could have saved you a lot of pain.

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 Red Dog Reversal Case
Studies

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 Red Dog Reversal Buy 1
The Red Dog Reversal is a trading technique I use to catch countertrend moves in
an oversold or overbought stock.

We’re going to start with an example of using a Red Dog Reversal to catch a buying
opportunity in an oversold stock.

Here’s how the buy setup works:

1. Stock is down for multiple days

2. Stock goes below prior day’s low

3. Stock trades back up through prior day’s low, which triggers the buy

4. The stop is set at the current intraday low

On the next two pages, you’ll see examples of Red Dog Reversal Buys in the
Nasdaq Biotech ETF (IBB) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).

To give you some deeper insights into the Red Dog Reversal, I’ve added in trendline
and moving average analysis to help you figure out when to hold a swing long after
a Red Dog Reversal.

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 Red Dog Reversal Buy 2
In May, IBB consolidated around the 8, 21, and 50 day moving averages before
dipping for 3 days into May 31.

Reclaims
descending Break
trendline and holds above
8/21/50
day

Buy on trade 5/31

back above $94.19 low is
$94.56 our stop

Let’s break down the Red Dog Reversal Buy step by step.

1) On 5/30, IBB hit a low of $94.56

2) On 5/31, IBB goes below $94.56 and then back above to trigger long at that
level
3) Stop is set at the new 5/31 low of $94.19

Since we are long from $94.56 with a stop at $94.19, we have 37 cents of risk, with
plenty of upside if the move is confirmed.

IBB then reclaimed the descending trendline and held it to show conviction before
a big green engulfing bar above the 8/21/50 day.

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 Red Dog Reversal Buy 3
In January, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) hit a rough spot and fell for 5 straight
days into January 18.

Reclaims
descending
trendline and holds

8 & 21 day
MA’s
reclaimed
Buy on
trade back
above 1/18
$9.78 $9.42 is our stop

Let’s break down the Red Dog Reversal Buy Step By Step.

1) On 1/17, AMD hit a low of $99.78

2) On 1/18, AMD fell below $9.78 and then back above to trigger long at that
level
3) Stop is set at the new 1/18 low of $9.42

Since we are long from $9.78 with a stop at $9.42, we have 36 cents of risk..

LIke IBB, AMD reclaimed the descending trendline and held it to show strength.

Then, AMD reclaimed the 8 & 21 day to hit $14+.

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 Red Dog Reversal Sell 1
Next, we’re going to look at an example of using a Red Dog Reversal to catch a
selling/shorting opportunity in an overbought stock.

Here’s how the sell setup works:

1. Stock is up for multiple days

2. Stock goes above prior day’s high

3. Stock trades back below through prior day’s high, which is where the
sell/short triggers

4. The stop is set at the current intraday high

As you’ve noticed, it’s a mirror image of the Red Dog Reversal Buy.

Now, turn the page and let’s look at examples using Intel (INTC) and Gold (GLD).

Like with our RDR buy examples, we’re going to integrate some additional analysis.

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 Red Dog Reversal Sell 2
Intel (INTC) was one of our best plays in Redler All-Access in 2017 before it slowed
down a bit. It had a big earnings gap on 10/27, then rose for 4 of 5 days into 11/3.

Sell on trade
above then 11/3
below $47.23 $47.30 is our stop

Earnings
Gap Extended far
above 8 & 21 day

Let’s break down the Red Dog Reversal Sell Step By Step.

1) On 11/2, INTC hit a high of $47.30 after 4 of 5 days up

2) On 11/3, INTC went above $47.30 and then below for a sell/short at that level
3) Stop is set at the new 11/3 high of $47.30

With INTC extended far above the the 8 & 21 day moving averages, it was ripe to
watch for a reversal lower.

Within a few weeks, INTC was under $45, and we were on watch for a break of the
8 & 21 day.

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 Red Dog Reversal Sell 3
Gold (GLD) has been pretty tough to trade in 2017, with lots of false signals. Let’s
zero in on the failed October Bounce

Sell on trade
10/16
above then
$123.97 is our stop
below
$123.86

Engulfs the prior day’s

gap and loses 8/21 day

Let’s break down this Red Dog Reversal Sell:

1) On 10/13, GLD hit a high of $123.86 with 6 days up in a row

2) On 10/16, GLD went above $123.86 and then below for a sell/short at that
level
3) Stop is set at the new 10/16 high of $123.97

GLD fell hard on 10/16, engulfing the entire gap from the day before.

On 10/17, it lost the 8 & 21 day moving averages, telling us the trend was changing.

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 2017 in Review:
The Trend Was Your Friend

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 Technicals vs. Opinions
If there’s one important lesson we learned in 2017, it’s that technicals beat opinions
every time. The trend was truly your best friend.

Let’s go through some of the major market stories in 2017:

● The Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Boom

● The tech stock megarally
● Washington D.C. (need I say more?)
● Tensions with North Korea
● Tax reform
● Long-term impact of the Brexit
● The Fed’s rate hike path

We had a lot of headlines about what could go wrong… and not many about what
could go right.

And a lot did go right.

All the indices hit multiple record highs, there was almost no volatility, and “buy the
dip” opportunities came nonstop.

And the more risk you took, the more reward you got.

Bears that fought the momentum got caught in an ugly pain trade.

They thought volatility “had to” come back, and that the market “had to” have a
5-10% pullback.

And stocks kept slowly grinding higher, punishing the bears a penny at a time.

If you were doubling down by rolling up shorts, things were even worse for you.

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 So why was the market so strong in 2017?

The reasons are endless if you focus on headlines:

● Strong US economy
● Strong corporate earnings
● Central bank pumping
● Aggressive bulls blowing a bigger bubble
● Anticipation of tax & regulatory reform
● Old-fashioned optimism
● Europe on the mend

And it’s fine to wonder why.

But we only have so many hours in a day.

Focus on understanding the action, and adapting to it. That’s how you win in this
game.

It’s okay to have opinions. But an opinion isn’t worth much until the market
confirms it.

Do you think the world’s about to end?

That’s fine.

But before you put on a big short, let the market confirm your thesis.

The same thing goes for longs.

If you think the SPX is going straight to 3,000, that’s fine too.

Just make sure the action confirms your opinions, and have a plan for managing
the trade.

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 SPX Review: Clutch Hitter!

SPX kept triggering

above these pennants

‘Buy the Dip’ to the 50

worked every time

You know that this year, it paid to be long and stay long.

Active traders that are in the market daily for cash flow found it tough because it
was a slow methodical grind, with only a few spots to really make fast money.

Most of the time, the SPX stayed above the 21 day, with the occasional trip to the
50, which was always a time to “buy the dip.”

And whenever it looked like there was trouble, we bounced off the 50 and through
the pennants to give fast gains.

We can agree that the SPX was a real clutch hitter this year.

Every time it was bottom of the 9th with two outs, the bulls landed a ‘bloop’ single
over the second baseman’s head.
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 This is why I stress my moving average rules so much.

When the market’s showing momentum above the 8 & 21 day, you don’t want to
bet against it.

If it gets and stays below the 8 & 21 day, the action around the 50 day helps us
judge the intermediate trend.

That’s pretty much all you needed to know, since the 200 day moving average never
came into play.

You could also say that because of that, 2017 was a bad year for economists and
hedge fund macro experts, and a good one for technicians.

Like I said before, we heard a whole lot about what could go wrong, and not a
whole lot about what could go right.

With the benefit of 20/20 hindsight, it looks like the biggest thing that went right is
the dip buyers just never giving up.

And that benefited chartists that ignored the news and focused on the price action.

Now, while this report is over 20 page longer than last year’s, this particular section
is on the short side.

That’s because there’s not a whole lot to say about a slow, steady bull move.

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 High-Beta Tech (QQQ)

One Word: POWER!

Aside from Bitcoin and the other cryptocurrencies, tech completely dominated in
2017.

QQQ was above the 21 day about 75% of the time, and every test of the 50 day
was just another opportunity to “buy the dip” - exactly like with the SPX, just with
more power.

And look how far it’s above the 200 day. That’s the very definition of momentum.

For years, the bears have been talking about the “death of F.A.N.G.” and calling
AMZN/AAPL/NVDA etc. overvalued… but the 2017 tech action is a powerful lesson
in why we value technicals over “opinions.”

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 Megacap Tech

It took INTC 15
years to get above
resistance!

MSFT chart out of nowhere

We saw a resurgence in some of the big megacap tech names like Intel (INTC),
Cisco (CSCO), and Microsoft (MSFT) -- stocks the experts spent years calling “dead
money.”

I missed Microsoft, but INTC and CSCO were great to Redler All-Access readers.

It reminds me of when I made Wal-Mart (WMT) my retail stock of the year for
2012.

Sometimes, it can take YEARS for an old dog to set up… but when it does, you can
see a potent move - like in the monthly INTC chart above.

Later in this report, I’ll name my top 2 ‘old dogs’ for 2018.
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 Financials (XLF)

Notice these fast

streaks above the 8
& 21 day

The banks have been a little streaky and all over the place at times, but they
proved to be a good place to be in 2017

In the first half, XLF kept finding support at $23ish, and then it looked like it was
putting in a double top around $25-$25.50.

There was a little scare towards the 200 day in September, but then it took off
running into year-end.

JP Morgan (JPM) seems to be the leader here, so keep an eye on that for
sentiment.

Goldman Sachs (GS) is worth watching too, but it’s definitely on the wild side.

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 Biotech (IBB)

Phase 2

Phase 1

Phase 3

Like the banks, the bios were a source of alpha this year, though you had to pick
your spots more carefully.

There were basically 3 phases: (kind of like clinical trial phases)

1) The first half of the year, when we had a hard a bounce and then a
consolidation
2) The big rip up into late September
3) The drop back to test the 200 day in November/December

The 200 day has acted as good support for 2017, and it looks like the line in the
sand once again.

I think biotech could surprise to the upside in 2018, as I’ll discuss later.

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 Scott Redler’s
2018 Market Outlook

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 SPX Outlook 1

I just wanted to show you a big-picture chart of the SPX before we dive in a little
deeper.

The big issue we’re facing this year is time.

We’re on year 10 of the bull market, and on average they last about 9 years.

No two bull markets are alike, but it’s time to be a bit more cautious when setting
targets.

So for 2018: we’re making a switch. Instead of a full-year target, we’re going to
focus on Q1. In your first update report at the end of March 2018, I’ll update my
outlook so you’ll be up to date.

On the next page, I’ll zoom in to the circled part above.

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 SPX Outlook 2

Nov. 21 Gap & Go

The SPX has been following the 8 day moving average up since the 11/21 gap & go
above the pennant.

That’s been good for about 100 handles up.

Sometimes after a year like this, funds get fresh money that needs to be put to
work, which forces prices higher.

For now, 2675 is active upper support. If we hold that level, we then want to see it
get and close above 2694. That opens the door for a run to 2740 in Q1.

And if we break back below 2655, there could be downside to the 50 day at
2620ish.

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 Thoughts on Time Frames 1
2,694

1,579

1,200

666

As you can probably tell, I’m a little more cautious overall due to the age of the bull
market. And for that reason, this is a good time to talk about time frames.

The chart above is a monthly SPX going back to 2005, when my wife started her
401/K. She rode the SPX from 1,200ish to 1,576… and then all the way down to
666. But she stuck it out, and all that downside just helped her average cost.

For long-term money, where the market goes in 2018 doesn’t matter too much.

I’m keeping my 401/K and 529 funds pumping in every month, and over time I’ll
come out ahead.

If you’re thinking long-term, it’s never too late to start. I bet 20 years from now,
you’ll regret not putting something away, even if we crash 5 times between now
and then.

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 Thoughts on Time Frames 2
The way I see things now, if I had money in the market that I think I might need in
the next 5 years, I’d take something off the table.

I’d lock in at least some gains after 9 years of nothing but upside.

Think about all the people that got hit hard in the housing crisis.

Too many investors, especially baby boomers, had all their net worth tied up in
leveraged real estate and stocks.

And when they didn’t have enough liquidity to make it through the bad times, they
had to sell at the bottom.

If you can’t take the pain, you can’t ride the recovery.

Now I’m worried that too many investors, especially younger ones, are tying up all
their money in Bitcoin and other crypts.

There’s nothing wrong with Bitcoin inherently. But with any kind of speculation, you
want to be smart.

After all, this isn’t Vegas.

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 Nasdaq Outlook

I’m also switching up my take on the Nasdaq.

I’ve been a technician for almost 2 decades and even I don’t see a clear setup here.

The Nasdaq has come so far so fast since the 2016 election that it’s more about
seeing if it can keep riding the accelerated trend higher on the weekly. (blue line)

As long as that line holds, it can keep on moving higher, especially if Apple (AAPL)
and the semis get in gear early in the new year.

Lots of active traders are trying to just the 8 day up.

6860 needs to hold for them.

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 Oil Outlook

I really wish I’d been able to get this report out sooner, because it’s robbed a bit
from my oil forecast.

I see crude oil getting to $62 to $65 this year, which could cause some rotation into
the energy names this year.

That’s why I’ve included two energy names this year, which you’ll read about later
in this report.

Everyone doubted oil could bounce when it was at $30.

People still hate it at $60, which feels like an opportunity to me.

But it needs to hold $56.

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 Bitcoin Outlook

Late in the year, Bitcoin ramped from $8,000 to $20,000, which stole some thunder
from the introduction of futures in early December.

It recently broke $18,000 which got some fast money to leave. Then it had a sharp
break under $12,000 before reclaiming the 50 day, which has been a theme all
year.

Until it breaks and closes under the 50 day, it’s hard to doubt Bitcoin. What’s
healthy to see is when Bitcoin corrected off the highs, money rotated to other
Crypto assets instead of leaving the space altogether.

But for 2017, I have another cryptocurrency as one of my top picks for 2018.

Keep reading to find out what it i!

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 Bank Outlook

The banks are building a nice little flag into year-end, but I’m a little less bullish
than I was just a few months ago.

However, I’m not abandoning the banks altogether.

Bank of America (BAC) has been a great name for us since it was around $8, and
we’re swapping it out for another name that could have 35%+ upside.

If there’s a better opportunity in the banks at the end of Q1, we’ll give you a heads
up.

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 Scott Redler’s
Top Stock, ETF, and
Options Picks of 2018

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 Stocks vs. Options
My top stocks for 2018 start on the next page.

You’ll notice that in some of my selections, I offer options suggestions.

If you are a member of Redler All-Access, then you know that I often use options
when I’m playing a binary event like earnings.

But I also use options in some other situations when I want to keep my risk
defined.

For example, some setups look like they’ll either win big or fail altogether.

Options cap my risk at the premium paid.

And sometimes, I like the setup on a stock or ETF, but it may take months to play
out.

So I’ll take a feeler with options, and then add an equity swing long once my thesis
is confirmed with a big engulfing move, or a reclaiming of moving averages.

And that’s how I view options in my Market Outlook report picks.

These are names where there’s big upside potential, but I also want to limit my
downside if they don’t work out.

I can’t size your positions for you, but I’ll say this: with options, most of the time, it’s
better to be too small than too big.

The suggested options prices listed were entered just before we released the
report.

So readers may get prices that are better or worse. I wouldn’t be afraid to pay up
10-20% if I had to.

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 Amazon (AMZN)

Amazon (AMZN) was one of the biggest winners from the 2017 Market Outlook
Report.

I said it could go to $1,000 and split 3:1.

We didn’t get the split, but the stock actually broke $1,200.

In 2018, I believe Amazon can hit $2,000 and split 4:1.

The technical picture still looks very strong, and if you look around your
neighborhood, what do you see?

Amazon boxes... everywhere.

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 Apple (AAPL)

Apple (AAPL) has been great to us over the years, and I think it has at least one
more run in it.

In late-December, news reports hit about a big slowdown in iPhone X demand, and
it’s got a bit of a hole in the chart.

However, it’s still above the 50 day, and we’ve been hearing stories about slowing
iPhone demand is for years.

Those reports usually turn out wrong, which makes me wonder why so many
people believe them.

I think Apple can hit $220 in 2018, though it probably won’t start moving until
earnings.

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 Twitter (TWTR)

Twitter (TWTR) has taken a lot of heat in recent years over weak growth and a lack
of product focus.

Last year, we eyed it for a takeover, but the trade never triggered.

But starting in September, the technical picture got a lot stronger, with the stock
holding the 8/21/50 day before igniting in November.

I think Twitter can hit $28-$32, thought it may need a little break at the start of the
year.

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 Snap Inc. (SNAP)

Twitter (TWTR) is not my only social media play for 2018.

I also like Snap (SNAP) for a rebound through the 200 day moving average up to
the $20 area.

Like Twitter, Snap has a lot of haters, but the technical picture is looking better and
better.

If it can break above the 8 & 21 day and then through the 200 day, momentum
traders will take notice.

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 iShares Silver Trust (SLV)

You may have read that I am targeting a contrarian play in precious metals, and
Silver (SLV) is my pick.

Sentiment is horrible, and Silver typically does well at the start of the year.

Bouncing above $16 to resolve the pennant higher could mean it really takes off.

Since this is a bit of a ‘binary’ situation where it either works or it doesn’t, I would
play it with options using the following contracts:

● April $15 calls for about $1.15

● April $16 calls for about $0.60

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 Vaneck Vectors Oil Service ETF (OIH)

Left
Shoulder Left
Shoulder
Head

Redler All-Access has been heavily focused on OIH this month, and I think the good
times can continue.

OIH has an inverse head & shoulders feel to it, which I think resolves to the upside
over $29.

Like SLV, OIH can be pretty wild, so options are a good alternative to the stock.

I’d target these OIH contracts:

-April $25 calls for about $2.25

-April $26 calls for about $1.75

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 Citigroup (C)

We’ve been bullish on Bank of America (BAC) since it was at $8, but for the first
time in years, it’s not making it into the report.

Instead, I’m making Citigroup (C) my only bank pick for 2018.

I think it can hit $87.

And if it holds above $87, it can break $100 -- not bad for a bank stock trading
around $75 now.

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 Nasdaq Biotech ETF (IBB)

A biotech resurgence could be a big surprise story in 2018.

I think we can be in IBB here with a stop at $102.

If it holds $105, watch for a move above $107.40.

That could trigger a fast push to $110, then $114.

If it clears $114, the bio bears had better run for cover because that would mean a
major break above the pennant on the weekly chart you see above.

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 Intrexon (XON)

Freeport McMoRan (FCX) was a home run for us in 2016 when it caught a
January-effect trade and more than doubled.

This year, I’m picking two January effect trades.

The first is Intrexon (XON), a beaten-down biotech name with a DNA research
focus. If the bios turn around like I expect them to, traders may look to pick up
names like XON to play a fast rebound.

I would use options for XON, because it’s a binary situation. And since it’s a biotech,
there’s always risk with data announcements.

I would look at:

-April $12 calls for around $1.90

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 Ziopharm Oncology (ZIOP)

Ziopharm (ZIOP) is my other January effect play.

It’s a biotech name that does cancer and autoimmune disease treatments.

And like XON, it’s pretty beaten up and below all moving averages.

However, a bio bounce could mean a fast move in ZIOP.

I’d use these options:

-April $5 calls for about $0.65

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 GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH)

SHOW LONGER TERM WITH CHANNEL FOR THE YEAR

GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH) was a solid hit for us in 2017, and we’re going back
to it again. I would only use options unless you’re very comfortable with risk on
data releases and other events.

Like with the other bio names I discussed, GWPH could benefit from a rotation to
the sector, especially since cannabis/marijuana is a big growth area.

My target is $175. I would use these options to get long:

● May $140 calls for about $12

● May $150 calls for about $8

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 Global X Funds MSCI Greece ETF (GREK)

We had a great trade in Germany in 2017, but I’m going further east for my top
European play.

I see Greece (GREK) as a very strong ‘trash-for-treasure’ trade.

As you can see on the chart, it suddenly woke up above all moving averages, and it
looks ready to attack resistance around $10.75ish.

Once it passes that, GREK could see $12-$12.50, and even $15 if it really gets going.

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 Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

The semis have come under a ton of pressure at year-end 2017, and I think that’s
giving us an opportunity.

While Nvidia (NVDA) gets more attention from traders, I think Advanced Micro
Devices (AMD) is the place to be in semis in 2018.

There’s even a chance it could get taken over, possibly by a larger tech company
looking for a fast entry to crypto land. (many Bitcoin miners use AMD processors)

Just keep track of Bitcoin, because AMD’s may be tied to it to some extent.

I would buy the April $11 call options for about $0.95.

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 Alibaba (BABA)

Alibaba (BABA) has been great to Market Outlook and Redler All-Access readers for
years and years.

I don’t think that’s about to change.

BABA had a huge run through November, and it’s taking a little break.

But it’s getting nice and tight around the 8, 21, and 50 day moving averages, and I
think it’s going to be a coiled spring.

My target for BABA is $220.

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 ZTO (ZTO)

ZTO Express (ZTO) was one of the biggest IPO’s of all time, and it’s joining Alibaba
(BABA) as a 2018 China Play.

ZTO is a Chinese express delivery company that does a lot of deliveries for online
retailers like Alibaba and JD.com (JD).

It’s a choppy stock, but I think we can buy here with a stop at $12.

And if it takes off, I would add above $18. It could hit $22.

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 Viewray (VRAY)

Viewray (VRAY) is a highly-speculative medical device name that I’m targeting for a
big extension.

It came back to life in September before an explosion above the 8, 21, and 50 day
moving averages in November.

VRAY is not for the faint of heart since it’s very volatile and has already bounced
pretty big.

But it could double in 2018.

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 Cisco (CSCO)

This year, Redler All-Access readers had a big hit with a long trade swing in Intel
(INTC).

I think Cisco (CSCO) is waking up in a similar way.

It gapped through important long-term resistance at $35ish and it’s looking at $39
now.

There’s not a lot of juice left because it came from $30ish, but it could hit $44-$46.

If it can get and stay above that range, it could get more momentum.

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 IBM (IBM)

Cisco (CSCO) isn’t the only old-school tech name I like for 2018.

I’m also bullish on IBM (IBM) which is just turning the corner to growth after years
and years of declining revenues.

It feels like a bit of a race between the two.

I think a lot of traders will be trying to sniff out the next megacap tech turnaround,
and IBM’s dividend will help it stand out.

If IBM gets above the descending trendline at $155ish, it could be off to the races,
especially if it reclaims $162.

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 Exxon Mobil (XOM)

Exxon Mobil (XOM) was a disappointment for us in 2017 since our stop got taken
out pretty fast.

But since I see oil at $62 to $65 in 2018, I think there could be some rotation of
funds to energy.

XOM is a pretty tame name overall, but it could hit the $90’s in 2018.

If oil keeps creeping higher, that may happen sooner rather than later.

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 Caesar’s (CZR)

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) was a multi-year winner for us in these Market Outlooks, so
I’m very sad we’re not including it this year!

As we say goodbye to Wynn, we’re moving on to another Las Vegas hot spot:
Caesars Entertainment (CZR).

Caesar’s is building a very slow momentum trend higher that could mean a sharp
move up.

WIth a break above the 8, 21, and 50 day moving averages, Caesar’s could make a
quick run to $16+.

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 Ford (F)

Ford (F) just broke out above its descending channel.

I like it long here with a stop at $10.40, which is just below the ascending lower
trendline on the chart.

If the economy gets better, and the old-school carmakers really get into electrics,
that could mean a bright year for Ford.

It’s not as fancy as Tesla (TSLA), but maybe that’s a good thing, because nobody’s
looking at it Ford after 3+ rough years.

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 General Electric (GE)

General Electric (GE) is my “Dog of the Dow” for 2018.

It’s been clobbered this year and it’s way, way below the 200 day moving average. It
hasn’t even been above the 21 day in months.

I think GE could set up nicely as a countertrend play.

Here are two ways to trade it:

● Buy June 18 call options for around $1.00

● Buy a small position in the stock now, and add a second tier if there is an
igniting bar above the 21 day moving average

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 Potash (POT)

Potash (POT) was a bit of a stinker (sorry, couldn’t help myself) in early 2017, but
it’s been coming on stronger late this year.

There is a cup & handle pattern forming, and it could see real upside if it breaks
above resistance at $20.50ish.

Then, if it reclaims the 200 day, which is now around $23ish, it could ignite further.

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 Ethereum

Ethereum is my top cryptocurrency play in 2018.

We’re going to see a lot of flash-in-the-pan coins that disappear, but Ethereum has
staying power, and should attract money from people who can’t pony up $15K+ for
a single Bitcoin.

I would buy here with a stop at $480. That’s a lot of downside risk - let’s not deny
that.

But if Ethereum gets above the recent high of $863, it could break $1,000.

And if it can hold above $1,000, it could hit the $2,500 to $3,500 range.

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 Final Words
Thank you for letting me help you on your trading journey.

Some of you have been reading this report and/or Redler All-Access for years, and I
want you to know that your feedback is what gets me out of bed every morning.

With each new Market Outlook Report, we try to top what we did the prior year,
and I hope we achieved that again for 2018.

My final message remains the same: don’t give up.

You know that trading is not easy.

But if we tune out the noise and focus on what’s important - the price action - we
can succeed.

As I’ve said, you always hear about what could go wrong. But you don’t hear much
about what could go right.

And as you’ve seen in 2017, a lot went right. If you focused on the trend, you
probably did well.

But whether you had a great year or a so-so year, remember that this is a
marathon, not a sprint.

Stay engaged, and stay disciplined.

Take things one day at a time, and do your best to hit singles and doubles. They
really do add up over time.

I wish you and your loved ones all the best in 2018 and beyond, and I thank you for
being part of T3 Live’s trading community.

Yours in Trading,

Scott J. Redler

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 APPENDIX
2017 Market
Outlook Report Review

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 SPX Outlook Review

When I released my original 2017 Market Outlook report, I said this:

“I’d like to see SPX hold 21 day micro support at 2243, and then reclaim the 8
day at 2258.

And then, if we can get above and hold 2277, that opens the door for a rally
to 2325, and possibly 2410 if real momentum returns.”

We hit my 2410 stretch target on May 25.

Since then, every dip has been bought, turning 2017 into a giant “pain trade” for
bears.

The SPX has made fresh record highs above 2500 as banks, energy, and small caps
turned up the heat.

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 Nasdaq Outlook Review

When I released my original 2017 Market Outlook report, I said the following about
the Nasdaq:

“I think there’s potential upside to 6000, but it must hold the the 21 day at
5418. Below that and things get shaky.”

The Nasdaq has done great this year with go-to names like Apple (AAPL), Nvidia
(NVDA) and Facebook (FB) ripping higher.

It’s been making new all-time highs pretty regularly, and it’s approaching 7,000!

Now let’s move on to my individual stock picks.

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 Apple (AAPL)

My Original Prediction

If it clears $118.50, next resistance is $132ish, and then it can reach $142. I’d keep
a stop at the 200 day.

The Result

Apple hit my $142 target on March 21, and eventually broke the $170 mark.

It’s been a great stocks for Redler All-Access readers, defying the doubters at every
turn.

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 Twitter (TWTR)

My Original Prediction:

Twitter (TWTR) was a loser for us in 2016, but I think 2017 will finally be the year
when it gets taken over, most likely by Google (GOOGL).

I would only accumulate on extremes to the downside -- like around $13.

The Result

Twitter hasn’t approached my $13 “buy for a deal point” yet.

It got as low as $14.12 this year before bouncing above $22.

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 Bank of America (BAC)

My Original Prediction

My preferred strategy would be to buy small at the start of the year and add when
it breaks above the 2016 high of $23.39.

My initial target is $28.50, and there is potential for it to hit $32.

And What Happened

Bank of America spent most of 2017 in a band between $22.50ish and $25ish
before breaking above $25 in December.

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 Wynn Resorts (WYNN)

My Original Prediction:

I would 1) Buy at $82.50. Or 2) Wait for it to reclaim the 200 day (currently around
$94ish).

Down the road, if it clears $105, that would make it a tradable momentum vehicle
and it could hit $120. On the options side, I’d look at June $100 calls, which are
trading around $4.20.

And What Happened:

WYNN was our biggest hit of the year. The stock blasted through the 200 day and
my initial $120 target to get above $165.

My options play rose over 300%.

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 Tesla (TSLA)

My Original Prediction:

I think it can make new all-time highs above $290 in 2017.

I’d buy at the 200 day (now around $208), or I’d pick up June $230 calls for about
$16.00.

And What Happened:

I said TSLA could break above $290, and it almost hit $390!

We did very well with the June $230 calls earlier in the year, which rose almost
300%.

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 Potash (POT)

My Original Prediction:

Potash (POT) looks like it’s going to resolve its 1+ year range to the upside in 2017.

It could hit $23-$24, though it could be volatile, possible revisiting the $15.60 area
at some point.

And What Happened:

Potash was rose a bit this year so it wasn’t a loss, but it didn’t approach my $23-$24
target area.

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 GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH)

My Original Prediction:

I think it can stage a nice rally if it takes out $117 on heavy volume.

I like the May $130 calls for around $6.00 and the August $130 calls for around
$10.50. The stock could hit $135-$140, and I would trim and trail along the way if it
powers up quickly.

And What Happened:

GW hit $136.95 in May to give us a nice win.

Our options trades did great early in the year.

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 Under Armour (UA)

My Original Prediction:

Under Armour (UA) could shape up well as a January effect play.

It could hit $30 and possible fill the gap up to $32.

And What Happened:

Under Armour was a complete dog for us in 2017.

It lost the 8/21 day fast and then had a string of bad earnings reports. This was my
biggest disappointment of the year.

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 Shake Shack (SHAK)

My Original Prediction

I’d look to get long at $34.77, and I would add with a close above $39.

It could then hit $48 - $50. To play it with options, I’d look at the June $40 calls for
around $2.25.

And What Happened

Shake Shack had a rough time in 2017… until December, when it nearly hit $47.

If you held on, congratulations!

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 Travelport (TVPT)

My Original Prediction

I would buy small against $12.90 and then add on a move above $15.

I’d keep an $11.40 stop and trim & trail on the way up.

I think it can hit $20+.

And What Happened

Travelport got stopped out at $11.38 before rallying hard to break $16 in October.

It’s come down quite a bit since then.

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 Emerge Energy Services (EMES)

My Original Prediction

It’s trading at $12 and change but it could see $20+.

I’d keep a stop around $8.50.

And What Happened

EMES was a grand slam for us.

This fracking name sailed past $20 and hit $24.45 in February before sinking hard.

Strong oil hasn’t helped it.

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 Exxon Mobil (XOM)

My Original Prediction

I’d be a buyer at $89.76. It could go north of $100.

I’d place a stop at $87.50.

What Actually Happened

XOM stopped us out for a tiny loss at $87.50.

That’s no big deal, because it got a lot weaker after that as oil prices fell.

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 Pandora (P)

My Original Prediction

Pandora (P) was featured as a takeover target in my 2015 report, and I’m going
back to the well.

I think this is the year that the deal happens, with an $18+ price. My preferred
strategy is to look at June $14 calls for around $1.40 to keep risk defined.

What Actually Happened

Pandora’s been dropping like a rock all year, which meant the options trade we
suggested was a loser.

This is why I don’t play binary events with stock. I use options because I can define
my risk.

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 Acacia Communications (ACIA)

My Original Strategy

I’d buy small around $63.

Or, I would wait for a strong close above $69.

My target is the $83 - $85 range, though I expect a bumpy ride.

What Actually Happened

We got stopped out earlier in the year, but I keep it on the radar because it was so
good to us in 2016.

It’s been going sideways for almost 6 months. If there is a high-volume bar above
$49, that could mean a move to the high $50’s/low $60’s.

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 Amazon (AMZN)

My Original Strategy

It’s nice and tight and could be a good focus to start the new year.

I see it breaking $1,000 and splitting 3:1.

What Actually Happened.

Amazon has been great to us, hitting our $1,000 target in July, with an all-time high
at $1,083.31.

It didn’t split as I predicted, but I’m not complaining! Congrats to those who stayed
the course.

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 iShares Germany ETF (EWG)

My Original Strategy

I would like to buy EWG here with a stop at $25.85 and I’d add with a close above
$26.90.

My initial target is $27.50, and then it could hit $28.34.

FEZ is also a good way to play Europe, and is more diversified than the
Germany-focused EWG.

What’s Actually Happened

EWG is well past my $28.34 target, and FEZ is also up big.

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 Facebook (FB)

My Original Strategy

Facebook (FB) was a big winner in my 2015 and 2016 Market Outlook reports

But I’m unfriending the stock.

I think the stock can trade as low as $100 in 2017, so I’d be very careful with it.

What Actually Happened

Facebook dipped in early July and came right back.

It’s still considered best in class, so I wish we were on the right side of this one in
2017.

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 About T3 Live
T3 Live was founded to help investors like you generate income and build wealth.

Our approach includes a mix of trading, training, and technology to help you
succeed in all market conditions.

T3 was founded by traders, not marketers.

We know what works because we've been in the trenches, trading for a living.

If you have any questions about this report, your account, or any of our services,
please email us at [email protected], or call us at 1-888-998-3548.

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