Jmse 11 02032 v2
Jmse 11 02032 v2
Marine Science
and Engineering
Article
A Simplified Approach for Predicting Bend Radius in HDPE
Pipelines during Offshore Installation
Muhammad Zahid Jiwa 1,2 , Young Tae Kim 3 , Zahiraniza Mustaffa 2 , Seungjun Kim 4, * and Do Kyun Kim 3,5, *
Abstract: Traditionally, subsea pipelines designed for the transportation of oil, gas, and water are
constructed using carbon steel due to its strength, toughness, and ability to operate at temperatures
up to 427 ◦ C. However, polyethylene (PE), especially its high-density variant (HDPE), presents
advantages such as reduced installation costs, diminished water leakage, and superior corrosion
resistance. As research endeavours to enhance PE properties, its adoption for subsea applications
is anticipated to rise. This study first delineates the mechanical behaviour of HDPE pipelines for
offshore installation, identifying pulling tension, dimension ratio, water depth, and air fill ratio as
the paramount lay parameters. Subsequently, a theoretical bend radius equation was derived from
pipelaying mechanics using a purely geometric approach. Within this equation, two determinants,
parameter X and parameter Y, dictate the sagbend bend radius. Regression analysis elucidated the
relationships of lay parameters with both X and Y, yielding a general equation for X in terms of
pull tension, water depth, and air fill ratio and another for Y as a function of water depth. Together,
Citation: Jiwa, M.Z.; Kim, Y.T.; these geometric determinants underpin the sagbend bend radius estimation model. For overbend
Mustaffa, Z.; Kim, S.; Kim, D.K. A bend radius prediction, a lay index (IL ) was fashioned from the aforementioned three parameters.
Simplified Approach for Predicting
Correlation assessments between the lay index and overbend bend radius revealed R2 values of 0.940,
Bend Radius in HDPE Pipelines
0.836, and 0.712 for pipes with diameters of 2.0, 2.5, and 3.0 metres, respectively. This underscores
during Offshore Installation. J. Mar.
the model’s proficiency in predicting the bend radius, albeit with decreasing precision for larger-
Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032.
diameter pipelines.
https://doi.org/10.3390/
jmse11102032
Keywords: ocean and shore technology (OST); HDPE; offshore installation; pipeline; bend radius; subsea
Academic Editor: Mohamed
Benbouzid
dynamic responses. Based on their findings, they established explosive charge standards
and devised damage prediction models for different damage levels. Majid and Elghorba [7]
conducted HDPE pipe failure analysis by a static test and proposed simplified approaches to
assess the damage. Guidara et al. [8] performed a structural integrity assessment of defected
HPDE pipes. They focused on the burst test and FE-based ECA by a J-integral technique.
Guidara et al. [9] continuously proposed a semi-empirical model for structural integrity
assessment for HDPE pipes. However, studies related to subsea pipeline installation using
HDPE pipes are limited.
Other frequent linings include polyvinyl chloride (PVC), fusion-bonded epoxy (FBE),
and corrosion-resistant alloy (CRA) [10,11]. Conversely, pure HDPE pipes dominate the
construction of seawater intake and discharge systems in coastal processing facilities.
Extensive research has been conducted on the installation of offshore carbon steel pipelines
and pipe-in-pipe systems [12–14]. However, offshore HDPE pipeline installations diverge
from carbon steel installations, primarily because of HDPE’s lightweight properties. Carbon
steel pipes predominantly employ the S-lay and J-lay installation methods. The S-lay
process sees the pipeline transition from a horizontal vessel position, curving downwards
to the seabed in an emblematic S-shape. In contrast, the J-lay method, preferred for deeper
waters, deploys the pipeline from a vertical lay system (VLS) tower, assuming a J-shape [15].
Pipelines during offshore installations endure external pressure, bending, and axial
load from various environmental forces [16,17], impacting their fatigue life over operational
phases [18–21]. Hence, ensuring pipelines perform as designed without compromising
integrity is paramount. Analytical optimization of the design is vital for effective real-world
operation, underlining the importance of a profound understanding of installation analysis
modelling techniques. HDPE pipes in marine applications, predominantly for water intake
or discharge, are favoured due to their high corrosion resistance, low surface roughness
(enhancing hydraulic behaviour), and exceptional resilience against environmental forces.
Roberts et al. [22] indicated that outfall diffuser depths typically range from 20 m to 40 m.
Pipelines situated in water depths beyond 60 m are classified as deep water. Notably, in
2012, Makai Ocean Engineering undertook a repair study on a 40” diameter HDPE intake
pipeline located at a depth of 670 m. Utilising the Orcaflex software (ver 9.6), Rocheleau
and Jensen [23] crafted a finite element (FE) model to emulate a large-diameter catenary
HDPE pipeline and its anchoring system, enhancing the repair methodologies through a
better understanding of design behaviour.
Several authors, including Johansen et al. [24] and Ravlic et al. [25], have illuminated
the challenges of subsea pipeline installations. In brief, the challenges including the
research gap and the technical reviews on HDPE pipeline studies and guidelines are
concisely illustrated in Figure 1a,b. More recently, Kim et al. [26] detailed the design and
installation of an ultra-large HDPE intake pipeline in Algeria, boasting a diameter of 2.5 m
and dimension ratios of 26 and 30. The pipe dimension ratio (DR) is defined as the ratio of
a pipe’s outer diameter to its wall thickness. Intriguingly, as the DR increases, indicating a
larger diameter, the wall thickness proportionally decreases.
J.J.Mar.
Mar.Sci.
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25
AA critical
critical observation
observation was was that
that the
the pipe’s
pipe’s simplified
simplified minimum
minimum yield
yield stress
stress (SMYS)
(SMYS)
stoodat
stood ataasignificant
significant92%,92%,especially
especiallywhenwhenconsidering
consideringaa70 70kN
kNpulling
pullingforce.
force.The
TheHDPE
HDPE
pipeline isis typically
pipeline typically installed
installed viavia the
the float-and-sink
float-and-sink method,
method, as illustrated
illustrated in Figure 2a.
Enhancedmodelling
Enhanced modellingtechniques
techniquesduring
duringthethesinking
sinkingphase
phasecancanpotentially
potentiallyyield
yieldimproved
improved
analysisresults.
analysis results.Since
Sincethethe introduction
introduction of pipes
of PE PE pipes for marine
for marine installations
installations in the in
latethe late
1950s,
1950s, the S-lay sinking method has predominantly been employed.
the S-lay sinking method has predominantly been employed. As presented by Andtbacka As presented by
Andtbacka
et al. [33], theet essential
al. [33], the essential
premise premise
of this of this
method methodthe
involves involves the pipe
pipe initially initially
floating onfloat-
the
ing on the seawater’s
seawater’s surface, by
surface, followed followed
water by water
being being
filled filled
from from
one endone endpull
while while pull ten-
tension is
exerted at the opposite
sion is exerted end. end.
at the opposite
However, a novel conceptual study by Stentiford and Wooley [27] proposed three
distinct installation methods for PE pipelines for depths of up to 1000 m. The first, known
as the ocean surface floating tow method, requires buoyancy modules to be fixed at
specific intervals. These modules ensure the pipeline’s top breaches the seawater’s surface.
Following this, the pipeline is towed to its designated location by a tugboat. Once in
position, buoys are gradually released, causing the pipeline to descend onto the seabed.
The second method, termed the buoyant catenary, employs a clump weight attached at
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 4 of 23
both the inshore and offshore ends of the pipeline. Installation is orchestrated so that both
weights descend to their respective positions. Due to its low-density nature, the buoyancy
of the
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, PE pipeline
x FOR makes it assume an inverted catenary shape. Lastly, the ocean floor
PEER REVIEW 4
tow method allows the pipeline to be towed out to sea, hovering just above the seabed to
minimise current impacts.
Historically, theHowever,
definitionaof “large
novel diameter”
conceptual for PE
study by pipes has evolved.
Stentiford and Wooley In 1982, a
[27] proposed
pipe with a 1.0 m diameter
distinct and a dimension
installation methods for ratio of 23 wasfor
PE pipelines deemed
depthslarge
of up [28]. Bym.
to 1000 2009,
The first, kn
as the pipelines
marine cooling water ocean surface floating
for the Tergatow method,
power plantrequires
were beingbuoyancy modules
constructed withto be
a fixed at
diameter of 2.0 mcific
andintervals.
a dimensionTheseratio
modules
of 26 ensure the pipeline’s
[34]. Presently, top breaches
PE pipes the seawater’s sur
are manufactured
in sizes reachingFollowing
up to 3260 this,
mm theinpipeline is towed
diameter, to its designated
with dimension ratioslocation
rangingby a tugboat.
from 17 to Once in
sition, buoys are gradually released, causing the pipeline to
41 [35]. Consequently, it is plausible to infer that mechanical properties consistent with descend onto the seabed
second
pipes smaller than 3.0 mmethod,
can be termed the given
achieved, buoyant thecatenary,
similarity employs a clumpratios.
in dimension weight attached at
This
the inshore
research endeavours and offshore
to provide insights ends of the
into the pipeline. Installation
characteristics is orchestrated
and behaviour of large- so that
diameter HDPEweights descend toatheir
and to introduce respectivemodel
streamlined positions. Due tothe
to predict its low-density
bend radiusnature,
of the the buoy
of the PEinstallation.
pipeline during offshore pipeline makes Thisitstudy
assume an inverted
specifically catenarypipes
examines shape.of Lastly, them,
2.0 m, 2.5 ocean floo
methodspanning
and 3.0 m in diameter, allows the pipeline toratios
dimension be towed
of 17,out
21,to26,
sea,
33,hovering
and 41. just above the seabed to
imise current impacts.
2. Sinking Process Mechanism
Historically, the definition of “large diameter” for PE pipes has evolved. In 19
Earlier research with
pipe a 1.0 m
primarily diameter
relied and aanalysis
on static dimension ratio of 23
of pipeline was deemed
issues. large
Initially, the [28]. By
marine cooling water pipelines for the Terga power plant
pipeline profile, often assumed to adopt an S-shape during the sinking operation, was an were being constructed w
unknown variable.diameter
The mostof 2.0 m and
critical a dimension
stage ratio process,
is the sinking of 26 [34]. Presently,
depicted PE pipes
in Figure 2b.areFormanufact
in sizes reaching
a successful installation, up to 3260
it is imperative mm inadiameter,
to strike with dimension
balance between ratios ranging
the downward forces from 17
[35]. Consequently, it is plausible to infer that mechanical properties consistent with p
smaller than 3.0 m can be achieved, given the similarity in dimension ratios. This rese
endeavours to provide insights into the characteristics and behaviour of large-diam
HDPE and to introduce a streamlined model to predict the bend radius of the pip
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 5 of 23
(q1) and upward forces (q2). Downward forces primarily stem from the concrete weights
attached to the pipeline, while the buoyancy of the air-filled pipeline section generates the
upward forces.
For the sinking process to commence and progress, the downward forces must slightly
outweigh the upward forces. However, maintaining this delicate balance remains a central
challenge. It is crucial to prevent the acceleration of downward forces; this can be managed
by monitoring the sinking speed and adjusting the internal air pressure accordingly. If
sinking speed escalates, air pressure can be increased, and the reverse is also true. Tools
like valves and compressors play a vital role in regulating this pressure. A primary concern
for the pipeline is potential damage due to buckling at the sea’s surface or bottom, caused
by bending. As illustrated in Figure 2b, key factors influencing the sinking process include
upward and downward forces, pulling force (P), air pressure, and sinking velocity (V).
Notably, this study specifically focuses on the upward, downward, and pulling forces.
3. Study of Interest
To develop a simplified method for predicting the bend radius of large-diameter HDPE
pipelines, we delved into the following research domains:
• Analysing the impact of depth variation on the pipeline’s total stress and curvature.
• Investigating the influence of applied tension variations on total stress and curvature.
• Evaluating the effect of the pipe’s dimension ratio (DR) on total stress and curvature.
• Comparing results for pipe diameters of 2.0 m, 2.5 m, and 3.0 m.
• Conducting a regression analysis on the primary parameters for pipeline installation.
• This study presents analysis results obtained from static modelling. In this initial
study, static analysis is adequate to obtain the effect of water depth, pull tension, pipe
DR and AFR on pipe curvature or bend radius for the formulation of bend radius
prediction. Hence, dynamic analysis, which takes into account the vessel and pipeline
hydrodynamic behaviour, has not been analysed.
Methods Advantages
Buoy Able to run in time domain.
Clump Quick to model and run.
Quick to model and run.
Equivalent weight
Better load distribution.
J.J.Mar.
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Figure3.3.
Figure
Figure 3.HDPE
HDPEpipe
HDPE pipesinking
pipe sinkingmodel.
sinking model.
model.
Figure 4.
Figure 4. Finite
Finite element
element (FE)
(FE) model
model of
of the
the sinking
sinking process.
process.
Figure 4. Finite element (FE) model of the sinking process.
Table 1.
Table 1. Comparison
Comparison of
of the
the advantages
advantages of
of different
different modelling
modelling techniques.
techniques.
Table 2. Comparison of the disadvantages of different modelling techniques.
Methods
Methods Advantages
Advantages
Methods Disadvantages
Buoy
Buoy Able to run in time domain.
Able to run in time domain.
Buoy is the model as a point load.
Clump
Clump Quick to
Quick
Requires
to model
model and
many model
and run.
run.
objects (3D buoy and links).
Buoy Quick to model and run.
weight
Equivalent weight
Equivalent
Difficult
Quick totomodel
refine model.
and run.
Better load
Floating
Better load distribution.
profile is not accurate.
distribution.
Clump is the model as a point load.
Clump
Table 2.
2. Comparison of
of the
the disadvantages
disadvantages of different
Limited to static different modelling
modelling techniques.
calculation. techniques.
Table Comparison of
Methods Limited to static calculation.
Disadvantages
Methods
Equivalent weight Disadvantages
Requires performing hand calculation of the equivalent weight.
Buoy is
Buoy is the
the model
model asas aa point
point load.
load.
Requires many model
Requires many model objects (3Dobjects (3D buoy
buoy and
and links).
links).
Buoy
Buoy
Table 3. Final
decision matrix table for modelling
Difficult to refine selection.
model.
Difficult to refine model.
Floating profile
profile is not accurate.
Criteria FloatingWeightageis not accurate.
Buoy Clump Equivalent
Clump
Clump is
is the model
the model asas aa point
point load.
load.
LoadClump
distribution (kN)
Clump 9 −0.483 −0.518 1
Limited to
Limited to static
static calculation.
calculation.
Model complexity −2
Limited to
Limited to7static
static calculation.
calculation. 1 1
Sagbendweight
stress ratio Requires performing
6 −2 calculation of0 the equivalent
1
Equivalent
Equivalent weight Requires performing hand hand calculation of the equivalent
weight.
Overbend stress ratio
weight. 6 1 −0.5 0
Total Score - −24.347 −0.662 22
Table 3.
Table 3. Final
Final decision
decision matrix
matrix table
table for
for modelling
modelling selection.
selection.
properties of the pipe utilised in this study are detailed in Tables 4–6. An initial pull tension
of 153 kN, calculated using Equation (1), was applied to assess the influence of varying
depth values on the pipelay’s shape, as well as its stress and strain responses.
Here, T is the tension (kN), wsub is the pipeline’s submerged weight, and w.d. (mm) is
water depth.
While maintaining a constant tension, the water depth was varied in increments of
10 m to observe its effects on the pipeline until it reached a point of overstress or buckling.
As observed, with an increase in water depth, the pipeline profile tends to become steeper.
Figures 5 and 6 illustrate the stress and curvature variations in the pipeline throughout
the sinking process. Notably, as the water depth rises, there is a corresponding increase in
both stress and curvature when tension remains unchanged. It is crucial to highlight that,
depending on the chosen design criteria for installation, the results can vary significantly.
For instance, under stress limit criteria, the pipeline can sustain depths up to 27 m before
failure, as depicted in Figure 5. In contrast, if considering the local buckling limit, this
threshold extends up to 60 m before observing a failure.
w.d. = 12 OD (2)
In line with Pipelife’s guidelines, water depths greater than 24 m qualify as the
“deepwater” region, as formulated in Equation (2) [36]. Due to the unique challenges and
conditions present in deepwater installations, the pulling tension needs to be adapted. To
accommodate for these depths, the pull tension was adjusted to double its previous value,
increasing it to 300 kN. This study further examined increasing water depths, beginning
from a 30 m depth and incremented in 20 m intervals. The results of this approach, including
the impact on stress, curvature, and any observed buckling or failure points, are discussed
in the subsequent sections.
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 8 of 25
from a 30 m depth and incremented in 20 m intervals. The results of this approach, includ-
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032
ing the impact on stress, curvature, and any observed buckling or failure points, are8 dis-
of 23
Figure 5.
Figure Stress diagrams
5. Stress diagrams of
of the
the HDPE
HDPE pipeline
pipeline laid
laid at
at different
different water depths at
water depths at 150
150 kN
kN of
of tension.
tension.
Figure
Figure 7. Stress diagrams
7. Stress
Stress diagrams of
of HDPE
HDPE pipeline
pipeline laid
laid at different
different water
at different depths at
water depths at 300
300 kN
kN of
of tension.
tension.
Figure9.9. Sagbend
Figure Sagbend curvature
curvature profile
profile due
due to
to tension
tension variation.
variation.
Therepercussions
The repercussionsofofheightened
heightenedpulling
pullingonon the
the pipeline’s
pipeline’s stress
stress andand curvature
curvature dy-
dynam-
namics
ics are comprehensively
are comprehensively depicted
depicted in Figures
in Figures 10 and1011.
and 11. Notably,
Notably, escalating
escalating the pullthe pull
tension
tensioninresults
results in a marked
a marked declinedecline in the maximum
in the maximum stressstress and curvature,
and curvature, bothboth in the
in the over-
overbend
bend and sagbend zones. However, this diminishing effect is considerably
and sagbend zones. However, this diminishing effect is considerably more pronounced more pro-in
nounced in the sagbend region compared to its counterpart. To quantify, tension enhance-
ment from 153 kN to 450 kN triggers a 13.5% reduction in curvature in the overbend zone,
while the sagbend region experiences a more substantial drop of 26.7%, as corroborated
by Table 7.
ment from 153 kN to 450 kN triggers a 13.5% reduction in curvature in the overbend zone,
while the sagbend region experiences a more substantial drop of 26.7%, as corroborated
by Table 7.
3.4.
TableEffect of Pipe Dimension
7. Curvature Ratio
reduction percentage.
The pipe’s dimension ratio (DR) is defined as the ratio of a pipe’s outer diameter to
Pulling Tension Curvature at Region
its wall thickness. Intriguingly, as the DR increases, indicating a thicker diameter, the wall
(kN) Overbend Sagbendpipeline
thickness proportionally decreases. For the scope of this analysis, our reference
spotlights a DR of 26.153 This section critically assesses0.0163 0.0105 pipe DRs
the ramifications of varying
on integral aspects450 of the pipe—notably its stress 0.0141
and curvature. A deliberate selection of
0.00778
five DR values, which are
Reduction (%)
prominently utilised in manufacturing,
13.5
forms the foundation
26.7
of
this study. These chosen DRs are 17, 21, 26, 33, and 41. In our numerical simulation, a pipe
with a 2.0 m diameter saw its wall thickness methodically reduced across the specified
3.4. Effect of Pipe Dimension Ratio
DRs: from 117 mm, progressing to 95 mm, 77 mm, 60 mm, and finally reaching 49 mm.
The pipe’s
The profounddimension
influenceratio (DR)onisthe
of DR defined
bendas the ratio
radius, of a pipe’s
specifically in outer diameter
the sagbend to
and
its wall thickness. Intriguingly, as the DR increases, indicating a thicker diameter,
overbend regions, is meticulously explored. Figures 12 and 13 encapsulate the tangible the wall
thickness
effects proportionally
of stress decreases.
and curvature on theFor the scope
pipeline of this
across the analysis,
spectrumour reference
of the five DR pipeline
varia-
spotlights
tions. a DR of
Of these, the26. Thiswith
pipe section
a DR critically assesses thethe
of 41 manifested ramifications of varying
most pronounced pipe DRs
stresses and
curvatures. In stark contrast, the pipe characterised by a DR of 17 showcased the least
stress and curvature. Synthesising these observations, it is discernible that a pipe with a
lower DR is advantageous. Not only does it boast a more expansive cross-sectional area
conducive to stress mitigation, but its robustness also empowers it with enhanced re-
Figure 11. Curvature diagram of the pipeline under different tension values.
Figure 12.
Figure Stress diagram
12. Stress diagram of
of the
the pipeline
pipeline under
under different
different pipe
pipe dimension
dimension ratios.
ratios.
Figure 13.
Figure Curvature diagram
13. Curvature diagram of
of the
the pipeline
pipeline under
under different
different pipe dimension ratios.
Figure16.
Figure 16. Effect
Effect of
of AFR
AFR on
on the
the pipe
pipeprofile.
profile.
Analysis of aa 2.0
Analysis 2.0mmdiameter
diameterpipe
pipesubmerged
submerged at aat30a m
30water
m waterdepth withwith
depth a tension of
a tension
200 kN showcased the influence of AFR on the pipe’s peak stress and bend
of 200 kN showcased the influence of AFR on the pipe’s peak stress and bend radius, as radius, as
depicted in
depicted in Figures
Figures 17 and
and 18.
18.Notably,
Notably,the
themaximal
maximalstress
stressisisminimised
minimised at at
anan
AFR of 10%
AFR of 10%
and escalates to
and escalates to itsits peak within the 30–35% AFR spectrum. Beyond an AFR
within the 30–35% AFR spectrum. Beyond an AFR of 40%, of 40%, its its
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, x FOR PEER influence
REVIEW on pipe stress becomes negligible. In terms of both structural integrity and 14 of 25
cost
influence on pipe stress becomes negligible. In terms of both structural integrity and cost
efficiency,aalower
efficiency, lower AFR
AFR isis preferable.
preferable.
Figure 17.
Figure Effect of
17. Effect of AFR
AFR on
on maximum
maximum stress.
stress.
Furthermore, the bend radius’s relationship with AFR is evident in Figure 18, indicat-
ing a reduction in the bend radius as the AFR climbs. This reduction effect is particularly
pronounced in the sagbend region compared to the overbend. A decreased AFR facilitates
the use of lighter ballast weights on the pipeline, ensuring the stability of the anchored
pipeline remains paramount. Employed weights must sufficiently anchor the pipeline,
guaranteeing vertical and horizontal stability, be it within a trench or directly on the
seabed [29].
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 14 of 23
weight ofrepresents
where the flooded
where RR represents thepipe.
the pipe’s
In contrast,
pipe’s bending
the
bending radius
horizontal
radius in in the
pull tension
the sagbend
sagbend region.
serves
region. The
a crucial
Theparameter
role in
parameterXX
managing
denotes the the characteristic
horizontal distance “S” configuration
between the of the
inflexion pipeline
point and
denotes the horizontal distance between the inflexion point and the touchdown point (TDP),as it
the transitions
touchdown frompointthe
water’s
(TDP), surface
while Y to the
signifies seabed.
the This
vertical transition
distance fromcan thebe segmented
inflexion point
while Y signifies the vertical distance from the inflexion point to the seabed. Additionally,geometrically
to the seabed. into two
Addi-
distinctrefers
tionally,
“w.d.” sections:
“w.d.” to refers the
the water overbend
to the waterand
depth, and
depth,
AFRand sagbend,
AFRfor
stands visualised
stands forfill
the air in
theratio.Figure
air fill ratio.19. From
Interestingly,
Interestingly, a designthe
awith
design with a 50% air fill ratio results in comparable pipe curvature
a 50% air fill ratio results in comparable pipe curvature in both the overbend and in both the overbend
and sagbend
sagbend regions.
regions.
Figure
Figure19.
19.S-lay
S-laybend
bendradius
radiusgeometry
geometryconfiguration.
configuration.
Inpractical
In practicalscenarios,
scenarios,the
thegeneral
general understanding
understanding is that
is that thethe
bendbend radius
radius along
along a ca-a
catenary
tenary continuously
continuously decreases,
decreases, reaching
reaching its minimum
its minimum value value in the touchdown
in the touchdown zone
zone (TDZ).
However, this study’s focus is on large-diameter pipes, characterised by their heightened
bending stiffness. As a result, the influence of the bend radius on the catenary’s shape
becomes less pronounced.
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 15 of 23
Xh = K · ( T − 200) + Xi (4)
Since X
Since Xii is
is the
the initial
initialhorizontal
horizontaldistance
distance(pipeline
(pipelinewithout
withoutpull
pulltension), it is
tension), dependent
it is depend-
on the water depth and AFR property. Figure 21 shows
ent on the water depth and AFR property. Figure 21 shows that that X i and AFR
and have
AFR a have
powera
Xi
relationship with constants A and n as Equation (6). This diagram also demonstrates that
power relationship with constants A and n as Equation (6). This diagram also demon-
these constants are dependent on water depth. As water depth increases, the constant A
strates that these constants are dependent on water depth. As water depth increases, the
and n increase as well. Hence, the correlation of constant A and n as a function of water
constant A and n increase as well. Hence, the correlation of constant A and n as a
depth and pipe diameter was established. From a simple correlation study, both constants
function of water depth and pipe diameter was established. From a simple correlation
A and n have quadratic correlation, and the general equation for these constants can be
study, both constants A and n have quadratic correlation, and the general equation for
derived as shown in Equations (7) and (8).
these constants can be derived as shown in Equations (7) and (8).
A
Xi = (6)
AFRn
Figure 20. Correlation results for factor K .
Since Xi is the initial horizontal distance (pipeline without pull tension), it is depend-
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 16 of 23
ent on the water depth and AFR property. Figure 21 shows that X i and AFR have a
power relationship with constants A and n as Equation (6). This diagram also demon-
strates that these constants are dependent on water depth. As water depth increases, the
constant A and n increase as well. Hence, the correlation of constant A and n as a
function of water depth and −0.005
A = pipe w.d.2 +was
diameter 0.7 w.d. + 5D + 12From a simple correlation
established. (7)
study, both constants A and n have2quadratic correlation, and the general equation for
n = 0.00005 w.d. − 0.0004 w.d. + 0.4 + 0.015D (8)
these constants can be derived as shown in Equations (7) and (8).
Figure 21.
Figure Effect of
21. Effect AFRonon
of AFR initial Xi for
initial 2.0 m OD pipe.
X i for 2.0 m OD pipe.
Thus, combining all of these functions, the general equation for parameter Xh is
proposed as below: A
Xi = n
(6)
2 AFR
−6D + (14 + w.d.) D + 4w.d. + 7
( T − 200) + A AFR−n
Xh = (9)
5000 2
A = −0.005 wd
. . + 0.7 wd
. . + 5D +12 (7)
water depth
Factor =
2 (10)
n = 0.00005 wd
. . −constant
0.0004 wd . + 0.4 + 0.015D
.term (8)
w.d. the general
Thus, combining all of theseYfunctions, w.d.
v = AFR + equation for parameter Xh is pro-
(11)
posed as below: 4 2.86
The relationship developed between AFR and Y is a linear regression line with linear
term m and constant term C. Constant (m) is the slope, and (C) is the y-intercept where
both of these values are functions of water depth. Based on the parameter Yv profile in
Figure 22, there is a positive linear correlation observed between (m) and (C) and the water
depth. As water depth increases, these two constant terms increase as well. Thus, from
observation, factors (m) and (C) can be obtained from Equation (10). Table 8 summarises this
correlation and the recommended factor values. The recommended values were selected by
averaging the factor for each water depth linear profile. Then, these two-factor values were
substituted into a linear equation to form a general equation for estimating the inflexion
point location or lay vertical parameter Y. Hence, the recommended general equation
derived for parameter Yv proposed is as Equation (11).
Table 8. Summary of the constant m and c with water depth based on regression line of Figure 22.
Vertical Y Water Depth Linear Term, m Factor (m) Constant Term, c Factor (c)
Y20 20 5.4 3.7 6.7 2.96
Y40 40 9.8 4.1 14.1 2.84
Y60 60 15.1 4.0 21.1 2.84
Recommended factors value - 4.0 - 2.86
depth. As water depth increases, these two constant terms increase as well. Thus, from
observation, factors (m) and (C) can be obtained from Equation (10). Table 8 summarises
this correlation and the recommended factor values. The recommended values were se-
lected by averaging the factor for each water depth linear profile. Then, these two-factor
values were substituted into a linear equation to form a general equation for estimating
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 17 of 23
the inflexion point location or lay vertical parameter Y. Hence, the recommended general
equation derived for parameter Y v proposed is as Equation (11).
Figure 22.
Figure Effect of
22. Effect of AFR
AFR on
on the
the vertical
vertical distance
distance of
of inflexion
inflexion point.
point.
Further structural analysis revealed that the AFR directly impacts the pipe’s bend radius
in both the sagbend and overbend domains. To accommodate this observation, Equation (12)
was adjusted to incorporate this difference factor, which is presented as follows:
Xh 2 + Yv 2
Rsb = −ε (12)
2Yv
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 18 of 23
where Rsb is the sagbend radius, Xh is the horizontal lay distance (parameter X) and Yv is
the vertical lay distance (parameter Y), and ε is the difference factor. The difference factor
or residual is the difference in analytical calculation to the numerical. Theoretically, the
bend radius in the overbend region for AFR 0.5 is equal to that in the sagbend region.
The primary aim was to discern the disparity in bend radius predictions between the
analytical method and the outcomes from OrcaFlex. An extensive analysis was undertaken
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW
for 36 distinct scenarios, incorporating diverse tension levels, water depths, and 19 of 25
AFRs.
For every individual scenario, the bend radius calculated analytically was juxtaposed
against the OrcaFlex software’s outputs. This comparative analysis is vividly depicted
inlatter
Figure 23, which
domain, plots
while the analytically
a positive predictedpersists,
linear correlation bend radius against
the data themore
appear actualscattered
values
derived
and lessfrom OrcaFlex.
concentrated.
Figure23.
Figure 23.Predicted
Predictedvs.
vs.actual
actualvalue
valuefor
for2.0
2.0mmpipe
pipewith
withAFRs
AFRsofof0.2,
0.2,0.3,
0.3,0.4
0.4and
and0.5.
0.5.
AAglance
noteworthy observation
at this graph revealsfrom the graph
a scatter plot ofisanalytical
that a preponderance of datafor
vs. OrcaFlex results points
the
within the
sagbend second
region’s zone
bend is associated
radius. with an AFR
The correlation of 0.2.
between theThis is symbolised
analytical model’sby the orange
prognostica-
triangle
tions and icon. Such a manifestation
the OrcaFlex implies
results is notably a potential
robust, 2 value of of
with an Rlimitation thesuggesting
0.89, model: it exhibits
a high
diminished
degree precision for AFRs falling below 0.3.
of linearity.
To address inconsistencies
Nonetheless, it is imperativeintoEquation
highlight (12) evident
that from the
the model’s zone 2 datacan
performance in be
Figure
bi-
furcated into two distinct realms. The initial realm encompasses actual
23, a coefficient was introduced. Initially, we derived the optimal coefficient for every in- values spanning
from 50 toload
dividual 150. case
Within this precinct,
to decode the modeldata
the underlying exhibits an These
trends. emphatic linear relationship.
coefficients were subse-
Conversely, the subsequent
quently categorised based realm envelopes
on three actual AFR,
determinants: valuestension,
rangingand from 150 to
water 250. A
depth. In com-
this
latter domain,
parative while aanalysis
regression positivewaslinear correlation
executed, persists,
pitting the data appear more
each parameter-centric model scattered
against
and
the less concentrated.
actual MBR model. The reliability of these models was assessed using their R2 values.
A noteworthy
Notably, our findings observation
indicated from the graph
the superior is thatofa the
accuracy preponderance
tension-basedofcoefficient.
data points
withinDrawing
the second zone is associated with an AFR of 0.2. This is
on insights from the pipe structural behaviour segment, it wassymbolised by theobserved
orange
triangle icon. Such a manifestation implies a potential limitation of
that an uptick in DR corresponded to a diminishing pipe bend radius. As such, tensionthe model: it exhibits
diminished
was utilised precision
to factorfor
in AFRs falling below
the influence of DR,0.3.
culminating in the development of a coeffi-
Todenoted
cient, address inconsistencies
as C sb , poised into Equation
refine the(12)
bend evident
radiusfrom the zone
geometry 2 data inFigure
equation. Figure24 23,vis-
a
coefficient was introduced. Initially, we derived the optimal coefficient for every individual
ualises the process of deriving the C sb value. With the integration of this coefficient, we
load case to decode the underlying data trends. These coefficients were subsequently
have revamped the bend radius equation, enabling a more precise estimation of the
categorised based on three determinants: AFR, tension, and water depth. A comparative
sagbend’s bend radius.
regression analysis was executed, pitting each parameter-centric model against the actual
MBR model. The reliability of these models was assessed using their R2 values. Notably,
our findings indicated the superior accuracy of the tension-based coefficient.
Drawing on insights from the pipe structural behaviour segment, it was observed that
an uptick in DR corresponded to a diminishing pipe bend radius. As such, tension was
utilised to factor in the influence of DR, culminating in the development of a coefficient,
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 19 of 23
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 20 of 25
denoted as Csb , poised to refine the bend radius geometry equation. Figure 24 visualises
the process of deriving the Csb value. With the integration of this coefficient, we have
revamped the bend radius equation, enabling a more precise estimation of the sagbend’s
bend radius. 2
Xh + Yv 2
Rsb = Csb (13)
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 2Yv 20 of 25
Here, Csb is the sagbend parameter coefficient, which can be determined by Figure 24.
X 2 + Yv 2
Rsb = Csb h (13)
2Yv
Here, C sb is the sagbend parameter coefficient, which can be determined by Figure
24. 24.
Figure
Figure Sagbend dimension
24. Sagbend dimension ratio
ratio coefficient
coefficient value Csbsb).).
value ((C
6.2. Overbend
6.2. Overbend Bend
Bend Radius
Radius
An investigation
investigation was conducted X 2the 2
+ Yrelationship
An conducted Rsbto
to=discern
Csb hthe
discern vrelationshipbetween
betweenthe
thebend
bendradii at
radii
(13)
sagbend
at sagbend and
andoverbend
overbendfor forHDPE
HDPEpipes
pipeswith
with 2 Y
diameters
diameters
v of
of 2.0
2.0 m,
m, 2.5 m, and
and 3.0
3.0 m.
m. This
This
relationship was
relationship was visually
visually represented
represented in in Figure
Figure 25,
25,which
whichplots
plotsthethesagbend
sagbendbend
bendradius
radius
Here,
against its C is
overbend the sagbend parameter
counterpart. From coefficient,
the scatter which
plot, an can be determined
unmistakable
against its overbend counterpart. From the scatter plot, an unmistakable positive linear
sb by
positiveFigure
linear
24.
correlationbetween
correlation betweenthe thetwo
tworadii
radiiemerges.
emerges.This Thiscorrelation
correlationis is quantitatively
quantitatively captured
captured byby
a
correlation
a correlationcoefficient
coefficient (r) (r)
value of 0.53,
value underscoring
of 0.53, underscoring a moderate
a moderateuphill linear
uphill relationship
linear relation-
6.2.
shipOverbend
betweenbetween Bend
the sagbend Radius
and overbend
the sagbend bend bend
and overbend radii. radii.
An investigation was conducted to discern the relationship between the bend radii at
sagbend and overbend for HDPE pipes with diameters of 2.0 m, 2.5 m, and 3.0 m. This
relationship was visually represented in Figure 25, which plots the sagbend bend radius
against its overbend counterpart. From the scatter plot, an unmistakable positive linear
correlation between the two radii emerges. This correlation is quantitatively captured by
a correlation coefficient (r) value of 0.53, underscoring a moderate uphill linear relation-
ship between the sagbend and overbend bend radii.
Figure 25.Scatter
Figure25. Scatter plot
plotof
ofsagbend
sagbendand
andoverbend.
overbend.
However, the regression analysis yielded an R2 2value of 0.28. As per Moore et al. [38],
However, the regression analysis yielded an R value of 0.28. As per Moore et al. [38],
R2
an 2 value surpassing 0.7 is indicative of a strong relationship between variables, sug-
an R value surpassing 0.7 is indicative of a strong relationship between variables, sug-
gesting that our analysis might fall short of this benchmark. Such an outcome hints at the
gesting that our analysis might fall short of this benchmark. Such an outcome hints at the
influence of multiple factors, like water depth, tension, and AFR, on the overbend radius.
Despite this, the sagbend and overbend bend radius do share a pronounced significant
positive correlation, a conclusion supported by a p-value that is less than 0.01.
To address the limitation posed by the R2 value being less than 0.7, a strategic decision
was made to formulate an index that consolidates the critical parameters affecting the
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 21 of 25
pipeline installation: tension, water depth, and AFR. This unified measure, named the lay
index (IL ), encapsulates these three variables into a singular composite value.
To construct the IL , various combinations of the three parameters were averaged
influenceemploying
together of multiplea factors, like water
trial-and-error depth, tension,
methodology. and AFR,
A robust set ofon108
thedistinct
overbendcasesradius.
was
Despite this,
examined andthe sagbend andillustrated
subsequently overbend on bend radiusplot.
a scatter do shareThe alay pronounced
index (IL ) significant
spans the
positive correlation,
horizontal axis in thisa graphical
conclusionrepresentation,
supported by while a p-valuethe that
bendisradius
less than 0.01. vertically.
stretches
To in
As seen address
Figurethe
26, limitation
the overallposed
trend by the Rthe
within 2 value being less than 0.7, a strategic deci-
IL scatter plot can be best described by a
sion was
power made to
function formulateAan
correlation. index that
rigorous consolidates
evaluation the critical
of different parameters
IL variations wasaffecting
undertaken the
installation: tension, water depth, and AFR. 2
to pinpoint the formulation yielding the highest R value across all pipe diameters. Aslay
pipeline This unified measure, named the a
result ( I Lthis
index of ), encapsulates
scrutiny, the these three
finalised layvariables
index (ILinto a singular
) crafted composite
for predicting value.
the overbend bend
radiusToisconstruct
defined as:the I L , various combinations of the three parameters were averaged
100 w.d.3
together employing a trial-and-error − AFR)
IL = (1.0methodology. A robust set of 108 distinct cases (14) was
T2
examined and subsequently illustrated on a scatter plot. The lay index ( I L ) spans the hor-
izontalw.d.
where axisisinwater depth, T isrepresentation,
this graphical lay tension, and AFR the
while is air
bendfill ratio.
radiusThis lay index
stretches (IL ) value
vertically. As
is used in the estimation of the bend radius in the overbend region. The
seen in Figure 26, the overall trend within the I L scatter plot can be best described by a models proposed
for estimation on the bend radius according to the pipe size diameter were presented as
power function correlation. A rigorous evaluation of different I L variations was under-
Equations (15)–(17).
taken to pinpoint the formulation Robyielding the highest −0.12R2 value across all pipe diameters.
(2.0) = Cob 117 · IL (15)
As a result of this scrutiny, the finalised lay index ( I L ) crafted for predicting the overbend
bend radius is defined as:
Rob(2.5) = Cob 124 · IL −0.11 (16)
100 w.d . 3
I L = (1.0 − AFR ) 2 (14)
R ob(3.0)= C 139 · I T
ob
−0.1
L (17)
where w.dC. obisiswater
Here, depth,
the DR T is lay
coefficient fortension, andand
overbend, AFRILisisair filllay
the ratio. ThisSimilar
index. lay index IL
to (the
sagbend model, an increase in the pipe’s DR would cause a reduction in
) value is used in the estimation of the bend radius in the overbend region. The models the pipe’s bend
radius.
proposedTheforDR effect is adjusted
estimation on the bendintoradius
a parameter coefficient
according to the pipe(Cobsize
) todiameter
improve were
the bend
pre-
radius result. The coefficient
sented as Equations (15)–(17). values are presented in Table 10.
Dimension Ratio
17 21 26 33 41
(DR)
Cob 1 0.956 0.922 0.895 0.878
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, M.Z.J. and D.K.K.; methodology, M.Z.J., Y.T.K. and D.K.K.;
software, M.Z.J. and Y.T.K.; validation, M.Z.J., Y.T.K. and S.K.; formal analysis, Z.M. and S.K.;
investigation, M.Z.J., Y.T.K. and D.K.K.; writing—original draft preparation, M.Z.J., Y.T.K. and D.K.K.;
writing—review and editing, S.K. and D.K.K. All authors have read and agreed to the published
version of the manuscript.
Funding: This work was supported by the New Faculty Startup Fund from Seoul National University
and the Brain Pool program funded by the Ministry of Science and ICT through the National Research
Foundation of Korea (2021H1D3A2A02094658).
Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement: Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement: Not applicable.
Acknowledgments: The authors appreciate the kind support from Seoul National University (Repub-
lic of Korea), Korea University (Republic of Korea), and Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS (Malaysia).
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11, 2032 22 of 23
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