Asar Project
Asar Project
Asar Project
Dataset Structure:
The dataset is structured with the following columns:
Company Name: The legal name of the registered company.
Status: The current registration status of the company (e.g., active, inactive, dissolved).
Class: The classification of the company based on its activities (e.g., private, public,
limited, unlimited).
Category: The industry category or sector to which the company belongs (e.g.,
technology, finance, manufacturing).
Registration Date: The date on which the company was officially registered with RoC.
Authorized Capital: The maximum amount of capital that the company is authorized
to raise through shares.
Paid-up Capital: The actual amount of capital that has been invested or paid by the
company's shareholders.
Location: The registered address or location of the company.
[Add more relevant columns as needed, such as contact information, directors,
shareholders, etc.]
Data Usage:
Researchers and analysts can utilize this dataset for a wide range of purposes,
including but not limited to:
4. Date Transformation:
You can extract relevant information from the 'registration date' column, such as year,
month, or day, and create new features. This can help capture seasonality or time-
related trends.
df['registration year'] = pd.to_datetime(df['registration date']).dt.year
df['registration month'] = pd.to_datetime(df['registration date']).dt.month
5. Data Splitting:
Split your dataset into training and testing subsets to evaluate model performance.
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
X = df.drop(['Status'], axis=1) # Assuming 'Status' is your target variable
y = df['Status']
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
3. Data Preprocessing:
Data reduction is beneficial when you require a smaller representation of the data on
your database. It can help you discard unimportant data, which can increase your
data's readability and accuracy. Attribute selection is integral to data reduction, as it
helps combine new and existing features in a dataset, helping ensure smooth analysis.
1. Data Overview:
Display basic information about the dataset, such as the number of rows, columns,
and data types.
import pandas as pd
# Load the preprocessed dataset
df = pd.read_csv('company_registration_data.csv')
# Display basic information
print("Dataset Shape:", df.shape)
print("\nColumn Data Types:\n", df.dtypes)
2. Summary Statistics:
Calculate summary statistics to get an overview of numerical columns. This includes
measures like mean, median, standard deviation, and quartiles.
# Summary statistics
summary_stats = df.describe()
print("\nSummary Statistics:\n", summary_stats)
3. Data Distribution:
Visualize the distribution of key numerical features using histograms or density plots.
This helps identify patterns and outliers.
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
4. Categorical Features:
Explore the distribution of categorical features using bar plots to understand the
prevalence of different categories.
# Visualize categorical features
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
sns.countplot(data=df, x='class_private', hue='Status')
plt.title('Distribution of Private Companies by Registration Status')
plt.xlabel('Private Company')
plt.ylabel('Count')
plt.legend(title='Status', loc='upper right')
plt.show()
5. Correlation Analysis:
Calculate and visualize correlations between numerical features using a heatmap.
This helps identify potential relationships between variables.
# Correlation heatmap
correlation_matrix = df.corr()
plt.figure(figsize=(10, 8))
sns.heatmap(correlation_matrix, annot=True, cmap='coolwarm', fmt=".2f")
plt.title('Correlation Heatmap')
plt.show()
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
df.resample('M').size().plot(legend=False)
plt.title('Monthly Company Registrations')
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Count')
plt.show()
7. Outlier Detection:
Identify and handle outliers that may affect the analysis. Box plots or scatter plots
can be helpful in this regard.
# Box plot for outliers
plt.figure(figsize=(10, 6))
sns.boxplot(data=df, x='class_private', y='authorized capital')
plt.title('Authorized Capital Distribution by Company Class')
plt.xlabel('Company Class')
plt.ylabel('Authorized Capital')
plt.show()
8. Geospatial Analysis :
If location data is available, create geospatial visualizations to analyze the geographic
distribution of registered companies.
These EDA steps will provide valuable insights into the dataset, helping you
understand the distribution, relationships, and unique characteristics of registered
companies. These insights can guide further analysis and model building for
predicting company registration trends with the Registrar of Companies (RoC).
4. Feature engineering:
It involves creating new features or transforming existing ones to improve the
model's predictive power. Here are some feature engineering ideas:
1. Date-Related Features:
Extract information from the 'registration date' column to create additional date-
related features such as:
Year of registration
Month of registration
Quarter of registration
Day of the week of registration
df['registration_year'] = df['registration date'].dt.year
df['registration_month'] = df['registration date'].dt.month
df['registration_quarter'] = df['registration date'].dt.quarter
df['registration_day_of_week'] = df['registration date'].dt.dayofweek
2. Capital Ratios:
Calculate ratios between 'authorized capital' and 'paid-up capital.' This can provide
insights into the financial health of companies.
df['capital_ratio'] = df['paid-up capital'] / df['authorized capital']
3. Age of Companies:
Calculate the age of each registered company by subtracting the 'registration date'
from the current date.
5.Predictive modeling:
Predictive modeling is a crucial step in AI-Driven Exploration and Prediction of
Company Registration Trends with Registrar of Companies (RoC). You can apply
various machine learning algorithms to develop predictive models for future
company registrations. Here's a general framework for predictive modeling:
1. Data Preparation:
Ensure your dataset is preprocessed, including handling missing values and encoding
categorical features.
Split the data into training and testing sets for model evaluation.
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
X = df.drop(['Status'], axis=1) # Features
y = df['Status'] # Target variable
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2,
random_state=42)
2. Model Selection:
Choose suitable machine learning algorithms for your predictive task. Common
algorithms for classification tasks like predicting company registration status include:
*Logistic Regression
*Decision Trees
*Random Forests
Gradient Boosting (e.g., XGBoost, LightGBM)
Support Vector Machines
Neural Networks (Deep Learning)
3. Model Training:
Train multiple models on the training data using appropriate libraries (e.g., scikit-
learn, TensorFlow, PyTorch).
Tune hyperparameters using techniques like grid search or random search to
optimize model performance.
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score
# Create and train a Random Forest Classifier
rf_classifier = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=100, random_state=42)
rf_classifier.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Make predictions on the test set
y_pred = rf_classifier.predict(X_test)
# Evaluate the model
accuracy = accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred)
print("Accuracy:", accuracy)
4. Model Evaluation:
Assess model performance using appropriate evaluation metrics for classification
tasks. Common metrics include accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, ROC-AUC, and
confusion matrices.
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report, confusion_matrix
print("Classification Report:\n", classification_report(y_test, y_pred))
print("Confusion Matrix:\n", confusion_matrix(y_test, y_pred))
5. Feature Importance:
Analyze feature importance to understand which features are most influential in
making predictions. This can help refine the model and gain insights into the factors
affecting company registrations.
importances = rf_classifier.feature_importances_
feature_names = X_train.columns
feature_importance_df = pd.DataFrame({'Feature': feature_names, 'Importance':
importances})
feature_importance_df = feature_importance_df.sort_values(by='Importance',
ascending=False)
print("Feature Importance:\n", feature_importance_df)
6. Model Deployment :
If the model performs well, you can deploy it for real-time predictions or batch
predictions on new data.
7. Monitoring and Updating:
Continuously monitor the model's performance and update it as new data becomes
available or business conditions change.
6. Model Evaluation:
The choice of evaluation metrics depends on the specific goals and characteristics of
your predictive task, but common metrics for classification tasks include accuracy,
precision, recall, F1-score, and the confusion matrix. Here's how you can evaluate
your predictive models using these metrics:
1. Accuracy:
Accuracy is the most basic and commonly used metric for classification tasks. It
measures the proportion of correctly classified instances among all instances.
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score
# Calculate accuracy
accuracy = accuracy_score(y_true, y_pred)
print("Accuracy:", accuracy)
2. Precision:
Precision measures the proportion of true positive predictions among all positive
predictions. It is particularly relevant when false positives are costly or need to be
minimized.
# Calculate precision
precision = precision_score(y_true, y_pred)
print("Precision:", precision)
3. Recall (Sensitivity):
Recall measures the proportion of true positive predictions among all actual positive
instances. It is essential when false negatives should be minimized.
conclusion
It's important to note that the choice of evaluation metrics should align with the
specific objectives of your predictive model. For example, if your primary goal is to
minimize false positives, you may focus on precision. If you want to minimize false
negatives, recall might be more critical. Additionally, consider the balance between
precision and recall that best suits your business or research needs, as the two
metrics often have an inverse relationship.You may also perform cross-validation to
assess the model's performance across multiple folds of your dataset to ensure the
results are robust and not influenced by a particular random split of data.