Scribd
Upload
48 views2 pages

132578tutorial 2 - 18.1.24

This document contains 6 problems related to probability and statistics. Problem 1 provides percentages of nonconforming cans by production line and asks to calculate probabilities related to a randomly selected can. Problem 2 gives probabilities for on-schedule launches from two locations and asks to determine the individual probabilities. Problem 3 concerns experiments to detect an impurity and calculating a posterior probability. Problem 4 involves probabilities for passing inspection of fasteners that may need recrimping. Problem 5 provides probabilities about components functioning and asks about one component given the other functions. Problem 6 asks about probabilities of unique and shared birthdays for randomly selected individuals.

Uploaded by

apoorvtandon2005
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
48 views2 pages

132578tutorial 2 - 18.1.24

This document contains 6 problems related to probability and statistics. Problem 1 provides percentages of nonconforming cans by production line and asks to calculate probabilities related to a randomly selected can. Problem 2 gives probabilities for on-schedule launches from two locations and asks to determine the individual probabilities. Problem 3 concerns experiments to detect an impurity and calculating a posterior probability. Problem 4 involves probabilities for passing inspection of fasteners that may need recrimping. Problem 5 provides probabilities about components functioning and asks about one component given the other functions. Problem 6 asks about probabilities of unique and shared birthdays for randomly selected individuals.

Uploaded by

apoorvtandon2005
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 2

BITS-PILANI, HYDERABAD CAMPUS

PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS (MATH F113)


TUTORIAL-2 (18.1.24)

1. A factory uses three production lines to manufacture cans of a certain type. The
accompanying table gives percentages of nonconforming cans, categorized by type
of nonconformance, for each of the three lines during a particular time period.

During this period, line 1 produced 500 nonconforming cans, line 2 produced 400
such cans, and line 3 was responsible for 600 nonconforming cans. Suppose that one
of these 1500 cans is randomly selected.
(a) What is the probability that the can was produced by line 1? That the reason
for nonconformance is a crack?
(b) If the selected can came from line 1, what is the probability that it had a
blemish?
(c) Given that the selected can had a surface defect, what is the probability that
it came from line 1?

2. One satellite is scheduled to be launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida, and


another launching is scheduled for Vandenberg Air Force Base in California. Let
A denote the event that the Vandenberg launch goes off on schedule, and let B
represent the event that the Cape Canaveral launch goes off on schedule. If A and B
are independent events with P (A) > P (B), P (A∪B) = 0.626, and P (A∩B) = 0.144,
determine the values of P (A) and P (B).

3. A chemical engineer is interested in determining whether a certain trace impurity


is present in a product. An experiment has a probability of 0.80 of detecting the
impurity if it is present. The probability of not detecting the impurity if it is absent
is 0.90. The prior probabilities of the impurity being present and being absent are
0.40 and 0.60, respectively. Three separate experiments result in only two detections.
What is the posterior probability that the impurity is present?
4. Fasteners used in aircraft manufacturing are slightly crimped so that they lock
enough to avoid loosening during vibration. Suppose that 95% of all fasteners pass
an initial inspection. Of the 5% that fail, 20% are so seriously defective that they
must be scrapped. The remaining fasteners are sent to a recrimping operation,
where 40% cannot be salvaged and are discarded. The other 60% of these fasteners
are corrected by the recrimping process and subsequently pass inspection.
(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected incoming fastener will pass
inspection either initially or after recrimping?
(b) Given that a fastener passed inspection, what is the probability that it passed
the initial inspection and did not need recrimping?

5. A system consists of two components. The probability that the second component
functions in a satisfactory manner during its design life is 0.9, the probability that
at least one of the two components does so is 0.96, and the probability that both
components do so is 0.75. Given that the first component functions in a satisfactory
manner throughout its design life, what is the probability that the second one does
also?

6. Disregarding the possibility of a February 29 birthday, suppose a randomly selected


individual is equally likely to have been born on any one of the other 365 days.
(a) If ten people are randomly selected, what is the probability that all have dif-
ferent birthdays? That at least two have the same birthday?
(b) With k replacing ten in part (a), what is the smallest k for which there is at
least a 50-50 chance that two or more people will have the same birthday?

Page 2

You might also like