Energy Transition in The EU
Energy Transition in The EU
IN THIS BRIEFING
Introduction
EU policies
Socially just transition
Funding
European Parliament
Outlook
Introduction
The energy transition is part of a broader green transition, which the EU defines as the transition of
the economy and society towards the achievement of the climate and environmental objectives, in
line with the European Green Deal. As energy accounts for 75 % of overall EU greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions, it plays a central role in this process. Decarbonisation of the energy system requires a
structural transformation in the way energy is produced and consumed, phasing out fossil fuels and
replacing them with renewable and low-carbon energy sources. It also requires incentives for
consumers and businesses to reduce energy use, for instance by using energy-efficient appliances
and adopting cleaner manufacturing processes.
While the energy transition was already on the EU agenda (e.g. the clean energy package adopted
in 2019), the European Green Deal provided it with new impetus and became its main driver. This
was further strengthened by the REPowerEU plan of 2022, which highlighted the energy security
dimension and brought renewed focus to domestic energy production and the need to boost
renewables. A number of immediate short-term actions to address reduced energy supply and high
energy prices were complemented by initiatives to support the EU's long-term energy policies.
According to the European Commission, the energy crisis sparked by Russia's invasion of Ukraine
has paradoxically contributed to accelerating the energy transition.
EU policies
European Green Deal and 'fit for 55'
In 2019, the Commission adopted a long-term vision – the European Green Deal – with the aim of
achieving climate neutrality by 2050. The European Climate Law, passed in 2021, enshrined in EU
legislation the target of climate neutrality by 2050 (i.e. net-zero greenhouse gas emissions), along
with an intermediate target of reducing net emissions by 55 % by 2030, compared with 1990 levels.
In order to achieve this transformation, the European Green Deal entailed a set of legislative
proposals, many of which related to energy. In July and December 2021 the Commission published
the 'fit for 55' package (referring to the goal of a 55 % emissions reduction by 2030). The legislative
proposals included the revision of several energy-related pieces of legislation to align them with the
new climate targets: the Renewable Energy Directive (RED), the Energy Efficiency Directive (EED),
the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD), the Energy Taxation Directive and the gas
and hydrogen package. New proposals included the Social Climate Fund (SCF) Regulation. Three of
these legislative acts – the RED, the EED and the SCF – were adopted in 2023; the rest are ongoing.
REPowerEU
The REPowerEU plan of May 2022 highlighted the need to phase out fossil fuels and accelerate the
clean energy transition. Aiming to end the EU's dependence on Russian energy, the plan advocated
energy savings, diversification of energy imports and a boost for the use of renewables.
The REPowerEU included two legislative proposals. One legislative proposal amended three energy
directives (RED, EED and EPBD) in order to set higher targets for renewables in consumption and
energy efficiency, promote solar installations on buildings and accelerate permit granting for
renewable projects. The other legislative proposal amended the Recovery and Resilience Facility
(RRF) Regulation to include a REPowerEU chapter in the national recovery and resilience plans,
outlining the energy investments funded under RRF to meet the REPowerEU objectives.
REPowerEU also proposed several strategies: the solar energy strategy, the EU save energy plan, EU
external energy engagement strategy, the biomethane action plan, the hydrogen accelerator, and
an EU energy platform for voluntary common purchases of gas, liquified natural gas (LNG) and
hydrogen.
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Energy transition in the EU
Renewable energy
Renewable energy is a cornerstone of the EU energy transition. In 2021, the share of renewables in
EU energy consumption was 21.8 % (latest available Eurostat data, an early European Environment
Agency (EEA) estimate shows 22.5 % in 2022). This share is tracked across three sectors: electricity
(37.5 %), heating and cooling (22.9 %) and transport (9.1 %), although EU legislation sets subtargets
only for the latter two (see below). When it comes to production, the majority of renewable energy
comes from bioenergy, such as biomass (55.7 %), followed by wind (13.6 %), hydro (12.3 %), solar
(7.5 %), ambient heat i.e. heat pumps (6.2 %) and geothermal energy (2.8 %).
The Renewable Energy Directive – revised in 2023 and now referred to as RED III – set a target for
the share of renewable energy sources (RES) in EU energy consumption of 42.5 % by 2030. This goal
refers to an EU average, while Member States set their own national contributions to the target.
Some Member States have a significantly higher share than the current EU average (which is
currently around 22 %), with Sweden (62.6 %), Finland (43.1 %) and Latvia (42.1 %) at the top. The
majority of Member States are below the EU average, with Belgium, Ireland, the Netherlands, Malta
and Luxembourg recording the lowest renewables share (all under 13 %).
RED III also set additional targets for the transport, buildings, industry, and heating and cooling
sectors. On transport, Member States can choose between a committing to a 14.5 % reduction in
GHG intensity or ensuring a renewables share of at least 29 % by 2030. The annual target increase
for the share of RES in industry has been set at 1.6 %, with additional targets for renewable hydrogen
(42 % by 2030 and 60 % by 2035). For heating and cooling there is a national binding target of a
0.8 % annual RES share increase by 2026, followed by a 1.1 % annual increase until 2030. The
indicative (i.e. non-binding) target for the RES share in the buildings sector is 49 % by 2030.
Further EU targets for specific renewable sources are set in other EU initiatives. The solar energy
strategy (adopted in 2022 as part of the REPowerEU plan) establishes a target of over 320 GW of
newly installed solar photovoltaic capacity by 2025, and almost 600 GW by 2030. The strategy
proposes measures to help achieve this goal, such as a European solar rooftops initiative, an EU
large-scale skills partnership for renewable energy, the EU Solar PV Industry Alliance and legislation
on permits for solar energy projects. Furthermore, the European wind power package launched in
October 2023 seeks to address challenges in the EU wind energy sector and enable the achievement
of the previously agreed EU target of approximately 111 GW of offshore renewable generation
capacity by 2030. The package includes action on the further acceleration of permitting,
improvements to auction systems across the EU, skills, access to finance, and stable supply chains.
Energy efficiency
Using less energy is another important aspect of the energy transition. 'Energy efficiency first' is a
guiding principle in EU policy in order to ensure that only the energy that is really needed is
produced and that energy demand is managed in a sustainable way. Reduced consumption of
energy also helps to lower energy costs for households and industry.
The revised Energy Efficiency Directive was adopted in 2023. It sets a binding EU target for the
reduction of final energy consumption (total energy consumed by end users) at 11.7 % by 2030,
compared with a 2020 EU reference scenario, and the same indicative target for primary energy
consumption (which includes energy used to produce energy). EU Member States must achieve
average energy savings of 1.5 % per year by 2030 (this varies depending on the year: a 1.3 %
reduction by the end of 2025, followed by a 1.5 % reduction by the end of 2027, and a 1.9 %
reduction by the end of 2030). A higher target is set for the public sector (reduction of final energy
consumption of 1.9 % each year), along with an obligation to renovate at least 3 % of the total floor
area of buildings owned by public bodies and transform them into at least nearly zero-energy
buildings or zero-emission buildings.
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Energy transition in the EU
Industry
The energy transition is also impacting the EU's industrial sector, because of its role in reducing
emissions but also in terms of EU domestic production of clean energy technologies. The idea
behind the Green Deal industrial plan of February 2023 is to secure the EU industrial leadership in
net-zero technologies and boost a strong domestic manufacturing base, through improved access
to funding and skills. The related legislative proposals, the net-zero industry act and the critical raw
materials act (both procedures ongoing) would simplify the regulatory framework for investments,
reduce the EU's reliance on imports, and increase the circular economy approach in the supply of
strategic raw materials.
The 2023 progress report on the competitiveness of clean energy technologies analyses
opportunities and challenges in terms of EU resources, the skills base and research, with a sub-
analysis of specific strategic net-zero technologies: solar photovoltaics (PV) and thermal; onshore
and offshore wind; ocean energy; batteries; heat pumps; geothermal energy; hydrogen; biogas and
biomethane; carbon capture and storage (CCS); and grid technologies. Furthermore, the recently
proposed strategic technologies for Europe platform (STEP) includes clean technologies as one of
its three priority areas. In terms of energy, these clean technologies include: renewable energy;
electricity and heat storage; heat pumps; electricity grids; renewable fuels of non-biological origin;
sustainable alternative fuels; electrolysers and fuel cells; carbon capture, utilisation and storage;
energy efficiency; and hydrogen.
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heating for heat pumps powered by electricity). High energy bills are also a problem, while
long-term solutions, such as home renovations, energy efficiency improvements and electric
vehicles, are often expensive. According to the 2022 Council recommendation on ensuring a fair
transition, public support is therefore necessary. This could include, for instance, reduced taxes and
other incentives for efficient heating systems and insulation in buildings, in a way that avoids locking
consumers into the current system based on fossil fuels. Energy poverty is another important issue
to address and particular attention must be paid to vulnerable groups such as low-income
households who spend a high share of their income on essential services such as energy, transport
and housing, as well as small and medium-sized companies. Accompanying policies to ease the
short-term costs and price pressures resulting from the internalisation of emission costs in prices or
the costs of adaptation to low-emission alternatives are needed, along with policies that ensure a
fair distribution of the benefits and costs of the transition. The lack of such measures can lead to
lower social acceptance of the transition, protests against green legislation and calls to delay the
measures owing to the high costs of decarbonisation for people and industry.
Funding
Estimating the funding needed for the EU's energy transition is a complex task. The Commission's
2023 Strategic Foresight Report calculates that additional annual investment of over €620 billion is
needed to meet the European Green Deal and REPowerEU objectives. Moreover, the Commission
forecasts that the REPowerEU plan alone entails additional investment of around €300 billion
between 2022 and 2030, on top of what is needed to meet the objectives of the fit for 55 proposals.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that EU annual investment in clean energy will have
to rise to €530 billion a year by 2030 from €330 billion in 2022 in order to align with the IEA net-zero
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Energy transition in the EU
emissions by 2050 scenario. According to the European Commission's calculations, quoted in a 2023
European Investment Bank (EIB) report, energy investment in the EU must almost double during the
decade from 2021 to 2030, i.e. from €229 billion per year on average over the 2011-2020 period to
€396 billion per year from 2021 to 2030. In subsequent decades, this will have to increase to
€520 billion to €575 billion per year, more than 2.5 times the current level.
In terms of specific energy transition investments, the Commission estimates that in the years 2021
to 2030, the 55 % GHG emissions reduction target will require €98.5 billion in annual investments in
power plants and grids, and €180.1 billion in the residential sector, with overall energy system
investment reaching €1051.3 billion (the exact numbers depend on the scenario adopted).
Specific funds
The EU provides energy transition funding through a variety of instruments.
The InvestEU Fund (endowed with an EU budget guarantee of €26.2 billion) finances 'sustainable
infrastructure' as one of its policy windows. This includes renewable energy, energy efficiency and
building renovation. The Commission proposal for a strategic technologies for Europe
platform (STEP) establishes an additional EU guarantee of €7.5 billion. The energy-related 'clean
technologies' under the STEP proposal include: renewable energy; electricity and heat storage; heat
pumps; electricity grid; renewable fuels of non-biological origin; sustainable alternative fuels;
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electrolysers and fuel cells; carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS); energy efficiency;
hydrogen and its related infrastructure; and smart energy solutions.
The Modernisation Fund is funded from EU ETS allowances, which makes its budget hard to predict,
but the European Commission estimates that it could reach over €48 billion in the years 2021 to
2030. The fund can be used for investment in renewable energy, energy efficiency, energy storage,
modernisation of energy networks (including district heating, pipelines and grids) and just transition
in carbon-dependent regions (e.g. redeployment, re-skilling and upskilling of workers, education,
job-seeking initiatives and start-ups). It is available to 10 lower-income countries: Bulgaria, Czechia,
Estonia, Croatia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania and Slovakia. From 2024, three more
countries will be supported: Greece, Portugal and Slovenia.
The Innovation Fund, with a projected budget of €40 billion, obtained from ETS allowances (over
the 2020 to 2030 period), finances projects based on highly innovative technologies. The eligible
sectors are energy-intensive industries, renewable energy, energy storage, and CCUS. The fund also
supports cross-cutting projects for innovative low-carbon solutions that lead to emissions
reductions in multiple sectors.
Cohesion policy, with a budget for 2021 to 2027 totalling €392 billion, covers several funds that can
support the energy transition. The principle of 'thematic concentration' requires that a proportion
of funds must be dedicated to one of the policy's objectives on a greener, low-carbon Europe
transitioning towards a net-zero economy. The European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) can
be used for actions such as energy efficiency, reducing GHG emissions, renewable energy,
developing smart energy systems, grids and storage outside the trans-European energy network
(TEN-E), as well as promoting sustainable transport. The Cohesion Fund is available only to
15 Member States. It supports investment in environment and transport, including in particular
renewable energy. European Social Fund Plus (ESF+) focuses mainly on employment, social
inclusion and skills. In the context of energy transition, it can be used for the adaptation of workers
to change, reskilling, education and training, job creation in the energy sector, and the social
integration of people at risk of poverty or social exclusion.
The Just Transition Fund (JTF) – formally a cohesion policy fund – supports those regions worst
affected by the transition towards climate neutrality. These are mainly carbon-intensive regions, for
instance relying on fossil fuels and high-emission industries. The fund supports investments in clean
energy technologies, emissions reduction, regeneration of sites, reskilling of workers, job creation,
reducing energy poverty etc. Member States prepare just transition plans that explain how support
will be used to achieve the transition. The JTF is part of the broader Just Transition Mechanism,
which also includes a scheme under InvestEU and a public sector loan facility implemented together
with the European Investment Bank.
The Social Climate Fund with a budget of up to €86.7 billion provides support for vulnerable groups
and companies affected by the green transition. It can be used to finance building renovations,
sustainable mobility and income support (see above).
The Connecting Europe Facility has a special component for energy. With a budget of €5.84 billion
in the 2021-2027 period it can fund projects identified under the TEN-E Regulation (projects of
common interest – PCIs) designed to improve the EU's cross-border energy infrastructure.
With a budget of approximately €1 billion for the 2021-2027 period, the LIFE Clean Energy Transition
sub-programme, targets market barriers that hamper the socio-economic transition to sustainable
energy. It focuses on five areas of intervention: building a policy framework in support of clean
energy transition; accelerating technology, skills and the roll-out of new business models; attracting
private finance for sustainable energy; supporting the development of local and regional
investment projects; and involving and empowering citizens in the clean energy transition.
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Energy transition in the EU
The EU renewable energy financing mechanism provides grants that cover either the installation of
a renewable energy production facility or the actual production of renewable energy in sectors such
as electricity, heating and cooling, and transport. The call for projects is published once a year.
Horizon Europe, the EU's research and innovation funding programme, has a budget of €95.5 billion
for the 2021-2027 period. Research projects focusing on energy are funded mainly from the Climate,
energy and mobility cluster, which includes areas of intervention such as energy supply, energy
systems, energy storage, clean transport and buildings, and industrial facilities in energy transition.
Calling itself 'Europe's climate bank', the EIB adopted its energy lending policy back in 2019. Its focus
is on transforming the energy sector through energy efficiency, low-carbon supply, innovation and
enabling infrastructure. EIB does not support traditional fossil fuel projects, including natural gas,
and was the first international finance institution to end financing for fossil fuel projects. According
to EIB estimates, the bank has been supporting the EU's energy transition with €10-12 billion per
year in recent years.
The European Globalisation Adjustment Fund for Displaced Workers (EGF) is a special instrument
that offers support to workers who lose their jobs due to the transition to a low-carbon economy,
among other things. It does not co-finance social protection measures such as pensions or
unemployment benefits, but can be used for instance for career advice, education and training,
entrepreneurship and business creation. It has an annual budget of €210 million for 2021 to 2027.
The Technical Support Instrument, part of EU structural reform support, provides tailor-made
technical expertise to design and implement reforms, including those relating to energy transition.
It has a budget of €864 million for the 2021-2027period.
European Parliament
The European Parliament supports an ambitious climate and energy policy. Its 2019 resolution on
the climate and environment emergency called for far-reaching reform of EU energy and
infrastructure investment policies, ensuring a fair and equitable transition that supports job
creation, and recognised its own institutional responsibility to reduce its carbon footprint.
In its 2020 resolution on the European Green Deal, Parliament highlighted the central role of energy
in the transition to a net-zero economy and called for the revision of several EU energy directives
(the RED, the EED, the EPBD and the Energy Taxation Directive) to align them with the new
decarbonisation goals, while paying special attention to vulnerable citizens and economic
predictability for the sectors concerned.
In its two resolutions adopted in the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (resolution of
March 2022 on Russia's aggression against Ukraine and resolution of May 2022 on the social and
economic consequences for the EU of the Russian war in Ukraine), Parliament highlighted the need
to speed up the clean energy transition as one way to contain the energy crisis.
In its resolution on the UN COP28 conference, adopted in November 2023, Parliament highlighted
the way in which Russia's invasion of Ukraine had added urgency to the need to transform the global
energy system. Parliament supported a global target for tripling renewable energy and doubling
energy efficiency by 2030, to be adopted at COP28, together with the phasing-out of fossil fuels. It
also welcomed EU energy policy initiatives leading to reducing the EU's dependence on fossil fuels.
Parliament highlighted the need to accelerate electrification, build a renewables-based energy
system, tackle energy poverty and ensure a just energy transition.
Outlook
The coming years will bring multiple challenges for the EU, as it tries to balance implementation of
its green transition agenda with energy supply issues linked to geopolitical tensions, energy
affordability issues, and structural shifts in the economy and energy use. An increasingly important
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issue is also that of preserving EU competitiveness and boosting domestic industry to ensure stable
energy supply chains and boost the independence of the energy system, while avoiding
over-reliance on third countries.
According to a 2023 Jacques Delors Institute report, solving the 'energy trilemma' (i.e. achieving
climate neutrality while guaranteeing security of supply and reasonable prices) must be based on
three key elements: enhanced energy and climate governance, an increased EU budget for energy,
and improved involvement of citizens in decision-making. In terms of funding, the International
Energy Agency estimates that spending for solar PV, battery storage and energy efficiency is close
to being sufficient to meet the EU's 2030 investment needs, but annual investment in the clean
electrification of industry, buildings and transport, grids (a key enabler for the clean energy
transition), and low-emission fuels must be increased.
The EU's negotiating position for the 28th UN Climate Change Conference (COP28), taking place in
Dubai between 30 November and 12 December 2023, reiterates the EU's commitment to the green
transition. It highlights the need for an energy sector predominantly free of fossil fuels, striving for
a decarbonised global electricity system, tripling installed global renewable energy capacity and
doubling the rate of energy efficiency improvements. It also calls for the phasing-out of fossil fuel
subsidies that do not address energy poverty or the just transition. The EU Energy Days at COP28,
on 4 and 5 December 2023, offer an opportunity to explore the EU's approach to energy transition.
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European Commission, Towards Green Transition in EU regions, Joint Research Centre, 2022.
Heflich A. and Saulnier J., Towards carbon neutrality through ambitious transformation of the EU energy
system, EPRS, European Parliament, 2022.
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