WHO Mpox - External-Sitrep-28
WHO Mpox - External-Sitrep-28
WHO Mpox - External-Sitrep-28
Highlights
Following publication of the last Situation Report on 14 August 2023, up until 11 September 2023, WHO
has received reports of 1131 new confirmed cases of mpox and five new related deaths.
Transmission of monkeypox virus (MPXV) continues at a low level in most of the reporting countries, with
the main epidemiological and clinical characteristics of cases remaining stable. As of 11 September 2023,
22 of the 115 affected countries have reported new cases to WHO within the last 21 days.
Sustained community transmission continues to be observed mainly in the South-East Asia and Western
Pacific regions.
The global outbreak has shifted the understanding of mpox as an infectious disease that spreads between
people. In addition to ongoing risks of human-to-human transmission everywhere, outbreaks related to
zoonotic transmission will continue to occur in some settings.
This situation report therefore includes a special focus on a Long-term Risk Assessment conducted by
WHO to assess the global risk of mpox.
The global public health risk associated with mpox is low in the general population. However, in African
settings where mpox has historically been reported and continues to occur regularly, the risk for the
general population is moderate, and for men who have sex with men and for sex workers, the risk is
assessed as moderate in all settings and contexts.
A summary of the Director-General’s standing recommendations for mpox is provided.
The report includes a special focus on an animal surveillance study among susceptible wildlife in Nigeria,
planned to start in September 2023.
The next WHO mpox situation report will be published in the second week of October 2023.
Page 1
Epidemiological Update
Data source: WHO Multi-country mpox outbreak - Global trends
From 1 January 2022 through 11 September 2023, a cumulative total of 90 439 laboratory-confirmed cases of
mpox, including 157 deaths, have been reported to WHO from 115 countries/territories/areas (hereafter
‘countries’) in all six WHO Regions (Table 1). Since the last situation report published on 14 August 2023, and up
until 11 September 2023, a total of 1131 new cases (1.3% increase in total cases) and five new deaths have been
reported. Two countries, Malaysia and Lao People’s Democratic Republic, reported their first mpox cases since
the last situation report.
The number of weekly new cases reported globally has increased by 328% in week 36 (04 September through 10
September 2023) (n = 621 cases) compared to week 35 (28 August through 03 September 2023) (n = 145 cases).
Most of this increase is explained by the reporting of cases for the month of August by China in week 36. Globally,
there is a 25% increase in reported cases in the last three weeks compared to the previous three weeks.
Fourteen countries reported an increase in cases in the last three weeks (21 August through 10 September 2023)
compared to the three weeks prior (31 July through 20 August 2023), with Australia reporting the highest relative
increase in cases (eight cases versus two).
The Western Pacific Region reported over half (57%) of cases in the past three weeks (21 August through 10
September 2023), followed by the South-East Asia and Americas regions (Table 1). Fourteen countries reported
an increase in cases in the last three weeks (21 August through 10 September 2023) compared to the three weeks
prior (31 July through 20 August 2023). A decline in reported confirmed and probable cases has been observed
in the African Region, but it is unclear if this is due to a decrease in cases or a delay in reporting.
As of 11 September 2023, 22 of the 115 affected countries have reported new cases within the last 21 days, the
maximum disease incubation period. Eleven of these were in the European Region, five in the Western Pacific
Region, two in the African Region, two in the Region of the Americas, one in the Eastern Mediterranean Region,
and one in the South-East Asia Region.
As of 11 September 2023, the ten countries that have reported the highest cumulative number of cases globally
continue to be the United States of America (n = 30 610), Brazil (n = 10 967), Spain (n = 7580), France (n = 4154),
Colombia (n = 4090), Mexico (n = 4061), Peru (n = 3812), The United Kingdom (n = 3782), Germany (n = 3697),
and Canada (n = 1496). Together, these countries account for 82% of the cases reported globally.
Table 1. Number of cumulative confirmed mpox cases and deaths reported to WHO, by WHO Region, from
1 January 2022 to 11 September 2023, 17:00 CEST
Total confirmed Total Cases in last 3-week change in
WHO Region cases deaths three weeksi cases (%)
Region of the Americas 59 919 127 123 23
European Region 26 088 7 88 35
African Region 1 964 20 25 -24
Western Pacific Region 2 024 0 548 2
South-East Asia Region 353 2 136 -
Eastern Mediterranean Region 91 1 1 -
Total 90 439 157 921 25
The epidemic curves shown in Figure 1 suggest that the outbreak continues at a low level of transmission in the
European Region and in Region of the Americas, while a higher transmission is observed in the Western Pacific
and South-East Asia regions. In the African Region, where transmission is more continuous, the number of weekly
i
Using the three most recently completed international standard weeks (Monday - Sunday)
Page 2
reported confirmed cases fluctuates without a clear trend. Based on data shared with WHO, the Eastern
Mediterranean Region is experiencing mainly sporadic mpox cases.
On 8 September, China CDC reported a batch of 501 new mpox cases, covering the period 1-31 August 2023.
Figure 1. Epidemiological curves of weekly aggregated confirmed cases of mpox by WHO Region, from
1 January 2022 to 10 September 2023, 17:00 CEST*
*Figure 1 shows aggregated weekly data for completed epidemiological weeks ending on Sundays. Data on the current week will be
presented in the next situation report. Note the different scales of the y-axes.
Page 3
Figure 2 shows that the number of weekly mpox cases reported globally in the last 12 weeks (19 Jun 2023 - 10
Sep 2023) has fluctuated between 100 and 600 cases, with most cases being reported by the Western Pacific
Region, followed by the Americas, South-East Asia and Europe.
Figure 2. Epidemic curve of aggregated number of cases by WHO region, for the last 12 reporting weeks, 19
June 2023 – 10 September 2023.
As of 11 September 2023, 96.3% (81 352 / 84 461) of cases with available data are male, with a median
age of 34 years (interquartile range: 29 - 41 years) The age and sex distributions of cases remain stable.
Of cases with age data available, 1% (1140 / 87 181) are aged 0-17 years, including 332 (0.4%) aged 0-4
years. The majority of 0-17 years old cases were reported from the Region of the Americas (705 / 1140;
61.8%). The overall proportion of cases less than 18 years old in the Region of the Americas is 1.2% (705
/ 58 867), similar to the proportion which has been observed globally.
Of all reported modes of transmission, sexual encounter is the most common, comprising 18 011 of
21 830 (82.5%) of all reported transmission events, followed by person-to-person non-sexual contact; this
pattern has persisted over the last 12 weeks. Detailed information on the routes of transmission is not
available for most cases from the WHO African Region, thus the available information on transmission
might not fully describe the spread of the virus in this region.
Where information is available, the most reported exposure setting over the course of the global outbreak
is party setting with sexual contact, comprising 4102 of 6437 (63.7%) reported settings. In the last 12
weeks, of 140 cases with a reported exposure setting, the most common remained party setting with
sexual contact (66 cases; 47%), followed by household (32 cases; 23%), 'other’ (with no further
explanation) (29 cases; 21%), party setting without sexual contact (five cases, 4%), large event with sexual
contact (four cases, 3%), workplace (two cases; 1%) and large event with no sexual contact (two case; 1%)
Among cases where at least one symptom is reported (n = 37 424), the most common symptom is any
rash, reported in 90.2% of cases, followed by fever (58.2%), and systemic rash or genital rash (56.1% and
50.5% respectively). The symptomatology of cases has been very consistent over time in this outbreak.
Around half (18 115 / 34 325; 53%) of cases with available information in this outbreak is reported to be
in persons living with HIV. This proportion is lower for cases reported in the last 12 weeks (1502 / 4412;
34%).
A significant number of cases has been reported by China for the months of July and August 2023. Based
on the information shared, cases have been distributed across 25 of the 31 Chinese provinces,
Page 4
autonomous regions and municipalities. The main demographic characteristics are similar to those of the
global outbreak: almost all cases are adult males, primarily men who have sex with men. The number of
mpox cases for the month of Aug 2023 (n = 501) is similar to July 2023 (n = 491). The clinical presentations
have entailed fever, rash, and lymphadenopathy, without any severe cases or fatalities documented. No
relevant major gathering event has been reported in recent months in China. In July 2023, China issued a
national plan for mpox prevention and control. Chinese authorities have been informing the public about
the risks and encouraging people with symptoms to seek health care.
A significant increase in cases in recent months has been reported also by Thailand, with 48 new cases in
June, 80 in July and 145 in August 2023. So far only one mpox related death has been recorded among
the 325 reported cases, in an immunocompromised patient (case fatality ratio 0.30%). While the outbreak
was initially centered in Bangkok, it has now expanded, with cases being reported in 28 of the 76 national
provinces. Most cases (95%) do not have a recent travel history, suggesting local acquisition of the virus.
The majority of cases are adult and young men, primarily men who have sex with men.
Page 5
Figure 3. Geographic distribution of confirmed cases of mpox reported to or identified by WHO from official public sources from 1 January 2022 to 11 September
2023, 17:00 CEST
Page 6
Special focus: Long-term risk assessment of mpox
WHO has recently assessed the risk of mpox at a global level from a longer-term perspective, in comparison to
the previous quarterly rapid risk assessments conducted during the period of the Public Health Emergency of
International Concern for mpox. In conducting this new risk assessment, three distinct populations were
considered: (i) the general population in countries not affected prior to the global outbreak; (ii) the general
population in countries with historical monkeypox virus (MPXV) transmission and neighbouring countries; and
(iii) gay men, bisexual men, other men who have sex with men, trans and gender diverse people, and sex workers.
Several reasons justify this differential approach to mpox risk assessment:
The primary mode of transmission of MPXV in the ongoing outbreak has been sexual contact and the
outbreak has disproportionately affected sexual networks of gay men, bisexual men, other men who have
sex with men, trans and gender diverse people, and sex workers, leading to higher risks of exposure and
transmission.
Persons in these sexual networks have a higher probability of living with HIV, which can lead to
immunosuppression if not well-controlled; this can lead to a higher risk of morbidity and mortality.
The sexual networks affected encompass communities that face intersecting forms of stigma and
discrimination, including homophobia, biphobia, transphobia, and HIV-related stigma. These
communities may be subject to further mpox-related stigma and discrimination, leading to barriers to
accessing testing, vaccination, and care services.
People living in countries with historical MPXV transmission have a higher risk of MPXV exposure, due to
the higher local incidence of MPXV infection among humans and the presence of the virus in local wild
fauna (which may include ecologically similar areas of neighbouring countries that have not historically
reported cases).
Availability and access to quality healthcare is limited in some areas of countries with historical MPXV
transmission as well as in neighbouring countries, hence the health consequences from mpox in these
regions may be more severe, particularly in the more vulnerable including children and persons living
with HIV who may not have adequate access to care.
Historically affected countries and their neighbours currently have no access to countermeasures such as
mpox vaccines and tecovirimat, which can support with prevention of mpox, outbreak response, and
management of more severe cases.
The geographic area experiencing MPXV transmission has been expanding over the last few years within
countries and to new countries in Africa. The disease is also affecting populations and settings not
previously affected, such as refugee camps; in such camps, the risk of onward transmission is high due to
high population density, and access to services may be poor.
Therefore, while we maintain an overview of the general risk of mpox, we also highlight the distinctive risks faced
by the above population groups. It should be further noted that these risks are based on population-level
assessments; within these population groups, the risk for individuals is heavily influenced by individual factors
such as behaviours and immune status related to concurrent medical conditions.
The three dimensions of risk assessed for each population were: the risk for human health at global level, the risk
of the event spreading globally; and the risk of insufficient control capacities at global level. Additionally,
confidence in the available information for each of the populations was considered.
Based on currently available information, the risk of MPXV infection for the general population in countries not
affected prior to the current outbreak is assessed as low; for the general population in countries with historical
mpox transmission and neighbouring countries, risk is assessed as moderate; and for gay men, bisexual men,
other men who have sex with men, trans and gender diverse people, and sex workers, risk is assessed as
moderate.
Regardless of geographic area, epidemiological context, biological sex, gender identity or sexual orientation,
individual-level risk is largely dependent on individual factors such as behaviours and immune status.
Special focus: Standing Recommendations for mpox issued by the Director-General of the World Health
Organization (WHO) in accordance with the International Health Regulations (2005) IHR
Based on the significant decline in the number of reported mpox cases and growing response capacity, the WHO
Director-General, following the advice of the Emergency Committee (EC), terminated the Public Health
Emergency of International Concern on 11 May 20231.
In order to address the long-term challenges posed by mpox within the framework of the International Health
Regulation (IHR) (2005)2, the Director-General convened a Review Committee of international public health
experts to advise him on Standing Recommendations for mpox3. The IHR Review committee met on 27 July 20234.
On 21 August 2023, the Director-General issued Standing Recommendations for mpox, which will be in effect
initially for one year5. These Standing Recommendations focus on seven main areas Member States should
address in order to contain the risk posed by mpox, which include a focus on national plans for elimination of
human-to-human transmission of mpox, as follows:
A. Have national mpox plans integrated into broader health systems, including into HIV and sexually
transmitted infection (STI) programmes, as well as sustain capacities built in resource-limited settings and
among marginalized groups.
B. Strengthen and sustain testing and surveillance capacity, support genomic sequencing, and ensure that
new cases of mpox are notified nationally and to WHO, including cases linked with international travel.
C. Protect communities through risk communication and community engagement; continue to strive for
equity, build trust and fight stigma and discrimination.
D. Invest in research and generate evidence to better understand mpox disease and monkeypox virus
transmission patterns, and develop improved vaccines, tests, and treatments.
E. Provide travelers with information to protect themselves and others before, during and after travel or
attendance at events and gatherings.
F. Deliver optimal clinical care to mpox patients, integrated within primary care, HIV and STI, or other
relevant programmes and services, support access to specific treatment, and ensure measures to protect
health workers and caregivers are in place.
G. Work towards equitable access to safe, effective and quality-assured vaccines, tests and treatments for
mpox, with special attention to marginalized population groups.
WHO is drafting country planning guidance and a monitoring and evaluation framework to support countries in
implementing these recommendations and measuring progress over time.
Special focus: Monkeypox virus at the human-animal-environment interface
While the primary route of transmission during the global 2022-23 mpox outbreak has been human-to-human,
there is consensus among scientists that there are animal reservoirs for monkeypox virus (MPXV) in some
countries in Central and Western Africaii. In these countries, sporadic spillovers of MPXV from animals to humans
will continue to occur, as they have in the past, thereby causing suffering within local communities. In addition,
spillover events lead to onward human-to-human transmission and have the potential to trigger new
international outbreaks. Identifying animal reservoirs and understanding major transmission pathways between
animals and humans is therefore key for the development and implementation of better mpox prevention
strategies in the future. This will help to minimize zoonotic transmission, as outlined in the objectives of the WHO
Strategic Preparedness, Readiness, and Response Plan for mpox (2022-2023)iii and draft Strategic Framework for
sustaining control and achieving elimination of human-to-human transmission of mpox which includes a strategic
objective to minimize zoonotic transmission6.
Despite the above-mentioned risks, MPXV at the human-animal-environment interface is still poorly understood.
While the specific animal reservoir(s) of MPXV remain(s) to be identified, MPXV antigens or antibodies have been
detected in over 40 animal species, especially amongst rodents. It is thought that transmission from infected
animals to humans mainly occurs by direct inoculation via bites, scratches or by direct contact with the body
fluids and/or the meat of infected animals during hunting and other activities involving infected animal species.
The virus may subsequently spread through the local community by sustained human-to-human transmission,
with risk of international spread (see Figure 4).
Figure 4. Natural history of mpox. Image from Gessain et al, NEJM, 2022ii
ii
Gessain A, Nakoune E, Yazdanpanah Y.: Monkeypox. N Engl J Med. 2022;387(19):1783–1793
iii
WHO: Monkeypox Strategic Preparedness, Readiness, and Response Plan (SPRP). 2022
To tackle some of the knowledge gaps at the human-animal-environment interface, WHO is working together
with the National Veterinary Research Institute (NVRI) of Nigeria to perform several months of MPXV surveillance
among susceptible wildlife species in national mpox hotspots starting September 2023. Since 2018, a One Health,
multi-agency, and multidisciplinary team comprising the United States Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention (CDC), the NVRI Nigeria, the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC), the Federal Ministry of
Agriculture and Rural Development, the Ministry of Environment, and the African Field Epidemiology Network
(AFENET), have been collaborating on ecological surveillance for animal reservoirs of MPXV in the country. The
Animal Surveillance Team (AST) consists of veterinarians, medical doctors, virologists, epidemiologists,
environmental specialists and medical sociologists. The AST has supported outbreak response in communities in
eight states in Nigeria where human mpox cases have been reported. Published data based on their surveillance
activities revealed the detection of antibodies against Orthopoxviruses (not specifically MPXV) in rodent
populations in communities with a history of confirmed human mpox, which suggests that Orthopoxviruses may
be circulating in rodentsiv.
Figure 5: Primary areas where targeted animal surveillance will be performed in Nigeria, 2023
In the coming months, the AST team will set up targeted surveillance activities and support research to (i) identify
specific animal reservoirs by investigating rodents, small mammals, and nonhuman primates in areas identified
as hotspots for MPXV (ii) characterize the confirmed orthopoxvirus-positive samples collected from animals using
molecular methods, and (iii) identify major transmission pathways between animals and humans. The primary
locations of interest are Edo and Cross River states but may also include the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Lagos,
and Rivers State, where Orthopoxvirus was detected in rodents from previous animal surveillance studies (see
Figure 5).
Sampling will focus on selected forested areas and national parks where suspected spillover transmission of
MPXV is reported. The surveillance involves trapping and sampling rodents and other small mammals in forested
habitats and peri-urban or urban community interfaces as well as sampling bushmeat and/or wildlife at markets,
Meseko C. et al.: Orthopoxvirus Infections in Rodents, Nigeria, 2018–2019. Emerging Infectious Diseases.
iv
2023;29(2)
salespoints and distribution chains. The collected samples will be processed in a mobile laboratory set up in
remote areas under strict biosecurity standards or at any of the NVRI outstations’ laboratories. The first results
are expected by the end of 2023, with the goal to better understand the human-animal-environment interface
of mpox and foster more international support for further mpox research in Africa going forward.
Figure 6: Technical field workers sampling animals for MPXV (provided by NVRI Nigeria).
References:
1. Fifth Meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR) Emergency Committee on the Multi-
Country Outbreak of mpox (monkeypox). Accessed September 13, 2023.
https://www.who.int/news/item/11-05-2023-fifth-meeting-of-the-international-health-regulations-(2005)-
(ihr)-emergency-committee-on-the-multi-country-outbreak-of-monkeypox-(mpox)
3. Review Committee regarding Standing Recommendations for mpox. Accessed September 19, 2023.
https://www.who.int/teams/ihr/ihr-review-committees/review-committee-regarding-standing-
recommendations-for-mpox
4. Report of the Review Committee regarding standing recommendations for mpox. Accessed September 19,
2023. https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/report-of-the-review-committee-regarding-standing-
recommendations-for-mpox
5. Standing recommendations for mpox issued by the Director-General of the World Health Organization
(WHO) in accordance with the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR). Accessed September 13, 2023.
https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/standing-recommendations-for-mpox-issued-by-the-director-
general-of-the-world-health-organization-(who)-in-accordance-with-the-international-health-regulations-
(2005)-(ihr)
6. Multi-country outbreak of mpox, External situation report #16 - 16 February 2023. Accessed September 19,
2023. https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/multi-country-outbreak-of-mpox--external-situation-
report--16---16-february-2023
Technical guidance and other resources
Caution must be taken when interpreting all data presented. Differences are to be expected between information
products published by WHO, national public health authorities, and other sources using different inclusion criteria
and different data cut-off times. While steps are taken to ensure accuracy and reliability, all data are subject to
continuous verification and change.
Case detection, definitions, testing strategies, reporting practice, and lag times differ between
countries/territories/areas. These factors, amongst others, influence the counts presented, with variable
underestimation of true case and death counts, and variable delays to reflecting these data at the global level.
Moreover, at the present stage of the 2022-23 global mpox outbreak, frequency of reporting of cases to WHO
has decreased substantially, therefore presented data might not be fully representative of the overall
epidemiological situation in several countries.
[i]
‘Countries’ may refer to countries, territories, areas or other jurisdictions of similar status. The designations
employed, and the presentation of these materials do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on
the part of WHO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, or area or of its authorities, or concerning
the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
Annex 2: Confirmed cases of mpox by WHO region and country from 1 January 2022 to 11
September 2023, 17:00 CEST.
*Countries with no reported cases for more than 21 days (about 3 weeks)