This document contains a take-home midterm exam for an Environmental Modelling course. It consists of two problems:
1. Use the fourth order Runge Kutta Method to solve a system of ODEs modeling the spread of an epidemic. Integrate from t=0 to t=1 with step size h=0.001 and discuss whether the epidemic grows or the population is wiped out.
2. Integrate the Lorenz system of ODEs modeling atmospheric circulation using Euler's method from t=0 to t=100 with step size h=0.001. Plot the variables and trajectories versus time.
This document contains a take-home midterm exam for an Environmental Modelling course. It consists of two problems:
1. Use the fourth order Runge Kutta Method to solve a system of ODEs modeling the spread of an epidemic. Integrate from t=0 to t=1 with step size h=0.001 and discuss whether the epidemic grows or the population is wiped out.
2. Integrate the Lorenz system of ODEs modeling atmospheric circulation using Euler's method from t=0 to t=100 with step size h=0.001. Plot the variables and trajectories versus time.
This document contains a take-home midterm exam for an Environmental Modelling course. It consists of two problems:
1. Use the fourth order Runge Kutta Method to solve a system of ODEs modeling the spread of an epidemic. Integrate from t=0 to t=1 with step size h=0.001 and discuss whether the epidemic grows or the population is wiped out.
2. Integrate the Lorenz system of ODEs modeling atmospheric circulation using Euler's method from t=0 to t=100 with step size h=0.001. Plot the variables and trajectories versus time.
This document contains a take-home midterm exam for an Environmental Modelling course. It consists of two problems:
1. Use the fourth order Runge Kutta Method to solve a system of ODEs modeling the spread of an epidemic. Integrate from t=0 to t=1 with step size h=0.001 and discuss whether the epidemic grows or the population is wiped out.
2. Integrate the Lorenz system of ODEs modeling atmospheric circulation using Euler's method from t=0 to t=100 with step size h=0.001. Plot the variables and trajectories versus time.
Midterm EXAMINATION EnE 143 – Environmental Modelling First semester S.Y. 2023-2024
Part II. Take home exam.
Name: BELDEROL, JOEBERT
Direction: Show the codes using the chosen Language together with your answer, and graphs.
1. The Kermack-Mckendrick model for the course of an epidemic in a population is given by the system of ODEs
𝒚′𝟏 = −𝒄𝒚𝟏 𝒚𝟐 ,
𝒚′𝟐 = 𝒄𝒚𝟏 𝒚𝟐 − 𝒅𝒚𝟐 ,
𝒚′𝟑 = 𝒅𝒚𝟐 ,
where 𝑦1 represents susceptibles, 𝑦2 represents infectives in circulation, and 𝑦2 represents infectives
removed by isolation, death, or recovery and immunity. The parameters 𝒄 and 𝒅 represent the infection rate and removal rate, respectively. Use the fourth order Runge Kutta Method to solve this system numerically, with the parameter values 𝒄 = 𝟏 and 𝒅 = 𝟓, and initial values 𝒚𝟏 = 𝟗𝟓, 𝒚𝟐 (𝟎) = 𝟓, 𝒚𝟑 = 𝟎. Integrate from t = 𝟎 t = 0 to t = 𝟏 with step size, 𝒉 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟏. Can you find values for which the epidemic does not grow, or for which the entire population is wiped out? CODE AND GRAPH 2. The following system of ODEs, formulated by Lorenz, represents a crude model of atmospheric circulation:
𝒚′𝟏 = 𝝈(𝒚𝟏 − 𝒚𝟐 ),
𝒚′𝟐 = 𝒓𝒚𝟏 − 𝒚𝟐 − 𝒚𝟏 𝒚𝟑 ,
𝒚′𝟑 = 𝒚𝟏 𝒚𝟐 − 𝒃𝒚𝟑
Taking 𝝈 = 𝟏𝟎, 𝒃 = 𝟖/𝟑, 𝒓 = 𝟐𝟖, and initial values 𝒚𝟏 (𝟎) = 𝒚𝟑 (𝟎) = 𝟎 and 𝒚𝟐 (𝟎) = 𝟏, integrate this ODE using Euler’s method from 𝒕 = 𝟎 to 𝒕 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎 with step size 𝒉 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟏. Plot each of 𝒚𝟏 , and 𝒚𝟐 , and 𝒚𝟑 as a function of 𝒕, and also each of the trajectories (𝒚𝟏 (𝒕), 𝒚𝟐 (𝒕)), (𝒚𝟏 (𝒕), 𝒚𝟑 (𝒕)), and (𝒚𝟐 (𝒕), 𝒚𝟑 (𝒕)) as a function of 𝒕, each on a separate plot.
