Chapter 3
Chapter 3
Chapter 3
o Planning - is preparing today for tomorrow; it is the activity that allows managers
to determine what they want and how to get it: They set goals and decide how to
reach them. Planning focuses on the future: what is to be accomplished and how.
Answers six basic questions in regard to any intended activity:
What (the goal or goals).
When (the time frame in which it will be accomplished)
Where (the place or places where the plans or planning will reach
its conclusion).
Who (which people will perform the tasks).
How (the specific steps or methods to reach the goals).
What resources (resources necessary to reach the goals).
o Planning is a process of deciding what to do and how to do it before action is
required.
Planning involves selecting missions and objectives and the actions to achieve them; it
requires decision-making, that is, choosing from among alternative future courses of
actions. Managers who develop plans but do not commit themselves to action are simply
wasting time. The outcome of the planning function is a plan, a written document that
specifies the courses of action a firm will take.
Nature of Planning
Discussing the following points can highlight the nature of planning.
1. The contribution of planning to purpose and objectives
Every organization is established (exists) for the accomplishment of group purpose or
objective. So, the purpose of any plan and its derivatives or supporting plans is to
facilitate the accomplishment of organizational objectives.
2. The primacy of planning
All the five managerial functions - planning, organizing, staffing, directing and
controlling- are designed to support the accomplishment of organizational objectives.
However, planning precedes the execution of all other managerial functions, because all
other managerial functions must be planned if they are to be effective. This does not
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mean that planning is the most important of all other managerial functions, because to be
important or useful all other functions have to accompany it.
Although in practice all the functions mesh as a system of action, planning is unique in
that it involves establishing the objectives necessary for all group effort. The entire gist of
initiating, exercising, and activating the managerial functions of organizing, staffing,
directing and controlling is to bring the objectives formulated during planning into
fruition. In fact, the concept of especially control would be unthinkable without planning
because any attempt to control without plans is meaningless, since there is no way for
people to tell whether they are going where they want to go (the result of the task of
control) unless they first know where they want to go (part of task of planning). Plans
thus furnish the standards of control. Since planning and controlling are so much
inseparable, they are treated as the Siamese twins of management.
3. The pervasiveness /Universality of planning
Planning is a function of all managers, although the character and breadth of planning
varies with each manager’s authority and with the nature of policies and plans outlined by
superiors. That is, all managers-from presidents to first-level supervisors plan. Even for
personal life we plan. “It is difficult to call a person a manager if he or she doesn't plan
“Koontz
4. Planning and information
Basically no plan exists without information. To plan managers have to gather relevant
information from around the environment. Information is one of the valuable resources
for planning to exist.
5. Planning is a continuous process
Planning deals with the future and the future is full of uncertainties. Hence, planning is
subject to revision. It needs frequent revision in response to changes in the internal and
external environments of the organization. Therefore, so far as the organization is in
operation, planning is in continuous process. The more continuous the planning is, the
higher its efficiency is.
6. Planning is a means to an end
Planning is not an end by itself. It is a means to an end (meeting objectives). Planning is
an instrument that pushes people towards the achievement of objectives.
7. Plans are arranged in a hierarchy
Plans are first set for the entire organization. The corporate plan then provides the
framework for the formulation of divisional, departmental, and sectional goals. Each of
these organizational components sets its plans, programs, projects, budgets, resource
requirements, etc.
As shown in the figure below, unit plans are summed up to form sectional plans and these
in turn form departmental plans. Finally, the different divisional plans when summarized
at corporate level, form corporate plan.
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Fig. Hierarchy of plans
Corporate plans
Divisional plans
Unit plans
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Planning provides the basis for organized and coordinated effort by defining the
objectives of the organization and the means for their achievement.
7. Developing managers
The act of planning involves high level of intellectual activity. Those who plan must be
able to deal with abstract and uncertain ideas and information. Planners must think
systematically about the present and the future. Through planning, the future state of the
organization can be improved if its managers take an active role in moving the
organization toward that future. Planning then implies that managers should be proactive
and make things happen rather than reactive and let things happen. Through act of
planning, managers not only develop their ability to think futuristically but, to the extent
that their plans are effective, their motivation to plan is reinforced. Also, the act of
planning sharpens manager's ability to think as they consider abstract ideas and
possibilities for the future. Thus, both the result and the act of planning benefit both the
organization and its managers.
8. It provides guideline for decision making
Decisions in an organization will be made in alignment with the plans and in accordance
with desired outcomes. Managers make decisions on problems of recurring nature based
on strategies and policies of the organization. Through specifying the actions necessary to
accomplish the goals of the organization, planning serves as a framework for decision-
making. It forces managers to make analytical thinking and evaluate alternatives through
improved decisions.
Limitations of Planning
a.Planning is risky
This is because of uncertainties in the future and absence of accurate and adequate data.
b. It is a difficult and complicated task
Planning involves complex and interdependent decisions. Thus requires patience and
commitment from those who are involved in the planning process. In addition to this,
rapid changes in technology and customers’ tastes and preferences will also make
planning difficult and exceptionally complex.
c. It is expensive and time consuming
Planning requires financial, physical, human, and time resources. The collection of the
necessary data from various sources, the analysis, organizing and interpreting data
consume time and requires a huge amount of financial outlay.
d. It is affected by external factors
External factors can put strain on the success of planning. These factors could be external
impositions, government intervention, natural calamities, import-export policies, taxation
and labor laws that can limit the success of planning.
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Objectives are essential starting points in planning because they provide direction
for all other managerial activities.
While enterprise objectives are the basic plan of the firm, department may also
have its own objectives. Its objectives naturally contribute to the attainment of
enterprise objectives, but the two sets of objectives may be entirely different.
E.g. Objective of Business – To make a certain profit by producing a given line of
home entertainment equipment.
Objective of manufacturing department - To produce the required number of TV
sets of given design and quality at a
given cost.
These two objectives are consistent, but they differ in that the manufacturing department
alone cannot ensure accomplishing the company’s objectives.
Goals and objectives can be used interchangeably.
Mission/Purpose - denotes the reason for the existence of an
organization.
- denotes the organizations fundamental reason for existence.
Purpose and mission can be used interchangeably.
Target – identifies specific qualitative or quantitative ends (points).
In short Mission/ purposes, objective, Targets differ in scope.
Purpose/missions objective Targets
Nature of Objectives
1. Goals are predetermined or stated in advance.
2. Goals describe future desired results toward which present efforts are directed.
3. Goals should be specific and measurable. If possible, goals should be expressed in
quantitative terms.
4. Goals should have defined time period. They should specify the time period over
which goals will be achieved and measured. However, the long-range objectives
should provide the direction for short-range objectives.
5. Objectives should be continually adjusted in light of environmental changes.
However, too frequent changes and adjustments may cause confusion and disruption
of plans, strategies, policies, budgets, etc.
6. Goals should be challenging but realistic. If a goal is too difficult employees may
give up. If too easy, and routine type they may not feel motivated. Therefore, goals
should be set within the existing resource base and not beyond the department’s time,
equipment, labor, and financial resources. This gives workers job satisfaction and a
great desire to work hard. A difficult job is something beyond the resource capacity
of the organization and the individual employee. It ends up with failure to achieve the
stated goals.
7. Objectives have hierarchy
In planning, broader and more comprehensive objective with long time frame will be
formulated at the very top. These top-level objectives must successfully be broken
down to more specific and shortsighted sub-objectives because moving the
organization to goal attainment calls for achieving these sub-objectives which are the
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means by which objectives are attained. Each level of objective stand as ends relative
to the levels below it and as a means relative to the level above it.
In short, like all management activities objectives have hierarchy. It ranges from the
broadest organizational objectives to specific /individual objectives. Organizations
typically have three levels of goals: strategic, tactical, and operational.
Strategic goals - are broadly defined targets or future end results set by top-level
management. Such goals typically address issues relating to the organization as a
whole rather than specific divisions or departments and may sometimes be stated in
fairly general terms. Strategic goals are sometimes called official goals because they
are formally stated by top management.
Tactical goals - are targets or future end results usually set by middle management for
specific departments or units. Goals at this level spell out what must be done by
various departments to achieve the results outlined in the strategic goals. Tactical
goals tend to be stated in more measurable terms than is sometimes true of strategic
goals.
Operational goals - are targets or future end results set by lower management that
address specific, measurable outcomes required from lower levels.
The three levels of goals can be thought of as forming a hierarchy of goals. With a
hierarchy, goals at each level need to be synchronized so that efforts at the various
levels are channeled ultimately toward achieving the major goals of the organization.
In this way, the various levels of goals form a means-end chain, in which the goals at
the operational level (means) must be achieved in order to reach the goals at the
tactical level (end). Likewise, the goals at the tactical level (means) must be reached in
order to achieve the goals at the strategic level (end).
8. Multiplicity of objectives
Even though there is only one broad and overall organizational objective, there are
other multiple (many) objectives that are under the umbrella of the overall plan which
are directed to attain the overall plan. It would have been relatively easy to achieve an
objective and its sub-objective had an organization had only a single basic objective.
But in reality organizations do have a multitude of objectives and any attempt to
disregard this fact can invite failure to organizations.
9. Integrating character
In order to achieve the broad organizational objective there should be harmony or
integration among objectives.
Multiple Integration Network of
Objectives objectives
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Objectives of an organization form network, that is, objectives are interrelated and
interdependent. The union of the individual objectives to form an overall objective makes
network of objectives. If there were no network of objectives, it would be very difficult to
achieve organizational objectives because people with their individual objective will
pursue their activity as right and coordination can never be possible.
11. Primacy of objectives
Objectives are primary to organization because they are the very reason for the existence
of an organization.
Benefits of Objectives
i. Objectives provide basis for the performance of all
managerial functions. They serve as a benchmark for the formulation of plan, policies,
strategies, rules, budgets, procedures, etc. Organizing exists when there are objectives
and courses of action required for implementing plans, organizing signifies the need for
staffing by creating jobs and positions and coordinating all organizational efforts to
desired results.
ii. Objectives provide guidelines for action. They help clarify
expectations. When goals are set, organization members are more likely to have a clear
idea of the major outcomes that they are expected to achieve. Without goals,
organization members can all be working very hard but may collectively accomplish very
little as if they were rowers independently rowing the same boat in different directions
and together making very little progress. Goals direct and channel employees’ efforts by
describing future desired results. They provide focus and direction for employees by
prescribing what ‘should be’ done. And, they also help to allocate resources and tell
employee how and where to direct their strongest efforts. Goals are basic for cooperative
and organized effort.
iii. Objectives can limit employee activities. They serve to
prescribe what ‘should be done’ and ‘what should not be done’ by the employees.
iv. Objectives provide a unique identity for organizations.
Organizations have unique characteristics. They have their own values and identities that
help one to differentiate them from others in the industry.
v. An organization’s goal can serve as a source of employee
motivation. It helps to uplift their morale. By presenting a challenge, goals tell what
characterizes success and how to achieve it. Accomplishment of organizational goals
provides employees a sense of achievement and satisfaction. The added motivation
develops from meeting goals, feeling a sense of accomplishment, and receiving
recognition and other rewards for reaching targeted outcomes. On the other hand,
managing employees based on the accomplishment of objectives rather than on the tasks
and activities of every worker (management by objectives-MBO) can serve as an
incentive to employees.
vi. Objectives provide performance standards and bases for
control. Control is the function of measuring, comparing and evaluating performance
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against predetermined standards. Thus, control will be meaningless in the absence of
standards provided by objectives.
Management by Objectives
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Management by objective (MBO) is a process through which specific goals are set
collaboratively for the organization as a whole and every unit and individual within it; the
goals then are used as a basic for planning, managing organizational activities, and
assessing and rewarding contributions.
1) MBO was first described by Peter Drucker and consists of four elements:
Goal specificity
Participative decision making
Explicit time period
Performance feedback
2) MBO makes objectives operational through the process by which they cascade down
through the organization.
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4. May cause overemphasis of quantitative goals.
The “spirit” of MBO is tremendous. In practice however, MBO has been successful only
about 20 to 25 percent of the time, primarily because of lack of support from top
management and poor goal-setting and communication skills.
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Strengths are internal competencies possessed by the organization in comparison
with the competitors. These include structure and policies of the organization,
location, financial soundness, knowledge of personnel, qualities of facilities, and so
on.
Weaknesses are attributes of the organization which tend to decrease its
competence in comparison to its competitors.
Threat is reasonably probable events which if it were to occur, would produce
significant damage to the organization.
Opportunity is a combination of circumstances, time, and place which if
accompanied by a certain course of action on the part of the organization, is likely to
produce significant benefits.
The key element of planning at this stage is forecasting. It is based on the forecasts made
in different areas that premises are made.
Because the future is so complex, it would not be profitable or realistic to make
assumptions about every detail of the future environment of a plan. Therefore, premises
are, as a practical matter, limited to assumptions that are critical, or strategic, to a plan,
that is, those that most influence its operation.
3. Determining alternative courses of actions
Alternatives are courses of actions that are available to a manager to reach a goal. In
developing alternatives, a manager should try to create as many roads to the objective as
possible. Usually the most common problem is not finding alternatives but reducing
number of alternatives so that the most promising may be analyzed.
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Numberizing plans is converting them into budgets. Plans will have meaning when they
are changed into numbers. Budgeting is the means of adding various plans together and
set important standards against which planning process can be measured.
8. Implementing the plan
After the optimum alternative has been selected, the manager needs to develop an action
plan to implement it. This is a step where by the entire organization will be in motion or
real operation. All the planning in the world will not help an organization realize
objectives if plans cannot be implemented. Implementation involves determining who
will be involved, what resources will be assigned, how the plan will be evaluated, and the
reporting procedure.
9. Controlling and evaluating the results
Once the plan is implemented, the manager must monitor the progress that is being made,
evaluate the reported results, and make any modifications necessary. The environment
that a plan is constructed in is constantly changing, so the plans may have to be modified.
Or modification may be needed because a plan was not quite “perfect” when it was
implemented. Hence, managers need to make certain that the plan is going according to
expectations and making necessary adjustments.
i. Scope/Breadth Dimension
Scope refers to the comprehensiveness of the plan, or it refers to the level of management
where plans are formulated. This dimension creates hierarchy of plans. Based on
scope/breadth we can classify plans into: Strategic, Tactical and Operational.
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4. It tends to be top management responsibility, but it reflects a mentality
useful at all levels.
5. It is expressed in relatively general non-specific terms.
Strategic plans address such questions as:
- What business are we in?
- What business should we be in?
- Where will we be in ten years if we continue doing what we are now
doing?
The difference between where a firm would like to be (where we want to be) and where it
will be if it does nothing is called the Planning gap. Strategic planning is primarily
concerned with closing that gap.
The success or failure of an organization depends up on the success or failure of
strategic plans. It makes premises for tactical plans.
Tactical Plan: refers to the implementation of activities and the allocation of resources
necessary for the achievement of the organization’s objectives.
- is an intermediate plan that helps to reduce long range planning into intermediate one
by increasing the amount of specificity and making the actions goal oriented. Tactical
plans are specific and more goal oriented than strategic plans. Middle level
management in consultation with lower level management develops them.
- Tactical plans are the means charted to support the implementation of the
strategic plans and achievement of tactical goals. They are concerned with shorter
time frames and cover a narrower scope (narrower range of activities).
- Structures a firm’s resources to achieve maximum performance.
- Concerned with what the lower level units within each division must do, how
they must do it, and who will have the responsibilities for doing it.
- Tactical plans make premises for operational plans.
- is narrower in scope than strategic plan and wider than operation plan; but
more detailed than strategic plan and less detailed than operational plan
E.g. what is the best pricing policy?
Which city or town is suitable for marketing our products?
Operational Plan: is concerned with the day to day activities of the organization and is
made at the lower level management in consultation with middle level management.
Operational plans spell out specifically what must be accomplished to achieve
specific/operational goals. It is concerned with the efficient, day-to-day use of resources
allocated to a department manager’s area of responsibility.
- Operational plans have relatively short time frame (< 1 yr). It is the most detailed (more
specific) and narrowest plan compared to the above two; because it is to be
implemented day-to-day.
E.g. –What production technique is best?
- What materials are needed for operation?
Unless operational goals are achieved in organizations, tactical and strategic plans
will not be successful and goals at those levels will not be achieved.
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Time dimension refers to the time periods for which the planning is intended. Based on
the length of time a plan covers, we do have three types of plans: Long-range (five years
or more), medium-range (between one and five years) and short-range plans (one year or
less).
Time dimension and scope dimension are the same except the former is about the
length of time that the plan covers and the later about the level of management
where the plan is formulated.
All strategic plans are long-range plans.
All tactical plans are medium-range plans.
All operational plans are short-range plans.
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Policies are usually established formally and deliberately by top managers of the
organization. They can also emerge informally and at lower levels in the organization
from a seemingly consistent set of decisions on the same subject made over a period
of time.
Policies are established at the top because:
a. They feel it will improve the effectiveness of an organization.
b. They want some aspect of the organization to reflect their personal values
(E.g. Dress codes)
c. They need to clear up some conflict or confusion that has occurred at a
lower level in the organization.
Examples of policy:
1. Except for token gifts of purely nominal or advertising value, no
employee shall accept any gift from any supplier at any time.
2. Hiring university trained engineers
3. To promote from within
4. We accept returned merchandise
b. Rules: spell out specific required action or non-actions, i.e., actions that must be or
must not be taken, allowing no discretion, in a given situation.
E.g. No smoking, cheating is prohibited.
A rule is an ongoing, specific plan for controlling human behavior and conduct at
work.
The purpose of policies is to guide decision-making by marking off areas in which
managers can use their discretion. Although rules also serve as guides, they allow no
discretion in their application.
Rules are the most explicit of standing plans and are not guides for thinking or
decision-making. Rather, they are substitutes for them. The only choice a rule leaves
is whether or not to apply it to a particular set of circumstances.
c. Procedures: are statements that detail the exact manner in which certain activities
must be accomplished. They put the precise order of activities to be carried out to do a
task and thus, procedures are chronological sequences of required actions. They provide
detailed step-by-step instructions as to what should be done. Procedures prescribe exactly
what actions are to be taken in a specific situation and specify the chronological sequence
of activities. For example, material procurement, university admission, bidding, etc.
When we compare the above three, policies, procedures and rules, we can understand that
all are alike in the sense that they are directives to guide people’s behavior to the desired
ends and they are plans which are to be followed in the future. Conversely, procedures
and rules are different from policies in that the formers are guides to actions while the
latter are guides to thinking. So, procedures and rules render no freedom and hence
should be used when we want to discourage initiative or repress thinking. But, policies
must permit freedom within limits and hence are used when people’s involvement,
participation or initiative is desired.
Though both rules and procedures repress thinking, they are different. Unlike procedures,
rules (1) guide actions without specifying a time sequence (2) spell out that a certain
action must or must not be taken. Procedures, however, specify a time sequence. In fact a
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procedure may be looked upon as a sequence of rules. A rule, however, may or may not
be part of a procedure.
Single use plans: are plans aimed at achieving a specific goal that, once reached, will
most likely not recur in the future and dissolved when these have been accomplished.
- Are designed to accomplish a specific objective usually in a relatively shorter period
of time and it is non repetitive.
- They are detailed courses of action that probably will not be repeated in the same
form in the future.
The major types of single use plans are programs, projects, and budgets.
E.g. A firm planning to build a new warehouse-location, construction costs, labor
availability, zoning restrictions.
a. Programs: is a comprehensive plan that coordinates a complex set of activities related
to a major non-recurring goal.
- Are a complex of goals, policies, procedures, rules, task assignments, steps to be
taken, resources to be employed and other elements necessary to carryout a given
course of action
- Single use plans may use standing plans and other single use plans to be effective.
Single use plan = Standing plans + Single use plans
A program may be as large in scope as placing a person on the moon or as
comparatively small as improving the reading level of fourth grade students in a
school district. Whatever its scope, it will specify many activities and allocations of
resources within an overall scheme that may include such other single use plans as
projects and budgets.
* A program may be repeated with modification but not as it is.
b. Projects: is a plan that coordinates a set of limited scope activities that do not need to
be divided into several major projects in order to reach a major non-recurring goal.
- Projects are the smaller and separate portions of programs.
Each project has limited scope and distinct directives concerning assignments and
time. Each project will become the responsibility of designated personnel who
will be given specific resources and deadlines.
E.g. Building a warehouse can be taken as a program. In the warehouse example,
typical projects might include the preparation of layout drawings, a report on
labor availability, and recommendations for transferring stock from existing
facilities to the new installation.
c. Budgets: are statements of expected results expressed in numerical terms.
- Are statements of financial resources set aside for specific activities in a
given period of time.
- Budget is a single use plan that commits resources to an activity over a given
period. It may be expressed in Birr, labor hours, units of product, machine hrs, or any
other numerically measurable term.
- It may be referred to as a “numberize” program.
Budgets are also control devices. However, making a budget is clearly planning.
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Characteristics of a Good Plan
Every sound business plan must have these characteristics:
Objectivity
Planning should, first all, be based on objective thinking. It should be factual, logical
and realistic. It should be directed to achieving organizational goals rather than
personal objectives.
Futurity
Since a plan is a forecast of some future action, it must have the quality of futurity;
otherwise, it has little value as a basis for future action. If a plan is to be effective, it
must foresee with reasonable accuracy the nature of future events affecting the
industry and the firm. The inability to foresee future events, a human limitation that
we cannot overcome, is the weak link in planning process.
Flexibility
Because no one can foresee the future, plans must have flexibility. They must adjust
smoothly and quickly to changing conditions without seriously losing their
effectiveness. The more difficult it is to predict the future, the more flexible the plans
must be.
Stability
Stability is related to flexibility. A stable plan will not have to be abandoned because
of long-term changes in the company’s situation. It may be affected by long-range
developments, but it should not be changed materially from day to day.
Comprehensive
A plan must be comprehensive enough to provide adequate guidance, but not so
detailed as to be unduly restrictive. It should cover everything required of people, but
not in such detail that it inhibits initiative.
Simplicity and clarity
Although a good plan must be comprehensive, it should also be simple. A simple plan
seeks to attain its objective with the fewest components, forces, effects and
relationships. A plan should not be ambiguous. Lack of clarity makes understanding
and implementation difficult.
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V. MANAGERIAL DECISION-MAKING
Meaning:
- Decision-making is a rational choice or selection of one alternative from among a set of
alternatives; i.e. it is the act of choosing one alternative from among a set of
alternatives.
- Decision-making is the management function that consists of choosing one course of
action from all the available alternatives.
Decision-making is part of every aspect of the manager’s duties, which include planning,
organizing, staffing, leading and controlling, i.e. decision-making is universal. In all
managerial functions decision-making is involved. All managerial functions have to be
decided. For example, managers can formulate planning objectives only after making
decisions about the organization’s basic mission. Even though in all managerial functions
decision-making is involved, the critical decision-making is during planning because
planning identifies the objectives of the organization; i.e. decision must be made to
identify the objectives/missions of an organization. In the planning process, managers
decide such matters as what goals or opportunities their organization will pursue, what
resources will be used, who will perform each required task etc. The entire planning
process involves managers in a continual series of decision-making situations.
Decision-making has three elements (parts)
1. When managers make decisions; they are choosing or selecting from among
alternatives.
2. When managers make decisions, they have available alternatives. When there are
no alternatives, there is no decision-making, rather it become mandatory.
3. When managers make decisions, they have purpose in mind. The purpose in mind
is organizational objectives.
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performance specified (standards set) and level of performance attained. The problem is
very critical when the gap between the standard set and actual performance attained is
very high. To locate problems, managers rely on several different indicators:
- Deviations from past performance. A sudden change in some established pattern of
performance often indicates that a problem has developed. When employee turnover
increases, sales decline, selling expenses increase, or more defective units are
produced, a problem usually exists.
- Deviation from plan. When results do not meet planned objectives, a problem is
likely. For example, a new product fails to meet its market share objective, profit
levels are lower than planned, the production department is exceeding its budgets.
These occurrences signal that some plan is off course.
- Out side criticism. The actions of outsiders may indicate problems. Customers may
be dissatisfied with a new product or with their delivery schedules; a labor union may
present a grievance; investment firms may not recommend the organization as a good
investment opportunity; alumni may withdraw their support from an athletic program.
Decision makers face three types of problems:
A crisis problem is a serious difficulty requiring immediate action. An example of a
crisis is a severe cash flow deficiency that has a high potential of evolving into serious
losses, and a customer protest against the quality of a product.
A non-crisis problem is an issue that requires resolutions but does not simultaneously
have the importance and immediacy characteristics of a crisis. Many of the decisions
that managers make center on non-crisis problems. Example of such problems is a
factory that needs to be brought into conformity with new state antipollution standards
during the next three years and an employee who frequently is late for work.
An opportunity problem is a situation that offers strong potential for significant
organizational gain if appropriate actions are taken. Opportunities typically involve new
ideas and novel directions that could be used, rather than difficulties that must be
resolved. Non-innovative managers tend to focus on problems rather than opportunities.
Confusions are common in problem definition because the events or issues that attract the
manager’s attention may be symptoms of another more fundamental and pervasive
difficulty than the problem itself. That is, there may exist confusion on the identification
of a problem and its symptoms. The accurate definition of a problem affects all the steps
that follow. Managers once they have identified problems, they have to try to diagnose
the cause of the problem. Causes unlike symptoms are seldom apparent.
This step has three general stages: scanning, categorization, and diagnosis.
Scanning stage: involves monitoring the work situation for changing circumstances that
may signal the emergence of a problem. At this point the manager may be only vaguely
aware that an environmental change could lead to a problem or that an existing situation
constitutes a problem.
Categorization stage: entails attempting to understand and verify signs that there is
some type of discrepancy between the current state and the desired state. At this point the
manager attempts to categorize the situation as a problem and a no problem, even though
it may be difficult to specify the exact nature of the problem, if one exists.
Diagnosis stage: involves gathering additional information and specifying both the
nature and the causes of the problem. Without appropriate diagnosis, it is difficult to
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experience success in the rest of the decision-making process. At the diagnosis stage, the
problem should be stated in terms of the discrepancy between current conditions and
what is desired; the cause of the discrepancy should be specified.
2. Developing Alternatives
Before a decision is made feasible alternatives should be developed. This is a search
process in which relevant internal and external environment of the organization are
investigated to provide information that can be developed into possible alternatives. At
this point it is necessary to list as many possible alternatives solutions to the problem as
you can. No major decision should be made until several alternative solutions have been
developed. Decision-making at this stage requires finding creative and imaginative
alternatives using full mental faculty. The manager needs help in this situation through
brainstorming or Delphi technique.
3. Evaluating Alternatives
Once managers have developed a set of alternatives, they must evaluate them to see how
effective each would be. Each alternative must be judged in light of the goals and
resources of the organization and how well the alternative will help solve the problem. In
addition, each alternative must be judged in terms of its consequences for the
organization.
4. Choosing an Alternative
Based on the evaluation made managers select the best alternative. In trying to select an
alternative or combination of alternatives, managers find a solution that appears to offer
the fewest serious disadvantages and the most advantages. The purpose of selecting an
alternative is to solve the problem so as to achieve a predetermined objective. Managers
should take care not to solve one problem and create another with their choice.
A decision is not an end by itself but only a means to an end. This means the factors that
lead to implementation and follow –up should follow solution selection.
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the original objective if it is deemed unattainable. The various actions taken to implement
a decision must be monitored. The more important the problem, the greater the effort that
needs to be expended on appropriate follow up mechanisms. Are things working
according to plan? What is happening in the internal and external environments as a
result of the decision? Are subordinates performing according to expectations? …….
must be closely monitored.
Decision-Making Conditions
When managers make decisions, the amount of information available to them or the
degree of knowledge they have about the likelihood of the occurrence of each alternative
vary from managers to managers or/and from situation to situation. To put it in other
way, decisions are made under three basic conditions. These are condition of certainty,
condition of risk, and condition of uncertainty.
1. Decision-making under Certainty
When managers know with certainty what their alternatives are and what conditions are
associated with each alternative, a state of certainty exists. Decisions under certainty are
those in which the external conditions are identified and very predictable; i.e. we are
reasonably sure what will happen when we make a decision. The information is available
and is considered to be reliable, and we know the cause and effect relationships. In
decision-making under certainty there is a little ambiguity and relatively low chance of
making poor/bad decisions. Decision-making under certainty seldom occurs, however,
because external conditions seldom are perfectly predictable and because it is impossible
to try to account for all possible influences on any given outcome it is very rare.
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Types of Decisions
Decisions can be classified in to: programmed and non programmed.
1. Programmed Decisions
Programmed decisions are those made in routine, repetitive, well-structured situations
through the use of predetermined decision rules. The decision rules may be based on
habit, computational techniques, or established policies and procedures. Such rules
usually stem from prior experience or technical knowledge about what works in the
particular type of situation. Most of the decisions made by first line managers and many
of those made by middle managers are the programmed type, but very few of the
decisions made by top-level managers are the programmed type. Managers can usually
handle programmed decisions through rules, procedures, and policies.
E.g. Establishing a re-order point, Decide if students meet graduation requirements,
Determination of employee pay rates
2. Non-programmed Decisions
Non-programmed decisions are used to solve non-recurring, novel, and unstructured
problems. No well-established procedure exists for handling them, because it has not
occurred before managers do not have experience to draw up on, or problems are
complex or completely new. Because of their nature non-programmed decisions usually
involve significant amounts of uncertainty. They are treated through farsightedness.
Most of the highly significant decisions that managers make fall into the non-
programmed category. Non-programmed decisions are commonly found at the middle
and top levels of management and are often related to an organization’s policy-making
activities.
E.g. To add a product to the existing product line, to reorganize a company, to acquire
another firm
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Government: solving spiraling inflation
problem
In reality most decisions fall between the two; i.e. a continuum of decision situations
exists ranging from those that are highly structured to those that are unstructured.
Situations between the two extremes are partially structured. As the name suggests, in a
partially structured situation, only a part is well structured. Typically, although the
manager has a great deal of data available, the final choice is not obvious. Many
intangibles are involved in the final choice. Therefore, the manager must base the
ultimate decision on the data and supplementary factors, using judgment and experience.
E.g. A hospital wishing to improve patient care may adjust its patient-staff ratio
(programmable situation), reorganize its staff (a non programmable situation).
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Using unreliable sources of information
A decision is only as good as the information on which it is based. Poor sources
of information always result in poor decisions.
Fear of consequences
Managers often are reluctant to make bold, comprehensive decisions because they
fear disastrous results. A “play it safe” attitude sometimes limits a manager’s
effectiveness.
Focusing on symptoms rather than causes
Addressing the symptoms of a problem will not solve it. Taking aspirin for a
toothache may provide temporary relief, but if an abscess causes the pain, the
problem will persist. Business managers too often foul on the results of problems
instead of the causes.
Reliance on Hunch and Intuition
Intuition, judgment and ‘feel’ are important assets to the decision maker. But a
manager who permits intuition to outweigh scientific evidence is likely to make a
poor decision.
Some times a manager’s decision is not exactly “poor”, but it still doesn’t produce
optimal results. Less than optimal decisions can have three causes:
1. Bounded rationality imposes limits on a decision, such as that it should be
economical or logistically practical. This limit serves as a screening device,
eliminating some of the alternatives. The manager must choose from the
options that have filtered through the restrictions. The overall optimal decision
may no longer be a valid option when using this method. The decision maker
simply selects the best alternative, given various specifications that must be
met.
2. Sub optimization is a manager’s tendency to operate solely in the interests of
his/her department rather than in the interests of the company as a whole. In
making a decision, the department manager cannot be so self-centered as to
ignore the effects of the action on other areas. The key is to improve the
company’s performance, not just the performance of one department.
3. Unforeseen changes in the business environment also cause less than optimal
decisions.
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