Rural Electricifationmasterplan
Rural Electricifationmasterplan
Rural Electricifationmasterplan
PROJECT OVERVIEW
gathering of solar data. The solar data used in this master plan was sourced from Ghana's
Energy Commission. This information was derived from several research that the commission
conducted Furthermore, built-in solar statistics from NASA for numerous sites worldwide are
included in the RET Screen sustainable energy program, which was highly helpful in our
research..
Solar PV selection
The main criteria used in selecting the PV for this master plan were its technical attributes,
availability, efficiency, and affordability. For this thesis, we also restricted ourselves to crystalline
panels. Mono-crystalline solar panels have a better conversion efficiency than any other
commercial solar panels. Its efficiencies range from fifteen to twenty-four percent. Poly-
crystalline panels have a lower conversion efficiency than mono-crystalline panels. It is between
fifteen and nineteen percent effective. Either way, its primary advantage lies in its lower cost.
Poly-crystalline panels have a lower conversion efficiency than mono-crystalline panels. It is
between fifteen and nineteen percent effective. Either way, its primary advantage lies in its
lower cost. Poly-crystalline panels have a lower conversion efficiency than mono-crystalline
panels. It is between fifteen and nineteen percent effective. Either way, its primary advantage
lies in its lower cost.
Yield determination
Important elements that affect the system's output are module size, capacity, and efficiency;
site location and solar radiation; inverter capacity and efficiency; and available area. Then, using
a variety of software programs, all of these inputs are simulated in MWh/year.. Four elements
can be manually considered in order to compute this yield: panel yield, performance ratio, total
module area, and solar irradiation at an inclined plane. The annual yield is therefore obtained
by multiplying these four elements.
The following is the worldwide formula for calculating the power output of a solar system:
E=A*Gr*r*PR … … (1)
E- Annual yield – kWh /year
A-Total module area - m2
Gr-Average global solar irradiation at tilt angle – kWh/m2/year r- panel yield – is the ratio of
the electrical power of the panel divided by the area of one panel or it is also expressed as
panel efficiency (%)
PR- performance ratio - %
The performance ratio, Coefficient for all losses (usually ranges between 0.5 – 0.9)
The market discount rate, or IRR, that results in zero or no life cycle savings is known as the net
present value (NPV). Examples of the IRR are Pre-tax IRR equity, After-tax IRR equity, Pre-tax IRR
assets, and After-tax IRR assets. Pre-tax IRR equity and assets is the percentage of the possibility
to equable the investment cost and assets during the project lifetime before income tax.The
market discount rate, or IRR, that results in zero or no life cycle savings is known as the net
present value (NPV). Examples of the IRR are Pre-tax IRR equity, After-tax IRR equity, Pre-tax IRR
assets, and After-tax IRR assets. Pre-tax IRR equity and assets is the percentage of the possibility
to equable the investment cost and assets during the project lifetime before income tax.The
market discount rate, or IRR, that results in zero or no life cycle savings is known as the net
present value (NPV). Examples of the IRR are Pre-tax IRR equity, After-tax IRR equity, Pre-tax IRR
assets, and After-tax IRR assets. Pre-tax IRR equity and assets is the percentage of the possibility
to equable the investment cost and assets during the project lifetime before income tax.The
possibility of matching the investment cost and assets over the course of the project life cycle
after income tax is known as after-tax IRR equity and assets.
Net present Value (NPV)
The NPV analysis is widely used for projecting investments and decisions, such as jointly owned
projects and community costs. While NPV is commonly used when analyzing investments from a
public viewpoint, it is not conventional when it comes to communal expenses. Instead, it
evaluates the variance in the number of viable investment possibilities in mutually exclusive
projects. (Short and others, 1995).
The NPV can be calculated by using the following
formula NPV =
𝑛
𝑡
∑ 𝑡 ……………………………………………………….(2)
𝑡=0 (1+𝑖)
flow at year t
t – time in years,
n – number of years considered for the investment evaluation (it includes both depreciation
and technical life)
i – is the discount rate in % (differentiated in household and industry investment)
3.7.6 Payback Period (PBP)
PBP variance in the number of investment options available, whereas in communal costs, NPV is
not standard, although it is frequently employed when evaluating investments from a public
perspective. (Short et., 1995).
The NPV can be calculated by using the following formula
𝑛 t
∑ 𝑡 ……………………………………………………….(2)
𝑡=0 (1+𝑖)
t – time in years,
n – number of years considered for the investment evaluation (it includes both
investment)
Also, it can be calculated using the formula presented in (Branker et al., 2011) as:
∑𝑇𝑡=0(1+𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒)𝑡
Sensitivity analysis
The sensitivity of key economic factors, such as starting costs and technological and financial
characteristics, can be roughly determined through sensitivity analysis. RETScreen considers
initial and yearly expenses, debt ratio, discount rate, and debt interest rate for calculating the
sensitivity of the LCOE, after-tax IRR equity, Net present value (NPV), and Equity Payback
(Sebastian et al, 2016).
Finally, the sensitivity analysis was run, and the impact of the initial investment cost, O&M
costs, and the electricity export rate on the NPV, PBP, and after-tax IRR equity were examined
MOUNTING STRUCTURE
Type of mounting
Ground
structure
Cost per mounting
1500
structure
LAND ACQUISITION 150
COST OF LAND 1500
SMA TAX 120
CONTIGENCY 10%
Wiring etc 134
Cost of appliances 132
maintenance cost 10956
System Monitoring 2634
Control System
378
Upkeep
Equipment Insurance 234
Security: 234
office cost 150
ASSUMPTIONS
Projected Energy Generated
solar potential Abundant
panel efficiency 16.5
weather paltern 5.5
solar manufacturer Sun
OPERATION EXPENDITURE(OPEX)
breakdown of each component of the Operating Expenditure (OPEX) for a solar-powered
microgrid project in detail:
- Corrective Maintenance
- Repairs in case of equipment failures or malfunctions.
- Replacement of faulty components.
3. Insurance
- Equipment Insurance
- Coverage for damage, theft, or unexpected failures of solar panels and other hardware.
- Liability Insurance:
- Protection against any damages or injuries related to the microgrid operation.
4. Security:
- Physical Security:
- Installation and maintenance of security systems (fencing, cameras, lighting).
- Security personnel for on-site surveillance.
- Cybersecurity
- Implementation of measures to protect against cyber threats.
- Regular cybersecurity audits and updates.
5. Administrative and Management Costs:
- Personnel Salaries:
- Salaries for administrative staff, project managers, and support personnel.
- Office Expenses:
- Rent, utilities, and maintenance of office facilities.
- Office supplies and equipment.
Budgeting
_Regularly review and adjust budgets based on the specific needs and evolving regulations.
- Proactive Maintenance: Implement a preventive maintenance schedule to minimize corrective
maintenance needs.
- Technology Upgrades: Plan for occasional upgrades to monitoring systems and control
algorithms to stay current with technology advancements.
- Regulatory Monitoring: Stay informed about changes in regulations to ensure ongoing
compliance.
This detailed breakdown provides a comprehensive view of the various elements comprising the
Operating Expenditure for a solar-powered microgrid, helping to plan and manage costs
effectively. Adjustments may be necessary based on specific project details and evolving
circumstances.
In order to draw in investors and stakeholders, the master plan may suggest sustainable
funding options, incentives, and support networks. These incentives may take the form of
competitively procured future power purchase agreements (PPAs), tax-based incentive
systems, or financially structured securitization models of renewable energy assets.
(Ponkshe, 2022)
International agencies
The master plan can be implemented with financial and technical support from international
agencies like the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) and the United Nations
Development Programe (UNDP).
ASSUMPTIONS
Assumptions Breakdown:
3. Inflation Rates:
- Components Affected by Inflation:
- Capital and operational expenses (CAPEX and OPEX).
- Electricity selling price.
- Financing costs.
- Sources of Inflation Data:
- Historical inflation rates.
- Projections from economic forecasts.
- Government inflation indices.
4. Discount Rate:
- Determinants of Discount Rate:
- Cost of capital for the project.
- Project risk assessments.
- Opportunity cost of capital.
- Benchmarking:
- Comparisons with industry-standard discount rates.
- Consultation with financial experts.
- Sensitivity Analysis:
- Assessing the impact of varying discount rates on financial metrics.
Operational Metrics:
Downtime Percentage:
Measures the reliability of the microgrid.
System Availability:
Percentage of time the microgrid is operational.
The Essence Of Evaluation And Monitoring The Performance Of The Solar Powered Microgrid
The key to assessing and tracking a solar-powered microgrid's performance is to make sure it is
efficient, long-lasting, and achieving the goals it was designed to. (Atiba et al., 2019)These are
the main justifications for carrying out monitoring and evaluation:
2. Operational Reliability:
Continual and dependable operation of the microgrid is ensured by routine monitoring,
which aids in the early detection and resolution of possible problems.
Evaluation determines the overall dependability of the system, which helps to minimize
downtime and enhance maintenance procedures.
3. Financial Accountability:
Resource allocation is held accountable by the comparison of actual financial
performance to projected results.
Tracking financial data improves the project's financial sustainability and aids in finding
areas for cost savings.
7.Continuous Improvement
Lessons learnt from performance assessments feed future decision-making, and both
monitoring and evaluation contribute to this cycle of continuous improvement. The key
is to gradually improve the microgrid's functionality by applying data-driven insights.
Select the right instruments and techniques: Data can be gathered, analyzed, and reported
using a variety of techniques and technologies, depending on the goals, metrics, financial
constraints, and schedule. Surveys, interviews, focus groups, observations, sensors, meters, and
dashboards are a few examples of these.
Select the right tools and methods: There are a variety of tools and methods that can be used to
gather, evaluate, and report data, depending on the goals, metrics, spending limit, and
schedule. Surveys, interviews, focus groups, observations, sensors, meters, dashboards, and
other suitable instruments can all be included in this.
Determine a starting point: Establish a baseline for the metrics and indicators listed above prior
to the project start date so that it can be used as a point of comparison.
Impact assessments: To determine the project's total effect on the community and
environment, conduct impact assessments, such as cost-benefit analyses or social impact
assessments.
Learning and adaptation: To ensure the project's long-term success and sustainability, apply the
monitoring and evaluation results to enhance, modify, and enhance the project's execution.
(Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland, 2011)
9 Data analysis
Anywhere in the world can easily evaluate the energy production life cycle cost and GHG
emission reduction for the three main PV applications—off-grid water pumping, hybrid PV, and
on-grid water pumping—by utilizing the RET Screen worldwide PV project model. The model
can be used to analyze both isolated-grid and central grid PV systems for on-grid applications.
For off-grid applications, the model can be used to examine hybrid and stand-alone systems
alike. The model can be used to evaluate PV pump systems for applications involving the
The software has built-in features and algorithms that make the feasibility research easier. The
5. Financial summary
In addition, the location and facility worksheet has additional project information on it. The
project evaluation does not always make use of these data. On the location worksheet, the user
can add details about the project site, including coordinates. Additionally, RETScreen can
generate a summary report of the data imputed to the user using a report worksheet.
Figure 3.2, which displays the RETScreen clean energy software interface, is shown below.
Figure 3.3 RET Screen clean energy software interface
production and/or consumption of energy for a range of facilities, including particular systems and
metrics. Based on system characteristics and local site conditions, the energy model worksheet can be
Resource assessment
• Slope
• Azimuth
Photovoltaic
• PV type
• Power capacity
• Manufacturer
• Model
• Efficiency
• Number of units
• Miscellaneous losses
Inverter
• Efficiency
• Capacity
• Miscellaneous loses
The monthly daily sun radiation is displayed in the Energy model. The kind of plant and its
power output that we employed. We used the China sun energy panel model from the energy
model. Rescreen determined that we should use 1565 models, which have a 500KW power
output, based on the panel's efficiency. Our panel will as well be fixed.
The cost analysis worksheet contains estimates of various costs related to a solar PV project.
These costs are taken into account from two different angles: the initial, or investment cost, and
the ongoing, or recurrent cost.
The worksheet has categorized the cost into five (5) major parts thus;
Feasibility study
Development
Engineering
Power system
Balance of system & miscellaneous
Extensive research was made in other to obtain the various costs of standard solar power plants
across the world
Details of the cost estimated for the analysis is presented in figure 3.5 Parameters inputted in
the cost analysis worksheet
Figure 4 The cost analysis worksheet
This chapter presents the financial computations' conclusions. After examining the NPV, IRR,
and simple PBP, the sensitivity is discussed. This is the effect on the project's viability of
variables such as inflation, currency exchange rates, and discount rates. Considering the
research's financial constraints, purchasing the 100kW Kantro solar PV facility is a wise financial
decision.
According to a FiT of $0.10/kWh, the power plant brings 643.915KWH of electricity to the
national grid annually, bringing in $270,444 in revenue. With an annual loan payment of
$221789 and an NPV of 752159, the project's simple payback period is 8.2 years.
Figures 4 and 5 illustrate the power plant's pretax and cumulative cash flow, which demonstrate
that the project experienced a negative net cash inflow from the first to the eighth year of
operation. This indicates that annual losses on debt and other assets exceed income.According
to a FiT of $0.10/kWh, the power plant brings 643.915KWH of electricity to the national grid
annually, bringing in $270,444 in revenue. With an annual loan payment of $221789 and an NPV
of 752159, the project's simple payback period is 8.2 years.
Figures 4 and 5 illustrate the power plant's pretax and cumulative cash flow, which demonstrate
that the project experienced a negative net cash inflow from the first to the eighth year of
operation. This indicates that annual losses on debt and other assets exceed income. According
to a FiT of $0.10/kWh, the power plant brings 643.915KWH of electricity to the national grid
annually, bringing in $270,444 in revenue. With an annual loan payment of $221789 and an NPV
of 752159, the project's simple payback period is 8.2 years.
Figures 4 and 5 illustrate the power plant's pretax and cumulative cash flow, which demonstrate
that the project experienced a negative net cash inflow from the first to the eighth year of
operation. This indicates that annual losses on debt and other assets exceed income.
Sensitivity analysis
Electricity export rate to the total initial cost
The data highlighted means the project won’t be feasible when they are in this condition.
MONITORING AND EVALUATION
monitoring and evaluating the performance of the solar-powered microgrids
It is crucial to track and assess the performance of solar-powered microgrids since it shows the
project's effect on the community, guarantees financial sustainability, and helps identify areas
for development.
The project's impact and success will be evaluated using the following measures and indicators:
Energy Output Metrics:
Operational Metrics:
Downtime Percentage:
Measures the reliability of the microgrid.
System Availability:
Percentage of time the microgrid is operational.
The Essence Of Evaluation And Monitoring The Performance Of The Solar Powered Microgrid
The key to assessing and tracking a solar-powered microgrid's performance is to make sure it is
efficient, long-lasting, and achieving the goals it was designed to. These are the main
justifications for carrying out monitoring and evaluation:
1. Optimizing Energy Production:
Real-time tracking of energy production is made possible via monitoring, which enables
early detection and inefficiency rectification.
Assessment offers information on overall performance, enabling modifications to
maximize energy production.
2. Operational Reliability:
Continual and dependable operation of the microgrid is ensured by routine monitoring,
which aids in the early detection and resolution of possible problems.
Evaluation determines the overall dependability of the system, which helps to minimize
downtime and enhance maintenance procedures.
3. Financial Accountability:
Resource allocation is held accountable by the comparison of actual financial
performance to projected results.
Tracking financial data improves the project's financial sustainability and aids in finding
areas for cost savings.
7.Continuous Improvement
Lessons learnt from performance assessments feed future decision-making, and both
monitoring and evaluation contribute to this cycle of continuous improvement. The key
is to gradually improve the microgrid's functionality by applying data-driven insights.
Select the right instruments and techniques: Data can be gathered, analyzed, and reported
using a variety of techniques and technologies, depending on the goals, metrics, financial
constraints, and schedule. Surveys, interviews, focus groups, observations, sensors, meters, and
dashboards are a few examples of these. ( GE Digital, 2021.)
Select the right tools and methods: There are a variety of tools and methods that can be used to
gather, evaluate, and report data, depending on the goals, metrics, spending limit, and
schedule. Surveys, interviews, focus groups, observations, sensors, meters, dashboards, and
other suitable instruments can all be included in this.
Determine a starting point: Establish a baseline for the metrics and indicators listed above prior
to the project start date so that it can be used as a point of comparison.
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