Project cost management involves cost control including monitoring cost performance to detect variances from the plan and ensuring authorized changes are accurately recorded. Earned value analysis is a commonly used cost and schedule performance measurement technique that integrates scope, cost, and schedule. Key earned value metrics include cost variance, schedule variance, cost performance index, and schedule performance index, which are used to assess if a project is on budget and on schedule.
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Chapter 4-1
Project cost management involves cost control including monitoring cost performance to detect variances from the plan and ensuring authorized changes are accurately recorded. Earned value analysis is a commonly used cost and schedule performance measurement technique that integrates scope, cost, and schedule. Key earned value metrics include cost variance, schedule variance, cost performance index, and schedule performance index, which are used to assess if a project is on budget and on schedule.
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Project Cost Management
Cost Control
Cost control is concerned with ;
a) Influencing the factors that create changes to the cost baseline to ensure that changes are agreed upon, b) Determining that the cost baseline has changed, c) Managing the actual changes when and as they occur. Cost control includes: Monitoring cost performance to detect and understand variances from plan. Ensuring that all appropriate changes are recorded accurately in the cost baseline. Preventing incorrect, inappropriate, or unauthorized changes from being included in the cost baseline. Informing appropriate stakeholders of authorized changes. Cost controlling processes Tools & Techniques
Earned value analysis
Earned value analysis in its various forms is the most commonly used method of performance measurement. integrates scope, cost (or resource), and schedule measures to help the project management team assess project performance. Earned value (EV) involves calculating three key values for each activity: The Planned Value (PV), which is also called the budgeted cost of work scheduled (BCWS), is that portion of the approved cost estimate planned to be spent on the activity during a given period. The Actual Cost (AC), previously called the actual cost of work performed (ACWP), is the total of costs incurred in accomplishing work on the activity during a given period. The EV, previously called the budgeted cost of work performed (BCWP), is the value of the work actually completed. Variance thresholds can be established that define the level at which reports must be sent to various levels of management within an organization.
Cost Variance = BCWP - ACWP
Schedule Variance = BCWP - BCWS
Variance: Any deviation from plan
The cost performance index (CPI = EV/AC) is the most commonly used cost-efficiency indicator.
The cumulative CPI (the sum of all individual EV budgets
divided by the sum of all individual ACs) is widely used to forecast project costs at completion. Expressions in Earned Value Analysis
Performance measures Schedule
SV>0& SPI>1.0 SV=0&SPI=1.0 SV<0 &SPI<1.0
CV>0 & CPI>1 Ahead of schedule On schedule Behind schedule
Under budget Cost Under budget Under budget
CV=0 & CPI=1.0 Ahead of schedule On schedule Behind schedule
On budget On budget On budget
CV<0 & CPI<1.0 Ahead of schedule On schedule Behind schedule
Over budget Over budget Over budget The Comparison between planned and earned values provides work accomplishment or project performance in terms of cost and time variances
Schedule Cost Performance R
Performance Index Index A T I O
BCWS BCWP ACWP
V A R I Schedule Cost A Variance Variance N C E COST CONTROL(EVA) COST CONTROL(EVA) Name Formula Interpretation Cost Variance (CV) EV – AC NEGATIVE is over budget, POSITIVE is under budget Schedule Variance (SV) EV – PV NEGATIVE is behind schedule, POSITIVE is ahead of schedule Cost Performance Index EV / AC I am [only] getting _____ cents out of every (CPI) $1. Schedule Performance EV / PV I am [only] progressing at ___% of the rate Index (SPI) originally planned. Estimate At Completion As of now how much do we expect the total (EAC) project to cost $_____. Note: There are many AC + ETC • Actual plus a new estimate for remaining ways to calculate EAC. work. Used when original estimate was fundamentally flawed. AC + BAC – EV • Actual to date plus remaining budget. Used when current variances are not atypical. AC + (BAC – EV) / CPI • Actual to date plus remaining budget modified by performance. When current variances are typical Estimate To Complete EAC – AC How much more will the project cost? (ETC) Variance At Completion BAC – EAC How much over budget will we be at the end (VAC) of the project? Project cost control: the EVA
Status date Planned comp. Actual
date comp.date EAC
Over budget VAC
cash flow BAC ACWP=AV ETC
BCWS=PV
CV SV=EV-PV
Forecast time CV=EV-AV
overrun BCWP=EV CPI=EV/AV SPI=EV/PV SV Time COST CONTROL(EVA)
Time period 1 2 3 4 Total
Work Scheduled ($) 25 25 25 25 100
[Planned Value (PV)] Accomplished Value ($) 20 20 20 20 80 [Earned Value (EV)] Actual Cost ($) 22 20 25 25 92 [Actual Cost (AC)] Schedule Variance (SV) -5 -5 -5 -5 -20 i.e 20% [SV = EV – PV]
Cost Variance (CV) -2 0 -5 -5 -12 i.e 12%
[CV = EV – AC] Project management question EVM performance measures How are we doing cost wise? Cost analysis & forecasting o Are we under or over our o Cost variance (CV) budget? o How efficiently are we using our o Cost performance index (CPI) resource? o How efficiently must we use our o To complete performance index remaining resource? (TCPI) o What is the project likely to cost? o Estimate at completion (EAC) o Will we be under or over budget? o Variance at completion (VAC) o What will the remaining work o Estimate to complete (ETC) cost? How are we doing time wise? Schedule analysis & forecasting o Are we ahead or behind o Schedule variance (SV) schedule? o How efficiently are we using o Schedule performance time? index(SPI) o When are we likely to finish o Time estimate at completion work? (EACt) Benefits of EVMS
1. It is a single management control system that provides reliable
data.
2. It integrates work, schedule and cost using a work breakdown
structure (WBS). 3. The associated database of completed projects is useful for comparative analysis. 4. The cumulative cost performance index (CPI) provides an early warning signal. 5. The schedule performance index (SPI) provides an early warning signal. 6. The CPI is a predictor for the final cost of the project. 7. It uses an index-based method to forecast the final cost of the project. 8. The periodic (e.g. weekly or monthly) CPI is a benchmark. EVM Calculation Thank you