MI2020E Problems of Chapter 4

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H ANOI U NIVERSITY OF S CIENCE AND T ECHNOLOGY

S CHOOL OF A PPLIED M ATHEMATICS AND I NFORMATICS


MI2020E
D EPARTMENT OF A PPLIED M ATHEMATICS

E XERCISES OF P ROBABILITY AND


S TATISTICS

Hanoi - 2023
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CHAPTER 4. ESTIMATION

Chapter 4
E STIMATION

Problem 4.1.
The following measurements were recorded for the drying time, in hours, of a certain
brand of latex paint:

3.4, 2.5, 4.8, 2.9, 3.6, 2.8, 3.3, 5.6, 3.7, 2.8, 4.4, 4.0, 5.2, 3.0, 4.8

Assuming that the measurements represent a random sample from a normal popula-
tion N (µ, σ2 ), where σ is supposed to be 0.9.

(a) Find the point estimate of µ by the method of moments.


(b) Find the point estimate of µ by the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)
method.
(c) Prove that the estimator of µ by MLE method or method of moments is unbiased.
(d) Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of µ.
(e) What is the confidence level 1 − α such that the error of confidence interval esti-
mation equals to 0.4.

Problem 4.2.
The number of cars sold annually by used car salespeople is normally distributed with
a standard deviation of 15. A random sample of 15 salespeople was taken, and the
number of cars each sold is listed here:

79, 43, 58, 66, 101, 63, 79, 33, 58, 71, 60, 101, 74, 55, 88

(a) Find the 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean µ. Interpret the
interval estimate.
(e) Determine the sample size necessary to estimate the population mean µ to within
5 with 90% confidence level.

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Problem 4.3.
The heights of students at a college follow a normal distribution N (µ, σ2 ). The follow-
ing measurements were recorded for a sample of 20 students:

160.3, 162.1, 165.8, 161.1, 170.9, 165.0, 168.3, 166.9, 158.8, 166.8,

159.2, 167.7, 169.8, 169.4, 168.4, 160.7, 171.6, 167.3, 158.3, 163.4

(a) Find the point estimate of µ and σ2 by the method of moments.


(b) Find the point estimate of µ and σ2 by the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)
method.
(c) Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of µ.
(d) Find a 90% confidence interval estimate of σ2 .

Problem 4.4.
A machine produces metal pieces that are cylindrical in shape. A sample of pieces is
taken, and the diameters are found to be 1.01, 0.97, 1.03, 1.04, 0.99, 0.98, 0.99, 1.01, 1.02
and 1.03 centimeters. Suppose that the diameter of pieces from this machine follows a
normal distribution N (µ, σ2 ).

(a) Find a 90% confidence interval estimate for the mean diameter of pieces from this
machine.
(b) What can we assert with 90% confidence about the possible size of our error if we
estimate the mean diameter of all pieces to be 1.007 centimeters?
(c) Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of σ2 .

Problem 4.5.
A random sample of delivery times (X) for 35 deliveries to an address across town by a
courier service was recorded. These data (in hours) are shown here.

X [3.5,4.0) [4.0,4.5) [4.5,5.0) [5.0, 5.5) [5.5,5.0) [6.0, 6.5)


Frequency 4 5 9 8 6 3

Find a 98% confidence interval estimate for the average delivery time.

Problem 4.6.
The contents (X) of similar containers of sulfuric acid have a mean of µ and a standard
deviation of 0.3 (liters). The content of a random sample of 40 similar containers was
recorded and the data are shown here.
X [9.4,9.6) [9.6,9.8) [9.8,10.0) [10.0, 10.2) [10.2,10.4) [10.4, 10.6)
Frequency 6 6 9 14 4 1

Find a 95% confidence interval estimate for µ.

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Problem 4.7.
In a random sample of n = 500 families owning television sets in the city of Hamilton,
Canada, it is found that m = 340 subscribe to HBO.

(a) Find a 95% confidence interval for the actual proportion p of families with televi-
sion sets in this city that subscribe to HBO.
(b) What is the error of 90% confidence interval estimate of p?
(c) How large a sample is required if we want to be 95% confident that our estimate
of p is within 0.02 of the true value?

Problem 4.8.
A random sample of 200 voters in a town is selected, and 114 are found to support an
annexation suit.

(a) Find the 96% confidence interval for the fraction of the voting population favoring
the suit.
(b) What can we assert with 96% confidence about the possible size of our error if we
estimate the fraction of voters favoring the annexation suit to be 0.57?

Problem 4.9.
Suppose that a system contains a certain type of component whose time, in years, to
failure is given by T. The random variable T is modeled nicely by the exponential dis-
tribution with a rate parameter of λ. A random sample of size 50 drawn from the
population T are given as follows:

T [0, 5) [5,10) [10,15) [15, 20) [20,25)


Frequency 25 10 7 5 3

(a) Find the point estimate of λ by the method of moments.


(b) Find the point estimate of λ by the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)
method.
(c) Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of λ using the central limit theorem

X̄ − µ X̄ − 1/λ
Z= √ = √ → N (0; 1).
σ/ n (1/λ)/ n
(d) Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of λ using the following limit theorem

X̄ − µ X̄ − 1/λ
Z= √ = √ → N (0; 1).
S/ n S/ n

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Problem 4.10.
Recorded the number of customers enter a store during 50 periods of one hour and
obtained the following data:

T 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 ‘6 17
Frequency 1 1 1 3 4 5 10 7 6 3 3 1 2 2 1

Suppose that the number of customers enter a store per hour follows a Poisson distri-
bution a parameter of λ

(a) Find the point estimate of λ by the method of moments.


(b) Find the point estimate of λ by the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)
method.
(c) Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of λ using the central limit theorem

X̄ − µ X̄ − λ
Z= √ = √ √ → N (0; 1).
σ/ n λ/ n

(d) Find a 95% confidence interval estimate of λ using the following limit theorem

X̄ − µ X̄ − λ
Z= √ = √ → N (0; 1).
S/ n S/ n

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