The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence For The Sustainable Development Goals
The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence For The Sustainable Development Goals
The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence For The Sustainable Development Goals
Francesca Mazzi
Luciano Floridi Editors
The Ethics
of Artificial
Intelligence
for the Sustainable
Development Goals
Philosophical Studies Series
Volume 152
Editor-in-Chief
Mariarosaria Taddeo, Oxford Internet Institute
University of Oxford
Oxford, UK
Advisory Editors
Lynne Baker, Department of Philosophy
University of Massachusetts
Amherst, USA
Stewart Cohen, Arizona State University
Tempe, AZ, USA
Radu Bogdan, Department of Philosophy
Tulane University
New Orleans, LA, USA
Marian David, Karl-Franzens-Universität
Graz, Austria
John Fischer, University of California, Riverside
Riverside, CA, USA
Keith Lehrer, University Of Arizona
Tucson, AZ, USA
Denise Meyerson, Macquarie University
Sydney, Australia
Francois Recanati, Ecole Normale Supérieure
Institut Jean Nicod
Paris, France
Mark Sainsbury, University of Texas at Austin
Austin, TX, USA
Barry Smith, State University of New York at Buffalo
Buffalo, NY, USA
Linda Zagzebski, Department of Philosophy
University of Oklahoma
Norman, OK, USA
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Francesca Mazzi • Luciano Floridi
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Contents
v
vi Contents
Index������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 485
Contributors
ix
x Contributors
The idea of the present volume The ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals emerged in the context of the homonymous Oxford Initiative
“AIxSDG”. The urge for the Initiative derived from the acknowledgement that proj-
ects that use AI to deliver socially beneficial outcomes are on the rise (Cowls et al.
2021), but they are not sufficiently studied, nor are their implications fully under-
stood (Vinuesa et al. 2020). The goal of the Initiative was to advance knowledge of
the AIxSDGs phenomenon to help policymaking in the area of sustainability by
identifying global challenges that artificial intelligence (AI) can help tackle, and
F. Mazzi (*)
Saïd Business School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
e-mail: [email protected]
L. Floridi
Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
Department of Legal Studies, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
e-mail: [email protected]
developing best practices and lessons learned from empirical evidence. In such a
framework, the book’s contributors agreed to participate by submitting their research
concerning AI and a socially oriented, human project (Floridi 2020).
The volume focuses on three points: hope as a starting point, a vision as a goal to
fulfil, and a process, as what makes it possible to implement the vision starting from
the hope.
The hope is that the development and use of AI may positively impact individu-
als, societies, and environments (Floridi 2019). This is what lies behind the idea of
“AI for social good” (AI4SG). Such an idea has become popular within the AI com-
munity (Floridi et al. 2020). As a general-purpose technology, AI can solve many
problems and perform various tasks. There are many applications of AI for social
good. They encompass all sectors, and more become available daily (Floridi et al.
2020). However, it is well known that AI can also be overused or used for unethical
purposes (King et al. 2020). This is why an ethical analysis is a critical element of
AI4SG. Different stakeholders are promoting the integration of ethical requirements
into AI applications: from private companies to governments of countries that are
including AI in their national strategies. AI for social good cannot be inconsistent
with the ethical framework guiding the design and evaluation of AI in general
(Floridi et al. 2020). In particular, the application of the principle of beneficence is
essential. It states that AI should benefit people and the natural world. Indeed, AI for
social good should aim to deliver environmentally and socially sustainable
outcomes.
To adopt a programmatic approach, one must define those outcomes. Here, we
come to the vision, which is to choose the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
as a benchmark to evaluate the social goodness of AI applications. The United
Nations General Assembly set the SDGs in 2015 to integrate the economic, social,
and environmental dimensions of sustainable development. They are priorities for
socially beneficial action on which there is international consensus. Thus, they offer
a sufficiently empirical and reasonably uncontroversial benchmark to evaluate the
positive social impact of AI for social good globally. Using the SDGs to assess
AI4SG applications (AI×SDGs) means equating AI4SG with AI that supports the
SDGs (Cowls et al. 2021). Such an equation does not disregard that examples of
socially good uses of AI are not limited to the realm of the SDGs (Cowls et al.
2021). However, the SDGs offer clear, well-defined, and shareable boundaries to
identify positively what is socially good. Being internationally agreed goals for
development, they represent the closest thing available to a humanity-wide consen-
sus on what ought to be done to promote positive social change and the conservation
of the natural environment (Cowls et al. 2021).
The existing body of research on SDGs already includes studies and metrics on
how to measure progress in attaining each of the 17 SDGs, and the 169 associated
targets defined in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. These metrics can
be applied to measure the impact of AI use cases to achieve the SDGs (Cowls et al.
2021). Moreover, AI projects across different SDGs can improve existing synergies
and lead to new ones between projects addressing different SDGs. AI×SDGs enables
better planning and resource allocation, once it becomes clear which SDGs are
Introduction: Understanding the Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable… 5
under-addressed and why (Cowls et al. 2021). And using the SDGs as a benchmark
for AI applications creates a potential precedent for future priorities’ planning after
and beyond 2030, a methodology for a dialogue between different countries.
Having a hope and a vision, the question is how to move from the former to the
latter. This is the third point covered by this volume: the actual processes imple-
mented to deliver AI×SDGs. There are many ways to deliver AI applications that are
socially and environmentally good. The choice of which routes to follow is crucial
also because different alternatives could be littered with unanticipated failures,
missed opportunities, or unwarranted interventions (Cowls et al. 2021). Finding the
best approaches requires designing AI systems that consider many variables, includ-
ing the supporting and surrounding environments (such as regulations, business
models, and indexes) that maximise the benefits deriving from AI×SDGs, all of
which require concerted actions. To this end, the book provides multiple perspec-
tives on AI×SDGs, aiming to move from “what” to “how” concerning some of the
ideas delineated by Floridi (2020) to favour the marriage between the green of the
environment and the blue of the digital.
The book is divided into two parts. Part I has a programmatic approach, discuss-
ing AI×SDGs at a theoretical level and in terms of governance. Chapter 1 provides
a critical analysis of the topics analysed in the volume. Chapter 3 (Mulgan) and
Chapter 4 (Ong and Findlay) introduce the topic by providing different perspectives
on the concept of AI×SDGs. Mulgan discusses its potential, the problem of R & D
misalignments, and the need for concerted actions to stimulate the adoption of
AI×SDGs solutions. Findlay proposes a critical approach to the techno-optimistic
narrative of AI for social good, highlighting the risks of it becoming a new type of
green/ethics washing. Chapter 5 (Sirmacek et al.) illustrates the potential of AI for
achieving healthy and sustainable societies, underlining the relationship between
sustainable and smart cities and the achievements of other goals, such as addressing
climate change. Chapter 6 (Goralski and Tan) highlights the need for policies and
partnerships that foster AI to tackle the SDGs, in light of the positive impact that AI
can have in he ight against the unsolved, interconnected challenges of poverty,
healthcare, education, and inequalities. Chapter 7 (Prifti) provides an economic
analysis of the phenomenon: it uses the doughnuts theory to evaluate to what extent
AI can foster fair prosperity through a green (environmental and ecological) use of
resources, in line with the principle of solidarity understood as the mutual care of
relations with others, with the world, and with future generations (Floridi 2020).
Chapter 8 (Adesinha and Aina) brings a regional perspective on the topic, describ-
ing the actual and the potential role of AI×SDGs in Africa, with a specific focus on
SDGs 3 (good health and well-being) and 16 (peace, justice, and strong institu-
tions). Chapter 9 (How et al.) advocates a user-friendly, low-code, and human-
centric probabilistic strategy to achieve a democratic approach to AI, representing
an opportunity in terms of education, awareness, and engagement, also in connec-
tion with more data exploration and human-centric insights. Chapter 10 (Benedetti
del Rio) discusses the proposal of a European regulation on AI (AI Act), given the
crucial role it may have in directing AI investments, and in functioning as an infra-
ethics, i.e., an infrastructure of rules that facilitate or hinder the moral or immoral
6 F. Mazzi and L. Floridi
References
Cowls, Josh, Andreas Tsamados, Mariarosaria Taddeo, and Luciano Floridi. 2021. A Definition,
Benchmark and Database of AI for Social Good Initiatives. Nature Machine Intelligence 3 (2):
111–115. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-021-00296-0.
Floridi, Luciano. 2019. What the Near Future of Artificial Intelligence Could Be. Philosophy &
Technology 32 (1): 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13347-019-00345-y.
———. 2020. The Green and the Blue: A New Political Ontology for a Mature Information
Society, SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 3831094. Rochester: Social Science Research Network.
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3831094.
Floridi, Luciano, Josh Cowls, Thomas C. King, and Mariarosaria Taddeo. 2020. How to Design AI
for Social Good: Seven Essential Factors. Science and Engineering Ethics 26 (3): 1771–1796.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11948-020-00213-5.
King, Thomas C., Nikita Aggarwal, Mariarosaria Taddeo, and Luciano Floridi. 2020. Artificial
Intelligence Crime: An Interdisciplinary Analysis of Foreseeable Threats and Solutions.
Science and Engineering Ethics 26 (1): 89–120. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11948-018-00081-0.
Vinuesa, Ricardo, Hossein Azizpour, Iolanda Leite, Madeline Balaam, Virginia Dignum, Sami
Domisch, Anna Felländer, Simone Daniela Langhans, Max Tegmark, and Francesco Fuso
Nerini. 2020. The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Achieving the Sustainable Development
Goals. Nature Communications 11 (1): 233. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-14108-y.
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring
Challenges and Related Opportunities
Identified Through Use Cases
1 Introduction
Artificial intelligence (AI) has a great potential to advance the United Nations
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) (Cowls et al. 2021a). As a general-purpose
technology, AI has many possible applications to the SDGs: broadly speaking, AI
can be used for understanding problems, solution seeking, and decision-making
(Ong and Findlay 2023). In many fields, and regarding specific SDGs targets, it can
F. Mazzi
Saïd Business School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
M. Taddeo
Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
Alan Turing Institute, British Library, London, UK
L. Floridi (*)
Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
Department of Legal Studies, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
e-mail: [email protected]
be argued that the use of AI represents the best practice, for AI methods and tech-
niques can produce results quantitatively and/or qualitatively superior to those
achieved by other means (Cowls et al. 2021a).1
For example, predictive modelling algorithms are useful to deal with energy and
climate related challenges. For example, hybrid models based on the support vector
regression (SVR) and particle swarm optimisation (PSO) can be used to predict
precision energy usage from supplied data (Goudarzi et al. 2019). Overall, predic-
tive algorithms with long- and short-term memory (an artificial recurrent neural
network architecture used in predictive modelling) are instrumental when dealing
with time-series data to make future predictions (Sirmacek et al. 2023) that can help
with climate change. They have a memory capacity for both long- and short-term
data periods and behave more robustly than the earlier mathematical models
(Sirmacek et al. 2023). Similarly, generative adversarial networks (GANs) that
learn deep representations without extensively annotated training data are one of the
best options for generalisation capabilities and are widely used in smart cities
(Sirmacek et al. 2023). For example, traffic event detection is an important and
complex task in smart transportation modelling and management, and researchers
developed GANs to perform detection (Chen et al. 2021). Another example is the
Bayesian network technique for statistical data analysis, which allows visualising
the relationships between data variables educing AI-augmented thinking that is use-
ful when discussing AI and sustainability (Sirmacek et al. 2023). For example,
Sierra et al. (2018) used a Bayesian approach to optimise social sustainability in
infrastructure projects, for supporting sustainability-related decision-making.
The topic of AI for SDGs comes from using AI for social good (Taddeo and
Floridi 2021). The AI for social good movement aims to establish interdisciplinary
partnerships centred around using AI applications to support in achieving SDGs
targets (Tomašev et al. 2020). This area of research aims to harness the potential for
good of AI while mitigating associated ethical challenges (Taddeo and Floridi
2018). The “potential” is, as described above, vast, with these technologies capable
of supporting multiple SDGs across various sectors. It interests the public and the
private sectors. Relevant literature discusses government’s readiness to employ AI
for SDGs (Liengpunsakul 2021), existing AI for SDGs projects (Cowls et al. 2021a),
conceptual and normative approaches to AI governance for a global digital ecosys-
tem supportive of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) (Gill and
Germann 2021), and the role of AI in the construction of sustainable business mod-
els (Di Vaio et al. 2020) and in typical business challenges that might require con-
version to meet SDGs-related standards, such as production and supply-chain
disruption, inventory management, budget planning, and workforce management
(Visvizi 2022), to name a few. However, the challenges accompanying AI develop-
ment and deployment are similarly complex. As shown by Vinuesa et al. (2020), AI
1
Such superiority in terms of, for example, data processing shall be benchmarked against the envi-
ronmental impact of using AI.
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring Challenges and Related Opportunities… 11
can be an enabler and an inhibitor of the SDGs. The use of AI is intimately linked
to nonuniversal access to increasingly large data sets and the computing infrastruc-
ture required to use them (Visvizi 2022). Unethical outcomes may derive from the
design, development, and deployment of AI (Cowls et al. 2020). The lack of a com-
prehensive regulation of AI aimed at mitigating unethical outcomes might pose
risks to the achievement of the UN SDGs, for example, in relation to developing
countries. The goal of zero poverty is threatened by the imperfect design and imple-
mentation of decision-making algorithms that have displayed evidence of bias, lack
ethical governance, and limit transparency on the basis of their decisions, causing
unfair outcomes and amplifying unequal access to finance (Truby 2020). The chal-
lenges and opportunities around AI are many, and they require debates around eth-
ics, for AI must be treated as a normal technology, and the questions concerning
ethics are and will always remain a human matter (Floridi 2021a). Scholars have
called for all stakeholders, including governments, policymakers, industry, and aca-
demia, to contribute towards the development of AI to avoid such potential threats
to ensure that ethical principles are embedded in AI applications that affect our
everyday lives (Holzinger et al. 2021).
Against this backdrop, the present paper aims to provide an overview of six
recurring challenges (and related opportunities to mitigate them) of using AI in sup-
port of the SDGs. They were extrapolated from the volume: The Ethics of Artificial
Intelligence for the Sustainable Development Goals (Springer, 2023). The catego-
ries are the following: (1) governance and collaboration, (2) private investments and
the role of big tech companies, (3) AI and communities, (4) AI and individuals, (5)
jobs and skills, and (6) impact assessment.
Categories (1) and (2) focus on public and private actors, as the use of AI to
advance the SDGs gained (and further requires) the attention of both stakeholders.
Categories (3) and (4) concern the effects of adopting AI solutions from the per-
spectives of communities and individuals, respectively. (5) and (6) focus on two
pragmatic aspects needed for the large-scale implementation of AI solutions.
The paper describes and illustrates such categories as challenges and related
opportunities to mitigate such challenges, providing examples. It identifies a “fil
rouge” of such categorisation and discusses its limitations. It concludes by high-
lighting areas for future research.
2.1 The Challenges
fulfilling the 2030 Agenda will require coordination, measurement, and manage-
ment concerning, among others, financial resources, knowledge, and technology
(Pashang and Weber 2023). It is coordinated because government, industry, aca-
demia, and society must work together to reach the SDGs (Goralski and Keong
Tan 2023). Actions also need to be coordinated at different levels. For example, dif-
ferent stakeholders should complement each other’s actions, for example, industry
can provide innovative technology. At the same time, the public sector can direct
such technology for a public interest purpose, such as poverty alleviation (Goralski
and Keong Tan 2023). Coordination is also needed at an international level, as coun-
tries should cooperate to avoid duplication of R&D efforts in developing AI, and
companies might need a system of incentives to do so, for absent incentives, only a
few of them deliver solutions to promote peace, justice, and strong institution
(Adeshina and Aina 2023). Therefore, national, sectoral, regional, or even global
governance plays an essential role in fostering collaboration between different
stakeholders.
Regulation of AI can also represent a critical milestone to incentivise the private
sector’s investments in AI. Regulating AI means establishing rules that can either be
neutral, foster, or hinder the development of AI for SDGs. The draft EU legislation
is the first of its kind, and it represents an example of the pros and cons of an AI
regulation in relation to the SDGs. As underlined by Benedetti del Rio (2023), the
draft EU legislation presents positive aspects (that will be exposed in the next para-
graph, as opportunities) and negative aspects that might require further research and
work to incentivise AI for SDGs. The author identified negative aspects as the audit-
ability of the system, the missed topics, and a potentially paradoxical interpretation
of human-centricity. The auditability of the system refers to the improbable event of
achieving logs and descriptions of the reasoning that led from information to the
inference of the following fact. This is because auditable AI means explicable and
reverse-engineerable AI, which conflicts with the protection of proprietary rights
over the same AI system (Benedetti del Rio 2023). However, it should be acknowl-
edged that some of the suggested forms of auditing for AI do not necessarily infringe
on proprietary rights (Mökander and Floridi 2021).
The term “missed topics” refers to the absence of issues that would have been
desirable in the legislation. For example, the lack of reference to energy efficiency
or carbon emission budgets. It would have been advisable to include limitation on
the emissions that can be put into the atmosphere in the whole process of projecting,
designing, and realising an AI system, considering that attention to the climate crisis
also requires collaboration and governance efforts (Cowls et al. 2021b; Benedetti
del Rio 2023). However, one could question whether the AI legislation is the appro-
priate forum for such considerations. Indeed, one of the main challenges of the AI
act is also the limitation of its scope. Considering that AI can be applied in all indus-
tries, sectoral legislation might compensate for the missed topics. However, this
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring Challenges and Related Opportunities… 13
creates further fragmentation of relevant law and hinders the desired “Brussels
effect”2 that can facilitate international coordination.
Finally, the interpretation of human-centricity can hinder the SDGs, for human-
centricity establishes a prioritisation of humans over wildlife and other living enti-
ties which nonetheless represent 75% of the living surface of our planet (Benedetti
del Rio 2023). The interpretation of concepts such as “human-centricity” implies
theoretical justifications and, most of all, political willingness, and consensus, that
require agreement on the philosophical ground at the international level (in Europe
in relation to the AI Act, but possibly a more inclusive level of international agree-
ment). Such a lack of a common understanding of human-centricity might represent
a further obstacle in adopting AI for SDGs solutions.3
2.2 The Opportunities
It is desirable to identify and discuss ideas for policies and regulations that point
towards multi-stakeholder collaboration. This sub-section aims to provide an over-
view of three macro-opportunities highlighted by scholars in the field.
The first opportunity focuses on instruments of international governance that
could be created, for example, in the context of existing international organisations.
Stephenson et al. (2023) envisages the creation of a Sustainable Technology Board
that could be in the context of the G20 as a mechanism for coordination, coopera-
tion, and scaling of sustainable technology solutions. Such Board would be, for
example, responsible for the development of standards and guidelines concerning
new technologies, to facilitate their sustainable adoption. This idea presents two
main challenges: the complexity of international agreement on creating such a
board, especially without political stability, and the risk of concentration of power
absent an appropriate structure that guarantees a division of powers. He also hypoth-
esises the development of a platform for cooperation, where policymakers, firms,
experts, and civil society can identify needs, share both concerns and opportunities,
and transparently discuss ways to implement sustainable technology solutions. The
author hypothesises the creation of data trusts, and/or the adoption of typology for
data, aimed at facilitating management and sharing. He advocates for the use of
2
The “Brussels effect” refers to the impact of the European regulation on other jurisdictions and
the likelihood that they adopt similar norms. Such effect relates to the chronological anteriority of
the European legislator in filling one legislative vacuum related to the digital space, for example,
concerning data protection law in 2016 with the General Data Protection Regulation.
3
For example, the prevalent European views on human-centricity and AI do not necessarily coin-
cide with the Chinese ones. None of the three dominant schools of Chinese philosophical thinking
place human beings in a supreme position within the universe. On the Chinese interpretation of
human-centricity and anthropomorphism: “Applying Ancient Philosophy to Artificial Intelligence”,
available at https://www.noemamag.com/applying-ancient-chinese-philosophy-to-artificial-intel-
ligence/ accessed 4.6.2022.
14 F. Mazzi et al.
4
Homomorphic encryption makes it possible to analyse encrypted data without revealing the data’s
content (Stephenson et al. 2023).
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring Challenges and Related Opportunities… 15
policies and with the increase in demand for AI-related jobs, as discussed further in
Sect. 6.
3.1 The Challenges
This section will focus on the role of big tech companies in relation to the SDGs, for
their availability of data and their ability to influence political agenda, and on how
the problem of investment misalignment, as defined by Mulgan (2023), affects
such role.
Although big tech companies have invested in initiatives and solutions for social
good, the efforts are rather fragmented (Mulgan 2023). The position of big tech
companies is increasingly predominant in terms of data availability, which raises
multiple concerns. Their economic and political influence is likely to follow market
benefits, which do not necessarily point towards the SDGs. This can be described as
the “private investment misalignment”: global R&D directed towards the SDGs is
currently of relatively low impact, non-systemic, and marginal. Contrarily, consis-
tent investments are made in developing AI for commercial purposes and in relation
to the military and security sectors (Mulgan 2023). As shown by the STRINGS
project (Steering Research and Innovation for Global Goals), the degree of mis-
alignment between global research and the SDGs is visible within nations and glob-
ally (Mulgan 2023).
The geographical allocation of R&D towards the SDGs does not reflect the geo-
graphical areas with the highest needs for SDGs actions, considering that most of
the investment is in the middle- and high-income countries, with 90% of the SDGs
related to science, technology, and innovation work being published/patented in
high- and upper-middle-income countries (Mulgan 2023). Such investments are
also biased towards certain SDGs because, without correctors, the market favours
investments towards the needs of people that can afford to buy final products or
services, with little or no incentives to invest in non-profitable goals, like Goal 1, no
poverty, and Goal 10, reduced inequalities (Mulgan 2023). AI is implemented to
render more efficient linear models of production and consumption, which are not
sustainable.5 Overall, it can be argued that existing R&D and business models do
not invite the development of effective solutions for the developing world.
5
A linear model of production and consumption has been dominating over the past one and a half
century in the globe. “In the supply chain in this one-way model, the goods are manufactured from
raw materials in production processes, sold, used, and subsequently at the end of its lifetime as the
specific product is discarded as waste to landfill or incinerated. The raw materials are once
extracted from the nature, usually discarded at the end of the use of a particular product. This
model simply runs on a linear path and hence sometimes termed as linear model. Linear model
does not support environmental sustainability and resource efficiency” (Ghosh 2020).
16 F. Mazzi et al.
3.2 The Opportunities
6
On the topic (‘Towards a Green Energy Economy? The EU Energy Union’s Transition to a Low-
Carbon Zero Subsidy Electricity System – Lessons from the UK’s Electricity Market Reform’ 2016).
7
The concept of a social licence to operate relates to organisational studies and corporate social
responsibility aiming to integrate legitimacy in corporate strategy (Morrison 2014).
18 F. Mazzi et al.
Process, tailored for SDGs assessment to structure and organise decision processes
and facilitate group decision-making (Liiv et al. 2023). It shows that the proposed
process supports better SDGs-related internal communication and allows for identi-
fying new business opportunities and more efficient solutions for the goals that are
perceived as a priority by the company (Liiv et al. 2023).
Finally, AI can enable a circular economy by helping companies adopt and inno-
vate circular business models (Ghoreishi et al. 2023). Circular economy requires a
strong integration and connection of the value chain, which brings data economy at
the centre: data on resource flows, location tracking, monitoring condition and qual-
ity, real-time data gathering, processing of input-output flows, precise prediction,
lower production downtime, and optimisation of energy consumption are essential
(Hughes et al. 2021). AI and other technologies of Industry 4.0, such as the Internet
of things, enable the collection, storage, analysis, and processing of these data,
favouring resource and energy efficiency towards a sustainable circular economy
(Ghoreishi et al. 2023). In general, AI-enhanced products and services can tackle
environmental problems through independent interactions with their surroundings
and self-learning capabilities, which results in improved environmental perfor-
mance characteristics (Ghoreishi et al. 2023). And if adopted in the context of a
circular economy, they can help with circular value creation, in line with the SDGs
(Circular Economy and Sustainable Development 2019). However, as mentioned
above, in relation to sustainable finance, such a transition from a linear to a circular
business model requires costs and, in some cases, industrial conversion (Sharma
et al. 2021). As identified by Sharma et al. (2021), some of the main impediments
are capital requirements, higher initial cost for updating facility, risk and uncer-
tainty, and lack of institutional and legal support. The impediments are greater for
developing countries, due to a lack of public awareness, ambiguous policy frame-
works, and insufficient knowledge (Sharma et al. 2021).
4.1 The Challenges
One of the areas of risk when developing AI for SDGs concerns its impact on vul-
nerable and marginalised people, who are at higher risk of harm from AI deploy-
ment (Ong and Findlay 2023). To protect local communities, countries should be
able to define for themselves development and progress, according to what they
value to retain and conserve in their domestic sphere (Ong and Findlay 2023).
However, the power asymmetry outlined above threatens to challenge any locally
engaged 2030 Agenda, for countries’ socio-economic structures and information
become reliant on AI technologies and consequently influenced by big tech deci-
sions (Ong and Findlay 2023).
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring Challenges and Related Opportunities… 19
4.2 The Opportunities
AI can help serve otherwise unserved communities and represent otherwise unrep-
resented groups. We report a proposed governance structure for AI in communities
(Ong and Findlay 2023), and two use cases of AI for communities, in education and
agriculture.
Ong and Findlay (2023) argue that governance for AI in communities can allow
communities to bargain for the responsible use of data and the sustainable applica-
tion of AI technologies. He identifies two structural elements, i.e. digital self-
determination and AI in community, as essential to achieving such governance (Ong
and Findlay 2023). Digital self-determination is possible in a safe digital space
where data subjects and their communities can easily and freely decide on the use
20 F. Mazzi et al.
of AI, access, visualisation, and management of their data, and where market play-
ers adopt practices towards data that preserve data subjects’ dignity (Remolina and
Findlay 2021). AI in a community represents a contextual method of deployment,
achievable by prioritising human recipients and creating relationships of trust
between AI deployers and users, so that negative consequences of tech rollout in
vulnerable economies can be minimised (Ong and Findlay 2023). AI as a partner in
community relationships sustains equitable social bonds through relationships of
trust. Individuals within these communities are recipients and active participants
empowered by digital self-determination. In this way, AI can create relationships
through the embodiment of the intentions of those who design and deploy the tech-
nology (Findlay and Wong 2021); and such communities and relationships are cho-
sen by their members (Ong and Findlay 2023). However, understanding of digital
self-determination requires careful consideration of the boundaries between public
good and self-determination, balancing between the risk of surveillance and a
“forced” representation on one side and exclusion and local ideology on the other
side. Such tension is not different from the one that arose in relation to contact trac-
ing applications, where public health concerns had to be balanced with individuals’
privacy (Kolasa et al. 2021).
We propose a non-exhaustive list of examples of how AI can help communities.
AI can be used to reduce the digital divide in relation to education. Education has
high costs, and some social groups cannot afford it in some countries where it is not
public (Goralski and Keong Tan 2023). Moreover, the digital divide impacts educa-
tion: India, for example, is home to 430 million children between the ages of 0 and
18, and the country has the largest population of children in the world (Goralski and
Keong Tan 2023).
AI could help by identifying the areas where education tools are most needed,
providing remote-learning solutions, and delivering interactive learning facilitated
by digitised devices, such as smart-boards, LCD screens, and multimedia videos, to
make the classroom interesting and engaging to students (Goralski and Keong
Tan 2023). Even in such use cases, when AI can help provide quality education, the
ethical debate concerning the power of those who have the information in the info-
sphere (Floridi 2014) and the need to preserve local culture and history to avoid a
colonial approach remain quintessentially human.
Another example is shown by Jaynes et al. (2023), arguing that community-
based education on and with AI positively impacts the ability of mountain commu-
nities to achieve their attainment of the 2030 Agenda’s Goals. The authors mainly
focus on the use of AI to adopt a “Student Engaged Learning Model” for mountain-
ous and rural populations, which have unique concerns and challenges that often
prevent them from being as engaged in technological adoption and development
(Jaynes et al. 2023). Balancing the concerns of these communities is not a simple
issue to address in the face of urban economic disparities and mentalities that divide
“developed” and “rural” areas in politics and economics (Jaynes et al. 2023).
The second use case concerns AI in agriculture. Agriculture is often essential to
rural communities, and sustainable farming solutions, for example, are of great
importance for the development of such communities. The multitude of
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring Challenges and Related Opportunities… 21
interconnected challenges such as scarce and stressed resources (land, water, soil
etc.), fluctuating outputs and increasing demands, changing weather and rainfall
patterns, and environmental pollution are all factors that can benefit from innovative
solutions. AI and digital technologies can help communities address the issues of
food insecurity, agricultural productivity, and higher yields for the coming future
(Ziesche et al. 2023).
“Smart agriculture”, intended as the integration of technologies like the Internet
of things (IoT), AI, robots, drones, etc., in agricultural production and management,
has the potential to narrow the supply-demand gap and optimise the use of natural
and human resources while allowing the maximisation of quality output (Ziesche
et al. 2023).
A use case of how AI is used for sustainable agriculture is represented by Deep
Planet, which utilises satellite imagery to allocate resources across the farmland
based on the monitoring results from satellite imagery (Efremova et al. 2023). The
proposed tool made possible to evaluate grassland, shrubland, and forest biomass
and to estimate the vegetation carbon stock over the conservancy and larger Masai
Mara Region (Efremova et al. 2023). This aligns with different goals, targets, and
indicators, including indicator 2.4.1 “proportion of agricultural area under produc-
tive and sustainable agriculture” (Efremova et al. 2023).
5.1 The Challenges
Among the various threats that individuals may perceive from AI, we focus on pri-
vacy and accountability concerns, as subfields of AI ethics, and on trust, intended as
the level of reliance on AI. The choice of these factors is based on the limitation of
the present chapter that focuses on the main themes emerging from the book chap-
ters. The topics of AI ethics, ethical principles governing AI, and ethical auditing
have been largely debated in recent years and are precursors of AI for SDGs, a sort
of necessary condition for the existence of AI for social good (Cowls et al. 2020).
Currently, neo-liberal individualism tags AI to economic growth (Ong
and Findlay 2023) and the lack of a uniform regulation risks to exacerbate forms of
ethics washing (Wagner 2018). Among various risks, individuals can be threatened
by personal data processing and related privacy concerns. Similarly, it is not clear
how to determine who should be held responsible for the recommendations and
decisions made by AI systems, raising concerns over accountability and interpret-
ability (Hickok 2021; Morley et al. 2021). These concerns in relation to AI are
partly governed in Europe by the General Data Protection Regulation, for example,
22 F. Mazzi et al.
through Art. 22, the right not to be subject to solely automated decisions.8 However,
due to its formulation, and to the lack of legal precedents immediately applicable,
the level of protection provided in relation to AI might still be vague from an indi-
vidual’s perspective.9 Therefore, individuals are confronted with ethical risks and
they might be left with no definitive answers. Such ethical concerns can, in turn,
influence the second challenge of AI and individuals, i.e. trust. Indeed, a lack of
legal certainty in case of unjust AI outcomes might hinder the acceptance of AI for
social good in society.
However, trust in AI does not only derive from unaddressed ethical concerns. AI
changes traditional relationship paradigms. For example, in healthcare, the relation-
ships between patients and healthcare professionals are different from the relation-
ship between patients and AI (Sirmacek et al. 2023). The acceptance of AI in
healthcare settings might depend on healthcare workers educating the patient about
the complexities of AI and its possible shortcomings (Sirmacek et al. 2023). This
could come with an additional burden for health professionals who may be required
to get additional training on the latest advances in AI, increasing their workload
(Sirmacek et al. 2023). Another challenge may lie with the patient accepting to
receive AI solutions and with healthcare professionals being confident to delegate to
AI, since their perception of AI is crucial for the successful implementation and
deployment of new systems (Sirmacek et al. 2023).
5.2 The Opportunities
8
Regulation (EU) 2016/679 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 27 April 2016 on the
protection of natural persons with regard to the processing of personal data and on the free move-
ment of such data, and repealing Directive 95/46/EC (General Data Protection Regulation).
9
Article 22 refers to solely automated decision-making process, which renders the interpretation of
“solely” crucial to the determination of the scope of a right of explanation (Bayamlıoğlu n.d.).
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring Challenges and Related Opportunities… 23
A gradual introduction of AI solutions and the evidence of the benefits that they
can bring to individuals can help gain trust in AI. Here we report some use cases
from the chapters of the book.
AI can be used to provide legal identity for every individual (Forti 2023). The
recognition of identity represents a fundamental right that is not available to every-
one. Those who do not enjoy it are excluded from the socio-economic life and from
benefitting from public services (Forti 2023). Therefore, the implementation of AI
to provide legal identity to those who do not have it would constitute a benefit of AI
for individuals. Forti (2023) underlines that if lawmakers and regulators provide
appropriate human rights safeguards, AI could help accomplish SDG 16.9. At the
same time, we should not underestimate the ethical concerns deriving from the use
of AI to provide legal identities, for a large “amount of big data such as people’s life
history, health, behaviours, and interconnected networking will be exponentially
collected and operated to reveal each uniqueness and identity in the context of data
assimilation for commercial and governmental solutions. There are rich data on
their privacy which should be kept by strict regulation and legal backgrounds”
(Shibuya 2020). Moreover, it poses philosophical questions, for we are living an
information revolution that may have radical consequences on our self-understanding
and the constructions of our own identities (Floridi 2011).
AI in healthcare is essentially related to trust. The accuracy of AI can be tested
and proved gradually, from less to more invasive applications. Goralski and Keong
Tan provide a few examples, such as prioritising care to patients under the limitation
of resources such as medical equipment or hospital beds; estimating the probability
of having or risk of developing a medical condition given a patient’s family history
or own historical data and examinations; and monitoring patients and suggesting
possible follow-ups, treatments, or patient’s outcome based on the patient’s condi-
tion, its severity, its risk of degradation, and available alternative actions
(Goralski and Keong Tan 2023). Moreover, human revision represents an additional
safeguard for patients familiarising with AI-assisted practices (Goralski and Keong
Tan 2023).
6.1 The Challenges
The positive outcomes of developing and deploying AI come with challenges con-
cerning human resources, and the case of AI for SDGs is no exception. We identify
a twofold challenge. On one side, AI has been perceived as a threat to human jobs
for a long time, stimulating research to develop prospects of AI’s impact on employ-
ment. On the other side, the increasing deployment of AI solutions requires human
capital with digital skills familiarity with AI. Such skills are not structurally pro-
vided to new generations by education systems.
24 F. Mazzi et al.
6.2 The Opportunities
10
On the topic (‘Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Automation, Robotics, Future of Work
and Future of Humanity: A Review and Research Agenda: Computer Science & IT Journal Article
| IGI Global’ n.d.)
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring Challenges and Related Opportunities… 25
increasingly create new occupations (Floridi 2017). There is no black or white situ-
ation, but rather an opportunity to implement a governance mechanism that favours
a transition towards AI integration in different areas, without exacerbating inequali-
ties. As mentioned, the role of governments will be crucial in managing employ-
ment (Benedetti del Rio 2023).
As for the second aspect, governance is also crucial in implementing AI-oriented
education policies and ensuring that right-skilling programmes match skills supply
to skills demand (Stephenson et al. 2023). Moreover, there are different ways in
which AI can be used to facilitate the acquisition of digital skills. We provide two
examples: the first one, suggested by How et al. (2023), focuses on the fact that it is
difficult for educators or social scientists who are not trained in computer science to
code and implement AI algorithms or understand them. Therefore, they suggest a
user-friendly, low-code, human-centric probabilistic strategy that can democratise
AI usage, thus allowing analysts who are not computer scientists to use AI for social
good. The second one concerns the increasing inclusion of AI (specifically, AI for
SDGs) in cultural spaces, such as museums (Taurino 2023). Taurino (2023) illus-
trates how algorithmic art can help framing sustainable futures, arguing that pro-
moting algorithmic design diversity might positively impact inclusive innovations
in ethical AI. This, in turn, can stimulate people’s willingness to acquire digi-
tal skills.
7 Impact Assessment
7.1 The Challenges
Impact assessments are evidence-based procedures that assess a given factor’s eco-
nomic, social, and environmental effects. Since they provide a structure that allows
for monitoring and measuring the impact of specific actions, they can be crucial
tools to achieve the SDGs. AI and data-based impact assessment can deliver accu-
rate results. However, developing SDGs-related impact assessment is not straight-
forward. The interconnection between different SDGs at indicators and target levels
creates a high level of complexity (Efremova et al. 2023) (Mirghaderi 2023). It is
difficult to incorporate all the relevant considerations in algorithms: for example, in
finance (and not only), governance mechanisms must also confront the duality of
what is considered “good” (Pashang and Weber 2023). AI-driven solutions towards
ESG (environmental, social, and governance) factors can be useful to investors
when evaluating a firm’s sustainability activities. However, it should be noted that
the array of ethical, inclusion, and environmental factors are difficult to integrate
and could potentially compromise progress towards the SDGs (Pashang and Weber
2023). Also, accurate SDGs-related impact assessments require a vast amount of
data of different kinds that might not be retrievable. And even if retrievable, they
26 F. Mazzi et al.
7.2 The Opportunities
This section highlights an underlying “fil rouge” that connects the different topics,
being it an inhibitor of opportunities and an enabler of challenges. This obstacle is
the lack of agreement at the international level on shared principles, specifically
concerning the recognition of human rights.
There are strong connections between human rights and the objectives of the
2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the SDGs (Kaltenborn et al. 2020).
However, there was considerable disappointment that the SDGs had not reflected
the advice provided by global leaders and grassroots activists to keep human rights
central to the new development era (Winkler and Williams 2017). While debates
may persist regarding the merits of the SDGs approach, the SDGs and human rights
share a common centre in their concern for human happiness and well-being
(Collins 2018). Human rights norms, standards, and tools can help to inform and
guide actions towards these commitments, including how human rights monitoring
mechanisms can play a role in tracking progress and providing a space for account-
ability (Saiz and Donald 2017). However, the phrasing around the rights-related
28 F. Mazzi et al.
terms avoids recognition of the obligations of state and non-state duty-bearers and
fails to address rights as (legal) entitlements (Williams and Blaiklock 2016).11
Substantial international agreement on human rights together with recognition of
applicable international law would facilitate both AI governance and SDGs imple-
mentation. It can foster effective cooperation between both countries and stakehold-
ers and ensure individuals’ entitlement. It would generate protection of communities
by default and encourage individuals’ trust in AI governance and political action. A
substantial human-rights-first approach (as opposed to a superficial approach to
human rights that fails to empower the participation of those already left behind to
claim their rights, as described by Williams and Blaiklock (2016)) would facilitate
the introduction and the acceptance of new AI-related programmes and employment
solutions. It would stimulate the adoption of shared practices based on common
principles, including reports and impact assessment, that would, in turn, generate
more reliable, quality data. The lack of substantial recognition of applicable human
rights’ law can have multiple causes: the lack of political willingness (Vivero Pol
and Schuftan 2016), difficulties in communication (Khan and Mishra 2022), cul-
tural barriers (Izugbara et al. 2022), and the soft-law nature of some international
conventions on human rights (‘A New Dawn for the Human Rights of International
Migrants? Protection of Migrants’ Rights in Light of the UN’s SDGs and Global
Compact for Migration | International Journal of Law in Context | Cambridge Core’
n.d.), to name a few. Analysing the root of the problem is outside the scope of this
paper. Our contribution does not aim to provide a conclusive answer as to what
governance, ethical, legal, and social challenges and opportunities AI for SDGs ini-
tiatives poses; it has the goal to offer an overview of priorities to maximise the posi-
tive impact and minimise risks of AI for SDGs initiatives according to the authors
of the book.
We underline that further substantial recognition of international human rights
law by the relevant stakeholders is a key element to work towards the achievement
of the SDGs.
9 Concluding Remarks
11
“Using the discourse of human rights but without reflecting the full intent of human rights pro-
motes a customary usage of the terms that undermines the meaning of ‘human rights.’ While this
cannot effect actual State obligations, it can have serious implications for people’s and duty-bear-
ers’ understanding of human rights entitlements, as well as for accountability and civil society
monitoring of human rights situations” (Williams and Blaiklock 2016).
AI in Support of the SDGs: Six Recurring Challenges and Related Opportunities… 29
presented and analysed each challenge with related opportunities and AI use cases
that can help solve the problem or, at least, improve it. However, our categorisation
leaves open questions that require further research, such as how to find a balance
between groups involvement and privacy preservation, how to interpret self-
determination, and how to envisage the creation of a Board to maximise the benefit
of AI for SDGs, to name a few. Finally, the paper identified an obstacle to the maxi-
misation of AI for SDGs implementations that is common to the six areas identified
in the chapter, i.e. the lack of agreement on human rights at the international level.
Many more steps are needed to maximise the benefits of AI for SDGs.
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Joined Up Thinking on How AI Can
Contribute to the SDGs
Geoff Mulgan
Abstract This piece provides two frameworks for thinking about the relationship
between AI and the global goals. It argues that while AI in all its forms is likely to
play an important role in initiatives for achieving the SDGs, the focus in recent
years on individual AI applications risks leading to disappointment.
First, it situates the question within the broader issue of aligning global R&D to
the SDGs. It shares recent data on degrees of alignment and misalignment and the
scope for new arrangements to develop clearer pathways. These are emerging in
other fields – from food to energy – but AI, and the digital world more generally,
are behind.
Second, it situates individual AI tools within a framework for mobilizing intel-
ligence to address the SDGs in particular contexts – cities, regions and nations – and
shows the multiple useful roles different forms of AI can play.
For many decades, AI was dominated by military research, surveillance (NSA and
equivalents), university research and some commercial investment. In the 2010s, the
scale of commercial research exploded. In 1960, a third of all global R&D was
funded by the US defence department. This helped it drive through a series of tech-
nologies which later had other uses – microprocessors, GPS, touch screens, space
launches and satellites. The equivalent figure in 2016 was 3.6%. In USA, the top 5
tech firms R&D investment is now 10 times bigger than the top 5 defence firms.
G. Mulgan (*)
UCL, London, UK
e-mail: [email protected]
Indeed in 2019, the USA’s top five tech companies spent $106bn on R&D – more
than all of the EU’s governments combined. These have, de facto, become decisive
in the global governance of many areas of technology, increasingly joined by a
small number of Chinese firms, notably Alibaba, Tencent and Huawei.
By the mid-2015s, there was growing interest in AI for good and AI for the
SDGs, with a series of conferences, programmes and funds. These looked to the role
of AI for pest control, matching refugees and job offers, personalised education,
health and many other fields. Microsoft, for example, committed several hundred
million each year to ‘AI for Good’ projects. A recent survey concluded that there
were potential benefits from AI on 42 of the SDG targets (70%) while negative
impacts were reported in 20 targets (33%).
However, this was a study of potential impacts rather than existing ones, and cur-
rent ‘AI for Good’ projects are easily criticised as relatively low impact, non-
systemic and marginal to the continued drive to develop AI for commercial purposes
or military/security ones. Moreover, they often missed the more strategic issues
around data.
One reason for this is a bigger disconnect between global research and the SDGs.
Jeff Hammerbacher, former head of data at Facebook, once commented that ‘The
best minds of my generation are thinking about how to make people click ads’. But
this is part of a much broader pattern. New research from the STRINGS project
(Steering Research and Innovation for Global Goals) shows the degree of misalign-
ment within nations and globally.
There are skews in terms of where R&D is done (with the vast majority in middle
and high-income countries – 90% of the SDGs-related Science, technology and
innovation work is published/patented in high- and upper-middle-income coun-
tries), where it is directed (with big skews within each field, such as the well-
documented skew in pharmaceuticals towards drugs that require repeat prescriptions
and in rich countries, a bias that has been partly remedied in recent decades) and
skews in how research is done (with a continued bias towards R&D in big firms,
universities, etc. and a relative disregard for more frugal and grassroots models, of
the kind that have grown up in Shenzhen, India and East Africa, for example). Using
STRINGS data, these misalignments can now be analysed at the country level. We
also know that investment is heavily concentrated. The five companies with the larg-
est IP portfolios that involve AI together own 14% of the total IP portfolio related to
AI, mainly through patents, and these same companies are also the top inves-
tors in R&D.
In some sectors, there have been some attempts to redress these imbalances
through partnerships, alliances and pooled budgets. CGIAR in agriculture is a strik-
ing example, in operation for over 50 years. GAVI – and offshoots like COVAX –
attempted a similar shift in pharmaceuticals, recognizing that existing R&D and
Joined Up Thinking on How AI Can Contribute to the SDGs 37
business models impeded the development of effective solutions for the develop-
ing world.
Digital industries have been slow to create anything comparable, defaulting to
cosmetic initiatives. This has also been true of AI and has encouraged the focus on
spot solutions rather than systematic shifts to the direction of R&D. However, for AI
as for other fields we lack even rough data on how well investment aligns with the
SDGs, and commercial activity is becoming more rather than less opaque.
In other fields there has been a growing interest in alternative pathways and
directions – options for shifting the whole direction of STI, e.g. away from reliance
on fossil fuels, or mass-scale agribusiness. Again, there has been much less equiva-
lent work on alternative directions for the 4IR and AI, with a focus instead on regu-
lations and restraints on cross-border data traffic rather than pathways, e.g. towards
either more government-controlled systems (using social credit systems); US com-
mercial models based on data harvesting; or models involving more citizen owner-
ship and control of data and more transparency over algorithms.
To address these problems, a minimum requirement is:
• Better data and analysis of current trends to document where investment is hap-
pening, what tasks it is being directed to and where the key gaps are.
• Constellations of funders more deliberately aligning funding and support in
fields such as AI for public health, AI for education or AI for agriculture. Here,
there are useful models to build on which allow for better cooperation between
funders and practitioners, including shared data.
• Pooled budgets – in relation to both food and vaccines, the world has learned that
pooling budgets can greatly increase impact, particularly if public, philanthropic
and commercial funding can be integrated. Again, AI is behind best practice.
• Shared governance – finally, there will be a growing need for shared rules and
governance arrangements either at regional or global levels. Despite some prog-
ress with initiatives, such as the GPAI, there has been very little serious action in
this respect so far, despite tentative discussion of global charters or rights.
The second reframing proposed is to look at how AI can contribute to greater intel-
ligence for the SDGs, rather than focusing too narrowly on individual AI tools.1
Over the last few years, the UNDP and others have developed a way of thinking
about how to mobilise multiple forms of intelligence to aid the SDGs including use
of data from sensors, satellites or mobile phones and open innovation methods to
1
For a serious attempt at mapping the links between AI and the SDGs, using expert consultation,
see R. Vinuesa, H. Azizpour, I. Leite et al. ‘The role of artificial intelligence in achieving the
Sustainable Development Goals’. Nature Communications 11, 233, 2020.
38 G. Mulgan
tap into new ideas. These break down the task of innovating around SDGs in a par-
ticular place into four main elements:
Understanding problems – here the key is to draw on a wide range of sources, from
evidence to data of all kinds. AI has a significant role to play in pattern recogni-
tion (e.g. pests, disease, mobility), and there are interesting models combining
collective intelligence, AI and data. These include Action Insight Data in Uganda,
the LICCI project on mobilizing tacit knowledge from farmers to improve cli-
mate change models2 and others coping with the broader NLP challenge of dia-
lects and minority languages, or indigenous languages in non-literate cultures
(e.g. adjusting BERT and BART for different languages). Another example
around human-wildlife conflict is using AI in the modelling of remote sensing
data and spatial and temporal characteristics of crop raiding, to predict and
map risk.
Solution seeking – here the key idea is to look for ideas and answers from a much
wider range of sources, whether from business startups or communities affected
by problems, inventors or other sectors, making use of tools such as open innova-
tion platforms, challenge prizes, search and recommendation functions, and new
forms of citizen science to find a wider range of solutions. Wefarm is a good
example that links over a million farmers in East Africa, allows them to post
problems by SMS, uses AI to find potential problem-solvers from within the
community and then shares this back. In this way, collective intelligence and
artificial intelligence support each other.
Decision-making – next comes more use of collective intelligence to guide deci-
sions and then help in implementation of policies. One example is the use of the
Polis AI tools in democracy to guide debates towards consensus.
Learning – finally, there is a continuous learning to make sense of patterns and
using evidence sources, such as Microsoft Graph, ‘what works centres’ and plat-
forms to provide feedback and peer learning.
A good example of this field is action on corruption, arguably vital for achieve-
ment of many other SDGs. There are interesting applications of AI in use, for exam-
ple, in Mexico, and in some cases collaborations with banks to use AI to spot
suspicious behaviour involving officials or politicians. India and South Africa have
interesting examples of using AI in tax offices.
Seen through this lens AI has many roles to play. But the great majority of seri-
ous tasks require combinations of human intelligence and AI and explicit frame-
works for weaving different types of intelligence together. This quickly becomes
apparent when detailed analysis is done of the potential of AI to contribute to spe-
cific SDGs.3
2
See https://licci.eu/ and https://thrish.org/
3
See, for example, R. Kwok, AI empowers conservation biology. Nature 567, 133–134 (2019).
Joined Up Thinking on How AI Can Contribute to the SDGs 39
The aim of these methods is to flip on its head the normal approach to technology.
Often new technologies – like ML or blockchain – seek out uses. Their designers
tend to become fixated on the method.
But an alternative approach starts with what intelligence is needed by actors –
whether governments, communities or businesses – and then works backwards to
bring together what they need, which is likely to include not only data, interpreta-
tion and prediction but also evidence on what works, peer knowledge and so on.
This leads to what have been called intelligence assemblies or collective intelli-
gence methods. Here the challenge is that few institutions systematically curate
intelligence of this kind. But early work is underway applying this thinking, for
example, to oceans, combining digital twins, forecasts and citizen engagement in
designing and implementing solutions. Key resources such as Copernicus are begin-
ning to move in this direction too.
In all of these cases, the key mindset step is to switch from asking ‘How can AI
contribute to the SDGs’ but instead to ask ‘How can we best mobilise intelligence
of all kinds to contribute to the SDGs, and what role can AI play within that broader
project?’
Many of the issues discussed so far become very apparent in relation to climate
change. Data and modelling have allowed us to know just how much our climate is
changing. For decades, the careful collection of weather data and temperatures in
the sea has fed models to analyse, predict and explain the effects of human activities
on our climate.4 But it remains unclear what role data and models of all kinds will
play in solving the crisis. They could play a big role – but only if we achieve some
big shifts in how data is managed away from the commercial proprietary models
that currently dominate our economies.
Digital things often appear good for the climate: if you Zoom to work rather than
commuting that saves on emissions. But that’s only half the story. Overall digital
and Internet activity accounts for around 3.7% of emissions, about the same as air
travel. In the USA data centres account for around 2% of total electricity use. The
figures for AI are much worse. According to one estimate, training a machine learn-
ing algorithm uses a staggering 626lbs of CO2, five times the lifetime fuel use of a
car and 60 times more than a transatlantic flight. Some forecasts expect these levels
4
See, for example, Jackie Snow, How Artificial Intelligence Can Tackle Climate Change, NAT’L
GEOGRAPHIC (July 18, 2019), https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2019/07/arti-
ficialintelligence-climate-change [https://perma.cc/4PJ2-HWPR].
40 G. Mulgan
5
AI the Next Big Climate-Change Threat? We Haven’t a Clue, MIT TECH. REV. (July 29, 2019),
https://www.technologyreview.com/2019/07/29/663/ai-computing-cloud-computing-microchips
[https://perma.cc/5GMR-TQ6R].
6
David G. Victor, How Artificial Intelligence Will Affect the Future of Energy and Climate,
BROOKINGS INST. (Jan. 10, 2019), https://www.brookings.edu/research/how-artificialintelli-
gence-will-affect-the-future-of-energy-and-climate [https://perma.cc/AM3J-DTN8].
7
https://www.c40knowledgehub.org/s/article/C40-cities-greenhouse-gas-emissions-interactive-
dashboard?language=en_US
8
https://icebreakerone.org/mission/
Joined Up Thinking on How AI Can Contribute to the SDGs 41
investors to track the full carbon impact of their decisions. But these are still small
scale and fragmented, and it will ultimately be political will that opens this data up.
If it was organized more as a commons, then it could be used to commission AI
that would help whole cities or countries cut their emissions. There’s no shortage of
ideas, covered, for example, in a recent overview of uses of machine learning to
tackle climate change,9 which gives a flavour of what might be possible, and in
sources like the climate change and AI wiki.10
But that just gets us to the next challenge: who will own or govern the data or
algorithms? Here there is still a glaring gap. Over the next decade, we may need new
and different kinds of data trust11 to curate and share data, sometimes as public pri-
vate partnerships in fields like transport and energy (e.g. gathering smart meter data)
and sometimes as purely public bodies focused on research. The lack of such insti-
tutions is one factor why so many smart city projects, like Google’s Sidewalk Labs
in Toronto and Replica in Portland, fail, unable to persuade the public that they’re
trustworthy.
New rules will also be required. As indicated earlier, there is growing interest in
global charters of rights around AI. The EU is working on a comprehensive frame-
work for regulating AI, based on assessments of risk, and including bans on some
uses such as facial recognition or credit scoring, and China is introducing parallel
rules. One option will be to require data sharing – and powers for consumers to
share their data with a third party – as a default. Any private entity securing a public
license (like provision of a 5G network, Uber or electricity supply or a supermarket
getting local planning permission) would be required as a condition of that license
to provide relevant data in a suitably standardised, anonymised and machine-
readable form. These are just a few of the structural changes now badly needed to
build up the digital side of plans to get to net zero and achieve other environmen-
tal SDGs.
6 Conclusion
There has been a flurry of activity around AI and the SDGs but only limited impact
so far. One reason is that most of this is organized in separate and often small-scale
projects. We lack good data or analysis of the patterns and gaps. The key lesson of
the big platforms is that systematic organization of data – the underlying plumb-
ing – is vital for generating the greatest value from machine learning and other types
of AI. We need comparable orchestration of intelligence for the SDGs. And we need
increasingly to focus on the broader intelligence needs of the SDGs and to work
9
Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning https://arxiv.org/pdf/1906.05433.pdf
10
https://wiki.climatechange.ai/wiki/Welcome_to_the_Climate_Change_AI_Wiki
11
G. Mulgan and V. Straub, The Ecosystem of Trust, https://www.nesta.org.uk/blog/
new-ecosystem-trust/
42 G. Mulgan
backwards from these, rather than solely working forwards from available technolo-
gies. This more strategic approach is fairly mainstream in business but oddly miss-
ing in public and philanthropic efforts. Yet it’s usually wise to focus on the outcome
you wish to achieve as well as the potential of a particular technology or tool. This
is likely to be key to maximising the contribution of AI to the SDGs during the 2020s.
A Realist’s Account of AI for SDGs: Power,
Inequality and AI in Community
This research is supported by the National Research Foundation, Singapore, under its Emerging
Areas Research Projects (EARP) Funding Initiative. Any opinions, findings and conclusions or
recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not reflect the views
of National Research Foundation, Singapore.
1 Introduction
Our objective in this chapter is to provide a realist’s account of the use of artificial
intelligence (AI) technologies for social and economic development. We critically
appraise the techno-optimistic narrative that has dominated the global imaginary –
with buzz terms like ‘digital transformation’, ‘Industrial 4.0’, ‘pro-innovation’ and
‘big data’ symbolising economic and consequently social progress. Our approach is
to employ a power analysis to chart the asymmetries of knowledge/information and
control (particularly over data access and transaction) enabled by tech companies’
cyberpower when directed towards vulnerable economies or societies, and to chal-
lenge the dominant narrative of progress by injecting the essence of AI in commu-
nity. As has often been raised by decolonial AI commentators, the analysis to follow
implicates who designs the technology, who participates in the process, who deploys
the technology obtaining access to the valuable ‘big data’ and who is affected by AI
decision-making devoid of recipient engagement. Responsible AI design and
deployment in alliance with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) needs to be
understood in terms of power positioning and vested interests that precede and pre-
determine the sincerity of AI for social good. The emerging picture reveals the risks
associated with AI technology as another economic dependency regime dispropor-
tionately falling on marginalised communities and populations in the Global South.
The nature of tech power creates and embeds such relationships of dependency;
where the values of tech are misaligned with societies’, this threatens the social and
cultural fabric that is vital for resilient societies.
For the policymaker reading this chapter, our message is that while AI and data
have tremendous potential for humanity, sustainable development and structural
inequalities are fundamentally social issues and should be addressed as such. We
caution against buying into the techno-solutionist approach promoted by companies
without first robustly questioning its implications. Otherwise, ‘AI for social good’,
like AI ethics, becomes a mask akin to greenwashing in climate politics. We argue
that power held by Big Tech companies, through information sharing and sustain-
able engagement, should be dispersed within recipient communities, so that com-
munities can determine what technology they need for the indigenous purposes they
value and prioritise. The enabling vision of AI in community and concomitant path-
ways to sustainability are the original contribution offered in this chapter that quali-
fies the AI and SDGs productive alliance. In conclusion, the analysis offers
communitarian options that will enable AI to be part of the solution to SDGs
achievement and not, through neoliberal global economic infiltration, a covert
impediment.
A Realist’s Account of AI for SDGs: Power, Inequality and AI in Community 45
AI technologies are being deployed across many sectors, bringing about tremen-
dous benefits particularly in areas such as in healthcare (diagnostics and disease
surveillance) and public administration (e-government service delivery) (Smith and
Neupane 2018). AI can even be used in the agriculture sector (crop disease monitor-
ing) and have a role in fighting climate change through climate modelling and mea-
suring carbon emissions (Kaack et al. 2020). Given its potential widespread
application, there is a lot of hope invested in AI for social good, including in helping
to achieve the UN SDGs. Early studies however have already shown that this opti-
mism should be tempered as the potential impacts of AI on sustainable development
can be both positive and negative (Vinuesa et al. 2020).
Of concern in this chapter is the discriminatory frame in which AI is situated,
wherein vulnerable and marginalised communities are at higher risk of the negative
impact of AI deployment (Loo et al. 2021). This has also been recognised by the
World Bank, which in its 2021 development report emphasised that ‘Major inequi-
ties in the ability to produce, utilize, and profit from data can be found across both
rich and poor countries and among the rich and poor people within them’ and that
the ‘voice of low-income countries needs to be heard in the global debate on data
governance’ (World Bank 2021).
Yet, ‘AI for social good’ is a banner held up by tech companies: AI as the means
for tackling world challenges of pandemics, climate change and humanitarian cri-
ses.1 ‘Pro-innovation’ is the response by governments worldwide as a global AI race
is underway, but while governments may acknowledge the potential risks and harms
of AI technologies alongside its benefits, they have failed to elucidate a tight under-
standing of a ‘good AI society’ that connects human responsibility, cooperation and
values (Cath et al. 2018). This consequence is symptomatic of techno-optimism, a
hype or blind faith placed in technology, espoused by the powerful players in the
discourse, crowding out alternative innovation pathways that might meet the needs
of communities (STEPS Centre 2010).
This analysis is not a blanket social critique of AI technology nor its potential for
achieving good. Data that services and is managed through AI can be immensely
useful and critical for identifying inequalities in society. Rather, the analysis targets
a growing power asymmetry underpinning AI global expansion, what some might
describe more critically as a hegemonic project of Big Tech companies (Couldry
and Mejias 2021b; Whittaker 2021). If power accumulates and is concentrated in
the few tech giants (typically in Silicon Valley but also in China) which are multina-
tional organisations – it is hard not to imagine that they would assert their economic
1
The Big Tech companies have their own programmes: see, for example, Facebook (https://data-
forgood.facebook.com/), Google (https://ai.google/social-good), Microsoft (https://www.micro-
soft.com/en-us/ai/ai-for-good) and Intel (https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/
artificial-intelligence/ai4socialgood.html).
46 L. M. Ong and M. Findlay
and political influence and priorities internationally primarily for market benefit.
This directly challenges the sustainable development goals, particularly when low-
and middle-income countries are in a relatively vulnerable position for exploitation
through an expansion of economic or technological dependencies. It is indisputable
that the Global South is lagging behind the Global North in its readiness for AI
implementation (Oxford Insights 2020), and with global AI expansionism, develop-
ing countries arguably value affordability and accessibility over any AI provider’s
social ideology (Unver 2021).
Eradicating inequality and fostering global cooperation are priorities of the
SDGs, especially as the world has struggled to cope with Covid-19 and climate
catastrophe looms. To achieve the SDGs in a sustainable way, a highly contextual
approach is required – countries need to be able to define for themselves what is
development and progress, aligned in terms of what they value to retain and con-
serve in their domestic sphere. The power asymmetry we have outlined however
threatens to challenge any locally engaged and owned 2030 Agenda.
if we continue blindly forward, we should expect to see increased inequality alongside
economic disruption, social unrest, and in some cases, political instability, with the techno-
logically disadvantaged and underrepresented faring the worst. (Smith and Neupane 2018)
3.1 Power
It is impossible within this space to examine at length the dimensions of power held
by tech companies when compared with vulnerable recipient economies or societ-
ies. Tim Jordan’s theory of cyberpower provides a useful conceptual shorthand,
propagating cyberpower as the form of power structuring culture and politics in
cyberspace and the Internet (Jordan 1999). Within this framework Jordan examined
three dimensions of power: (i) power over the individual, (ii) power over the social
and (iii) power over the virtual imaginary. In this chapter, we focus on the second.
Important for our purposes is the nature of cyberpower (or technopower) and
how it creates relationships of dependency in the social. This was described by
Jordan in the following terms (Jordan 1999):
• First, technologies supporting cyberspace are constructed according to certain
social values but appear as things for use. The oscillation between social values
and things creates a power force.
• The structure of technopower is an ongoing spiral: As more information is gener-
ated in cyberspace, leading to information overload, this stimulates demand for
more tech tools. Offline societies then increasingly depend on and are affected by
these tools (cyberspace is the informational space of flows providing essential
services to informational socio-economies).
A Realist’s Account of AI for SDGs: Power, Inequality and AI in Community 47
• This technopower spiral means greater freedom of action is afforded to tech peo-
ple in the context of increasing tech complexity, creating a cyber-elite that domi-
nates individuals’ choices.
In short, ‘Cyberpower of the social is structured by the technopower spiral and the
informational space of flows and results in the virtual elite’ (Jordan 1999). This
informational space is also profoundly unbalanced in power terms. Those stake-
holders operating with information deficit yield up power to the sources and prolif-
erators of data and information power.
In the same vein, power accumulates in Big Tech as countries’ information
socio-economies mature and become reliant on AI technologies; ‘as the scale of
such reliance increases, so will the impact of AI technologies on our shared values’
(Cath et al. 2018). For instance, those developing predictive models are ‘bestowed
with the power to decide what “correct” is’ in relation to social constructs like ‘good
health’ and ‘good eating habits’ (Birhane 2020), and leaked documents have shown
the adverse impact of social media on teenagers’ mental health and wellbeing
(Chappell 2021). The global pandemic had shed light on the extent of this reliance:
countries worldwide depended on Google-Apple’s contact-tracing technology
(Sharon 2020), while consumers turned to Amazon for hand sanitizer, face masks
and disinfectants (Palmer 2020) and governments like the UK and Canada relied on
Amazon to distribute home testing kits and medical equipment (Liu 2020).
Through its saturation and reach of massive social media platforms, AI-assisted
information tech can recreate meaning and priorities in the information transfer they
enable, overriding communities’ values (such as what amounts to offensive con-
tent) – values which often imbue a complex and nuanced understanding informed
by the respective culture of communities. As explained in the discussion of AI in
community below, AI-assisted information platforms and technologies can either
empower or disempower community-cherished meanings. Social media’s profit
incentive plays out on at least two levels: at a more granular level over-moderating
or under-moderating content based on what generates revenue, on the next level,
magnifying its negative effects in the Global South – for instance, in Afghanistan
and Myanmar, Facebook’s systemic lack of language support has allowed extremist
language to flourish (Ortutay 2021).
a ‘deeply moral project often implicated in social stratification’ (Bowker and Star
1999; Fourcade and Healy 2013; Thompson 2016) (cited in Joyce et al. 2021).
Examining the market environment in which Big Tech companies operate, their
own business models will suggest that these companies are not incentivised for
human development, as illustrated by Zuboff’s concept of surveillance capitalism
(Zuboff 2019). Translating this into addressing equality and non-discrimination, it
could be argued that profit-driven logics by their nature target the masses and there-
fore by its market trajectory Big Tech cannot be expected to address inequities (e.g.
Birhane 2020), through say customised solutions addressing the needs of the
minoritised poor who exist outside profitable market predictions. Bearing this in
mind, as Whittaker has said, by paying attention to racial capitalism and structural
racism, tech critique can move beyond shallow notions of bias to an examination of
the centralising power of Big Tech (Whittaker 2021).
An examination of this AI divide, the ‘gap between those who have the ability to
design and deploy AI applications, and those who do not’ (Smith and Neupane
2018), is useful because power asymmetries are at the heart of discriminatory
inequalities. Power is relative as is equality – achieving equality is therefore through
power dispersal and balance. Consequently, when Big Tech companies propound
techno-solutionism (Katzenbach 2021), in that tech can solve complex social prob-
lems deeply embedded in history and traditional neo-colonial contexts, this needs to
be robustly questioned.
To achieve equality, data is needed to analyse and monitor the differentiated
impacts of new technologies; AI can catalyse this process. More importantly, as
stated in the UN Secretary-General’s report, access to new technologies ‘needs to be
accompanied by measures to promote and protect economic, social and cultural
rights, with a specific emphasis on poor and marginalized people to empower them
and build their capacity to take full advantage of those technologies’ (UN Secretary-
General 2020). Concepts such as participatory design, co-design and ‘design at the
margins’ are useful illustrations of communitarian engagement which AI in com-
munity embraces.
As will be revealed later, AI in community is a levelling up project. If it is recog-
nised (and actioned upon) that firstly, community priorities must motivate AI design
and deployment, and that secondly, the social bonds essential for sustainable com-
munities can incorporate AI, the logical conclusion is that technopower needs to be
dispersed across human recipients within those community relationships.
In the next section, we look at the growing concerns in the scholarship of digital
and techno-colonialism, before setting out the enabling vision of AI in community
and concomitant pathways to sustainability.
order might be created and shaped by the techno-elite. It has been warned that
developing countries are in a precarious position from specific risks in the deploy-
ment of AI – they are more vulnerable to disinformation, inequalities and human
rights violations (Pisa and Polcari 2019) (cited in Victor Manuel Muñoz et al. 2021).
Within this frame, initiatives by tech giants to provide Internet access in the Global
South may not be considered so much benevolent initiatives for sustainable devel-
opment, but rather techno-colonialism through creating relationships of dependency
over the ‘Next Billion Users’ (Birhane 2020).
Digital colonialism has been postulated by Kwet as enabled at the architecture
level of the digital ecosystem, through the centralised ownership and control of its
key pillars: software (code is law (e.g. Susskind 2018)), hardware and network con-
nectivity (Kwet 2019). Consequently, Big Tech corporations also control computer-
mediated experiences, ‘giving them direct power over political, economic, and
cultural domains of life’ (Kwet 2019). Facebook’s Free Basics service, for example,
could be a tool used to undermine local information sovereignty in the Global South
as the tech giants through control of critical information infrastructure have ‘the
power to regulate the press, speech, and association in foreign territories, as they see
fit’ (Kwet 2019).
Data colonialism has been identified as ‘an emerging order for the appropriation
of human life so that data can be continuously extracted from it for profit’ (Couldry
and Mejias 2021b). Thereby, human life is ‘annexed’ to capitalism (Couldry and
Mejias 2021b; Zuboff 2019) in the most fundamental data transactions, enabling
data extractivism in the Global South to fuel Global North economies (Freuler 2019).
The general consensus among AI decolonial authors is that the structural legacy
of colonialism lives on in terms of power, race and knowledge and that digital or
data colonialism has the same function as its historical colonialism: to dispossess.
The trajectory is that of exploring, expansion, exploitation and finally, extermina-
tion (in the form of race, class violence) (Couldry and Mejias 2021a). Notably,
researchers within Big Tech have also raised these concerns (Mohamed et al. 2020).
Consequently, the move by Big Tech companies to launch exclusive submarine
Internet cables is met with intense criticism (Freuler 2019). Content providers like
Microsoft, Google, Facebook and Amazon now own or lease more than half of the
undersea bandwidth (Satariano et al. 2019). Further, the political and social impacts
of this digital transformation or tech colonialism are likely to occur quickly, given
the rapidly evolving nature of digital technologies (Sahbaz 2019).
From a sustainable development standpoint, the import of technology by techno-
elites into the Global South without contextualisation can be particularly harmful
for technologically fragile communities as it means that the values and ideals of the
techno-elites are enforced through the mysticism of technological superiority
(Birhane 2020). Arthur Gwagwa illustrates how this could threaten the social fabric
of African communities: traditional social gatherings during the harvest could be
disrupted by the advent of automation in agriculture or food delivery apps (Gwagwa
et al. 2021).
A Realist’s Account of AI for SDGs: Power, Inequality and AI in Community 51
Further, Big Tech can steer the course of regulation by perpetuating the narrative
that one cannot set the rules in regulation unless one understands the technology,
which Stilgoe says is how regulation is taken ‘out of the democratic domain and put
it in the technocratic domain’ (Condliffe 2020). Thus, given the pervasiveness of AI
technologies across sectors, some authors have even called for it to be recognised as
a public utility (Canazza 2016; Liu 2020).
Having illustrated to this point how the themes of power, inequality and techno-
colonialism interconnect, the next section looks at how the questions of innovation
are defined and driven, in the exploration of pathways to sustainability.
5 Pathways to Sustainability
5.1 Defining Innovation
technology and sustainability? While there is no one way to achieve this, we borrow
inspiration from the STEPS Centre’s 3D innovation agenda, which embrace three
pillars: directionality (of pathways towards specific sustainability objectives), distri-
bution (more equitable distribution of benefits, costs and risks associated with inno-
vation) and diversity (in socio-technical systems, in order to mitigate lock-in, build
robust and resilient systems and cater for seemingly irreconcilable perspectives on
value and sustainability) (STEPS Centre 2010).
As has been raised by others, the imaginary is crucial to inspire communities –
we need a positive vision to inspire systems change. Concepts like storytelling, deep
listening and knowledge co-production will be relevant for social sustainability in
any digital transformation that has community enhancement as a driver.
Once the risk of power dependency is front and centre, and recognition is given to
the commercial imperative that AI development is a market endeavour with wealth
creation at its heart, the location of AI in the community can stimulate a profound
reconfiguration of this new technological epoch. This chapter argues that through a
process of community empowerment employing AI as a tool for economic and
social power dispersal, we can achieve SDG 10. While tech is power, so are educa-
tion and communication (Jordan 1999). Along with these societal essentials for
embedding technology is the significance of personal and communal data as an
inducement for the promoters of AI to advance community inclusion and sustain-
ability above dependency when it comes to tech advancement for social good.
Not only are specific communal considerations essential for sustainable alliances
between AI and the SDGs, recognition of the compatible positioning of global com-
munity interests is also essential and will require critical re-appraisal on neoliberal
economic imperatives. Globalisation and technology have been captured by the
forces of neoliberal exclusionism that has produced an anxious and divided world
devoid of promise (Findlay 2021). Populist politics often shields neoliberal excess
behind a masked attack on globalisation and internationalism when in fact without
globalised engagement directed against neoliberal exceptionalism, the achievement
of the SDGs would be unlikely. Globalised AI2 and community-empowered data
management (which will be developed later in the discussion on digital self-
determination) can offer responsible engagement between data stakeholders at the
local-global interface and span profound divides currently retaining the value and
2
Global engagement provides the possibility to bridge (or maybe close) the AI divide if that
engagement is premised on the SDGs, equitable interaction and not dependency relationships
which are inherent in a neoliberal exclusionist notion of globalisation. Simply, power imbalances
can be exacerbated if globalisation is inextricably promoting wealth for the few. On the other hand,
globalisation engagement grounded in the SDG ideology will expose neoliberal imbalance.
56 L. M. Ong and M. Findlay
valuing of AI as a North world domain, and data as the South world’s bargain-
ing chips.
Whether or not AI is a tool of neo-colonialists (the warning is useful), the tools
themselves can be used for positive social purposes, bridging inequalities. Accepting
the relevance of the metaphor ‘the Master’s tools can be used to break the Master’s
house’ (Couldry and Mejias 2021a), the same tools thus can be used for activism,
such as on social media platforms and information looping to open up understand-
ings of the scope of secondary data usage.
With information asymmetries fundamentally impeding actual and empowered
community engagement, the larger context for community repositioning of the tech-
nological locus is recognising the limits of knowledge including that of the chal-
lenges (STEPS Centre 2017). This builds the case for power dispersal towards
communities, so that not only will communities have access to data, but that
accountability and transparency in the operation of AI in specific communities will
be improved to make sure that once communities are in possession or have access
to the location, use and value of their data, such practical awareness would benefit
the underrepresented and not just the elites (Gwagwa et al. 2021, 3). Thus, limits of
knowledge notwithstanding, building robust and resilient systems of technological
application and engagement in this way is key to achieving sustainability objectives
for any proposed AI-SDG alliance. With this power dispersal, access to quality data
and use of various technological and AI developments would hold potential benefits
to the Global South in general (Birhane 2020).
Ideas like the cooperative ownership of AI by users (Scholz 2016) and democra-
tisation of AI3 can stimulate this conversation. Among other things, AI technologies
need to be affordable, user-friendly and explicable, robust and resilient and capable
of timely employment and provide solutions from which the participants can draw
informed choices (Findlay 2020). Having revealed AI’s divisive and reconciliatory
potentials, the following sections locate on communities in which AI can be
deployed to promote trusted social bonds for tackling inequality through greater
access to essential social data. What becomes apparent in our analysis: AI can be
part of the solution as well as the problem when approaching power asymmetries in
the global economy.
6 Digital Self-Determination
In the final sections of this brief coverage, the analysis presents a snapshot of two
concepts: digital self-determination and AI in community. Both are crucial for the
essential power dispersal which will guard against AI design and deployment
3
‘AI democratisation means making it possible for everyone to create artificial intelligence sys-
tems… potentially without requiring advanced mathematical and computing skills’ (Mark
Riedl, Georgia Tech, quoted in https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2021/11/access-for-all-the-
democratisation-of-ai/).
A Realist’s Account of AI for SDGs: Power, Inequality and AI in Community 57
proliferating dependency relationships that challenge the SDGs, and for reposition-
ing vulnerable human recipients (data subjects), and their communities, to better
bargain for the responsible use of data and the sustainable application of AI tech-
nologies. Both concepts are complex but can also be simply understood. Digital
self-determination essentially requires the creation of safe digital spaces where (i)
data subjects and their communities can be empowered to access and manage their
data, while (ii) market players who are interested in the data approach it with genu-
ine respect for data subjects’ dignity (Remolina and Findlay 2021). This environ-
ment for data use may sound aspirational but as developments in open finance with
data portability at their core have revealed, big data harvesters, and those who oth-
erwise claim data ownership, are becoming more amenable to access regimes that
are less contested and conflictual (e.g. Remolina 2019).
Digital self-determination does not follow the language of data rights, data own-
ership nor data sovereignty. Instead, it offers a different contextual mode of data
governance that recognises that data are principally messages from humans to
humans and as such represent the digitising of life experience. As such, this pro-
vides the potential for integrating different types of knowledge, including social and
cultural elements, into technology development, so that once again technology
respects rather than overrides human values and judgement (Sloane and Moss
2019). Without the space to detail how safe digital spaces offer possibilities for data
subjects and their specific communities to manage and transact their data in particu-
lar transactional contexts (market or social), it is sufficient to see this as a conscious
dispersal over the power that data control offers.
From a market perspective, one reason why Big Tech might pragmatically be
attracted to an alliance with the SDGs Agenda is the prospect of massive data pools
that can be tapped under the guise of social good. However, if digital self-
determination is the governing regime which Big Tech (and its market expansion
imperative) is subjected to, then the human essence and dignity of data for
AI-assisted technologies will be preserved. Data will not be extracted out of its
human context and alienated from data subjects and communities during the data
gathering and classification stages, for example. Consequently, the power of the
data subject and his/her bargaining position in the market is elevated simply through
the recognition of their prominent position in data transactions. This vision is
realised through the creation of safe data spaces where personal data can be easily
and communally managed, empowering data subjects and their data communities.
Underpinning digital self-determination is the necessity that data subjects should
be made aware of who uses their data, when and how. The commodification of sec-
ondary data has massive market potential but unregulated it can deeply disempower
data subjects and their communities (Choo and Findlay 2021). In our centre’s earlier
work we have proposed regulatory models which are inclusive and participatory,
wherein vulnerable stakeholders such as data subjects can be empowered through
AI-information looping to better position their interests in the commodification of
their data, which after all is a massive profit motivation for AI expansionism (Findlay
and Seah 2020). Translated into the context of vulnerable economies or societies, if
the value of ‘data gold’ is more fairly distributed across data ecosystems, then
58 L. M. Ong and M. Findlay
benefits can flow to all; the marketising of personal data can proceed but only inso-
far as it is compatible with the priorities and purposes of data subjects and their
communities.
Digital self-determination is gaining traction both as an ethical pathway for data
emancipation and a responsible process for data access. If it is built in as a precondi-
tion for Big Tech participating in AI expansionism, then a more communitarian
agenda for AI deployment and data use becomes possible.
Proposed in this manner there seems little to argue against AI in community, until
the hegemony of AI and big data exploitation is confronted. One of the reasons why
ethics as a regulatory model is well supported by Big Tech is revealed in the expec-
tation that some form of ethical compliance will produce trust in recipient commu-
nities without the sponsors of AI technology and the harvesters of big data having
to divest any of their control and power over design, deployment and exploitation.
In this model, AI and big data remain attached to market imperatives, removed from
communitarian priorities.
AI in community is more than a physical repositioning; it is a repositioning of
priorities, purposes and values. If it were limited to the former, the power asymme-
tries currently underpinning AI-community interaction would not necessarily be
confronted. As long as individual recipients and their communities are viewed by AI
sponsors through a neoliberal market lens, as clients, customers and consumers, and
as data raw material for extractive market value, the purposes and priorities of the
community will be negotiated in market terms, with profit as an inextricable deter-
minant of deployment.
The essence of AI in community therefore requires a reversal of perspective. AI
is no longer viewed as something which is transplanted into communities based on
some external measure of benefit. Rather, AI in community envisages that individual
and collective recipients will determine whether (or not) AI applications fulfil their
purposes and priorities. The manner in which such determinations are made will
depend on the community members concerned and their need(s) to which AI and
big data could be directed. In recognition of knowledge limitations (Sect. 5.3), com-
munities may perhaps seek the assistance of technically competent advice (or other
options), but the choice remains with the community.
Trust comes into play when a community need has been identified and technical
solutions and deployment contexts or applications have been chosen. AI in commu-
nity requires that the community’s trust be informed, genuine and sustainable, even
if an AI application is accompanied by robust compliance to ethics. For such trust to
be generated and maintained, the community must be able to comprehend and dis-
criminate the functionality of AI and big data use (although this does not mean
that the community should trust technology beyond their understanding). Therefore,
the purposes and priorities behind what AI does are set by communities and the
responsibility to follow that through then rests with AI designers and deployers to
merit trust through the achievement of determined purposes and priorities.
AI in community is as such a recognition of the active role of technology and data
in the creation and maintenance of trusting social bonds with the community. In
other works on smart cities and storytelling, we propose the example of how
AI-assisted information technologies and communal, open data access can facili-
tate, curate, communicate and conserve the oral histories that are at the heart of
neighbourhood identity (Findlay and Ong 2022). In this example, by grounding
technology in the community, cultural storytelling can be embedded within the
urban knowledge infrastructure through communication and information pathways
enabled by AI technology and open data. In this way, AI and big data become
60 L. M. Ong and M. Findlay
partners with the community to help strengthen its social fabric through historical
understanding of neighbourhoods as they transition in urban development.
We propose that AI in community stimulates a positive imaginary of AI for sus-
tainable development and that this vision is possible with the intrinsic capacity of
humans to cooperate through communities.
The human impulse to build relationships with others and to form communities is an inher-
ent driver of the success of new digital technologies. (Rheingold 2000)
8 Conclusion
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A Realist’s Account of AI for SDGs: Power, Inequality and AI in Community 63
Abstract In this chapter we extend earlier work (Vinuesa et al., Nat Commun 11,
2020) on the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) to achieve the 17 Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) proposed by the United Nations (UN) for the 2030
Agenda. The present contribution focuses on three SDGs related to healthy and
sustainable societies, i.e., SDG 3 (on good health), SDG 11 (on sustainable cities),
and SDG 13 (on climate action). This chapter extends the previous study within
B. Sirmacek
Smart Cities, School of Creative Technologies, Saxion University of Applied Sciences,
Enschede, The Netherlands
S. Gupta
Bonn Alliance for Sustainability Research, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
e-mail: [email protected]
F. Mallor · H. Eivazi
FLOW, Engineering Mechanics, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]
H. Azizpour · H. Fang · I. Leite · G. I. Melsion · K. Smith
Division of Robotics, Perception, and Learning, KTH Royal Institute of Technology,
Stockholm, Sweden
e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected]
Y. Ban
Division of Geoinformatics, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
e-mail: [email protected]
F. Golzar · F. Fuso Nerini
Division of Energy Systems, Department of Energy Technology, KTH Royal Institute of
Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
Climate Action Centre, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]
R. Vinuesa (*)
FLOW, Engineering Mechanics, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
Climate Action Centre, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
e-mail: [email protected]
those three goals and goes beyond the 2030 targets. These SDGs are selected
because they are closely related to the coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) pan-
demic and also to crises like climate change, which constitute important challenges
to our society.
Keywords AI · SDGs
1 Introduction
In the past years, driven by the increased capacity in acquisition, storage, and pro-
cessing of data, artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a disruptive technology,
affecting a broad scope of fields. As these capacities are only increasing, AI has
cemented its impact on society as a whole, and it is therefore expected to play a
crucial role in the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) pro-
posed by the United Nations (UN) (UN General Assembly (UNGA) 2015). As
pointed out by Vinuesa et al. (2020a), AI can enable the achievement of 134 out of
the 169 targets accompanying the SDGs. Nonetheless, AI can also act as an inhibitor
of 59 of the SDG targets. Therefore, special care should be taken when deploying AI
solutions at a large scale, and its impact (positive or negative) on society, economy,
and the environment should be carefully assessed. The ongoing coronavirus disease
(COVID-19) pandemic has shown the dangers that a major crisis can have on the
urban population health. Moreover, it has been a prime example of the use of AI and
big data, e.g., through the use of contact-tracing apps which have evidenced both the
positives (effectiveness) and negatives (privacy, ethical issues) derived from the use
of AI (Shahroz et al. 2021; Vinuesa et al. 2020b). In this regard, the current climate
emergency presents itself as the next major crisis to be faced by our species. In this
chapter, we focus our analysis on the impact of AI on the SDGs related to healthy
and sustainable societies, i.e., SDG 3 (on good health), SDG 11 (on sustainable cit-
ies), and SDG 13 (on climate action). The chapter is structured as follows: firstly,
impacts of AI adoption on health are assessed in Sect. 2. Secondly, in Sect. 3 we
look at the role of AI in the achievement of sustainable cities. Then, we focus our
attention to the possibilities enabled by AI when it comes to climate-action targets
in Sect. 4.1. Lastly, general conclusions regarding the effect of AI on achieving
healthy and sustainable societies are drawn, and an outlook is presented in Sect. 5.
One main challenge within the health sector is the shortage of care staff, especially
in developing countries. In 2006, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimated
a global shortage of 4.3 million health workforce, identifying it as a crisis
The Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Achieving Healthy and Sustainable Societies 67
the most notable future applications of AI to help with the shortage of care staff are
robotics surgery (Kinross et al. 2020) and discovery of more efficient and accurate
biomarkers (Wang et al. 2019) and treatments (Chen et al. 2018), especially in
light of AlphaFold’s recent breakthrough in computational biology (Jumper
et al. 2021).
Pandemics such as COVID-19, Ebola, and cholera have grave consequences for
health, economy, and society. Unless we understand comprehensively what causes
them, they will emerge again and again. Usually, infectious diseases are often
unleashed by microorganisms such as viruses and bacteria having very diverse ori-
gins. The change in land-use type and surrounding ecosystems brings humans in
close proximity with wild species that could transmit unknown pathogens. Thus,
the possible way to prevent epidemics and pandemics is to realize the interconnec-
tion between human, animal, and environmental health, as it is covered under the
One Health domain. Target 3.3 of Agenda 2030 addresses aims to address concerns
related to epidemics and other communicable disease. However, the real challenge
is understanding the dynamics of the disease spread and how to better comprehend
the vast amount of interdisciplinary data sources from the areas of interface between
the health of humans, animals, plants, and the environment, fundamental to the One
Health approach (Cook et al. 2004; Kim and Cha 2021). AI is supportive of address-
ing multiple challenges faced by the field of One Health. For instance, antimicro-
bial resistance (AMR) relation to infectious diseases was considered as one of the
three One Health priorities during the tripartite (FAO-OIE-WHO) meeting of 2011
(W. H. Organization 2012). Recently, algorithms helped identify an antibiotic
called Halicin from a vast digital collection of pharmaceutical compounds (Stokes
et al. 2020). AI is also helping in the management of multidrug resistance by pre-
dicting infection risk, identifying the etiology and misuse of antibiotics, and esti-
mating the risk of emergence (Beaudoin et al. 2016; Giacobbe et al. 2020).
Researchers are already applying the AI capabilities to support clinical decision-
making processes, such as radiology, dermatology, pathology, and ophthalmology,
improving further the One Health infrastructure (Garcia-Vidal et al. 2019). AI is
also supporting prognosis-related applications using electronic health record-based
clinical decision support (Downing et al. 2019), generating alerts by an AI model
that provides an early warning. AI models are also supporting to predict deteriora-
tion and identifying possible pathogens and antibiotic susceptibility (Alam et al.
2014). At a broader level AI is also helping to link diverse remote-sensing data
sources for diverse One Health sub-domains (Chapman et al. 2018; Traore
et al. 2017).
The Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Achieving Healthy and Sustainable Societies 69
Previous studies have placed SDG 3 (on good health and well-being) in a unique
position, where AI can significantly contribute towards it achievement (Gupta et al.
2021; Palomares et al. 2021). Vinuesa et al. (2020a) found SDG 3 to be the goal
where AI could have the least inhibitory effect while showing a great potential to
bring several of its targets forward. However, the socio-ethical context of how and
where AI technology is used in healthcare systems could result in an increase of
inequalities between different population groups and nations, hence hindering its
capabilities to act as enabler of other SDGs, e.g., SDG 10 on reducing inequalities,
and/or progressing at a lower rate among population groups with, e.g., lower AI
literacy or ability to access the technology itself (Fenech and Buston 2020;
Wakunuma et al. 2020). Fenech and Buston (2020) investigated the perception of
healthcare professionals, technologists, ethicists, and patients about the challenges
of introducing AI into healthcare systems and they found that ethical, social, and
political questions were raised across various aspects: from the change within the
relationships between patients and healthcare professionals and their acceptance of
70 B. Sirmacek et al.
development (West et al. 2019), together with the fact of close assessment of the
data used for training of the systems. There have been several examples of AI algo-
rithms that produce biased results because of certain groups of the population being
under-represented in the datasets (Buolamwini and Gebru 2018; Obermeyer et al.
2019; O’neil 2016; Zhao et al. 2017; Zou and Schiebinger 2018), which can increase
mistrust in these systems. Moreover, the interpretation given to the dataset in use
may also cause inadvertent biased predictions when the proxies that drive an algo-
rithmic decision are unfair towards a certain group. This has been the case for an AI
system used in the USA to determine patients that will require complex and inten-
sive future healthcare needs (Obermeyer et al. 2019). A black patient with the same
risk scores as a white one would be less likely to be enrolled into the program
because there exists a historic difference in the cost of healthcare between ethnici-
ties, which is the variable used for the prediction – cost is unbiased from an underly-
ing data point of view, yet an imperfect proxy that fails in taking into account the
important social perspective causing biased predictions (Obermeyer et al. 2019). In
this sense, there is an ongoing debate of the accountability and liability related to the
recommendations and decisions made by AI systems (Luxton 2014; Murphy et al.
2021; Vinuesa and Sirmacek 2021), and how to determine who should be held
responsible in the case of bad consequences of their outcomes – a topic discussed in
computer ethics research for decades (Dennet 1997).
Urban areas are responsible for creating heat islands which cause very high ecologi-
cal stress to the environment. This stress is not only caused by the urban areas but
also by the surrounding areas even if they are not occupied by human activities. This
phenomenon is known as urban heat island (UHI) effect (Manoli et al. 2019). For
accurate identification of the heat island sources and the environmental changes
within the urban areas, many IT-infrastructured (also known as “smart”) cities have
been putting efforts and resources to collect a good amount of data which might be
helpful to understand the stress factors. Thus in many smart cities, citizens, govern-
ment institutions, industry, and scientists share data for the benefit of all (this rela-
tion is also known as “Quintuple Helix model” (Carayannis et al. 2012)). Obviously,
this leads to a great amount of data collection and the need for machine-learning
(ML) or artificial-intelligence (AI) models which can be used for understanding the
climate impacts and develop preparedness aligned with the SDGs. AI can enable
various applications to support cities. Figure 1 shows the AI-based applications
which may have the most potential to provide immediate benefit for climate-related
observation and preparedness. There might be even more applications which can be
achieved by AI algorithms; however, herein we keep our focus on mapping, predic-
tive modeling, generative modeling, and explainability applications. In the follow-
ing subsections, we will discuss each of these application areas in detail.
3.1.1 Mapping
For observing climate adaptation of large areas in sustainable manner, the most
frequently used data comes from satellite imaging. Satellite remote sensing allows
us to collect data and information about earth surface, oceans, and the atmosphere
at several spatio-temporal scales in a timely, regular, and accurate manner (Yang
et al. 2013). Satellite data help us understand the climate system generally and it
might help to identify ways to adapt urban regions for the drastic impacts of climate
change. Various organizations like NASA, NOAA, ESA, and JAXA use satellite
data to monitor greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere, weather patterns,
vegetation health, melting of glaciers and polar ice, bleaching of coral reefs, ocean
acidification, changes in wildlife migratory patterns, and many other environment
indicators. When it comes to urban areas, such maps are useful to identify changes
of the urban structures, vegetation, agriculture, air quality, surface temperature, and
so on. Besides satellite imagery, it is also possible to collect data about urban regions
using airborne sensors and other in-situ Internet-of-things (IoT) sensors. Higher-
resolution data achieved from such resources might enrich the information given in
the maps as well. In Fig. 2, we provided some of the valuable information which can
be extracted and visualized in urban maps to observe their climate adaption. AI
algorithms can help with the following areas:
• Automatic identification and mapping of trees (Pibre et al. 2017)
• Early recognition of forest fires (Zhang et al. 2021b)
• Measuring the earth surface temperature and predicting the urban heat island
impacts (Khalil et al. 2021)
• Detecting roads and traffic density (Boukerche et al. 2020)
• Creating 3D building models (Wichmann et al. 2018)
• Understanding agriculture health for food security (Lakshmi and Corbett 2020)
• Understanding soil health and properties (Motia and Reddy 2021)
• Observing water qualities (Theyazn et al. 2020)
• Observing air pollution (Ayturan et al. 2018)
• Predicting and mapping air flow (Guemes et al. 2021)
• Analyzing and merging IoT data (Allam and Dhunny 2019)
Surface temperature
Making high resolution data from low resolution measurements
Roads
Predicting sensor measurements of an area which hasn’t real sensor measurements
Generative Models
Buildings Creating what-if scenarios
Air pollution
Interpretible models
Explainability
Air flow
Explaining cause/effect
Biodiversity
Explaining bias
IoT
Teaching important indicators to humans
Fig. 2 Additional application areas where AI can help for developing climate-adaptation applica-
tions for urban areas
74 B. Sirmacek et al.
There are, of course, more application areas where AI algorithms help with creating
maps which are useful to understand the sustainable development needs and to pro-
vide opportunity to create further action plans. However, it is challenging to address
all of them; therefore, we kept our focus on the most-frequently focused applica-
tion areas.
3.1.2 Predictive Models
One of the most impactful features of AI is its capability to help with building effec-
tive predictive modeling algorithms. AI models can allow fitting predictive models
for data which have high numbers of degrees of freedom and exhibit non-linearities
(Heaviside et al. 2016). Long short-term memory (LSTM) for instance (an artificial
recurrent neural network architecture used in the field of predictive modeling) is
able to store information over a period of time. In other words, LSTM networks
have a memory capacity for both long- and short-term periods of data. This charac-
teristic is extremely useful when we deal with time-series data. LSTM models can
decide which time-series information to remember and which information to dis-
card while creating the predictive model and making future predictions. Thus, such
AI models are more robust than the earlier mathematical models (Hochreiter and
Schmidhuber 1997). Scientists have found opportunities to use such advanced AI
models for observing climate adaptation of urban areas. Advancements of AI, there-
fore, allowed prediction of future heat island impacts (Khalil et al. 2021), water
security (Vulova et al. 2021), and further climate-adaptation goals for the future.
3.1.3 Generative Models
AI might yield further applications for SDG 11 with its generalization capabilities.
To this end, a special AI structure called generative adversarial network (GAN)
learns deep representations without extensive annotated training data. They achieve
this by deriving backpropagation signals through a competitive process involving a
pair of networks. The representations that can be learned by GANs may be used in
a variety of applications, including image synthesis, semantic image editing, style
transfer, image super-resolution, and classification (Creswell et al. 2018; Jabbar
et al. 2021). In the context of climate adaptation of urban areas, generative models
are frequently used for data augmentation, which helps to create labels for other
deep-learning applications (Howe et al. 2019). They are also found useful for creat-
ing pixel-based and accurate semantic segmentations without seeing so many exam-
ples (Collier et al. 2018) and for creating super-resolution images from course
satellite-based observations (Wang et al. 2020b).
The Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Achieving Healthy and Sustainable Societies 75
3.1.4 Explainability
When it comes to SDG 11 (on sustainable cities), we will focus on some relevant
applications, including those aimed at extracting urban-development and
environment-biodiversity indicators using fully automated AI methods with remote
sensing and other IoT data collected from smart cities. These indicators provide
opportunities to (i) effectively monitor SDG 11 indicator 11.3.1 on land-use effi-
ciency; (ii) observe the alignment of smart cities with other SDGs; (iii) have early
abnormality-detection possibilities when the indicators appear to be outliers; (iv)
better understand which urban development and which environmental indicators
provide the best models for observation of smart cities; (v) create realistic scenarios
to know which urban-development indicators make a positive impact on the align-
ment of the smart city with the SDGs; and (vi) create disaster scenarios to actually
know and be prepared for the cases of observing unexpected indicator values.
Another area where AI has great potential for SDG 11 is the development of robust
non-intrusive-sensing methods to be able to more accurately determine the pollu-
tion levels and regions of extreme temperature in urban areas. It is important to note
that around 90% of the population in the European Union (EU) were subjected to
pollution levels exceeding those recommended by the World Health Organization
(WHO) between 2014 and 2016 based on data by the European Environment
Agency (EEA). It is estimated that these pollution levels produce around 800,000
premature deaths per year in the EU (Lelieveld et al. 2019). When it comes to
extreme temperatures, the UHI phenomenon (Manoli et al. 2019) mentioned above
76 B. Sirmacek et al.
was connected with around 70,000 deaths in Europe during the summer of 2003
(Heaviside et al. 2016). The great potential of AI in this context is further supported
by the fact that currently available approaches for this are not accurate enough
(Carpentieri 2013), and the EU is introducing the use of predictive models for
pollutant-concentration measurements (EC Air Quality Framework Directive 1996).
Through flow prediction it is possible to provide, based on limited information,
information about the temporal and spatial dynamics of the complete flow field (or
certain relevant sub-sets of the field), up to a certain level of accuracy. One approach
to perform the prediction is to first decompose the flow into spatial basis functions,
such that only their temporal dynamics needs to be predicted. This can be accom-
plished by means of a well-known procedure, the proper orthogonal decomposition
(POD), which was introduced by Lumley in the context of turbulent flows (Lumley
1967). This methodology basically decomposes the spatio-temporal velocity signal
into spatial modes and temporal coefficients. Certain studies have considered varia-
tions of this technique, for instance the extended proper orthogonal decomposition
(EPOD) (Boree 2003), to perform predictions of the flow based on sparse pressure
measurements (Hosseini et al. 2015). In the EPOD framework, so-called extended
velocity modes can be defined by combining information from the measured pres-
sure and velocity signals, thereby allowing predicting the velocity field from pres-
sure readings. Certain properties of the EPOD were employed by Hosseini et al.
(2016) to predict the wake of a wall-mounted obstacle (representing a single simpli-
fied building) from pressure readings on its leeward side. Note that if all the possible
extended modes are used for the reconstruction, the EPOD method is equivalent to
a linear stochastic estimation (LSE) of the predicted quantity (Boree 2003). It is
however important to note that the EPOD framework essentially considers a linear
relationship between the measured and predicted quantities, which is insufficient to
obtain accurate predictions given the complexity of the turbulent flow in urban envi-
ronments. This was evaluated by Mokhasi et al. (2009), who reached the conclusion
that it is possible to obtain significantly better predictions of the temporal dynamics
in such cases by using non-linear prediction methods.
So far we have discussed one approach to flow reconstruction mainly relying on
first performing flow decomposition into spatial basis functions and then predicting
the temporal evolution of the mode amplitudes via linear or non-linear methods. In
some cases it is convenient to directly reconstruct the temporal evolution of the flow
field (without a previous decomposition step) in certain regions of the domain: for
instance, if we are interested in obtaining an accurate evolution of the flow on a
certain horizontal or vertical plane. There have been some attempts to accomplish
this type of reconstruction in the literature using linear methods. For instance,
Illingworth et al. (2018) employed a linear dynamical-system approach based on the
resolvent-analysis framework (McKeon and Sharma 2010) to predict the velocity
field on a horizontal plane based on the velocity field from another horizontal plane,
both of them being in the logarithmic region of a turbulent channel flow. On the
other hand, other recent studies (Encinar and Jiménez 2019; Suzuki and Hasegawa
The Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Achieving Healthy and Sustainable Societies 77
2017) employed LSE to predict different horizontal planes of the flow in a turbulent
channel based on wall measurements such as the pressure and the two components
of the wall-shear stress. Sasaki et al. (2019) recently assessed flow-reconstruction
methods based on single- and multiple-input linear transfer functions, which can
then be used as convolution kernels to predict the fluctuations in a spatially develop-
ing turbulent boundary layer. In particular, they performed predictions of the near-
wall flow based on horizontal velocity fields in the outer region, and they also
reconstructed the flow based on wall measurements. Note that the linear methods
are able to provide only modest predictions close to the plane used as an input, and
the accuracy of the reconstruction rapidly degrades farther away. This is because
turbulent flows exhibit both linear (superposition) and non-linear (modulation)
scale-interaction phenomena (Dogan et al. 2019); therefore, linear methods only
provide an incomplete prediction. In fact, Sasaki et al. (2019) also documented sig-
nificant improvements in the predictions when using non-linear transfer functions to
relate the input and the output.
Recent work by Guastoni et al. (2021) reports a flow-reconstruction analysis in a
turbulent open channel, where they predicted the turbulent fluctuations on different
horizontal planes using the spatial distribution of the two wall-shear-stress compo-
nents and the wall pressure. To this end, they employed a particular type of neural
network, namely, the so-called convolutional neural network (CNN) (LeCun et al.
1998), which is widely used in computer vision. To summarize their results, close to
the wall they were able to predict the streamwise fluctuation peak with less than 1%
error, and farther away from the wall they obtained good results using a combina-
tion of a CNN and POD (Guastoni et al. 2021). Despite the fact that this study was
conducted in the context of turbulent channels, more complex geometries such as
simplified urban environments (Stuck et al. 2021; Vinuesa et al. 2015) can also be
considered, including other quantities such as temperature and pollutant concentra-
tion. In fact, Güemes et al. (2021) documented the potential of using GANs (which
are discussed above) for predictions where few sparse measurements are available,
and several additional studies have reported the possibility of using long short-term
memory (LSTM) networks for temporal predictions in turbulence (Eivazi et al.
2021; Srinivasan et al. 2019). Consequently, deep neural networks are an excellent
choice to predict horizontal (or vertical) sections of the flow field (as well as tem-
perature and pollutant concentration) using wall data, thereby significantly improv-
ing currently available prediction techniques in urban flows. A schematic
representation of the process is shown in Fig. 3, and we argue that AI can certainly
contribute towards the achievement of higher air quality in urban environments via
sparse measurements. Also, to address the gap caused by the sparsely distributed
air-quality monitoring networks at the city level, Gupta et al. (2018a, b) proposed
the simulated annealing-based optimization method to capture data with higher pre-
cision at the city level, with the opportunity to enable more inclusive air-quality data
collection and encourage citizen participation.
78 B. Sirmacek et al.
The urgent need for improving transportation within the urban environment is
directly addressed in target 11.2 on affordable and sustainable transport systems.
Moreover, an increased transportation efficiency, both from a sustainability and a
connectivity perspective, would enable the achievement of targets 11.6 (reduced
environmental impact of cities) and 11.a (implementation of urban and regional
planning and increased inter-urban population integration). Transportation accessi-
bility and efficiency has long been identified in the literature as a critical factor for
social cohesion and inclusion (Cass et al. 2005; Pooley 2016; Social Exclusion Unit
2003), and the implementation of an integrated and inter-modal transportation sys-
tem in urban and metropolitan areas is a key factor towards achieving a livable city
(Lowe 1990; Vuchic 2017). Furthermore, due to its current major dependency on
internal combustion engines, transportation plays a big role in ambient air pollution,
making it an area critical for any SDG-related intervention in the urban environment
(European Environment Agency 2021). After a comprehensive literature review, we
have identified three main areas in which AI can act as an enabling agent: guidance
of urban transportation policy, urban-mobility planning and modeling, and (con-
nected) autonomous vehicle development.
The Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Achieving Healthy and Sustainable Societies 79
In this section we will expand the evidence base and analysis on the role of AI in
achieving SDG 13 on climate action, as well as other broader objectives related to
the climate crisis, including but not limited to the achievement of the Paris
Agreement. A summary of the areas where AI can help to achieve SDG 13 is pro-
vided in Fig. 4.
Climate change could undermine the achievement of at least 72 targets across the
SGDs, including outcomes for healthy and sustainable societies (Nerini et al. 2019;
Romm 2018). Storms, droughts, fires, and flooding have become more frequent and
80 B. Sirmacek et al.
stronger (Field et al. 2012). Global ecosystems are unstable, including the agricul-
ture and natural resources on which humanity depends. The intergovernmental
report on climate change in 2018 reported that the world would encounter cata-
strophic consequences unless global greenhouse gas emissions are removed within
30 years (Allen et al. 2018). Yet year after year, these emissions rise. Addressing
climate change includes mitigation (reducing emissions) and adaptation (preparing
for unavoidable consequences). Both have multifaceted aspects. Mitigation of
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions requires improvements in electricity systems,
transportation, buildings, industry, and land use. Adaptation needs planning for
resilience and disaster management, given an understanding of climate and extreme
events. Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to enhance global efforts to both
mitigate GHG emissions and adapt the required planning (Gupta et al. 2021; Vinuesa
et al. 2020a). There is evidence that AI advances will support the understanding of
climate change and the modeling of its possible impacts. AI is helpful in dealing
with several climate-change mitigation measures. For example, AI can help to cap-
ture patterns and process temperature change data and carbon emissions (Barnes
et al. 2019; Wu et al. 2018), predict extreme weather events caused by climate
change (Feng et al. 2019), recognize the effects of climate on health (Berrang-Ford
et al. 2021), understand the energy needs and manage energy consumption (Aslam
et al. 2020; Kim and Cho 2019), monitor the impact in biodiversity due to climate
change (Dujon and Schofield 2019; Kulkarni and Di Minin 2021), transform the
transportation system for decreasing carbon emissions and make it more efficient in
energy management and routing (Alsrehin et al. 2019; Hu et al. 2019; Milojevic-
Dupont and Creutzig 2021), monitor the impact on ocean (Lou et al. 2021), predict
impacts for enabling precision agriculture (Sharma et al. 2020), support in smart
recycling (Rutqvist et al. 2019), assist carbon capture and geo-engineering (Menad
et al. 2019), and create awareness about climate impact (George et al. 2021). AI will
support low-carbon energy systems with high integration of renewable energy and
energy efficiency, which are all needed to address climate change.
An extensive range of social areas are challenged by climate change. This fact
demands remarkable adaptation to tackle future changes in weather patterns. AI has
enhanced dramatically, provoking advancement in various research sectors, and
also proposed in aiding climate analysis (Reichstein et al. 2019; Schneider et al.
2017). AI can be integrated to discovered climate connections by the Earth System
Model (ESM) to support improved warnings of approaching weather features, like
extreme weather events. While ESM development is of principal importance, a par-
allel emphasis on implementing AI to understand far more existing models and
simulations is suggested (Huntingford et al. 2019). AI advances will support the
understanding of climate change and the modeling of its possible impacts, therefore
supporting adaptive capacity to climate change (Tripathi et al. 2006). AI techniques
The Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Achieving Healthy and Sustainable Societies 81
The obtainment of fuels and raw materials for electricity grid, the process of gener-
ating and storing electricity, as well as the transmission of electricity to end-use
consumers called electricity system are responsible for around a quarter of human-
caused greenhouse gas emissions each year (Change et al. 2014). Furthermore,
since other energy-intensive sectors as buildings and transportation seek to replace
GHG-emitting fuels, demand for low-carbon energy systems will grow. AI will con-
tribute to rapid transition to low-carbon energy sources (like solar, wind, hydro, and
nuclear) and decreasing the share of carbon-intensive sources (like natural gas, coal,
and other fossil fuels). Renewable energy resources are appearing as sustainable
alternatives to fossil fuels. They are much safer and cleaner than conventional fossil
sources. With remarkable advancements in technology, the renewable energy sector
has made outstanding progress in the last decade (Brockway et al. 2019). However,
there are still a wide variety of challenges associated with renewable energies that
can be addressed with the help of innovative techniques. AI can analyze the past,
optimize the present, predict the future, and digitalize the energy sector. The
82 B. Sirmacek et al.
AI is believed to be the critical aspect in the energy systems, dealing with different
energy practices (electricity, hydrogen-based fuels, wind, nuclear, solar, and other
renewable sources, carbon capture) along with the end-use perspective (electrical
appliances, transportation, heating, manufacturing, industry, and others) (Gómez-
Bombarelli et al. 2018; Lee 2019; Raza and Khosravi 2015). AI can help in
The Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Achieving Healthy and Sustainable Societies 83
AI can reduce costs, increase productivity, raise resource intensity, and enhance
efficient public services (Vinuesa et al. 2020a). AI has been proposed as an enabler
for new ambitious policy proposals for addressing climate change, such as being
used for the implementation of personal carbon allowances (Fuso Nerini et al.
2021). However, there are also risks and downsides associated with AI that we all
must be aware of being able to address any potential short−/long-term undesired
impact (Gupta et al. 2020, 2021). AI can have a significant impact on global energy
demand. Developed AI technology, research, and product design may require exten-
sive computational resources, which are only accessible through advanced comput-
ing centers. Recent studies on the energy demand and emissions associated with
84 B. Sirmacek et al.
AI deployment has major consequences on society, on the economy and the envi-
ronment, and consequently on the SDGs. As evidenced by the COVID-19 crisis, AI
can be a tool to increase the resilience of urban populations during times of crisis,
but it also has negative impacts. An understanding of these effects is essential so that
we can tackle other important crises, such as the climate emergency. In this contri-
bution we summarized the potential of AI to help achieve the SDGs related to
healthy and sustainable societies, i.e., SDG 3 (on good health), SDG 11 (on sustain-
able cities), and SDG 13 (on climate action). When it comes to SDG 3, AI can help
combat the shortage of healthcare workforce, which affects greatly the low- and
middle-income (LAMIC) countries. There is potential in the optimization of avail-
able resources through triaging and improved diagnosis, as well as in more detailed
The Potential of Artificial Intelligence for Achieving Healthy and Sustainable Societies 85
screening and prognosis. AI can also help in the context of automatic drug discovery
or GeoAI for patient-location history, which may help against epidemics and pan-
demics. This is aligned with the One Health approach. This of course has socio-
ethical concerns, including privacy and data handling, increased inequalities due to
lower AI literacy or access, and the need for specialized training of healthcare pro-
fessionals. In healthcare-decision assistance, there are problems with biased train-
ing datasets, which may lead to under-representation of certain ethnicities or social
groups. Overall, there is tremendous potential in the context of this SDG, as long as
the possible pitfalls are understood and properly handled. Regarding SDG 11, AI
can help with various aspects to understand the climate impact and to prepare adap-
tation strategies for urban areas. To this end, satellite imaging and IoT-sensor-based
data-collection methods are often preferred, because of their capacity to provide
sustainable data in large areas over long periods of time. We discuss the use of AI
for mapping and predictive/generative modeling, as well as the use of explainable-
AI methods in order to provide solutions to understand vegetation cover, wildfire
spreading, heat island impacts, water security, air quality, and other applications to
support climate adaptation. Explainable-AI methods are not only found useful for
understanding the climate indicators in more depth, but they are also found impor-
tant for increasing trust on AI models by bringing more transparency on their func-
tionality (thus avoiding black-box modeling).
Finally, prediction and pattern-recognition capabilities, which may help to better
prepare for extreme weather events, monitor biodiversity, and can provide improved
climate modeling, are areas where AI can help to achieve SDG 13. Also, increased
energy efficiency through integration of largely varying renewable energy sources
into the energy mix, together with consumption forecasting and grid optimization
(smart grids), is a relevant area fueled by AI. In this context, attention must be paid
to cyber-security in AI-driven electrical grids, due to possible disruptions and data-
privacy problems. Finally, it is important to note that there is a large carbon footprint
related with training complex and expensive AI models, and there is a strong need
to decrease carbon footprint of the data centers used for model development. To
conclude, the increased ability to acquire, process, and analyze large amounts of
heterogeneous data is the main driver behind AI disruption. Pattern recognition and
the reconstruction and predictive capabilities of the state-of-the-art AI models pres-
ent great opportunities in achieving healthy and sustainable societies. There are
already a number of applications of AI related to health, smart cities, and smart
grids in use, proving its potential. Nevertheless, the increased complexity of these
models, which (in the case of deep learning) essentially act as black boxes consum-
ing vast amounts of data, could hinder some of the efforts towards achieving the
SDGs, in relation to equality and climate change. Privacy, data management and
governance, the carbon footprint associated with the training and deployment of AI
models, as well as their interpretability are identified as key aspects which could be
defining in the role of AI in achieving healthy and sustainable societies.
86 B. Sirmacek et al.
Acknowledgments RV acknowledges the support of the KTH Sustainability Office and the KTH
Digitalization Platform. SG acknowledges the support provided by the German Federal Ministry
for Education and Research (BMBF) in the project “digitainable.”
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Artificial Intelligence: Poverty Alleviation,
Healthcare, Education, and Reduced
Inequalities in a Post-COVID World
Abstract On October 25, 2015, the General Assembly of the United Nations (UN)
set forth an agenda which included 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and
169 targets to transform the world by 2030. The agenda set forth a plan of action
that recognized a myriad of challenges which, if surmounted, could empower peo-
ple, benefit the planet, and create an impetus for worldwide prosperity.
Due to the coronavirus pandemic and its economic and social fallout, the world
today is not on track to attain the SDGs by the year 2030. However, the disruptive
impact of the pandemic on many areas of life among other things was in a sense a
“game changer” with respect to our (human) approaches to artificial intelligence
(AI) and to AI itself. The global pandemic caused a major shift with regard to AI. It
revealed that in this day and time AI is a necessity for the flourishing of humanity
worldwide. It is no longer a luxury. Developed and developing countries alike were
caught unaware by the COVID disruption. All experienced gaps in healthcare and
education delivery and increased poverty in one form or another. In this situation, AI
turned out to be not merely useful, it quickly proved itself to be indispensable. In a
world that is still struggling to recover from the pandemic, AI has and will continue
to play a major role in transforming the work of poverty alleviation, hence affecting
the advancement of the poverty-related SDGs.
The chapter will present examples of AI implementation in areas of the world
where poverty is significant: China, India, and two countries in Africa. It will look
at rural poverty specifically, although urban poverty is growing at expediential rates,
and examine how AI has affected the work of alleviating poverty through improving
healthcare delivery and strengthening access to education. The analysis will delve
into the advancement of specific SDGs with the use of AI, such as SDG #1 no
M. A. Goralski (*)
Quinnipiac University, Hamden, CT, USA
e-mail: [email protected]
T. K. Tan
Radford University, Radford, VA, USA
e-mail: [email protected]
poverty, SDG #3 good health and well-being, SDG #4 quality education, and SDG
#10 reduced inequalities. Finally, this chapter will draw policy implications for the
work of fighting extreme poverty in a post-COVID and increasingly AI-enabled world.
1 The UN SDGs
The SDGs were meant to stimulate action and define the critical importance of each
goal as well as the interrelatedness of the 17 goals. No poverty (end poverty in
all its forms everywhere) is the first of the SDGs.
When the UN General Assembly gathered in 2015, there were rising inequalities
and disparities of opportunity, wealth, and power in many countries and communi-
ties around the world. The preamble to the UN SDGs document states: “We recog-
nize that eradicating poverty in all its forms and dimensions, including extreme
poverty, is the greatest global challenge and an indispensable requirement for sus-
tainable development” (Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
Development 2015, 1).
While millions have escaped extreme poverty, many more remain trapped.
Members of the General Assembly believed that with a spread of information and
technology, and the interconnectedness of the world, there was a great potential to
“bridge the digital divide” and develop universal knowledge of technological inno-
vations in medicine, education, and other fields (Transforming our world: the 2030
Agenda for Sustainable Development 2015).
Poverty has been a challenge to human societies throughout history. It has been
reduced but never diminished to the point where the world could declare an eradica-
tion of this malaise. Based on the UN SDGs Report (2021), the global poverty rate
is expected to rise to 7% or approximately 600 million people in 2030. Thus, SDG
#1 will be missing the target goal of eradicating poverty or achieving “no poverty”
by that year. Extreme poverty1 has risen from 8.4% in 2019 to 9.5% in 2020 mostly
due to the worldwide impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (United Nations
Sustainable Development Goals Report 2021 2021, 28). This was the first rise in
global extreme poverty in a generation.
Governmental social protection measures in 2020 covered only about 46.9% of
the global population, leaving approximately four billion people with no social
1
The World Bank updated the nominal poverty line from $1.25 to $1.90 per day in 2015. The
change in dollar value of the line reflects changes in the estimated purchasing power parity (PPP)
of the dollar in poor countries. The line seeks to keep the real value constant even though relative
prices change. The PPP exchange rates allow a comparison of the prices of goods and services
across countries. This same poverty line is used by the United Nations and others to track progress
in the elimination of extreme poverty and to measure the accountability of the international com-
munity in reporting progress (Principles and Practice in Measuring Global Poverty 2016).
Artificial Intelligence: Poverty Alleviation, Healthcare, Education, and Reduced… 99
safety net (United Nations Sustainable Development Goals Report 2021 2021, 29).
The uneven access to essential public services, like healthcare and vaccines, further
exacerbated the problems of the poorest of the poor and widened the inequality gap
in countries and communities.
There have been two major approaches to the sustenance problem (preventing or
alleviating poverty, especially famine) throughout history. One approach was to
secure enough food for the existing population by what would be called today a
“rainy day fund.” This approach can be illustrated by the Biblical story about Joseph
advising Pharaoh how to prepare the land of Egypt for the imminent 7 years of disas-
trous crops by saving food for the future (Genesis 41: 25–36). The other approach
was that represented by Plato (in The Republic) and Aristotle (in The Politics), who
both focused on adjusting the size of human population to the amount of available
food. Both of these approaches survived for centuries in Western tradition.
Due to new ways of thinking in economics and philosophy in the mid-eighteenth
century, the First Poverty Enlightenment occurred near the end of the century. It
rejected the view that inequalities were inevitable and brought about a new respect for
poor people (Ravallion 2016). The economy became a tool for advancing human wel-
fare and included poor people. Adam Smith, Scottish economist and philosopher, was
instrumental in this incorporation of human welfare into the economy (Ravallion 2016).
In the 1960s and 1970s, a comprehensive anti-poverty policy was put into place
that viewed poverty as unacceptable. Poverty was no longer viewed as inevitable,
but instead as something that society could eliminate (Ravallion 2016). (For a more
detailed study of poverty see Ravallion (2016)).
During the time of the Industrial Revolution, the views of British economist
Thomas Robert Malthus (1776–1834) enjoyed great popularity. Malthus, clearly in
agreement with Plato and Aristotle, argued that the power of population to increase
is infinitely greater than the power of the earth to produce subsistence; therefore, if
population increases faster than the food supply, there will necessarily follow fam-
ine and poverty. If the population is left unchecked, then it will increase in a geo-
metrical ratio. However, subsistence increases only in an arithmetical ratio,
therefore, the numbers would clearly show the immensity of the first power in com-
parison to the second (Malthus 1803).
Although the theory of Malthus is not as specific as that of Plato or Aristotle, he
states that like plants and animals in nature, if human population increases without
subsistence to nourish it and room to grow, then population will never be able to
increase beyond the lowest nourishment capable of supporting it. Therefore, the
intense human need to continuously acquire food for sustenance would necessarily
be severely felt proliferating various forms of misery, famine, and fear.
Malthus argued that the Parish Laws of England (Poor Laws) had contributed to
raise the price of provisions and lowered the price of labor, thus contributing to
100 M. A. Goralski and T. K. Tan
impoverishment since labor was the only possession of the poor. He believed that
money cannot raise a poor man and enable him to live a better life without propor-
tionately depressing others within the same class. If the poor were given unculti-
vated land, and made to produce upon the land, then man and other members of
society would benefit. However, if a poor man was given money, and the food pro-
duction of the country were to remain the same, then that man has only been given
a larger share of the produce which he cannot receive without diminishing the shares
of produce for others in society (Malthus 1803).
Ester Boserup (1910–1999), Danish economist, proposed a theory that challenged
the theory of Malthus. She argued that agricultural developments are caused by pop-
ulation trends, not the other way around (Boserup 1970). Boserup believed that as
population pressure increases, agricultural technology would result from population
changes, therefore factoring innovation into the solution. Her theory was concerned
with the effects of population on changes to agriculture, not on the causes of popula-
tion growth. Boserup’s approach was in alignment with Joseph’s. It basically states
that a nation needs to produce food enough to sustain its population for the future.
There is also a third approach which was developed in recent times, i.e., since the
Industrial Revolution, by the people who claim that proper application of sophisti-
cated technologies could lead to the alleviation of the sustainability problem. The
most powerful and promising technological tool that humankind possesses pres-
ently is AI.
[AI] is the science and engineering of making intelligent machines, especially intelligent
computer programs. It is related to the similar task of using computers to understand human
intelligence, but AI does not have to confine itself to methods that are biologically observ-
able. (McCarthy 2004)
McCarthy’s was one of the first definitions of AI; however, as technology has
evolved over time, various alternate definitions of AI have been created. One of the
most recent, and the one used in this chapter, is that of Amazon, “Artificial
Intelligence (AI) is the field of computer science dedicated to solving cognitive
problems commonly associated with human intelligence, such as learning, problem
solving, and pattern recognition” (What is Artificial Intelligence? n.d.).
There are currently three general categories of AI – artificial narrow intelligence
(ANI), artificial general intelligence (AGI), and artificial super intelligence (ASI)
(Goralski and Tan, Artificial intelligence and sustainable development 2020). AI,
which is currently in use, is in the category of ANI. Some examples include Google’s
Alexa, Apple’s Siri, and IBM’s Watson (Artificial Intelligence (AI) 2020).
To provide concrete examples for our analyses of the impact of AI on world
poverty and development issues, we include studies of emerging practices and new
technology applications in two sectors that are important to those who are living in
extreme poverty – healthcare and education.
Artificial Intelligence: Poverty Alleviation, Healthcare, Education, and Reduced… 101
4 Healthcare
Healthy lives and the promotion of well-being for people of all ages is SDG #3.
Recent AI innovations in healthcare and education could bring profound changes
to the alleviation of poverty in most of the world, in particular in rural areas.
Unfortunately, advances in healthcare via AI have been slow to migrate into poverty-
stricken areas.
This section focuses on rural healthcare in China and two countries in Africa:
Malawi, and Nigeria where much poverty still exists. It will draw connections
between some AI applications in healthcare and solutions in the field.
According to the UN Population Division and the World Bank, the estimated
population of China in 2020 is 1,402,112,000 people. The rural population is
38.57% (Rural population China 2020) of that total. The approximate population of
Malawi is 19,129,952 people. The rural population is 82.57% in 2020 (Rural popu-
lation Malawi 2020). Nigeria has a population of approximately 206,139,590 peo-
ple in 2020 with a rural population of approximately 48.04% (Rural
Population – Nigeria 2019).
The World Health Organization’s data on nursing and midwifery showed a global
shortage of healthcare workers, specifically midwives and nurses, who make up
approximately 50% of the shortage. The largest shortages are in Southeast Asia and
Africa (Nursing and midwifery 2020). The number of practicing physicians avail-
able in rural areas is approximately 2.0 per 1000 people in China as of 2017
(Physicians (per 1000 people) 2020) and 0.4 physicians per thousand in Nigeria
(Physicians (per 1000 people) – Nigeria 2018); there are no statistics available for
the percentage of doctors per thousand for Malawi.
Besides inadequate access to qualified healthcare and shortages of nurses/mid-
wifes and doctors, there are several inherent challenges that limit the access of peo-
ple in rural areas from receiving adequate healthcare services and fully utilizing
advanced technology in medical care: lack of transportation to where healthcare is
available, or an inability to pay for transportation if it is available; lack of access to
reliable electrical power supplies and broadband access to the Internet; and inade-
quate education and training of medical workers.
AI can help assuage this lack of medical treatment and access to other advanced
technology in the healthcare industry by alleviating the disparity in healthcare ser-
vices between urban and rural populations. AI-based data collection could identify
people with symptoms and create realistic solutions that allow healthcare providers
to develop treatment pathways that were not available in the past (Kopparapu and
Kopparupu 2020). AI-powered diagnostics could use a patient’s unique history as a
baseline against which small deviations would flag possible health conditions that
need further investigation and treatment.
There are three levels of medical AI that could alleviate the problems of health-
care in remote areas if factored into developmental plans: basic, moderate, and high
level, but these three levels would usually require the involvement of government,
policymakers, technology-equipment manufacturers, and healthcare workers from
102 M. A. Goralski and T. K. Tan
baseline rural communities to connect with the top-ranked hospitals in urban areas
(Guo and Li 2018).
China offers an illustrative example of the levels of healthcare highlighted above.
Although it has emerged as a global economic superpower in recent decades, there
is still a huge relatively poor rural population and unequal distribution of healthcare.
There are 300 million people in China suffering from chronic diseases (Ho 2018)
like heart disease, strokes, diabetes, and chronic lung diseases. As the world’s
second-largest economy, China’s cradle-to-grave system of socialized medicine has
improved life expectancy and maternal mortality rates. However, this lengthening of
life and reduction in mortality rates is taxing the healthcare system to a point where
it cannot support its population (Wee 2018).
In 2016, Chinese Premier Xi Jinping set forth a blueprint to improve healthcare
services and called it “Healthy China 2030.” It was to strengthen health innovation
and make medical treatment available for all. The Chinese government formed a
collaborative platform with technology firms and healthcare providers to promote
innovative ideas and to highlight new projects in “intelligent medicine.”2 Beginning
in January 2018, a rural dweller could have an electrocardiograph and blood test
conducted in a village AI clinic to be reviewed by a doctor at a big city hospital that
is located miles away. These new healthcare services would prevent patients from
having to travel and stand in long lines hoping to see a physician after many hours
of waiting. The three-tier system for delivery of rural health services consists of
county-level hospitals, township healthcare facilities, and village clinics.
As of 2018, 349 villages in Henan province received mobile all-in-one diagnos-
tic stations that are highly transportable, can conduct 11 common medical tests, and
automatically upload data for online consultation (Dai 2018). This is part of the
rural healthcare program cooperative agreement between the Chinese government
authorities and one of the top Chinese tech giants, Tencent.3
The government has engendered an oligopolistic marketplace that fosters com-
petition between healthcare technology firms like Good Doctor and We Doctor to
serve the rural populations and innovate new systems and services in the healthcare
industry. We Doctor educates village medical workers on the use of AI equipment.
Through it, medical records are automatically uploaded and generate a diagnosis,
which is then reviewed and referenced by a doctor at an urban hospital. Good Doctor
is an extension of a financial conglomerate Ping An Insurance Group, which is
2
Intelligent medicine is a term that originated with Dr. Ronald L. Hoffman in his book of the same
title. Hoffman defined the term as a complete spectrum of healthcare options, but the term has
evolved since his book was published in 1997. The State Council of China defines it as integration
of artificial intelligence (AI) technology with medical care to improve healthcare services. For
more information see Lung (2018, May 8) China launches national association to speed up integration
of AI with healthcare. https://opengovasia.com/china-launches-national-association-to-speed-up-
integration-of-ai-with-healthcare/
3
Tencent has a broad portfolio of interests similar to Google’s parent company Alphabet. First
quarter earnings 2020 showed revenue of 108 billion Chinese yuan (US $15.2 billion). For more
information see Kleinman (2020, August 7). What is Tencent? BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/
news/technology-53696743
Artificial Intelligence: Poverty Alleviation, Healthcare, Education, and Reduced… 103
constructing smart clinics with remote consulting services. Diagnostics are powered
by AI, healthcare workers are trained in rural villages, and the health statistics gath-
ered in Chinese rural areas creates a foundation for the development and adoption
of these new innovations and similar AI-driven applications for the future.
With Chinese companies already established relationships in areas of Africa
through President Xi Jinping’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI),4 AI technology is
expected to be marketed to other rural populations in Africa, South Asia, and other
parts of the world as part of its long-term development plan. However, there are
worries that China’s infrastructure investments may lay a debt trap for governments
in the future (Chatzky and McBride 2020).
According to the World Health Organization, Africa carries 25% of the world’s
disease burden but its share of global health expenditures is less than 1%. African
governments need to provide access to basic healthcare and train more community
health workers. AI again can help mitigate this problem. We highlight two countries
in Africa, Malawi and Nigeria.
Malawi is a landlocked country in the southeastern area of Africa. The chal-
lenges are inequitable distribution of resources, fragmented services, and shortages
of staff. Approximately 28% of Malawi’s economy is based on agriculture, fishing,
and forestry (Makwero 2018). It is among five sub-Saharan African countries that
present a very high maternal mortality rate (Yaya et al. 2016). A brief explanation of
the four levels of the Malawi healthcare system follows (Makwero 2018):
• The District Health Management Team (DHMT) operates from a district hospi-
tal. It monitors and evaluates the district healthcare activities.
• Health centers are staffed by nurses and medical assistants or clinical officers
(mid-level practitioners). Nurses largely deal with primary maternal and child
health services.
• The community links with the primary care facility via a team of health surveil-
lance assistants (HSAs), community health workers (CHWs), and traditional
healers. (HSAs receive 6 weeks of initial health preservice training and usually
reside in the community.)
• In the community HSAs are seen as “doctors” (Makwero 2018).
Malawi’s healthcare delivery system is based on primary healthcare (PHC)
(Makwero 2018). The study of Yaya et al. (2016) examined the impact of wealth
inequality on maternal healthcare services. They conclude that the high mortality
rate from maternity hinders Malawi from achieving the maternal health-related
mandates of the UN SDGs and recommend an equity-based policy to include
4
China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) (considered by some to be the New Silk Road) is a vast
collection of development and investment projects that would eventually stretch from East Asia to
Europe expanding the political and economic influence of China. Development of the Asia-Africa
Growth Corridor (AAGC) is a part of this BRI expansion plan. For more information refer to the
Council on Foreign Relations “China’s Massive Belt and Road Initiative” 2020 January 28. https://
www.cfr.org/backgrounder/chinas-massive-belt-and-road-initiative
104 M. A. Goralski and T. K. Tan
education in rural areas and solutions to issues related to a quality gap in the mater-
nal healthcare services (MHS) in urban vs. rural areas.
An article on faith-based provision of sexual and reproductive healthcare in
Malawi (the second largest healthcare providers) stated that faith-based providers
were less likely to share the national family planning guidelines than public provid-
ers (Tafesse and Chalkley 2021). This specifically was the case with family plan-
ning methods, condom promotion, HIV prevention, and dissemination of information
on sexually transmitted infections (STIs) (Tafesse and Chalkley 2021). Faith-based
providers deliver approximately 70% of services in Africa.
AI in the form of mobile phones has been incorporated into Malawi health cen-
ters to provide crucial healthcare services to people in rural areas through text mes-
saging. A person’s mobile phone becomes a microcosmic health clinic – a small
representative system within a larger system (Oyaro 2016–2017). The basic mobile
phone becomes a clinic; hence, a patient can get the information needed from a doc-
tor without having to travel to a clinic. Text message services give reminders about
taking medication and tips about how to live a healthier life. It is convenient and
easy for a patient to connect with a healthcare provider at any time of the day and is
especially helpful for pregnant women. They can receive prenatal and postnatal
information as well as general health information like using mosquito nets to pre-
vent malaria, the risk of mother to child HIV transmission, and general healthcare
advice. AirTel, a mobile phone company, supports the system and serves more than
500,000 mothers and children (Oyaro 2016–2017).
There were 2.81 million Internet users in Malawi in January 2020 and 8.58 mil-
lion mobile connections; This is equal to approximately 45% of the population
(Kemp 2020). Another study found that most respondents owned or had use of a
basic mobile phone even though there was some inequality in access by region
(Marron et al. 2020).
The Malawi government, which is trying to improve the maternal mortality rates
has fully endorsed this innovative way of providing healthcare remotely. This AI
implementation fully supports SDG #3 to ensure healthy lives and promote well-
being of all ages. AI has been able to provide specific information and care to
women and children without bias and without inflicting the inconveniences of travel
to a rural clinic.
Nigeria is a west African country located on the Gulf of Guinea. It is potentially
one of the wealthiest countries in Africa due primarily to its large oil resources.
Unfortunately, the economy is devastated by domestic unrest. More than 60% of the
Nigerian populace live in rural areas with extreme shortages of healthcare facilities
and practitioners due to location isolation and lack of opportunity (Olaronke and
Oluwaseun 2016). Access to healthcare is a struggle due to underfunded national
health systems, a lack of basic infrastructure – clean water and electricity – and a
shortage of healthcare workers (Tafirenyika 2016–2017).
High maternal and child mortality rates in most of Africa (just like the two coun-
tries discussed here) remain a major concern. Infections related to the delivery pro-
cess and communicable diseases are the leading causes of death. “Every day in
Nigeria, 257 babies die within their first month of life, and 40,000 women die from
Artificial Intelligence: Poverty Alleviation, Healthcare, Education, and Reduced… 105
pregnancy related causes each year” (Helping half a million pregnant women in
Nigeria get better antenatal care with a portable ultrasound device 2019). Nigeria is
ranked number one for maternal mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (Helping half a
million pregnant women in Nigeria get better antenatal care with a portable ultra-
sound device 2019).
General Electric (GE), a US corporation, has begun to tap into new technologies
that can diagnose health conditions and diseases more efficiently and accurately
(Rao and Joseph 2016–2017). One AI innovation is Vscan, a non-invasive ultra-
sound device the size of a mobile phone, which provides real-time high-resolution
images used in medical fields such as cardiology, obstetrics, and gynecology (Rao
and Joseph 2016–2017).
GE, creator of Vscan, along with the US and Nigerian governments invested $20
million on its Healthymagination Mother & Child Initiative (HCMI) to screen
mothers in Nigeria to identify at-risk pregnancies (Lawrence 2016). It is an asset in
prenatal and antenatal care for mothers who do not have access to a healthcare facil-
ity in their rural location (Rao and Joseph 2016–2017). It is easy for midwives and
healthcare workers to navigate with a touch screen that can detect birth defects in
fetuses and monitor high-risk pregnancies to determine the position of the baby
prior to birth. Since the scan is immediate and non-invasive, it is openly accepted by
pregnant women and caregivers.
The program began in 2017, with the expectation to help 560,000 expectant
Nigerian women in rural areas by utilizing 1.1 million antenatal scans and hours of
training and mentoring of midwives and antenatal primary caregivers (Helping half
a million pregnant women in Nigeria get better antenatal care with a portable ultra-
sound device 2019). HCMI provides the scans free of charge or at a very low cost to
pregnant women in rural areas. The transport expense to secondary hospitals is also
averted.
AI, in this example, easily fits within SDG #3, ensuring healthy lives and pro-
moting the well-being of all. For women in Nigeria, the experience of having an
ultrasound scan can now be an exciting part of their pregnancy. It allows them to see
their baby prior to its birth with the knowledge that their pregnancy is being moni-
tored for any possible problems. Additionally, a prospective mother knows that the
midwife or healthcare worker has been trained to use the equipment properly.
Additionally, this AI initiative meets the challenge of the SDGs as a plan of action
for people.
5 Education
main obstacles (and many lesser ones, some of which are discussed briefly in this
section) that significantly slow down the spread of education.
Education is expensive; in most countries, poor people do not have the financial
means necessary to secure even basic education for their children. This is the prob-
lem that the UN will hopefully help to solve on a global scale. The other serious
obstacle is the organization of the educational process which currently is still mostly
mimicking the factory model dating back to the Industrial Revolution. This model
requires students (just like in the case of factory workers) to be physically present at
the imposed time in the imposed place, with penalties being built into the system for
not meeting this requirement.
In many rural areas, it is physically very difficult or prohibitively expensive (or
both) to fulfill such requirements. However, this problem may be remedied by solu-
tions sooner than expected due to the challenge posed to education systems world-
wide by the COVID-19 pandemic. There was a need to look for solutions outside of
the factory model. Technology, in particular AI, proved to be a very effective and
useful educational tool both in urban and rural settings.
AI could bring education to children and adults, especially through the prolifera-
tion of mobile phones to reach those who were previously unable to gain access to
schools. Many people in these communities already use a basic mobile phone on a
regular basis; hence, AI could be adapted to this readily available platform to allevi-
ate poverty in the world’s rural poor with necessary cooperation from that segment
of the population.
Educated children will probably revise their worldviews and value systems,
which may result in generational gaps between children and their parents. This is a
possibility not to be taken lightly because of the potentially very serious emotional
distress it can cause members of both generations and the negative impact on the
family dynamics. The fear of this occurrence in rural areas is often (next to the need
to keep home “the working hands” of children, instead of sending them to school)
the source of parents’ reluctance to support their children’s education in excess of
their own.
Formal education can empower girls and young women with knowledge and
newfound independence that breaks them free from dependence on the men in their
lives. In addition, through education girls and young women can better their own
lives and benefit their community and family through better health and delayed mar-
riage and childbirth (Brownell 2020). However, one must not treat this issue lightly
since it may also create a potential negative impact on the lives of girls, especially
in rural areas, for instance where difficulty may arise to find a husband, especially
if males in the area are less educated.
In a traditional setting (the “factory model”), a teacher’s knowledge is transferred
to students by presentation or interactive activities. Students read the same text-
book, share the same teacher, and learn from the same curriculum. Educational
knowledge is transferred directly from one human to another (Goralski and Górniak-
Kocikowska, Education in the Era of Artificial Intelligence: The will to listen as a
new pedagogical challenge 2019). The quality of that education depends on the
physical presence of the transferrer of knowledge and the listening ability and will
Artificial Intelligence: Poverty Alleviation, Healthcare, Education, and Reduced… 107
focused on the effectiveness of e-learning and global student mobility (Yang 2020).
Under the dictates of the Ministry of Education (MOE), brick and mortar schools
were closed, and existing virtual learning platforms were enhanced in conjunction
with seven of the largest EdTech companies (Ning and Corcoran 2020). These plat-
forms allowed students to tap into streaming courses from their mobile phone or
computer (Ning and Corcoran 2020). In remote areas of China, where access to
bandwidth and computers was uneven, educators were prohibited from introducing
new topics so that children without access to adequate technology would not become
even more disadvantaged (Ning and Corcoran 2020).
A further study found that the main impetus for all of these initiatives was the
focus on epidemic prevention and control and the safety and health of teachers and
students (Xue et al. 2021). The central government worked in concert with local
governments to suspend classes according to the specific situations while moving
education online in an orderly manner (Xue et al. 2021). The Department of
Education strengthened the telecommunication networks and provided hardware,
software, and technical support to ensure a smooth transition (Xue et al. 2021).
Africa is behind the rest of the world when it comes to embracing AI, innovation,
and machine learning in higher education (Fomunyam 2020). Some of the issues
that AI could combat are overpopulated classrooms, heavy teaching loads, lack of
research-experienced faculty, and embracing the information technology infrastruc-
ture (Fomunyam 2020). Better knowledge of digital technologies by African intel-
lectuals could speed up the process of improved education in impoverished areas. It
could make the process of learning dynamic and offer options like customized and
personalized learning to students.
Unfortunately, most African governments are not interested in the research activ-
ities of academia. Hence, since investment in research is not forthcoming, the path
to new innovations that could have been gleaned from expanded research streams is
not captured within the knowledge base of the university or the continent. The value
placed on research may need to improve for African scholars to take advantage of
available opportunities to solve the problems that plague the African continent and
academia itself (Mafenya 2014). Fomunyam (2020) states that most African schol-
ars have no interest in generating new knowledge and since most of the materials
used for teaching in higher education are written in Western languages, absorbing
new material is limited.
The impact of COVID-19 on education in Africa is more similar to the disrup-
tions in India than the systematic control of the situation in China. Research of
Human Rights Watch found that school closures exacerbated inequalities that had
already existed in Africa (Impact of Covid-19 on Children’s Education in Africa
2020). Children who had already been excluded from a quality education were most
affected, while many children received no education across the continent after
schools closed in March of 2020. Another study found that higher education popula-
tions were most affected due to closure of higher education institutions across the
continent (Koninckx et al. 2021). Universities in Africa were not able to quickly
move classes online; therefore, campuses were closed and teaching suspended
(Koninckx et al. 2021).
110 M. A. Goralski and T. K. Tan
AI is fast becoming one of the most important tools to both urban and rural edu-
cation in the twenty-first century. It has already made its way into the curriculum of
many educational programs worldwide and it has begun to change the education of
the world’s rural poor. In most instances the use of AI is very welcome and accepted
in schools, because there are far too few teachers for the number of students who are
at school age in developing countries such as China, India, and Africa.
China has set AI and machine learning technologies as a strategy for the future
of the country. It seeks to become the number one artificial intelligence hub world-
wide by the year 2030 by combining the forces of government, industry, academia,
and technology giants. India, while having the backing of the government, has not
formulated strong ties with industry, academia, and its technology giants as is the
case with China. Africa has not made artificial intelligence and machine learning
essential in its educational system. It will ultimately pay the price for that decision
in the future by forfeiting the advances in knowledge that could be gleaned through
academic research and innovative teaching technologies.
6 Conclusion
The problem of poverty is complex. Poverty has been studied through the ages, but
it has never been alleviated. Unfortunately, the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020–2021
increased poverty due to economic downturns worldwide which will make it diffi-
cult for the world to meet SDG #1, no poverty, by 2030. Theories have been set forth
by philosophers, historians have followed the path of poverty, and economists have
tracked the various stages and thought patterns of societies on the topic of poverty,
but poverty like many of the challenges and goals set forth in the Global Compact
for sustainable development is threatening to thwart humanity.
AI can approach the challenges of poverty through a new lens, perhaps a wider
lens than humanity has in the past, and with fewer cultural and societal biases. AI is
making small inroads in the fields of healthcare and education, delivering healthcare
to people in rural areas of developing and developed countries through mobile tele-
phones and AI-enabled equipment in packages small enough to be carried into areas
not reachable in the past. AI can communicate with people one on one through an
inexpensive mobile phone, take needed medical diagnostic equipment to rural areas,
allow academics to interact with students remotely, and bring dynamic ideas and
new innovations to additional students.
One of the most substantial outcomes of this research is the realization that gov-
ernment, industry, academia, and society must work together in tandem to reach the
sustainable development goals. No one entity can overcome the challenges on their
own. All should work on a policy together regarding the global alleviation of pov-
erty. Governments and industry need to be selfless and provide for the people within
society. They need to create the safety nets for all people. Industry is usually ahead
of government in innovation and technology. It can bring forth breakthroughs that
will assist people in ways that government cannot. Academia can share the
Artificial Intelligence: Poverty Alleviation, Healthcare, Education, and Reduced… 111
knowledge of government and industry to create the leaders of the future with a
sustainability mindset. Society needs to accept the new innovations that AI can
offer, the better health options, the data that can be collected to combat the diseases
that have raged throughout history, and the peace of mind that comes from knowing
that a healthy child will be delivered into the world. Technology, especially AI,
should be used for the good of disadvantaged people.
The last of the SDGs mentioned at the beginning of this chapter is #10, reduced
inequalities. The insight and future of AI, its unbiased approach to dissemination of
knowledge, and its ability to go beyond humanity to reach the objectives set forth in
the SDGs will reduce inequalities, but humanity must also play its part in bringing
these innovative new technologies to all areas of the world and all people.
Our observations from the examples in this chapter serve to highlight AI-enabled
programs that are currently being implemented in some of the countries with the
highest percentage of people living in poverty. The study will create a foundation
for future research to define how the design and application of AI would affect
world poverty, could alleviate poverty, and shape the future of the sustainable devel-
opment goals. Aristotle created the concept of flourishing ethics; people today can
aim at the flourishing of humanity. COVID-19 could be viewed as not just a major
disruption in the progress of humanity, but also as a guide to fill the existing gaps in
the infrastructure worldwide.
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Missing Circles: A Dignitarian Approach
to Doughnut Economics Through AI
Applications
Kostina Prifti
Abstract This contribution aims at providing a more concrete and accurate under-
standing of Doughnut economics, its model, and its ideas. In doing so, it provides a
comprehensive description of the Doughnut and its connection with the Sustainable
Development Goals. Then, it inquires into the philosophical background of
Doughnut economics, elucidating its existential rationale that relies on human dig-
nity. Further, examples of four AI applications are used to showcase how the
Doughnut model would address their use and challenges that arise thereof. From
this testing exercise transpires the understanding that another limitation is required
in the Doughnut model, pursuant to its philosophical background. Therefore,
besides economic activities that may breach the ecological ceiling or the social
foundation, activities that infringe human dignity, without breaching any of the
boundaries, are also incompatible with the Doughnut model. This complementing
proposal is conceptually represented within the model of Doughnut economics.
1 Introduction
The nineteenth century saw the emergence of sustainable development policy from
a union of economics with environmental sustainability. This led to slow but steady
initiatives that aimed at incorporating sustainable criteria to economic development
(Spindler 2013). Rooted in all cultures (Schreiber 2004), sustainable development
made its way to policy firstly through the German Forestry Industry (Schulze and
Schretzmann 2006, 68) and then through the United Nations’ (UN) Environmental
K. Prifti (*)
Erasmus School of Law, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Jean Monet Centre of Excellence on
Digital Governance, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 115
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_7
116 K. Prifti
Policy, which has produced today’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). A lake
in South America named Manchau gagog changau gagog chaugo gagog amaug,
which means “We fish on our side, you fish on your side and nobody fishes in the
middle”, perhaps succinctly evidences the old origins of sustainable development as
a concept.
Doughnut economics is a recent idea that aims at providing a model for sustain-
able development. The Doughnut model can be perceived as a conceptual represen-
tation of a seemingly straightforward idea: the outcome of our activities must be
subject to two constraints, ensuring a social foundation of human wellbeing and
protecting the ecological ceiling of planetary boundaries (Raworth 2017b). So long
as our activities do not fall short of the social foundation or over the ecological ceil-
ing, the model suggests that we are operating within the safe and just space for
humanity. These two constraints are drawn based on prior research and widely
accepted social objectives. The threshold of the social foundation is comprised of
minimum needs that any society must meet for all humans. The needs included in
the social foundation are visible in Fig. 1 and are drawn from the SDGs as devel-
oped in 2015 by the UN (UNDP 2022). The ecological ceiling is drawn based on the
research that identifies the – originally 9 (Rockström et al. 2009) and then 12
(Steffen et al. 2015) – planetary boundaries, the crossing of which is expected to
lead to irreparable damage on the planetary scale. As shown in Fig. 1, there are 12
planetary boundaries that jointly form the ecological ceiling.
The Doughnut Economics Action Lab (DEAL) is where the ideas and model of
the Doughnut are further explored and operationalised. Cities like Amsterdam have
taken proactive steps towards the application of Doughnut economics (Amsterdam
2022). However, despite the steps taken towards operationalisation and specifica-
tion of how the model would work in practice, the Doughnut and its ideas bear a
metaphysical nature, insofar as they are too broad and hermeneutic to qualify or (to
use a Popperian term) be demarcated as a scientific theory. The ideas behind
Doughnut economics are framed in opposition to the prevailing neoclassic account
of economics based on the homo economicus and mechanical equilibrium, offering
a claim to paradigm-shifting concepts like distributive-by-design and regenerative-
by-design. However, these ideas are not empirically analytical and often raise more
questions than they answer (Schokkaert 2019).
It is, therefore, necessary to further elucidate the meaning of Doughnut econom-
ics and its model, particularly its philosophical background. This elucidation is not
only useful in and of itself, but especially in order to enable further empirical analy-
sis and falsification. If one inquires into its philosophical background, Doughnut
economics refer to SDGs and human dignity as its existential and justificatory ratio-
nale. SDGs, in turn, also refer to human dignity as a basis for their development
(May and Daly 2020). However, the concept of human dignity takes different mean-
ings throughout the history of philosophy (Lebech 2009), so the reference to human
dignity by Doughnut economics and SDGs begs the question: what does human
dignity mean in this context? Hence, in order to elucidate the philosophical back-
ground of Doughnut economics and SDGs, it is necessary to elucidate and
Missing Circles: A Dignitarian Approach to Doughnut Economics Through AI… 117
operationalise the meaning of human dignity for purposes useful to Doughnut eco-
nomics. This is one of the aims of this contribution.
Moreover, in line with the pragmatist maxim that concepts are properly under-
stood when tested (Peirce and Eisele 1985, 266), the model of Doughnut economics
is tested through four examples of AI applications: AI applications that may violate
the social foundation, AI applications that may violate the ecological ceiling, AI
applications that support one threshold but violate the other, and AI applications that
support both thresholds but may violate human dignity. Accordingly, the analysis
shows that a third constraint is required within the Doughnut model, pertaining
human dignity.
Section 2 describes Doughnut economics, its ideas, and its model in more detail,
explicating its connection with the SDGs. In Sect. 3 the chapter explores various
conceptualisations of human dignity throughout different philosophical eras, clari-
fying which “version” of human dignity fits the requirements of Doughnut
118 K. Prifti
economics and SDGs. Section 4 offers an analysis of the Doughnut model through
four examples of AI applications, whereas Sect. 5 concludes.
If a society manages to not fall under the social foundation or over the ecological
boundaries, it is operating under a safe and just space for humanity – so does the
Doughnut profess. Figure 1, in the introductory section, gives a picture of the
Doughnut model. While a picture generally speaks for a thousand words, in this
case it speaks precisely of seven ways to think like a twenty-first-century economist.
In what follows, the ideas and the model of the Doughnut are presented descrip-
tively. Then, the relevance of the Doughnut model for the SDGs and their operation-
alisation is discussed. This section traces these seven ways as a structured method
to describe the Doughnut model and its ideas. The reader will notice that the essence
of each seven ways is a critique to neoclassic economics, which this section is bound
to follow descriptively.
(i) Instead of the GDP: The first shift in thinking like a twenty-first-century econ-
omist is to question the use of GDP as a measure of economic health. Instead,
progress ought to be measured by whether we are operating inside the
Doughnut, i.e., if the social foundation and the ecological boundaries are
respected. In this sense, the safe and just space of humanity, the space between
the two concentric circles, is the measure of success for the economy.
(ii) Instead of (only) the market: Economics is typically concerned with the role
of the market and its close allies: business, finance, and trade. However, the
Doughnut suggests that there are other relevant, often neglected, actors, such
as the state, the household, society, the commons, the environment, etc. The
example of a mother caring for a child, a type of caring work that is unac-
counted for by the market, shows that not all economic relations are handled
within the market. That is why the Doughnut calls for the inclusion of other
actors and for an “embedded economy”.
(iii) Instead of the homo economicus: The economic man, having complete ratio-
nality, perfect information, fixed preferences, and being guided by narrow
self-interest, is the abstracted image of humanity that guides today’s prevail-
ing economic models. However, many limitations and critiques exist for this
abstracted image, especially in the field of behavioural economics (Simon
1986). The Doughnut suggests that homo economicus must reflect the nature
of humans, which is social, interdependent (Veblen 1898), approximating,
fluid in values, and dependent upon the living world (Gigerenzer 2010).
(iv) Instead of economy-as-machine: Most of the economic models used today are
based on a mechanical equilibrium, the most prominent example of which is
the supply and demand diagram. The mechanical equilibrium is a simplifica-
tion of the many variables that exist in reality. Simplification is necessary, lest
Missing Circles: A Dignitarian Approach to Doughnut Economics Through AI… 119
one be disabled from making any predictions. On the other hand, if one sim-
plifies “too much”, thus removing uncertainties, one risks having erroneous
predictions. This worry is not novel in the Doughnut; in fact it is explicated by
many economists. The Doughnut suggests that the insufficiency, or inade-
quacy, of using models based on mechanical equilibriums ought to be replaced,
through a shift in thinking, by focusing on systems and their complex dynam-
ics. Thinking in reinforcing and balancing feedback loops, the Doughnut calls
for an “economy-as-organism”, instead of an “economy-as-machine”.
(v) Instead of poverty-as-feature: Pareto’s claim that redistribution is counterpro-
ductive and that the worse off can be helped only by expanding the economy,
along with Kuznets’ U-shaped curve, which claims that rising inequality is
inevitable for economic success, have been the guiding principles of econom-
ics, especially for development economists. The Doughnut firstly highlights
that these claims are refuted by economic analysis, which have shown that
inequality undercuts, rather than boosts, GDP growth (International Monetary
Fund 2014). Further, the Doughnut suggests that instead of expecting eco-
nomic growth to reduce inequality, we ought to create an economy that is
distributive by design, structuring the economy as a distributed network.
(vi) Instead of growth-as-cleaner: An inverted U-shaped curve between pollution
and GDP represents the discovered pattern that in the beginning pollution
rises, then falls, while GDP increases. This pattern formulates the hypothesis
that growth will clean after itself (Grossman and Krueger 1995). This hypoth-
esis, supported by data on water and air pollution but not on biodiversity and
wider ecological impact, has opened the way for macroeconomic models that
are typically degenerative (the produced material becomes waste after con-
sumption). The Doughnut counters this approach by promoting a paradigmatic
shift towards an economy of regenerative design. To describe in a few words,
an economy based on regenerative design is cyclical, minimising lost matter
and heat, and focusing on renewable materials.
(vii) Instead of the addiction to growth: In order to fulfil human needs and end
deprivation, poverty, and hunger, the economy must grow. This is important in
order to realise that the Doughnut does not object to growth and its benefits.
On the other hand, it highlights that growth alone cannot solve our problems,
especially those ecological ones. Growth is neither intrinsically good nor
intrinsically bad – that is why we ought to be agnostic about it. By agnostic,
the Doughnut means an economy that measures its success based on human
prosperity, regardless of whether GDP is increasing.
Operating within the Doughnut requires a conceptual shift, in accordance with these
seven ways. The reasoning and justification behind these ideas is sound; however,
many times they raise more questions than they answer. For instance, how does one
measure human prosperity (Schokkaert 2019)? Many of the concepts comprising
Doughnut economics, like embedded economy, regenerative design, distributed net-
works, and economy-as-organism, bear a metaphysical nature because they are too
120 K. Prifti
The semantics of human dignity have been subject to change, pursuant to various
historical and philosophical eras. We have had different ideas about our value as
human beings (Lebech 2009). In antiquity, the concept of human dignity was used
to explain the superiority of humans in comparison to the animal world, based on
human abilities. Humans have dignity because, unlike animals, they have the ability
to be virtuous (Crisp 2014, 23–37), or because, unlike animals and like gods, they
have the ability to reason and manage their impulses (Cicero and Laser 2014). Being
justified by a superiority of some sort, virtue or reason, dignity was not intrinsic to
all humans equally, but only to those deserving it. Aristotle did not consider all
humans to have dignity (e.g. slaves and women) and Cicero believed that some
ranking of dignity and respect should exist, where the more superior ones have also
“more dignity” (Cicero and Laser 2014).
Another influential approach that justifies and fills the semantics of human dig-
nity is the religious one. Typically for monotheistic religions, humans have dignity
because they are created by God. The religious account seemingly opposes the pre-
vious version of antiquity in terms of differences between humans because, since
we are all created by God, humans are equal and deserve the same amount of dig-
nity, provided they are theists. However, it still relies on a superiority claim, effec-
tively because humans are the vicegerent of God on earth. This is evident in Islamic
teaching (Quran; Mozaffari 2011) and in Christian theology (Aquinas 1486).
In the Enlightenment Age, the basis for human dignity was reason. Some schol-
ars refer to this as the logo-centric approach (Lebech 2004), precisely for the impor-
tance of human rationality as a justification for the intrinsic value of humans. The
focus on rationality is characteristic of the Enlightenment Age and it resonates with
Kantian philosophy and deontology ethics, despite Kant’s valuable critique on the
limits of human reasoning. Kant is often cited claiming that humanity itself is dig-
nity (Kant and Klenner 1988, 38; Lebech 2004), which he bases on the justification
that the ability of humans to reason and self-legislate moral laws through their
autonomy is what dignifies the nature of being human. In this sense, human dignity
is based on autonomy, which in turn is based on rationality. As such, the superiority
claim persists, since dignity is perceived as logically subsequent to rationality, an
ability that distinguishes humans from other beings.
The modern conceptualisation of human dignity that was developed in the
Enlightenment Age was challenged in post-modern philosophy, according to which
human dignity served an enabling purpose for a democratic society (Lebech 2009).
As such, human dignity adopts a relational, or functional, nature. Based on dialecti-
cal reasoning and opposing the objectively true point of view, post-modernism val-
ues human dignity as a function of social relations, which in turn enable the
functioning of a democratic society (Lebech 2009). It must be noted that the differ-
ence between modernism and post-modernism in conceptualising human dignity is
highly disputed (Habermas and Ben-Habib 1981) since the post-modernist account
is based also on rationality, albeit focused on dialectic reason.
122 K. Prifti
These accounts of the semantics of human dignity can be understood as the tra-
ditional approaches. They have their differences, but they agree with each other in
that humans have dignity because they are superior in a certain way – compared to
animals, birds, rivers, and robots. There is a shift in philosophical and ethical think-
ing that challenges the traditional conceptualisation and which has an impact in how
we understand human dignity. This is explained in the next sub-section.
robots have a claim to fulfil the purpose of their existence and have, as such, dignity
(again, overridable). This new account presented by information ethics offers a truly
patient-oriented and anthropo-eccentric approach to ethics and dignity (Floridi
2013). The next part explains why this is the conceptualisation of human dignity
that fits with the ideas behind the Doughnut.
The Doughnut’s ideas cannot be based on traditional macro ethics because the
humans of the Doughnut model are not perceived as having special abilities that
make them worthy of having dignity. They are not presented as virtuous, God-like,
rational, or in any way supreme. They are instead presented as agents that must have
their needs fulfilled and for whom the economy must care. This perception of
humanity draws the Doughnut away from traditional conceptualisations of the vir-
tuous, God-like, or rational human agent, who has dignity because she is special,
due to her abilities. As a result, the Doughnut is aligned with a patient-oriented
approach in ethics. In Raworth (2017b, 61) there are four ethical principles that a
twenty-first-century economist must consider: (i) act in service to human prosperity,
(ii) respect autonomy, (iii) be prudential in policymaking in order to minimise harm,
and (iv) work with humility. These principles resemble the four well-known prin-
ciples of bioethics, respectively, beneficence, non-maleficence, autonomy, and jus-
tice (Beauchamp and Childress 2019). In fact, the first three principles are almost
identical; hence, they are substantially patient-oriented approaches. The fourth prin-
ciple, working with humility, comes closer to an agent-oriented approach, aligned
with virtue ethics or deontology ethics. Nonetheless, the agent is portrayed as frag-
ile, not as virtuous or rational, since working with humility relies on accepting and
explicating our limitations as humans.
This analysis brings the ethical background of the Doughnut closer to the patient-
oriented approaches of bioethics and feminist care ethics. There is, however, a sub-
stantial misalignment in the fact that neither of these ethical frameworks is able to
place the environment as a patient, because they are morally anthropocentric or
biocentric, despite being patient-oriented. In simpler words, the receiver of the
moral action, the patient, is always “a living thing” according to bioethics, feminist
ethics, and care ethics.
Information ethics, as a kind of environmental ethics, offers an ethical shelter for
Doughnut economics, considering the above. Since information ethics perceives a
universe (infosphere) that is ontologically informational, the receiver of the moral
action is information itself. As a result, all informational entities, humans, trees, riv-
ers, and robots are included as potential patients. Such a conceptualisation enables
the ethical claims, which the Doughnut advances through economic concepts, that
aim at protecting both humans and the environment.
Clarifying the philosophical and ethical background of the Doughnut addresses
the metaphysical nature of the ideas behind Doughnut economics, making the
124 K. Prifti
concept more accurate and facilitating its analysis and operationalisation. The fol-
lowing section offers an analytical perspective to the model offered by Doughnut
economics, through the use of examples of AI applications.
The purpose of this section is to understand, by way of examples, how the Doughnut,
its ideas, concepts, and model would approach and deal with particular activities.
Examples of AI are used because of their relevance and threat to both foundations
of the Doughnut model. So far, a methodological challenge arises, particularly due
to the fact that the Doughnut does not offer concrete models that can be empirically
tested, but rather suggests a few ways that facilitate a paradigmatic conceptual shift
in thinking about economics. The metaphysical nature of the Doughnut constitutes
intrinsic conditions in the type of analysis one can use to test it. Hence, this section
is based on hermeneutical analysis. However, the purpose of the previous section
was to construct a more accurate and testable conceptualisation of the ideas behind
the Doughnut, which in turn offers this analysis a claim to accuracy. A second meth-
odological challenge relates to the fact that the Doughnut, as it is constructed and
presented, is not meant to be used for determining the validity of individual eco-
nomic activities, but rather of the economy itself. Any attempts to determine how
individual economic activities would interact with the Doughnut are bound to an
interpretative approach.
The essence of the Doughnut is the two concentric rings, which represent two
boundaries: the social foundation and ecological ceiling. Therefore, an activity that
threatens even one of the elements that comprise these boundaries is deemed unethi-
cal, according to the Doughnut. Let us take two examples to showcase this
understanding.
One fundamental normative problem of AI derives from the bias inherent in the
dataset with which the algorithm is trained to learn (Morley et al. 2020). This prob-
lem may be represented through the example of AI applications that predict the
length of stay for each patient in the hospital. Aiming for efficiency as a goal, hos-
pitals would benefit from knowing which patients are likely to have a shorter stay,
thereby prioritising their care in order to free hospital spaces for new patients (Abd-
Elrazek et al. 2021). In order to learn and make such predictions, the AI application
is given medical data of a large number of patients. Through supervised learning
techniques, the AI would trace the length of stay of patients with other correlated
data in their files and therefore “learn” that, for instance, people aged 18–24 have
shorter lengths of stay for acute diseases (Abd-Elrazek et al. 2021). In this case,
Missing Circles: A Dignitarian Approach to Doughnut Economics Through AI… 125
length of stay is correlated with age. However, data may show various correlations,
some of which manifest their inherent discriminatory bias. When such AI applica-
tions were experimented in the University of Chicago academic hospital system, the
AI application “learned” from the dataset that people from certain postal codes were
likely to have shorter stays (Nordling 2019). Those postal codes transpired to belong
to areas populated primarily by white upper-class people. The implication of this
bias for healthcare is that people would get prioritised care depending on where they
live or to which racial or ethnic group they belong (Garattini et al. 2017). Such a
result, from the use of AI applications aimed at efficiency, would threaten the social
foundation boundary, since it conflicts with at least one of the elements that com-
prise it, namely, ensuring healthy lives and wellbeing for all. It is important to point
out that this conclusion does not imply that the AI application is incompatible in and
of itself; efficiency is a worthy pursuit, just like bias in data can be useful (Gigerenzer
and Brighton 2009). However, this AI application, operating based on this bias,
would be incompatible with the Doughnut.
With regard to the ecological ceiling, machine-learning AI applications may
pose a serious threat. The computing power required by machine learning has
increased 300,000-fold from 2012 to 2018. Seemingly simple AI applications may
consume approximately 3 gigawatt-hours of electricity for their learning process,
the same amount of energy needed to fuel three nuclear power plants for 1 h (Knight
2021). For this example, the case of Bitcoin, a digital currency, proves useful.
Bitcoin is the world’s largest cryptocurrency, utilising a proof of work (PoW) algo-
rithm and relying on blockchain as a database technology. Digital and decentralised,
Bitcoin is used primarily for its novelty of providing transparency and trust among
its users, due to its verifiable system. However, it is this capability that makes
Bitcoin consume 0.55% of the electricity of the planet, matching the electrical con-
sumption of Poland, the carbon footprint of Oman, and electronic waste of the
Netherlands (Digiconomist 2022). Moreover, the energy consumed comes primar-
ily from non-renewable and polluting resources, such as fossil fuels. Therefore, the
operations of Bitcoin pose a threat to the ecological ceiling that the Doughnut aims
to protect. Such an understanding does not imply that technologies like Bitcoin
would be banned under the model of the Doughnut, but that, considering the threat
towards the ecological ceiling, it would be necessary to address the unsustainability
of the system.
Moreover, some type of economic activities may support one boundary but
threaten the other. Such is the case of smart grids – an AI technology that offers a
promise towards protecting the ecological boundary but presents a threat to the
social foundation. Smart grids are an AI solution that aims at efficiency, particularly
of the energy and water grids. Their main capability is to integrate the behaviour and
actions of all the users connected to it, through data-driven and other grid-related
technical solutions. The smart grid’s promise to make the grid more efficient is
based on lower consumption of energy; their capability to integrate users with new
requirements offers the possibility to include distributed energy sources, like renew-
able energy sources, as well as provide stronger control over these sources.
Moreover, by involving consumers in the energy market and improving the market
126 K. Prifti
functioning in general, they offer incentives for consumers to produce and trade
energy from renewable sources (European Commission 2011). As such, smart grids
offer a substantial promise to the protection of the ecological ceiling. Less con-
sumption, higher use of renewable resources, and less wasted energy contribute to
the preservation of the planetary boundaries, especially combatting climate change.
However, reports and studies have raised concerns over the impact that the
implementation of smart grids would have on vulnerable consumers (Sovacool et al.
2019). Vulnerable consumers may have more difficulty becoming price-sensitive or
engaging with the market, either because they may not possess the knowledge or the
time or because of the stress and anxiety created by the quantity of information that
smart grid technologies generate. Another concern for vulnerable consumers is the
necessity to update their electrical appliances so they can be integrated within the
smart grid. While the EU and member states are expected to bear the costs for the
implementation of smart grids, consumers must bear their own costs to update their
electrical appliances in order to support smart grids (Milchram et al. 2018). A
heavier burden is therefore placed on vulnerable consumers, triggering a threat to
the social foundation and the fulfilment of human needs thereof. As a result, smart
grids pose a question to the Doughnut, insofar as they offer a promise to protect the
ecological ceiling and a threat to breach the social foundation. The Doughnut would
have to provide an answer. The safe and just space for humanity is comprised of
economic activities that simultaneously do not threaten the social foundation or the
ecological ceiling. In other words, economic activities that threaten one of the foun-
dations would already step outside this safe and just space. It follows that, according
to the Doughnut, smart grid technologies may be implemented in support of the
ecological ceiling only if they do not infringe the social foundation. So far, the
Doughnut would, for instance, impose that measures must be put in place to ensure
that vulnerable consumers do not share a heavier burden as a result of the imple-
mentation of the technology.
Having explored how three AI applications would interact with the Doughnut, this
part focuses on a fourth and final example: social credit systems (SCSs). SCSs are
AI applications that rely on big data, used to rate citizen trustworthiness, among
other objectives. The predecessors of SCSs are credit scoring, used geographically
widely but limited only to financial use and regulated by law. An SCS goes beyond
financial matters and offers the possibility to rate social aspects of business entities
and individuals. A concrete case of SCSs can be traced to the People’s Republic of
China (State Council 2014), where a planning outline aims at assessing the trust-
worthiness of individuals with respect to legal, social, and ethical standards (Chen
and Cheung 2017). Summarised in a few words, the SCS would collect data about
how individuals act and rate their behaviour according to the desired standard.
Rewards for complying with the standard might involve fast-track promotions,
Missing Circles: A Dignitarian Approach to Doughnut Economics Through AI… 127
whereas individuals that fall under the designated standard may be denied certain
perks or even rights. Fuelled by big data, SCSs may become an efficient tool for
extended control from the government to its citizens. Big data sources may be
administrative, transactional, sensor, tracking, behavioural, and opinion data (Chen
and Cheung 2017). In the draft regulation published in April 2021, the European
Commission proposes an outright ban to SCSs in the European Union, which indi-
cates the potential for harm that this technology bears.
How does the SCS fare within the Doughnut? The first test is to understand if the
SCS would breach either of the boundaries that comprise the Doughnut. If we firstly
consider the ecological ceiling, comprised of 12 planetary boundaries, the SCS
presents an opportunity to safeguard the ceiling if such objectives are included in
the rating criteria of the system. For instance, citizens may be rated depending on
how well they care for the environment, how much waste they recycle, or how much
plastic they use. Businesses may be rated depending on how much carbon dioxide
they emit, or if they use regenerative practices. As such, the SCS would be operating
safely without breaching, and perhaps also supporting, the ecological ceiling.
If we consider the social foundation, the SCS presents another opportunity to
advance the social goals thereof. The rating of the SCS may depend on how well
individuals respect gender equality in their life (SDG 5) or if they share resources,
like food or energy, with the poor (SDGs 1 and 2). The SCS rating might depend on
how good the individual is behaving as a landlord (SDG 11), how they address edu-
cation in their family and community (SDG 4), and so on. The goals for peace and
justice promote strong institutions and combatting corruption (SDG 11), goals that
may be supported, perhaps even promoted, by SCSs. By complying with the two
limitations of the Doughnut, SCSs would thus be operating under the safe and just
space for humanity. At the same time, the SCS may function so that neither of the
other elements of the social foundation are breached. Clearly, certain uses of SCSs
may breach these standards, for example, if a low rating means losing access to
healthcare or being denied a job. However, an SCS can also operate without denying
basic rights to citizens, specifically those laid down in the social foundation. As a
result, it seems the SCS would not breach, and perhaps also support, the social foun-
dation along with the ecological ceiling. This understanding implies that the opera-
tion of an SCS would fall within the safe and just space of the Doughnut.
However, this conclusion is not supported by the philosophical background of
the Doughnut. The SCS operates on the ability to collect and aggregate personal
information of individuals, which is then used to rate their social credit score. These
sources do not include only publicly known personal information, but also private
personal information, like shopping activity and daily habits. As a result, individu-
als would have the impression that they are always under the surveillance of Lacan’s
Big Other, the Orwellian Big Brother, or Bentham’s Panopticon applied in large
scale. Such a feeling or impression has considerable effects on the individual’s right
to form their own personality (van der Sloot 2015) and pursue their right to flourish
and fulfil the purpose of their existence (Floridi 2013), since the individual is con-
ditioned by externally mandated interferences. As a result, such a use of SCSs
would be unethical and would breach the concept of human dignity that ethics of
128 K. Prifti
information advances and upon which the ideas of the Doughnut rely. Therefore, the
conceptual model of the Doughnut offers a considerable shortcoming.
As this example shows, there can be economic activities that abide by both
boundaries that form the Doughnut, yet still violate human dignity. This shortcom-
ing relates to a broader discussion on the positive and negative dimension of protect-
ing human dignity (Whitman 2004). The continental European tradition, unlike that
of common law, influenced by German and French legal traditions, adopts a consti-
tutional perspective of human dignity being comprised of both positive and negative
liberties. A positive liberty is the right to have a need fulfilled, e.g. the right to edu-
cation, the right to food, the right to energy, and more. The social foundation of the
Doughnut is comprised of such positive liberties, conceptualised as needs that all
humans must be afforded. However, there is another dimension of human dignity,
that of being free from external obstacles (Berlin 1969). A prominent case of nega-
tive liberty is the right to privacy, conceptualised as the right to form one’s own
personality (van der Sloot 2015), free from external obstacles.
The importance of this dimension is clear, yet missing from the conceptual model
of the Doughnut. It would be necessary, pursuant to the Doughnut’s own philo-
sophical background, to remedy this shortcoming. One option would be to modify
the elements of the social foundation, by including negative liberties. However, pre-
serving the positive nature of the elements comprising the social foundation, another
alternative would be to introduce this addition within the safe and just space for
humanity. Accordingly, the safe and just space for humanity would slightly shrink
from the original conceptualisation, so besides economic activities not shooting
above the ecological ceiling or below the social foundation, safe and just economic
activities must also steer away from some new small circles within the safe and just
space. The result would be a complete conceptualisation of how our economic
activities protect human dignity, and a completed dignitarian approach to Doughnut
economics.
5 Conclusions
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The Role of AI in SDG: An African
Perspective
Abstract Artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized different sectors and will
not be an exception in enabling the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The
focus of SDGs is to provide a “blueprint to achieve a better and more sustainable
future for all by 2030”. The 17 SDGs are interconnected and achieving one of the
goals creates a ripple effect in the other goals. These ripple effects can be created
when stakeholders use past information (data) from the societal, environmental, and
economic factors, observing patterns and proffering actionable solutions. AI is a key
driver that can leverage this data to create revolutionary approaches in solving
global problems. For example, women have developed AI-based systems to ensure
healthy lives and promote well-being. These systems that can detect breast and cer-
vical cancer have been developed by researchers. From an African standpoint, a
significant area where the role of AI will have an immense contribution is in consti-
tuting institutions. These institutions will uphold peace and justice and promote the
rule of law at all national levels by building solid institutions using data. AI can
leverage blockchain and distributed ledgers to support voting and boost voters’
integrity. These, among other projects where AI systems have been deployed and
can be potentially integrated, will be further discussed in this chapter.
Keywords Africa · Artificial intelligence · Good health · Peace and justice · SDG
1 Introduction
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) developed by the United Nations (UN)
in 2015 were introduced to enable countries achieve a better and more sustainable
future for all by 2030. The SDGs, a sequel to the Millennium Development Goals
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 133
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_8
134 S. A. Adeshina and O. Aina
(MDGs), were introduced to complete the goals that MDGs could not accomplish.
The progress made by MDGs was uneven as vulnerable countries (i.e., African
countries, landlocked and least developed) could not realize these goals. The UN
then committed to creating more robust goals, ensuring that it encompasses the
three significant dimensions required for sustainable development: economic,
social, and environmental (Lee et al. 2016). It is essential to note that SDG is not
overriding the African Union (AU) Agenda 2063 and the New Partnership for
Africa’s Development (NEPAD); however, it is collaborative in achieving Africa’s
goal with its 17 goals and 169 targets. These targets consider various countries’
circumstances, and it is observed that it incorporates Africa’s goals. The authors in
Waal (2002) and DeGhetto et al. (2016) give a good summary of the AU Agenda
2063 and NEPAD.
As earlier stated, the 17 SDGs are interconnected, and a ripple effect is created
when one of the goals is achieved. Therefore, it can be assumed that of all the goals,
one will have a more significant effect when compared to the others. The goal whose
effect will transcend all others is goal 16, which aims to “promote peaceful and
inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and
build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels” (Lee et al. 2016).
This goal aims to ensure government institutions are effective and accountable,
bribery and corruption are reduced, and the rule of law is promoted among others –
in summary, ensuring good governance is fostered in a nation. Governance is the
means of steering sustainable development as it involves collaborations between
stakeholders in policy-making and implementation (Meadowcroft 2007; van Zeijl-
Rozema et al. 2008). Out of the central aspects in governance for sustainable devel-
opment (participation, policy coherence, reflexivity and adaptation, and democratic
institutions), the authors proposed that democratic institutions and participation are
the most significant (Glass and Newig 2019). The democratic institution is charac-
terized by a seamless electoral process, adequate access to information, the rule of
law and civil rights, and political liberties. However, true democracy and gover-
nance have been observed as significant reasons why African countries struggle to
achieve their developmental goals (Chimhowu and Hulme 2013). In Africa, the
electoral process is prone to election violence before, during, and even after elec-
tions. For example, during the elections in Nigeria in 2019, some of the triggers of
election violence included hate speech, insurgence and insecurity, and hijacking of
electoral materials, among others. Other triggers that hinder election integrity
include money laundering and misappropriation of funds. It is therefore pertinent to
find ways to reduce these triggers to guarantee that the SDG 16 goal and targets are
realized.
Another important SDG goal that significantly impacts other goals is SDG 3,
which focuses on “ensuring healthy lives and promoting well-being for all ages.”
Good health and well-being are both a catalyst of SDG goals and an inheritor of the
lack of SDG. As a catalyst, good health is necessary to actualize the SDG goals as
the population (individuals) of a nation will be required to ensure the
The Role of AI in SDG: An African Perspective 135
Many companies (private and public) are gradually leveraging AI in health practices
to ensure citizens’ good health and well-being.
One of the most AI-savvy countries in Africa, Rwanda collaborated with Zipline
by using drones to deliver blood packs to remote areas within 75 km of the
1
https://zindi.africa/competitions/ibm-malaria-challenge
The Role of AI in SDG: An African Perspective 137
2
https://www.afro.who.int/news/robots-use-rwanda-fight-against-covid-19
3
https://assets.ctfassets.net/pbn2i2zbvp41/3yrQaMNdJ1u1J2aSEucjzt/4412ea5d12896d15b7eb4
1a2212d0295/Zipline_Ghana_PPE_Global_Healthcare_Feb-2021.pdf
4
https://rology.health/products-and-services/
5
https://www.tambuahealth.com/scanners
6
https://afyarekod.com/
138 S. A. Adeshina and O. Aina
One of the ways AI is being used to ensure strong institutions are built through bio-
metrics. Biometric identification systems have currently been used in various
African countries (Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Uganda, Angola,
Nigeria) for voters registration. Voters’ registration over the years has been used to
minimize electoral registration by integrating fingerprint identification and pictures
of voters. It eliminates “ghost voters,” duplicates registrations, quickens the voter’s
process, and encourages citizens to participate as it offers some sort of election
integrity. In Zimbabwe, 77% of names were removed from the voter’s rolls in 2018
(Marumahoko 2020). E-Collection of results in Nigeria was set up to collate results
automatically. In contrast, the manual collation of results has been carried out.
However, this failed as a result of poor network coverage to receive results from
various parts of the country, security challenges as some results were even hijacked
before results could be sent, and poor infrastructure.
Other standard AI tools used by African countries are drones and satellites to
take aerial view videos or pictures of areas in real-time. It is beneficial during elec-
tions to prevent electoral violence and rigging. Once an irregular pattern is noticed
in an area during the survey, security agencies can send an alert to curb
irregularities.
The UN Global Pulse Lab leveraged one of the AI techniques, natural language
processing (NLP), to analyze radio and social media data. These data were used to
identify trending topics that could hinder peace among the citizens via fake news
and detect social tensions and misconceptions that could cause conflicts among citi-
zens. This is useful as it helps government agencies and takes action at the nick of
time before things escalate. Also, the team developed a tool called QataLog, also
used to extract, analyze, and visualize data from radio and social media (Pulse 2018).
These are some practical areas where AI has been used in ensuring peace, justice,
and strong institutions are built. It was observed that most technologies are currently
at the conceptual stages (proof of concept) and have not yet been implemented. It is
hoped that the focus will be on the implementation in the next decade rather than
just writing research papers.
According to reports in Insights (2020), it was stated that sub-Saharan Africa scored
the lowest in the Government AI Readiness Index, while the United States topped
the list. This index was based on the government’s willingness and ability to adopt
AI and the availability of technological skills and tools (high-quality data and infra-
structure). As observed from the list, Mauritius, South Africa, and Seychelles were
the top three countries in Africa. However, Mauritius ranked 45 in the world with
53.86%. From this report, Africa has a long way to go in integrating AI in most sec-
tors of the economy as there are some mitigating factors still hindering its adoption.
The Role of AI in SDG: An African Perspective 139
“If you Fail to Plan, you are planning to fail” – this famous quote made by
Benjamin Franklin many years ago summarizes the effect of not having a strategic
plan for implementing AI. As mentioned earlier, many countries have yet to have a
published blueprint that guides decisions, collaborations, and implementation of AI
to suit each country’s needs. Therefore, there is no concrete governance or frame-
work to ensure ethical issues and accountability. It is a sensitive issue, especially for
the health sector, where activities must be backed up with accountability. In addi-
tion, implications or rules must be adhered to in the event of an adverse effect occur-
ring due to inappropriate use of AI.
AI can be misused, which could spark violence and even a coup if not adequately
managed. Recently in Gabon, there was a controversy about a video of the president
released by the government when there were rumors regarding the president’s
health. The military government staged an attempted coup, although it failed. Some
opposition to the government claimed that the video was forged and was created
using deepfake. Deepfake is a synthetic creation of media using deep learning (one
of the most prominent AI techniques). It was later resolved by experts who debunked
the rumor that it was deepfake. If stringent rules are not implemented to fish out and
punish citizen offenders primarily, there will be a continuous cycle. Technology like
deepfakes will be used, spark controversies leading to violence or coup, and hinder
the rule of law.
During the electoral process, biometric identification and fingerprints have con-
tributed to ensuring that governance is free and fair. However, according to reports
in Adeniyi and Adeshina (2019), there have been incidences of underage voters
during registration in Nigeria. The field agents are saddled with deciding if a voter
should be registered or not. As a result, it sparked controversy leading to citizens
questioning the biometric technology integrated with the electoral process. In
Kenya, biometric identification systems led to arguments between political players.
It was believed that the accreditation system before voting was sabotaged (Jacobsen
2020). These incidences could lead to skepticism in other areas like health care,
where citizens will not trust the government enough to be involved in providing AI
solutions.
It is a known fact that AI technologies thrive on data as the effectiveness of a
proffered solution is dependent on the quality of data used. Unfortunately, data is
not readily accessible and available in most African countries. In some instances,
some organizations, e.g., diagnosis and test centers, may not understand the useful-
ness of data received. As a result, it will not have organized infrastructure and data
management resources to utilize the available data. Therefore, most African
researchers are forced to use foreign-based datasets, which may not be a true reflec-
tion of the peculiarities common to African society. Another challenge common to
creating natural language processing applications is the diversity of African lan-
guages, thus limiting available training data. Africa contributes about 30.15% of
languages globally, about 2000 languages from the continent alone (Orife et al.
2020). African languages are highly complex and very difficult to generalize, like
English. They have diverse lexical and grammatical tone patterns, phonologies, and
morphologies. A lot of investment is therefore required in creating databases that
are cost-intensive.
140 S. A. Adeshina and O. Aina
In the previous sections of this chapter, the current ways AI has been integrated into
achieving SDGs 3 and 16 and the challenges have been highlighted in detail.
However, in this section, the focus will be on things that can be done to foster AI.
According to reports in Botero et al. (2021), sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia
scored the lowest in the Rule of Law Index (RoLI) 2021 in the world. However,
Rwanda topped the list as the country in Africa with the best rule of law. The report
also defined the rule of law based on the following universal principles: account-
ability, just law, open government, and accessible and impartial justice. These prin-
ciples are further developed or analyzed based on constraints on government powers,
absence of corruption, open government, fundamental rights, order and security,
regulatory enforcement, and civil and criminal justice.
Hence, one of the ways of improving the rule of law is digitizing the court sys-
tems. Digitizing court systems will improve accessibility to civil justice, reduce
delays in resolving cases, improve transparency, ensure accountability, and reduce
corruption. Improving these factors will go a long way in ensuring peace and justice
are achieved as issues hindering the rule of law will be tackled. The authors in
Finucan et al. (2018) proffered digital tools such as creating a resource planning
system, using cloud-based tools for archiving, using online tools to provide infor-
mation, and offering virtual help desks.
It is seen that most collaborations and partnerships that are still in operation are
usually with companies based in foreign-based countries. To the best of the author’s
knowledge, the number of AI companies in Africa that provide devices that can
promote peace, justice, strong institutions, and health is very few. It has been
observed that most collaborations usually between foreign-based research AI com-
panies are expensive. Therefore, AI researchers need to go beyond just writing
papers for publications based on research. It is also paramount for them to look at
ways to implement these solutions using locally sourced materials.
The Role of AI in SDG: An African Perspective 141
4 Conclusion
The potential of AI in fostering and inhibiting SDGs 3 and 16 has been discussed in
the previous sections of this chapter. In addition, ways of mitigating the factors
inhibiting AI deployment in achieving goals were also discussed. This shows that
more effort needs to be carried out by various stakeholders (i.e., government, inves-
tors, citizens, and international bodies) to ensure that the potentials of AI are opti-
mally maximized. It is believed that with gradual reformations and implementation,
Africa will be on its way to being a global central AI hub.
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2020_SSA_Eng.pdf
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142 S. A. Adeshina and O. Aina
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Artificial Intelligence for Advancing
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs):
An Inclusive Democratized Low-Code
Approach
Meng-Leong How, Sin-Mei Cheah, Yong Jiet Chan, Aik Cheow Khor,
and Eunice Mei Ping Say
Abstract Despite the world becoming more interconnected than ever before,
inequality and poverty continue to pose a threat to sustainable development. In
response to these challenges, the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural
Organization (UNESCO) promotes Global Citizenship Education (GCED), which
aims to instill values, attitudes, and behaviors in people so that they may consider
the importance of responsible global citizenship – a concept that entails creativity,
innovation, and dedication to peace, human rights, and sustainable development,
among others. The GCED program raises the awareness of students of all ages to
recognize that these issues are global in nature rather than localized and encourage
them to participate actively in contributing to a peaceful, tolerant, inclusive, safe,
and sustainable society. This research demonstrates how a user-friendly, low-code,
human-centric probabilistic strategy can be utilized to democratize artificial intel-
ligence (AI) usage, thus allowing analysts who are not computer scientists to use AI
for social good. This reasoning approach can be useful in the predictive modeling of
social issues that GCED is concerned with, which are demonstrated by the exam-
ples: (1) promoting global sustainable development, (2) alleviating malnutrition, (3)
increasing financial inclusion for people who are underserved by traditional bank-
ing institutions, and (4) strengthening food security resilience.
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 145
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_9
146 M.-L. How et al.
1 Introduction
When it comes to analyzing the factors that influence global citizenship education,
AI-based approaches are beneficial. There are also numerous projects that encour-
age the use of AI for social good (Taddeo and Floridi 2018). The problem, however,
is that people who do not have computer programming abilities found it difficult to
apply AI to examine data. To address this issue, the research questions that will
guide this work are as follows:
148 M.-L. How et al.
RQ1: How can analysts who are not trained in computer science use AI to examine
data for the benefit of society?
RQ2: Is there a low-code, inclusive, and democratized strategy to applying artificial
intelligence that does not necessitate considerable computer software
programming?
3 Methods
When it comes to AI-related research, there are numerous tools available. The
Bayesian network technique for statistical data analysis is one such useful tool to
visualize the relationships between data variables (van de Schoot et al. 2014). A
Bayesian network (BN) is a type of probabilistic graphical model that shows the
relationships between variables, which can be conditionally dependent or indepen-
dent. The BN technique is particularly well suited for evaluating non-parametric
data because it does not impose the requirement of having a normal parametric
distribution in the underlying parameters of a model (How and Hung 2019).
Through the use of BN, practitioners may undertake hypothesis testing by incor-
porating information from previous studies into the current one. When analyzing
data using the BN method, it is therefore not necessary to undertake many rounds of
null hypothesis testing.
The Bayesian approach has also been used by researchers such as Kaplan (2016),
Levy (2016), Sperotto et al. (2019), and How (2019) because it enables them to
measure information gain, as described in Claude Shannon’s information theory
(1953). Shannon’s theory calculates the probabilistic amount of commonality
between two data distributions that are not necessarily parametric.
An overview of the Bayesian theorem is provided here, but it will not do justice to
the rich corpus of BN. Readers who are interested in learning more about BN are
recommended to read the works of Cowell et al. (1999), Jensen (1999), and Korb
and Nicholson (2010).
According to the mathematician and theologian Reverend Thomas Bayes (1763),
the mathematical formula, which BN was built upon, is:
P E |H . P H
P H |E
P E
respectively. P(H) and P(E) are referred to as the prior and marginal probability,
respectively. P(E|H) is a probability distribution for the evidence E. In other words,
it shows the likelihood of evidence E being true if and only if the hypothesis H is
true. The quotient P(E|H)/P(E) reflects the amount of support that the evidence E
offers for the hypothesis H.
The major purpose of the current work is to provide one of many viable approaches
of educing (drawing out) AI-augmented thinking, in order to guide ongoing research
and policymaking. However, the goal of providing the exemplars is not to promote
Bayesian network as the best tool for educing AI-augmented thinking, but rather to
encourage analysts to consider the trustworthiness of AI-based analysis techniques
in general, and hopefully, to exercise AI-augmented thinking when they are discuss-
ing AI and sustainability-related issues with their stakeholders. In other words,
when it comes to problem-solving, it is much more crucial to ask questions and
consider alternative solutions than attempting to arrive at the so-called absolutely
correct answer.
The probabilistic reasoning methods that were utilized in this chapter were based
on the BN. It has been shown to be effective in investigating optimization and pre-
dictive modeling of relationships between variables of theoretical constructs, even
when they are not physically related. This is because BN can incorporate multi-
variable analytical concepts such as Markov blankets (Tsamardinos et al. 2003) and
response surface methodology (Myers et al. 2009).
Two distinct types of analytics will be shown with the aid of semi-supervised
machine learning BN models in examples 1 to 4 in the subsequent sections.
The first type is:
Descriptive analytics of “what has already occurred?”
The purpose of this technique is to employ descriptive analytics to uncover themes within
the acquired data. For descriptive analytics, BN modeling will automatically determine the
data distribution of each column in the dataset using the parameter estimate procedure.
4 Discussion
EPI data offered by NASA’s Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (2018)
may be used to facilitate discussions about AI and sustainability-related issues
through descriptive analytics and predictive simulations.
For a country to accomplish the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), a
strong EPI score is a significant factor to the achievement of those objectives.
Governments are under increasing pressure to defend their performance on sustain-
ability management and pollution control as measured by the EPI and Sustainable
Development Goals Index (SDGI). The SDGI exemplifies this dedication by
152 M.-L. How et al.
Fig. 1 Bayesian predictive model for the analysis of global sustainable development
The World Health Organization and the World Bank have highlighted malnutrition
as one of the world’s most critical but least-addressed sustainability challenges
(Briend et al. 2006). Over- and undernutrition can contribute to malnutrition, which
is defined as a malfunction or imbalance in the body’s ability to absorb and utilize
nutrients (Shrimpton and Rokx 2012). A country’s economic well-being can be
negatively impacted by the double burden of malnutrition. The economic costs of
malnutrition continue to climb as the burden of malnutrition grows (Delisle 2008).
Malnutrition is a public health problem, but it also presents a rare opportunity for
coordinated and integrated action on malnutrition in all its forms. The discovery of
the “double burden” of malnutrition was significant as a motivator for achieving
major global policy and program objectives.
In recent decades, diet-related epidemiology has seen major changes because of
a changing global nutrition environment affected by globalization, population
upheavals, and economic development. The double burden of malnutrition that
many nations are now confronting is defined by the coexistence of undernutrition
and obesity or diet-related noncommunicable illnesses (Prentice 2018). In many
nations, these various forms of malnutrition coexist at the national and family lev-
els, as well as throughout the life span. According to the 2018 Global Nutrition
Report (2018), approximately two billion individuals globally are overweight or
obese, while another two billion are deficient in micronutrients. Around 38.3 mil-
lion children under the age of 5 are overweight, 150.8 million are stunted, and
another 50.5 million are physiologically wasted away because of malnutrition. For
individuals, their families, and nations, the developmental, economic, social, and
medical consequences of this worldwide burden of malnutrition are severe and long
lasting. Today, roughly one in every three people worldwide suffers from some type
of malnutrition, including wasteness, stuntedness, vitamin and mineral deficiencies,
overweight or obesity, and diet-related noncommunicable illnesses. Nutrition-
related factors account for roughly 45% of mortality in children under the age of 5
(mostly due to malnutrition), and low- and middle-income countries are now seeing
a concurrent increase in juvenile obesity (Zhang et al. 2016).
Both health and economic prosperity are dependent on nutrition. On the other
hand, both malnutrition and obesity-related disorders significantly contribute to the
disease burden in these countries. Individuals and communities often face unsus-
tainable economic expenses, which act as a severe impediment to economic and
social growth. Malnutrition creates a negative impact on the individual’s health,
resulting in higher healthcare expenses and decreased work productivity. This, in
turn, has the potential to prolong a cycle of poverty due to bad health. Malnutrition’s
double burden therefore has a significant and detrimental economic effect on people
and society. As malnutrition’s burden continues to grow, so does its economic cost.
While the double burden of malnutrition is a huge public health concern, it also
presents an unprecedented opportunity for alignment and collaboration in the fight
Artificial Intelligence for Advancing Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)… 155
against malnutrition in all of its manifestations. The recognition of the double bur-
den of malnutrition should be seen as a motivator for tackling critical global objec-
tives via policy and program initiatives.
Determining the strategy to effective healthcare is critical for evaluating the per-
formance and planning of healthcare delivery. Understanding the relationships
between population health data, economic indicators, and access to health services
is critical for policymakers in assessing the consequences of evolving healthcare
delivery systems. Unmet healthcare requirements may be particularly acute for
minority population groups, including children, the elderly, and pregnant women.
Studies addressing the association between socioeconomic position, gender dispari-
ties in illness incidence, and access to healthcare have historically influenced poli-
cymaking (Adler et al. 1993) and will continue to do so.
Beyond argument is the critical need for better nutrition, health, and population
data to advise policymakers on a wide range of issues pertaining to public health
planning, healthcare reform, and healthcare delivery assessments. To contribute
toward this noble quest, the World Bank has made the information on malnutrition,
healthcare, and demographic statistics freely accessible (World Bank 2019). Even
though the World Bank’s dataset contains data from all countries, analysts (e.g.,
healthcare professionals, policymakers, and researchers) using frequentist
approaches that employ null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) may encounter
statistical insignificance due to the fact that the data was aggregated by years at the
global system level (e.g., there are only 19 rows of data from 2001 to 2018). Analysts
may not be able to predict with precision the repercussions, effectiveness, appropri-
ateness, and costs of treatment for specific sectors of the population or for various
healthcare delivery and remuneration structures. When this is the case, they are
unable to make confident statements regarding the benefit of healthcare investments
for population subgroups, regions, or countries. In theory, features in nutrition,
health, and population data may be gleaned by ad hoc analysis of a variety of
sources, including surveys, illness registries, computerized patient records, and
electronic financial transactions for health insurance claims. In reality, however, no
one path will provide information pertinent to every research subject.
To overcome this challenge, a simple AI-based approach is used to demonstrate
how AI can aid in the intuitive application of human-centric probabilistic reasoning
to interpret the counterfactual results generated by predictive models. AI-based ana-
lytics can provide a rather complete source of information for determining regional
health requirements, assessing disease trends, and forecasting healthcare expendi-
ture patterns. This may be accomplished via the use of AI-based analytics to fore-
cast information about healthcare trends, prices, and the efficacy and quality of
healthcare services. Additionally, AI-based analytics may help enhance treatment
quality by making data accessible to institutions and user groups for use in quality
improvement programs and regional health planning. AI-powered analytics may
also be beneficial in resolving policy issues and political debates around health-
care reform.
Non-computer scientists can employ human-centered, explainable AI to simulate
the dynamics between hunger, health, and population indices. Bayesian predictive
156 M.-L. How et al.
According to the World Bank (2020), financial inclusion is critical since it reduces
poverty and boosts economic development. Financial inclusion is especially impor-
tant in developing countries in Asia, Africa, and South America. In these regions,
the people who are most in need of financial inclusion, such as low-income families
and small businesses, have little or no access to banking and financial services.
Financial services are widely available, but certain segments of consumers may not
be aware or educated on using them. Therefore, one of the goals of financial inclu-
sion is to make basic financial products and services, such as money transfers,
remittances, deposits, loans, and insurance, accessible and affordable to poor people
and small and micro businesses. More affordable access to formal financial services
for these groups may enhance their overall well-being and boost economic develop-
ment too.
AI can play a critical role in helping FSPs better understand the expectations of
prospective customers as the need for inclusive financial solutions grows (Fan and
Zhang 2017). AI solutions should help FSPs to place the emphasis on customers,
rather than on the product or the FSPs’ profits. Leveraging the speed and accuracy
with which AI can analyze data, FSPs could better understand the needs of their
potential consumers. Take low-income families as an example. It is imperative that
they have access to affordable finance, as financial inclusion was found to empower
low-income families to better withstand the effects of a downturn in the economy
(Yin et al. 2019). Due to the absence of collaterals from the poor, FSPs may provide
loans or provide other financial services to micro-enterprises and the low-income
groups that regular banks cannot support. FSPs can help by granting these families
access to financial credit so that they can be better prepared for unexpected events.
Individuals who are previously neglected by financial institutions may benefit from
increased investments on education and healthcare to enjoy a higher quality of life.
Small companies might benefit from easier access to financial services like micro
loans and insurance.
To better serve their consumers, FSPs may employ AI to evaluate customer data,
generating projections that offer suggestions to prospective consumers with recom-
mendations to new products and ideas (see Fig. 3). Through the use of technologies
that allow AI and financial analysts to work together to better understand their cus-
tomers and their habits, FSPs may even find new market possibilities. Building on
the FSPs’ deep understanding of existing customer segmentation, it might lead to
more inquiries and theories for future human-inspired AI explorations for novel
ways to serve the customers better. The willingness and readiness of FSPs to build
preconceptions about how effective it should be and how successful it may be is a
158 M.-L. How et al.
Fig. 3 Predictive model for advancing financial inclusion and reducing poverty reduction
crucial component in the future. For example, new data patterns, unexplored chan-
nel possibilities, or new target audiences may be discovered using AI in the data
analysis process. It is possible for human analysts to raise questions that lead to
adjustments in new marketing tactics that better serve prospective customers when
AI can discover incremental efficiencies.
The FSPs that are willing to deliver creative solutions to meet customer needs
should be encouraged to take on a broader degree of corporate change. This means
that FSPs with organization cultures that embrace change and are willing to invest
in their employees and technology will be more likely to empower their teams to be
future-ready and have a higher tendency to lead their businesses toward successful
transformations. As a positive consequence, FSPs and prospective customers may
both benefit from the usage of AI. Nevertheless, despite AI’s potential, humans must
take the lead when it comes to its implementation, rather than letting the technology
dictate their actions.
Artificial Intelligence for Advancing Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)… 159
Some of the most critical concerns about sustainability is ensuring food security for
a projected population of over nine billion by 2050 as well as mitigating further
ecological damage (UN-DESA 2015). Additionally, food consumption habits are
shifting fast in tandem with an increase in affluence, especially in most of the
world’s emerging middle class (Vranken et al. 2014). In view of this emerging
trend, it is necessary to comprehend the concept of natural resource scarcity, uncer-
tain agricultural economics, and substantial technological and sociocultural devel-
opments such as diet “Westernization” or climate change. The majority of the
world’s food systems are precarious and susceptible to weather change. According
to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), about a billion
people suffer from the lack of calories and more than two billion lack sufficient
nutrients (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United States, International
Fund for Agricultural Development, and World Food Programme 2014). Even
though two billion people are overweight or obese, many of them continue to suffer
from nutritional deficiencies or imbalances (World Health Organization 2014).
Global population growth is just one aspect of the issue. Food preferences have
changed over the years. Most notably, there has been an increase in the demand for
animal products. This may potentially have negative impacts on environmental
health (Kharas 2010).
Apart from health concerns, industrialized food systems may contribute to cli-
mate change through greenhouse gas emissions and threaten biodiversity and food
security (Ingram 2011; Tilman and Clark 2014). Crop output is impacted by climate
change (Lobell et al. 2011). Freshwater supplies have been depleted in various parts
of the globe, mostly as a result of irrigation overuse (Elliott and Elliott 2010).
Increased frequency and severity of harsh weather events, particularly floods and
droughts, may have negative impacts, not only on crop production but also on food
storage, delivery, and safety (Miraglia et al. 2009). These variables will also have an
effect on the cost of food.
In light of the different demands on food systems, the global food system’s exist-
ing and possibly prospective difficulties must be addressed. The challenge is to offer
enough nutrition while minimizing environmental degradation without damaging
the ecosystems that support the livelihoods of the farmers. Climate and other envi-
ronmental elements affecting agricultural systems may have a considerable impact,
eroding the natural resources upon which our food security is based. While improve-
ments in a variety of disciplines such as by increasing yields, animal feed output,
aquaculture production, and labor productivity have contributed to addressing
global food security, they may have a detrimental influence on the environment.
New policy initiatives must be introduced to mitigate environmental impacts while
improving health outcomes and sustaining the food systems’ businesses and liveli-
hoods. To effect change in food systems, dialogue and collaborations between all
160 M.-L. How et al.
Fig. 4 Predictive analytics of how simulated changes in the multiple parameters could influence
global food security
Certain variables may be left unchanged, while others can be altered to mimic an
infinite number of possible situations. As a result, it is feasible to simulate what-if
situations. This permits predictive inferences about the circumstances necessary to
optimize positive results and forecasts about the conditions necessary to avoid unfa-
vorable outcomes in global food security from ever arising.
5 Conclusion
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Ethical AI: The European Approach
to Achieving the SDGs Through AI
Abstract The European legislative framework for the development and regulation
of artificial intelligence (AI) is beginning to take shape: the European Commission
published on April 21st, 2021, a proposal for a regulation laying down harmonised
rules on artificial intelligence, and various position papers and non-legislative acts
of other European bodies are paving the way for the EU to take the lead in the devel-
opment of a legislative framework for AI.
As the European Commission clearly summarised, AI should be “a tool for peo-
ple and be a force for good in society with the ultimate aim of increasing human
well-being”. Although not a member of the United Nations, the EU takes part in its
activities and shares the commitments of the “2030 Agenda for Sustainable
Development”. Indeed, the EU works towards the achievement of the 17 Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) both at Union and at member states’ level. It is there-
fore to be expected (as well as desirable) that the new legislative framework will be
supportive of the achievement of the SDGs.
This paper will describe the required characteristics of AI according to existing
European legislative and non-legislative tools and will analyse which elements con-
tribute to the achievement of SDGs and which aspects can, instead, hinder their full
completion. Attention will be given to aspects such as the auditability of AI reason-
ing, equity of potential outcomes, human-centricity and the protection of
human rights.
The European legislative framework for the development and regulation of artificial
intelligence (AI) is beginning to take shape: the European Commission published
on April 21, 2021, a proposal for a regulation laying down harmonised rules on
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 167
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_10
168 V. Benedetti del Rio
1
Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council laying down harmonised
rules on artificial intelligence (Artificial Intelligence Act) and amending certain Union legislative
acts, available at: EUR-Lex - 52021PC0206 - EN - EUR-Lex (europa.eu), last accessed in
October 2021.
2
Further information on the EU strategy for AI is available at: https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/
en/policies/european-approach-artificial-intelligence, last accessed in October 2021.
3
The EU’s approach to artificial intelligence, The International Institute for Strategic Studies, also
available at: the-eus-approach-to-artificial-intelligence.pdf (iiss.org), last accessed in October 2021.
4
Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European
Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions – Fostering a European
approach to Artificial Intelligence, available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/
ALL/?uri=COM:2021:205:FIN, last accessed in October 2021.
Ethical AI: The European Approach to Achieving the SDGs Through AI 169
with Member States,5 the AI package developed by the European Commission with
the aim of turning the European Commission’s EU digital single market strategy
into practice. In the following paragraphs, we will discuss the main steps that influ-
enced the content of and led the European Commission to the publication of the AI
Regulation Proposal.
It is not possible to analyse the AI Regulation Proposal without considering one
of the earliest documents laying down the need to regulate the growing industry of
AI at EU level, that is, the European Commission Communication on the AI Strategy
for Europe, in April 25, 2018 (AI Strategy).6 As defined by the European Commission,
AI systems are “systems that show intelligent behaviour by analysing their environ-
ment, and performing various tasks with some degree of autonomy to achieve spe-
cific goals”.7 In its AI Strategy, the European Commission explains that AI, although
already present in people’s life, will represent an immense opportunity in the near
future, in terms of market value and jobs, as well as in its ability to disrupt the inter-
nal economic market. Therefore, the European Commission issued the mentioned
AI Strategy, whose objective is that of preparing for the future to come. The AI
Strategy is based on three specific pillars: (i) the opportunity for the EU and its
companies to be ahead of technological developments, thus encouraging invest-
ments and uptake by the public and private sectors; (ii) the need to prepare for
socioeconomic changes brought about by AI, which in turn leads to the need to
modernise education and the labour market in order to prepare for the technological
changes; and (iii) the need to ensure that AI development happens within the bound-
aries of an appropriate ethical and legal framework – which the European
Commission is now providing through its AI Regulation Proposal.
In the brief description of the most influential steps that led to the development
of a legal framework for AI in Europe, a specific mention must be reserved to the
Ethics Guidelines for Trustworthy AI (Guidelines),8 issued by the High-Level
Expert Group on Artificial Intelligence (AIHLEG) on April 8, 2019, where the fun-
damental desirable attributes for AI are depicted. As indicated in the Guidelines, AI
should be lawful, ethical and robust, in order for it to be trustworthy and, as such, be
developed, deployed and used lawfully within the European Union. Consequently,
not all AI applications are worthy of development and deployment in the EU, but
only those that, by balancing the technological advancements to the European
5
The Coordinated Plan on Artificial Intelligence 2021 Review is available at: https://digital-
strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/library/coordinated-plan-artificial-intelligence-2021-review, last accessed
in October 2021.
6
Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the European Council, the
Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions –
Artificial Intelligence for Europe, available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?u
ri=COM%3A2018%3A237%3AFIN, last accessed in October 2021.
7
See Artificial Intelligence for Europe Factsheet, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/newsroom/dae/
document.cfm?doc_id=51610, last accessed in September 2021.
8
Ethics guidelines for trustworthy AI, available at: https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/library/
ethics-guidelines-trustworthy-ai, last accessed in October 2021.
170 V. Benedetti del Rio
values, ensure that AI is trustworthy, therefore sufficiently safe for EU citizens and
companies to benefit from. In addition, to ensure that the characteristics of trustwor-
thy AI can be effectively understood and applied to real cases, the AIHLEG included
a framework within the Guidelines, translating the principles for trustworthy AI into
key requirements and practical examples. These are aimed at offering direction on
how to operationalise the principles of trustworthy AI encompassed in the
Guidelines.
Finally, we move to the AI Regulation Proposal, and we analyse briefly its char-
acteristics. The AI Regulation Proposal was published by the European Commission
on April 21, 2021, and is composed of 85 articles, and it describes the specific sets
of rules that apply to the development and placement on the market of AI systems,
according to their level of risk. According to the proposal, in fact, there may be four
different levels of risks of an AI system: unacceptable, high, limited and minimal
risk. AI that poses an unacceptable risk, by being a threat to people’s rights, their
safety or livelihood, is unlawful according to the proposal; therefore, any applica-
tion or use is forbidden. High-risk AI instead is not only lawful according to the AI
Regulation Proposal but can also be employed in a number of areas, such as educa-
tion, employment, law enforcement and administration of justice; these technolo-
gies shall be subject to strict obligations before they are placed on the market, as
will be further explained below. Moving to the description of limited risk AI, these
AI systems are those that may pose risks of manipulation of individuals, for exam-
ple, because they interact with people, or are used to detect their emotions or gener-
ate content fed to users (such as deep fakes): these technologies are subject to
specific transparency obligations according to the AI Regulation Proposal. Lastly,
minimal risk AI is represented by examples, such as AI-enabled video games or
spam filters; this type of technology poses minimal or no risk to rights and freedoms
of individuals and therefore can be freely used and allowed.
It is worth mentioning that the EU effort benefits from discussions that have been
happening globally, as a number of position papers and non-legislative acts were
issued in the past years, fostering debates and paving the way for the European
Union to take the lead in the development of a legislative framework for the deploy-
ment of AI.9
9
Among these, the White Paper of the European Commission On Artificial Intelligence – A
European approach to excellence and trust, available at: https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/
files/commission-white-paper-artificial-intelligence-feb2020_en.pdf, last accessed in October
2021; the Report on AI for Good, Global Summit, held in Geneva in 2017, available at: https://
www.itu.int/en/ITU-T/AI/Documents/Report/AI_for_Good_Global_Summit_Report_2017.pdf,
last accessed in October 2021.
Ethical AI: The European Approach to Achieving the SDGs Through AI 171
10
AI Regulation Proposal, page 1.
11
Further information is available at: https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/eu-plan-for-a-
green-transition/, last accessed in October 2021.
172 V. Benedetti del Rio
will describe the main characteristics of AI, in order to understand where the poten-
tial of AI in achieving the SDGs lies.
AI, broadly speaking, can be defined as any technology that is capable of per-
ceiving, predicting, taking decisions, applying logic reasoning and recognising pat-
terns, when applied to a specific situation or issue. It is precisely thanks to these
powerful characteristics that it is seen as a meaningful tool in contributing to achiev-
ing or accelerating the achievement of the SDGs. As an example, the ability to
identify historical patterns and predict highly variable outcomes can be applied to
temperature and weather trends, resulting in the possibility to predict extreme
weather events related to the climate crisis that many regions are experiencing, thus
reducing the vulnerability of impacted communities and ultimately reducing the
impacts on poverty within these countries and villages.12 Another example is the
possibility of using AI to analyse numerous information related to the global food
chain to help diminish food waste, currently impacting ca. 30% of global food
production,13 by improving distribution and ultimately reducing hunger. Indeed,
nowadays, technology is used in fridges to indicate the items that are approaching
their expiry date in order to prevent household waste or to prepare automatic gro-
cery lists when the last piece of product has been used; however, the applications of
AI to the food chain include the possibility to forecast demand and modulate pro-
duction accordingly or quickly source new suppliers in case of shortages.14 Another
capability of AI is that of analysing vast amounts of data and driving to solutions or
logic conclusions: these could inform decision makers and result in an improvement
of social justice. The application of logic reasoning to certain issues, indeed, could
help reduce inequalities in our societies, e.g. with respect to gender discrimination
or accessing education.
Clearly, these are just a few examples of a long list of possibilities. It is therefore
evident that AI is an incredible tool for humanity in relation to the achievement of
the SDGs and, as such, must be put to good use.
Indeed, there are three main characteristics of AI that make this technology a
unique tool in tackling the most pressing issues of our time and ultimately reaching
the SDGs: (i) AI is supported by computer systems that can deploy huge computa-
tional capacity, an asset that can also increase in scale – this means that AI can
analyse an enormous amount of information in a previously unthinkable time frame.
(ii) Given a set of information, AI can identify patterns and infer additional
12
Climavision, a weather forecasting service, is using radar technology, GPS technology and a
proprietary software to improve the timing and accuracy of weather forecasting. Further informa-
tion is available at: https://therisefund.com/news/rise-fund-announces-100-million-strategic-
investment-climavision, last accessed in September 2021. In Japan, instead, technology is used to
provide citizens with timing alerts for natural disasters, like earthquakes. Further information is
available at: https://news.trust.org/item/20210308082452-utr0s/, last accessed in September 2021.
13
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Report on The State of Food and
Agriculture, 2019, available at: http://www.fao.org/state-of-food-agriculture/2019/en/, last
accessed in October 2021.
14
Further information is available at: https://www.forbes.com/sites/curtmueller/2021/08/09/
supply-chain-ai-a-food-additive-that-wont-harm-our-health/, last accessed in September 2021.
Ethical AI: The European Approach to Achieving the SDGs Through AI 173
AI to solve gender inequalities and injustices until we are able to ensure that the AI
systems stop propagating or are able to overcome the prejudices and biases of our
society.
Another extremely relevant aspect that shall be considered before entrusting AI
with the task of reaching the United Nations’ SDGs is that of the sustainability of
AI in itself. Some commentators, indeed, have underlined that AI systems, together
with all other aspects of our societies, shall be developed and trained in a way that
is sustainable for our economies and environment. Indeed, the development and
training of AI is highly dependent on great computing power, which results in high
energy demands. The issue becomes also an ethical one, if we turn to consider the
relevant amounts of investments that are necessary for the creation of AI systems, as
well as the time and resources needed to perfect them prior to their practical use.
The critique moved to AI, therefore, is that it absorbs huge economical resources
that could instead finance direct solutions to the completion of the SDGs.
In the following paragraphs, we will consider the AI Regulation Proposal in fur-
ther depth in order to identify the aspects of the proposal that are linked to, or likely
facilitate, reach of the SDGs. Later on, the potential pitfalls of the approach put
forth in the AI Regulation Proposal will be discussed.
done by including specific provisions that define the circumstances, in which the
rights and freedoms of EU users shall be protected, by applying the European stan-
dards provided by the AI Regulation Proposal, regardless of the fact that said users
or companies are specifically citizen of or based within the European Union bor-
ders. Indeed, the AI Regulation Proposal is set to apply to (i) providers placing AI
systems or AI services in the EU, irrespective of the place where the providers are
based; (ii) users of AI systems or services that are in the EU, regardless of whether
they are citizens of the EU; and (iii) providers and users of AI located outside of the
EU, where the output produced by the AI system is used in the EU.
Simply put, if an AI system goes anywhere near the EU, it will be subject to the
AI Regulation Proposal. And the practical implications for companies are clearly
set. With this approach, in fact, the European Commission wishes to create a set of
rules that is so widely used that it rapidly becomes the legislative standard for that
technology – a pervasive AI regulation can result in the EU being the entity that will
set the rules, definitions and standards for this new technology – resulting in a com-
petitive advantage for EU companies over those of the rest of the world. Indeed, if
the AI systems are developed in the EU, they will benefit from the fact that they
comply with the legislative standard set for the technology since their design phase,
while developers in other regions of the world may need to adapt their products,
which may result in limitations of applications or additional investments.
Moving into the actual text of the AI Regulation Proposal, an aspect that may
foster the achievement of the SDGs is the prohibition of all AI system and services
that create an unacceptable risk for the rights and freedoms of the potential indi-
viduals involved. According to the AI Regulation Proposal, in fact, the prohibited AI
uses listed in Title II include those that contravene EU values, for example, because
they violate fundamental human rights. In excluding the use – but, at a closer look,
also the development, research and study – of AI systems that pose an unacceptable
risk for individuals, the European Union is actually fostering a number of SDGs,
such as goal n. 3, good health and well-being; goal n. 4, quality education; goal n.
5, gender equality; goal n. 10, reduce inequalities; and goal n. 16, peace, justice and
strong institutions. To give an example of the impact of this aspect on the achieve-
ment of the goals now mentioned, consider that the AI Regulation proposal bans
applications of AI that could result in social scoring, i.e. a system according to
which people’s access to jobs or opportunities depend on a number associated to
their previous actions and behaviour – something that clearly contravenes the values
of equality and equal opportunities of our society that are the basis for the achieve-
ment of the mentioned SDGs.
Other aspects relevant to the facilitation of the achievement of the SDGs include
the auditability of AI reasoning, the equity of potential outcomes, human-centricity
and the protection of human rights. These aspects are included in the AI Regulation
Proposal in a number of articles that set the requirements for high-risk AI systems.
In particular, the requirement to train, validate and test AI systems (Article 10 of
the AI Regulation Proposal) is relevant in order to achieve equity of outcomes and
minimise biases or unfair results, thus fostering the fulfilment of goal n. 5, gender
equality – notably with respect to the targets referred to ending all forms of
176 V. Benedetti del Rio
discrimination against all women and girls as well as ensuring equal opportunities
for leadership at all levels of decision-making in political, economic and public life.
Indeed, although AI software applied to the recruitment process have poorly per-
formed in the past, reportedly discriminating women candidates and favouring men,
AI software applied to the language used in job posting has shown positive results
in reducing gendered language in favour of gender-neutral wording, fostering inclu-
sion and improving diversity of the workforce.15 Goal n. 10, reduced inequalities, is
also impacted by this requirement of the AI Regulation Proposal, in that it offers to
help empower and promote the social, economic and political inclusion of all and to
ensure equal opportunities and reduce inequalities of outcomes. An example of
application is the use of AI systems to detect fake news: as fake news are often used
to inflate stereotypes and discriminate, the use of AI to detect them and subject them
to a further revision prior to publication on social media or other web spaces could
help avoid discriminations to certain groups or ethnicities and improve overall
equality.
In addition, for high-risk AI systems, developers are required to ensure that the
AI systems are designed and developed in a way that makes it possible to collect
automatic recording of events (logs), so that the AI systems’ functioning is some-
how traced and can be looked into or analysed, a posteriori (Article 12 of the AI
Regulation Proposal). This helps ensure that the AI system in question is auditable,
and the reasoning behind inferences or logic conclusions is explicable. Explicability
of results is paramount to goal n. 16, peace, justice and strong institutions, because
it promotes the rule of law and helps develop transparent institution.
Another characteristic that is set to ensure auditability as well as protection of
users’ rights is that of ensuring transparency of AI systems, which translates into
explanations to be provided to users on what the AI systems is able to do and how it
will do it. Notably, the provision of information to users regarding the functioning
and operation of the AI system provided by Article 13 of the AI Regulation Proposal
follows a similar path of transparency obligations that counts many examples among
EU legislative acts, such as the EU Consumer Directive16 and the General Data
Protection Regulation.17 Transparency, therefore, is already a standard requirement
in EU law, and one that is necessary in all AI applications. Indeed, transparency on
15
Artificial Intelligence and Gender Equality, United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural
Organization Key findings of UNESCO’s Global Dialogue, available at: https://en.unesco.org/sys-
tem/files/artificial_intelligence_and_gender_equality.pdf, last accessed in October 2021.
16
Directive (EU) 2019/2161 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 27 November 2019
amending Council Directive 93/13/EEC and Directives 98/6/EC, 2005/29/EC and 2011/83/EU of
the European Parliament and of the Council as regards the better enforcement and modernisation
of Union consumer protection rules, available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/dir/2019/2161/oj,
last accessed in October 2021.
17
Regulation (EU) 2016/679 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 27 April 2016 on
the protection of natural persons with regard to the processing of personal data and on the free
movement of such data, and repealing Directive 95/46/EC (General Data Protection Regulation),
available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A32016R0679, last
accessed in October 2021.
Ethical AI: The European Approach to Achieving the SDGs Through AI 177
Following the analysis of the provisions of the AI Regulation Proposal that may
contribute to the achievement of the UN goals, we now turn our attention to the
aspects of the same proposal that may instead represent an obstacle to the achieve-
ment of the same goals.
The first element that we will underline in this regard is an element that was
described in the previous paragraph as an advantage for reaching the SDGs. Human
centricity, in fact, is a requirement that can have a double connotation and has been
identified also as a limit to innovation and an obstacle to the further development of
AI. Indeed, human centricity is linked to the possibility for a human person to look
into the machine decision-making process, in order to review it and possibly correct
it or reverse any wrongdoing. When we consider this, it is clear that human centric-
ity of artificial intelligence may be on one side a paradox, given that it is required to
have a human being understand what humans were not able to do and accomplish in
the first place (building instead an algorithm for them). On the other side, and more
importantly, human centricity may be seen in contrast to the centricity and impor-
tance of other living beings, such as wild plants and animals; as such, human
178 V. Benedetti del Rio
18
Further information is available at: https://in.one.un.org/page/sustainable-development-goals/
sdg-14/, last accessed in October 2021.
Ethical AI: The European Approach to Achieving the SDGs Through AI 179
that is necessary from design to production phase for AI and the tight timeframe that
separates us to 2030 and, on the other side, the huge investments that AI requires to
become applicable and usable in practice, isn’t it necessary to support, also from a
financial point of view, only those solutions that would not worsen the environmen-
tal situation that we are living in? This indeed would also be linked to the achieve-
ment of the goal n. 13, the goal to take urgent action to combat climate change and
its impacts, something that the proposal clearly missed to address. The reasoning
behind the need to develop only sustainable AI is a mandatory one, if we also con-
sider that we are now seeing great investments in this new technology. The technol-
ogy and the infrastructure that it is going to be built is new and will be used for many
years; therefore, it is of paramount importance to avoid, in this phase, unnecessary
lock-ins in high-energy-consuming asset, or otherwise we will be stuck with non-
efficient devices and technologies for years to come, something that could imply
that AI have a negative impact on the achievement of goal n. 13.
Lastly, AI is seen, by some commentators, as one of the biggest threats facing
humanity, a sort of tech-gone-wrong scenario that some filmmakers have already
depicted.19 The comprehensible doubts accompanying the deployment of any new
technology, indeed, move from sentiment of distrust over something that appears as
non-controllable, to fear of jobs loss, due to the automation of human activities or
resorting to machines to perform non-basic human tasks such as decision-making.
Privacy concerns may also add on the mentioned worries, and while the AI
Regulation Proposal seems to address the trust issues by resorting to transparency
and audit requirements as well as the ban on unacceptable AI, the risk of job loss
remains a pressing issue that can represent a downside to the development of AI.20
Although the focus of the AI Regulation Proposal is that of regulating the develop-
ment and deployment of AI, it is mandatory for governments to consider also the
risks that the development of AI may have on the job market. Indeed, automation of
jobs impacts different sectors in different ways, and the subsequent displacement
that follows job loss may have a greater impact in lower-income communities,
where there may be a minor specialization of the workforce – which in turn may
increase poverty and social inequalities of the same communities and areas – in
clear contrast to the UN goals n. 1 and 10.
5 Conclusions
This paper described the characteristics of the AI Regulation Proposal and analysed
the advantages and disadvantages that can come from its implementation to the
achievement of the UN SDGs.
19
See further at: From rogue AI to nuclear war, the 10 biggest threats facing civilisation | WIRED
UK, last accessed in October 2021.
20
According to a 2019 McKinsey Global Institute report, available here the-future-of-work-in-
america-full-report.pdf (wordpress.com), 39 million full-time jobs could be automated by 2030.
180 V. Benedetti del Rio
References
Abstract Artificial intelligence (AI), along with other new technologies of the
Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR), can help drive sustainable development through
what can be called ‘SusTech’ solutions. But how can these be supported by
The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy of
their institutions. The authors would like to thank several anonymous peer reviewers as well as
Sean Doherty, Kimberley Botwright, and Jimena Sotelo, all from the World Economic Forum, for
their helpful comments. Lead and corresponding author: Matthew Stephenson.
M. Stephenson (*)
Head, Investment Policy and Practice, Geneva, Switzerland
e-mail: [email protected]
I. Lejarraga
Economic Counsellor, Development Centre, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development (OECD), Paris, France
K. Matus
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST),
New Territories, Hong Kong
e-mail: [email protected]
Y. Mulugetta
Energy and Development Policy, University College London (UCL), London, UK
e-mail: [email protected]
M. Yarime
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST),
New Territories, Hong Kong
e-mail: [email protected]
J. Zhan
Investment and Enterprise, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
(UNCTAD), Geneva, Switzerland
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 183
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_11
184 M. Stephenson et al.
1 Challenge
There is wide consensus that scaling technology can help achieve sustainable devel-
opment (Herweijer et al. 2020, p. 7; Diaz Anadon et al. 2016, p. 1; Habanik et al.
2019, p. 48; World Bank Group 2016, pp. 303–20).1 One of the main mechanisms is
through greener, safer, and more inclusive value chains enabled by technology that
can increase efficiency, transparency, resilience, and responsibility (Sotelo and Fan
2020, p. 13) (Fig. 1).
This was already important before COVID-19, but the urgency has grown: value
chains need to become more resilient to future pandemics; societies need to address
inequality that has been exacerbated; and economies need to raise productivity to
generate growth that can address record-high levels of debt.
Adopting new technologies in ways that lead to sustainable development can
help achieve these goals, what can be called ‘SusTech solutions’. SusTech is defined
as the use of new technologies that help achieve Sustainable Development Goals
(SDGs), either directly or indirectly. Directly would mean the technology is adopted
to achieve a certain goal (e.g. lowering carbon use), while indirectly would mean the
technology is adopted to achieve business efficiency but also provides additional
benefits (e.g. lowering carbon use). The word ‘solutions’ is added to denote that
these new technologies help governments and firms achieve their objectives.
SusTech solutions are focused on technologies of the Fourth Industrial
Revolution, given the new opportunities that these afford for sustainable develop-
ment. Survey data has found that five specific technologies may have the most
1
Fourth Industrial Revolution technologies could have a high impact across 10 of the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs), and 70% of the 169 targets underpinning the SDGs could be enabled
by these technologies.
AI as a SusTech Solution: Enabling AI and Other 4IR Technologies to Drive Sustainable… 185
2
Sotelo and Fan (2020) and WBG (2016) identify the same list, with the only difference being
virtual reality and automation, and so the chapter will address both.
3
Acemoglu et al. (2020) show that the tax system has favoured automation over labour as labour is
heavily taxed while capital is not, creating incentives for firms to over-invest in automation as a
labour-saving technology, undermining societal goals.
186 M. Stephenson et al.
2 Solution
Data
IoT Infrastructure
Solutions to barriers
Skills
Data trusts TechFin Sustainability impact
Automation and drones Investment
Homomorphic Encryption Investment incentives assessments
Typology of personal data Non-equity modes of inv Equivalency agreements
Regulation
Rightskilling Performance-based regs Living Labs/Reg Sandboxes
Coordination
Augmented/VR
4
It is also worth noting that the USA and EU at the same time established a Trade and Technology
Council, with the aim of addressing bilaterally similar issues, demonstrating the growing impor-
tance of collaboration on these issues. See European Commission, ‘EU-US launch Trade and
Technology Council to lead values-based global digital transformation’, 15 June 2021, https://ec.
europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/IP_21_2990.
AI as a SusTech Solution: Enabling AI and Other 4IR Technologies to Drive Sustainable… 187
A platform where policymakers, firms, and experts, and civil society come
together to identify needs, share both concerns and opportunities, and trans-
parently chart out ways to integrate SusTech solutions in both regulatory
frameworks and corporate strategies.
Such a platform would provide a space for cooperation between national tech-
nology bodies. It would also provide a space for those at the frontier of technology
innovation – especially in the private sector – to flag risks and opportunities so they
can be addressed or seized.5
It would also create a mechanism for outreach, engagement, and inclusion of
less-developed economies and smaller firms to help develop and adopt SusTech
solutions.
There is a growing risk of splintering into a two-speed world – the technology-
rich and the technology-poor – and so actively collaborating on sharing SusTech
solutions would be important to use technology as a societal integrator rather than
allowing it to develop into a societal cleaver. One specific outreach mechanism
could be through a Pioneer Program, whereby technology authorities in different
jurisdictions would sign up to trial SusTech policies and measures, backed by the
technical support of STB partners to help with capacity development.6
5
For instance, the sustainable value chains have been developed for key commodities through
cooperation and commitments between key actors (e.g. in Sustainable Palm Oil), and a similar
approach would be taken for technologies rather than commodities.
6
For instance, a Pioneer Program has been adopted by the G20 Global Smart Cities Alliance to trial
smart city policies. See https://globalsmartcitiesalliance.org/?page_id=714.
188 M. Stephenson et al.
• Sustainable
Institutional Level Technology Board
•Artificial intelligence
•Blockchain
Evaluative Level •Internet of Things
•Automation and drones
•Augmented/Virtual Reality
In addition, one of the main goals of the STB would be to develop standards
and guidelines on new technologies to facilitate their sustainable adoption.
Standards and guidelines would apply to both business and national authorities.
They would thus facilitate cooperation between economies, allowing for interoper-
ability, alignment, and well-function systems. They would also at once create larger
markets through interoperability as well as provide regulatory clarity, predictability,
and stability. Conversely, the lack of standards and guidelines creates systemic risk
in terms of governance, corporate returns, and consumer protection.
Standards can come in various types, including in their scope and detail. For
instance, standards could apply across technologies or be specific to a certain tech-
nology.7 In addition, standard setting for SusTech could begin with general princi-
ples, evolve into more detailed practices, and finally generate specific guidelines.
Starting with ‘soft’ or voluntary standards could overcome the challenge of
competition between different economic systems or visions. A valid concern is
how economies with very different approaches to technology governance can fruit-
fully cooperate through an STB. The answer is to first develop soft standards that
are adopted on a voluntary basis. Perhaps after a critical mass of economies adopt a
soft standard – because it proves useful in practice – it can be viewed as a ‘firm’
standard, one that is widely accepted but still not a binding ‘hard’ standard. In prac-
tice ‘firm’ standards may often be sufficient for planning and collaboration between
7
See, for instance, World Economic Forum, ‘Internet of Things Guidelines for Sustainability’.
January 2018, http://www3.weforum.org/docs/IoTGuidelinesforSustainability.pdf.
AI as a SusTech Solution: Enabling AI and Other 4IR Technologies to Drive Sustainable… 189
economies and firms. Where relevant, the STB can build on or adopt ISO work on
sustainability standards.8
There is strong G20 precedent for creating an STB. The STB could be very simi-
lar to – and modelled after – the Financial Stability Board (FSB)9, which was estab-
lished following the G20 summit in London in 2009. A more recent example
includes the G20 Global Smart Cities Alliance on Technology Governance, which
was established following the G20 Summit in Osaka in 2019.10 The G20 Global
Smart Cities Alliance, which provides a platform for cooperation on smart cities,
recently published a Global Policy Roadmap that outlines good practices and pro-
poses certain principles to integrate technology into ‘ethical, smart cities’.11 Both of
these examples provide compelling precedents to establish an STB.
How do the FSB and Smart Cities Alliance function, and how could this be
replicated? FSB policy options and standards are not required to be adopted by
members, but rather encouraged through dialogue, discussion, and reports to the
G20. In other words, national authorities retain policy autonomy. The Smart Cities
Alliance is also voluntary, with the World Economic Forum acting as a secretariat.
The STB could operate similarly, developing voluntary standards and principles and
being housed, for instance, in the World Economic Forum’s Centre for the Fourth
Industrial Revolution, whose mission is to help maximize the benefits of technology
while avoiding potential risks.12 At the same time, G7 leaders have recently sup-
ported mandatory disclosure of climate-related financial information based on the
FSB’s Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) framework. A
similar mechanism of information disclosure could also be considered for issues
related to SusTech.
8
See ISO, ‘Sustainability standards from ISO’, https://iso26000.info/sustainability-standards-from-iso/.
9
The FSB is organized around three standing committees, namely, a Standing Committee on
Supervisory and Regulatory Cooperation, a Standing Committee on Assessment of Vulnerabilities,
and a Standing Committee on Standards Implementation. These align with the proposed functions
of an STB, which could be organized similarly. See Financial Stability Board, ‘About the FSB’,
https://www.fsb.org/about/#mandate.
10
See G20 Global Smart Cities Alliance, ‘About the Alliance’, https://globalsmartcitiesalliance.
org/?page_id=107. The World Economic Forum serves as the secretariat of the Alliance.
11
These include principles on (a) equity, inclusivity, and social impact, (b) openness and interoper-
ability, (c) security and resilience, (d) privacy and transparency, and (e) operational and financial
sustainability, which could inspire the development of STB principles. See https://globalsmartci-
tiesalliance.org/?page_id=90.
12
See Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution, https://www.weforum.org/centre-
for-the-fourth-industrial-revolution.
190 M. Stephenson et al.
There are six main types of barriers to wider adoption of SusTech. These
include (1) data, (2) infrastructure, (3) skills, (4) finance and investment, (5) regula-
tion, and (6) coordination (Fig. 3).
Data is the lifeblood of technology systems. Just as humans need blood to
course through their bodies to function, technologies need data to flow both within
and between systems to function. This, in turn, requires sufficient volume, trust, and
interoperability. While data policy is increasingly tense and disputed – with differ-
ing visions between G20 economies – this paper proposes three data ‘landing zones’
to break impasse through finding common ground.
If data is the lifeblood, infrastructure is the highway. One can take ‘secondary
roads’ but it will take longer, you may hit a pothole, and you may never find your
destination on account of poor signage. Much the same way, fit-for-purpose infra-
structure is needed if firms are to adopt SusTech solutions, as otherwise they will be
Data
Coordination Infrastructure
Barriers to
SusTech
adoption
Regulation Skills
Investment
Data trusts are legal structures that serve as a fiduciary (or third-party steward) for
data provided by members of the trust and govern the data’s use. Data trusts thus
allow organisations to give some control over their data to a new institution so that
data can be shared and aggregated (Open Data Institute 2019; WEF and McKinsey
2019). Large-scale aggregation may be essential to accrue full benefits from
SusTech, given that data present increasing returns to scale for SusTech solutions.
Two-thirds of firms across all industries report they would be willing to share data
192 M. Stephenson et al.
Data trusts
Living Labs
Homomorphic
and
encryption for
Regulatory
data sharing
Sandboxes
Equivalency
Typology of
agreements
personal data
on standards
Solutions
to SusTech
Sustainability
impact
asssesments
adoption Rightskilling
Performance-
based TechFin
regulation
Non-equity
Investment
modes of
incentives
investment
with the right conditions, and data trusts can help provide those conditions
(Zarkadakis 2020).
absent agreement on data policy (Zafrir 2020). It also opens up access to the 80% of
datasets that are currently private, whether in the hands of governments or firms.13
The challenge to data policy to enable SusTech solutions relates to personal data,
not corporate data. Firms can manage corporate data for commercial ends if the data
are allowed to flow between jurisdictions, but individuals often do not have the same
oversight and control. As a result, governments have sought to protect personal data,
but this has also erected barriers to its use. The solution lies in differentiating data
by type and adopting differential regulation: firm data (f-data), official personal data
(o-data), privy personal data (p-data), and collective personal data (c-data).14
f-data is owned and controlled by firms, who can choose to share it or not
(e.g. patterns in sales in different markets).
o-data is created and authenticated by the state but controlled by people (e.g.
a passport number).
c-data is shared within a well-defined group governed by certain rules (e.g.
aggregated data from banking cooperatives).
p-data is created by people, either directly through first-order p-data (e.g.
photos put online) or indirectly through second-order p-data (e.g. location
data from smartphones).
f-data should be allowed to flow freely both within and across economies, fol-
lowing corporate agreements between parties (WEF 2020). o-data, c-data, and
p-data should be in the hands of people, who can decide whether to share it (and on
what terms) or not. o-data would likely not be shared; c-data would be shared to
achieve certain objectives; and p-data might be shared depending on compensation
(financial or non-financial, such as services).
One of the greatest limiting factors to adopting SusTech solutions is skills. The
basket of skills needed to understand, adopt, apply, and develop technologies is
quickly changing and risks leaving people or economies behind. The solution lies in
13
World Wide Web Foundation, Open Data Barometer, September 2018 in Herweijer et al. (2020),
footnote 91.
14
Snower et al. (2020) provide the typology for personal data.
194 M. Stephenson et al.
Both the development and adoption of SusTech require resources, and so policy-
makers may wish to support technology finance (TechFin) to help with uptake and
rollout. Specific instruments could include blended finance, government-backed
incubators and accelerators, patient or concessional capital, funds and prizes, and
public procurement (Herweijer et al. 2020, p. 33).
15
Apprenticeships may be particularly useful, whereby part of the training is done by and within
companies, in co-operation with universities, and with support or other incentive from government
for firms that invest in such training.
16
This finding can be seen through a new dataset covering about 27,000 corporate relationships of
147 multinational enterprises (MNEs) in 13 sectors. See Andrenelli et al. (2019).
AI as a SusTech Solution: Enabling AI and Other 4IR Technologies to Drive Sustainable… 195
The challenge with supporting SusTech is to get the balance right between flexibil-
ity and oversight. This allows for new technologies to bloom while also protecting
societies from untoward outcomes. One innovative solution is to apply performance-
based regulation (PBR). The idea is to focus on desired, measurable outcomes,
rather than prescriptive processes, techniques, or procedures (United States Nuclear
Regulatory Commission 2021). In essence, the goal is specified, but not the path to
get there, which is left up to firms, allowing regulatory objectives to be met in cre-
ative and effective ways. PBR – which represents a close cousin to the increasingly
popular risk-based regulation (WBG 2017) – can be flanked by periodic reviews to
ensure it is working as desired.
A final way to allow regulatory flexibility and innovation for SusTech solutions to
bloom – while also safeguarding societal interests – is the use of living labs and
regulatory sandboxes. These create the space for a more permissive testing of
196 M. Stephenson et al.
How have firms already integrated SusTech solutions into operations to increase
profits, resilience, and sustainability? Real-life examples illustrate how SusTech
solutions are already being successfully adopted, providing models for how further
SusTech solutions roll out in practice. Such rollout is currently taking place in a
piecemeal, disjointed way, motivating creation of an STB (Part I) and adoption of
enabling policies and measures (Part II) so that more economies and more firms can
benefit from SusTech solutions.
This section (Part III) will focus on five of the technologies that have been identi-
fied as having amongst the most long-term transformational impact through recent
analysis and surveys: artificial intelligence, blockchain, Internet of things, automa-
tion, and virtual reality (Fig. 5).17
2.3.1 Artificial Intelligence
AI could increase global gross domestic product (GDP) by $15.7 trillion by 2030,
according to PwC estimates (PwC 2017). Some firms are already starting to seize
this potential, but there is a scope for huge scaleup.
For instance, AI can be used for financial inclusion, especially to provide finan-
cial services to those that do not have a formal credit history. Machine-learning
algorithms, such as those of Aire, can use mobile phone activity, and other digital
footprints, to evaluate creditworthiness and help provide financial services to new
market segments. Similarly, Eastnets’ approach is to use AI to detect financial
fraud. Another example is ClearMetal, which has adopted AI for predictive logis-
tics and supply chain management that allows it to predict transit delays and opti-
mize routes, saving shipping costs, increasing timing accuracy, and avoiding
unnecessary backups and backlogs (Nguyen 2020; ClearMetal 2017). AI can also
help for sustainable energy, for instance Moxia is using AI-powered energy
17
Sotelo and Fan (2020) and WBG (2016) identify the same list, with the only difference being
virtual reality and automation, and so the chapter will address both.
AI as a SusTech Solution: Enabling AI and Other 4IR Technologies to Drive Sustainable… 197
Artificial
intelligence
Augmented
/virtual Blockchain
reality Top
SusTech
technologies
Automation Internet of
and drones things
management software that allows smart energy storage through batteries and shar-
ing through grids (George 2020).
2.3.2 Blockchain
2.3.3 Internet of Things
The Internet of things (IoT) is also foreseen to be a game changer for both growth
and sustainability. In terms of growth, estimates suggest it could add $14 trillion in
economic value to the global economy by 2030 (WEF 2018, p. 3); in terms of sus-
tainability, IoT can dramatically improve efficiency and outcomes in, inter alia,
agriculture, transportation, energy, and smart cities.
For instance, BBVA has installed 50,000 sensors in its Madrid headquarters to
detect and collect data about the status of the facilities, environmental conditions,
and the presence of people, allowing it to save 5,766,731 kWh on energy. This rep-
resents savings of 12–15% compared to before and is equivalent to the energy of
about 1,900 households per annum (BBVA 2019).
Automation holds both risks and rewards for sustainable development, a clear case
where Sustainability Impact Assessments can help evaluate impact. On the one
hand, workers are likely to be displaced; on the other, automation in, inter alia, fac-
tories, transportation, health, and agriculture can both increase worker safety and
allow them to move to more value-addition work, if retrained and right-skilled,
while also saving cost, energy, and time through optimization. Estimates in the USA
predict such efficiency improvement may result in reduced carbon dioxide and
harmful particulates by up to 60% (Bösch et al. 2018).
For instance, drone delivery by firms such as Amazon, DHL, Google, and UPS
is expected to improve corporate carbon footprint, with one study in Thailand find-
ing that the ‘online shopping system using drone delivery is one of the most envi-
ronmentally friendly transportation options throughout a wide range of scenarios’
(Koiwanit 2018a, b).
Augmented and virtual reality (AR/VR) holds the potential to transform everything
from education and healthcare to mining and tourism. The risk is that currently only
a small segment of the world’s population is benefitting from AR/VR, prompting
the need for targeted support of this particular SusTech solution (Bogdan-
Martin 2021).
For instance, firms like Proprio, ImmersiveTouch, TrueVision, and EchoPixel
have been using AR/VR to improve the quality and accuracy of surgery (Daley
2021). In addition, lockdowns brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic have cata-
pulted interest in learning through AR/VR, such as that being provided by Google,
Microsoft, and ARVR Academy (Immersive Learning News 2020).
AI as a SusTech Solution: Enabling AI and Other 4IR Technologies to Drive Sustainable… 199
3 Conclusion
SusTech solutions have the potential to transform our world. AI, along with other
new technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, can help achieve the SDGs.
However, this will require key enablers.
First, a new Sustainable Technology Board (STB) can provide a platform for
cooperation on accelerating uptake and growing impact from SusTech, including
AI. It can provide analysis and outreach to both increase and widen the potential
benefits of new technologies for development – while mitigating and addressing any
negative effects – including through standards and policy recommendations.
Second, certain policies and measures can help address barriers to the adoption
of SusTech solutions. This chapter sets out 11 horizontal actions policymakers
might wish to consider to enable new technologies. The STB can further refine and
add to these as part of its mandate. The STB can also facilitate legitimate policy
experimentation to test new approaches to both stimulate and govern new
technologies.
Third, there is the realization that firms are already starting to adopt SusTech
solutions, demonstrated through concrete examples in AI, in addition to blockchain,
IoT, automation, and AR/VR. However, this is happening in a piecemeal and dis-
jointed way; public and private sectors can work together to accelerate, deepen, and
scale this trend.
The G20 should act now. G20 economies stand most to gain from SusTech solu-
tions in the short term as they have the absorptive capacity to integrate new tech-
nologies. Yet because of the public good nature of implementing SusTech solutions,
cooperation will ‘increase the pie’, and the G20 has the critical mass to create effec-
tive cooperation mechanisms. If this happens, it will lead to benefits for non-G20
economies, both through knowledge spillovers and opportunities for non-G20 econ-
omies to plug into value chains in new ways, including through new types of digital
services exports, benefiting all economies.
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AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance
Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal
Approaches
Abstract Artificial intelligence (AI) for sustainable finance has been increasingly
employed over the past several years to address the sustainable development goals
(SDGs). Two major approaches have emerged: institutional and societal AI for sus-
tainable finance. Broadly described, institutional AI for sustainable finance is used
for activities such as environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing, while
societal AI for sustainable finance is used to support underbanked and unbanked
individuals through financial inclusion initiatives. Despite the growing reliance on
such digital tools, particularly during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
pandemic, governance mechanisms and regulatory frameworks remain fragmented
and underutilized or inhibit progress toward the 17 UN SDGs. While major propos-
als and reports were released by standard-setting and regulatory bodies leading up
to 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic indeed caused major setbacks to adoption and
implementation, which in turn have also resulted in inconclusive data and lessons
learned. As the global community begins to navigate out of the pandemic, policy
makers, through multilateral and cross-sector agreements, are looking to renew gov-
ernance mechanisms that mitigate new and pre-existing risks while cultivating sus-
tainability and facilitating innovation.
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 203
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_12
204 S. Pashang and O. Weber
1 Introduction
Artificial intelligence (AI) in financial services has become integrated into our
global social fabric, particularly with the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic in
2020. While such financial technology (fintech) applications have undoubtedly
changed the way money is spent, borrowed, invested and saved—at various junc-
tures of the financial system, they are increasingly being used to address sustainable
development, which will be referred to in this paper as “AI for sustainable finance”.
Fintech emerged after the 2008 global financial crash (GFC) and has rapidly
evolved into a commercial and mainstream service offering since 2018. The
Financial Stability Board (FSB) defines fintech as “technologically enabled innova-
tion in financial services that could result in new business models, applications,
processes or products with an associated material effect on financial markets and
institutions and the provision of financial services” (FSB 2021). Put simply, fintech
includes digital innovations used for financial services.
While the evolution of fintech began with start-ups addressing intermediation
gaps left by the formal banking sector (Aaron et al. 2017), today starts-ups, chal-
lenger digital banks, government agencies and incumbent banks use various subsets
of AI (i.e., machine learning, natural language processing, deep learning) to also
address socially responsible investing (SRI) and financial inclusion—in hopes of
progressing the 17 SDGs approved by the United Nations.
Despite the growing governance action and literature regarding AI and how it
relates to formal financial systems (globally and regionally), governance mecha-
nisms for AI for sustainable finance need to be urgently identified as studies are rare
and the lack of agreed measures could contribute to fragmentation in future policy
outcomes. To bring together a coherent conceptualization of AI for sustainable
finance, this chapter develops a definition: AI that embeds social and environmental
inclusion, ethics and collaboration into its design, development and implementation
to accelerate sustainable development.
Only in the past few years have cross-sector partnerships and multilateral discus-
sions between central banks, standard-setting bodies and policy makers inspired
governance frameworks and recommendations (e.g. the Bali Fintech Agenda and
the Maya Declaration on Financial Inclusion) that advance people and planet, and
not solely profit. On the one hand, AI for sustainable finance has been shown to
unlock or enable efficiencies for various actors or industries, while on the other, it
has been shown to inhibit progress toward sustainable development by presenting
new or existing unintended consequences. Without governance and regulatory
frameworks in place, such innovations may threaten the viability of modern finan-
cial systems and the livelihoods of the actors that contribute to them (Castilla-Rubio
et al. 2016).
With this in mind, the ongoing debate surrounding sustainable development
challenges (e.g. energy consumption, e-waste, privacy and predatory issues, gender
bias and racialization) related to regulations, ethics and particularly governance is
mounting. In response, intergovernmental organizations, central banks and
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 205
regulatory bodies have had to carefully, yet expeditiously, adapt to the evolving
ecosystem—mitigating risk through robust regulatory measures while cultivating
sustainability and facilitating innovation. To unpack these implications, this chapter
addresses AI for sustainable finance using the following structure.
The first section examines the SDGs and how AI for sustainable finance can
achieve them. Technology utilization to improve social and environmental out-
comes during the Fourth Industrial Revolution is well under way. In only a few
years, AI for sustainable finance has evolved from historical data analysis to real-
time information and recently to predictive modelling (International
Telecommunication Union [ITU] 2018).
The second section considers two vantage points related to AI for sustainable
finance. The first observes AI for sustainable finance at the institutional level, in the
context of ESG investing. Specifically, in developed markets, firms use subsets of
AI and big data (e.g. stock prices, ESG risk data, public sentiment) to provide inves-
tors with sustainability insights. The second vantage point relates to AI for sustain-
able finance at the societal level, in the context of digital financial inclusion.
Emerging and frontier market actors have integrated adjacent industries to bridge
the gap between unbanked (and underbanked) populations and the financial system,
serving vulnerable individuals and small businesses that historically have not had
equitable access to financial and/or technology resources and literacy (Cantú and
Ulloa 2020).
The third section discusses the COVID-19 pandemic and the unique challenges
and opportunities it has presented in the context of AI for sustainable finance. For
instance, in late March 2020, the Bank of Canada (BoC) suggested that “During this
time of heightened public health measures intended to limit the transmission of
COVID-19, some consumers and businesses are choosing not to use cash to limit
potential exposure” (Carmichael 2020, para. 6). Current trends indicate an increased
acceptance of digital tools and digital identity, and consideration of digital curren-
cies (Carmichael 2020; Cheung n.d.). As nations and institutions look to AI for
sustainable finance to address pandemic-related circumstances, the SDGs could
serve as a guidepost to accelerate innovation while confronting practices that may
be exclusionary or pose unintentional consequences.
The GFC of 2008 and its aftermath caused enormous turmoil and led to an extended
period of low growth and instability across the international political economy
(Castilla-Rubio et al. 2016). This crisis originated from exorbitant risk-taking by
US banks on subprime mortgages, which burst the housing bubble, triggered the
collapse of the banking sector and led to an unprecedented “credit crunch” around
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 207
the world (Flammer and Ioannou 2020). As a result, numerous governance and reg-
ulatory measures infused by the G20 were implemented to reshape the global finan-
cial system. After the devastating impacts the GFC had on people and planet,
investors and stakeholders turned to sustainable finance (e.g. ESG investing) in
efforts to interrogate nonfinancial criteria related to climate change, environmental
disasters, poor corporate governance and investment risks each of these posed
(Townsend 2020). At the same time, financial inclusion initiatives were established
by G20 leaders (e.g. the Financial Inclusion Experts Group, Global Partnership for
Financial Inclusion [GPFI]); central banks of emerging markets (e.g. the Alliance
for Financial Inclusion and its release of the Maya Declaration on Financial
Inclusion); and the United Nations (e.g. the Task Force on Digital Financing of the
Sustainable Development Goals), to name a few (Arner et al. 2020).
While AI for sustainable finance is relatively new in the literature and in practice,
technology utilization to improve social and environmental outcomes is not. Upon
reviewing the literature, information and communications technology (ICT) was
first introduced in the literature (for example, Cornish 1982; Melody and Mansell
1986; Nooteboom 1992) in the 1980s to represent technologies such as telephone
networks, computer networks, television and radio. In the sustainable development
field, the most widely used reference to technology is “ICT for development”, a
term that was also used in 2000 for the UN Millennium Development Goals (ITU
2015). With advancements and variance in digital innovations, the term ICT no
longer accurately describes the field as it once did and thus must be revisited. The
authors posit that “ICT for good” serves as an umbrella term for newer fields such
as AI for good (Clopath et al. 2019; Rolnick et al. 2019; Taddeo and Floridi 2018);
fintech for good (Arner et al. 2020; Alexander et al. 2017); blockchain for good
(Sylvester 2019; Kewell et al. 2017; Aganaba-Jeanty et al. 2017); and big data for
good (Marsden and Wilkinson 2018; Initiative for Global Environmental Leadership
2014; Maaroof 2015), in both academic and industry journals. To this end, stake-
holders must be cautiously optimistic about advancing AI’s remarkable depth,
power and speed in their efforts to accelerate sustainable development.
Cross-sector partnerships and multilateral efforts by bodies such as the FSB, Bank
for International Settlements, the G20, Organisation for Economic Co-operation
and Development (OECD) and numerous UN agencies have made some progress.
Figure 1 depicts a process recently introduced by the World Bank Group, offering
guidance on regulatory approaches toward fintech (World Bank Group 2020).
Despite such efforts, global adoption and implementation to integrate such frame-
works are largely missing (Fay 2019). This trend is also evident across developed
markets such as Canada and other G20 members (e.g. China, the European Union,
India and the United States), where regulatory bodies are still working to investigate
and implement modifications.
208 S. Pashang and O. Weber
Fig. 1 Process to identify regulatory approaches and policy responses toward fintech. (Source:
World Bank Group 2020)
In 2018, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) launched
the Bali Fintech Agenda paper, which proposed a framework on high-level fintech
issues that countries should consider in their domestic policy discussions (World
Bank Group and IMF 2018). The report presented 12 policy proposals that cover
issues related to enabling fintech, ensuring financial sector resilience, addressing
risks, financial inclusion and promoting international cooperation. While global
cross-sector agreements such as the Bali Fintech Agenda have offered blueprints for
AI for sustainable finance, it is not clear where member nations stand relative to
these proposals presently. The pervasiveness of the COVID-19 pandemic has since
caused reprioritization and major setbacks to such governance implementations,
which in turn have resulted in inconclusive data and lessons learned. The last known
review of country responses was carried out by the World Bank and IMF in 2019
(IMF 2019). Findings from the report included three major themes. First, common
in nearly all regions are critical infrastructural and regulatory gaps (ibid.). Second,
monitoring of entities and activities is still confined within conventional regulatory
parameters (ibid.). Third, legal frameworks to address issues are widely missing
(ibid.). In its regional overview, the report highlighted the following: Africa has
experienced rapid growth of mobile money in a push toward increased financial
inclusion, but differences in regulatory approaches are noticeable and reactive to the
pace of change (ibid.). East Asia has made significant advances in all major aspects
of fintech. To keep up with this pace, regulators have established fintech units and
regulatory “sandboxes” to respond to various risks (e.g. consumer and investor pro-
tection concerns, financial stability and integrity) (ibid.). Entities utilize fintech
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 209
Fig. 2 A typical sandbox life cycle. (Source: World Bank Group 2020. Note: AML/CFT anti-
money laundering/combatting the financing of terrorism)
210 S. Pashang and O. Weber
over such firms. Instead, regulations are dependent on the types of services being
offered by such firms (Global Legal Group 2021). This notion of light-touch regula-
tion has some concerned about bad behaviour by firms, renewing fears of a GFC-
like scenario (Fay 2019). Canadian regulators such as the Department of Finance,
the Competition Bureau and some provincial agencies have made attempts at devel-
oping a fintech regulatory framework (Global Legal Group 2021). The Ontario
Securities Commission, the Autorité des marchés financiers in Quebec and the
Canadian Securities Administrators are currently utilizing fintech sandboxes to
experiment with various solutions (Canadian Bankers Association 2018). Separately,
the federal government in its 2018 Budget Implementation Act, Bill C-74, intro-
duced changes (e.g. the Bank Act, Trust and Loan Companies Act and Insurance
Companies Act) in favour of fintech to provide financial institutions with new abili-
ties (ibid.). What follows is an account of how these factors correspond to AI for
sustainable finance in institutional and societal scenarios.
Three major AI for sustainable finance approaches have emerged related to achiev-
ing the SDGs. The first is at the institutional level and involves redirecting the allo-
cation of existing financial resources toward activities such as ESG investing. The
second is at the societal level and includes the expansion of financial resources
through financial inclusion to support the SDGs. The third is at the regulatory level
and uses technology (regulatory technology or “regtech”) to (re)design enhanced
financial governance systems (Arner et al. 2020). The following explores the first
two approaches, which are central to the focus of this chapter.
4.1 ESG Investing
It is widely studied that SRI can support climate action (e.g. Eccles et al. 2014;
Geobey et al. 2012; Weber and Feltmate 2016). The thirteenth SDG aims to “take
urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts” by integrating measures
into national policies and institutional capacity building (UN 2019a).
This section explores whether and how AI for sustainable finance could be used
by ESG data firms that provide investors with nonfinancial performance informa-
tion. Sustainable finance and AI are both major policy areas concerning stakehold-
ers across sectors, exemplified by numerous initiatives by researchers and policy
makers across G20 member states, the United Nations and the European Commission
(Arner et al. 2020). Despite this, a paucity still exists in how they interact and
whether additional governance and regulatory considerations are necessary. This
was the case with the European Commission’s Sustainable Finance Action Plan,
which made no mention of AI or fintech (Arner et al. 2020). Further, despite the
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 211
Fig. 3 Venture capital activity in fintech and sustainability. (Source: Mastercard 2020. www.mas-
tercard.com/news/media/bz5nmfg4/mastercard_start_path__pitchbook_fintech_for_good_report.
pdf. Note: *As of October 28, 2020)
With the rising demand for AI for Good offerings, governance mechanisms must
confront the duality of what is considered “good”. While AI-driven ESG solutions
can be useful to investors when evaluating a firm’s sustainability activities, it is not
clear whether the algorithms that power such solutions have considered ethics,
inclusion and environmental factors that could potentially compromise progress
toward the SDGs. A recent study (Vinuesa et al. 2020) published in Nature revealed
that while AI enabled the accomplishment of 134 SDG targets, it inhibited the prog-
ress of 59. The study indicated that failure to enforce governance and regulatory
oversight for AI for sustainable development could result in negative societal and
environmental implications (ibid.).
From an ethics and inclusion perspective, key aspects that require governance
attention include transparency, equity, auditability and accountability. For instance,
different algorithms that process the same raw data may ultimately produce differ-
ent outcomes, which may have discriminatory, exclusionary and exploitative impli-
cations (Ehrentraud et al. 2020). A recent study surveyed numerous jurisdictions
and found that none enforced any regulatory requirements for financial institutions
that employ AI (ibid.). Another growing subdomain of AI ethics is sustainable AI,
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 213
4.2 Financial Inclusion
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development recognizes that poverty is the great-
est global challenge and its eradication is a requirement for sustainable develop-
ment. The first SDG aims to “end poverty in all its forms everywhere”1 and pushes
for robust protection systems and spending on primary services to help individuals
escape poverty.
This section explores whether and how AI could help promote an inclusive digi-
tal economy that provides financial services to the unbanked (those who have no
bank account or transactions through a mobile money provider) and underserved
individuals living in poverty. Around 700 million people today live on less than $2
per day and 1.3 billion people are multidimensionally poor (United Nations
Development Programme 2019). Some priority areas and associated targets include
reducing poverty by 50% (by 2030), improving access to sustainable livelihoods
and entrepreneurial opportunities, empowering people living in poverty with sup-
port systems and addressing the disproportionate impact of poverty on women
(United Nations 2019b). While extreme poverty has declined, this trend has slowed,
and the United Nations warns that we are not on track to achieve its 2030 global
target (less than 3% living in extreme poverty) (ibid.). The COVID-19 pandemic has
further exacerbated circumstances for the most vulnerable. Since 2020, the follow-
ing trends have been observed: global poverty (SDG 1)2 has increased for the first
time in decades; inequalities and dangers that women and girls face have increased
1
See https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal1
2
Ibid.
214 S. Pashang and O. Weber
(SDG 5)3; the world is facing the worst economic recession since the great recession
(SDG 8)4; and investment in fossil fuels remains higher than in climate action (SDG
13)5 (United Nations n.d.).
Financial inclusion is one of the UN Global Compact categories in which the
financial sector can play a role in addressing the SDGs, with about 1.7 billion peo-
ple remaining unbanked (Demirgüç-Kunt et al. 2017; Weber 2018). The United
Nations states that to eradicate poverty by 2030, “affordable technological solutions
have to be developed and disseminated widely” (United Nations Development
Programme 2019, para. 2). The role of technology, concerning financial inclusion,
has been discussed by stakeholders after the onset of the GFC. In 2008, policy mak-
ers established the Alliance for Financial Inclusion while G20 leaders endorsed a
Financial Inclusion Action Plan at the Seoul Summit in 2010 and created the GPFI
(Gabor and Brooks 2017). In 2015, the United Nations emphasized financial inclu-
sion in multiple SDGs (numbers 1, 5 and 10) and noted the value of technology in
accelerating them (Greenvest and United Nations Environment Programme 2017).
In 2018, a collaboration between the IMF and World Bank gave rise to the Bali
Fintech Agenda, which established a broad road map to appropriately implementing
digital financial inclusion (Sahay et al. 2020).
In the Global South (e.g. China, Ghana, India, Kenya, Myanmar, Peru and
Uganda), AI for sustainable finance has also been advanced by governments, mobile
money networks and NGOs to help address the needs of individuals who are gener-
ally unbanked or experiencing poverty. Offerings include income and liquidity sup-
port, filing tax returns, flexible loan repayments, lower transaction costs and
increased transaction limits, which are helping shift away from conventional finan-
cial service practices (ibid.). AI for sustainable finance firms such as CreditVidya6
and Zest Finance use alternative data such as “digital fingerprinting” captured from
an individual’s device, browser and social media activity to predict creditworthiness
(Zest AI 2020). In Kenya, M-Shwari (Bharadwaj and Suri 2020) uses a mobile
money system (M-Pesa) to incorporate phone history in its assessment of credit
risk. With 20% of adults (37 million users) in Kenya actively using this service,
M-Shwari is seen by some as a financial inclusion success story (Bharadwaj and
Suri 2020; Cantú and Ulloa 2020). The service incorporates predictive algorithms
and AI to analyse social and telecom data to assess creditworthiness. Within a few
minutes, a credit score is produced, offering the terms of the loan (Bharadwaj and
Suri 2020). On a macro level, insights about the economic health and resilience of a
community can also be extrapolated from the use of mobile financial services,
monthly airtime top-up patterns and the purchase of value-added services (United
Nations Development Programme 2019). Despite their potential to contribute to the
3
See https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal5
4
See https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal8
5
See https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal13
6
See https://creditvidya.com/how-it-works
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 215
SDGs, these examples (such as institutional ones noted above) must be approached
with great caution due to risks related to data security, accountability and bias.
With regard to global remittances, recorded annual flows in 2018 to low- and
middle-income nations reached US$529 billion (a 9.6% increase since 2017) (World
Bank 2019). Conventional transactions pose barriers such as high fees, lack of
traceability and beneficiaries who lack formal identification or bank accounts
(ibid.). To address this, AI for sustainable finance related to remittance transactions
may remove such constraints by ensuring transparency of inflows, directing remit-
tances toward socially responsible purchases, offering cheaper transaction fees (a
reduction from ten to three percent), securing the privacy of individuals and creating
digital IDs that can be used for other money transfers (United Nations Development
Programme 2018). AI for sustainable finance is also being used to provide unbanked
individuals with insurance rates for farming, credit scores and loans through
consent-based alternative data sources such as digital (email, social media and
mobile transactions), behavioural and psychometrics. Despite much progress, gov-
ernance mechanisms are necessary to ensure such initiatives address inclusion, eth-
ics and collaboration in their design, development and implementation.
While anecdotal indications seem to show great potential for AI for sustainable
finance when considering financial inclusion, risks and unintended consequences
have been hard to quantify and are loosely studied. In order for AI to best serve
financial inclusion, “exclusive inclusion” must be addressed. Broadly defined,
exclusive inclusion is the deliberate or unintentional practice of “including” or aid-
ing particular groups of people while knowingly or unknowingly excluding others.
The concept can also refer to providing services that (from the perspective of the
provider) seem to address recipients’ needs while overlooking or ignoring their
other interconnected needs. Often, such practices worsen pre-existing risks or trig-
ger new ones.
For instance, AI for sustainable finance has the potential to close gender gaps and
ensure women (currently one billion are unbanked) are not left behind; however,
special attention needs to be paid to pre-existing barriers for women such as access
to technology (smartphones and internet access), cultural and social norms and digi-
tal and financial literacy (D’Silva et al. 2019; Sahay et al. 2020). Undocumented
individuals (particularly women) could face even more risks and complexities. This
is important given AI for sustainable finance is often the only viable option for many
refugees who are seeking loans. Further, as the spread of credit has increased from
Global North countries to such individuals, it has resulted in uneven distribution of
credit access and livelihood support, since some (e.g. entrepreneurs) are deemed
worthy of loans while others experience further exclusion (Bhagat and Roderick
2020). Critics of such approaches suggest that such options are an extension of
financialization and situate marginalized people as recipients of unregulated finan-
cial services through technology (Gabor and Brooks 2017).
216 S. Pashang and O. Weber
The COVID-19 pandemic is the most devastating and pervasive challenge in mod-
ern history. This global emergency has been classified as a “mega-crisis” or a sys-
tem that consists of numerous crises, each with interconnected parts, drivers and
consequences (Pashang 2020). Almost 2 years have gone by since cases of
COVID-19 first appeared in Wuhan, China. Despite recent vaccination programs,
more than 220 million cases and more than five million deaths have been confirmed
worldwide, and the pandemic continues to spread havoc (World Health Organization
n.d.). Due to physical distancing and lockdown measures resulting from the pan-
demic, financial services designed around cash and in-person interactions to open
accounts, determine creditworthiness or provide financial literacy significantly
shifted to contactless and cashless transactions, deployment of government support
measures and lending (Sahay et al. 2020). Fintech has evolved from spending to
lending to fill existing gaps within traditional financial services (ibid.).
The global demand for fintech services increased dramatically during the pan-
demic, particularly in response to the varying severity of lockdown restrictions
enforced across regions. A major cross-sector study analysed 1385 fintech firms
across 169 countries and found that services in markets with more stringent lock-
down restrictions reported larger growth in volume and number of transactions
(Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, World Bank and World Economic
Forum 2020). Figure 4 illustrates that fintech firms situated in regions with the high-
est stringency measures reported 50% more volume and transactions (year-on-year
Q1 to Q2) than those in the lowest quantile (ibid.).
In many parts of the world, fintech has supported individuals and businesses
through challenges caused by the pandemic. For instance, small- and medium-sized
enterprises (SMEs) in Latin America that were in need of relief were able to access
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 217
16% 15%
14%
14%
12%
12%
10% 10% 10%
9%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Low Stringency (n.229) Medium Stringency (n.707) High Stringency (n.397)
Transaction Volumes Number of Transactions
Source: Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, World Bank and World Economic Forum
(2020).
Fig. 4 Transaction volumes and number of transactions under low, medium and high COVID-19
lockdown stringencies, all fintech verticals (% change, year-on-year Q1–Q2). (Source: Cambridge
Centre for Alternative Finance, World Bank and World Economic Forum 2020)
had piloted Project Jasper, one of the most comprehensive crypto-based central
bank digital currencies in the world (IMF 2019; FSB 2017). Less than a year after
the onset of the pandemic, with growing hesitancy among consumers about using
cash, BoC Deputy Governor Timothy Lane stated that “if we want to be ready to
develop any kind of digital central bank product, we need to move faster than we
thought was going to be necessary” (Gordon 2020, para. 4). For central banks in
emerging and frontier markets, financial inclusion has been among the main reasons
for exploring cryptocurrencies such as stablecoin (Bank for International
Settlements 2020).
The FSB has indicated that fintech does not yet (by itself) pose significant risks
(Restoy 2019; Sahay et al. 2020). From a macroeconomic perspective, given appro-
priate regulations are in place, AI for sustainable finance may offer positive out-
comes by enabling greater portions of the population to participate in formal
economic activity. This was supported by the IMF, which suggested AI for sustain-
able finance has the potential to enhance the efficacy of post-pandemic macroeco-
nomic policies, when considering income creation and employment (Sahay
et al. 2020).
Notwithstanding these opportunities, it is not yet understood whether or how
such opportunities could instead exacerbate pre-existing and/or new risks to those
they intend to serve. Looking to prior examples, the rapid development of various
fintech has resulted in structural unintended consequences, leading to a spike in
predatory lending practices and financing terrorism and corruption (Orol 2018). In
2020, such practices have already been observed in Indonesia, where the Financial
Services Authority shut down more than 1000 unlicensed digital lenders that offered
prohibited services and employed contentious debt collection approaches (Faux
2020; Sahay et al. 2020). These trends could intensify during the pandemic given
that millions of people have faced sudden job loss and unemployment. To mitigate
these risks, there is a need for cross-sector partnerships at both the domestic and
international levels for policy development (Sahay et al. 2020).
Stringent lockdown restrictions have also increased the overreliance on AI for
sustainable finance, which may lead to unintentional harms that foster exclusive
inclusion. Due to the online-only nature of digital services, individuals without
technological accessibility or literacy may be discriminated against and excluded.
Unequal access to digital infrastructure, potential biases in data analytics and mod-
elling and lack of access to technology (e.g. smartphones, computers and the inter-
net) could also lead to new forms of exclusion if there is a strong drive toward
digital financial services during and after the pandemic (ibid.). Further, the pan-
demic could restrict already marginalized groups such as women, the elderly, those
with disabilities, non-status migrants and those living in remote communities (UN
Secretary-General’s High-level Panel on Digital Cooperation 2019). Additionally,
those experiencing homelessness, trafficked individuals (whose finances may be
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 219
While numerous journal papers, policy reports and grey literature have been pub-
lished by scholars, governments, standard-setting and regulatory bodies and private
sector firms, few have investigated and incorporated findings of governance for AI
for sustainable finance, from both societal and institutional vantage points. Although
this proposal aligns with and complements earlier important works, including the
2020 report The Promise of Fintech: Financial Inclusion in the Post COVID-19 Era
(Sahay et al. 2020), this chapter narrows the focus and disentangles concepts by
providing three key policy recommendations when considering AI for sustainable
finance. Drawing on findings from the literature, it is recommended that policy
makers consider the following: first, mitigate unintended social and environmental
consequences; second, promote ESG disclosure; and third, strengthen cross-sector
partnerships.
First, inequitable social relations may appear between those who define, control
and administer technology for development and the recipients of such solutions
(Vinuesa et al. 2020). These inequalities may ultimately violate the SDGs, and,
therefore, AI for sustainable finance initiatives should consider who is included and
excluded, who benefits and why and how can the marginalized be empowered
(Gupta and Vegelin 2016). This entails an in-depth and critical understanding of the
challenges faced by the present generations without compromising the livelihoods
of future generations (Bansal 2019). Inclusion, feedback and input of end users are
necessary ingredients that ensure value, consideration, agency and dignity for
unbanked individuals (Dupas et al. 2018). As social, environmental and technologi-
cal needs and constraints evolve, encouraging feedback from relevant stakeholders
is important to ensure that AI for sustainable finance initiatives continue to add
value to the user (ibid.). This input ensures that voices and changing circumstances
are considered and that resources are effectively allocated to address them
(Young 2011).
Second, rapid innovation and greater access to technology have unintended con-
sequences on the environment (World Economic Forum 2019). The increased
demands for energy that produce and fuel digital technologies have significant
impacts on the environment in several ways, including increased resource mining,
electricity usage, harmful by-products, fossil fuel consumption and electronic waste
(ibid.). The World Economic Forum (ibid.) stated that electronic waste is the fastest
growing waste stream globally, reaching 48 million tonnes and worth $62 billion.
While much work is to be done, large organizations (“big tech”) have recently
started building sustainability programs to reduce and offset these implications
(Rolnick et al. 2019). Technology giants such as Google have partnered with NGOs
to shift toward circular economies by investing in restorative and regenerative data
centres, products and supply chains (Google 2016). Google has been carbon neutral
since 2007 and for several years has been matching its energy usage with 100%
renewable energy purchases (ibid.). The company has also designed carbon-AI sys-
tems to shift heavy computing in their data centres during peak times using wind
and solar power, without creating additional demands on electricity. This is part of
an ambitious effort to source carbon-free energy on a 24/7 basis (ibid.). Despite this
progress, big tech companies such as Google also contribute to climate change. For
instance, Google’s AlphaGo Zero AI project generated the same amount (96 tonnes)
of CO2 during its 40 days of training as 23 American homes (van Wynsberghe
2021). Not surprisingly, Amazon and Microsoft, despite promoting their sustain-
ability efforts, also release large amounts of CO2 emissions to run their services
(Strubell et al. 2019).
Recipients or users of AI for sustainable finance should play a role in the design,
development and implementation of such innovations. This would ensure that vari-
ous perspectives are considered equitably, which may increase adoption and enhance
livelihoods (Gupta and Vegelin 2016). Predicting the needs of future generations
through sustainable development, therefore, is not against generating business
wealth but addressing two unique and interrelated criteria: wealth should meet
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 221
people’s basic needs and should be generated within the constraints of the Earth’s
productive capacity (Bansal 2019).
As the 17 SDGs and 169 associated targets are interconnected, the fulfilment of the
2030 Agenda will require sectors (including incumbents, start-ups, regulators and
policy makers) to work collectively on financial resources, sharing of knowledge
and technology and tackling issues in all countries, especially developing ones (UN
Secretary-General’s High-level Panel on Digital Cooperation 2019). To support this
aim, the United Nations can serve as a convener to explore the role, configuration
and implementation of strategies that apply to AI for sustainable finance
initiatives.
In both institutional and societal cases described in previous sections, experts
from NGOs, the private sector, academia and government must come together to
address sustainable development. This should be done with community members
and end users contributing to solutions that will affect their livelihoods (Erdiaw-
Kwasie and Alam 2016). With this mindset, collaborations would allow each actor
to identify and overcome existing gaps more effectively (ibid.). Global innovation
systems have conventionally been created by single institutions in the private or
public sectors but have fallen short of meeting global targets, especially those
addressing issues related to poverty, climate change and associated vulnerabilities
(Casillas and Kammen 2010; Eakin et al. 2014; Pinkse and Kolk 2012). Typically,
technologies are not developed for markets that do not drive revenue, or when
developed, they do not consider the end user’s needs, lowering agency, adoption and
efficacy (Anadon et al. 2016). For instance, smaller fintech providers in sub-Saharan
Africa eagerly, but hesitantly, partner with larger incumbents as they often face
power imbalances and fear that their businesses are at risk (Chetty et al. 2019).
During the COVID-19 pandemic, the integration of government digital systems
and AI for sustainable finance firms proved effective in providing policy support in
the absence of physical human interaction. Therefore, to ensure digital financial
inclusion, a fiscal response must work in parallel with digital infrastructure imple-
mentation as well as enhance digital and financial literacy. Actors across sectors
must strike a balance to ensure digital innovation can thrive while governance and
regulatory mechanisms are in place as the demand increases for AI for sustainable
finance. This will help prevent risks to financial integrity as well as to consumers
(cybersecurity, predatory lending practices and so forth). Further, policy makers can
work toward international standards and agreements on data privacy, cybersecurity,
digital identification and digital currencies (Sahay et al. 2020).
AI for sustainable finance may present risks and contradictory, unintended or
unexpected consequences. To effectively identify and manage the risks and oppor-
tunities related to AI for sustainable finance, there is a need for global dialogue and
governance involving multiple stakeholders aligned with the SDGs. Partnerships
(across and within sectors) and policies should be developed to share and bridge
digital resources (data, knowledge, practices and tools) besides addressing topics
with multiple lenses. This approach will aid in increasing standards consistency
across institutions, digital equality and inclusion for underrepresented voices such
AI for Sustainable Finance: Governance Mechanisms for Institutional and Societal… 223
as women and traditionally marginalized groups and the interoperability of data and
access for end users (UN Secretary-General’s High-level Panel on Digital
Cooperation 2019). Serving as an impartial facilitator, bodies such as the United
Nations can work with actors to develop AI for sustainable finance impact assess-
ments and to ensure mechanisms that safeguard against data security and privacy
issues (Hilbert 2017). Other major areas requiring coordination include the lack of
harmonized standards and interoperability of technology, fragmentation of payment
systems, lack of commonly accepted application programming interface standards
and development of open-sourced platforms and a common payments ecosystem
(Bank of International Settlements 2020; Ehrentraud et al. 2020).
7 Conclusion
AI for sustainable finance is evolving rapidly. With its continued emergence, there
will be both opportunities and risks related to sustainable development and financial
stability that policy makers and regulators should consider. This chapter investi-
gated the role and implications of AI in achieving the SDGs. To address current and
future governance challenges, three key recommendations were provided to serve as
a guidepost for AI for sustainable finance in both institutional and societal settings
as well as through the COVID-19 pandemic. As with any innovation, AI can provide
either opportunity or exacerbate social or environmental inequality, and responsibil-
ity falls on academics, policy makers, corporate actors, innovators and citizens to
work toward solutions beneficial to the three pillars of sustainability.
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Big Tech Corporations and AI: A Social
License to Operate and Multi-Stakeholder
Partnerships in the Digital Age
M. Capasso (*)
Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna, Pisa, Italy
e-mail: [email protected]
S. Umbrello
Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 231
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_13
232 M. Capasso and S. Umbrello
1 Introduction
Artificial intelligence (AI) systems have and continue to entrench themselves into
the ever complex sociotechnical infrastructures that characterise our modern digital
world. These systems drive many of our everyday tools like vehicles, smartphones,
entertainment systems, financial instruments, education practices, retail and health-
care. However, the often opaque, complex nature of the techniques underlying these
systems makes their behaviours challenging to track and trace and, thus, hard to
predict. With this uncertainty comes new and challenging ethical issues that we
must confront head-on, given the ubiquity, pervasiveness and impact that these sys-
tems have and will have on our lives and societies.
We already see the consequences of many of these seemingly common, albeit
impactful AI-driven technologies on how we relate to each other and our traditional
social practices. Much of this, aside from the difficulty of managing the challenges
of the underlying AI technologies themselves, is that such AI techniques are often
not constrained to a single domain of application but instead come in the form of
commercially available (and thus easily accessible) household technologies.
Technologies like Amazon Alexa can and are easily upskilled to include novel capa-
bilities and services not native to the device. Consequently, the Big Tech corpora-
tions behind this AI upskilling of more basic systems become entangled with public
domains such as public healthcare services and many others.
This enmeshment of private corporate bodies with traditional public domains is
cause for concern, given the undue influence that these economic giants can have
not only on public research and agendas but also on the everyday interactions that
private citizens have concerning those public spheres. In response to this challenge,
this chapter focuses on assessing and evaluating what kind of business model is
desirable to incentivise the AI for Social Good (AI4SG) factors in order to better
manage this merging of domains. The AI4SG factors proposed by Floridi et al.
(2020) provide a robust normative basis for how designers should approach the
design and deployment of AI systems towards supporting social good. Likewise,
there is a growing body of research on how these AI4SG norms can be used to sup-
port higher-order values like the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals
(UN SDGs). In particular, the chapter explores the implications of this discourse for
SDG #17 (global partnership) and how this goal may encourage Big Tech corpora-
tions to strengthen multi-stakeholder partnerships that promote effective public-
private and civil society partnerships and the meaningful co-presence of non-market
and market values. To do this, the chapter proposes an analysis of the ‘social license
to operate’ – a notion firstly originated from the extractive and mining industry –
and introduces it into the discourse on sustainable digital business models and
responsible management of risks in the digital age. Adopting these frameworks
serves to explore how such a social license can be adopted as a practice by digital
business models to foster trust, collaboration and coordination among different
actors, including AI researchers and initiatives, institutions and civil society at large
to support the SDGs interrelated targets and goals.
Big Tech Corporations and AI: A Social License to Operate and Multi-Stakeholder… 233
In 2015, the United Nations and all member states adopted the 2030 agenda for
sustainable development. This 2030 agenda proposed objectives to design and
implement a worldwide safe and sustainable future (United Nations 2015). At its
foundation are 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The adopted proposal
recognises that the SDGs co-constitute and co-vary with one another. As a result,
despite their numerical designations, they are not mutually exclusive of one another,
rank-ordered or framed as trade-offs. For example, SDGs such as the ending of
poverty (SDG #1) and climate change remediation (SDG #13) go hand in hand
(Schwan 2019). Among ending poverty and climate change action, there are goals
such as ‘affordable and clean energy’ (SDG #7), ‘industry, innovation and infra-
structure’ (SDG #9) and ‘sustainable cities and communities’ (SDG #11) just to
name a few (Fig. 1).
This means that to achieve the stated goals of the 2030 proposal, an integrated
and comprehensive understanding of the goals is necessary. Reading the goals, then,
as being separate or as rank-ordered is not the correct approach. Instead, they are
best read as being mutually co-constitutive of one another. Furthermore, a more
general understanding of global system’s thinking and complexity sciences is criti-
cal to understanding the various effects of different artefacts and subsystems within
a more extensive interactive network, rather than the isolation of discrete entities
(Ballew et al. 2019; Briscoe 2015; van de Poel 2020). The resulting complexity of
the covariance and interaction of entities, whether they are humans, rainforests,
institutions or technologies, means that equal if not greater interdisciplinarity from
numerous fields is required to comprehend and anticipate the effects of different
nodes within a more extensive sociotechnical system (Murphy et al. 2015).
These systemic effects did not go unignored by the General Assembly. As a
result, the UN established the Technology Facilitation Mechanism (TFM) to pro-
mote innovative solutions for the SDG agenda, viz. multi-stakeholder collaboration
(United Nations 2015). The TFM council meets before every high-level UN meet-
ing on the SDGs to discuss innovative solutions to achieve those goals. Thus, the
UN has an institutional orientation towards technology as both the problem and
potential solution to global issues. In doing so, the UN explicitly adopted an interac-
tive stance towards understanding the impacts of technology is significant. This
means that instead of viewing technology as purely deterministic or instrumental, it
affirms the interactional nature of technology and social factors at an institutional
level, permitting a landscape of comprehensive expertise to address these problems
en masse, rather than haphazardly.
Therefore, we can understand SDGs as partially emerging due to technological
development and the potential avenues for amelioration in addressing them. This, of
course, does not necessarily entail that every problem requires a high-tech solution
(nor that such a solution exists) but that institutional or even conceptual solutions
exist to high-tech problems. For example, algorithmic trading agents make rapid
stock market trades relatively easy given the efficiency of trading speeds and data
analytics to increase the probability that profitable trades are made. However, the
economic impacts of such AI systems can be potentially egregious given their rela-
tive inaccessibility to all but those organisations that can afford the expensive algo-
rithms. This can easily lead to an excessively unfair marketplace. The solution to
such a problem need not be high-tech but can come about through equitable regula-
tions in institutions limiting the times and quantities of trades to promote a fairer
marketspace for smaller organisations. Analysing these complex solutions by tack-
ling their interdependencies makes for more robust and more productive solutions.
Thus, artificial intelligence, being part of a larger milieu of ICTs and disruptive
technologies, can be understood as ways of realising the goals of SDGs in a simi-
larly holistic way, leveraging the power of big data analytics and machine learning
technologies all framed within a design perspective to direct its development
towards socially beneficial ends in the service of SDG attainment and human rights.
A salient example would be using AI systems to develop Operator 4.0 technologies
used in intelligent production manufacturing domains. Such systems support opera-
tors by extending their cognitive, sensorial, physical and interactional capacities to
increase production efficiency as well as aptly diagnose and design technological
development towards beneficial ends (Gazzaneo et al. 2020; Longo et al. 2017;
Vernim et al. 2022). Doing so not only increases productivity and thus the potential
availability/accessibility of goods such as energy production devices and medical
instruments but also provides a safer working environment for operators. The more
extensive network of indirect stakeholders is similarly implicated, such as the geo-
political entities that host such production firms and the general public that depend
on such technologies. Multiple SDGs are thus involved in such as ‘affordable and
clean energy’ (#7) and ‘industry, innovation and infrastructure’ (#9).
Big Tech Corporations and AI: A Social License to Operate and Multi-Stakeholder… 235
These goals similarly inspire the development of new technologies. For example,
goal #5 of the UN’s agenda aims at gender equality and reducing global physical and
sexual violence against women and girls. Towards this end, the peace advocacy group
Amnesty International developed and launched the ‘Panic Button’ app in 2014, per-
mitting users to leverage their networks to report attacks, kidnappings or torture
(Amnesty International 2014). The panic button on their phone allows individuals
who may face such dangers to have a powerful way of signalling abuse, exemplifying
technology’s ability to be designed to ‘fight’ for human rights and gender equality.
Another salient example of how the issues driving the SDGs inspire novel tech-
nology is AI in agriculture. Crop disease has been a leading source of global hunger
(goal #1) and poverty (goal #2) (Quinn et al. 2011). Given the continual increase in
the need for sustainable food production, accessible AI solutions to aid individual
farmers, particularly in developing countries, are required to assist in managing fac-
tors such as predictions for crop yield (You et al. 2017), growing conditions
(Kersting et al. 2012), price forecasting (Ma et al. 2019) and crop choice recom-
mendation (Von Lücken and Brunelli 2008) among others. To this end, the Artificial
Intelligence & Data Science Lab at Makerere University in Uganda developed and
released the mCrops app diagnostic tools for diagnosing viral crop diseases in cas-
sava crops, one of the important staple food crops in the country and highly suscep-
tible to viral disease (Quinn et al. 2011).
This section aimed to outline the UN’s SDG their covariance with technologies,
that is, how technologies can be understood as both the causes of the SDGs and poten-
tial solutions. Similarly, how the SDG inspires new technologies is briefly explored as
well as some examples. The following section outlines the seven AI4SG factors.
1
AIA 2021, 39; cf. Annexe 1 on Artificial Intelligence Techniques and Approaches: (a) Machine
learning approaches, including supervised, unsupervised and reinforcement learning, using a wide
variety of methods including deep learning; (b) logic- and knowledge-based approaches, including
knowledge representation, inductive (logic) programming, knowledge bases, inference and deduc-
tive engines, (symbolic) reasoning and expert systems; (c) statistical approaches, Bayesian estima-
tion, search and optimisation methods; see European Commission 2021.
236 M. Capasso and S. Umbrello
Recently, some scholars have used the term AI4SG to describe work on AI aimed
at the SDGs and to evaluate AI impacts in terms of direct and direct implications on
the seventeen SDGs (Tomašev et al., 2020; Vinuesa et al., 2020; Sætra, 2021a, b;
Umbrello and van de Poel, 2021). However, given the global impacts that AI sys-
tems can have across multiple domains, their ubiquity as well as their pervasiveness
in our sociotechnical infrastructures, it makes sense to ask how AI can be designed
to support higher-order values like the SDGs and not only the values often impli-
cated by AI like explicability, privacy and human autonomy (Fig. 2).
The AI for Good Foundation is an excellent example of a non-profit entity com-
ing together in collaboration with academic, institutional and governmental bodies
to promote AI not only as the subject of being designed for the social good but also
as a tool that can be used to support the social good in the form of the SDGs. This
is also echoed in the work of Umbrello and van de Poel (2021). They argue that a
value sensitive design approach towards technology design can be modified suffi-
ciently to address the unique challenges posed by AI systems. As a result, salient
Big Tech Corporations and AI: A Social License to Operate and Multi-Stakeholder… 237
design can draw on the UN’s SDGs as a guide for determining values to design for
(i.e. doing good/beneficial outcomes) as well as avoiding harm using the norms
described by the AI4SG norms. An example of how to visualise this can be seen in
Table 1.
Naturally, however, the motivations for design differ across different projects. As
a result, there is no normative starting point that designers must begin with. The
UN’s interactional stance maps neatly onto existing design methodologies like
value sensitive design, given that VSD is also an approach predicated in the interac-
tional stance. From this point then, technology design can begin with the discrete
technology itself as a starting point, the context of use or a specific value. For the
sake of explaining how the approach functions, we begin from the left side of the
figure – i.e. ‘Doing Good’ – to illustrate. Engineers can start by determining and
explicitly stating which of the SDGs they aim to contribute to, given the type of AI
system they are currently engaged to design. In doing so, different SDG resolutions
or ameliorations might call for different AI solutions that may be more aptly suited
rather than others. Identifying which might be most efficacious towards addressing
SDGs can then be used to determine a standard core set of values such as transpar-
ency, explicability or data privacy (i.e. the centre of the figure).
Various contextual variables come into play that impact the way values are
understood, both in conceptual terms and in practice, on account of different socio-
cultural and political norms. Eliciting stakeholders in sociocultural contexts
becomes imperative within the approach (i.e. working within the bounds to support
SDG #17) to determine if the a priori explicated values of the project faithfully map
onto those of the stakeholders, both direct and indirect stakeholders. In engaging
with the context-situated nuances of how various values may come to play with any
given system, various pitfalls and constraints can begin to be envisioned, particu-
larly how the initial core values can be understood in terms of technical design
requirements. These values can then be used to distil specific technical design
requirements by using normative imperatives, in the case of AI, the AI4SG
principles.
In sum, AI has already manifested pervasive impacts on a global level. To meet
these challenges, the AI4SG norms were developed as a distilled set of design prin-
ciples to help achieve salient AI design. Still, it makes sense to ask how the AI4SG
principles relate to higher-order goals like the SDGs. This section aimed to discuss
what the SDGs were and how the SDGs can be supported in tandem with and by the
AI4SG norms. Still, this remains relatively novel in terms of its applicability. Given
the impacts of AI systems, what is required is greater uptake of an explicit orienta-
tion of using the AI4SG principles to support and further the SDGs. The following
sections will discuss how to move towards sustainable business models as well as
the concept and necessity for a ‘social license to operate’ concerning AI systems, in
particular, the application of this social license to Big Tech corporations, arguably
the source of the most impactful and forms of AI that have a global diaspora.
possible long-term positive effects on the economy and as an enabler for social and
economic-related SDG targets and indicators, especially those concerning collabo-
rations between different actors, including business models and non-market-driven
realities.
For example, Vinuesa and colleagues did not find much published empirical evi-
dence of AI as an enabler or inhibitor of SDG #17 (global partnership for sustain-
able development) and its various targets.2 Nonetheless, they sustain that several
initiatives that focus on the humanistic side of AI can be a means to achieve effec-
tive public-private and civil society partnerships and policy coherence for sustain-
able development (Vinuesa et al. 2020, supplementary data 1).3 They also recognised
that AI-driven systems are not so easily subject to the oversight or accountability of
public experts. However, such systems are massively entering and influencing core
social domains, such as healthcare, criminal justice, education and so on (Vinuesa
et al. 2020, supplementary data 1; Reisman and al. 2018). Sætra asserted that SDG
#17 is part of a group of goals on which AI have minor or no direct effects and lim-
ited indirect effects; nonetheless, he recognises that ‘AI play a key role as the sub-
ject matter both for regulations and policy for the partnership for sustainable
development’ (Sætra 2021b, 15, italics by authors).
Among the initiatives that monitor AI4SG’s advancements, the Oxford Initiative
on AIxSDG is a curated database of AI projects addressing SDGs launched in 2019
(Cowls et al. 2021). Presently, in its online repository, four projects can be found
that promote the ‘partnership for the goals’ SDG; however, those ‘partnerships’ are
related either to specialised communities, such as those of the astronomers and hos-
pital staff or national policies and governments.4 However, SDG #17 should also
aim at promoting global partnership and cooperation built upon shared values and
principles. In particular, concerning technology, SDG #17 established in target 17.6
the Technology Facilitation Mechanism (TFM), as already mentioned. TFM
intended to be a multi-stakeholder mechanism including UN agencies, governments
and various stakeholders to deliver science, technology and innovation (STI) for the
SDGs (UN 2015, para. 123). Unfortunately, as highlighted in the Spotlight Global
Civil Society Report on the 2030 Agenda and SDGs, TFM is still lacking an online
platform due to the absence of dedicated funding and has an ‘untapped potential’,
since it should not be a forum only for proponents of technology but include the
direct participation of people that are affected by it (Daño 2019, 188). In a few
2
Vineusa et al. (2020) found evidence of positive AI contributions on 15% of SDG 17’s subgoals
and negative contributions to 5% of its subgoals.
3
Specifically, Vineusa et al. (2020) referred to Open AI (project description: https://openai.com/);
partnership for AI (project description: https://www.partnershiponai.org/); AINow (project descrip-
tion: https://ainowinstitute.org/); AI Sustainability Centre in Stockholm (project description: http://
www.aisustainability.org/). They also provided reference to Smith & Neupane (2018) and Greene
et al. (2019).
4
Oxford Initiative on AIxSDGs. https://www.sbs.ox.ac.uk/research/centres-and-initiatives/oxford-
initiative-aisdgs. On the projects related to the promotion of SDG 17, see https://www.aiforsdgs.
org/all-projects?sustainable_development%5B%5D=1356&search=d (Last access 4
October 2021).
Big Tech Corporations and AI: A Social License to Operate and Multi-Stakeholder… 241
words, we can say that more ‘societal deliberations’5 on how sociotechnical systems
are now impacting norms and SDGs and on how this process should be regulated
are still needed and still have vague implementation.
Collective responsibility for sustainability, especially in the digital era of Big
Tech corporations, cannot underestimate the role that private-public partnerships
(PPPs) and multi-stakeholder initiatives as mechanisms may have in fostering social
responses to emerging technology changes and also in redistributing power and
resources in more equal modalities, both nationally and globally. Moreover, when
such PPPs and initiatives are placed in a proper and democratic regulatory-
institutional environment, they can provide better infrastructures to citizens and
improve interrelated capacities between different groups, which should be consid-
ered integral parts of a whole.
However, the mechanisms and conceptual frameworks for benchmarking such
PPPs and multi-stakeholder engagement are mostly vacuous or altogether side-lined
in these discussions. This paper proposes the concept of a ‘social license to operate’
to better frame how multiple stakeholders come to trust and, consequently, accept
an industry’s legitimate position to operate in their community. The following sec-
tion defines this social license to operate as well as why it is required in the dig-
ital age.
The notion of a ‘social license to operate’ (SLO) is not new: indeed, it has increas-
ingly taken a fundamental role in the business literature on sustainability over the
years. It was coined concerning the mining and extractive industry but is now used
in a range of other industry sectors, and it is generally defined as the acceptance and
trust gained by a business model or corporation by the community in which it is
placed and operates (Moffat and et al. 2015; Komnitsas 2020). Having a social
license to operate means having legitimacy from internal stakeholders and outside
stakeholders, and the greater community. Most importantly, it means identifying a
business model as a proper social institution: beyond economic and market consid-
erations, every business model is a social entity and thus subject to public account-
ability and public control (Sale 2019; Melé and Armengou 2015). Social license
means also going beyond laws and regulations positioned within the legal system
since it is related to credibility and social permission practices. As such, the concept
of a social license is based on building and structuring trust and consent of people
and communities affected by the business model’s actions at stake.
Social license theorists do not align on understanding and measuring the value of
social license (Gehman and et al. 2017). Nonetheless, the term’s popularity is a sign
5
Such a term is used also by Daño (2019), 188.
242 M. Capasso and S. Umbrello
Fig. 3 The pyramid model of SLO. (Reproduced from Boutilier and Thomson 2011: 2)
6
Boutilier and Thomson speak of ‘stakeholder networks’ to include many actors that are affected
or affect business models beyond and above specific and local communities, such as international
human rights activists and others (Boutilier and Thomson 2011, 2–3).
Big Tech Corporations and AI: A Social License to Operate and Multi-Stakeholder… 243
7
See also Joseph, L.2018 Why the tech giants of Silicon Valley must rebuild trust after explosive
beginnings available at https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2018/11/why-move-fast-and-break-
things-doesn-t-cut-it-anymore/ (last access October 4, 2021).
244 M. Capasso and S. Umbrello
8
See, for example, Schulze 2019. If you want to know what a US tech crackdown may look like,
check out what Europe did, June 7, 2019, available at https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/07/how-
google-facebook-amazon-and-apple-faced-eu-tech-antitrust-rules.html (last access October
4, 2021).
Big Tech Corporations and AI: A Social License to Operate and Multi-Stakeholder… 245
5 Conclusion
The AI for Social Good norms are a growing set of design imperatives that aim at
designing AI towards the social good. However, despite many projects exploring
how these norms can be operationalised towards achieving higher-order values like
those of the UN Sustainable Development Goals, they include little guidance for
how their uptake can be increased by the existing business models of Big Tech cor-
porations. The tech giants are arguably the most impactful market players when it
comes to the digital age. However, they operate seemingly autonomously despite
the impacts they have on multiple stakeholders.
This chapter looks at the types of business models that have a greater propensity
to operationalise and forward the AI4SG norms towards supporting global goals
like those of the UN SDGs. In doing so, we introduced the concept of the ‘social
license to operate’ (SLO). This sociological notion has its origin in the literature on
the extractive and mining industry, but that has now become increasingly used in the
sustainability literature across several different industries. We argued that SLO can
better capture the criteria necessary for multiple and diverse stakeholders to col-
laborate and, mainly, to trust industry giants and therefore accept their operation in
their communities. Indeed, we demonstrated that SLO can be a practice that, relying
on and further developing normative criteria such as legitimacy, credibility and
trust, would undoubtedly be significantly beneficial to ensure trustworthiness and
public scrutiny on the decisions and actions of new digital business models. Overall,
SLO could be a powerful social tool to induce such digital business models the
adoption of responsible, sustainable and proactive business strategies.
Acknowledgements The content of this publication has not been approved by the United Nations
and does not reflect the views of the United Nations or its officials or Member States.
246 M. Capasso and S. Umbrello
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Part II
AIxSDGs: Existing and Potential Use
Cases
A Legal Identity for All Through Artificial
Intelligence: Benefits and Drawbacks
in Using AI Algorithms to Accomplish
SDG 16.9
Mirko Forti
M. Forti (*)
University of Tuscia, Viterbo, Italy
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 253
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_14
254 M. Forti
1 Introduction
The unavailability of legal identity is an urgent issue. Civil registration offices may
not be able to provide everyone with identification documents for several reasons:
the lack of appropriate infrastructures to manage identity-related data, the impossi-
bility to reach out to individuals in rural areas, natural disasters destroying public
archives and persecutions on a discriminatory basis are only a few factors that could
cause the exclusion of specific individuals from official identification and birth reg-
istration, especially in developing countries.
Holding a legal identity is a prerequisite to being a recognised member of civil
society. The lack of identification documents is a determining factor of social and
economic exclusion. More specifically, undocumented people could not access the
same rights and opportunities as any other individual (Gelb and Clark 2013). They
cannot interact with public bodies or private entities, so they are unable to access
services like healthcare, education, social welfare, formal employment and more.
This sort of ‘identity gap’ between undocumented people and registered individuals
exacerbates socioeconomic discrepancies and inequalities and does not permit
inclusive social development.
According to the Identification for Development (ID4D) programme, an initia-
tive of the World Bank to address digital identity issues, about 1 billion people still
do not have official proof of their identity (Global ID4D Dataset 2021). One in two
women from low-income countries does not have ID, and they can’t be part of pub-
lic society. Vulnerable segments of the population, like women or disabled persons,
may face severe difficulties to obtain ID credentials (ID4D Annual Report 2020).
The United Nations aims to provide every individual with a legal identity by the
year 2030, according to the Social Development Goal (SDG) 16.9, overcoming such
disparities and divergences.
Emerging technologies, namely, artificial intelligence, could help national gov-
ernments and public bodies to accomplish SDG 16.9. AI algorithms could take care
of several related tasks, such as identity authentication/validation, data matching
and storage. However, using AI tools to collect and manage identity-related data
comes with risks and drawbacks worth mentioning. The working routine and inher-
ent features of artificial intelligence could exacerbate already existing discrimina-
tory profiles about identity issues. And, first of all, AI algorithms need to understand
what is identity.
This chapter addresses the regulatory environment and political framework of AI
devices to provide legal identity for all. Its working hypothesis is that artificial intel-
ligence could represent a valuable instrument in implementing SDG 16.9, but the
deployment of AI instruments for identification purposes should be carried on
accordingly to solid legal safeguards and in light of specific cultural and societal
considerations.
The first part of the chapter introduces the concept of identity. It highlights how
this issue is not only a matter of identification documents but brings together several
other aspects. More specifically, this section addresses how cultural, social and
A Legal Identity for All Through Artificial Intelligence: Benefits and Drawbacks… 255
environmental variables could affect the inherent meaning and ontological structure
of identity itself. The second part illustrates the role of AI algorithms in reaching
SDG 16.9. More specifically, it will consider practical examples regarding the
implementation of AI-based software to collect and manage identity-related data to
investigate their human rights implications. This chapter will focus on the migratory
context because of the importance of identification in the management of migration
flows. Furthermore, undocumented people are an urgent concern: according to the
International Organization for Migration (IOM), 10–15% of migrants hold an irreg-
ular status in the 2020.1 The last part of the chapter deals with the positive sides and
potential drawbacks of using AI algorithms for identification purposes and provides
a few legal and political recommendations to create a safe and secure environment
for any individual.
The concept of identity indicates the inherent features and elements that distinguish
an individual or a social group from others (Al Tamimi 2018). Thus, it is a relational
notion that addresses a specific frame of reference as a term of comparison. More
specifically, identity explains relationships between members of society based on
several variables like cultural background (cultural identity), nationality (national
identity), ethnicity (ethnic identity) and religion (religious identity). Identity is the
result of a human elaboration: how individuals think about themselves
(Mutanen 2010).
The notion of personal identity brings together the different environments and
social groups in which individuals conduct their own lives. Thus, the construction
process of self occurs in a specific framework that is not uniquely determined and
could change over time (Mutanen 2007). A man could play several roles throughout
his life: son, friend, husband, worker, dad and many others. However, he remains
the same person through all these experiences.
Philip Riley explains in this regard how personal identity is composed of two
parts: person and self (Riley 2003). The first term addresses peculiar traits and ele-
ments that feature an individual in a specific social group. In other words, person
indicates social identity. On the other hand, self refers to the intimate, subjective and
personal characteristics of an individual: the inner core of a human being.
On the same line, Stuart Hall distinguishes two approaches to the notion of iden-
tity (Hall 1990). The first one encompasses the inherent nature of a person or a
community. As far as a social group is concerned, this approach indicates a shared
frame of reference that identifies its members (e.g. common national origins, shared
history). The second one intends identity as the result of a continual construction
1
IOM World Migration Report, https://worldmigrationreport.iom.int/2020 (last access 23/12/2021).
256 M. Forti
process. Factors and variables like history, power and economy play a determining
role in shaping the identity of an individual being or a social group. Its construction
process finds its basis in the contraposition between the inner dimension and the
external social space: person and self according to the words of Riley.
Identities do not adhere to a shared and immutable essence. Elemental opposi-
tions within the same framework of reference foster the development of a con-
sciousness of self (Redman 2000). In other words, personal identity finds its
significance from relations with different experiences and codes understood as ‘oth-
ers’. Thus, the concept of ‘national citizens’ has its meaning in contrast with ‘immi-
grants’, likewise ‘religious people’ with ‘atheists’. This definition and construction
process highlights the inherent precariousness of identity formation (Grossberg
1996). ‘Others’ can represent an element of instability for the inner meaning of a
concept itself. There are several examples in different contexts in this regard; the
idea of artificial intelligence is radically challenging the traditional definition of
human intelligence, and, in the same way, migratory flows are transforming national
identities. Identities find their meaning through a process of exclusion that places
extraneous elements outside of a specific category. Notwithstanding, these alien
features play a fundamental role in defining what is inside the identity label. Du Gay
explains this mechanism as ‘constitutive outside’ (Du Gay 1996), while Al Tamimi
talks about ‘excess of identity’ (Al Tamimi 2018).
The decision about what is inside and outside the identity categorisation is an act
of power. It is not the recognition of an objective and immutable state of nature but
the construction of a hierarchical relationship between the elements taken into con-
sideration (Laclau 1990). The dominating subject chooses what excesses a given
framework of reference. Thus, the Ancient Romans considered foreigners ‘barbar-
ians’ and Christians called Muslims ‘infidels’.
This brief explanation indicates how external influences can shape the identifica-
tion process of an individual or a social group. The concept of identity brings
together self-awareness (how individuals perceive themselves) with social reputa-
tion (how other members of a collectivity consider a specific individual) (Jenkins
1997). According to this, different social, cultural and environmental backgrounds
can generate different approaches to the idea of identity.
This first part of the analysis illustrates some possible practical uses of AI-driven
tools in the management of migratory flows. AI algorithms process data to provide
authorities with the identification of an individual. More specifically, AI-based tech-
nologies could recognise individuals through the analysis of morphological features
and externally visible patterns (Espin-Leòn 2020).
2
A brief summary of the New Pact on Migration and Asylum is available at the following link
https://ec.europa.eu/info/strategy/priorities-2019-2024/promoting-our-european-way-life/new-
pact-migration-and-asylum_en (last access 19/12/2021).
3
Regulation (EU) No 603/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 June 2013 on
the establishment of ‘Eurodac’ for the comparison of fingerprints.
A Legal Identity for All Through Artificial Intelligence: Benefits and Drawbacks… 261
biometric scanning where according to him, cameras to record training images may
better perform on white-skinned people (Pugliese 2010).
The first paragraph of this chapter explains how identity development addresses
a specific frame of reference. In other words, identity develops in a way that con-
forms to values and categories that may change according to circumstances.
Artificial intelligence algorithms play a crucial role in identifying what falls within
this framework. The operation of AI algorithms risks normalising the differences
between subjects and flatting individuals to fit them into pre-elaborated statistical
categories (Krupyi 2021a, b). Artificial intelligence can face severe difficulties in
recognising identity features and differences between persons. More specifically,
AI-driven software may not be able to address the several nuances and circum-
stances of reality. AI algorithms produce their outcomes through mathematical
models and putting data into statistical categories. As far as gender dimension is
concerned, this working approach may penalise individuals who do not perceive
themselves as belonging to traditional gender groups. Likewise, people coming
from mixed ethnic origins may face similar challenges (Krupyi 2021a, b).
Thus, the framework of reference (factors like the geographical origin or the
socio-cultural context) has an impact on the algorithmic working routine (Klare
et al. 2012). Artificial intelligence technologies are not inherently neutral, but their
impact depends on their design and implementation in the surrounding environ-
ment. Algorithms may therefore show a tendency towards certain characteristics
and favour specific values (Maguire 2012). More specifically, this attitude can foster
the exclusion of individuals belonging to minorities from the social context. Biased
algorithmic results confirm the social order encompassed by the collected and pro-
cessed data (Kloppenburg and Van der Ploeg 2018) leading the way to self-
reinforcing discriminatory prejudices (Bechmann 2019).
As explained before, algorithmic outputs inevitably influence the process of per-
sonal identity formation and how individuals perceive themselves and their possi-
bilities to self-fulfilment. People who do not conform to the statistical majority will
not have access to further social and economic opportunities because the algorithm
will have identified them as ‘wrong’. In this regard, Niemann’s studies show that
people identified and judged by algorithms as deviating from statistical models may
experience low self-esteem and a lack of recognition of their human dignity
(Niemann 2012).
Thus, the collection of personal data is not a neutral exercise, but it is an activity
with social and political repercussions. It is, therefore, necessary to analyse how the
work of artificial intelligence in the field of personal identification may affect the
privacy of the persons involved.
264 M. Forti
The chapter aims to analyse the ethical implications and legal issues related to the
deployment of AI tools in achieving SDG 16.9, i.e. providing every individual with
a legal identity. Identification through digital means is an issue at stake in the
COVID-19 era (The Economist 2020). Trusted digital ID platforms could help the
management of resources towards the ones in need. In addition to that, collecting
data about people with COVID-19 helps scientists and physicians understand pos-
sible developments of the virus.
4
Regulation (EU) 2016/679 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 27 April 2016 on the
protection of natural persons with regard to the processing of personal data and on the free move-
ment of such data and repealing Directive 95/46/EC
A Legal Identity for All Through Artificial Intelligence: Benefits and Drawbacks… 265
Thus, an ethical and legal analysis of the impacts of using emerging technologies
for identification purposes could be helpful. This contribution explains how identity
is not only a matter of official identification documents. Identity is a multiform
concept that encompasses both the inherent and inner elements of individuals and
how they perceive themselves within the social groups of reference. Identity devel-
opment is an ongoing process that evolves and mutates according to the surrounding
environment. However, AI-driven identification procedures can capture only a static
moment of this ongoing process. In addition to that, issues like algorithmic biases
could produce discriminatory outcomes and formulate untruthful identities. This
chapter argues that artificial intelligence could represent a valid instrument in
accomplishing SDG 16.9, but lawmakers and regulators should provide appropriate
human rights safeguards. The analysis of the deployment of AI algorithms in the
migration context for identification purposes highlights the potential risks involved
in the use of such technologies. The recently released Artificial Intelligence Act5
proposal labels AI algorithms for identification tasks as high-risk devices. Thus, it
provides for additional legal requirements to protect individuals from the adverse
effects of these technologies. This chapter argues for the importance of human over-
sight mechanisms to supervise the functioning of AI-driven identification proce-
dures. More specifically, it suggests that independent authorities should periodically
recalibrate the algorithms to take the best possible account of the external variables
mentioned above. In addition to that, this chapter calls for increased transparency
about the design and implementation of algorithmic datasets. It suggests that experts
(e.g. sociologists, anthropologists, etc.) from the environment where algorithms
will act can supervise the collection of the information that will make up the dataset.
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Socially Good AI Contributions
for the Implementation of Sustainable
Development in Mountain Communities
Through an Inclusive Student-Engaged
Learning Model
T. L. Jaynes (*)
Alden March Bioethics Institute at Albany Medical College, Albany, NY, USA
Department of Philosophy & Humanities, College of Humanities and Social Sciences,
Utah Valley University, Orem, UT, USA
e-mail: [email protected]
B. Abdrisaev
Department of History and Political Science, College of Humanities and Social Sciences,
Utah Valley University, Orem, UT, USA
e-mail: [email protected]
L. M. Glenn
Alden March Bioethics Institute at Albany Medical College, Albany, NY, USA
Center for Applied Values and Ethics in Advanced Technologies (CAVEAT), Crown College,
University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 269
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_15
270 T. L. Jaynes et al.
1 Introduction
“Earth and sky, woods and fields, lakes and rivers, the mountain and the sea, are
excellent schoolmasters, and teach of us more than we can ever learn from books”
(Lubbock 1894, 70). “For a successful technology, reality must take precedence
over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled” (Feynman 1988, 237). These two
quotes encapsulate the spirit of this collaborative book, in the opinion of these
authors, and emphasize the importance of a holistic perspective which recognizes
that humanity is part of a larger interconnected system that creates and sustains our
civic obligations to one another. Cognizance of this integration requires an incorpo-
ration of the natural landscape into our considerations for the development and use
of new technologies because its recognition may seem trivial in the grander scheme
of things. Socially good values should, therefore, include the environments wherein
communities reside and the history that is attached to those immortal and evolving
vistas that define their landscape. So too then are considerations for our natural
world vital to a broader conversation on the means whereby artificial intelligence
(AI) can play a role in the global attainment of the United Nations (UN) 2030
Agenda for Sustainable Development (hereafter “the 2030 Agenda”), as reflected in
the 17 UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) described in their 2015 resolu-
tion (UN General Assembly [UN GA] 2015).
In this chapter, we contend that community-based education on and with AI posi-
tively impacts the ability of mountain communities to achieve their attainment of
the 2030 Agenda’s Goals as a population that is uniquely adapted to harsh natural
conditions (as defined by high elevations and microclimate generation). We will
defend this stance with the use case of inclusive educational programs involving
representatives of mountain communities—a subset of rural communities, as is gen-
erally understood—and how their success has led to a more robust response to the
2030 Agenda at home and abroad. Programs, when implemented under frameworks
similar to those discussed herein, create learning conditions that satisfy the ethical
requirements lauded by researchers internationally for socially good AI (Reidl
2019; Shneiderman 2020; Li 2021) in the eyes of these authors. They furthermore
ensure that the outcomes of engaged and inclusive student learning, specific to the
practical implementation of IoT and AI usage and development, are based on
human-centered and socially good principles.
As a note, the implementation of similar programs will require more than the
assurance of equitable and stable access to broadband Internet connection. Any rep-
licated effort must also ensure that affected communities will inclusively engage
with new technological advances through effective and affordable education and
resources. These stipulations are necessary to iterate because of the volatile nature
of AI development, which will inevitably result in increased communal dependence
Socially Good AI Contributions for the Implementation of Sustainable Development… 271
deserts that persist even with targeted cell tower installation, but none are as com-
plex as the fundamental understanding of safe IoT usage and the rights held by
individuals utilizing IoT-based and AI services. The reality remains that individuals
are often at the mercy of corporations that often self-determine what these rights
may be (as can be publicly seen in the lawsuits being levied against Google and its
parent company, Apple, and the corporation formerly known as Facebook).
Therefore, IoT and AI use based on widely accepted principles of “social good” for
communities struggling to attain stable access presents an important priority for the
implementation of the 2030 Agenda. Marr (2021) outlines the main requirements
for an ethical application of AI within any institution as raising awareness through
education, transparency, inclusiveness, and following established rules (to name a
few); though similar statements have been iterated elsewhere (Reidl 2019;
Shneiderman 2020; Li 2021).
Where mountainous communities are struggling to meet the Goals set out by the
2030 Agenda because of the unique circumstances generated by the land and natural
conditions they live within (UN GA 2019), a targeted focus on these populations is
absolutely necessary. As stated in the UN Secretary General report to the General
Assembly from July 22, 2019, approximately 27% of the world’s landmass is made
up by mountainous regions, and 14% of the human population resides in these
areas. Furthermore, the report states that:
…mountains are key ecosystems that provide humanity with essential goods and services
such as water, food, biodiversity and energy. However, mountain ecosystems are vulnerable
to natural disasters, climate-related events and unsustainable resource use…Identifying
new and sustainable livelihood opportunities and adopting practices that build the resilience
of people and environments in mountain areas is an urgent requirement for achieving the
Sustainable Development Goals. (UN GA 2019, 1)
A warming climate have dramatic impacts for regional water ecosystems, even if
they are not actively perceived due to changes in regional atmospheric moisture
capture and gradual adjustments to regional and international air currents. These
gradual—albeit accelerated—changes result from the raised ambient temperature of
natural features and systems (e.g., canyons, forests, lakes, seas, valley basins), or the
impact of wind-channeling structures in flatland areas (e.g., dams, roadside wind-
breaks, sea walls, wind turbines, skyscrapers). These factors are leading to decreases
in terminal water body size, drastic changes in water body nutrient density that have
a chain effect on local biospheres, and fluctuations in the soil’s ability to retain
water—which has the compound effect of increasing the damage of landslides,
impacting the ability of biomass to resist burning via growth in dead biomass and
loss of natural defense mechanisms, and the prevention of rainfall from being fed
into local water tables to supplement local vegetation (Wagner 2007; Suzuki 2011;
Baxter and Butler 2020; Chen et al. 2020; Jara et al. 2021).
Socially Good AI Contributions for the Implementation of Sustainable Development… 273
Beyond biosphere concerns, which include the reality that higher elevations
experience warming at different rates than lower elevation areas (Wilkins et al.
2021), there are related concerns that a loss of terminal lake volume will contribute
to declines in population health from those at the receiving end of dust storms that
pass through dry lake and riverbeds (Baxter and Butler 2020; Romero 2021). This,
of course, includes the impacts local ecosystems will face with the lack of moisture
being provided by these terminal water bodies that may be highly region specific, as
is the case for the Great Salt Lake and Aral Sea—among others—which directly
impacts all communities that source their water resources from the tributaries feed-
ing these terminal water bodies in a myriad of ways. Advances in climate monitor-
ing via AI would greatly aid local communities relying on the streams, tributaries,
and rivers feeding these terminal lake bodies in their efforts to allocate water rights
and conserve water usage while balancing the needs of tribal populations, “immi-
grant” populations, and the agriculture that sustains their economies, but many proj-
ects emphasize on the needs of metropolitan areas or non-mountainous rural locales
which are variably impoverished (Chien et al. 2012; Thapa and Sæbø 2014; Pick
et al. 2015; Kumagai 2020).
As a result, mountain communities worldwide experience inordinate challenges
with implementations of the SDGs. A recent study published by the Food and
Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) adds further evidence to this
claim. In mountainous regions of developing countries, issues of food insecurity,
social isolation, environmental degradation, exposure to the risk of disasters and to
the impacts of climate change, and limited access to basic services—especially in
rural areas—are still prevalent and, under some circumstances, are increasing
(Romeo et al. 2020).
Globally, many mountain communities have been successfully bringing wealth into
their locals through targeted specialization in IT and IS sectors—Silicon Valley
being the primary example of this phenomenon in the USA. Other major technology
centers worldwide can be found in the mountainous communities of Auckland,
Bangalore (Bengaluru), Bogotá, Cape Town (Kaapstad, iKapa), Dublin, Kigali,
Kuala Lumpur, Madrid, Mexico City, Munich (München), Nairobi, Salt Lake City,
Santiago, São Paulo, Sydney, Taipei, Tokyo (Tōkyō-to, including Tama-chihō, Izu-
shotō, and Ogasawara-shichō), and Vancouver (Giuliani and Ajadi 2019; Leskin
2019; López 2020).1 Notwithstanding that cities in the Caribbean only start
1
Data also collected from https://www.startupblink.com/ (accessed November 29, 2021) with
results selected from the top 300 cities to provide a more international framing of “technology
start-up-friendly” environments in mountainous regions. Respective rankings were as follows on
the access date: Bangalore (10), Tokyo (15), São Paulo (20), Sydney (36), Munich (38), Taipei
(41), Vancouver (42), Madrid (45), Mexico City (50), Dublin (51), Salt Lake City (55), Santiago
274 T. L. Jaynes et al.
appearing in lower ranks on account of data gaps,2 the trend remains that “tech-
friendly” environments are primarily found in those areas with greater economic
investment either towards direct start-up development, foreign-worker relocation, or
literacy training for employees residing beyond a corporation’s national borders
(Chien et al. 2012; Thapa and Sæbø 2014; Pick et al. 2015; Kumagai 2020).
The concern here is that many of these hubs remain in the 136 nations (per the
UN’s list of recognized nations) that have yet to adopt governance frameworks or
principles to handle AI. As of May 11, 2021, 32 countries and the EU have estab-
lished initiatives to govern, legislate, and research means to responsibly handle the
development, implementation, use, and termination of AI systems per the
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) AI initiative
(2021).3 This then implies that those nations which are still developing plans, or
organizing funds to sponsor development initiatives, will inevitably have to ensure
that their policies fall in line with those that are already established by nations that,
by some accounts, are “preemptive.” Realistically, these early-adopting nations are
wealthy enough to invest in AI research that continues to push the “state-of-the-art”
forward, and therefore force a baseline to be set ahead of international collaboration
efforts that can be discussed or pursued. Assuming that this comes to pass, as it has
with other related initiatives to govern the use of new technologies, there is a non-
zero chance that neo-colonialist mentalities will vie for supremacy with de-
colonialist frameworks that have been adopted by various nations through
governmental reforms over the past century—thereby generating a hostile environ-
ment that makes international standardization efforts nigh impossible to pursue and
transnationally compliant, socially good AI an unattainable service.
The recent motion by the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization
(UNESCO) to adopt the “first global ethical framework for the use of [AI]” (Gaubert
2021) is a positive step forward to gain global consensus on how this group of tech-
nologies should be managed (UNESCO 2021). Yet similar issues exist in that
UNESCO is not a body with universal legal authority. That is not to say that their
recommendations will go unheard by the international community, but that a univer-
sal adoption of the draft recommendations will be difficult to implement for those
nations that struggle to keep up with the myriad of ways AI is evolving. These uses
include a great deal more than traditional data mining—which is easier to adapt
towards for those in the IT and IS industries currently—and will likely include the
use of AI in extended reality technologies that support the Metaverse (Jaynes 2021a,
d), assistive bionic prosthetics that may challenge our current notions of legal
(70), Bogotá (77), Kuala Lumpur (80), Auckland (105), Nairobi (136), Cape Town (145), and
Kigali (265).
2
San Juan, Puerto Rico (347), is the first example, followed by Kingston, Jamaica (685), and
Montego Bay, Jamaica (958), per the above site rankings.
3
EU member states were not counted twice, though many have chartered independent actions to
regulate AI before the EU Parliament’s actions to develop a unified framework in April 2021. See
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?qid=1623335154975&uri=CELEX%
3A52021PC0206
Socially Good AI Contributions for the Implementation of Sustainable Development… 275
personhood and citizenship (Glenn 2018; Jaynes 2021b, c), and other “advanced”
applications related to high technology. These will not only challenge our interpre-
tation of what “ablement” entails for labor purposes, but also what fundamental
rights should be extended to already able-bodied individuals and the limits of equal-
ity and inclusiveness (Glenn 2012; Jaynes 2021b, c). While not presently a great
focus by the international community on account of the supporting infrastructural
needs of these other applications, it cannot be denied that considerations of this
nature are part of a socially good application of AI and should therefore be exam-
ined as these infrastructural needs are developed and deployed.
Furthermore, it should be stated that many mountainous communities are often
ill-equipped to train AI engineers in environments similar to those that they will be
exposed to in the workplace. High-tech start-ups are free to structure their work
environments as their budgets and office space allow because of how new their
institution is relative to the community they may inhabit. Universities, on the other
hand, commonly have to retrofit buildings that they have housed for decades on
budgets that are much more limited, or otherwise constrained by local building code
restrictions that did not account for accelerated advances in communications tech-
nologies. Part of this is the direct result of the difficulties in drilling for fiber-optic
connections in mountainous and island regions (Canevaro 2018; Engel-Smith 2021)
and naturally occurring cell phone and Wi-Fi dead zones, but is exacerbated by the
fact that communities living on tectonic fault lines are at threat to seismic and vol-
canic activity (outside of other potential issues like hurricanes and tsunamis). As
such, these regions require particular consideration when discussing the develop-
ment of AI regulation because they may not have technologically savvy populations
that can articulate the needs of their communities.
The State of Utah, along with 17 states in the USA, recently adopted legislation
considering benefits and challenges of AI. What distinguished Utah S.B. 96 from
those adopted in other states is that it “creates a deep technology talent initiative
within higher education” (Utah State Legislature 2020). Although the University of
Utah was able to serve as one of the earliest nodes to public Internet services in the
USA (Tanner 2021), the recent push to promote the Silicon Slopes initiative (Pagano
2017; Campbell 2018; Clark 2020) has been rapidly displaying the inability of local
universities to keep up with the demand for jobs that handle AI and socially good AI
analysis (O’Toole 2021). In truth, many Utah campuses have been expanding in the
past decade like many others across the nation. Yet the historical trend of Utah being
a “labor export” state has resulted in an educational environment where expansions
have been restricted to professions popular in other parts of the country, sports (to
maintain PAC-12 status), or medicine (specifically expansions of Intermountain
276 T. L. Jaynes et al.
Healthcare-related facilities) while being unable to address industries that have less
of an impact on Utah’s economy even as they saw rapid expansion (Campbell 2018;
Tanner 2021).
The goal of reinvigorating AI-related education is not limited to the University of
Utah or Utah Valley University (UVU). They include other schools serving moun-
tainous communities, such as the University of California - Santa Cruz with their
efforts to establish the Center for Applied Values and Ethics in Advanced
Technologies (CAVEAT) and the Kyrgyz School of Data (among hundreds of simi-
lar initiatives). The challenge often remains, however, in being able to employ these
newly trained workers in local communities when non-mountainous cities or nations
develop favorable policies or work environments that cannot be adequately matched
(Meisenzahl 2019; Rose 2020; Rosalsky 2021). Hence, the rationale for developing
Utah S.B. 96 was to create a new pathway for local businesses and universities to
secure emerging talent through direct-hire programs via educational training and
other related projects (Utah State Legislature 2020).
The cooperation between UVU, located in Orem, Utah, and the International
University of Kyrgyzstan (IUK) from Bishkek, the Kyrgyz Republic, presents an
example of a joint, human-centered educational program to implement the 2030
Agenda with focus on sustainable mountain development (SMD) based on socially
good principles (Reidl 2019; Shneiderman 2020; Li 2021), which is made apparent
annually through a joint implementation of the UN GA resolution “International
Year of Mountains, 2002” (UN GA 2003; Price and Kohler 2013). Historically, the
program arose from a 1999 partnership between developed and developing moun-
tain communities from the State of Utah and the Kyrgyz Republic, respectively
(Abdrisaev et al. 2020a, b).
This partnership allowed for Utahns to share with their Kyrgyz partners unique
local experiences in building one of the most successful economic models in the
USA. Special emphasis was made on the role and contribution of educational insti-
tutions like UVU to that model, including with IoT use (Abdrisaev et al. 2005;
Abdrisaev et al. 2011). As a next step in this direction and implementation of the
2002 UN GA resolution recommendation, UVU joined the FAO Mountain
Partnership (MP) in 2006 as the first academic institution in North America (UN
GA 2003, FAO MP n.d.-a). In turn, the Kyrgyz side provided to their Utahn partners
their own knowledge and networking opportunities to pursue SMD at the UN—in
particular by being one of the main initiators of the IYM celebration under the UN
GA resolution (Price 2004, 3) and on a bilateral basis through the UVU faculty and
students’ involvement in the initiatives and programs of the Embassy of the Kyrgyz
Republic to the USA.
For its part, UVU was established in 1941 as a trade school to serve the needs of
local communities along the Wasatch Mountain range in the Rocky Mountain
region. Through its dual-mission education, UVU today serves as an integrated
community college and regional teaching university (“Vision 2030” 2020). 88% of
UVU students are Utah residents (UVU Institutional Research Department 2019),
and 80% of them are employed as they pursue their education whether locally or
through tele-work that keeps them in-state (Whittney 2020). In line with the trend
Socially Good AI Contributions for the Implementation of Sustainable Development… 277
of the student population in the USA and Europe (Hauschildt 2015), 30% of the
UVU student body is represented by non-traditional or adult students (Ho-Wisniewski
2020). This category of students is usually in the range of 25 and 75 years of age
while enhancing or changing careers. The majority of them also work full or part
time and may support families or relatives (Pelletier 2010; Tuminez 2020; Whittney
2020). Adult students are designated as learners who experience social or educa-
tional disadvantages and may have interests and values which differ from their tra-
ditional peers (Wyatt 2011).
The joint partnership between UVU and the IUK within the FAO MP has created
a means for both institutions to strengthen the socially good nature of their activities
by involving faculty and students in several different ways across their respective
campuses. For UVU’s part, their involvement matches the institutional mission of
the school (UVU 2020) while addressing many livelihood-related aspects of the
local population. By engaging with students and faculty from the IUK, the UVU
community has been able to share local experiences in SMD and related policy
through UN-sanctioned activities that help to distinguish the unique cultural differ-
ences that exist between the Kyrgyz and Utahn populations.
Of particular note, the 2030 Agenda designated Goal Targets 6.6 ([to]…protect and
restore water-related ecosystems), 15.1 (ensure the conservation, restoration and
sustainable use of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems), and 15.5 (reduce
the degradation of natural habitats, halt the loss of biodiversity and…protect and
prevent the extinction of threatened species) for SMD within their total framework
of 17 SDGs and 169 Targets (UN GA 2015). The implementation of SMD globally
is coordinated by the FAO MP, which has been in operation since 2003 as a subunit
of the organization (FAO MP n.d.-a), for the express purpose of ensuring that the
significance mountainous regions hold for global ecosystems and sustainable living
are neither neglected nor forgotten. The UN GA resolution proclaiming 2002 the
International Year of Mountains (IYM) further recommends that all stakeholders
worldwide interested in the promotion of SMD to join the FAO MP (UN GA 2003).
As a result of these targeted, coordinated efforts, the FAO MP now has more than
400 members, including intergovernmental organizations, mountain states, aca-
demic institutions, non-governmental entities, and others that do not necessarily
exist in rural or mountainous regions (FAO MP n.d.-a; Abdrisaev et al. 2020a, b).
Beyond the Targets designated for SMD, we cannot ignore the importance SMD
holds to the attainment of other Goals and Targets within the 2030 Agenda. These
include those Targets found in Goals 1 (No Poverty), 4 (Quality Education), 5
(Gender Equality), 6 (Clean Water and Sanitation), 8 (Decent Work and Economic
Growth), 9 (Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure), 10 (Reduced Inequalities), 11
(Sustainable Cities and Communities), and 15 (Life on Land) and Targets 2.3, 2.4,
3.9, 7.1, 7.b, 12.2, 12.4, 12.7, 12.8, 12.b, 13.1, 13.3, 13.b, 14.1, 14.2, 14.3, and 17.6
278 T. L. Jaynes et al.
Since 2011, UVU further enhanced its involvement with the IUK, the FAO MP, and
other global mountain communities by developing a model in which students can
play a major role in promoting SMD in the State of Utah and elsewhere through the
student-engaged learning (SEL) model. The SEL model is based on four principles
as described by Burch (2000) under a different acronym, being:
1. Students are asked to study real world problems.
2. Students investigate the presented problem as a group, in a collaborative way.
3. Teachers facilitate the students’ self-learning.
4. Students are made responsible for their self-learning and implementation of the
studied problem.
To ensure student involvement in SMD activities, the model has been developed
as a co-curricular pedagogy. The extracurricular part was implemented through the
Utah International Mountain Forum (UIMF), a coalition of student clubs, to encour-
age student interest and contributions to the UN activities which quite often extend
over several semesters and therefore are difficult to be implemented through aca-
demic programs. Through the curricular part, faculty are able to contribute to the
model by raising interest in SMD among students and encouraging them to become
engaged with extracurricular activities on campus and in their home communities
(Abdrisaev et al. 2020a, b).
Clubs are important for student learning outside of the classroom, providing
them opportunities to work interdependently, in groups, through mentoring experi-
ences led by faculty (Eccles and Barber 1999; Foubert and Urbanski 2006; Logan
2008). However, adult students usually are reluctant to be involved in any extracur-
ricular activity, including clubs, due to their busy schedules (Dill and Henley 1998).
Socially Good AI Contributions for the Implementation of Sustainable Development… 279
The UIMF, as per Wyatt (2011), allowed for adult students to join at times conve-
nient to them in any of the coalition-partnered clubs. Joined with faculty advice, as
per Timpson et al. (2014), interested students were then able to tie their individual
experiences or interests with ongoing SMD activities locally and nationally.
The adapted SEL model also encourages adult students, as mature and respon-
sible individuals, to contribute towards projects based on their own experiences or
interests, implement them as group leaders, and then enjoy the recognition of the
FAO MP (Timpson et al. 2014). As a result, the majority of SMD projects imple-
mented by the UIMF are initiated by students—many of whom represent local
mountain communities. Due to the requirement for clubs to self-fund activities
(UVU 2020), the model also encouraged students, including adult learners, to raise
and contribute funds for initiated SMD projects through the UIMF or other
related forums.
Academic programs, and in particular general courses, until recently contributed
to the developed model by allowing for faculty during classes to build ties with
students—especially adult learners—and then incentivize them to join the UIMF
(Abdrisaev et al. 2020a, b). Students at UVU, for example, can enroll in a three-
credit course, “Globalization and SMD,” which is currently the only course related
to the SMD agenda at the university and taught during the spring semester. They
learn theories and practices of SMD in Utah and globally, as well as skills to match
their professional experiences and allow them to become club leaders to advocate
for Utah practices in SMD at the UN and other institutions. Courses like this also
have the benefit of allowing faculty concerned with varied aspects of SMD to con-
tribute to the model by developing and teaching courses, which provide the students
professional training on a wider range of 2030 Agenda Goal pursuits. The impact of
these courses could be better focused or made more efficient by integrating them
into certificates, minors, or majors on Sustainable Development (SD) alone or in
tangent with other curricula internationally but has not been seriously considered
to date.
Ultimately, the adapted SEL model ensures the inclusivity of student involve-
ment within SMD activities—which is a key principle for ethically aligned AI
design and socially good AI more generally as based on considerations for interna-
tional human rights (Reidl 2019; Shneiderman 2020; Li 2021; Marr 2021; Jaynes
2021b, c). It also concurrently implements target 4.7, which aims to “…ensure that
all learners acquire the knowledge and skills needed to promote SD, including,
among others, through education for SD and sustainable lifestyles, human rights,
gender equality…” (UN GA 2015). It is for this reason that we contend that an
emphasis on SMD issues is important to the fulfillment of the entirety of the 2030
Agenda, as the attainment of Targets 6.6, 15.1, and 15.5 alone is not enough to dis-
play the importance of sustainable infrastructure and technology development in
mountainous communities.
280 T. L. Jaynes et al.
The first initiative from which UIMF started to advocate for SMD upon its founding
was an observation of December 11th as the UN International Mountain Day (IMD).
Since their first observation in 2010, the UIMF has observed the IMD every year.
This event implements one more recommendation of the UN IYM resolution (UN
GA 2003) and provides recognition from the FAO MP for its observation as a result.
It has become an essential activity for the adapted SEL model as an on-campus,
semester-based, UN-related activity that provides a variety of benefits based on
socially good principles—especially for students and adult learners who cannot go
to the UN due to time or financial constraints. Students gain via the UIMF being a
part of UVU’s club network; members are also able to gain a number of other expe-
riences with IMD observations. These include the accumulation of advocacy experi-
ences that require extended time frames to implement (specific to the UN),
developing internal and external alliances for joint activities at home and abroad,
raising awareness for other IMD observations, providing a venue for FAO MP rec-
ognition to SMD contributors, and opportunities to recruit new UIMF members
(Abdrisaev et al. 2020a, b).
Since 2007, UVU and IUK have regularly co-hosted the “Women of the
Mountains” conference (WOMC). WOMC is an international conference which
serves to implement the third recommendation of the UN IYM resolution (UN GA
2003), which asked that all interested institutions support (financially or otherwise)
the programs resulting from the IYM resolution. It was, and continues to be, held as
a forum to follow up on the efforts resulting from the “Celebrating Mountain
Women” conference hosted under the IYM umbrella in 2002 in Bhutan (Tshering
2002). The fourth WOMC was hosted independently by UIMF members educated
through the SEL model under the FAO MP umbrella at the Orem UVU campus on
October 7–10, 2015. More than 70 students, including those classified as non-
traditional students, were involved in the preparation, invitation, and hosting of
more than 120 participants for this event—including conference fundraising. These
guests included diplomats, UN officials, scholars, and experts from both the USA
Rocky Mountain and over 20 mountain states internationally beyond the Kyrgyz
Republic. The UN highlighted the UIMF’s role in hosting this WOMC as allowing
participants “…to address the critical issues faced by women and children living in
mountainous regions across the globe and provide a forum to discuss gender equal-
ity” (UN GA 2019, 10).
Based on experiences accumulated from IMD observations and hosting WOMC,
UIMF members advocated (through the augmented SEL educational model) during
various UN Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) forums since 2016—in par-
ticular during sessions of the Commission on the Status of Women (CSW). It was
an opportunity for them both to raise voices in support of women and girls from
mountain communities worldwide and to report on Utah-specific experiences in
building sustainable communities. Engaged UIMF members learned how building
Socially Good AI Contributions for the Implementation of Sustainable Development… 281
4
Found at https://www.uvu.edu/utahimf/blog/index.html
282 T. L. Jaynes et al.
(Abdrisaev et al. 2020a, b). UIMF leaders have been invited and contributed to IMD
2018 and IMD 2019 observations hosted by a group of mountain states led by the
Permanent Mission of the Kyrgyz Republic to the UN. The IMD 2021 observation
was hosted as a virtual event with a joint contribution from UIMF members and
students from Osh Technological University in Osh, Kyrgyzstan. It served as a pre-
paratory step for a joint visit and presentation of the Utah-Kyrgyz student delegation
at the 66th session of the CSW in March 2022.
Furthermore, UIMF members successfully used IoT during the campaign orga-
nized by the FAO MP in the fall of 2015 to gather 5000 signatures among the FAO
MP members to include mountain-related issues to the agenda of the UN Climate
Change Conference (COP26) in Paris. Students, by using IoT, collected more than
1600 signatures both at UVU campus and from their partners at Osh Technological
University, the Kyrgyz-Turkish University in Bishkek, and RANS in Moscow,
Russia (Hackney 2015).
Given the success of UIMF activities as influenced by the augmented SEL model,
efforts should therefore consciously incorporate IoT-based tools like AI as part of
their broader academic program—including in any certificate, minor, or major that
focuses on SD. This will allow for new and emerging tools developed by students or
industry to further SMD advocacy and retain a socially good emphasis. Again, this
recommendation is being made with respect to the pace whereby AI is evolving,
finding new applications, and generating new socioeconomic and sociopolitical
issues that require rapid attention (Jaynes 2021a, b, c, d). Given that non-traditional
and employed students can provide unique perspectives into the ways AI ought to
be implemented, audited, and governed by virtue of their varied life experience, we
further assert that their input would be just as invaluable to guide AI in a socially
good manner that is beneficial for SMD and the 2030 Agenda more broadly.
Though there are programs coming into being around the world that focus on AI
ethics,5 there are a number of other issues pertinent to socially good AI beyond
auditing for system bias and stakeholder interest determination which require ethi-
cal scrutiny. As we have argued throughout this chapter, they include the instruction
of populations that may not even have IoT access at present due to the natural fea-
tures that make up their home landscape or literacy in the languages used to pro-
gram AI systems. Furthermore, there is the reality that SDG attainment and
maintenance is not solely an environmental concern—it is every much as human a
concern as the protection of those rights granted to us by local and national
governmental institutions, and therefore pertinent for socially good considerations.
5
Such as those degrees and certificates offered by Cambridge’s Leverhulme Centre for the Future
of Intelligence (http://lcfi.ac.uk/master-ai-ethics/) and San Francisco State University’s Lam
Family College of Business (https://cob.sfsu.edu/management/certificate/ai-ethics)
Socially Good AI Contributions for the Implementation of Sustainable Development… 283
Nevertheless, the use of inclusive learning models like SEL will be important to
ensure that AI can maintain a socially good status for SDG attainment and mainte-
nance. Beyond aiding in the achievement of Goal 4, it will aid in the achievement of
related Goals (specifically 5, 8, 10, and 17). Advocating for SMD in this context has
a similar effect because considerations for mountainous and island communities are
sparse throughout the SDGs and mostly limited to specific Targets within the
Agenda. As such, the needs of these unique landscapes are often lost in major UN
forums in favor of population areas that have greater densities or “development.”
After all, socially good values cannot neglect the needs of communities that depend
on more central areas of commerce and social engagement. Indeed, it is this consid-
eration for all peoples that justifies the development of notions that are globally
good for society and not just the efforts of organizations like the Association of
Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), EU, OECD, UNESCO, or independent govern-
mental institutions. Hence, SDG attainment and maintenance will require input not
only on the way the Goals should be achieved but also on the ways in which high
technology (like AI) can be effectively implemented. To that end, inclusive educa-
tion that engages local communities and encourages their unique input is similarly
vital as high technology evolves.
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Gender, Health, and AI: How Using AI
to Empower Women Could Positively
Impact the Sustainable Development Goals
T. G. García-Micó (*)
Private Law Department, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
e-mail: [email protected]
M. Laukyte
Pompeu Fabra University, Barcelona, Spain
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 291
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_16
292 T. G. García-Micó and M. Laukyte
1 Introduction
Mahatma Gandhi once said that health is the real wealth, yet this health-wealth still
very much depends on whether a person is a man or a woman. This is a fact in devel-
oping countries but also a reality in rich and developed Western societies where
healthcare services represent the national pride of social welfare systems
(WHO 2016).
Therefore, there appears to be something wrong if a person’s health is related to
gender. Indeed, we might have continued to link this dependency (health-gender) to
other factors—such as education, income, or social policies—had it not been for the
technological advancements and the use of artificial intelligence-based (hereinafter,
AI) systems in medicine and healthcare, which made us more aware of a broader
picture of how medical research and practice has not taken male and female bodies
into account equally.
Research has proven that AI systems, although in certain aspects better than
humans, are unlikely to completely substitute the physicians (among many, Ahuja
2019). Nonetheless, AI has to be trustworthy, and for that purpose, it shall be lawful,
ethical, and robust (High-Level Expert Group on Artificial Intelligence 2019a). But
how lawful and ethical can it be if it leaves half of humanity out of the picture? In
fact, AI needs to receive specific input in order to learn from it before engaging in
its analysis and predictions. What happens if the team in charge of providing such
input is—deliberately or not—biased and provides only information about male
patients? Probably, the AI system will not be as trustworthy with female patients as
it will be with male patients.
Hence the focus of this chapter is to address how medical AI could positively
impact the achievement of gender equality as a Sustainable Development Goal
(SDG). In particular, we use several use cases to highlight how medical AI applica-
tions have made it evident that there is an enormous data gap between male and
female sex involvement in clinical trials, disease treatment, and other medical thera-
pies (Liu and Dipietro Mager 2016; Dusenbery 2018; Criado Perez 2019, among
many) and that this data gap is the reason why so many AI applications are biased,
limited, and inefficient. Filling this gap would mean improving and increasing data
generation that would reflect particularities and specificities of female bodies and
enable female representation in training algorithms.
The above has led us to organise the chapter as follows: In the first part, and after
a short description of the state of the art of AI in medicine, we focus on the use cases
that evidence lack of female health data in developing AI-based medical solutions.
Then, in the second part, we explain the link between gender-balanced AI tools in
medicine and SDGs. In particular, we show how more gender-balanced and inclu-
sive AI-based medical tools could not only allow us to improve female health but
also how this improvement would positively reverberate throughout other SDGs,
such as those related to good health, economic growth, innovation, and reduced
inequalities. We finish with concluding remarks.
Gender, Health, and AI: How Using AI to Empower Women Could Positively Impact… 293
Finally, one more important note before starting: When we refer to gender, we
refer to male-female genders. Although we are also aware that this approach is lim-
ited and does not reflect other, non-binary identities, in this chapter we will focus on
the binary perspective.1
AI in healthcare is not a futuristic issue but rather a current reality. As the Academy
of Medical Royal Colleges (2019, 6) stated in its 2019 report, “Artificial Intelligence
has already arrived in healthcare. Few doubt though that we are only at the begin-
ning of seeing how it will impact patient care.” In fact, it is currently used in a vari-
ety of settings, for instance, the AI-supported IDx-DR system diagnoses diabetic
retinopathy (Meiliana et al. 2019), or it can also be used to diagnose stroke and
autism (Petrone 2018). In any event, for the time being, AI is not taking decisions
on its own but supporting physicians in decision-making processes: Complete auto-
mation of healthcare is still a very distant reality (Abbott 2020).
This supportive role of AI still means a lot: AI helps physicians to diagnose
patients’ diseases with high accuracy. In the EU, one among many is, for instance,
the REVOLVER (Repeated Evolution of Cancer) project, developed by the Institute
of Cancer Research of London and the University of Edinburgh.2 Crossing the
Atlantic, we discover that regarding AI use in healthcare, the US Food and Drug
Administration (FDA) provides the list of 29 AI-based medical devices3 that have
been approved in the US (Benjamens et al. 2020)4 and all of them are intended to be
used to support the physician in diagnosing or assessing how to treat a specific
patient according to the data collected from medical tests practised upon the patient.
In any case, healthcare-related applications of AI fall under the legal definition of
medical device and, therefore, require a regulatory control by competent national
authorities, which either approve or prohibit the commercialisation of the product as
1
More about the research involving these identities in medical and other domains, see Marshall
et al. (2019).
2
According to Dr Andrea Sottoriva, the team leader in evolutionary genomics and modelling at
ICR and the REVOLVER study leader, the machine learning technique has the ability to “identify
patterns in DNA mutation within cancers and forecast future genetic changes,” and it is expected
to “transform the way cancer is diagnosed, managed and treated” (Health Europa 2018).
3
Out of these 29 medical devices, 21 are used in the medical specialty of radiology (2 in cardiol-
ogy, 6 in oncology, 3 in neurology, and 4 in emergency medicine, while in the others, there is no
secondary medical specialty clearly stated), 1 in neurology, 1 in ophthalmology, 2 in endocrinol-
ogy, 3 in cardiology, and 1 in internal medicine.
4
It is hard to envisage how AI is used in the EU as there is no public database to consult for this
information. According to the MDR, there should soon be a database, Eudamed, for this purpose.
294 T. G. García-Micó and M. Laukyte
is the case of the US FDA,5 or will supervise the approval process while most of the
job is performed by the public (as is the case with the Spanish National Centre for
the Certification of Medical Devices) or private (TÜV Rheinland in Germany) enti-
ties called notified bodies.6
This is to say that there are quite a few AI-based uses in healthcare right now
approved by authorities or work in progress by researchers that promise to make a
positive change in healthcare. But promise does not mean delivery, so much more
so if the data these AI are built on are not inclusive enough. In the next section, we
briefly explain how it happens that AI are so gender ignorant.
5
According to the FDA, there are three classes of medical devices: class I, class II, and class
III. Depending on the risk associated with the use of the device, the intended uses, the duration of
the use, etc., a medical device should be classified in one or another class. Class I devices are sub-
ject to general controls (such as good manufacturing practices, labelling requirements, etc.); class
II devices to special controls as determined by the FDA on a case-by-case basis and require that the
manufacturer files a premarket notification with the FDA; and class III devices which need to go
through the most stringent regulatory process: premarket approval.
6
According to the provisions of the Regulation (EU) 2017/745 of the European Parliament and of
the Council, of 5 April 2017, on medical devices (hereinafter, the MDR).
Gender, Health, and AI: How Using AI to Empower Women Could Positively Impact… 295
7
It is worth highlighting that the sensors are installed in the hardware in case of an embedded
software, but if we are dealing with stand-alone software, the process of obtaining information is
done through non-physical sensors. An example could be an Internet browser or website which
uses cookies to obtain information about the user’s search preferences to provide him or her with
a more personalised experience. In this regard, generally women have less access to any kind of
technologies, including but not limited to the Internet (Cirillo et al. 2020).
8
Humans should not be seen from the lens of objectiveness. We are not born to act in terms of all-
or-nothing dynamics. In terms of economic rationality, this scenario is not desired as economic
theories applied to human behaviour (behavioural economics) consider that humans can be nudged
towards reaching a specific objective by changing the incentives at stake. A person might prefer a
more fallible treatment that grants him or her a 50% chance of being cured (being the other 50%
an innocuous result) than a treatment that is promised to be more effective, but with an unknown
rate of error.
296 T. G. García-Micó and M. Laukyte
biases, meet regulatory standards and normative and policy requirements, and con-
tribute to the development of better design of AI in healthcare (The Royal Society
2019, 9–10).
Knowing how the AI processes data—how its “brain” works—is also crucial to
understand which dataset has been fed into the machine, and consequently whether
the outcomes are biased or not. This knowledge clearly impacts on the scope of this
research: In the following part, we look at real-life examples of how AI is not meet-
ing expectations of gender equality.
9
Other biases are historical bias, measurement bias, aggregation bias, evaluation bias, and algorith-
mic bias: All these biases are explained in Cirillo et al. (2020).
Gender, Health, and AI: How Using AI to Empower Women Could Positively Impact… 297
main symptoms of a heart attack: In men these symptoms are mainly extreme chest
pressure, difficulties to speak, and pain of the right arm. But in women, they are
different and include indigestion, discomfort or pain in the higher part of the body,
or shortness of breath (Shannon 2018).
Let us focus on cardiology: There are five AI-based cardiology medical devices
put in the market in the USA, namely, the Arterys Cardio DL, the EchoMD
Automated Ejection Fraction Software, the AI-ECG Platform, the EchoGo Core,
and the Eko Analysis Software (Benjamens et al. 2020). The issue with the above-
mentioned cardiological AI-based medical devices lies with the data provided, or in
particular with the lack of it, as women and minority groups have been traditionally
underrepresented in the field of cardiology (Tat et al. 2020). Furthermore, Tahhan
et al. (2020) also showed that in a review of 460 acute coronary syndrome clinical
trials enrolling 1,067,520 patients, women represented 26.8% and men 73.2%.
Other studies (Daly et al. 2006; Liaudat et al. 2018) also show that men are two to
three times more likely than women to be sent to a cardiologist when they describe
feeling chest pain.
Another example is AI-based computer-aided diagnosis (hereinafter CAD) sys-
tems for various thoracic diseases. Researchers used the National Institute of
Health’s Chest-XRay14 dataset, including more than a hundred thousand chest
X-ray images belonging to more than thirty thousand patients who were diagnosed
with a myriad of different thoracic diseases. In terms of gender, the population was
56.5% male and 43.5% female. In order to perform the study, different scenarios
were created for the AI-based CAD system to function: 100% male–0% female
images, 75% male–25% female images, 50% male–50% female images, 25%
male–75% female images, and 0% male–100% images (Larrazabal et al. 2020). The
discovery was to see that when the datasets are perfectly balanced—that is, when it
has 50% male–50% female images—the AI-based CAD system performs better for
both genders without any relevant gender imbalances, nonetheless for some specific
diseases.
It would not be fair to paint all AI in healthcare and medicine as gender-biased to
the detriment of women: AI has also been used to address typical female medical
problems, such as detection of endometriosis (Guerriero et al. 2021), polycystic
ovary syndrome (Sumathi et al. 2021), and ovarian cancer (Akazawa and Hashimoto
2020), besides many others. However, we also see that these initiatives are very
recent, and although AI has been around for decades, until recently it did not address
or analyse the female body, taking for granted that the human body is male.10
At this point, it is important to remember something we stated earlier in this
chapter: AI is not imbalanced, nor biased, nor does it blatantly discriminate.
Everything is in the hands of those who design the software’s code, of those who
train the AI, and of those who compile the datasets that will feed the AI. Not with
the aim of oversimplifying the complex field we are in, but research has shown that
10
There are many initiatives that contribute in making gender equality a reality in the research set-
tings: For a list of initiatives in AI, see UNESCO (2020); for recommendations to incorporation
gender and sex in research, see McGregor et al. (2016).
298 T. G. García-Micó and M. Laukyte
perfectly imbalanced datasets are the panacea to avoid gender imbalances and
biases in medical AI (Larrazabal et al. 2020). Here is where ethics plays an impor-
tant role: Instead of focussing on providing indiscriminately large datasets without
a detailed analysis of the sample and population referred in it, physicians and AI
developers should be focussed on studying the gender and racial implications of the
data which they will feed the AI.
The AI-based applications that we have seen above—AI applications for cardiol-
ogy and CAD system for thoracic diseases—reveal the already known truth that
women are not as representative as men in terms of medical research and clinical
trials. If the lack of female data is a severe issue in itself, it can become even worse
in an AI-based scenario: If we want a medical AI to perform—that is, to analyse,
predict, reveal new patterns, or in other ways make us understand and discover more
on human body—the datasets it is trained on need to be as inclusive as possible, not
only of female data but also of data on ethnic minorities (see Vinuesa et al. 2020).
It is of utmost importance that further research in the medical field is focussed on
producing data on women. If women are incentivised to take part in clinical trials
and in applied research, we will have inclusive datasets which will be more repre-
sentative and, therefore, will improve the medical AI trustworthiness in its results
when applied to any kind of medical condition. Doing so will set the path to reach
the effective fulfilment of target 5.1 of SDG 5, which is to end all forms of discrimi-
nation against women and girls everywhere: To have and to use only male data-
based datasets is a direct discrimination against women because we are not granting
them access to health in the same conditions as men (Vinuesa et al. 2020), which in
turn is against, among other aspects of health, the target 5.6 related to access to
sexual and reproductive health and reproductive rights.
In fact, there are many authors who are proposing that AIs should be programmed
following the value-sensitive design (VSD), understood as a “theoretically grounded
approach to the design of technology that accounts for human values in a principled
and comprehensive manner throughout the design process” (Friedman et al. 2013,
2): Values represented by SDGs could be a basis to articulate the needed design
changes, in particular in medical AI applications (Umbrello et al. 2021).
This might sound as a future action plan, but there are specific measures that
could be undertaken by national authorities to make this plan a reality. For instance,
when a medical AI is undergoing the conformity assessment by a notified body, it
should be mandatory to prove that the datasets used to train the AI are inclusive.
Only those medical AI whose developers prove this inclusivity should be allowed to
commercialise their AI-based products.
Furthermore, inclusivity of datasets also pose another issue: The female reluc-
tance to participate in clinical trials is a well-known problem (among many, see Liu
and Dipietro Mager 2016), yet it should not be solved by getting this data from
those who might not be aware of their personal and medical data-related rights in
developing countries, rather than dealing with the reasons why data is missing in the
first place in developed countries. In this regard, the adequate term would be avoid
“data colonialism” (Couldry and Mejias 2019, 336) that would normalise “the
exploitation of human beings through data, just as historical colonialism appropri-
ated territory and resources and ruled subjects to profit.” In this regard, data colo-
nialism would make a step forward and exploit women from developing countries,
pushing them to participate in trials and tests and thus produce data to train AI.
300 T. G. García-Micó and M. Laukyte
It goes without saying that gender-balanced medical AI could also positively impact
the SDG 3 dedicated to health improvements: In particular, as concerns exclusively
female problems, such as maternal mortality, reproductive rights, and reproductive
health, we still do not have a wide spectrum of specific female healthcare-oriented
AI. Although things are slowly moving forward, for instance, Inne has developed a
home fertility monitoring system that permits women to monitor their fertility on
the basis of their saliva,11 we need more investments and more applications to make
sure that at least some of them will contribute—directly or indirectly—to address
SDG3 targets related to birth, reproduction, and newborn mortality.
When it comes to other SDGs, in particular SDG 8 dedicated to guaranteeing
decent work and economic growth, it is quite obvious that any technological innova-
tion—including but not limited to AI—boosts economic growth (among many,
Panth 1997). However, the challenges for the twenty-first century are not to promote
economic growth at any price but to promote it in compliance with sustainability
requirements. According to the research published in Harvard Business Review,
sustainability has always been “an integral part of development” (Nidumolu et al.
2009), and so much so that it has to be in the data-driven, AI-enhanced environment
that we are already living in.
We are still grappling with the idea of sustainable AI, and there is little to no
academic literature on it (van Wynsberghe 2021): This author links sustainable AI
to greater ecological integrity and social justice, and no social justice is possible if
AI is unbalanced in terms of gender representation. Therefore, we can argue that
gender-respectful AI in medicine and healthcare could—at least partially—fall
under the concept of sustainable AI and contribute to the SDG 8 that promotes “sus-
tained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth,” as in particular specified by the
targets 8.1–8.4.12
But AI that we envision in this work goes further: Gender-oriented AI would also
positively impact on employment, which is another of SDG 8 objectives (in particu-
lar targets 8.5 and 8.6). In fact, building gender into AI means turning the AI devel-
oper teams gender-balanced in the first place. This could lead to higher percentage
of female employees in high-tech companies and higher investment, attention, and
support to gender balance in educational institutions, where computer science, soft-
ware engineering, and similar subject matters are being taught and where female
11
More on this tool, see https://www.inne.io/en/home/
12
However, we do not address here the sustainability of AI development and in particular its impact
on the environment that has been described in Strubell et al. (2019): The authors show the cost of
training neural network models for Natural Language Processing—besides others—in terms of its
impact on energy consumption and invite academic and industry stakeholders to choose environ-
mentally friendly hardware and software.
Gender, Health, and AI: How Using AI to Empower Women Could Positively Impact… 301
students even in the most advanced countries still represent the minority in the sta-
tistics of enrolment (Te-Ping 2020).
The debate on economic growth and sustainability is inseparable from the SDG
9 which focusses on inclusive and sustainable industrialisation and fostering of
innovation. For instance, target 9.5 refers to the objective of increasing numbers of
research and development workers, and this increase should be brought into being
by taking into account gender balance, because without a gender-balanced work-
force, we will not be able to develop gender-balanced technologies, including
AI-based applications in medicine and healthcare.
Realisation of the SDGs 8 and 9 could positively echo on the SDG 10 that aims
to reduce inequalities and in particular highlights the importance to reach income
growth (target 10.1); social, economic, and political inclusion (target 10.2); and
equal opportunities (target 10.3). It goes without saying that building gender-
balanced technologies in any domain could positively impact on these objectives:
However, in case of healthcare, this impact would be even greater because turning
back to the words of Mahatma Gandhi that health is wealth, gender-balanced AI in
medicine would provide women all over the world with the biggest wealth there is.
In this chapter, we have briefly looked at the promising uses that AI has been put to
in the field of medicine and healthcare and have referred to real cases to support our
thesis that there is a danger to perpetuate the trend to ignore female data in develop-
ing—at least some of—the AI-based applications to improve our health, treat our
diseases, and, in general, understand our bodies.
Some readers might contest that the gender question is no news: Indeed, gender
bias has been so long—and continues to be!—an intrinsic part of our societies that
getting rid of it takes time and this continuous reminding about it does not help but
irritates and provokes rejection. We see the point of this critique but do not agree:
We have to continue talking about how women are continuously forgotten, not taken
into account, or simply ignored, so much more so if taking them into account could
lead not only to a more just and humane society but also to a better future of
our planet.
And this is where the major contribution of this work comes into play: We have
argued that taking women into account not only saves women lives and is beneficial
in a variety of social, economic, cultural, and other ways but also that it could con-
tribute in making our planet a better—safer and more sustainable—place for us and
for future generations.
302 T. G. García-Micó and M. Laukyte
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Smart Control of Drinking Water Grids
Using IoT
1 Introduction
Liquid water (H2O) seems, at first glance, to be a very simple molecule, consisting
of just two hydrogen atoms bonded to an oxygen atom. However, it is an essential
chemical component for life. The importance of water in human life continues to
grow under the considerable needs of modern civilization. In addition, in much of
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 305
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_17
306 J. Dziri and T. Ezzedine
the world, the quality of distributed drinking water has become a key factor in pub-
lic health and economic development. At the same time, water can also be a source
of disease. According to a report by the World Health Organization, five million
infants and children die each year from diarrheal diseases due to contamination of
food or drinking water. In developing countries, about 80% of diseases are linked to
poor water supply and sanitation conditions (Agensi et al. 2019; Akinde et al. 2019).
Therefore, the consumption of drinking water must be given special attention.
Conventional monitoring of water quality involves the manual collection of sam-
ples from different points of the water distribution network, which are then sent to
strategic laboratories for contaminant tests (Sartory and Watkins 1998; Plummer
and Long 2007). In Tunisia, the water treatment station “Ghadir El Golla” uses
independent portable detection probes that should be immersed in water sources to
detect the various water quality parameters. Physicochemical and microbiological
tests are conducted weekly in small villages and at least twice weekly in large cities.
However, this traditional approach to water quality control is very inefficient
because it is expensive, requires a lot of work, and does not provide real-time results.
Continuous monitoring of drinking water quality can leverage wireless sensor
technology. A wireless sensor network (WSN) is a self-configuring network of
small sensor nodes communicating among themselves using radio signals and
deployed to monitor physical or environmental conditions, such as temperature,
sound, vibration, or pollutants and to cooperatively pass their data through the net-
work to the main location or sink where the data can be observed and analyzed (Hou
et al. 2018; Du et al. 2018; Li et al. 2014). These wireless systems are populated by
resource-constrained nodes, have unreliable communication links, and have low
data rates (Alioua et al. 2016). To address this problem, new protocols and algo-
rithms have been specifically designed for the WSN environment.
This work involves creating an intelligent system for controlling the quality of
distributed drinking water. This system is based on a WSN to detect in real time
such an infection in the water distribution network. This bloc also requires the con-
trol of leaks in water pipes since these can be a waste of money and pose a danger
to public health (Friedman et al. 2005). Contaminants can seep into pipes where the
water escapes when the pressure drops in the system.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows: In Sect. 2, we will present some
related works. Section 3 presents our system architecture. The fourth section is
devoted to unveiling the proposed system for water quality monitoring. The system
presents a new model for water quality analysis based on machine learning. Section
5 describes our leak detection algorithms in the water distribution network. In Sect.
6, we present some results evaluating our contribution. Finally, Sect. 7 specifies the
conclusion and gives several perspectives.
Smart Control of Drinking Water Grids Using IoT 307
2 Related Works
This section reviews the relevant works for monitoring of water distribution net-
work using the WSN platform. Some works have focused on the monitoring of
drinking water quality. Others have been interested in controlling leaks in water pipes.
The use of wireless sensor networks for water quality control is particularly attrac-
tive due to the low cost of the sensors, the ability to acquire and process data at
multiple distributed sampling points, and the possibility to communicate the data
using low-power wireless communication which allows decision-makers to receive
data from multiple remote sensors in real time.
In recent years, assistance and research programs have been developed to
improve the safety and security of drinking water systems (Pappu et al. 2017; Egri
et al. 2011). In (Koditala and Pandey 2018), Koditala et al. highlighted a practical
and economical solution to monitor the water quality, especially in rural areas. This
solution focuses on measuring the quality of water using pH, turbidity, and tempera-
ture sensors. An IoT-based solution to monitor the water quality in real time is pre-
sented in (Shafi et al. 2018). The proposed system provides remote monitoring of
water quality assessment along with water flow control via a mobile application.
Four machine learning algorithms including support vector machine (SVM),
k-nearest neighbor (KNN), single-layer neural network, and deep neural network
have been applied for the classification of water quality. Similarly, another case of
study is presented in (Chen et al. 2018) to monitor the water contamination via the
implementation of SVM based on color layout descriptor (CLD) and fast Fourier
transform (FFT). In the case of (Usachev et al. 2019), a system that simulates the
state of water quality in the Moscow waters was proposed. This system is based on
the tools for analyzing big data and machine learning. The neural network was
trained, which classifies the state of the reservoir into good and deviant. Another
water quality monitoring system based on a wireless sensor network is presented in
(Yue and Ying 2011) using solar power. The system is constituted by a base station
and several sensor nodes. The sensor nodes are powered by a solar power module,
while the data connection between the node and base station is realized using WSN
technology. On the node side, water quality data is collected by different sensors
such as pH, oxygen density, and turbidity.
Till now, despite the numerous strategies developed for water quality manage-
ment, there is a lack of a specific system that can be used to assess in real time the
quality of water using all physicochemical and microbiological water parameters. In
addition, the machine learning classification techniques are generally applied with-
out any data transformation in the database. In the context of Tunisia, we propose a
real-time system that monitors the water quality according to physicochemical and
308 J. Dziri and T. Ezzedine
The loss and damage caused by the leaks required techniques and new approaches
to minimize their negative impact as quickly as possible. As a result, many research-
ers have devoted their efforts to the development of a wide variety of techniques for
detecting and locating leaks. Indeed, an observation of the literature and the work
applied to leak detection makes it possible to identify two main categories of leak
detection systems: static detection and dynamic detection. Although each category
can identify and locate leaks, it is not uncommon to use a combination of the two
categories (Romano et al. 2017). These two classes can be defined as follows:
Static detection systems: these are systems that rely on sensors and data collec-
tors which are placed in the water distribution network and which can transmit the
data periodically to the network management center. This data can be used to iden-
tify and locate leaks.
Dynamic detection systems are systems that rely on the mobility of leak detec-
tion devices to an area where there is a suspected leak to conduct an investigation.
The main distinction between the two classes is that static detection systems can
notify the water network management center of the existence of a leak almost
immediately, while dynamic detection systems are required to have information on
the possibility of a leak to be able for an investigation. On the other hand, dynamic
detection systems can locate a leak almost immediately under ideal operating condi-
tions, while static detection systems can locate a leak in a certain area and are also
more prone to false alarms.
Both classes encompass a wide variety of technologies to provide an accurate
leak detection system, but the technologies are not limited to a single class. For
example, acoustic technologies can be dynamic and moved from place to place
periodically to detect leaks (Hunaidi and Wang 2006), or they can be embedded in
the network (El-Zahab et al. 2016).
Most of the existing acoustic leak detection techniques rely on external measure-
ments of sound emitted from the turbulent jet of water escaping the pipe. In (Khulief
et al. 2011), Khulief et al. present an experimental investigation that addresses the
feasibility and potential of in-pipe acoustic measurements for leak detection. In the
case of (Cataldo et al. 2014), three different techniques, namely, time domain reflec-
tometry (TDR), ground-penetrating radar (GPR), and electrical resistivity tomogra-
phy (ERT) were experimentally tested for water leak detection in underground
pipes. A noninvasive method of pressure monitoring is designed and developed
based on the force-sensitive resistor (FSR) technology (Sadeghioon et al. 2014).
Novel techniques utilizing machine learning and advanced statistical methods have
Smart Control of Drinking Water Grids Using IoT 309
been recently developed for the detection and approximate location of leaks
(Mounce et al. 2011; Ye and Fenner 2011; Romano et al. 2012, 2017).
As the works cited do not distinguish between small and large leaks, which are
two phenomena with different characteristics, we propose a new contribution which
consists in creating a control system for small and large leaks simultaneously.
Switch
Control of anomalies
LAN Leak detection
Internet
Quality model
Supervision
Storage
link
Radio
Computer Platform
User Router
Water distribution network
station
Storage tank
Water pipe
Water
treatment
center
Customer
Storage tank
• A data collection module: This is an interface that collects data from the
sinks of WSN.
• A visualization module allowing the operator to have a cartographic view of any
available data in the system: Network modeling, real sensors, virtual sensors,
anomalies, and leaks detection in water pipes.
• A data management module: This is a mechanism for validation, persistence,
subscriptions management, and data publishing.
• A long-term storage module: The acquired or calculated data are stored in a
database for the analysis and the calculation of various indicators.
The development of this platform must consider several requirements for its
industrialization:
• Scalability to connect an increasing amount of data from different sources.
• Flexibility for integration with other applications, especially existing informa-
tion systems.
• Real-time process management: The platform must be able to execute the differ-
ent modules in real time.
To control the physicochemical quality of the drinking water, we adopted the
WSN architecture presented in Fig. 2.
Referring to the technical paper (Waspmote technical guide 2017), we adopted
the libelium smart water sensor as shown in Fig. 3.
These nodes collect physicochemical drinking water parameters such as pH,
temperature, ammonium, nitrate, potassium, turbidity, conductivity, etc. Then, the
collected data will be routed to sink nodes by Zigbee links. Each sink transmits all
4G radio link
Zigbee link
Base station
Control center
Pumping station
the data to the control center using 4G radio links. We adopted a libelium sink which
includes a Zigbee coordinator for communication with the sensor nodes and a 4G
modem for communication with the control center.
To control the microbiologic water parameters, we propose to install in each
water tank and pumping station a flow cytometer bactosense (Wu 2020) as shown in
Fig. 4 to detect microbial cell numbers in water. These nodes detect the microbio-
logical parameters of the drinking water such as live dead count (LDC), total cell
count (TTC), intact cell percentage (ICP), etc.
The collected data will be transmitted to the control center.
In addition, we are interested to detect leaks in water pipes of the distribution
system. Water pipes are generally installed underground at a depth which is based
on the calculation of the depth of frost penetration (e.g., between 2.5 and 3 m)
(Water Pipeline Design Guidelines 2004). Thus, we propose to set up at each junc-
tion point a pair of sensors as shown in Fig. 5.
The sensor shown in black is designed to detect the water pressure in the pipe,
while the second in gray is designed to detect soil moisture in the vicinity of the
junction point.
Humidity sensors are designed to detect small leaks. Indeed, when it is a small
leak, it does not have a remarkable variation of water pressure in the pipe. Water
pressure sensors are designed to detect large leaks that cause a remarkable pressure
variation.
312 J. Dziri and T. Ezzedine
LAN 4G link
Data base server
Control center
Switch
User
Internet
Pump
Router
station
Ground surface
0.7 m 1.2 m
0.5 m
20 m Water pipe
Humidity sensor
Fig. 5 The overall architecture of the leaks detection and localization system based on WSN
Communication between network nodes is via Bluetooth links. The data will
pass from one node to another until it reaches a base station installed in a pumping
station or in a water treatment center. Base stations use 4G radio links to transmit
data to the control center.
The proposed model is based on three phases: data gathering from different sources,
data aggregation, and classification using machine learning techniques. Figure 6
shows the structure of our model.
4.1 Data Gathering
Data aggregation
Table 1 Average with standard error values of some physicochemical and microbiological water
parameters
Safe range relative to the Tunisian Measured
Water quality parameters standard values
PH 6.5–8.5 8.3 ± 0.56
Temperature (°C) Not defined 32 ± 2.57
Free residual chlorine (mg/l) 0.2–0.6 0.42 ± 0.35
Arsenic (μg/l) 10 7 ± 2.8
Nickel (μg/l) 70 28 ± 3.98
Turbidity (NTU) 3 2 ± 0.47
Calcium (mg/l) 200 144.38 ± 13.5
Magnesium (mg/l) 100 20.45 ± 11.56
Nitrate (mg/l) 45 31.8 ± 1.25
Escherichia coli (CFU/100 ml) 0 0 ± 0.13
Intestinal enterococci (CFU/100 0 0 ± 0.17
ml)
Colony-forming unit (CFU) is a measure of viable bacterial cells
4.2 Data Aggregation
For p parameters of drinking water quality (pH, residual chlorine, turbidity, etc.)
to be measured in the time interval Δk, each sensor Si has a set of mea-
surements Vik uikj : j 1 p .
During a window whose size is defined in the control center, each node performs
m measurements of drinking water quality. At the end of each window, each node
will have the amount of information Vi.
u11 u1p
Vi vik : k 1 m uikj : k 1 m; j 1 p (1)
u1m ump
Each node must execute locally an aggregation algorithm which allows grouping
the similar lines together to have a matrix Wi with dimension (l, p) where l ≤ m and
transmit it to the sink node.
w11 w1p
Wi wikj : k 1l; j 1 p (2)
wl1 wlp
W in1 wi (3)
The sink node executes also the aggregation algorithm on the dataset W to have a
matrix W′.
i 1
W Wi , where q n. (4)
q
This aggregation method minimizes the energy consumption of the sources and
minimizes the network load.
The main objective of machine learning (ML) research is to learn automatically how
to recognize complex patterns and make intelligent decisions based on data. ML has
a wide range of applications, namely, search engines, medical diagnosis, text and
handwriting recognition, image screening, load forecasting, marketing, sales diag-
nosis, etc. In 1994 ML was used for the first time in Internet flow classification in
the context of intrusion detection (Frank 1994). It is the starting point for several
Smart Control of Drinking Water Grids Using IoT 315
Machine Learning
Classification Regression
SVM
DT
KNN
works using ML techniques in Internet traffic classification. Decision trees (DT) are
one of the most commonly supervised learning algorithms used in intrusion detec-
tion systems (Amor et al. 2004) due to their simplicity, high detection accuracy, and
fast adaptation. Besides popular decision trees, support vector machines (SVMs)
are also a good candidate for intrusion detection systems (Ambwani 2003) which
can provide real-time detection capability and deal with large dimensionality of
data. Also, KNN is one of the most widely used algorithms in pattern evaluation,
text characterization, and cancer diagnosis. It is one of the simplest and most funda-
mental classification methods. In Fig. 7, a machine learning organizational chart is
presented.
The decision trees correspond to a set of algorithms that have been widely used for
many years as part of supervised learning (Mitchell 1997). These algorithms, in
addition to being effective in many problems, produce a decision-making process
that can be easily exploited by a human. Another advantage is that each decision
rule exploits only one attribute at a time. The decision tree can, therefore, use only
a subset of the initial attributes and be less sensitive to the addition of irrelevant
attributes. The problem is then to define a methodology allowing each stage of the
construction of the tree to choose the most relevant attribute and the separation
threshold realizing one of the dichotomies. The methodology differs according to
316 J. Dziri and T. Ezzedine
the quality criterion q used to identify the most discriminating attribute (entropy
measurement, impurity measurement, etc.).
Let N be a node in a decision tree that performs a separation of a set of examples
Z (the training data) into two sets of examples Zd+ and Zd− from a threshold a and
an attribute i. We note the quality variation concerning this decision expressed as
follows:
N Z ,i,a q Z P xi a | Z q Z d P xi a | Z q Z d (5)
The selection of the optimal decision rule (i*, a*) consists of choosing the one that
maximizes (5). The decision tree is usually constructed by recursively applying the
rivers (5) to the two subtrees produced by the preceding rule.
The most disadvantages of decision tree algorithms are the high probability of
overfitting, and the calculations can become complex when there are many
class labels.
Support vector machines or SVMs are derived directly from Vapnik’s work in sta-
tistical learning theory (Vapnik 1999; Boser et al. 1992). It is a binary supervised
classification method that was introduced in 1992. Subsequently, it was extended to
problems of regression, density estimation, and unsupervised classification. Since
1995, research has been very prolific in the study of SVM-based methods (Vapnik
1995; Platt 1999; Joachims 2001), both in practice and theory, and many books on
SVM have been published (Cristianini and Shawe-Taylor 2000; Herbrich 2001; Abe
2005). The advantage of creating a decision function with the SVM algorithm is that
the solution produced corresponds to the optimum of a convex function. A disad-
vantage of the SVM is the significant training phase duration. In addition, SVM has
another disadvantage in which the complexity of the decision function is produced
when the learning base is large.
4.3.3 KNN
KNN uses standard Euclidean distance (Sun et al. 2009) to measure the variation
between the training and test instance. The standard Euclidean distance d(x, y) is
defined as:
d xi ,x j ar xi ar x j
2
(6)
Smart Control of Drinking Water Grids Using IoT 317
In our system, the transmission of moisture measurements from the sources is done
periodically after a window size of 5 min. This mode of transmission is similar to
the case in (Stoianov et al. 2007).
Hiu, k hiu, k, j : j 1..m : represents the m moisture measurements in the upper
node Ni during a window ∆k.
Hil, k hil,,kj : j 1..m : represents the m moisture measurements in the lower
node Ni during a window ∆k.
The aggregation algorithm is then applied, which consists of grouping similar
values together and eliminating the values due to measurement errors. We will have:
Hiu, k hiu, k, j : j 1.. p p m (7)
Hil, k hil,,kj : j 1..q q m (8)
In a window ∆k which size is defined by the control center, each node Ni performs m
water pressure measurements.
Pi k pij, k : j 1..m : The vector representing the water pressure measure-
ments in the node Ni during the time interval ∆k.
Pi k 1 pij, k 1 : j 1..m : The vector representing the water pressure mea-
surements in the node Ni during the time interval ∆k+1.
Each node executes the aggregation algorithm described above. We will have the
following quantities of information:
Pi k pij, k : j 1.. p p m (9)
318 J. Dziri and T. Ezzedine
Pi k 1 pij, k 1 : j 1..q q m (10)
If d(Pi(k), Pi(k + 1)) > ε and a remarkable increase in humidity, then node Ni triggers
the presence of a large leak. d represents the Euclidean distance between Pi(k) and
Pi(k + 1).
6 Experimentation
The designed system is evaluated using MATLAB Machine Learning Toolbox based
on the standard dataset from the Tunisian Treatment Station “Ghadir El Golla.” The
dataset is divided into three parts, namely, the full dataset, the half dataset, and the 1/4
(quarter) dataset. Error rate (ERR) and accuracy (ACC) are the most common and
intuitive measures derived from the confusion matrix (Shaer et al. 2019). Error rate
(ERR) is calculated as the number of all incorrect predictions divided by the total
number of the dataset. The best error rate is 0.0, whereas the worst is 1.0.
FP FN
ERR (11)
PN
6.1.1 Accuracy Evaluation
Accuracy (ACC) is computed as the total number of correct predictions, true posi-
tive (TP) + true negative (TN), divided by the total number of a dataset (positive
(P) + negative (N)).
TP TN
ACC 1 ERR (12)
PN
Figure 8 shows in the case of the full samples, there is a slight difference between the
three techniques, but for 1/4 of the samples, the linear SVM offers better accuracy.
6.1.2 Precision Evaluation
DT SVM KNN
110,00%
100,00%
90,00%
80,00%
70,00%
60,00%
50,00%
Full samples 1/2 samples 1/4 samples
Fig. 8 Accuracy of DT, SVM, and KNN (80% training and 20% testing)
DT SVM KNN
110%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
Full samples 1/2 samples 1/4 samples
Fig. 9 The precision of DT, SVM, and KNN (80% training and 20% testing)
Figure 9 shows that the linear SVM performs better compared with DT and
KNN. For the 1/4 samples, SVM gives a better precision up to 98%. These results
justify that SVM is considered in the literature as a famous classification technique
for a small database. In addition, these results prove the disadvantage of SVM which
is the complexity of the decision function produced when the learning base is large.
As a result, we have integrated a data aggregation method at the source and at the
sinks to minimize the size of the database.
320 J. Dziri and T. Ezzedine
6.1.3 Recall Evaluation
The recall is the ratio of correct positive predictions to the total positive examples.
TP (14)
Recall
TP FN
The recall of DT, SVM, and KNN on 80% training and 20% testing is shown in
Fig. 10.
On full data samples, the recall of SVM outperforms those DT and KNN,
whereas the recall of SVM and DT is almost similar on 1/4 samples.
The simulation tools used in our experimental work are EPANET (Rossman 2000).
EPANET is a simulator designed specifically to evaluate the metrics of the distribu-
tion water (flow, pressure, quality, etc.). We used the topology presented in Fig. 11
to assess the evolution of water pressure over time and to evaluate our leak detection
method in the water distribution network.
In the first stage of the experiment, we studied the evolution of the water pressure at
the adjacent nodes. Figure 12 shows the evolution of the pressure at junctions 2, 3,
4, 5, and 6 as a function of the simulation time.
DT SVM KNN
110%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
Full samples 1/2 samples 1/4 samples
Fig. 10 Recall of DT, SVM, and KNN (80% training and 20% testing)
Smart Control of Drinking Water Grids Using IoT 321
pressure pressure
25.00 25.00
50.00 50.00
75.00 75.00
100.00 100.00
psi psi
(a) Contour plot: Pressure at 3:00 Hrs (b) Contour plot: Pressure at 3:05 Hrs
Fig. 13 Water pressure evolution as a function of the simulation time. (a) Contour plot: Pressure
at 3:00 h. (b) Contour plot: Pressure at 3:05 h
To evaluate our leak detection system, we injected random pressure values, and then
at the fifth window (25 min), we injected a low-pressure value like the case of a
large leak. Figure 13 presents the evolution of water pressure, at junction nodes, as
a function of the simulation time.
In the first measurement windows, Fig. 13a shows stationary water pressure val-
ues during 3 h of measurement. At 3:05 h as shown in Fig. 13b, a remarkable pres-
sure variation was detected at junction 2 of the water distribution network. This is
due to a large leakage.
• A new model for water quality analyses was presented. This model is based on
three phases: data gathering, data aggregation, and classification with machine
learning techniques. In the first stage, a database that includes real water quality
measurements from the water treatment station of “Ghadir El Golla” in Tunis-
Tunisia was recovered. In the second stage, considering the homogeneity of the
assets in our system, we proposed a data aggregation method to minimize the
quantities of information transmitted by the source nodes to the sink. This
method increases the lifetime of the sources and minimizes the network load. In
the third phase, we started by studying the famous classification algorithms in
the literature, namely, Decision Tree, SVMs, and KNN. Then, the advantages
and disadvantages of each technique were developed in detail. An evaluation of
the accuracy, precision, and recall of these classification algorithms was pre-
sented. The experimentation results gave us good proof of the classification tech-
niques’ performance. In addition, it’s found that linear SVM seems adequate for
our application by applying the data aggregation method.
• Leak detection algorithms in the water distribution system were developed and
tested. We first reviewed a list of existing technologies designed to control leaks
in water pipes. Next, we presented a detailed architecture of our system for
detecting and locating leaks in a water distribution network based on a network
of underground wireless sensors. We then developed an algorithm for detecting
small and large leaks in distribution pipes. The experimentation results demon-
strate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.
Our work has some limits: in fact, our aggregation method regroups only similar
data packets. Other coding methods can be applied to minimize the amount of the
data packet transmitted by the sources. In addition, our leak detection algorithms are
reactive. They cannot anticipate the leaks which can act on the water pipes.
In perspective we have established several work axes:
• Integrate a new algorithm to predict the quality of pipes in the water distribution
network.
• Propose a network coding method to minimize the amount of the data packet
transmitted by the sources.
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Algorithmic Art and Cultural
Sustainability in the Museum Sector
Giulia Taurino
Abstract While most Western museums contain art objects, relics and memora-
bilia from a variety of cultures, there is still a considerable bias in the way artifacts
are defined as culturally significant, selected for exhibition, digitized, and comple-
mented with metadata. In turn, biased datasets and non-representative samples stand
at the core of an ever-growing techno-cultural issue that affects algorithmic culture,
raising concerns for discriminatory practices in the application of artificial intelli-
gence. This chapter suggests a viable path towards cultural sustainability by asking
how algorithmic art can help us frame sustainable futures. It argues that promoting
diversity in algorithmic design through creative practices might have a positive
impact on fostering inclusive innovations in ethical AI and cultural heritage preser-
vation. To show how AI can be positively integrated in museum institutions in coex-
istence with traditional curatorial practices, the first part of the paper tackles existing
studies on cultural sustainability in the museum sector. More specifically, it consid-
ers a series of studies exploring theoretical and empirical approaches to sustainable
development in museums. Through a literature review, I demonstrate how a sustain-
able cultural development was proved to be correlated to the overall sustainability
framework – social, environmental, and economic. The second part complements
the evidence presented by previous research with a close reading observation of new
methodologies brought by the introduction of AI-based practices in museum set-
tings. By focusing on experimental museology projects conducted in collaboration
with art institutions, the chapter finally discusses the role of algorithmic art in chal-
lenging biased standards in cultural and tech industries and supporting
sustainability.
G. Taurino (*)
Institute for Experiential AI, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 327
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_18
328 G. Taurino
While most Western museums contain art objects, relics and memorabilia from a
variety of cultures, there is still a considerable bias in the way artifacts are defined
as culturally significant, selected for exhibition, digitized, and complemented with
metadata. In turn, biased datasets and non-representative samples stand at the very
core of an ever-growing techno-cultural issue that is spreading in algorithmic cul-
ture, with rising concerns for discriminatory practices in the application of artificial
intelligence (AI). Both in the cultural sector and in the tech industry, a large body of
scholarships grounded in feminist epistemology and critical race theory stressed on
the need to halt the perpetuation of uneven power dynamics and advocate in favor
of a more sustainable development (O’Neil 2016; Noble 2018; Buolamwini and
Gebru 2018; Benjamin 2019; Costanza-Chock 2020; D’Ignazio and Klein 2020;
Crawford 2021). Despite Eun Seo Jo and Timnit Gebru’s (2020) invitation to follow
the lessons of archival studies in finding inclusive and transparent options for col-
lecting sociocultural data in machine learning, most archives in libraries and muse-
ums remain contested sites where power manifests itself in the form of
historical biases inherited from discriminatory cultural practices, social inequali-
ties and institutional hierarchies.
To tackle the ethical commitments that come with record-keeping, researchers,
media scholars and curators have suggested counter-archival approaches that go
beyond the definition of mission statements and participatory practices in archival
settings, to promote a creative movement that “counteracts” partial archival histo-
ries (Kashmere 2010). As Brett Kashmere outlines, “in this formulation, the
‘counter-archive’ represents an incomplete and unstable repository, an entity to be
contested and expanded through clandestine acts, a space of impermanence and
play. Taken as an action, the term entails mischief and imagination, challenging the
record of official history. Employed as an artistic strategy it pushes our archival
impulse into new territories, encouraging critique and material alteration/fabrica-
tion, and emboldening anarchivism” (ibidem, online). If archives can offer relevant
examples of compliance frameworks for gathering available sociocultural informa-
tion, counter-archives provide us with “a form of recollection of that which has been
silenced and buried” (Merewether 2006). Accounting for both archival and counter-
archival practices, this chapter argues that the implementation of research-creation,
art-based, counter-methodologies in museums can lead to positive outcomes for
cultural, social, and technological sustainability.
An ethical, collaborative, regulated approach to data collection, management,
and use is indeed at the basis of fair, transparent, responsible AI (Leavy et al.
2021). However, the lack of consistent understanding of the operational and indus-
trial life cycle of most commonly deployed algorithms in machine learning (ML)
poses obstacles to the approval of targeted laws and guidelines. As concepts like
explainability and accountability gain more and more relevance in the public debate
around AI, it is still unclear how to take practical measures to overcome the barriers
Algorithmic Art and Cultural Sustainability in the Museum Sector 329
2016: 18, 130) find a pragmatic outcome in more specific cultural contexts? And
how can we move from a theoretical framework (Swanson and DeVereaux 2017) in
policy-making to a more practical framework able to influence everyday human
practices and social lives? Before considering case studies in computational arts and
experimental museology, it is necessary to give a more detailed overview of what
cultural sustainability means in relation to the museum sector. According to the
World Commission on Culture and Development, cultural sustainability refers to
the inter- and intra-generational access to cultural resources and heritage (WCCD
1995), that is to say “the entire corpus of material signs – either artistic or sym-
bolic – handed on by the past to each culture and, therefore, to the whole of human-
kind” (UNESCO 1989: 57). In this sense, with their work of collecting, preserving,
and displaying historical and contemporary objects, museums represent some of the
main gatekeepers of cultural sustainability, always concerned with the passing on of
cultural heritage.
A few studies focusing on the European landscape have tried to find measures to
identify and evaluate sources of cultural capital (Bourdieu 1986) in national areas as
connected to institutional and historical landmarks. For instance, a study on the
Swedish geo-cultural landscape uses available data as variables to verify indicators
for cultural value and determine geographical patterns at a national level (Axelsson
et al. 2013). This research argues for a collaborative learning process and adaptive
governance that can assist stakeholders and decision-makers in acquiring a share-
dompetence before targeting policies. Another study maps out the Cypriot museum
network in order to isolate strengths and weaknesses in the achievement of cultural
sustainability and propose a theoretical model for the definition of policies
(Stylianou-Lambert et al. 2014). Stylianou-Lambert et al. notably insist on the fact
that the idea of cultural heritage is artificially constructed to create a sense of place
and identity at a national, local, and individual level (ivi: 2). “Museums are […] part
of a cultural system which selectively renders certain aspects of a culture visible
while obscuring others. Like any cultural system or economy, different stakeholders
operate within various complex power structures. These stakeholders indicate what
is deemed important to be preserved for future generations as the material and
immaterial proof of a country’s heritage” (ibidem).
In both papers, dating before the publication of the UN SDGs, the authors opt for
research-based solutions to detect parameters that can be used as references for
culturally sustainable policy-making. The urgency to define a common language
and shared mode of communication with stakeholders (being them private donors
and funders, public entities like the state, or local organizations) emerges as the
basis of any viable policy-planning. This process of finding a dialogue between
museums, sustainable practices, and governmental interests inevitably reveals over-
lapping macro- and micro-economic dynamics, as well as political interests, with a
complex range of repercussions that vary depending on each context. Moreover, the
cited studies emphasize that national identity and the human concern with creating
a sense of place play a fundamental role in addressing cultural sustainability in the
museum space. In conclusion, the combination of these economic, political, socio-
cultural factors profoundly affects our ability to decide for the presence or absence
334 G. Taurino
policy guide recognizes that, although problematic, they have been essential in
maintaining social connections and cultural consumption, providing interesting
opportunities to rebuild, share, and advance social interaction outside of physical
spaces. “Beyond the cultural sector itself, culture has the power to advance other
human development objectives such as education, health and well-being, while also
stimulating the much-needed skills and values of adaptation, solidarity and empa-
thy, all of which will be vital to build back better societies” (UNESCO 2021).
When it comes to defining sustainability in close relation to culture (Zheng et al.
2021), notions like collective memory, historical trauma, technological disparity
are needed in order to understand the complexity of sustainable development initia-
tives. Often missing at the level of governance, acts of care, rupture and repair turn
out to be necessary for human, cultural, technological survival alike. Opening muse-
ums up to a range of creative and critical possibilities might help us grasp the variety
of cultural dynamics articulated within museums, from those regulating human
geographies and senses of belonging to those underlying human identities and
archival acts of acquisition, selection, preservation, up until the historical move-
ments involved in the definition of myths, symbols, and processes of erasure.
Thinking about the museum as a space for survival, the following paragraph pres-
ents a counterapproach that is radically different from methodologies based on eco-
nomic analysis to calculate cultural impacts. Starting from digital databases that
document physical archives, I will discuss case studies that deploy algorithmic art
and other exploratory approaches to explore alternative ways to “measure” cultural
invisibility, marginal identities, and intercultural and inter-generational connec-
tions. I will observe the ways in which this methodology responds to sustainable
development on multiple levels, by both contributing to reaching museums’ core
sustainability missions and advocating for ethical AI practices.
1
For a more comprehensive listing of AI initiatives in museums, please refer to the following
resource: https://www.artsmetrics.com/en/list-of-artificial-intelligence-ai-initiatives-in-museums/
Algorithmic Art and Cultural Sustainability in the Museum Sector 337
violence (Caroline Sinders).2 Matching computer vision with the human eye of art-
ists and photo-reporters, Recognition provides a case study for AI implementa-
tions in museums that bridge separate fields (i.e. arts and journalism) and induce
unexpected cross-historical, cross-cultural, and cross-geographical conversations.
Other projects leverage computational techniques to investigate intra- or interin-
stitutional connections between artworks in archives. One example is the case of
Emily Chu’s visualization of the Metropolitan Museum of Art Costume Institute’s
database, Forms of Attraction (2018). Winner of the Kantar Information is Beautiful
Awards 2018, this work uses machine learning and statistical models to retrace the
history of clothing by applying K-means clustering algorithms on images to iden-
tify similar shapes. The result is a visual project that shows how the evolution of
fashion alternates between craftmanship and artistic expression. Relying on unsu-
pervised learning, this visualization entails a reflection on dynamics of constructed
inequality and classism in the arts, but it also points at possible failure of algorithms
and training sets used in AI. On the one hand, the project proves the efficacy of
machine learning models on most common shapes of clothing, connecting imges
from a variety of timeframes and geographical areas.Such is the case of the dancing
bell shape, which emerges as a recurrent pattern across historical periods and cul-
tures. These recurring patterns can help us reconstruct and compare women’s role
across societies and civilizations, thus filling the void of untold and unknown
women histories. However, this same approach to data visualization based on algo-
rithmic clustering can be used to expose potential issues with existing unsupervised
learning models - e.g. missing more unusual shapes, mis-grouping outliers and
returning errors.
Not only these projects operate effectively in intra-institutional settings to rede-
fine archival narratives and histories in museums like the Tate and Met, but they can
also be instrumental in favoring inter-institutional collaboration and dialogue. It is
the case of the more recent art project MosAIc (2020) developed at MIT CSAIL by
Mark Hamilton, in partnership with Microsoft. The research group started from
digitized collections at the New York’s Met and the Amsterdam’s Rijksmuseum.
MosAIc leverages on a supervised model (tree-based k-nearest neighbors algorithm
or KNN) to create an application based on conditional image retrieval that “com-
bines visual similarity search with user supplied filters or ‘conditions’” (Hamilton
et al. 2021: 1). In a creative way, this work proposes a novel methodology for
improving machine learning to better identify analogies between artworks from dif-
ferent collections, cultures, and media. In addition to suggesting inter-generational,
inter-cultural, and inter-media connections, this prototype can be used to solve some
of the limitations of state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms and advance more
diverse AI applications in synergy between multiple archives. Much like MosAIc,
other algorithmic art initiatives were designed to address the challenges in the way
cultural archives in museums are traditionally organized, preserved, and exhibited,
while also contributing to the creation of ethical algorithms. For instance, a project
2
http://recognition.tate.org.uk/#intro
338 G. Taurino
launched in 2020 at MetaLAB (at) Harvard with the title of This Recommendation
System is Broken,3 in collaboration with the Harvard Art Museums for the exhibition
series Curatorial A(i)gents, was designed to problematize automated decision-
making in application to the curation of cultural content. Built using a creative cod-
ing approach, the work was later adapted to other institutional environments to
explore more closely how machine learning and algorithmic curatorial practices can
help redefine art histories across institutions in the same urban region (Taurino
2021). Titled Museum Marginalia (2021–2022), the second project in this broken-
algorithm series was developed as part of a collaboration between Fondazione ISI
(tech partner), Associazione Arteco (cultural partner), and local Italian museums in
the Torino area (museum partner). Open datasets made available by Fondazione
Torino Musei (i.e., Galleria Civica d’Arte Moderna e Contemporanea, Museo
d’Arte Orientale, Palazzo Madama) were used to create a content filtering system
that selects randomly assorted groups of objects based on materials and techniques
commonly associated with low arts, crafts and handwork. This algorithm shows
random links between artistic traditions and crafting techniques, with a focus on
objects for everyday use. In a second iteration, the datasets were used to train a
machine learning model able to recognize connections between records sharing
visual features and create a network of items paired by similarity.
This project connects heterogeneous archives coming with a wide variety of digi-
tized records, from modern and contemporary art to ancient Italian art and Eastern
art, with attention for the inter-cultural and inter-generational histories hidden
behind marginal objects in museums’ collections. Furthermore, it offers a solution
for designing algorithms in a way that is ethical (e.g., gives visibility to under-
researched artworks), educational (e.g., explores a history of women crafts), and
collaborative (e.g., promotes interinstitutional communication in synergy between
algorithmic and human curators). These are examples of how the transformative
reuse of existing datasets can tackle some of the goals of UN Sustainable
Development Agenda while also proposing a change at the community level, by
enhancing better understanding of archives both internally and externally, by pre-
senting a diversified set of adaptive algorithms, and by favoring social knowledge,
dialogue, and tolerance. Overall, each project contributes in framing a design and
use of AI that favor cultural exchange. This stands in contrast with most common
applications found in the tech industry, which often deploys algorithmic filtering
systems that reinforce the creation of silos by selecting “what is always already
preferred” (Taurino 2020).
Other projects bring the exploratory approach to the fore by using AI to imagine
missing data and potential histories (Azoulay 2019). Among the most interest-
ing experiments in this domain, Minne Atairu’s Igùn uses generative adversarial
networks (GANs) to inventively retell a never-existed history of Benin’s art produc-
tion that was silenced by a 17-year British interregnum. As a training set for
the machine learning algorithm, the artist used a dataset of stolen Benin Bronzes
3
https://thedigitalreview.com/issue01/taurino-machine/work/brokensystem/exhibit.html
Algorithmic Art and Cultural Sustainability in the Museum Sector 339
curated by the Western Art Museums.4 Ever since its launch, the Atairu’s project
evolved into a series of collaborations with museums and galleries that aim at rais-
ing awareness on the long-term traumatic impacts of colonialist interventions on
local identities and cultural heritage. Imaginative projects revolving around
the transformational reuse of datasets via generative AI models expose the need for
decolonial approaches in the management of archival records as well as in algorith-
mic practices. In these works, techno-cultural diversity assumes a pivotal role in
taking concrete measures in applying AI for social good and justice. Within a simi-
lar exploratory intent, the EPFL Pavilion’s exhibition, Deep Fakes: Art and Its
Double (2021-2022), born from the collaboration between several academic and
tech partners, uses advanced computational techniques to generate digital replicas
of seminal artifacts from pan-Asian art and architecture. With this speculative
design approach, it raises questions around crucial notions in museology and arts,
such as the value of materiality, authority, and authenticity of objects. At the same
time, it explores the effects of AI technologies on cultural heritage, thus mobilizing
several topics in a public conversation about the deep fakes in acts
of misinformation.
Even outside of the museum space, algorithmic art has emerged as a form of
activism against discriminatory machine learning models. In collaborative annota-
tion projects like Algorithmic Art to Counter Gender Bias 2022, data-based art prac-
tices have been deployed to fill the gender gap and create more inclusive training
sets for machine learning. This web-based project invites users to take part into a
participatory labeling process that aims at redefining conventional and culturally
constructed concepts, like femininity or womanhood. The resulting dataset of anno-
tated words is then used to retrain machine learning models that produce algorithmic-
generated images from strings of text that include one of the following terms:
woman, beauty, and imperfection. This research project acknowledges the social –
and now also technological – issues of wording and understanding concepts that
emerge around the broader notion of woman. The terminology adopted is meant to
be used as a cue, and not as a suggestion or a forced path. Cue as retrieval cue, as a
prompt that helps activate a process for remembering, rewriting, and reimagining
cultural memories, traumas, kinships, and disconnections around what woman,
beauty, and imperfection mean.
Overall, inside or outside of museums’ spaces, these projects combine critical
design with artistic interventions, to foster a deeper reflection on which algorithmic
practices we should adopt, how and why. Algorithmic art has been implemented in
world-renowned initiatives, organizations, and venues to tackle the wonders of
computational technologies and digital transformations, as much as the risks and
harms of incomplete or non-representative data in machine learning and human-
induced AI biases. While the case studies provided here do not offer empirical
proofs of their efficacy in promoting social and cultural sustainability, they still are
examples of sustainable applications for techno-cultural development in
4
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340 G. Taurino
5 Conclusion
methods” (Lenoir in Riskin 2007: 209). As Donna Haraway and others (Haraway
2016; Hayles 2017; Braidotti 2019) have claimed, we need to seek and embrace a
critical view that can lead to an ecological collaboration among nature, humans, and
intelligent machines. A human-algorithmic version of Haraway’s concept of kinship
(2016) or else of Braidotti’s ethical bond (2019) can be built between human and
artificial intelligence through art, against the risks posed by Unitarian subjectivities,
isolationist policies, and the techno-individualist impositions of AI-based ranking
systems. In an ever-changing ethics of becoming (Braidotti 2006) and distributed
cognition (Hayles 2017), projects based on speculative experiments, imagination,
and invention contribute in constructing “micro-political modes of daily activism”
(ibidem), as well as a “dialectical vision of a creative, dynamic, humanistic technol-
ogy” (Rothschild 1981).
Artworks like Recognition, Forms of Attraction, MoSAIC, This Recommendation
is Broken, Museum Marginalia, Igùn, and Deep Fakes: Art and Its Double benefit
sustainable development by projecting “alternative technologies and alternative
modes of social and econo-political organization” (ibidem) within a feminist, deco-
lonial perspective on culture, technology, and the future of sustainability. At the
same time, it is important to clarify that the projects included in this paper are
mainly based at US and European museums. For this reason, the corpus is to be
interpreted as indicative of a small subset of a broader and yet-to-be-explored
research-creation movement that is tied to access to funding, digitization and com-
putational resources. It is important to acknowledge the limitations of this method-
ology that can only thrive in rich institutional environment. Nevertheless, the hope
is that this same movement will foster algorithmic art projects for cultural sustain-
ability outside of North-America and Europe, through the establishment of funded
programs for both the preservation of archival records and the subvention of art-
and-research residencies to critically, inventively maintain and reuse museums’ col-
lections. While experiments in AI and the Arts have already been scaled up thanks
to initiatives like Google Arts & Culture and projects like X Degrees of Separation,5
there is still a gap in financing computational and algorithmic art projects outside of
certain geographic and institutional areas.
In relation to algorithmic art as a means to achieve inter-generational and inter-
temporal distributive justice in sociocultural environments, it is also important to
ask to which extent past and present or present and future can be traded off to make
up for widespread social imbalance and finally determine a state of equity, fairness,
justice. In other words, “if distributive justice is defined in terms of opportunity, or
in terms of outcome, what inter-temporal opportunities, or outcomes, are just?”
(Areskoug 1976: 1). Since the first draft of the UN Recommendation on the ethics
of artificial intelligence was released in 2020, followed by a Resource Guide on AI
Strategies in 2021, the UN showed an increasing commitment in defining fair regu-
lations and ethical principles to ensure the implementation of safe and beneficial
AI applications for the society and counter potential harms. If a methodology based
5
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342 G. Taurino
on algorithmic art cannot yet tell us enough about the how-tos of fair AI practice in
a variety of contexts, it still represents a viable alternative to a system in crisis, being
it cultural or technological, economic or political, in the same way that “sustain-
ability represents the search for a way out of ‘unsustainability’” (Kagan 2011: 23).
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The Impact of Artificial Intelligence
on Circular Value Creation for Sustainable
Development Goals
Abstract Circular economy (CE) business models provide solutions for sustain-
able development goals by closing, slowing, intensifying, de-materializing, and nar-
rowing resource loops. Addressing CE needs a strategic redefinition of the way
companies are creating and capturing value, which leads in designing a new value
creation system and innovative business models. For a full circular value creation,
circular products should be designed and developed specifically for repair, refur-
bishing, and remanufacturing purposes to close the loop. Hence, companies need to
radically change their business models and the way they create value towards more
innovative solutions based on CE strategies. However, implementation of circular
business models in business practices has not been widely utilized and requires
fundamental changes within the value chain. In a successful circular value creation,
a higher degree of transparency and high-quality data for the entire value chain is
required for further development of the products and processes, hence enabling
design optimization and management of supply chain. Recent debates show that
artificial intelligence (AI) can be considered as an enabler of CE to help companies
in innovating circular business models. Different applications of AI such as machine
learning, automation and robotics, and machine visions have the capability of col-
lecting, analyzing, and storing digital data. AI-enhanced products and services can
tackle environmental problems through independent interactions with their sur-
roundings and self-learning capabilities, which results in improved environmental
performance characteristics. In this chapter, we identify the role of AI in circular
value creation for sustainable development goals.
M. Ghoreishi (*)
LUT School of Business and Management, LUT University, Lappeenranta, Finland
Faculty of Technology, LAB Universtiy of Applied Sciences, Lappeenranta, Finland
e-mail: [email protected]
L. Treves · R. Teplov · M. Pynnönen
LUT School of Business and Management, LUT University, Lappeenranta, Finland
e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 347
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_19
348 M. Ghoreishi et al.
1 Introduction
Sustainability has been discussed widely since the topic was identified by Brundtland
in 1987 (Commission on Environment and Development 1987). To promote sus-
tainable development approach, the United Nation established 17 Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) in 2015 as a universal action to stop poverty, protect the
planet, and increase peace and prosperity (United Nations 2015). However, despite
the significant efforts made by different nations, the successful achievement of
goals objective is often hampered by the economic challenges and profitability
issues faced by businesses. The concept of CE has gained attention of researchers,
policymakers, and various organizations worldwide as a way of promoting SDGs
while enhancing economic development (EM Foundation 2015; Geissdoerfer et al.
2017). The CE model is an alternative to a traditional linear system, which is respon-
sible for current environmental problems, resource depletion, and climate change.
CE practices contribute directly to achieving Goal 12 of SDGs (ensure sustainable
consumption and production patterns). Integration of CE principles for SDG 12
requires an early-stage consideration in product design and development processes.
CE-oriented business models are built on the principles of keeping products and
materials in the economy as long as possible with highest value retention. Since the
main aim of CE models is to eliminate the use of finite material and energy resources
in the entire life cycle of the products and materials, CE models are seen as a poten-
tial driver in SDG 12. In CE the value creation is decoupled from consuming limited
resources by leveraging sets of regenerative, restorative, and efficient productivity-
oriented strategies which keeps products, components, and materials for a longer
time with highest possible value (Ellen MacArthur Foundation 2013; Lieder and
Rashid 2016). According to Bressanelli et al. (2018), implementing CE strategies
creates a net benefit of €1.8 trillion by 2030 in Europe alone while creating new
jobs, stimulating innovation, as well as increasing considerable environmental ben-
efits. CE is the core in the UN SDGs (Schroeder et al. 2019) which can be achieved
through reducing structural waste which leads to decrease the demand for limited
virgin material and transformation from consumption of the natural resources that
still have a useful life but would otherwise be sent to landfill (Hysa et al. 2020).
Despite of all the benefits CE can bring to the environment, society, and government
(ESG), the adoption of CE strategies and how organizations create, deliver, and
capture value in CE is still uncertain, and only minor improvements have been rec-
ognized in decoupling from linear resource consumption (Whicher et al. 2018).
The recent report by Sitra (2021) highlights the core role of data in transition
towards CE. In a CE, data on resource flows, location tracking, monitoring condi-
tion and quality, real-time data gathering, processing of input-output flows, precise
prediction, lower production downtime, and optimization of energy consumption
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Circular Value Creation for Sustainable… 349
are essential (Hughes et al. 2021). CE requires a strong integration and connection
of the value chain which brings data economy at the center when considering devel-
opment of CE solutions. Since Industry 4.0 technologies are capable of collecting,
storing, analyzing, and processing large amount of data, they can position such data
and information flows to enable resource and energy efficiency towards a more
sustainable CE (Ellen MacArthur Foundation 2019; Kristoffersen et al. 2020;
Ramadoss et al. 2018; Lacy et al. 2020). Industry 4.0 technologies such as Internet
of Things (IoT), artificial intelligence (AI), and big data are considered as digital
technologies which are enablers of CE. According to Yoo et al. (2010), Industry 4.0
technologies share three essential characteristics which distinct digital technologies
from other technologies are (1) that they are programmable, (2) creating, sharing
and capturing data as a homogeneous source, and (3) reinforcing each other by self-
referencing. Such technologies have critical roles in CE by creating precise data for
improving resource management and efficient decision-making, as well as tracking
the flow of products, components, and materials throughout all the stages of indus-
trial life cycle (Antikainen et al. 2018; Nascimento et al. 2019; Lacy et al. 2020;
Bressanelli et al. 2018).
However, there is still a lack of concrete guidance on how to leverage Industry
4.0 technologies to support CE strategies which offer novel opportunities for busi-
ness leaders (Kristoffersen et al. 2020). The challenge of moving towards a full CE
is substantial, and the world is only at the early stages, for which Industry 4.0 tech-
nologies can maximize the transformation of business models, products, and ser-
vices for a more durable and sustainable outcomes and help organizations to
overcome challenges and simultaneously remain competitive in sustainability
aspects in business. Hence, the primary objective of this work is to investigate how
CE and digitalization affect business model innovation. The remainder of this book
chapter is organized as follows: next sections respectively investigate the key role of
AI in CE and how AI can be utilized to leverage circular value creation with sup-
porting business cases.
2 AI in CE
Industry 4.0 technologies and its supporting systems provide integrated tools that
can help tackle these issues by providing improved “any-time,” “any-where” for
“any-thing,” tracking, and insights of their business processes (Lee 2018). This has
the potential to transform how businesses implement their sustainability strategies.
Consequently, companies are increasingly developing new business models that
focus on reuse, repair, and remanufacturing of their products and services (Melander
and Pazirandeh 2019). The combination of digital transformation, the circular econ-
omy, and business model innovation presents a huge opportunity for businesses to
create and capture new value. Digital technologies can play role in three different
CE business model innovations: (1) as tools to support, identify, and implement
business models related to strategies, patterns, and components (Lewandowski
350 M. Ghoreishi et al.
2016; Bocken et al. 2016), (2) to support the implementation of managerial prac-
tices for CE transitions in companies (Centobelli et al. 2020; Ünal et al. 2019), and
(3) to offer service-based business models in which a product is replaced by a ser-
vice supported by machine intelligence (Alcayaga et al. 2019; Tukker 2015).
According to (Berg et al. 2020), the digital technologies can enable CE as follows:
• Digital technologies which enable more efficient and circular manufacturing
processes of materials and products such as intelligent design, sensor technolo-
gies, machine learning, robotics, etc.
• Digital technologies which enable tracking and tracing the products and compo-
nents, optimization of value chain, product and service development, and increas-
ing reuse, repair, and refurbishment such as IoT, block chain, etc.
• Digital technologies which connect consumers and producers and enable service
development and dematerialization such as AI-powered platforms
AI as one of the Industry 4.0 technologies describe self-learning and self-
correcting computational processes that mimic human-like reasoning and problem-
solving (Kok et al. 2009). AI techniques respond to their environment through
cognitive capabilities and intelligent capabilities (Townsend and Hunt 2019). The
main benefit of AI techniques lies in their capacity to collect, process, and analyze
large quantities of data in short and up to real time from various sources (Mühlroth
and Grottke 2020). Apart from handling superior quantities of data, AI techniques
detect and unveil patterns that were not visible before, to suggest relations humans
are not aware of. Furthermore, AI techniques automatically deduct consequences
based on its analysis and matches data input to a connected task (Balasubramanian
et al. 2020). These capacities make use cases in the context of CE evident. AI tech-
niques can support circularity of the whole value chain by consumption and demand
prediction, smart product design, and enabling/enhancing remanufacturing pro-
cesses by remote monitoring (Ghoreishi and Happonen 2020b). AI techniques can
enable CE opportunities by boosting circular product design and development, opti-
mizing infrastructure to ensure the flows of such products, and operating circular
business models (Ellen MacArthur Foundation 2019). According to Ghoreishi and
Happonen (2020a), AI can enhance the value of recycled and recovered materials by
smart waste sorting. AI-based platforms can enable product and material sharing
which enhances extension of product’s life cycle (Waheed and Khalid 2019).
Different roles of AI techniques in different cycles of CE and customer support
phase are illustrated in Fig. 1.
AI can operate circular business models by introducing new business proposi-
tions such as asset sharing, product as a service, potentials to cut inventory levels,
and AI-based platform. Dynamic pricing and matching algorithms can enable the
sharing and access business models whereas in revers logistics and remanufacturing
requires a powerful AI-based analytical model to collect customer and product data
and transfer it as a feasible decision-making model (Ellen MacArthur
Foundation 2019).
An example of utilization of AI circular business model for AI-based platform is
Israeli startup Algoretail (2021) which uses machine learning to automate grocery
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Circular Value Creation for Sustainable… 351
retail stocking procedures from the supplier onto to the store shelves. The auto-
mated AI-powered replenishment tool, Algoretail IO, offers a data-driven sales fore-
casting which helps in reducing waste of fresh food items. In addition, Algoretail IO
provides granular reporting with graphic representations of insights along with cus-
tomizable alerts regarding products that are about to expire. This way by utilizing
AI, the startup helps groceries in reducing 35% waste reduction as well as 15%
increase in their net profit.
An example of product as a service business model is the American startup
Smarter Sorting (2021), which develops a cloud-based software as a service (SaaS)
for waste management platform for retailers. AI is utilized to provide real-time data
and up-to-date information on inventories, such as the attributes of a product and its
packaging. This allows retailers to better understand which products are eligible for
recycling, which are suitable for donations, and so on. These insights cut waste
volumes and reduce disposal costs. In addition, full transparency into the data and
trends driving the retail operations and ensuring compliance and operational effi-
ciency is provided by store and item-level analytics which increases business
success.
352 M. Ghoreishi et al.
Since circularity aims to maintain the functionality of the materials and components
at their maximum level as long as possible throughout their entire life cycle, mate-
rial stocks and flows are required to be managed in a sustainable way. To incorpo-
rate sustainability and circularity into products, product designers require the right
tools, including measurement frameworks and tools that integrate metrics and indi-
cators, which are essential to maximize value creation from products and materials
(Van den Berg and Bakker 2015). Most quantitative sustainability tools which are
currently utilized by businesses are based on life cycle assessment (LCA), in which
the environmental impacts of components and materials are assessed along parts of
its life cycle (Ramani et al. 2010). Although life cycle assessment, life cycle inven-
tory, and the current methods of measuring product sustainability are useful, they
are more suitable for post-design evaluations of completed products (Hapuwatte
and Jawahir 2019). A model-based methodology is required in the design phase to
predict how sustainability decisions will affect the product during its whole life
cycle (Hapuwatte et al. 2017; Hapuwatte and Jawahir 2019). When designing and
developing new product, once the specifications of the products are made, minor
changes can be made since resources, infrastructures, and activities have been allo-
cated to a certain design (Bocken et al. 2014a). Van den Berg and Bakke (2015)
distinguish the key features of circular products as “future proof, disassembly,
maintenance, remake and recycling.”
To achieve circular value creation, organizations need to design strategies which
support value in circular business model such as (1) utilizing material resources and
energy efficiently (narrowing the loop), (2) producing products that are natural, reli-
able, durable, with the focus on life extension through the standardization and com-
patibility, upgradability and adaptability, and dis- reassembly of product’s individual
physical components (slowing the loop), (3) reusing products, components and
materials through dis – reassembly principles, design for recycling and remanufac-
turing as well as design for environment with the focus on technological and bio-
logical cycles (closing the loop), and use non-toxic materials and renewable energies
(regenerate the loop) (Bocken et al. 2014a).
Value creation in CE occurs through the recovery of returned products within the
supply chain in closing the loop (Schenkel et al. 2015). Therefore, it is essential to
develop products in a way that the materials can remain in the loop and be continu-
ously and safely recycled into raw materials for manufacturing new products
(Bocken et al. 2016). In this way by adding value from the forward and reverse sup-
ply chain, CE business models can leverage the process of circular value creation
for costumers, environment, economy, and information value. For this reason, sup-
port of all the partners within the supply chains in developing awareness and new
skills is essential in rendering business models for circular value creation (Ünal
et al. 2019).
For a continuous flow of resources in CE, firms need to radically change their
business model for innovative product design. Based on assertions and design
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Circular Value Creation for Sustainable… 353
AI is one of the key enablers of circular business models that can enhance and accel-
erate CE through product design and development processes which are assisted by
machine learning for faster testing and prototyping (Ellen MacArthur Foundation
354 M. Ghoreishi et al.
2019). AI techniques can integrate real-time and historical data from products and
users which helps to increase circulation of the products for a longer period of time
by predicting precise price and demand, maintenance services, and smart inventory
management. Enyoghasi and Badurdeen (2021) state that assessing the demand
through AI enables optimized decisions regarding material reusability. EMF (2019)
emphasize this point further, affirming that AI supports CE implementation by
improving reverse logistics and associated decision-making processes in sorting
and disassembling and by utilizing both historical and real-time data to predict
demand and thus optimize inventory and production management (Ellen MacArthur
Foundation 2019). Focusing on the CE micro level which involves companies, prod-
ucts, and consumers, the role of AI can be analyzed based on the regenerative, share,
optimize, loop, virtualize, and exchange (ReSOLVE) framework (Jabbour et al.
2018) presented in Table 1.
Recent models of “human-only,” “human-machine,” and “machine-only”
decision-making are shifting the way organizations learned and evolved innovation
based on wide range of AI applications (Daugherty and Wilson 2018). According to
Brem et al. (2021), AI has two main roles in transforming innovation as originator
and facilitator of innovation. As an originator, AI shapes the creation of products
and processes and is the starting point for innovation where the product portfolio is
based on software and company maturity is emerging. As a facilitator, AI augments
existing products and processes and is the starting point for transformation where
the product portfolio is based on hardware and company maturity is established.
AI-driven business models can play a significant role in achieving SDGs through
their ability to make alternative ownership options a reality (Di Vaio et al., 2020)
that focus on providing access to intangible outcome-based services or the combi-
nation of tangible products and intangible services such as use- or result-orientated
business models, rather than product-orientated models. Most of these offerings can
be categorized into the product-oriented (PO), use-oriented (UO), and
result-oriented (RO) business models, which are considered as the main types of
product/service business models (Reim et al. 2015). In these scenarios, the main
focus of PO is to sell a tangible product with additional services. The focus also
remains on consumer ownership and the consumption of resources similar to in the
past. As a consequence, PO models are considered to contribute less to achieving
SDGs. Alternatively, in UO and RO, we see a shift towards more sustainable con-
sumption through alternative business models that focus on the “stewardship” of
tangible and intangible product-services. Specifically, in a UO model, while the
product is still central to an offering, rather than selling it to the customer, the access
and usage of the product are guaranteed by the provider for the specific period of
time and are subscription based paid by the user. Further, in RO, the result is what
the customer pays for rather than a product, and the supplier is fully responsible for
the result. Table 2 provides a comparison of three different business models in terms
of value creation, value delivery, and value capturing.
To illustrate the role of AI in different business models and their value provision
process, we selected three cases, each presenting one business model type. For PO
model, we selected a textile industry company Unspun. Unspun is a textile industry
company that utilizes 3D body scanning to produce sustainable tailor-made jeans
for customers. The example case for UO model is Naava, a company which offers
air-purifying design plant walls for office spaces. As a RO model, we selected com-
pany called Augury. Augury provides machine health solutions for industry. The
value process of the cases is analyzed in Table 3, and the role of AI is highlighted in
each phase.
AI is utilized for circular value creation in different ways in each case. In PO case
Unspun, the role of AI in value creation is to scan and collect accurate data of cus-
tomer’s body to enable the tailor-made jeans. There is an option of a remote mea-
surement. In both UO and RO cases, the main role of AI is in the remote condition
monitoring. In UO case Naava, AI keeps the plant wall operating in optimum way
and automatically, so that the customer doesn’t have to. In RO case Augury, AI
Table 2 Comparison of AI-facilitated SDG high-level business model categories in terms of value
creation, value delivery, and value capturing
Product-oriented Use-oriented Result-oriented
Value Provider is responsible Provider takes Provider takes responsibility
creation for agreed services responsibility of the for delivering results
usability of products and
services
Value Provider is responsible Provider guarantees the Provider is responsible for
delivery for selling and usability of the physical delivering results
providing services product along with services
products
Value Customer pays for Customer can make Customer payments are
capturing physical product and continuous payments over based on outcome units, that
for the performed time (e.g., leasing) is, they pay for the result
services
Source: Reim et al. (2015)
356 M. Ghoreishi et al.
Table 3 Case example analysis based on different roles of AI in circular value creation (developed
by authors)
Product-oriented Use-oriented Result-oriented
(Unspun) (Naava) (Augury)
Value Aims to reduce waste Offers smart wall of plants Offers an asset management
creation by offering sustainable that constantly purify indoor and maintenance service for
jeans that are tailored air and provide a constant industrial machines
individually for perfect stream of clean air The role of AI:
fit The role of AI: The system uses sensors and
The role of AI: Remote condition AI for monitoring and
Data collection management system that detecting mechanical errors
The customers’ body is keeps the plants in optimum in machines and to provide
scanned by AI-powered condition by connecting the preventive maintenance
3D scanners sensor data of airflow, water,
and light and, e.g., adopting
to weather data
Value The body scan data is An operating system for The sensors collect data from
delivery turned to digital jeans. remote management and a the machines. The data is
These are then full maintenance service stored into cloud and
manufactured by The role of AI: analyzed for problems to
robotics-powered Full operation and prevent failures and manage
sewing machines maintenance with automated the maintenance
The role of AI: AI-operated system The role of AI:
The AI algorithms are The sensors measure the
used to digitally design vibrations, magnetisms, and
the jeans around temperatures in real time. AI
customer’s 3D avatar analyzes the abnormalities in
the data and provides
instructions and prioritized
action points
Value Order delivery model Monthly service fee End-to-end service with a
capture The technology enables The role of AI: warranty for broken machines
a zero-inventory model Optimize the service and The role of AI:
and reduces waste maintenance operating costs Provides accurate and reliable
The role of AI: for provider information on machine
AI enables the health
made-to-order model
“listens” to the machine data to detect anomalies and to preventatively inform the
customer of potential failures. The aim is to eliminate downtime and to optimize the
production. Moreover, the role of AI in value delivery of the cases varies. In the PO
case Unspun, the role of AI is to design a 3D avatar of the customer’s data points
and utilize this in fitting the jeans as well as optimizing the production. In UO case
Naava, AI has the most central role among these cases. AI handles automatically the
remote monitoring and remote operation of the plant wall and notifies the mainte-
nance teams automatically. In Augury’s RO model, AI-based remote monitoring
and preventative maintenance are the key roles, but AI does not handle the opera-
tion. The value capture model and the role of AI in it differ most among the cases.
In Unspun’s PO model, the value capture model is the basic order-delivery model,
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Circular Value Creation for Sustainable… 357
for which AI is the key enabler, whereas in Naava’s UO model, the value capture
model is a product-as-a-service leasing model (the wall can also be purchased) with
a monthly fee. The major role of AI in this case relates to optimizing the provider’s
maintenance costs. In the RO case Augury, the role of AI is the biggest in value
capture. The unplanned downtime is very costly in manufacturing, and to prevent
this, the companies are willing to pay. Augury’s AI technology is very accurate and
constantly learns from all their cases which optimizes prediction and prevention of
downtimes. The company also provides insurance for customers in case that a
machine gets broken even though they use the service.
5 Discussions
Technologies like AI and its supporting systems facilitate the transition towards
more sustainability-oriented business models by bringing together suppliers and
demanders of goods, services, as well as environmental and societal factors which
are challenging traditional business model thinking (Alstyne et al. 2016).
Furthermore, business models in CE and sharing economy model are different from
traditional and current business thinking. Such trends aim to change existing busi-
ness models towards new ways of producing, transporting, consuming, and reusing
materials, components, and products/services. Smarter business models will enable
higher efficiency of resource consumption as well as customization of products/
services in a way that can improve the offering to customers while reducing their
environmental footprint and influencing the positive behavior of network partners
(Bocken et al. 2014b; Jørgensen et al. 2018). This can result in positive sustainabil-
ity effects through enhanced product usage and replacing products with new, higher
efficient, more innovative products and materials (Sundin and Bras 2005). Therefore,
the combination of such product and service solutions will lead to of offering
the united product and service solutions that have economic, social, and environ-
mental effects. This is especially important as digital platform ecosystems and
users are moving from the principle of ownership to stewardship, which is increas-
ingly met by intangible services rather than tangible products as in the past (Reim
et al. 2015). In practice, the shift to these business models enabled by AI techniques
can contribute to product life extension through service, remote, and predictive
maintenance and repair that have the potential to reduce the environmental impact
in a product’s life cycle. In addition, it has the potential of slowing resource loops
by extending the value chain of products and materials for longer periods and to
recover raw materials after the lifetime of the products for their reuse (Bocken and
Short 2016) through the development of take-back systems, refurbishment, design
for circularity, and recycling (Kristensen and Remmen 2019).
Building upon the theme of digital enhancement, AI techniques (Breidbach et al.
2014; Li and Found 2017; Storbacka et al. 2016) that influence the development of
a product bring together a network of interconnected actors and objects that work in
coopetition to create and capture mutual value (Akaka and Vargo 2015; Vargo and
358 M. Ghoreishi et al.
Lusch 2004). This can result in the key challenge of conceptualizing and capturing
these interactions and engagements across numerous technological contexts
(Breidbach and Brodie 2017; Li and Found 2017). Emergent technologies like AI
and connected technologies, including IoT and smart sensors, can facilitate this
through their ability to automatically and autonomously collect, analyze, interpret,
and integrate elements from the physical world and computer-/internet-based sys-
tems into their offerings. This can result in improvements in efficiency, accuracy,
and economic benefits for providers of products and services and their consumers
through both parties’ ability to provide and collect data anytime, anywhere, on any-
thing, helping providers to continuously improve product design, including the abil-
ity to enhance its durability, and enabling the components of a tangible product to
remain in use longer leading to higher return on investment and enhancing user
experience and engagement. AI supported by IoT technologies and smart sensors
can enhance this further through its ability to allow digital platform ecosystems to
monitor a product’s component condition, location, and status which supports prod-
uct sharing between multiple users. In turn, these outcomes can be used to improve
strategies of recovery such as remanufacturing, reusing, and recycling of physical
items (Alcayaga et al. 2019), and where intangible services can provide a viable
alternative to tangible products. This enables providers and their complementor/
supply networks to make precise estimations on physical elements of a product’s
useful life cycle, supports decisions on optimal remanufacturing time of a certain
product, and can improve the profitability of remanufacturing activities
(Ingemarsdotter et al. 2020). This is achieved through the ability to make better
assessments of a product’s condition and take preventative actions to extend its
life cycle.
6 Conclusion
In this chapter we highlighted the important role of AI in circular value creation for
SDGs. Adopting CE requires companies to initiate and develop business models
based on circular value creation principles such as remanufacture, dematerializa-
tion, sharing, and servitization. This can be best enabled and achieved by utilizing
disruptive technologies such as AI. Different applications of AI can be utilized in
different circular value creation and accelerate the transition towards a successful
CE. A critical enabler in these processes is the business model innovation built upon
the principles of CE and SDG which focus on reuse, repair, and remanufacturing of
products (Mont et al. 2006) based upon the principles of collaboration/coopetition
with their customers, partners/competitors, and suppliers using AI technologies.
This can result in different levels of environmental advantages through new prod-
ucts (Melander and Pazirandeh 2019), including higher energy efficiency, lower
material consumption, increase in pure materials, lower fuel consumption, preven-
tion of toxic components and materials, and use of digitalization in predicting
enhanced usage and integration of more environmentally friendly materials. Repair,
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Circular Value Creation for Sustainable… 359
maintenance, reuse, and remanufacturing products are the ways through which
companies are able to enhance resource utilization and to prolong the lifetime of a
product (Mont et al. 2006; Östlin et al. 2009). For a successful remanufacturing,
access to products that can be remanufactured is important, for example, through
take-back agreements with customers (Östlin et al. 2009). These kinds of agree-
ments can enable recycling, where companies are responsible for the end of life of
products (Smith and Crotty 2008). In addition, collaboration with different partners
within a company’s ecosystem can lead to saving raw material, improving waste
disposal, limiting pollutions, reducing energy consumption, as well as packing and
transportation (Manzini and Vezzoli 2003).
Since data plays the core role in circular value creation, companies that uti-
lize digital technologies such AI and IoT can enable integration of data into all
principles of CE can build more efficient business models and consequently higher
efficiency in resource and material usage with lower costs. Therefore, one of the
future research focuses recommended by this chapter is assessing the role of
Artificial Intelligence of Things (AIoT) in circular value creation for SDFGs. IoT
sensors can collect and transfer precise data on product status and conditions which
can be further processed and analyzed faster with AI. In an IoT-enhanced environ-
ment, AI can close the loops of products and materials, lower energy and resource
usage, and therefore enhance circular value creation. However, despite all the poten-
tials offered by digital technologies in creating circular values and SDGs, it needs to
be stated that such technologies can simultaneously lead to unsustainable practices.
As these practices are significantly technologically driven and revenue-driven fol-
lowing linear production and consumption levels, the introduction of smart tech-
nologies and automation may lead to increased consumption behavior, energy use,
and environmental impacts as well. Industry 4.0 technologies can lead to a huge
environmental footprint and energy intensity. Therefore, the environmental and
societal impacts of the digital technologies themselves must be carefully assessed,
and circular principles must be embedded in the digital products, as a condition of
their deployment in the economy, to ensure a global net positive balance.
Digitalization can use circular economy as a guiding principle, a target to reach a
sustainable endpoint. On the other hand, digital technologies are dependent on the
availability of critical raw materials. Therefore, the challenge will be to develop the
digital circular economy in such a way that the digital technologies compensate for
the need for materials that they are made of. There is a strong demand to introduce
principles of dematerialization, lifetime extension, and recycling into the digital
systems that build the circular economy.
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Computer-Aided Corporate Sense-Making
and Prioritization for SDGs
I. Liiv (*)
School of Information Technology, Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, Estonia
e-mail: [email protected]
E. Karo
Ragnar Nurkse Department of Innovation and Governance, Tallinn University of Technology,
Tallinn, Estonia
e-mail: [email protected]
R.-M. Soe
FinEst Centre for Smart Cities, Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, Estonia
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 365
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_20
366 I. Liiv et al.
1 Introduction
The SDGs (UN 2015) have effectively become a prominent and strategic umbrella
framework for multilateral organizations such as the UN and EU, and they have also
been increasingly adopted by the public sector organizations on the national and
local levels. Furthermore, there tends to be a cumulative acceptance among the
research community – the usage of the keyword “SDG” has increased ninefold in
2020 vs. 2015 in both Web of Science and Scopus. The SDGs also are commonly
used within the third sector, especially in the context of climate change. Therefore,
the global strategic orientation toward SDGs has become widespread in govern-
ment, academia, and civil society. However, the fourth Q in the quadruple helix
model, the industry, has been, for a long time, more conservative, or sidelined, in
adapting to novel SDG-driven business models. This has been especially the case of
investment-heavy and overregulated sectors such as energy and banking, although
both sectors have been quickly catching up. Therefore, this chapter is mainly inter-
ested in how SDGs are reasoned and accepted within the corporate sector and how
technology and algorithms can support in the corporate sense-making and prioriti-
zation process for SDGs. Algorithms, in this case, do not act or recommend inde-
pendently but support, empower, and amplify cognitive processes of participants.
Our approach for using algorithms for achieving SDGs is not operating on a typical
macro or supermacro level but on a micro level ready to be used directly by
corporations.
The main contribution of this chapter is to present a complex set of decision sci-
ence methods to help the impact assessment and prioritization process for SDGs,
consisting of a customized version of Thomas Saaty’s Analytical Hierarchy Process
(Wind and Saaty 1980; Saaty 1988, 2008), automatic consistency measurement of
answers, Kemeny-Snell distance measurement between corporate strategy and cho-
sen initiatives, and its visualization with multidimensional scaling.
In addition to presenting the proposed methodology, we validate and summarize
the experiences and lessons learned from eight computer-aided corporate SDG
sense-making and prioritization exercises carried out in Estonia and Finland. In
addition, after the carrying out of the exercise, we asked participants to reflect upon
the experiences and the potential value of the tool for corporate strategic planning
and management.
2 Motivation
process of achieving Sustainable Development Goals, serving as a test bed for new
ideas and launchpad for new industries and specializations. From a strategic man-
agement perspective, this requires a more systematic understanding of how specific
companies can contribute to SDGs and aligning their business practices and strate-
gies with SDGs. For many younger and smaller companies, making sense and navi-
gating the complex and often bureaucratic landscape of SDGs may be a significant
challenge. Yet, it has been also established that the new generations (generation Z
and beyond) entering the labor force are requiring potential employers to provide a
bigger and societally relevant mission or purpose for the organization (Mawhinney
and Betts 2020).
It has been estimated that SDGs are a 12 trillion USD market opportunity (UN
2019) and indeed most policy initiatives (e.g., European Green Deal (EC 2019a))
predominantly focus on “crowding-in” private sector investments for tackling some
of the biggest societal challenges. In the context of the EU, the new EU taxonomy
or sustainable activities (EC 2019b) are a prime example of such initiative and
attempt to use financial and banking regulations to speed up these processes of
crowding in. Such combined effect of policy initiatives combined with financial
instruments is likely to both create new market opportunities and steer both large
and small firms toward common direction (Mazzucato 2016).
Most prioritization in organizations traditionally depends on some forms of
authority, i.e., priorities and directions are set by owners of firms, by the managers
who represent classic rational merit-based authority, or in rare cases by the charis-
matic leaders within and outside organizations that provide new paths and dynamics
for development (Weber 1978). We argue that the use of the computer-aided models
allows, especially in organizations with a significant variety of staff and strategic
development capacity, for a parallel and less power-based prioritization process out-
side the traditional corporate strategic and decision-making routines. The processes
can be structured and moderated outside these power dynamics, and these can
enable (assuming that the models are neutral enough, which is almost never the
case) much stronger bottom-up co-creation and co-discovery of priorities and direc-
tions that make sense for the entirety of the organization (as opposed to the narrow
lenses of the power/authority holders).
Timo Honkela in his recent book (Honkela 2017) presented an interesting idea
that artificial intelligence can help tackle and minimize not just misinformation but
miscommunication as well. Although computer scientists are often reluctant to call
any computer-aided or algorithmic automation as “artificial intelligence,” it is
worthwhile to consider the search of potential usage of “artificial intelligence (AI)
to support and advance the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)”
(Oxford Initiative on AIxSDGs 2020) from the aspect of mitigating miscommunica-
tion as well. This chapter argues that algorithms can support the process of aligning
the corporate strategy and different initiatives to SDGs and prioritizing them.
Therefore, there is strong motivation to develop computer-aided methods and tools
for corporate sense-making and prioritization for SDGs.
368 I. Liiv et al.
3 Proposed Methodology
impact? All pairwise assessments are to be given using the Saaty rating scale pre-
sented in Table 1.
The data, recording the judgments that reflect respondents’ knowledge, feelings,
or emotions about the object currently assessed, can be structured as presented in
Table 2. In case of assessing the corporate strategy and two initiatives, there will be
three independent data tables like that. In case the judgments are not given as a
group choice, similar data tables can be stored for multiple respondents to further
analyze the difference of preferences and priorities.
After the pairwise comparison and data collection, the data processing, visual-
ization, and analysis phase started. The preferences in Table 2 are converted to a
matrix format (Table 3), compatible for calculations for any software package,
which implements the Analytical Hierarchy Process (e.g., R software (Cho 2019),
Excel, or other spreadsheet software (Goepel 2018)). The rightmost column in
Table 3 indicates the numeric priority of the specific SDG, based on pairwise
judgments.
Several features of the Analytic Hierarchy Process can have a meaningful inter-
pretation in this use case. For example, it is possible to calculate a consistency ratio
of the judgments (11.1% in the case of this example), which indicates whether pair-
wise judgments are consistent with each other and even can give feedback on a
specific judgment which might have been assessed/entered incorrectly or already
while having a response fatigue. It has been discussed over the years (Wind and
Computer-Aided Corporate Sense-Making and Prioritization for SDGs 371
Saaty 1980; Saaty 1988, 2008) that even if the indicative consistency threshold to be
considered satisfactory is 10%, it very much depends on the specific domain and is
occasionally (pragmatically) considered to be reasonably consistent with the con-
sistency ratio 20%.
The results of prioritization and ranking of SDGs can be visualized as a simple
visualization of the results of prioritization and ranking of SDGs (see Fig. 4) that
makes the motivation of numeric measurements of priorities and the resulting rank-
ing evident. Instead of just listing a number of SDGs in corporate documents, it now
enables group discussions on a more structural basis and allows the measurement of
372 I. Liiv et al.
expected and actual budget resource allocations (e.g., are the proportions correct,
and if not, is it possible to backtrack to specific pairwise judgment of preference/
importance?).
Since we are dealing with prioritizations, preferences, and rankings, in order to
analyze and visualize the similarity between either the corporate strategy and initia-
tives or consensus among respondents, instead of classical data science similarity
measures (e.g., Euclidean distance, Hamming distance), Kemeny-Snell distance can
be used to compute the distance between two rankings (Kemeny and Snell 1962;
Luo et al. 2002).
If there are many objects analyzed or multiple respondents, Kemeny-Snell dis-
tance can give an analyst additional insights about how far each prioritization is
from every other recorded prioritization and even to calculate a median ranking or a
consensus ranking which ought to summarize or aggregate all other rankings into
one being mathematically most similar to all other opinions. An example of visual-
izing the Kemeny-Snell distance between the corporate strategy and two initiatives
using multidimensional scaling (Torgerson 1952; Kruskal 1978; Cox and Cox 2008)
is presented on Fig. 5. It is possible to see from this example which initiative is
Computer-Aided Corporate Sense-Making and Prioritization for SDGs 373
Table 3 Results of pairwise comparisons in a matrix format and SDG priorities as a result of AHP
calculation
Normalized principal
SDG5 SDG8 SDG9 SDG13 SDG16 Eigenvector
SDG5 1 1/5 1/5 1/3 3 7.44%
SDG8 5 1 1/3 5 5 29.87%
SDG9 5 3 1 5 5 46.35%
SDG13 3 1/5 1/5 1 3 11.55%
SDG16 1/3 1/5 1/5 1/3 1 4.80%
closer to the corporate strategy and plot all prioritization on one figure to better
understand patterns in individual priorities and judgments.
4 Lessons Learned
The proposed methodology was tested with eight corporate SDG sense-making and
prioritization projects in order to validate and learn from the process. The focus of
this chapter is not to present specific SDGs those companies prioritized but to the-
matically summarize main lessons learned from the process. Recurring themes and
challenges for future methodological enhancement are grouped into following
subtopics.
374 I. Liiv et al.
Fig. 5 Similarity of priorities between the corporate strategy and two initiatives
Whether the impact should be about the present (AS-IS) or the future (TO-BE) was
a recurring emerging discussion with most companies. This situation was not
because of the lack of clarity in the survey design but is a deeper challenge and
discussion for strategic planning in general.
The focus on climate change, climate neutrality, and similar grant societal chal-
lenges has brought about a crucial change in modern strategic planning: the estab-
lishment and articulation of long-term plans (i.e., “net zero by 2050” or similar).
This shift away from focusing only on short-term goals (quarterly and annual KPIs)
has severe implications on adequate models for both public and private sector stra-
tegic planning. While in the initial stage, most organizations are likely to try to
match current activities and processes with the tasks needed to achieve these long-
term ambitions (we can call this incremental SDG strategy), over time, it is likely
that most organization will realize that achieving such large scale socio-economic
or even firm level ambitions required much more transformative and scenario-based
approaches to aligning core organization processes and larger ambitions (we can
call this transformative SDG strategy).
Another recurring theme over most impact assessments was the interplay between
corporate strategy impact assessment versus initiatives’ impact assessments.
Initiatives support the general corporate strategy, but it is not unusual for specific
corporate initiatives to not to have a matching prioritization of SDGs to the corpo-
rate strategy. Similarly, for initiatives several additional SDGs can be relevant and
some from the corporate strategy not relevant at all.
Given the long-term view necessary for aligning corporate strategies and actions
with SDGs and other grand societal challenges and movements (e.g., climate neu-
trality), one can expect that the overall strategic planning and thinking become more
mission-oriented or purpose-driven based on agreeing to the “big” ambitious goals
while also allowing for much more uncertainty and agility in the actual daily actions
toward these goals. This by necessity entails providing much more autonomy and
freedom within organizations for defining and managing through individual initia-
tives and projects that are considered useful or necessary on the path toward the
overall mission or purpose.
376 I. Liiv et al.
It cannot be assumed that corporate strategies and initiatives contribute to the SDGs
in a linear or unidirectional way. Furthermore, the effect can also be negative. In
retrospect, the research design choice proposed by the SDG Impact Assessment
Tool by the Gothenburg Center to categorize the kind of the SDG impact into classes
(e.g., direct positive, indirect positive, no impact, indirect negative, direct negative)
is very relevant, since most of the companies in this study were struggling with
whether to only consider positive or also negative impact.
For example, if a solution or an initiative is applied in a city to assist in finding
free parking spaces as smoothly as possible, this can increase the number of people
interested in driving a car into the city center, instead of using public transport or
nonmotorized traffic. Continuing with mobility, it can also be argued that automated
vehicles can have negative effect on some SDGs, such as strengthening efforts to
protect and safeguard the world’s cultural and natural heritage as fully automated
transport requires reconstruction of urban environments. However, in most cases,
this comes down to the implementation process, whereas different solutions and
initiatives can have both negative and positive effects. For example, if fully auto-
mated urban transport is applied, dependent on the design and implementation,
meeting some SDGs (e.g., by 2030, provide universal access to safe, inclusive and
accessible, green and public spaces, in particular for women and children, older
persons, and persons with disabilities) can range from positive effects (with smaller
number of cars in cities and also parking lots, the access to green and public spaces
is enhanced) to negative effects (reconstructing the cities could also limit this
access).
The most prominent discussions in the context of ethics and algorithms are related
to algorithmic bias, manipulating public opinion and making fair automatic deci-
sions about the individuals. The methods presented in this chapter present addi-
tional and completely unique ethical challenges, previously unmet with algorithmic
decision-making and recommendation systems. If the goal is to minimize miscom-
munication and alignment between the preferences and opinions of participants,
trusting the algorithm not to manipulate or bias the opinion to one direction or the
other is fundamental for acceptance of the tool. This, as well, could be an interesting
avenue of research for the future to understand better how respondents feel about an
algorithm highlighting an inconsistency in their judgment and asking to go back and
alter a choice. Even if the participant understands how the method works, they tend
to feel uncomfortable if an algorithm identifies an inconsistency in their judgments,
preferences, and opinions.
Computer-Aided Corporate Sense-Making and Prioritization for SDGs 377
While, conceptually, the computer-aided models may help to deliver more bottom-
up priority setting and aligning of organizational goals, one should always keep in
mind that the supportive interview method still includes its traditional limitations,
i.e., bias and role conflicts of respondents (are they responding as experts, individu-
als, or representatives of the team/organization?) and their interest to “game” the
methods and bring the power dynamics back in (i.e., responding based on the
power-based organizational agenda). This makes it necessary to combine the meth-
odological approaches of both data sciences and social sciences and compile joint
protocols to mitigate each other’s methodological weaknesses.
5 Conclusion
This chapter presented a technology-based, structured, and moderated tool for cor-
porate sense-making and prioritization for SDGs. We presented and summarized the
experiences and lessons learned from eight computer-aided corporate SDG sense-
making and prioritization exercises carried out in Estonia and Finland.
The experiences showed that the proposed process supports better SDG-related
internal communication, sense-making, ideation, and finding new business opportu-
nities and more efficient solutions for the goals seen as a priority by the company.
In fact, the use of the computer-aided models allows for a parallel and less power-
based prioritization process outside the traditional corporate strategic and decision-
making routines. Hence, it allows deep analysis and discovery of different sets of
SDG-related priorities and also analysis of alignment between formal strategic
goals vs subsidiary project goals in the context of SDGs.
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AI Policy Labs, London, UK
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AI Policy Labs, London, UK
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© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 379
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_21
380 S. Ziesche et al.
and improving the existing supply chains, delivery systems and market value/better
pricing in both developed and developing countries for better utilisation of the
produce.
Several innovative uses of AI in agriculture have emerged worldwide, promising
to advance farm productivity while improving sustainability and livelihoods at the
same time. However, many of these experiments/pilots exist in silos. Due to this
fragmented approach, a comprehensive understanding of how successful the use of
AI has been in agriculture and what shortcomings or challenges were faced in some
of these technological implementations has not been well evaluated. This chapter,
therefore, assesses the pressing reasons to use innovative and cost-effective digital
interventions like AI for SDGs in the agriculture sector. The paper then identifies the
challenges in designing a successful AI programme and explores the potential of
multi-stakeholder partnerships in this context.
Over the past few decades, the agricultural sector has advanced considerably. Owing
to the phenomenal success of the Green Revolution in increasing agricultural pro-
ductivity, given the combined use of high yield variety seeds, higher irrigation and
advanced machinery (agricultural production tripled between 1960 and 2015 (FAO
2017)), the world was able to avoid the grim Malthusian prediction.1 Though the
success of the Green Revolution helped many nations avoid severe famines and
widespread hunger, the transition of humanity to the twenty-first century brought to
the fore the fallouts of the revolution, and it became clear that ‘business as usual’
was no longer a feasible approach.
The extensive and high-handed use of inputs (chemical fertilisers, water, elec-
tricity, machines, etc.) not only depleted natural resources like forest, land and soil
but also significantly destroyed biodiversity of the region, accelerating the prospects
of natural disasters. This led to increased vulnerability of the agricultural sector
with unreliable productivity and output. On the other hand, agricultural sector
became a major contributor to climate change and global warming, as it emitted
tonnes of greenhouse gases. The overreliance on cereals (mainly rice) led to micro-
nutrient deficiencies amongst a large chunk of the population, and thus the con-
sumer demand today is placing reliance on diversification with increasing demands
1
In the 1950s it was predicted that a severe food shortage might occur in South Asia whereby popu-
lation growth would exceed the rate of increase in food production, leading to catastrophic
consequences.
Role of Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Sustainable Development Goals… 381
for products like dairy, fruits, vegetables and plant and animal-based protein. As
more and more people worldwide make the transition towards an urban life (by
2050, two-third of the population will live in cities, (FAO 2017)) it will only signifi-
cantly accelerate the shift in this consumption pattern. The demand for organically
and chemical-free produced food with adequate quality and standard checks will
continue to gain pace.
In addition, as the world population continues to grow at a rapid pace (projected
to peak at 11 billion by 2100 (FAO 2017)) and hunger and malnutrition continues to
remain a prominent challenge, particularly in regions like sub-Saharan Africa and
South Asia, the supply-side will have to address the twin challenge of sufficient as
well as sustainable production. In this regard, the adoption of a ‘holistic’ approach,
which integrates sustainable, climate-resilient, environment-friendly and innovative
agricultural practices, has become imperative and unavoidable.
The recent breakout of the COVID-19 pandemic that engulfed the entire world in
2020 also lay bare one of the major issues associated with the current globalised
food system, that is, the risks associated with long food chains and the potential of
the spread of transboundary pests, virus and diseases. This underlines that, in addi-
tion to climate-smart and conservation-based agriculture practices, future food sys-
tems will also have to place considerable emphasis on traditional and local best
practices.
To address the issues of food insecurity, agricultural productivity and higher yields
for the coming future, the role of technological interventions have become indis-
pensable. The multitude of interconnected challenges such as scarce and stressed
resources (land, water, soil, etc.), fluctuating outputs and increasing demands,
changing weather and rainfall patterns and environmental pollution on top of a bur-
geoning population have all necessitated innovative measures to facilitate adapt-
ability in accordance with the changing ecological and agricultural landscape.
‘Smart agriculture’, that is, the integration of disruptive technologies like the
Internet of Things (IoT), AI, robots, drones, etc., in agricultural production and
management, promises to close the supply-demand gap and optimise the natural and
human resources for maximum and quality output. As noted by Khandelwal (2019),
‘farming solutions which are AI-powered enable a farmer to do more with less,
enhancing the quality, and simultaneously also ensuring a quick go-to-market strat-
egy for crops’.
To explain the process, the IoT connects devices (like actuators, sensors, drones,
geographic information systems (GIS), etc.) via Internet communication services to
a common platform to collect and transmit data about key field parameters like
temperature, humidity, soil, etc. With the help of AI technologies, data retrieved
from the fields are processed and worked upon to generate the relevant insights and
382 S. Ziesche et al.
guide the future decision-making process regarding crop needs, field efficiency,
productivity and improving financial metrics of managing farms.
A simple representation of the process is shown in the figure below.
Agriculture is one sector, which is riddled with natural uncertainties and risks
and requires constant monitoring, control and manual labour to derive the best
results. This is exactly the gap that digital farming promises to fill, as armed with the
strength of sophisticated technology (sensors, IoT applications, big data, decision-
making and data processing prowess of AI systems). Farmers can monitor their
farms in real time, quickly and more efficiently, to provide the best conditions and
inputs and, in turn, simultaneously maximise the conditions for a good harvest.
Thus, where traditional farming decisions were taken based on subjective judge-
ment and knowledge, the modern farming practices will allow the farmers to make
objective decisions based on quantifiable data.
In short, integrating digital technologies into the ‘farms of future’ will free up a
major chunk of time that is currently spent in manual, laborious and repetitive work
towards making strategic choices and decisions about how to optimise the resources
at hand and produce better results.
Rubio and Mas (2019) state that farms that are technology-driven are able to
generate co-benefits in the form of increased production and reduction of costs with
minimal effort.
The major opportunity areas, where the assimilation of emerging technologies
will impact the agriculture sector, includes promotion of intelligent crop planning
through extension of knowledge and advisories regarding credit, inputs, suitable
crops, etc.; smart farming through farm mechanisation, predictive analysis of suit-
able resources, nutrients needed and threats like pests, weeds and diseases that can
potentially threaten yields and harvest; and farmgate to fork business solutions by
enhancing market intelligence and addressing the quality, traceability and logistics
issues (WEF 2021).
As agriculture has become nonremunerative and more and more communities
shift towards an urban life leaving behind the rural space, there is an expected
Role of Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Sustainable Development Goals… 383
The AI revolution in agriculture has initiated a shift in the whole agricultural food
chain from the fields to harvesting and even transportation.
AI and other emerging technologies (including blockchain) are currently being
used in all four main clusters of agriculture: preproduction, production, processing
and distribution (Ben Ayed and Hanana 2021). The below table lists out the varied
data that is currently being collected and processed by IoT along the agricultural
chain and their areas of practical application.
This table also highlights the potential SDG targets that might be impacted as a
result of AI interventions in the various agricultural stages, thereby strengthening
the case for AI to be designed more holistically.
IoT and AI
S. applications in SDG
no agriculture Data collected Application area target
Preproduction stage
(a) Plant structure and Plant Phenotyping measures Determining suitable Target
properties complex traits of plants like plants types for a 2.3,
growth, tolerance, resistance, particular environment 12.2,
physiology, etc. in a particular 12.4
temporal and spatial
environment
(b) Soil monitoring Soil sampling and mapping Determine soil properties, Target
through remote-sensing texture, water-holding 2.4, 1.4
satellites, drones, etc. and absorption potential
to minimise erosion,
acidification and pollution
(c) Humidity monitoring Air and soil moisture Estimate water demand of Target
measurement crops to select appropriate 2.4,
irrigation method 6.4, 1.4
(d) Greenhouse gases Measuring parameters like For greenhouse and Target
and temperature shed structure, ventilation vertical farming, detailed 2.4,
monitoring system, humidity, light, and accurate monitoring 12.8
pressure, temperature and of these parameters is
CO2 in environment needed
(continued)
384 S. Ziesche et al.
IoT and AI
S. applications in SDG
no agriculture Data collected Application area target
(e) Fertilisation Measuring soil and crop- Achieve precision Target
application specific nutrient needs fertilisation and reduce 2.4,
excessive application 14.1
Production stage
(f) Disease monitoring Monitoring crop-foliar status Effective health Target
by infrared light sensors to assessment and 2.4, 1.5
check against crop disease management to control
and pests spread disease spread
(g) Crop and plant Yield monitoring to anticipate Forecasting harvest is Target
growth monitoring the quantity and quality essential for future 2.3, 2.a,
through multispectral (moisture content, grain flow, decision-making by 12.2
sensor, camera and colour, size, etc.) of harvest farmers
softwares
(h) Weather prediction Sunlight, rainfall, humidity Forecasting weather Target
and so on patterns important for 2.4, 1.5
crop growth
(i) Farm machinery Accelerometer sensors can Tracking machinery helps Target
tracking detect variations in the in eliminating 2.a,
movement of machinery like unnecessary routes, 12.A
tractors, drones, etc. alerting when farm
machinery maintenance is
due
(j) Location tracking of Monitoring location, health, Health updates about Target
animals regular activities and feeding livestock can prevent the 2.5,
schedule of cattle spread of diseases 1.4,
12. A
Processing
(k) Harvest monitoring Collection of precise and Automated harvesting by Target
unambiguous information robots to reduce labour 2.4,
about particular crops in pressure and costs 12.3
terms of their shape, size and
colour by sophisticated
sensors
Picture evidence to detect Improving crop insurance Target
crop failures system 12.4
Distribution
(l) Food storage and Measuring and monitoring Ensure longer-shelf life Target
supply food temperature, quality by during transportation and 12.3,
wireless sensors reduce food waste 2.c,
12.A
(m) Consumer analytics Predicting consumer demand, Completes the feedback Target
preferences, behaviour loop helping farmers 12.A,
pattern, etc. grow according to the 1.A,
demand 1.B
(n) Inventory Tracking the supplies and Helps in improving Target
management delivery logistics of food supply 2.c
Sources: Ayaz et al. (2019) and Ben Ayed and Hanana (2021)
Role of Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Sustainable Development Goals… 385
According to the study compiled by Farooq et al. (2020), the percentage of the
research articles published on IoT solutions in agriculture is mostly in the following
application areas, respectively: irrigation monitoring and control, precision farm-
ing, soil monitoring, temperature monitoring, animal monitoring and tracking
and so on.
In order to evaluate the extent of possible impact AI development within the
agriculture sector can have on promoting SDGs, we comprehensively evaluated the
SDG targets and indicators linked to agriculture across its supply chain. While some
of these have been covered in the existing practices discussed above, many other
interlinkages between agriculture and other SDG targets have not been initiated yet.
This gives us a glimpse of the extent of future possibilities to be explored with the
intervention of AI in the agriculture sector.
SDG #2: End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable
agriculture
SDG targets Description Issues Addressed Indicators
Target 2.1 End Hunger by 2030 and Hunger; food accessibility 2 indicators
ensure accessibility of safe, and utilisation; – Undernourishment
nutritious and sufficient undernourishment – Food insecurity
food by all people, experience scale
particularly the poor,
infants and vulnerable
Target 2.2 End all forms of Stunting (low height for age) 3 indicators
malnutrition by 2030, and and wasting (low weight for – Stunting
achieve international height) in children below – Malnutrition
targets on stunting and 5 years; anaemia in women; – Anaemia in women
wasting of children below malnutrition of future aged 15 to 49
5 years by 2025. Also, generations
address nutritional needs
of adolescent girls,
pregnant and lactating
women
Target 2.3 Double agricultural Agricultural and labour 2 indicators
productivity and incomes productivity; increasing the – Volume of
of small-scale producers by income of farmers production per
2030, particularly women, labour unit
indigenous peoples, family – Average income of
farmers, pastoralists and small-scale
fishers through equal and producers
secure access to land and
productive resources and
inputs, financial markets, etc.
Target 2.4 Ensure sustainable food Agricultural production and 1 indicator
production systems, and productivity; adoption of – Proportion of
implement resilient sustainable agricultural agricultural area
agricultural practices that practices; ecosystem and under productive
help maintain ecosystem, environmental sustainability; and sustainable
strengthen adaptation to fighting climate change agriculture
climate change and other
disasters and improve land
and soil quality
(continued)
386 S. Ziesche et al.
SDG #2: End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable
agriculture
SDG targets Description Issues Addressed Indicators
Target 2.5 Maintain genetic diversity Protecting local breeds and 2 indicators
of seeds, cultivated plants promoting genetic diversity – No. of plant and
and domesticated animals of plants and animals; animal genetic
and their species by 2020. intellectual property rights in resources secured in
Maintaining diversified agriculture conservation
seed and plant banks at facilities
national, regional, – Local breeds
international levels and classified at risk of
promoting access to fair extinction
and equitable sharing of
benefits derived from
utilisation of genetic
resources and traditional
knowledge
Target 2.a Increasing investment in Research and development 3 indicators
rural infrastructure, in agriculture; capacity- – Agriculture
agricultural research and building of farmers and other orientation index for
extension, technological stakeholders via knowledge govt. expenditures
development and services – Total official flows
maintaining plant and (official
livestock gene banks to development
promote agriculture’s assistance + other
productive capacity in flows) to agriculture
developing countries and
least developed countries
Target 2.b Address and prevent trade Eliminating trade barriers 1 indicator
restrictions and distortions – Agricultural export
in world markets, subsidies
elimination of all
agricultural export subsidies
and measures in accordance
with mandate of Doha
Development Agenda
Target 2.c Adopt measures to ensure Limiting volatility and 2 indicators
proper functioning of food anomalies in food pricing – Indicator of food
commodity markets and price anomalies
their derivatives, facilitate
timely access to market
information to limited food
price volatility
SDG #5: Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls
Target 5.a Undertaking reforms to Recognising ownership 2 indicators
give women equal rights to rights of women on – Proportion of total
economic resources, access agricultural lands so that agricultural
to ownership and control they can access inputs, population by sex
over land and other resources and other skills – Proportion of
property, financial services, needed to improve outputs countries where
etc. in accordance with and yields legal framework
national laws guarantees women
equal rights to land
ownership
(continued)
Role of Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Sustainable Development Goals… 387
SDG #2: End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable
agriculture
SDG targets Description Issues Addressed Indicators
SDG #6: Ensuring availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all
Target 6.4 Substantially increase About 70% of freshwater 2 indicators
water-use efficiency across around the world is used in – Change in
all sectors and ensure agriculture (Khokar 2017). water-use efficiency
sustainable withdrawals Promoting sustainable use of over time
and supply of freshwater to water in this sector is – Level of water
address water scarcity imperative to meet growing stress: freshwater
demands withdrawal/
available freshwater
resources
SDG #7: Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all
Target 7.2 By 2030, increase Agriculture is the second 1 indicator
substantially the share of largest supplier of biofuels – Renewable energy
renewable energy in the after forests. In 2018, share in total final
global energy mix bioenergy held third place as energy consumption
a source of renewable
electricity generation (WBA
2020)
SDG #8: Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and
productive employment and decent work for all
Target 8.3 Promote development- Growth in agriculture and 1 indicator
oriented policies that allied sectors is directly – Proportion of
support productive linked to job creation and informal
activities, decent job better incomes for rural employment in total
creation, entrepreneurship households. Currently employment, by
and encourage agriculture is the second sector and sex
formalisation of micro, largest employer after the
small and medium services with agriculture
enterprises currently accounting for
28% of global employment
(World Bank n.d.)
SDG #12: Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns
Target 12.3 By 2030, halve per capita Around 17% of total global 2 indicators
global food waste at retail production of food may have – Food Loss Index
and consumer levels and been wasted in 2019, acc. to – Food Waste Index
reduce food losses along the UNEP report (2021)
production and supply
chains, including
postharvest losses
SDG #13: Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts
Target 13.2. Integrate climate change Agricultural activities 2 indicators
measures into national contribute to approx. 30% of – Number of
policies and planning global greenhouse gas countries with
emissions (IAEA n.d.) nationally
determined
contributions as
reported to
UNFCCC
– Total greenhouse
gas emissions/year
388 S. Ziesche et al.
SDG #2: End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable
agriculture
SDG targets Description Issues Addressed Indicators
SDG #14: Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for
sustainable development, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification and halt and
reverse land degradation and biodiversity loss
Target 14.1 Prevent and reduce marine Runoff of chemical 2 indicators
pollution of all kinds fertilisers from farms into – Index of coastal
particularly from water bodies eutrophication
land-based activities, – Plastic debris
including marine debris density
and nutrient pollution
SDG #15: Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems
Target 15.3 Combat desertification, Efficient and sustainable 1 indicator
restore degraded land and farming key to prevent – Proportion of land
soil, including land desertification of land that is degraded
affected by desertification, over total land area
droughts and floods
The assessment highlights that while SDG 2 has a direct bearing on the agricul-
ture sector by promoting zero hunger, other SDG goals would be equally impacted
by the AI interventions. Placing a higher responsibility on careful design and devel-
opment of AI programmes, keeping in view these interconnections across sectors
and actors, would help accelerate multi-faceted targets.
2
https://transmitter.ieee.org/feeding-the-world-with-intelligent-agriculture-solutions/
Role of Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Sustainable Development Goals… 389
AI applications have made the design of autonomous vehicles possible that can
drive around the farmland while performing pruning and simultaneously collecting
relevant data for digital evaluations of plant growth and its factors.
For example, physical and climatic data of the cropland and the produce is used
in several instances to indicate factors contributing to effective plant growth. For
instance, AI has been able to evaluate and assess which pesticide works best; irriga-
tion cycles provide higher yield, etc.
In Colombia, a platform called as eKakashi has been used to evaluate several
farm factors to advise farmers on indicators to advance crop yield. The model sends
suggestions to farmers on estimated fertiliser usage, the need for an increase in irri-
gation and if there is a requirement for more labour.
Going forward, not only can this data be visualised on a computer screen; the
autonomous system can direct components to take relevant action. Smart systems
are now increasingly prevalent in the farmlands, and through them, we can expect
to achieve higher food security and sustainability and ultimately zero hunger
by 2030.
4.3 Precision Agriculture
Several AI-based technologies have been piloted in different regions of the world,
which use a complex camera system to target and spray weeds. Because of these, AI
systems/robots are expected to use up to 90% less farm inputs, including herbicides,
water for irrigation, fertilisers, etc., making it cheaper than traditional treatments.3
It has been observed that in the past few years, there has been an enhanced interest
in unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) applications towards surveillance of farms,
recognition and detection of pests, diseases and weeds and human body detection.
The deployment of exceptional imaging technology involves delivery, photography
and detection to assist the farmer to detect issues and identify solutions efficiently.
AI enables the farmer to gather vast amounts of data from government and public
websites and examine them. This will help equip the farmers to tackle various issues
and foster an intelligent method of farming, which will assist towards higher crop
production.
3
https://interestingengineering.com/9-robots-that-are-invading-the-agriculture-industry
390 S. Ziesche et al.
4.5 Maximising Returns
The emerging technologies help the smallholder farmer to select the optimum crops
and hybrid seed preferences. AI identifies the various weather conditions and the
varying soil types for best seed selection. This enables the farmer to achieve the
annual outcomes, end users’ needs and market trends towards an efficient maximi-
sation of the crop return.
AI-based chatbots in association with machine learning techniques help the stake-
holder to receive solutions to their unanswered questions. For instance, chatbots
help the farmers receive advice and recommendations from experts (Talviya
et al. 2020).
This aspect helps tackle the various challenges in post harvest value chain opera-
tions and puts forward technological solutions. This will help improve farmers’
incomes and boost returns for supply chain actors in the agriculture ecosystem. The
technical solutions are spread across six key areas: quality assessment, trackability,
strategic organisation and warehousing, financial services, buyer-supplier compati-
bility and market-risk management.
Studies have observed that AI has the ability to act as an enabler on 134 targets
across all SDGs, whereas 59 targets lag behind and are impacted negatively by the
emergence of AI (Vinuesa et al. 2020). Evaluating some of the impacts of AI on
agriculture leads us to deeply assess scenarios within which AI would impede SDGs
in the agriculture sector.
Role of Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Sustainable Development Goals… 391
While AI technology systems function as a catalyst to attain the 2030 agenda, they
also have the ability to generate inequalities. Agriculture is the largest employer
globally, and employment opportunities are not keeping in sync with a rapidly
increasing population. Automation of routine tasks for better efficiency is bound to
displace human labour in the agriculture sector, thereby exacerbating employment
challenges, especially in developing countries (Fraser and Charlebois 2016). This
displacement may compromise our global aim to achieve SDG 1 (No Poverty),
SDG 5 (Gender Equality) and SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities).
The ability of machines to analyse, process and solve any perceivable set of infor-
mation and data within a physical and natural setting has far superseded human
capabilities. It is because of breakthrough advances in many technologies, including
satellite imagery, cloud computing, machine learning, deep learning, artificial neu-
ral networks, etc. This has now made it possible to ‘algorithmise’ agriculture, with
the help of overwhelming data being collected about the different parameters and
392 S. Ziesche et al.
The data systems are currently highly fragmented within the sector. The data in the
agriculture sector is scattered in different parts, including supply chains, agro,
genetics, livestock and marine, and with diverse purposes such as data representa-
tion, data exchange and layered applications and, therefore, requires consolidation
and organisation. Besides, data collection could be restricted as the crop-specific
data is available two times a year, mostly during sowing season, and the all-year
availability of data is not a possibility. This could limit the development of a mature
database and robust AI technology. Therefore, there is a need to bridge the different
aspects within the sector and connect all the areas to establish a uniform and con-
ventional adoption of measures for the sector. This will enable the rapid adoption of
standards and a stronger agenda-setting in developments across the sector
(Archer 2017).
6.2 Lack of Knowledge
The sophisticated nature of this digital revolution makes it really difficult for an
average farmer to understand and implement these technological solutions to
improve farming methods, especially in developing countries. To overcome this
knowledge gap and suspicion related to the emerging technology would present a
serious bottleneck in adopting AI solutions in agriculture. To boost crop productiv-
ity, precision farming requires the implementation of cutting-edge technology. For
the farmer, establishing an IoT architecture and sensor network for the field can be
challenging and burdensome. There is no room for tech errors and defective man-
agement in the agriculture sector. This can lead to disastrous consequences.
Therefore, it is of utmost importance to equip farmers with the concept of smart
farming – using tools and equipment and its implementation.
Role of Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Sustainable Development Goals… 393
Since the production function is not the same for all the crops and its production
function changes according to varying farm zones and over the crop growth cycle,
there will always remain the possibility of incorrect inputs in the applications (for
instance, spraying excessive nitrogen fertiliser), which could result in crop destruc-
tion. This requires the training of AI systems to adequately optimise output levels by
making the ideal utilisation of the available and limited data (Fakhruddin 2017).
Connectivity, acceptability, the safety of IoT devices, loss and manipulation of data,
database issues and denial of service attacks are real concerns that stand in the way
of AI penetration in rural areas. Moreover, the high cost of hardware devices, soft-
ware and their operations, updates and maintenance will add to the already existing
concerns of insufficient rural infrastructure. Uncertainty of costs regarding fuel and
water allocations lowers the margins for farmer investments. Thus IoT-based solu-
tions are challenging for small-scale farmers (Villa-Henriksen et al. 2020).
394 S. Ziesche et al.
7 Conclusion
There need to be more investments into skill development in order to increase human
capacity and adaptability to new methods. Therefore, effective AI design should be
accompanied by a comprehensive training and capacity-building programme for all
involved stakeholders. Greater ‘digital literacy’ amongst farmers can enable them to
use necessary digital platforms and tools effectively. Government employees and
other key actors must also be targeted through extensive education and training pro-
grammes to increase the effectiveness of programmes (Birner et al. 2021).
Role of Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Sustainable Development Goals… 395
There are several stakeholders in addition to the farmers when it comes to AI and
agriculture, such as national governments and soft- and hardware companies (Birner
et al. 2021). They all will need to be involved in creating a unified framework for
issues such as data rights, privacy, consent management, benefits and rights of farm-
ers to ensure equitable participation and protection of all stakeholders.
There must be efforts to ensure greater digital and financial inclusivity for all. There
is not just an increase in the concentrated market power of large agribusiness enter-
prises but small-scale farmers. This can be done by combining and coordinating private
and public action that benefits people and the planet both through forming multi-stake-
holder partnerships involving farmers, farm labourers, national and state governments,
industries, research institutions, start-ups and other businesses. To advance readiness
amongst farmers, especially those located in remote regions, it is crucial to establish
policies that create increasingly conducive business environments (Birner et al. 2021).
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AI for Sustainable Agriculture
and Rangeland Monitoring
Abstract This paper examines the applications of artificial intelligence (AI) and
satellite imagery in sustainable agriculture, that is, how to allocate resources across
the farmland based on the monitoring results from satellite imagery. We first pro-
pose a novel framework for addressing climate change-related problems in agri-
food sector that considers recent advances in AI and earth observation (EO) data,
which describes our approach on high level. We examine the existing Sustainable
Development Goals and define a list of targets and indicators where using AI would
be the most beneficial for practitioners, researchers, and policymakers. Next, we
consider a case of a conservancy, where management needs to decide on how to
allocate the resources in a sustainable way. In this case, the resources are cattle
herds, which need to be moved across the conservancy for optimal grazing of grass
and providing soil nutrition. We characterise the optimal resource allocation policy
considering several physical biomonitoring parameters, such as grass biomass, leaf
area, percentage of overgrazing, and many others. These parameters are monitored
with satellite imagery in a weekly manner over the large territories. We propose an
AI-based approach for fast and reliable interpretation of this imagery to provide
insights for farmers in a fully automated manner. This monitoring is then combined
with a simple resource allocation policy. Our results suggest that (i) the proposed
framework can be applied for near real-time monitoring of large territories with a
highly accurate estimation of biomonitoring parameters, (ii) the proposed resource
allocation method outperforms existing rangeland monitoring practices, and (iii) it
N. Efremova (*)
Queen Mary University London, London, UK
e-mail: [email protected]
J. C. Foley · A. Unagaev
DeepPlanet, Oxford, UK
e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]
R. Karimi
Enonkishu Conservancy, Lemek, Kenya
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 399
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_22
400 N. Efremova et al.
can be used to estimate whether current agricultural practices are aligned with
Sustainable Development Goals, specifically with SDG 2 “zero hunger”.
1 Introduction
1.1 Problem Overview
1
https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/indicators-list/
2
https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/unsdg
AI for Sustainable Agriculture and Rangeland Monitoring 401
Earth observation data is freely available and highly accurate. These data can
further be combined on the socio-economic, organisational, and institutional level
whereby the roles of AI can be mediating, adjudicating, and ranking.
Table 2 lists non-exhaustively the SDGs indicators that can be addressed by AI
and EO data. Asterisk (*) indicates the SDGs, addressed by this project or those that
potentially could be affected by the outcomes of the proposed approach. We distin-
guish between 1st generation and 2nd generation of AI-EO applications to SDGs
(with more sophisticated AI applications). Some international bodies and working
groups suggest the use satellite imaging data for several SDGs (DANE 2016, 2017a,
b). Those proposals centre around SDGs, whose indicators primarily use geographic
data. A further step is to use AI and EO in contexts where only small sample sizes
are available or where states lack the capability to collect and analyse the data.
Open-source GIS and data analysis techniques allow us to evaluate progress towards
the SDGs and strengthen accountability (Efremova et al. 2019).
The UN classifies indicators into three tiers according to two criteria.3 First, a
generally accepted methodology exists (methodology criteria). Second, this meth-
odology is widely adopted around the world and states generate sufficient data
(adoption criteria). Tier 1 meet both methodology and adoption criteria. Tier 2 indi-
cators do not meet either the methodology or adoption criteria, and tier 3 indicators
fail to meet both. Therefore, the most significant contribution of AI and EO can be
made regarding tier 2 and 3 indicators. We also note that we have found some tier 1
indicators that are insufficiently measuring the intended target (e.g. climate action
targets 13.2 and 13b with Indicators 13.2.1 and 13.b.1). As a result, more SDGs
could be identified for improving tier 1 indicators through a systematic AI and EO
review. Tier 3 indicators would contribute most from the application of AI-based
methods; therefore, the presented case study considers only SGDs with tier 3 indi-
cators. In the next sections, we will discuss this case study in detail. However, first
we have to dive deeper into how we can use AI and satellite data to tackle a few of
the SDG targets and to present a top-down theoretical model of AI-EO SDG assess-
ment using one of the targets in SDG 2 (zero hunger) as an example.
3
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402 N. Efremova et al.
Table 2 A list of targets and indicators that can be assessed with AI, coupled with earth observation
(EO) data
SDGs, targets, and indicators Explanation Tier
6. Clean water and 6.1.1* Change in the extent of water-related ecosystems over III
sanitation time
6.3.1 Proportion of wastewater safely treated III
6.3.2 Proportion of bodies of water with good ambient water III
quality
6.6.1 Change in the extent of water-related ecosystems over III
time
9. Industries, 9.1.1 Proportion rural population living within 2 km of III
innovation, and all-season road
infrastructure
11. Sustainable cities 11.3.1* Ratio of land consumption rate and population growth II
and communities rate
11.7.1 Average proportion of the built surface of the cities II
corresponding to open spaces for the public use of all
15. Life on land 15.1.1 Forest area as a proportion of total land area I
15.2.1 Progress towards sustainable forest management III
15.3.1* Proportion of land that is degraded over total land area III
15.4.2 Mountain Green Cover Index III
1. No poverty 1.2.2* Proportion of men, women, and children of all ages II
living in poverty in all its dimensions according to
national definitions
1.4.1 Proportion of population living in households with III
access to basic services
2. Zero hunger 2.4.1* Proportion of agricultural area under productive and III
sustainable agriculture
2.5.1 Number of plant and animal genetic resources for food III
and agriculture secured in either medium- or long-term
conservation facilities
6. Clean water and 6.5.2 Proportion of transboundary basin area with an III
sanitation operational arrangement for water cooperation
11. Sustainable cities 11.2.1 Proportion of population that has convenient access to II
and communities public transport, by sex, age, and persons with
disabilities
13. Climate action 13.1.2 Number of countries that adopt and implement national II
disaster risk reduction strategies in line with the Sendai
Framework
13.1.3 Proportion of local governments that adopt and II
implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line
with national strategies
13.2* Integrate climate change measures into national I
policies, strategies, and planning
13.b* Promote mechanisms for raising capacity for effective I
climate change-related planning and management in
least developed countries
14. Life below water 14.1.1 Index of coastal eutrophication and floating plastic III
debris density
AI for Sustainable Agriculture and Rangeland Monitoring 403
Below, we propose a top-down approach that can be used to evaluate Indicator 2.4.1
“Proportion of agricultural area under productive and sustainable agriculture”. This
task could be decomposed into several sub-tasks. We propose a top-down approach,
where we first define high-level objectives, further decomposing them into smaller
elements, each of which could be solved using one machine learning method each.
In other words, we first want to obtain a large image of the land and classify it on
different smaller regions, based on land-use similarity. After this, assign a sub-task
to a smaller region of land, which can be used to provide actionable insights for this
type of land. Finally, we combine the results of these sub-tasks and provide an over-
all managerial decision support for the whole region of interest, based on the com-
bination of these individual recommendations (Fig. 1). Note that we only provide
recommendations based on our observations, not substituting the decision-maker in
this process.
In the case of Indicator 2.4.1, a larger task will be finding all agricultural land in
the region of interest and classifying it by the type of crop, growing in this region.
Resource optimization
Fig. 1 A proposed framework for tackling target 2 (zero hunger) with AI and earth observation
data (satellite imagery and ground measurements)
404 N. Efremova et al.
The earth is experiencing widespread and rapid changes that are already affecting
weather and climate across the globe. The scale of these changes is unprecedented
and are linked to increasingly variable and extreme weather events, including heat
waves, precipitation, drought, and storms. The human influence on these processes
is unequivocal and driven by increases in greenhouse gas emissions including CO2.
Contemporary farming practices make a significant impact on climate change in
terms of soil erosion, contamination groundwater supplies with excessive use of
herbicides and fertilisers, carbon emissions, etc. (Houghton et al. 2012). It is esti-
mated that agriculture, forestry, and other land-use activities account for 23% of the
total net anthropogenic emissions of GHGs with forestry and land-use change (i.e.
those emissions that do not relate directly to agriculture) accounting for 12.5% of
global GHG emissions (IPCC Climate Change 2021; Houghton et al. 2012).
On the other hand, climate change affects food production and supply chain in
multiple ways. It increases the likelihood of extreme weather events and reduces the
predictability of weather, and non-optimal growing conditions for crops may
become more likely. Therefore, the farmers need to adapt their practice to changing
environment to maintain the same level of crop yields. Additionally, supply chain
needs to know the location of the farms, address the approximate yield of the farms
in the region of interest, and increase local suppliers where possible to minimise
“climate costs” of mass food transportation. Finally, policymakers need to have
access to the above-mentioned data to be able to address emerging problems as
quickly as possible and help growers and sellers to act efficiently when the unex-
pected climate events (such as floods, droughts, fires, etc.) disrupt business as usual
in terms of both production and supply chain logistics.
Therefore, the proposed model can be applied to climate change target twice:
first time, to identify ways to minimise negative effect of agricultural practices on
the climate change, and, second time, to predict negative effects from climate
change on the agriculture and other farming practices. The first method will be
analogous to the set of actions that was described in the previous chapter since the
goal here will be to minimise scarce resource consumption and maximise the pro-
duced output. The second part, however, would have a slightly different structure.
We will first identify the high-level regional changes that emerge in the region of
AI for Sustainable Agriculture and Rangeland Monitoring 405
2 Background
2.1 Rangelands
4
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and-soybean-farmers-insight-into-soil-health/?sh=3749b6de1f19
AI for Sustainable Agriculture and Rangeland Monitoring 409
requires a lot of work, since imagery often requires preprocessing to get into a
usable format and then beyond this it may need computer vision processing of satel-
lite imagery (Demir et al. 2018), cloud removal (Singh and Komodakis 2018), and
complex band calculations (Lees et al. 2020).
3 Methods
We show that strategic resource allocation, including cattle movement within the
rangelands to adjust grass biomass, contributes to climate change mitigation mea-
sures made on land, prevent soil erosion, and balance damage to the land from
wildlife.
The case study considers a practical tool, including novel ML techniques to mon-
itor 18 strategic parameters over the large territories. The pilot was done on as
Enonkishu Conservancy (4000 acres) in the Maasai Mara ecosystem of Kenya and
deployed with the support of the European Space Agency. The results of the pilot
project showed the significant increase in capacity to monitor the rangeland territo-
ries, opportunity to make more efficient management decisions, and overall
improvement of agricultural practices.
3.2 Data
This study was performed over the Enonkishu Conservancy in the Maasai Mara,
Kenya. The Mara Serengeti ecosystem is in a vulnerable state with the threat of
human encroachment and associated activities such as extensive overgrazing and
firewood and charcoal production. As the Mara conservancies provide a habitat for
most of the biodiversity in the Mara region, it is imperative that areas of severe
degradation are rehabilitated to support biodiversity of wildlife and minimise envi-
ronmental impact due to water run off on bare soil. Since 2013, Enonkishu (1705
hectares) and the Mara Training Centre have been conducting intensive monitoring
of the vegetation to drive rangeland improvements such as regenerative grazing by
livestock. While adjacent rangelands experience several hundred livestock fatalities
annually, Enonkishu’s regenerative grazing strategies have eliminated livestock
fatalities. However, monitoring has been very labour-intensive and as a result is dif-
ficult to scale to the entire Maasai Mara Serengeti region (250,000 hectares).
Enonkishu is a research community conservancy with a structured grazing regime
to determine sustainable levels of cattle grazing balanced with conservation needs.
The area is monitored by a team of scientists, rangers, and volunteers who periodi-
cally perform transects of areas recording several biomonitoring parameters in five
1 m quadrats for each sampling site (Weaver 1918). This creates a dataset that has
been recording since 2014 with on average one record period per quarter, and this
was clipped to the date period that satellite imagery is available for. For each block
a total of 18 parameters was monitored for 6 years. Table 3 shows the most essential
parameters (Figs. 2 and 3).
AI for Sustainable Agriculture and Rangeland Monitoring 411
Fig. 2 Map of Enonkishu conservancy. The pins show the location of data collection sites in the
conservancy
3.3 Model Architecture
Fig. 3 The photos show the examples of the data, collected from quadrats
3.3.1 Habitat Classification
First step is a high-level division of the region of interest into sub-types. To detect
different types of land cover, we built a semantic segmentation model for habitat
classification. In AI, sematic segmentation model is a computer vision tool that
allows to detect pixels of the image, which belong to the same class.
We downloaded Sentinel 2 12-band satellite imagery over the conservancy from
the start of available imagery (December 2016) until July 2020. These images were
then filtered to remove cloudy images, leaving a dataset of 123 images. Atmospheric
correction was then applied to produce images ready for data processing. The
images which were taken during the flooding period were masked out. To fill in the
gaps in the time series, linear interpolation techniques were used to interpolate
between preceding and consequent time slices. From 2 patches, randomly sampled
patches of 64 × 64 pixels, including all 12 bands, went into the input. Figure 4 below
shows a few examples of such classification.
AI for Sustainable Agriculture and Rangeland Monitoring 413
For estimation of sub-tasks, we have used historical data, collected on the ground
and ESA Sentinel imagery data, downloaded for the same period (as described
above). A series of 20 different vegetation and moisture indices were calculated
from each image. At every sampling date from the biomonitoring dataset, the clos-
est satellite image was determined, and then the pixel values of all vegetation indi-
ces at the sampling locations were extracted.
A random forest model (Breiman 2001) was constructed for each biomonitoring
parameter, taking as an input the three vegetation indices which best correlate to that
parameter, the habitat type, and the season. The data was split into train and testing
data on an 80–20 split. Once the models were trained and validated, the vegetation
and habitat values from the entire conservation area were extracted from the satellite
image and predicted on. The resulting prediction was then reshaped back into the
shape of the conservancy providing a predicted map across the entire area of interest.
Overgrazing prediction was performed using the same dataset, but a time series
of four images was used for each prediction. A deep learning model uses an LSTM
autoencoder structure (Sutskever et al. 2014), where the input is a single pixel from
the image corresponding to the 20 vegetation indices plus the season that image was
taken in and the habitat type of the pixel, four of these corresponding to the four
most recent images are stacked, and the time series is the input of the LSTM at each
step. Due to overgrazing being a rare event, it was a minority class in the binary
classification model making up ~15% of observations; to prevent overfitting to the
majority class, synthetic data of the minority class was generated using Synthetic
Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) within the training data to bring it up
to a 0.5 ratio (Chawla et al. 2002). The model was then trained on this dataset until
binary cross-entropy error had converged and then tested on 20% of the data to
determine accuracy.
Overall performance of the AI models was surpassed the state-of-the-art model per-
formance. On land cover segmentation task, we achieved 79% accuracy (training
loss, 0.32; validation loss, 0.1; test loss, 0.79), although the model showed some
414 N. Efremova et al.
confusion between the agricultural land with the bare soil. One possible explanation
to this is that for prolonged periods of time, the crop is harvested on the agricultural
area leaving it bare.
The biomass parameter was capable of being predicted with a very high accu-
racy. It had a training accuracy of 98% and a testing accuracy of 97% on biomass
measures that can range from 1000 to 2500. In general, the areas of grassland and
shrubland had higher biomass than forest areas, so for visualisation these were sepa-
rated into two separate images (Fig. 5). The parameters which are classified into 0–5
quantiles had varying accuracy depending on the parameter, due to the nature of it
being discrete ordinal classes error was generally around 0.5–1. Each parameter had
a different mean error and error distributions. Plant density estimation parameter is
described on Fig. 6.
Overgrazing is one of the most important parameters for the conservancy man-
agement, as it allows to make managerial decisions about moving cattle (mobile
bomas) around the conservancy. Overgrazing model prediction had a training accu-
racy of 98% with a validation accuracy of 92% validating on 5% of training data; on
the testing dataset, there was an overall accuracy of 86% with 84% accuracy of
overgrazed and 92% accuracy of non-overgrazed pixels. Overgrazing was predicted
across all grass and shrub areas creating a binary image of either overgrazed or not
overgrazed pixels (Fig. 7).
The proposed approach achieved better performance to similar studies. Previous
work has focused particularly on biomass estimation using imagery as this is the
primary feature of importance for determining sustainable grazing for livestock.
Previous studies created regression models including random forest regressions to
determine biomass and other plant health indicators. One study using high-resolution
0.5 m WorldView-2 imagery over rangelands in South Africa developed a random
model explaining 84% of variation (Ramoelo et al. 2015), while another model
using Sentinel 2 data on rangelands in Ethiopia achieved a similar accuracy of 0.87
(Meshesha et al. 2020). The model presented here outperforms both these studies
using the same or lower resolution imagery.
Such a good resulting accuracy indicates that the model can be applied for moni-
toring purposed in real-life applications. Since these measurements are not critical,
Fig. 5 Biomass estimation for grassland, shrublands, and forest land cover types
AI for Sustainable Agriculture and Rangeland Monitoring 415
Fig. 6 Estimation of plant density across the rangelands. The colour coding shows the highest
vegetation areas as blue and the lowest as red, respectively
the resulting error can be neglecter, and the results can be used for the managerial
decisions on land. In this case, managerial decisions would be around managing the
land, moving the cattle, etc.
We summarise a model that will use the above-mentioned parameters to predict the
movement of the cattle in the region. We propose an AI method that will use the
inputs from the algorithms, described in the previous section, to suggest the sequence
of actions to maximise the usage of resources. In this case, it will be the next alloca-
tion of mobile bomas (cattle) (Fig. 8).
The inputs of the proposed model are the following:
Fig. 7 Overgrazing prediction. Red areas indicate the places with highest degrees of overgrazing
The manager needs to decide on whether to move cattle between the blocks and
where to move it. Therefore, a time series of the input features in the current week
should be considered for the meaningful prediction of cattle movement over the
next few weeks. The resulting decision should be transparent to a decision-maker;
therefore, we need to choose a tool that can provide an explanation of a recom-
mended decision. Therefore, our choice of the model included explainability
requirement.
This problem can be treated as a classical resource allocation problem. For this
problem, a variety of models was proposed in previous work, from dynamic pro-
gramming (Kamien and Schwartz 1991; Boyabatlı et al. 2019) to graph neural
AI for Sustainable Agriculture and Rangeland Monitoring 417
networks (Cranmer et al. 2021). However, due to restricted amount of data, we uti-
lise fuzzy logic approach to resource allocation (Badinelli 2012).
4 Discussion
This technology narrows the gap between theoretical research in AI and space sec-
tors and practical business applications in agriculture. We have described above a
satellite imagery-based AI model, which was implemented in a browser-based
application. The conservancy management was able to obtain new predictions for
the whole conservancy on a weekly basis.
With the pressing need to balance natural resources, wildlife conservation and
human livelihood better monitoring of non-urban areas is critical. With satellite
imagery crucial monitoring becomes possible on a scale that may help to prevent
the further decline of nature. The methodologies presented here show that it is pos-
sible to perform automated monitoring of rangelands in an accurate and scalable
way. This allows for rapid and frequent insights into the condition of areas, includ-
ing their suitability for both grazing and nature conservation. Precision monitoring
allows for the creation of adaptable grazing regimes which alter how long each area
is grazed or which area to move grazing to depending on the condition of an area or
the surrounding areas. This can in turn be used to help maximise the use of an area
for both conservation and economic. While this technology has been tested and
applied on East African rangelands, the principles can be applied across numerous
areas. Within Africa the Sahel region on the edge of the Sahara Desert is expanding
at an alarming rate every year. Overgrazing by initially cattle and now goats has
caused large-scale erosion of soil and desertification (Picardi and Seifert 1977).
While there are actions already being taken to counteract (Kaptué et al. 2015) this
such as the green wall initiative (Picardi and Seifert 1977), there is still a large gap
in monitoring of it, and tools like this may be able to monitor and advice current or
future management plans. Beyond Africa there is currently large attention on large-
scale deforestation within the Amazon rainforest (Boëtsch et al. 2017; Shukla et al.
1990). Monitoring of the Amazon has been using similar tools (Tucker and
Townshend 2000; Brovelli et al. 2020; Werth and Avissar 2002), but applying them
for monitoring of the condition post-deforestation could allow for the reuse of
deforested areas with grazing schemes designed to prevent further deforestation.
Many general pasture settings such as meat or dairy cattle could benefit from preci-
sion grazing regimes to maximise the health of the livestock animals while
418 N. Efremova et al.
minimising the damage to the land. Understanding the health of grazable land is a
key component of sustainable agriculture.
One of the main bottlenecks in working with satellite imagery is the lack of data.
One of the most popular satellite constellations, European Space Agency (ESA)
Sentinel 2, provides weekly high-resolution imagery worldwide. However, the
imagery is accessible only from 2015 when the satellite was launched. At the same
time, labelling earth observation imagery is a manual process that requires expert
knowledge, and, therefore, it is very expensive. Both the lack of data and expensive
labelling make it difficult to build AI systems for satellite imagery.
Augmenting long-range datasets such as aerial and satellite imagery with manu-
ally collected high-resolution samples is a tedious task. Many state-of-the-art sys-
tems make use of publicly available materials and/or crowdsource data collection
tasks. Both are unavailable in the agriculture applications, where disturbances to the
fields must be kept minimal. Climate change makes weather patterns unpredictable.
Many plant communities are now experiencing rapid and significant changes in
temperature, rainfall, evaporation patterns, and a dramatic increase in the occur-
rence of extreme events. These changes in temperature and precipitation patterns
make the crops susceptible to disease (Burdon and Zhan 2020). Therefore, the
amount of monitoring necessary to support farmers and to counteract this variability
increases significantly. Currently, regular monitoring of large agricultural fields is
performed manually or with the help of drone or satellite imagery, which is then
assessed by an agricultural specialist. To automate these processes, we can use AI
models to predict yield, to monitor spread of disease, to understand overall vegeta-
tion health, to predict crop maturity, and to forecast harvest dates. However, to use
deep learning models, we need tools and people to enrich it so we can train, validate,
and tune AI models.
On the other hand, researchers demonstrate that successful scaling up of computer
vision-based models largely depends on data quantity and diversity (Abnar et al.
2021). In the domains such as medicine and earth observation, where we collect data
from multi-band sensors, data augmentation is an extremely difficult and resource-
consuming task (Efremova and Erten 2021). Therefore, it’s important to develop
methods for cheap and efficient data collection together with AI/EO approaches.
4.2 Economic Outcomes
reluctant to use the projects that incurred additional costs. At the same time, remote
monitoring was essential to continue normal operations and decrease manual moni-
toring of the land by 50%. At the same time, the access to ground data was also
restricted. Despite these restrictions, the pretrained models continued to perform
similarly well in the new agricultural season. Second, overgrazing in the next grow-
ing season was reduced by analysing overgrazing patterns of the previous season by
10%. To be able to estimate the long-term economic potential of this product, we
need further two to three seasons of observations. Finally, the proposed tool (spe-
cifically the grassland, shrubland, and forest biomass estimation) was considered
useful to estimate the vegetation carbon stock over the conservancy and larger
Maasai Mara Region, and we continue conversations with rangeland management
on implementing such palpability in the region.
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Artificial Neural Networks Predict
Sustainable Development Goals Index
Seyed-Hadi Mirghaderi
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 423
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_23
424 S.-H. Mirghaderi
1 Introduction
(Collins and Moons 2019), such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and genetic
algorithm (GA).
ANNs are one of the well-known techniques of AI that are inspired by the human
brain (Okwu and Tartibu 2021), and GA is a metaheuristic algorithm inspired by the
biological evolution of creatures (Mirjalili 2019). It seems that ANN and GA are
useful for finding suitable indicators to create a system for predicting the SDGI
values. In other words, the problem of too many indicators and hard-to-calculate
SDGI may be tackled by using a combination of ANNs and GA.
The organization of the remaining parts is as follows. Sections 2, 3, and 4 pro-
vide a brief review of SDGI, ANN, and GA, respectively. Section 5 presents the
research method and Sect. 6 provides the results of the research. Finally, the conclu-
sion is presented in Sect. 7.
Fig. 1 Pyramid of
SDGI. (Source: Reyers
Goals
et al. 2017)
Targets
Indicators
Observations
In recent years, researchers have tried to resolve the critics and propose modifi-
cations in SDGI. For example, Xu et al. (2020) proposed a measurement system for
quantifying the progress of china in SDGs. The system encompasses 119 indicators
divided into 17 SDGs. Horan (2020) introduced a new version of SDGI based on
interrelations between targets. It is argued that the new SDGI helps communicate
with different stakeholders to undertake an integrated execution method for imple-
menting SDG. Ruiz-Morales et al. (2021) proposed a new way for aggregating the
value of each SDG using ordered weighted average (OWA) and prioritized OWA to
encompass the uncertainty of SDGs. Bali Swain and Yang-Wallentin (2020) quanti-
fied and prioritized SDGs and their relations to SD to provide suggestions for coun-
tries to improve their SDGI by focusing on different aspects of SD.
A significant part of artificial intelligence is ANNs (Wu and Feng 2018) which
attract much attention from the 1980s (Wu and Feng 2018). The idea of ANNs was
inspired by nervous system biology in the human body, which consists of a network
of neurons named neural network. The network is an interconnected web of tremen-
dous neurons which parallel process the collected data (Mishra and Srivastava 2014)
to solve a specific problem (Abiodun et al. 2018), especially when the network is
dense as in a human brain. In the brain, chemical reactions produce signals which
play an essential role in controlling brain activities and creating a basis for learning
(Russell and Norvig 2021). Based on a hypothesis, the learning process occurs at
the connection points of two neurons when the connection intensity differs (Wu and
Feng 2018).
Scientific attempts for modeling nervous system operation by mathematical for-
mulation resulted in ANNs (Sivanandam and Deepa 2006). Although ANNs try to
imitate the brain function, it has not been approached to capture the brain complex-
ity. But there are two significant similarities between the brain and ANNs; both are
constructed from highly interconnected simple computational elements (neurons),
and the network function is determined by neurons connections (Hagan et al. 2016).
In ANNs, each connection between neurons is denoted by a number named weight
Artificial Neural Networks Predict Sustainable Development Goals Index 427
(Wang 2003). The weight scales each input to a neuron and affects the function
inside the neuron (Fig. 2) (Aggarwal 2018).
The weights are dynamically adjusted based on processing the specific inputs
and the difference between actual and desired output (Floridi 2002). The weight
updating process is the essence of learning (Ding et al. 2013) which can uncover the
patterns in data and predict outputs often better than many statistical tools (Paliwal
and Kumar 2009). Due to the capability of ANNs in solving the problems such as
clustering, pattern recognition, and prediction in nonlinear and complex systems,
the application of ANNs has expanded in many disciplines such as engineering,
medicine, agriculture, mining, business, finance, arts, technology, etc. (Abiodun
et al. 2018). In general, ANNs succeeded in providing high accuracy results for the
problems in many disciplines (Gue et al. 2020).
Similar to other disciplines, sustainability has also taken advantage of ANNs. For
example, Antanasijević et al. (2013) developed a model for predicting PM10 emis-
sions at the national level. Gue et al. (2020) performed a critical review on utilizing
ANNs in contributing SD. The study revealed that SDGs 6, 7, 11, and 12 have used
more of ANNs. Also, the utilization includes modeling and predicting. Emmanuel
et al. (2020) proposed a design of the neural network-based system for predicting
the first six SDGs in less developed countries using patterns in big data.
Fig. 3 GA procedure.
(Source: Badar 2021)
5 Method
This chapter aims to create a simple model for predicting SDGI based on ANNs. To
this end, a reverse pyramid method was used by following six steps include:
• Step 1: data gathering from the seven related global reports
• Step 2: data cleaning
• Step 3: handling missing values
• Step 4: handling collinear indicators
• Step 5: removing ineffective indicators
• Step 6: finding the best combination of indicators
By following the introduced steps, the research activities were conducted. The
details of each step are presented in the following subsections.
• Step 1: data gathering
Some official and open-source reports are needed to create a pool of indicators.
The best sources of indicators and their values are global reports. Table 1 shows the
information of reports that are used in forming the required indicator pool.
The underlying logic of selecting reports is the relationship of the report to the
triple bottom line of SD. It is expected that each report reflects at least one of the
sustainable development pillars; for example, EPI is related to the environmental
pillar, while HDI, PF, and SPI are more related to the social pillar and EF and DB
refer to the economic pillar. It is assumed that GII can be related to all pillars. Due
to the research process, if the abovementioned assumptions are not correct, it cannot
negatively affect the research results. Also, the way for more research is open by
selecting other or more reports.
• Step 2: data cleaning
The reports generally provide information based on a hierarchal structure of vari-
ables. They compact operational indicators to create high-level ones. Based on the
goal of this research, the operational indicators were collected from each report. In
sum, 288 indicators were extracted from the reports. Table 2 shows the number of
extracted indicators.
There is an operational indicator in GII which reflects the overall result of EPI. To
have more homogenous indicators, this indicator was removed from the list. Also,
only 127 countries were covered in all the mentioned reports; therefore, just their
information was extracted from the publishing reports for the year 2020 and was
organized in a database.
• Step 3: handling missing values
Approximately 1 percent of the database was not filled due to lacking informa-
tion in the reports. In other words, there were missing values in the database. By
using the global closest fit approach, the missing values of countries were replaced
by the most similar country using Manhattan distance criteria:
dij cik c jk
kS
where i and j are denoted for two countries, S represents a set of non-missing indica-
tors in country i and j, and ck is denoted for kth indicator.
All missing values are filled in using the mentioned method. Finding the most
similar country for a country with missing value was a repetitive process. That is,
after filling each missing value, the most similar country for the next missing value
was found based on the sum of Manhattan distance between the country and other
countries. The country with the minimum sum of distances is the similar one in
which the missing value was filled by the indicator value of the similar country.
• Step 4: removing collinear indicators
The variance inflation factor (VIF) is a measure for finding collinear variables.
Based on Algorithm 1, the indicators with higher VIF are iteratively and step-by-
step removed. The remaining indicators have lower VIF and then are not collinear.
1
VIFi
1 Ri2
Artificial Neural Networks Predict Sustainable Development Goals Index 431
where i is denoted for a selected indicator and Ri2 represents the coefficient of deter-
mination for the indicator i. The higher the VIF value represents the more collinear-
ity. As Larose (2015) acknowledged if VIFi ≥ 5,then the collinearity is moderate.
Therefore, to avoid collinearity, we can remove the indicators with the VIF greater
than 5 as mentioned in Algorithm 1. Applying the Algorithm caused to finding 135
collinear indicators, then the total number of remaining indicators decreased from
288 to 153.
• Step 5: removing ineffective indicators
Some indicators are not effective for participation in predicting SDGI. Therefore,
just indicators must be used as input variables which can play an essential role in
predicting SDGI by improving the performance of ANNs. The problem of finding
the best subset of indicators in this research is an instance of a well-known typical
problem in the literature named “feature selection” or “variable selection.” There
are several methods for producing solutions to the variable selection problem. But
De et al. (1997) propose an ANN-based method that uses feature quality index
(FQI) as a criterion for ranking variables. The underlying logic of the method is
attractive and straightforward; if a variable is not essential, removing it must not
harm the result of the network. In other words, if the presence of a variable does not
result in better performance, the variable is ineffective and must be removed.
Algorithm 2 was designed based on the mentioned logic. It compares the mean
square error (MSE) of an ANN output when a specific variable is present and when
its values are replaced by a vector of zero.
To remove all ineffective variables, Algorithm 2 repetitively ran, while the input
indicators were the remaining indicators of the previous run. Figure 4 shows the
results of ten runs of the Algorithm. Finally, 63 ineffective indicators were found.
Therefore, the number of final indicators decreased from 153 to 90.
• Step 6: finding the best combination of indicators
function. The selection operator was the roulette wheel, and the crossover method
was the random respectful technique. For crossover, three ways were designed: (1)
random selection from unused indicators in a selected solution, (2) random selec-
tion from indicators that have not emerged in the current solutions, and (3) ran-
domly replacing an indicator in the current selection with a new one. Figure 5 shows
the convergence plot of the GA for an ANN with four nodes (indicators). For sim-
plicity, the iteration is limited to 50.
The result of running Algorithm 3 is shown in Fig. 6. The figure reveals that with
only four nodes, the correlation between the predicted SDGI and real SDGI is more
than 0.95, and on average, there is less than 3% error in predicting the SDGI of each
country.
6 Results
The results revealed that among 288 indicators extracted from the selected global
reports, just 90 indicators are helpful for predicting SDGI using ANNs. Although
more indicators provide better prediction, to keep the simplicity, an ANN with four
nodes in one hidden layer can predict SDGI with high accuracy. In the ANN, each
node is related to one indicator. The most suitable indicators for predicting SDGI
are “Deaths from infectious diseases,” “ICT use,” “Expenditure on education,” and
“Assessment in reading, mathematics, and science.” Using these indicators, the
ANN can forecast the SDGI with mean absolute percentage deviation (MAPD)
equals 2.9126%, RMSE equals 2.4763, and the correlation between the predicted
values and SDGI is 0.9592. The results show that designed ANN is a successful
predictor for SDGI.
Other combinations of the indicators are also able to predict the SDGI. Table 3
represents some of the combinations. Although the higher the number of nodes
produces better performance, the complication of ANN will also increase by adding
more nodes.
Table 3 shows that many indicators belong to the Global Innovation Index report.
It implies the role of innovation in facilitating the movement toward SDGs and
increasing the value of SDGI for countries. Another astonishing fact in the table is
the poor emergence of indicators from the EPI, which reports the environmental
status. When we can predict SDGI without indicators from the environmental
aspect, it means that maybe there is a bias in SDGI. The bias may be occurred due
to the insufficient attention to environmental goals in calculating SDGI or under-
mining the environmental issues in profit of social and or economic issues. This is
an interesting topic for further research.
436 S.-H. Mirghaderi
Table 3 (continued)
Number of
nodes Indicators Source RMSI MAPD Correlation
9 Deaths from infectious diseases SPI 2.0407 2.1835 0.9729
ICT use GII
Child stunting SPI
Expenditure on education GII
Assessment in reading, mathematics, GII
and science EF
Government investment PF
Women’s Movement GII
Political and operational stability EPI
FGT.new
10 Deaths from infectious diseases SPI 1.9536 2.0590 0.9756
ICT use GII
Expenditure on education GII
Assessment in reading, mathematics, GII
and science SPI
Women with advanced education GII
ISO 9001 quality certificates GII
ICT services imports PF
Access to foreign newspapers DB
Paying taxes-time (hours) GII
Employment in knowledge-intensive
services
7 Conclusions
maybe the role of other aspects is bolder than the environmental aspect. Clarifying
the bias in SDGI needs more research. This research also opens the door for using
other global reports and indicators to develop another prediction system for SDGI
to measure the progress toward SGDs.
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Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research
on the Sustainable Development Goals
Abstract The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are the framework adopted
by the global community to encourage taking actions on the multiple challenges
facing the world today to ensure environmental protection, health and well-being,
and economic prosperity. This framework provides a detailed list of indicators that
are interconnected and cover a holistic view on sustainable development. The goals
were defined by the United Nations General Assembly in 2015 and expected to be
achieved by 2030. Since the release of this agenda, the research community has
begun to intensify work in these areas, yet these efforts seem to be relatively limited.
This is especially true about the employment of data and artificial intelligence (AI),
which are not widely engaged in SDG-related topics. The AI-based research on
SDGs and further developments depends heavily on the availability and accessibil-
ity of related real-world data collected by the community. However, there is no
central, structured, and holistic database of datasets and metadata associated with
the SDGs, which prevents large-scale collaboration on these topics. In this paper,
we present the SDG Data Catalog, a global open-source database indexing SDG-
related datasets, associated metadata, and research networks. We describe the con-
struction of this catalog, which relies on state-of-the-art natural language processing
A. Spezzatti (*)
AI for Good Foundation, Geneva, Switzerland
e-mail: [email protected]
E. Kheradmand
University of Montreal, Montreal, Canada
e-mail: [email protected]
K. Gupta
University of Western Ontario, London, Canada
e-mail: [email protected]
M. Peras
AgroParisTech, Paris, France
e-mail: [email protected]
R. Zaminpeyma
McGill University, Montreal, Canada
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 441
F. Mazzi, L. Floridi (eds.), The Ethics of Artificial Intelligence for the Sustainable
Development Goals, Philosophical Studies Series 152,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_24
442 A. Spezzatti et al.
models with human supervision. The catalog breaks down data silos and helps sus-
tainability researchers navigate the data sea to initiate effective collaborations.
1 Introduction
1
The 17 GOALS | Sustainable Development. Retrieved October 27, 2021 from https://sdgs.un.
org/goals
Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research on the Sustainable Development Goals 443
Fig. 1 Percent of ArXiv publications related to artificial intelligence, between 2004 and 2018.
(Zhang et al. 2021)
elicitation process, a group of researchers evaluated the impact AI can have on all
17 global goals (Vinuesa et al. 2020). Their conclusion shows that for a majority of
the 169 targets (79%), AI may act as an enabler, while a smaller number of them
(35%) may also experience negative impact from the development of AI. For some
targets, AI can be both beneficial and detrimental, as is the case for Target 1.1,2 for
which AI will help better identify places of poverty, but at the same time, it can
automate some of low-skilled jobs and increase existing inequalities. Although AI
cannot solve all problems and poses certain risks and challenges, if accompanied by
a set of common principles and regulations, it could substantially aid in achieving
the SDGs and transform our capacity to counteract negative patterns that may
become irreversible without prompt action.
Nowadays, a major barrier to cross-industry collaboration is the lack of easy
access to many datasets that are essential for solving society’s current challenges. In
the research community, it is appreciated to make the data publicly available, yet
this is not a common practice. The availability of data not only helps other research-
ers create new AI models on the datasets but also gives them a reference to compare
the models on the same datasets with the literature review. Researchers may have
incentive not to disclose their datasets, which might be for two reasons; the data is
a strategic advantage either for them or for fear of having the quality of their work
questioned. However, even if the datasets are not accessible, just knowing the exis-
tence of them would help researchers initiate a collaboration with the owners of
datasets. Some publicly available datasets tend to be generic or only samples that
2
Target 1.1 By 2030, eradicate extreme poverty for all people everywhere, currently measured as
people living on less than $1.25 a day.
444 A. Spezzatti et al.
are not representative of the actual research fields. In general, most published
AI-related research in major conferences use common datasets, such as ImageNet,3
CONLL 2003 (Sang and De Meulder 2003), or Wikibooks.4 Therefore, it is crucial
to bring more awareness to the AI community about the datasets no matter whether
they are publicly available or not, especially in the sustainability domain.
Our work builds on the open data movement, whose goal is to make data visible,
accessible, and usable.5 Open data will help to unlock the value of the enormous
amount of information collected and stored around the world. As information
becomes increasingly dispersed and voluminous, it is tedious for researchers to
identify relevant data. The 2020 Open Data Report shows that progress is being
made, with researchers more aware of the FAIR principles (Findability, Accessibility,
Interoperability, and Reuse) and more willing to make data sharing a priority today
than they were 3 years ago (Khodiyar et al. 2021). Preliminary data showed that
reuse of research data is increasing from pre-COVID-19 levels.
The goal of this work is to create a system that automatically identifies, collects,
and describes datasets that are relevant to the global goals, to do so at scale, and to
support researcher access this information. While there are a few platforms aggre-
gating sustainability related datasets, like the Humanitarian Data Exchange,6 the
coverage remains limited with certain goals missing and the important context and
usability assessment is often also missing. There are also other, broader platforms
that index datasets not limited to sustainability domains. This is the case of the
Paper with Code7 platform that references more than 5 K dataset that have been used
in AI research papers, as well as the Google Dataset Search. The first one covers
only several goals but misses many important topics related to the SDGs, such as
poverty or hunger, which do not produce any results. The second platform is more
comprehensive, but the datasets are not clearly linked to the global goals and tar-
gets, and the impact and influence of the referenced datasets are often unclear. In
order to obtain a comprehensive coverage of datasets used in sustainability research
and to retrieve metadata and contextual information, we decided to extract informa-
tion directly from published raw research papers, based on the assumption that in
order to be published; a paper must provide a sufficient level of dataset description.
The SDG Data Catalog is an open, extensible, global database containing dataset
names, metadata, and research networks related to the SDGs (Hodson and Spezzatti
2021). The catalog will be open-sourced, to be accessible by the research commu-
nity in order to encourage collaboration across domains and different disciplines.
The catalog indexes datasets that are directly mentioned in research publications. In
order to structure and classify the knowledge gathered about the datasets, we use
metadata information from the research articles and datasets. Some of this metadata
3
https://www.image-net.org/
4
https://en.wikibooks.org/
5
The State of Open Data 2020, Digital Science Report.
6
The Humanitarian Data Exchange, https://data.humdata.org/
7
Paper with Code, https://paperswithcode.com/
Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research on the Sustainable Development Goals 445
includes the impact of the publication, research topics, methods used, and informa-
tion about the results and conclusion of the published work using the data. In this
way, we can inform researchers about trends in datasets usage and the current major
research questions being addressed using a particular dataset. With the SDG Data
Catalog, we strive to provide a tool that helps bridge the gap between SDG experts
and the rest of the research community.
AI and more specifically natural language processing (NLP) facilitate automat-
ing the extraction and detection of certain information from large volumes of text.
In particular, NLP has a major role in identifying SDGs in text data. For instance,
NLP has been utilized to predict if the business and activities of companies are
aligned with SDGs (Amel-Zadesh et al. 2021). The alignment was identified by
analyzing the corporate sustainability reports of companies. In another research,
SDG Social Index was developed by applying NLP on social media text data (Lee
and Kim 2021). This index shows the global opinions toward SDGs.
In this paper, we propose an NLP-based methodology to detect dataset names
and information on research papers and link them with each specific SDG. In a
previous work (Hodson and Spezzatti 2021), the key elements of the pipeline were
described, as well as the data acquisition strategy. Early results for the named entity
recognition (NER) model were presented. We used NER to identify several entities
related to the datasets: names, owner, description, attributes, and samples. We had
various performances on these entities with an 80% F1 score and 72% recall for the
dataset name identification. In this work, we develop further the SDG Data Catalog
and make a link between the datasets and SDGs. We present new parsing and selec-
tion strategies, in addition to how fine-tuning a pre-trained Bidirectional Encoder
Representations from Transformers (BERT) (Devlin et al. 2018) model further
improves the performance of the NER model, achieving 91% recall and 82% F1
score. We also train a bidirectional long−/short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) with
Conditional Random Field (CRF) model (Huang et al. 2015) with Global Vectors
for Word Representation (GLOVE) (Pennington et al. 2014) embedding that over-
score BERT on precision with an 88% score. Moreover, we develop a binary classi-
fier to predict the existence of dataset names. Ultimately, we show preliminary
results on dataset classification by SDGs, using a few-shot learning strategy with the
Open AI Generative Pre-trained Transformer 3 (GPT-3) model (Brown et al. 2020)
with various performances across the global goals. Eventually, these preliminary
results demonstrate that with more data, the model can achieve good performance
on paper categorization.
2 Information Extraction
Fig. 2 SDG data catalog pipeline. The red boxes represent a step where machine learning models
are implemented
Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research on the Sustainable Development Goals 447
For the NER task, three model architectures dominate recent research, convolu-
tional neural network (CNN), long−/short-term memory (LSTM) models and trans-
formers. The two last achieved state-of-the-art results on the most common NER
datasets, for example, on CONLL 2003 and Ontonotes v5. These are the ones we
use in our experiment on NER.
3 Data
For the purpose of this work, we use a 10 K large corpus of papers. The papers were
collected from online sources using a web scraper that is scalable, lightweight, and
copyright-aware. The scraper leverages the data on author and paper titles from the
Open Academic Graph project (Sinha et al. 2015) and uses a web search endpoint
to identify instances of PDF files corresponding to a query for the title and authors.
The resulting list was reviewed as being all self-published versions of academic
works, falling under standard copyright protections and not under paywall academic
aggregators.
In order to have a balanced dataset large enough for classification by SDGs, we
extracted an additional 2000 sample of papers. Indeed, the original 10 K papers
were unevenly distributed across SDGs, and a few goals were not even present. We
needed additional data for about half of the SDGs. Our approach was to use another
web scraper that specifically targets certain SDGs. The basis of this scraper is to
make a search on open-access repositories of PDF papers. We started with the ArXiv
portal, which provides access to 2 M scholarly articles. We were eventually limited
by the scope of the portal that is specialized in Physics, Mathematics, Computer
Science, Finance, Economics, and Electrical Engineering. A few SDG topics were
not covered like gender, justice, poverty, or hunger. Therefore, we also used two
other portals, the CORE, a global-wide content aggregation of open-access research
literature (Knoth et al. 2012), and the Education Resources Information Center
(ERIC) portal. The first one aggregates more than 200 M papers, on diverse topics,
and provides an API to extract full text PDF automatically using keyword search.
However, we were limited by the number of API calls available in a day by the plat-
form. The ERIC portal provides access to 1.5 M publications, focused on education
research.
Using a keyword search in these portals, the top 100 valid PDF results of each
search are downloaded and saved to our second corpus. The success rate of the
extraction process was 83% for papers that had a PDF version downloadable. After
combining the two corpora (12 K papers), the resulting distribution across the goals
was improved but still not evenly distributed, with a couple of goals that are still
marginally represented.
448 A. Spezzatti et al.
4 Methodology
In the development of the SDG data catalog, we first extract paper metadata and
body text and split the text into paragraphs. After parsing the papers, in order to link
SDGs with dataset names, we define three tasks: (1) binary classification to predict
if a dataset is mentioned, (2) NER which detects the name of datasets, and (3) text
classification to predict the SDGs. The binary classifier is trained to identify the
existence of dataset mentions in paragraphs and generate a smaller set of candidate
paragraphs for the NER annotations. Using NER models, we aim to extract the
name of datasets from the paragraphs. We annotate the generated candidates manu-
ally. The annotations are added incrementally using an active learning strategy. We
identify the SDGs by training models on annotated text data. For this task, we anno-
tate each papers’ abstract to different SDGs and train a multi-label text categoriza-
tion model. In Fig. 2, we present a pipeline to visualize the steps we consider in the
SDG data catalog development.
The training dataset used for binary classification is unbalanced, with negative
examples significantly outnumbering the positive ones. In the original data, less
than 10% of the paragraphs contain a mentioned dataset. To get around this prob-
lem, we add an under-sampling layer that rebalances our dataset. After under-
sampling, the resulting proportion of paragraphs with no mention is 56.8%.
4.1 Parsing Papers
We used the CERMINE Java library (Tkaczyk et al. 2015) to process full texts and
parsed references for the PDF files. CERMINE uses support vector machine classi-
fiers to divide papers into zones and then to further classify them into various meta-
data classes. The machine learning-based solution offers great flexibility on paper
layouts and an important variety of extracted metadata, including DOI, affiliation,
and year of publication, not always found in other systems like PDFX8 and GROBID9
(Lopez 2009). These metadata will be critical in designing the catalog and connect-
ing entities in a knowledge graph. Overall, we found that the quality of the extracted
text is superior with CERMINE compared to other off-the-shelf python packages
available. Using CERMINE, we were able to process 93% of the papers from our
initial database.
From the resulting XML documents, we extract metadata, including authors,
abstracts, titles, affiliation, and DOI. The body text is broken down into paragraphs.
While sentence granularity was considered too short to provide the full context for
the model to correctly and efficiently identify the dataset reference and the section
granularity was considered too long, the paragraph is a good compromise to obtain
8
https://pypi.org/project/pdfx/
9
https://github.com/kermitt2/grobid
Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research on the Sustainable Development Goals 449
The binary classification step is added to generate a relevant set of candidate para-
graphs and make the NER annotation process more efficient. In a previous work
(Hodson and Spezzatti 2021), we used the inclusion of the word “data” in para-
graphs as a proxy for candidates and focused our annotation effort only on these
paragraphs. While this method has already importantly reduced the number of can-
didates, we found that mentions of datasets were present in less than 20% of the
candidates, requiring us to spend an important amount of time on annotation in
order to obtain a good number of dataset names. To circumvent this problem, we
trained a binary classification model to generate the list of candidates.
The binary classification task is a multistep process that involves creating a
labelled dataset, data cleaning, and model development. First, paragraphs from the
extracted PDFs are arranged in table rows, with each row containing one paragraph.
A list of known dataset label names is used to label paragraphs with either a 1 or 0
based on the presence of dataset names from the list. Results for this labelling task
are summarized in (Table 2). This dataset is then processed for removal of stop
words from the Natural Language Toolkit (NLTK) corpus (Loper and Bird 2002),
numbers, non-ASCII characters, and symbols.
Vectorizing the text is a practical technique in NLP which makes the text under-
standable for machines. For the binary classification, we use TF-IDF which stands
for term frequency-inverse document frequency (Ramos 2003). TF-IDF considers
both the frequency of each word of a term and the relevancy and importance of each
word of a term in a document. It is a product of term frequency (which measures the
frequency of the word in a document) and inverse document frequency (which mea-
sures the importance of the word by giving more weight to rare words in a term with
respect to the document).
After vectorizing each paragraph, we trained and compared machine learning
algorithms, such as support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), naive
Bayes (NB), and random forest (RF). The performance of these models using
TF-IDF vectorizer is presented in Table 4. We also tried XLNet, a generalized
autoregressive pre-training for language understanding, which is state of the art in
the text categorization task (Yang et al. 2019). A random split function is used to
randomly allocate data for training, validation, and test categories. Several machine
learning models are developed to accomplish this task. Each model had its own
parameters for this split. For instance, for the XLNet model, we consider 70% for
training, 15% for validation, and 15% for the test set. However, for the other mod-
els, we split the data to allocate 85% of data for training and 15% of data for testing
the models. With this practice, we test all the models on 15% of the data.
450 A. Spezzatti et al.
LSTM networks have been introduced to get around the long-term dependency
problem encountered when using recurrent neural networks (RNN) (Hochreiter
et al. 1996). With the use of gates to either add or forget information, LSTM can
leverage information from words located several sentences ahead in the text. A
Bidirectional LSTM is a model composed of two LSTMs: one that takes the input
in the forward direction and the other that takes it in the backward direction. This
increases the contextual information used by the model compared to a simple
LSTM. The CRF layer is used to jointly decode the labels in each sequence.
Our NER problem is framed as a sequence tagging task, using the BILUO
scheme for tag representation (Table 1), in which the entities are tagged with the
semantic category preceded by one of the defined prefixes. The 5 K set of annota-
tions is split into an 85% training set and 15% test set that is used to report the
results. We train our model using 300-dimensional word-embedding features trained
on the CommonCrawl dataset with the Global Vectors for Word Representation
(GLOVE) (Pennington et al. 2014). We used two of the embeddings: one with
400 K vocabulary size and the other with 1.9 M vocabulary size. We use two
10
Montani, I. & Honnibal, M (a new annotation tool for radically efficient machine teaching.
Artificial intelligence, Prodigy, 2018). Prodigy is an annotation software powered by active learn-
ing used to make data annotation more efficient and convenient. It supports different types of
machine learning problems such as classification and named entity recognition.
11
Honnibal, M., & Montani, I. (2017). spaCy 2: Natural language understanding with Bloom
embeddings, convolutional neural networks and incremental parsing.
Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research on the Sustainable Development Goals 451
recurrent network layers of 100 dimensions and optimize using the ADAM opti-
mizer (Kingma et al. 2014). The two models were trained on four epochs and used
a 0.05 learning rate.
4.3.2 BERT
4.4 Classification by SDGs
We classified research papers by the main topic they cover, using a text categoriza-
tion model with 18 classes: the 17 global goals and a label to specify that no SDGs
are among the main topics of the publication. Since we only wanted to identify main
topics, our approach was to only use the article’s abstract to make the prediction.
The abstract generally covers why the research was initiated and what methodolo-
gies and results are developed in the paper. We assumed that this should provide
enough contextual information to identify when one or more of the global goals are
studied and discussed later in the paper.
A set of 2000 abstracts was manually annotated, using the Prodigy software.
To make the annotation effort more efficient, a list of keywords was used for
each SDGs that are used as a proxy to suggest an abstract to annotate. For
example, for SDG 1 (end poverty) keywords such as “unemployment,” “dispari-
ties,” “microfinance,” and “poverty” were used. A few abstracts were ambiguous
or not clear on whether the paper was actually covering a given goal. There were
also some general science abstracts that could be misinterpreted as SDG 3
(health) but were not actually discussing this SDG in their contents. These
examples were rejected, and we only used abstracts with good clarity on what
goals were covered.
From the manual annotations, we trained a multi-label supervised text cate-
gorization model. Multi-label text categorization is a type of classifiers used to
organize text documents into multiple non-mutually exclusive classes. Our
training set was unevenly distributed across SDGs and composed of 1700 exam-
ples (300 being left in the test set), and a third of the goals had too little data to
produce any result. Data availability is a barrier that can prevent NLP models
from performing well, but recent developments in NLP have shown that this
limitation can be solved using a technique known as few-shot learning (FSL). In
FSL, a small sample of training data is provided to the model that needs to make
reliable predictions with only limited information. FSL usually works well on
large pre-trained language models. We used the Open AI GPT-3 (Generative
Pre-trained Transformer) (Brown et al. 2020) model, a third-generation, autore-
gressive language model that leverages deep learning to generate human-like
texts. GPT-3 uses 175 billion parameters, which make it one of the largest lan-
guage models available today. This expensive computational approach makes
this model versatile and good for a wide range of NLP tasks, including text
categorization. This model is especially useful when the training data is a little,
and most other machine learning methodology fail to perform well.
To use the pre-trained GPT-3 model, we leverage the API that Open AI
released in early 2020. Following GPT-2 which was initially not publicly
released to prevent potential harm from misuse of its powerful architecture, this
API was released to control potential harmful use of the model, such as spam-
ming or harassment. The API provides access to three different versions of the
model: “ada,” “babbage,” “curie,” and “davinci.” “Ada” is the fastest and cheap-
est model, which can perform well on simple classification tasks, “babbage” and
“curie” can perform more nuanced tasks and perform better on more compli-
cated tasks, and, finally, “davinci” is the largest (175 billion parameters), most
powerful, longest to train, and most expensive of the available models. In this
study, we used the “ada” version, as we try to validate the ability of the model
to learn with a limited amount of available data. In the future, some of the more
powerful models can be tested.
Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research on the Sustainable Development Goals 453
5.1 Parsing Papers
As shown in Table 3, the dataset used for training and testing of the binary classifi-
cation is highly imbalanced and favored the “0” class examples, which meant that a
dataset label name was not present in the paragraph. This was detrimental to binary
classifier performance. We used random under-sampling to remove majority class
(“0”) examples until there was greater parity between the “0” class and “1” class.
Several machine learning models with different word representations and one
deep learning model, XLNet, are compared for the binary text classification. The
results are presented in Table 4. XLNet shows the best performance, with 95%
recall on non-interesting paragraphs and 92% precision on the interesting ones. The
TF-IDF with RF shows comparable performance. For this step, we are most inter-
ested in having a high precision in identifying paragraphs with dataset mentions,
which make the two models mentioned above great candidate generation models,
capable of discarding the majority of useless paragraphs (95% for XLNet), without
losing many interesting ones. XLNet is the model that is used to generate the candi-
dates that are used for the NER annotations.
Table 2 Success rate in the extraction of metadata from the 10 k corpus of papers
Authors Abstract Titles Affiliations
0.93 0.91 0.96 0.80
Table 3 Dataset imbalance and random under-sampling. Positive class examples refer to
paragraphs where the dataset label name is present and labelled as a “1” for binary classification
Total Positive class Ratio of positive class/total
paragraphs examples (“1) paragraph
Original dataset random 31,248 2281 7.3%
under-sampling 5281 2281 43.2%
454 A. Spezzatti et al.
Table 4 Binary text classifier with different types of models. We tested support vector machines,
logistic regression, naive Bayes, and random forest in combination with TF-IDF. XLNet results are
also shown
Recall Precision F1 score Accuracy
0 1 0 1 0 1
TF-IDF/SVM 0.92 0.75 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.80 0.85
TF-IDF/LR 0.93 0.67 0.80 0.86 0.86 0.75 0.82
TF-IDF/NB 0.93 0.66 0.80 0.87 0.86 0.75 0.82
TF-IDF/RF 0.94 0.73 0.83 0.89 0.88 0.80 0.85
XLNet 0.95 0.75 0.83 0.92 0.88 0.79 0.86
Table 5 Comparison of precision, recall, and F1 scores results on the test set for the three NER
models trained
Model Precision Recall F1
GLOVE 400 k voc + Bi-LSTM CRF 0.78 0.60 0.68
GLOVE 1.9 M voc + Bi-LSTM CRF 0.88 0.74 0.80
BERT base uncased 0.75 0.91 0.82
We compared our results on dataset names NER across the different models used.
The metrics used to evaluate performances are precision, recall, and F1 score. For
this work recall has a particular importance as the goal is to be able to retrieve as
many dataset’s mentions as we can, knowing that we can always clean the extracted
list afterward.
The main results of our experiments are presented on Table 5. Using a word
embedding with a larger vocabulary size improves by 14% the recall score and by
12% the F1 score. We trained our models on 8 CPUs. The BERT architecture was
longer to train, requiring 350% more time to train on the same dataset with the same
number of epochs and batch size, compared to the LSTM with GLOVE 1.9 M
embedding. With the Bi-LSTM we obtain an 80% F1 score with a good precision
but a limited recall below 75%.
The BERT base uncased fine-tuned model, while showing a lower precision
score than the Bi-LSTM CRF, outperformed it on F1 and more importantly on
recall, which is our metrics of interest. With 82% F1 and 91% recall, the results
demonstrate the capability of the model to retrieve efficiently the dataset name
information. Further improvement of the model is still limited by the size of the
training set, and additional annotations will be needed to improve these results and
validate their generalization. For this we plan to focus our efforts on improving the
active learning strategy and annotate a more diverse dataset across SDG areas.
Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research on the Sustainable Development Goals 455
Table 6 Comparison of precision, recall, and F1 scores results on the test set for the text
categorization model
SDG Recall Precision F1
SDG1 0.64 0.86 0.74
SDG2 0.36 0.57 0.44
SDG3 0.67 0.43 0.58
SDG4 0.13 0.20 0.16
SDG5 0.71 0.63 0.67
SDG7 0.50 0.25 0.33
SDG8 0.50 0.40 0.44
SDG10 0.42 0.56 0.48
SDG12 0.13 0.25 0.16
SDG13 0.56 0.42 0.48
SDG14 0.14 0.50 0.22
SDG15 0.46 0.55 0.50
SDG16 0.50 0.50 0.50
5.4 Classification by SDGs
The proportion of annotated SDG by goal is variable, with most SDGs annotated
being SDG 1, SDG 3, SDG 8, and SDG 10 (Fig. 3).
The results of the text categorization model on 13 of the 17 classes are shown on
Table 6. The four goals not included here did not have enough training examples for
the model to learn. The performances vary greatly across the goals, with a better
456 A. Spezzatti et al.
performance on those with the more training data available, SDG1 and SDG3. The
model understandably struggled to learn well for more than half of the SDGs,
because the variability of the subjects and contexts related to these goals was not
covered with the limited data available.
The weighted average F1 score across the 13 goals is 0.47. The interesting results
here are for SDG 1, the SDG for which we had more annotated data. Even though
recall is still a bit low, the precision and F1 obtained are good and can probably be
further improved. What these results demonstrate is that by collecting more data,
probably targeting at least 500 training samples for each goal, we should be able to
achieve good performances on the paper categorization task. We may still observe
variability due to the ambiguity and complexity of the context to learn behind each
goal, as can be noted across goals with similar amounts of data. For example, SDG
4, 5, 8, and 10 had a comparable training size, but SDG 5 outperformed the others,
while SDG 4 underperformed. There may be several explanations for this. First, the
quality of the annotated data, to have a robust model, we need to have sufficient
diversity and coverage of relevant topics for each goal. For example, for SDG 4,
some relevant topics are literacy, numeracy, scholarships, teaching, or access to
education facilities. Several hundreds or thousands of papers may be necessary to
cover these. Another explanation for this variability can be the noise included in the
data. An important number of these papers were covering more than one goal at the
same time, making it harder to distinguish the individual contextual elements, espe-
cially when two goals frequently appear together like SDG 1 with SDG 10 or SDG
4 with SDG 11.
5.5 Discussion
In development of the SDG data catalog, a few elements still need to be developed.
An entity linking model will be created on top of the NER in order to disambiguate
dataset names identified from the NER and link them to a unique identifier within a
knowledge base. A user interface will also be created and will be free and openly
accessible online. We plan to have it deployed and available in 2022.
The retrieved datasets are validated for their quality and relevance to current
research. They are evaluated for update frequency, accessibility, ownership, and
completeness. Some of these evaluations, like accessibility and frequency, still need
to be done manually at this time, but we plan to automate some of them in the future.
In a recent work, researchers have shown that large AI models trained on mil-
lions on parameters with huge datasets can emit more 600 k pounds of carbon diox-
ide equivalent (Strubell et al. 2019). Knowing this issue, we tried to limit, in certain
ways, the environmental impact of our work. First, using active learning to annotate
the data allowed the models to learn from a smaller dataset, which was collected to
maximize the information that each new data point adds. Eventually, we trained our
models on a few tens of thousands of examples. Once the catalog is in production,
Sailing the Data Sea to Advance Research on the Sustainable Development Goals 457
we plan to monitor and measure the carbon emissions and sustainability impact of
maintaining the platform and models using existing cloud solutions.
As described in the SDG classification section, the availability of data varies by
goal. Therefore, not all goals will have the same number of datasets retrieved. While
this may create a bias toward goals with more available data and existing literature,
we believe this would be limited as the catalog is intended to bring visibility to
existing resources, while recognizing where there may be missing elements. Not all
goals will ultimately benefit from data science and AI equally, as some goals may
require more qualitative research, policy engagement or low-tech solutions.
Recent statistics have shown that the research community is generating more and
more publications and data each year, estimated at more than 2.5 M new publica-
tions each year by the World Bank.12 Researchers can easily be overwhelmed by the
information as this makes it even more difficult to navigate the data sea and identify
what is important. At the same time, work on sustainable development is becoming
more urgent, as the new IPCC report suggests, and we need to make it easier for
people to access relevant data resources.
In this paper, we described the methodology of a system in active development,
the SDG Data Catalog. This system will support the research community to work
and advance on the 17 SDGs. We presented the different steps of our pipeline to
extract dataset names. We first showed how a binary classifier was able to efficiently
extract candidate paragraphs, by comparing different machine learning methodolo-
gies. The XLNet model and RF model with TF-IDF representation showed the best
performance and good ability to filter out useless paragraphs without missing too
many relevant ones. From these paragraphs, we used NER to extract dataset name
entities. Two state-of-the-art deep learning models have shown good performances
in this task: a Bi-LSTM with CRF network and a BERT fine-tuned on this task.
While the results demonstrate that we can identify an important proportion of the
datasets, we can still further improve the models and validate the generalization of
the results to more papers. For this, adding more information with more annotations
will be critical, and improving the active learning strategy is an important element
in making this efficient.
The main contributions of this paper are the establishment of a new baseline
recall score and F1 score for the dataset name identification task using BERT. We
also established new methodologies for extracting relevant research articles, parsing
them, and extracting paragraph candidates from them using a binary classifier.
Finally, we also presented results on categorizing articles according to the SDGs,
12
The World Bank, https://www.worldbank.org
458 A. Spezzatti et al.
which will help organize datasets into knowledge networks, and showed that with
additional annotated data, good results can be obtained.
It has been 6 years since the implementation of the SDGs started, and we are
9 years away from the actual target date, and much of the data is either not available,
not findable, or even out of date. In order to accelerate the development of sustain-
able solutions, there is an urgent need for a unified structured catalog of available
data. This will not only accelerate the development of AI solutions for the SDGs but
also highlight gaps in the data that are missing to work toward certain indicators
and goals.
As a recent study demonstrated (Allen et al. 2021), there are already a wide range
of datasets identified that are relevant to the SDGs and that could help monitor 15 of
the goals and 69 of the indicators. This does not include all datasets that are used for
publications and that are hidden in huge amounts of published papers. The actual
potential of the existing data is therefore even higher and could be enhanced in the
years to come once gaps are identified. This is the goal of the SDG Data Catalog to
holistically shed light on these datasets.
Once the data are identified, important work must also be done to understand the
quality, validity, and impact of the datasets. Biases inherent in the datasets, such as
in some healthcare data that discriminate against certain ethnicities, must also be
identified. With this additional information, researchers and decision-makers can be
informed more effectively about the important datasets to use. SDGs can also be
more efficiently monitored across the world by tracking local indexes and metrics,
informing about progress.
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An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions
to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11)
S. Gupta (*)
Bonn Alliance for Sustainability Research, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
Detecon International GmbH, Berlin, Germany
e-mail: [email protected]
A. Degbelo
Institute of Geoinformatics, University of Münster, Münster, Germany
e-mail: [email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023 461
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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21147-8_25
462 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
1 Introduction
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has the potential to mitigate several issues facing cities,
such as road safety, waste management, air pollution, and disaster risk reduction
(Gupta et al. 2021). Examples of recent AI systems for improved well-being in cit-
ies include a tool for semiautomatic digitization of sketch maps to support the inclu-
sion of indigenous communities through the documentation of their land rights
(Degbelo et al. 2021; Chipofya et al. 2020), a system for traffic monitoring based on
wireless signals (Gupta et al. 2018a), approaches for efficient waste management
(Barns 2019), air quality modelling (Gupta et al. 2018b) and urban health monitor-
ing systems (Allam and Jones 2020). Nonetheless, a lack of systemically observed
knowledge and multidisciplinary perspective exists with limited coherence about
the characteristics of AI contributions to sustainable cities (Zheng et al. 2020).
Furthermore, as Israilidis et al. (2021) argued, the current research landscape is
mainly focused on technical issues, leaving behind social impacts, participation
capabilities, and knowledge sharing aspects with multi-stakeholder and citizen-
inclusive development. Thus, the implementations of AI remain poorly understood.
To address this gap, this chapter looks into AI systems that contribute to advanc-
ing sustainable cities in several ways serving the Sustainable Development Goal
(SDG) 11 proposed by the United Nations (UN) within the 2030 Agenda. The ques-
tion asked is what are AI4SG contributions for more sustainable cities in the digital
age? AI4SG is defined in line with Cowls et al. (2021a) as the development of AI
systems that enable socially preferable or environmentally sustainable develop-
ments. We look into the nature of the contribution of AI systems to more sustainable
cities (what solution is proposed, to whom, and where) and the SDG indicators
covered (which indicators are covered, which are still underrepresented). The analy-
sis also covers the six citizen-centric challenges for smarter cities brought forth in
Degbelo et al. (2016): the engagement of citizens, the improvement of citizens’ data
literacy, the pairing of quantitative and qualitative data to unlock new insight about
city phenomena, the development of open standards, the development of personal
services, and the development of persuasive interfaces, which can be supportive of
inclusive progress towards SDG 11.
2 Related Work
Cities are complex structures, growing worldwide at a fast pace (Batty 2009).
Commuter movement, capital flow, resources, and commodities lead to the emer-
gence of city regions (Axinte et al. 2019). Due to increasing population size, den-
sity, and location, cities are also prone to adverse effects such as soil, air, and water
pollution and impacts of climate change, affecting surrounding rural areas. Prompt
action is required in the form of new and innovative infrastructures and services for
An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11) 463
addressing the increasing demands coupled with environmental and climate change
impacts (Solecki et al. 2018).
Urban areas are increasingly digitalized over the last few decades due to signifi-
cant advancements in digital technologies (Ismagilova et al. 2019). Cities are con-
sidered as the drivers for change and innovation (Fitjar and Rodríguez-Pose 2020).
Several innovative approaches are being developed to gather detailed insights and
opportunities for the planning and management of cities (Sharda et al. 2021; Rogers
et al. 2020). Notions such as smart cities touched upon several dimensions or appli-
cation domains where technological infrastructure, system integration, and data
analysis can help us optimize resources in cities (Ismagilova et al. 2019). At the
same time, cities are also trying to reconfigure themselves for a sustainable future,
with the aim to improve the quality of life for all citizens (Barlacchi et al. 2015;
Bibri 2021). The importance of cities is well recognized by the internationally
agreed Agenda 2030 Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement to reduce
the impact of climate change (Aust 2019). In fact, two-thirds of all Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) can only be achieved in and with the help of cities
(Acuto 2016). Emphasizing the opportunities offered by digital technologies at a
city scale can significantly contribute towards the progress of sustainable develop-
ment in line with the 2030 Agenda.
Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning approaches are emerging as criti-
cal components for a smart and sustainable future by optimizing the services and
addressing several social, environmental, and economic aspects in the cities (Allam
and Dhunny 2019). Thus, they could support progress towards SDG 11 (i.e., “make
cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable”). AI is foster-
ing further advancements in technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT),
blockchain, robotics, precision health, and quantum computing (Firouzi et al. 2021;
Dinh and Thai 2018; Rajan and Saffiotti 2017; Tajunisa et al. 2021; Dai 2019), help-
ing in making sense of large quantities of data by utilizing the innovation ecosys-
tems that majorly exist in cities (Rabah 2018). AI is instrumental in advancing the
digitization processes in several cities (Sougkakis et al. 2020; Villagra et al. 2020;
Majumdar et al. 2021), transforming them into more inclusive and sustainable envi-
ronments. Advancements in Earth Observation (EO) technologies empowered with
artificial intelligence (AI) is supporting various aspects of cities (Kuffer et al. 2020,
2021). From land use and pollutants monitoring in cities to supporting efficient
energy and resource consumption (Yatoo et al. 2020; Shahid et al. 2021; Șerban and
Lytras 2020), AI provides us with the opportunities to address complex social
inequalities and environmental interrelationships. Therefore, AI could be consid-
ered a crucial tool for addressing a wide array of challenges for future sustainable
cities. Given the complexity and challenges of rapid urbanization, exploring the
464 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
wide range of potential solutions across several domains may be desirable, as evi-
dent from the work mentioned above.
The possibilities offered by AI can only be utilized to their full potential for
SDGs if the ethical, social, and environmental values are uniformly met (Hilbert
2016; Gupta et al. 2021). The targets within the SDGs are intertwined as a unified
framework in the form of 17 goals, forming an “indivisible whole” (Nilsson et al.
2016). The goals and the targets are interlinked and depend on each other; but the
views on how they are linked are still evolving (Nilsson et al. 2016; Vinuesa et al.
2020). Also, the capacity for integrating and intersecting intelligence from diverse
domains for AI applications is growing. AI applications have the potential to make
a significant contribution when several complex aspects are well integrated into the
system for more inclusive action (Allam and Dhunny 2019). There also exists a
significant gap between cities having not made sufficient progress in such digitiza-
tion sphere, creating a social divide and increasing inequalities (Reddick et al. 2020;
Chase 2020). The introduction of AI also risks amplifying some social and ethical
challenges such as unfair bias, discrimination, or opacity in decision-making (Galaz
et al. 2021). AI systems also require large amounts of energy and cause greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions (Taddeo et al. 2021; van Wynsberghe 2021). Thus, highlight-
ing that the application of AI and associated technologies, if not used mindfully,
could also hurt social and economic aspects along with impacts on climate, biodi-
versity, and ecosystems around the world (van Wynsberghe 2021). Therefore, it is
crucial to be careful of the application of AI to ensure that efforts to harness the
advantages of this technology outweigh its associated negative impacts.
The aim of SDG 11 includes encouraging the development of cities and communi-
ties in a more inclusive, safe, resilient, and sustainable manner by making urbaniza-
tion more inclusive for stakeholders, reducing the adverse effects of natural disasters,
furthering local to global policies for sustainable development. SDG 11 addresses
the urban level with 10 targets and 15 indicators developed by the United Nations
(2015). Implementation pathways lack comprehensive understanding, as coordina-
tion is required in terms of efforts from various stakeholders, embracing flexible and
adaptive processes to accommodate changing circumstances, and allocating
resources to address uncertain future threats, especially in the context of resilience
(Croese et al. 2020). Limited evidence exists about the integration of genuine sus-
tainability when we are more techno-centric, suggesting a knowledge-based devel-
opment to address the existing complexities (Yigitcanlar et al. 2019). AI could
support the progress of SDG11 through new solutions that enhance the food, health,
transport, water, and energy services to the population. However, to date, less atten-
tion has been paid to the involvement of citizens in the process (Martens 2019),
which has enormous potential to contribute towards the SDGs progress by localiza-
tion (Li et al. 2018).
An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11) 465
AI systems enabling citizen participation can enhance the action towards sustain-
ability through the collection of timely, high-resolution data, which could enhance
the knowledge base required for SDGs progress (Fritz et al. 2019). Social and cul-
tural information dictates the context in which the AI is implemented. Citizen par-
ticipation provides the public with the opportunity to support policy development,
leading to trust-building, credibility, and ultimately inclusiveness in taking actions
towards SDGs. SDGs require actions that can transform existing practices across
sectors. Fraisl et al. (2020) demonstrate that citizen participation “could contribute”
to 76 indicators (33%) of SDGs, coverage of 60% indicators of SDG 11. It is crucial
to integrate citizen-centric pathways to balance technological, social, and environ-
mental factors (Kirwan and Zhiyong 2020). The experientially trained or traditional
or local knowledge from citizens could be a valuable source for addressing concerns
related to disaster (Munsaka and Dube 2018), urban planning (Antweiler 2019), and
environmental monitoring along with climate change mitigation (Makondo and
Thomas 2018; Magni 2017). Citizen participation could act as relevant agents of
change to mobilizing civil society for targets and indicators concerning sustainable
consumption (Micheletti et al. 2014), air quality monitoring (Gupta et al. 2018b),
disaster risk mitigation (Ferri et al. 2020), and sustainable and inclusive urbaniza-
tion (Newman et al. 2020). Multi-stakeholder participation and citizen-centered
knowledge hubs could be instrumental for sustainable cities (Saner et al. 2020).
2.3 Exiting Gaps
AI is not the sole solution for developing sustainable cities, but as illustrated above,
efforts to use AI for sustainable cities are increasing rapidly. These could help
address complex challenges faced by humanity in social, environmental, and eco-
nomic aspects (Vinuesa et al. 2020). If utilized carefully, outcomes supportive of
sustainable development can be harnessed at a grand scale. Therefore, it is essential
to learn the impact of AI as a tool for global good in a more systematic manner.
Understanding this impact requires an understanding of factors that determine the
advantage of using AI considered in a particular context as a part of sociotechnical
systems (Cowls et al. 2021b). The SDGs here may provide a useful framework.
Nevertheless, SDGs are sometimes considered ambitious and wide-ranging
(Pekmezovic 2019). This ambitious and wide-ranging nature also inspires and stim-
ulates action for sustainable development (Walker et al. 2019). Several systematic
approaches were undertaken in the recent past to gather evidence of the use of AI for
SDGs worldwide, resulting in the generation of datasets and knowledge bases orga-
nized in different forms, presenting a distinct picture of the impact AI has on SDGs
(Vinuesa et al. 2020; Tomašev et al. 2020; Cowls et al. 2021b; Palomares et al.
2021). However, it is imperative to note that these studies reflect on the impact of AI
for SDGs at a high level and often include evidence from experimental closed sys-
tems. A deeper analysis is required to understand the role of different actors, practi-
tioners, impacts, social implications, and contribution of AI to specific sub-goals of
466 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
3 Method
11.5 => (climate change and environment), 11.6 => (climate change and envi-
ronment), 11.7 => (society), 11.a => (NA), 11.b => (NA), and 11.c => (NA).
As a result, we searched for the project deliverables, project publications, and
exploitation results related to the themes “Transport and Mobility,” “Climate
Change and Environment,” and “Society.” “Artificial intelligence” or AI system can
be defined in many ways as shown in (Samoili et al. 2020). Hence, the search for
AI-related work in the CORDIS database was done using a variety of keywords. We
have used two sources for these keywords: keywords pointing at the subdomains of
AI suggested by the Joint Research Centre (Samoili et al. 2020) and keywords from
the AI Glossary by (Hutson 2017). The search strings used were:
• JRC subdomains search string: “Knowledge representation” or “Automated rea-
soning” or “Common sense reasoning” or “Planning” or “Scheduling” or
“Searching” or “Optimisation” or “Computer vision” or “Audio processing” or
“Multi-agent systems” or “Robotics” or “Automation” or “Connected vehicles”
or “Automated vehicles” or “AI Services” or “AI Ethics” or “Philosophy AI.”
• AI glossary search string: “Algorithm” or “Backpropagation” or “Black Box” or
“Deep Learning” or “Expert System” or “Generative Adversarial Networks” or
“Machine Learning” or “Natural Language Processing” or “Neural Network” or
“Neuromorphic Chip” or “Perceptron” or “Reinforcement Learning” or “Strong
AI” or “Supervised Learning” or “Tensorflow” or “Transfer Learning” or
“Turing Test.”
The search on October 3, 2021 returned 333 results.
Step 3: Filtering. The results obtained from the CORDIS database were filtered to
keep only the projects that have developed AI systems. At this stage, some out-
comes (N = 320) from the previous step were excluded, and N = 13 results were
included in the final analysis. 16 projects were identified from the AIxSDG data-
base. At the end of this step, 29 projects remained (see Table 1), which were
included in the final analysis.
Step 4: Coding. For each project selected (steps 1 and 3), we coded the nature of the
contribution (what solution is proposed, to whom, and where), the SDG indica-
tors covered (the indicators to which the AI system proposed is relevant), and the
citizen-centric challenges to which the AI system is relevant. The coding was
done deductively and went through many iterations (i.e., the categories were
defined a priory based on the existing scientific and grey literature, and we
remained open to extending the original list during the coding if some categories
were missed).
Autonomous vehicle (i.e., self-driving cars, autonomous drones). As for the benefi-
ciary, we used a relatively coarse categorization based on who pays for the product
or system: companies/businesses, government/public sector, and citizens. Prototypes
developed during research projects, unless they have a dedicated citizen focus, fell
under the category of government/public sector. Deciding on the cities where the
solution was deployed proved to be a challenge because of the varying level of
468 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
Table 1 Overview of the projects and their contributions. Legend: G/PS (government/public
sector), C/B (company/business), AI4SDG (data from the AI4SDG database), CORDIS-G (data
from the CORDIS database, obtained after the search using the keywords from the AI Glossary,
CORDIS-J (data from the CORDIS database, obtained after the search using the keywords from
the JRC)
Key
Project name Type of system beneficiary Target Social impact Dataset
IRBin Robot C/B 11.6 Efficient municipal AI4SDG
waste management
Prometea Software G/PS 11.b Resource efficiency AI4SDG
application (substantial time
savings) in the
judicial system
Brightics AI Software C/B 11.5 Enhanced risk AI4SDG
application analysis (natural
disasters, weather,
social issues)
National Fine Dust Software G/PS, 11.6 Improved citizens’ AI4SDG
Forecast Project application, citizens protection against air
analysis model pollutants
Ennet Eye Software C/B 11.b Enhanced building AI4SDG
application energy management
AIxAI Software C/B 11.b Efficient resource AI4SDG
application distribution
(transportation,
energy)
UNIST Heatwave Analysis model G/PS 11.3 Better informed AI4SDG
Research human settlement
planning
FiveAI Autonomous G/PS, 11.2 Enhanced public AI4SDG
vehicle citizens transportation
infrastructure
Optibus Software C/B 11.2 Optimized transit in AI4SDG
application cities
Seneka Robot G/PS 11.5 Faster disaster rescue AI4SDG
operations
Breeze Software citizens, G/ 11.6 Better informed air AI4SDG
application PS quality monitoring
Qucit Software citizens, G/ 11.7 Improved resource AI4SDG
application PS finding (parking
spaces, bikes)
RUBSEE Robot C/B 11.6 Improved waste AI4SDG
treatment
AMP Robotics Robot C/B 11.6 More efficient AI4SDG
recycling (plastic,
metals)
DiDi Smart Software G/PS 11.2 Enhanced AI4SDG
Transportation Brain application transportation
services
(continued)
An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11) 469
Table 1 (continued)
Key
Project name Type of system beneficiary Target Social impact Dataset
Dynamic and Analysis model G/PS 11.5 Enhanced risk AI4SDG
Robust Wildfire analysis (wildfire)
Risk Prediction
System
MEDACTION 4 Analysis G/PS 11.3 Desertification CORDIS-G
model, management
software strategies
application
CLEOPATRA Software G/PS 11.5 Enhanced oil CORDIS-G
application pollution monitoring
REVAMP Software G/PS 11.5 Better informed CORDIS-G
application coastal disaster
emergency
management
DAYWATER Software G/PS 11.5 Improved urban CORDIS-G
application storm water
monitoring
ENVISNOW Analysis G/PS 11.5 Enhanced modelling CORDIS-G
model, of snowmelt
algorithm
FLOODMAN Analysis model G/PS 11.5 Improved monitoring CORDIS-G
of water bodies
Cybermove Autonomous G/PS 11.2 Enhanced public CORDIS-J
vehicle transportation
infrastructure
geoland Analysis model G/PS 11.3 Geoinformation CORDIS-J
services for land
monitoring
SITAR Software G/PS 11.6 Improved monitoring CORDIS-J
application of toxic waste
CAMELS Analysis model G/PS 11.3 Estimation of CORDIS-J
terrestrial carbon sink
MEGAFIRES Analysis model G/PS 11.5 Improved risk CORDIS-J
estimation (wildfire)
ECOSIM Analysis model G/PS 11.6 Improved air quality CORDIS-J
forecasting
SPHERE Analysis G/PS 11.5 Enhanced flood risk CORDIS-J
model, estimation
software
application
granularities at which the projects were documented. At times, the location where
the solution was deployed was not at all reported. At other times, the solution was
deployed in several cities (again here, datasets on the exact locations where it has
been deployed were not available or sparsely available). For this reason, we had to
resort to some simple rules: (1) include the city when it is explicitly mentioned in
470 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
the project description or some supplementary material (e.g., demo video) on the
Web; (2) when the system has been deployed in many cities (e.g., the Optibus
project),1 the city of the headquarter is used as a location for the project; and (3)
research projects documented in the CORDIS database often did not report on the
deployment sites or had used several sites for cross-validation as is typically the
case for European projects. Consistent with the use of the headquarter of the com-
panies above, we have used the headquarters’ location of the coordinating institu-
tion of the project. The list of SDG indicators was taken from the UNDESA SDG
Indicators Metadata repository (United Nations Department of Economic and
Social Affairs (UNDESA) 2015; UNDESA Statistics Division 2021). Finally, the
definition of citizen-centric challenges was taken from (Degbelo et al. 2016): deep
participation (i.e., working with citizens, not only for them), the data-literate citi-
zenry (i.e., promotion of data literacy skills and the fostering of digital inclusion),
pairing quantitative and qualitative data (i.e., the combination of quantitative data
with volunteered geographic information by users that is typically qualitative), open
standards (i.e., data available as open data, along with the development or promo-
tion of open standards for data collection, analysis, storage, and sharing), personal
services (i.e., services adaptive to the abilities, expertise, and needs of individual
users), and persuasive interface (i.e., interfaces that raise awareness about, stimu-
late, or encourage change towards more sustainable behaviors). The results of the
coding are presented next.
4 Results
We now report on the outcomes of the coding process. The reporting presents some
descriptive statistics about the geographic distribution of the projects examined,
their key beneficiary, the type of system developed, the target and indicators for
which they are relevant, and the citizen-centric challenges they connect to.
Interpreting the data and providing some speculative implications is done in Sect. 5.
To facilitate readability, the name of the project is left in CAPITALS when the origi-
nal project acronym was provided in capitals. Else the name of the project is
italicized.
1
https://www.aiforsdgs.org/all-projects/optibus
An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11) 471
Figure 1 shows the geographic distribution of the different projects. A safe interpre-
tation of this map (given the different possible interpretations of location, see the
discussion in Sect. 3) is that it gives an idea about where past/ongoing AI-powered
projects related to the SDG 11 have been initiated.
The majority of the projects (76%) in the datasets were targeted at the government
or the public sector. Examples of this type of project include the Prometea project
that led to substantial time savings in the Argentinian judicial system, projects that
try to enhance the public transportation infrastructure through the use of autono-
mous cars (e.g., Cybermove, FiveAI), and several projects that attempt to address the
problem of environmental monitoring from different angles (e.g., ENVISNOW for
monitoring snowmelt, CAMELS for monitoring terrestrial carbon sink, and SPHERE
for flood risk estimation). 24% of the projects targeted improvements for compa-
nies/businesses. Examples of these projects include those attempt to address the
issue of efficient energy management in cities (e.g., Ennet Eye for building energy
management, AIxAI for efficient transportation/energy resource distribution) and
projects that attempt to improve waste treatment and management (e.g., the IRBin,
RUBSEE). Overall, only a few projects (10%) can be said to address the needs of the
civil society: Qucit has developed tools to facilitate the finding of parking spaces
and bikes in cities; the National Fine Dust Forecast Project provided applications to
inform citizens about the concentration of air pollutants, helping thereby better pro-
tect themselves against these pollutants; and the Breeze project strives to provide
better information about air quality through its platform.
4.3 Types of Systems
Robots (14%) are one type of AI contribution to more sustainable cities. They have
been deployed to facilitate waste management (as done, for instance, in the RUBSEE,
AMP Robotics, and IRBin projects) or to facilitate rescue operations during disaster
management (e.g., the Seneka project). Other contributions are made in the form of
software applications, for instance, to facilitate data analysis through an (analytics)
platform (see the Brightics AI project) or to speed up work in the judicial domain
(e.g., the Prometea project). Software application contributions were more frequent
in the dataset (52%). Another type of contribution (38%) is in the form of analysis
models (e.g., to predict heatwaves, see the UNIST Heatwave Research project). 2
projects (Cybermove and FiveAI) are concerned with self-driving cars, and one
472 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
Fig. 1 Geographic distribution of the places where projects in the datasets have been initiated
(top: overview; middle: zoom on central European Countries; bottom: zoom on Asian Countries)
An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11) 473
project (i.e., the ENVISNOW project) proposed an algorithm to retrieve snow depth
by using artificial neural networks and multifrequency radiometric data from
satellites.
Target 11.5 appears more frequently (34%) in the dataset as a result of several proj-
ects dealing with disaster mitigation and management as a use case, e.g., the Seneka
project mentioned above, the Dynamic and Robust Wildfire Risk Prediction System
(predicting wildfire risk from weather data, see (Salehi et al. 2016)), the MEGAFiReS
project (fire monitoring with remote sensing images), the FLOODMAN project
(flood monitoring), and the CLEOPATRA project (oil and marine pollution). A share
of projects (21%) is concerned with shaping more environmentally friendly cities
(SDG Target 11.6) through improved waste management/treatment (e.g., IRBin,
AMP Robotics, SITAR) or providing “better” information regarding the quality of
the air (e.g., the National Fine Dust Forecast Project or Breeze). Our sample had an
equal share of projects dedicated to Target 11.2 (sustainable transport systems,
14%) and Target 11.3 (sustainable human settlement planning, 14%). Past/ongoing
AI systems relevant to Target 11.2 have been introduced (or are being explored) to
optimize transit in cities (e.g., the Optibus project), expand the existing transporta-
tion infrastructure through the use of autonomous vehicles (e.g., Cybermove,
FiveAI), or services to facilitate the management of the traffic flow (e.g., DiDi Smart
Transportation Brain). The four projects relevant to Target 11.3 in our sample con-
tributed with management strategies for desertification (e.g., MEDACTION 4), tools
to inform improved human settlement planning (e.g., the UNIST Heatwave Research
project), and built tools/models that could be used for improved urban planning
(e.g., geoland proposed the Observatory Spatial Planning to “put[…] urban growth
on the map,” and CAMELS proposed models for the terrestrial carbon sinks). The
remaining three projects contribute to more efficient resource management (i.e.,
Target 11.b for Ennet Eye and AIxAI) and the unlocking of new possibilities to
access urban spaces (i.e., Target 11.7 for Qucit). The connection of the AI projects
to the SDG11 targets is shown in Fig. 2.
Fig. 2 Projects in the dataset and their relevance to the SDG 11 targets
are not covered currently. To inform future work along those lines, we report on why
these projects fit a target but do not fit an indicator.
• Ennet Eye (Target 11.b): the system proposed detects “problems such as the
unnecessary use of electricity and presents the economic burden and possible
solutions to the problems in order to improve energy efficiency”.2 As such, it is a
useful solution towards sustainable resource usage, but none of the two Indicators
11.b.1 (number of countries that adopt national disaster risk reduction strategies)
and 11.b.2 (proportion of local governments that adopt and implement local
disaster risk reduction in line with national disaster risk reduction strategies)
would have done justice to that aspect of sustainable electricity usage in the city.
This would have fallen rather under SDG7. Target 7.3 reads: “By 2030, double
the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency,” and the Indicator 7.3.1
reads: “Energy intensity measured in terms of primary energy and GDP.” A ques-
tion this raises is whether or not some indicators directly relevant to energy effi-
ciency are needed for monitoring progress on sustainable cities.
• AIxAI (Target 11.b): The project allows “real-time area management for efficient
resource distribution”.3 Examples of “resources” mentioned in the project
description include air conditioning, operation of elevators and escalators, and
cleaning and personnel costs. The argument stated above regarding indicators
related to the improved energy efficiency in cities applies.
• Prometea (Target 11.b): the project achieved substantial time-saving gains
through the introduction of digitization/AI in the judicial system.4 This is an
2
https://www.aiforsdgs.org/all-projects/ennet-eye-powered-energylink
3
https://www.aiforsdgs.org/all-projects/aixai-area-information-x-artificial-intelligence
4
https://medium.com/astec/prometea-artificial-intelligence-in-the-judicial-system-of-argentina-
4dfbde079c4
An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11) 475
Fig. 3 Projects in the dataset and their relevance to the SDG11 indicators
5
https://www.aiforsdgs.org/all-projects/unist-heatwave-research-national-heat-wave-policy
6
https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/502871/results
7
https://cordis.europa.eu/article/id/85263-estimating-europes-carbon-dioxide-fluxes
476 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
5 Discussion
5.1 Key Takeaways
As for the geographic distribution, there are some notable disparities, with Europe
over-represented in this dataset and the rest of the world having fewer contributions.
This may be a feature of the dataset or a true indication that other countries/conti-
nents are doing less regarding AI contributions to more sustainable cities. At this
point, we attribute our observations to the fact that half of the data items came from
the CORDIS database, which biases it automatically towards European cities. The
value of this work is to have provided a snapshot that could be extended towards a
more comprehensive picture of AI contributions to more sustainable cities
worldwide.
Regarding the SDG targets and indicators, a noteworthy observation is that some
targets did not appear at all in the sample. This is the case for Target 11.1 (safe and
affordable housing), Target 11.4 (protection of the world’s cultural and natural heri-
tage), Target 11.a (strengthening economic, social and environmental links between
urban, peri-urban, and rural areas), and Target 11.c (support least developed coun-
tries in building sustainable and resilient buildings utilizing local materials). There
are also two possible options: these areas have indeed received little attention so far
(and hence it is worth exploring the opportunities of digitization to provide some
8
See http://daywater.in2p3.fr/EN/guide/chapter6.php
An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11) 477
added value), or the observation is a feature of the bias of the current dataset.
Another takeaway from the dataset is that AI systems have indeed contributed to
tackling issues of sustainable cities in several ways: waste management, air quality
monitoring (and more broadly environmental monitoring), disaster response man-
agement, and transportation management. Given that AI systems are on the rise, it
can be expected that their number in the areas just mentioned and other areas of
sustainable development will increase. Thus, it could be useful to explore ways of
documenting best practices for AI implementation/deployment/use in these differ-
ent areas. The issue is by no means trivial. There are, as the data has shown, differ-
ent stakeholders with potentially conflicting interests (e.g., companies that may
want to preserve what works as a competitive advantage and research that wants to
make knowledge available to all).
Finally, a key takeaway regarding the citizen-centric challenges is that many
projects are still working for citizens (i.e., on their behalf) and not with them (i.e.,
actively involving them). A reason for this may be the fact that AI for social good is
still in its infancy. For instance, several projects mentioned in Sect. 3 dealt with
disaster mitigation. This is an endeavor for which the value of involving citizens has
been documented in the past (e.g., Zook et al. (2010)). It may be conjectured that as
the AI for social good initiatives mature, the involvement of citizens will become
more pronounced.
5.2 Limitations
A general limitation of the current work is that it has been only descriptive and not
explanatory (e.g., we can say little at the moment about why the state of affairs
observed has been observed). We have also mentioned that the dataset is biased
towards European cities. The method also has inherent limitations: (1) the assign-
ment of locations to the projects a posteriori was subject to some reasonable assump-
tions but was still arbitrary to some extent: having those locations assigned a priori
in a database would provide a more consistent picture of the geographical distribu-
tions; (2) the decision whether or not a project was AI-powered was made based on
the keywords from the AI Glossary and the JRC: it may well be that some authors
doing truly valuable AI work have not used these keywords in the descriptions used
for the assessment (i.e., CORDIS and AI4SDG); (3) many projects from the
CORDIS database were completed before 2015 when the SDG agenda was agreed
upon and thus did not have the SDG goals in mind; and (4) the mapping of the proj-
ects to the SDG was done to the most relevant target: it would have been equally
possible to list a project under several targets. Finally, we were deliberately inter-
ested in SDG11 and mapped the project to the targets and indicators related to
SDG11. The contributions of some of the projects apply to more than SDG11, and
extending our analysis might unveil interesting patterns about the synergies of
SDGs (e.g., which contributions apply to which SDGs simultaneously and which
SDGs share how many contributions more often).
478 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
5.3 Future Work
As AI for social good is a new area, the interesting question is that of the evaluation
of success. We have pondered this question at the beginning of the work but dropped
it from the analysis because it was unclear from the documentation of most projects
how the solutions were evaluated. In general, the task of empirically assessing the
contributions has proven more challenging than expected because of the lack of
homogeneous documentation. The present trend in literature also suggests the lack
of reporting towards carbon emission and energy consumption, suggesting adverse
impact to the sustainable development efforts (Henderson et al. 2020). There is thus
an opportunity for initiatives that (1) offer an ongoing call for AI4SDG projects and
(2) provide a simple, structured template for AI systems’ developers to document
the value of their work. Such initiatives will be critical in assessing where we are
and advancing the science of AI for social good.
6 Conclusion
Acknowledgments Dr. Shivam Gupta gratefully acknowledge funding provided by the German
Federal Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) for the project “digitainable.” Dr. Auriol
Degbelo gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Social Fund and the Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Innovation, Digitalization and Energy of the State of North Rhine-Westphalia
through the SmartLandMaps 2.0 project (EFRE-0400389).
An Empirical Analysis of AI Contributions to Sustainable Cities (SDG 11) 479
Appendices
In alphabetical order
• 11.b Substantially increase the number of cities and human settlements adopting
and implementing integrated policies and plans towards inclusion, resource effi-
ciency, mitigation and adaptation to climate change, resilience to disasters, and
develop and implement holistic disaster risk management at all levels.
• 11.2 Provide access to safe, affordable, accessible, and sustainable transport sys-
tems for all, improving road safety, notably by expanding public transport, with
special attention to the needs of those in vulnerable situations, women, children,
persons with disabilities, and older persons.
• 11.3 Enhance inclusive and sustainable urbanization and capacity for participa-
tory, integrated, and sustainable human settlement planning and management in
all countries.
• 11.5 Significantly reduce the number of deaths and the number of people affected
and substantially decrease the direct economic losses relative to global gross
domestic product caused by disasters, including water-related disasters, with a
focus on protecting the poor and people in vulnerable situations.
• 11.6 Reduce the adverse per capita environmental impact of cities, including by
paying special attention to air quality and municipal and other waste management.
• 11.7 Provide universal access to safe, inclusive, and accessible green and public
spaces, in particular for women and children, older persons, and persons with
disabilities.
In alphabetical order
• 11.2.1 Proportion of population that has convenient access to public transport, by
sex, age, and persons with disabilities
• 11.3.2 Proportion of cities with a direct participation structure of civil society in
urban planning and management that operate regularly and democratically
• 11.5.1 Number of deaths, missing persons, and directly affected persons attrib-
uted to disasters per 100,000 populations
• 11.5.2 Direct economic loss in relation to global GDP, damage to critical infra-
structure, and number of disruptions to basic services, attributed to disasters
• 11.6.1 Proportion of municipal solid waste collected and managed in controlled
facilities out of total municipal waste generated, by cities
480 S. Gupta and A. Degbelo
• 11.6.2 Annual mean levels of fine particulate matter (e.g., PM2.5 and PM10) in
cities (population weighted)
• 11.7.1 Average share of the built-up area of cities that is open space for public
use for all, by sex, age, and persons with disabilities
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Index
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Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023
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486 Index
407, 425, 431, 437, 443, 448, 456, 328–342, 348, 349, 352, 353, 357,
458, 462, 463, 465, 468, 469, 471, 385, 389, 394, 424, 425, 427, 444,
473, 475, 476, 478, 479 445, 457, 464, 465
Sustainable cities, 7, 26, 66, 75, 84, 171, 233,
277, 402, 425, 462–478
R Sustainable development, 4, 27, 44–46, 48, 50,
Rajesh, N., 140 53, 60, 69, 71, 83, 98, 110, 115,
Rangeland monitoring, 6, 400 116, 134, 141, 146, 148, 151, 152,
Ravallion, M., 99 162, 171–174, 184–199, 204–207,
Raworth, K., 123 212, 213, 220, 222, 223, 233, 240,
Restrepo, P., 186 245, 270–284, 328–332, 334, 335,
Reynolds, R.G., 329 340, 341, 348, 388, 400, 424, 429,
Riley, P., 255, 256, 261 437, 442, 457, 462–466,
Rubio, V., 382 476, 478
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), 4, 9,
35, 44, 66, 98, 116, 133, 168, 184,
S 204, 232, 254, 270, 292, 331, 348,
Saaty, T., 17, 366 366, 383, 400, 424, 462
Saaty, T.L., 369 Sustainable development goals index (SDGI),
Sætra, H.S., 240 6, 151–154, 424–426, 429, 431,
Say, E.M.P., 146–162 432, 435, 437, 438
Schulze, E., 244 Sustainable finance, 16–19, 204–223
SDG 2, 425 Sustainable Technology Board (STB), 13, 184,
SDG 11, 425, 462–478 186–189, 195, 196, 199
Self, 255, 256, 261 SusTech, 184–199
Serafeim, G., 211 SusTech solutions, 184–187, 190,
Sharma, 18 191, 193–199
Sierra, E.B., 140
Sierra, L.A., 10
Singha, N., 380–395 T
Sirmacek, B., 26, 66–85 Taddeo, M., 10–29
Sitra, 348 Tahhan, A.S., 297
Smith, K., 66–85 Tan, T.K., 98–111
Smith, M., 240 Taurino, G., 328–342
Snower, D., 193 Techno-colonialism, 49–52
Snow, J., 39 Teplov, R., 348–359
Social license, 6, 232–245 Thomson, I., 242
Soe, R.-M., 366–377 Timpson, W.M., 279
Sotelo, J., 185, 196 Treves, L., 348–359
Sottoriva, A. Dr., 293 Twomey, P., 193
Sperotto, A., 149
Spezzatti, A., 442–458
Stephenson, M., 13, 184–199 U
Stilgoe, J., 52 Umbrello, S., 16, 17, 236
Straub, V., 41 Urbinati, A., 353
Stroehle, J., 211
Strubell, E., 300
Stylianou-Lambert, T., 333, 334 V
Sustainability, 3, 6, 10, 15, 16, 25, 26, 28, 44, Value creation, 18, 348, 349, 352–356,
49, 52–56, 60, 78, 100, 111, 115, 358, 359
120, 146, 148, 151–154, 159–162, van de Poel, I., 236
174, 178, 186, 189, 195, 196, 198, Vapnik, V.N., 316
205, 206, 211, 212, 220, 221, 223, Victor, D.G., 40
239, 241–243, 245, 300, 301, Vinuesa, R., 10, 37, 66–85, 240
490 Index
W Y
Waal, A. de, 134 Yang, R., 108
Water, 6, 21, 27, 73, 74, 85, 104, 119, 120, Yarime, M., 184–199
125, 135, 152, 161, 178, 272, 273, Yaya, S., 103
277, 305–323, 356, 380, 381, 383, Yoo, Y., 349
387–389, 393, 402, 404–408, 410,
413, 415, 425, 446, 462, 464, 469
Weber, O., 204–223 Z
Whittaker, M., 49 Zaminpeyma, R., 442
Williams, C., 28 Zhan, J., 184–199
Wireless sensor network (WSN), 306, 307, Ziesche, S., 380–395
309, 310, 312 Zuboff, S., 49
Wyatt, L.G., 279