Business Plan I
Business Plan I
Forbes Advisor (2022), "Business Plan Executive Summary Example & Template"
<https://www.forbes.com/advisor/business/business-plan-executive-summary/>
Accessed September 13, 2023
Examples of Mission
To organize the To give people the To inspire and nurture To make it easy to do
world's information power to build the human spirit – one business anywhere.
and make it universally community and bring person, one cup and
accessible and useful. the world closer one neighborhood at
together. a time.
Example of an Executive Summary
Forbes Advisor (2022), "Business Plan Executive Summary Example & Template"
<https://www.forbes.com/advisor/business/business-plan-executive-summary/>
Accessed September 13, 2023
Example of an Executive Summary
Forbes Advisor (2022), "Business Plan Executive Summary Example & Template"
<https://www.forbes.com/advisor/business/business-plan-executive-summary/>
Accessed September 13, 2023
Market Needs Analysis
The market needs information are obtained from secondary data and primary
data:
Secondary data: Existing information that was previously gathered for a
purpose other than the study at hand
Primary data: New information that is collected for a particular purpose
Market Basket Analysis
Find out items that are frequently purchased together
Analyze the buying habits of customers
Discounts can be given, or the items can be put together in pairs to
increase the income
Market Basket Analysis
Market Basket Analysis
Association Rule Mining
One of the data mining techniques, i.e. the extraction of useful
knowledge from a large set of raw data
Finding interesting relationships among a large set of data items
Analyzing business transaction records for supporting decision making
processes
Association rule is to describe the relationship between different items
that will appear at the same time
The rule is composed of two parts: Condition and Result
Form of rule: IF(Condition), THEN(Result)
Example
Movie A → Movie B
i.e., If the customers buy DVD of movie A, then they buy DVD of
movie B at the same time.
Measures of Association Rule Mining
(Example) – Rule 1
Consider Rule 1: IF Gender = Female, THEN Insurance Promotion = Yes
Rule Confidence:
IF Gender = Female, 7 records fulfill the conditions
THEN Insurance Promotion = Yes, 6 records fulfill the result
Confidence= 6/7 = 86%
Measures of Association Rule Mining
(Example)
To understand the Inter-relationship between 2 attributes in database
Examples of rules
Rule 2
IF Gender = Female & Age ≥ 40, THEN Insurance Promotion = Yes
In the above, Gender = Female & Age ≥ 40 is an itemset, while Insurance Promotion = Yes is
an item.
Rule 3
IF Gender = Female, THEN Magazine Promotion = Yes & Watch Promotion = Yes
In the above, Gender = Female is an item, while Magazine Promotion = Yes & Watch
Promotion = Yes is an itemset.
Measures of Association Rule Mining
(Example) – Rule 3
Consider Rule 3: IF Gender = Female, THEN Magazine Promotion = Yes & Watch Promotion = Yes
Rule Confidence:
IF Gender = Female, 7 records fulfill the conditions
THEN Magazine Promotion = Yes & Watch Promotion = Yes, 3 records fulfill the result
Confidence= 3/7 = 43%
Finding Association Rules by Apriori
Algorithm
Apriori Algorithm
Only frequent itemsets (i.e. itemsets that often appear in the transaction) will be used to generate
association rules
How to determine whether an item or an itemset is frequent?
Check the support count (i.e. # of occurrences) of the item or itemset
If the support count is larger than or equal to the predefined min. support count, it is frequent
If it cannot satisfy the min. support count, it is infrequent and will be pruned
Apriori Algorithm
If an itemset is frequent, then all of its subsets must also be frequent
Example
A, B, C and D are defined as an item
Grouping one or more items into a set → itemset
If {B,C,D} is a frequent itemset, Then, {BC}, {BD}, {CD}, {B}, {C}, and {D} must
also be frequent.
Apriori Algorithm (Example)
Nine transactions are made in Order ID Items chosen in the order
the supermarket, Apriori is used
to find out any association rules 001 A, B, E
based on the data recorded. 002 B, D
Five items in the orders 003 B, C
A: Beer 004 A, B, D
B: Snacks
C: Juice 005 A, C
D: Instant noodles 006 B, C
E: Soft drinks 007 A, C
008 A, B, C, E
009 A, B, C
Apriori Steps (Example)
1a.Transactional data of nine customers in the Items Support counts
supermarket are scanned to form such a table
in order to find out the frequency of A 6
occurrence of different items in transactions
(Support Counts, s.c.) B 7
1b.Support counts are compared with the C 6
minimum support counts threshold (min s.c.,
is set to be 2 in this case). If s.c.<min. s.c., the D 2
corresponding items will be pruned E 2
Apriori Steps (Example)
2a. Remaining items are merged to Itemset Support counts
form an itemset with 2 items,
possible itemset are shown AB 4
2b. Scan for support counts of AC 4
these itemset in the transactional AD 1
data
2c. Compare the s.c. of itemset AE 2
with min. s.c. prune off the s.c. < BC 4
min. s.c. BD 2
BE 2
CD 0
CE 1
DE 0
Apriori Steps (Example)
3a. Generation of itemset with 3 Itemset
items. Itemsets containing pruned
parent itemset(s) are being pruned ABC (AB, AC, BC)
too ABE (AB, AE, BE)
3b.Scan the transactional data for BCD (BC, BD, CD)
s.c. of each itemset
(x , x , … x ) respectively.
p
B B B
1
2
p
Example
Using Euclidean distance, cluster
customers with these attributes x 1
and x :
2
Customer x1
x2
1 1.0 1.5
2 1.0 4.5
3 2.0 1.5
4 2.0 3.5
5 3.0 2.5
6 5.0 6.0
Example (Cont.): Iteration 1
Step 1: Choose a value for k = 2.
Randomly choose k points as cluster centers, for example, m1= customer 1 and m2 = customer 6
i.e., m1(x ) = 1; m1(x ) = 1.5; m2(x ) = 5; m2(x ) = 6
1
2
1
2
2
m2(x ) = 5; m2(x ) = 6
1
2
Step 4: Repeat steps 2-3 until the cluster means do not change.
Example (Cont.): Iteration 2
Step2:
Customer Distance(m1, customer) Distance(m2, customer)
1 1.44 6.02
2 1.97 4.27
3 1.22 5.41
4 0.83 3.91
5 1.22 4.03
6 4.57 0.00
Step 3: Update the cluster mean for each cluster.
Cluster 1 = {1,2,3,4,5} and Cluster 2 ={6}
m1(x ) = 1.8; m1(x ) = 2.7
1
2
m2(x ) = 5; m2(x ) = 6
1
2
Since the clusters are as same as the previous ones → algorithm stops.
Example:
Violent Crime Rates by US State
In addition to customer segmentation, suppose that you may wish to look into possible locations to offer
your services. You are concerned about the crime rates in different states…
Source:
Datanovia <https://www.datanovia.com/en/blog/clustering-example-4-steps-you-should-know/>
Targeting
Compares the defined segments and then focus on the most attractive
group (Primary target audience, PTA)
PTA: customers you believe are most likely to buy at a price that
preserves your margins and with a frequency that reaches your target
revenues.
Focus most of your attention on PTA
It is wise to identify secondary target audience (STA) in case the PTA
does not meet expectations
Industry Analysis
Understanding the industry landscape is crucial to the success of the
product/service.
For example, we may wish to understand
Market size and growth potential
Industry trends and patterns
Competitive landscape and market share
Barriers to entry and potential challenges
Sources of information we may consider:
Industry publications and reports (e.g., McKinsey reports, KPMG insight)
Government statistics and data (e.g., Data.GOV.HK, Data.gov)
Trustworthy databases (e.g., Statista)
Market research firms (e.g., Nielsen, Gartner)
Associations and conferences (e.g., IEEE, IATA)
Market Trends
By analyzing market trends, we can gain valuable insights into customer
preferences, emerging technologies, and industry shifts. Here are a few key
points to consider:
1. Identify emerging opportunities: Stay ahead of the curve by
identifying new trends, such as changing consumer behaviors or
technological advancements, that present opportunities for growth.
2. Assess competitive landscape: Understand the competitive landscape
and how the proposed product/service can differentiate itself in the
market. Analyze the strengths and weaknesses of your competitors to
position your product/service strategically.
3. Anticipate customer needs: By studying market trends, you can
anticipate customer needs and preferences, allowing you to tailor your
product/ service to meet their demands.
4. Monitor industry challenges: Keep an eye on potential challenges or
threats in the industry. This could include regulatory changes, economic
downturns, or disruptive technologies. Understanding these challenges
will help you develop contingency plans.
Example: Rise of Telehealth
Due to Covid-19, there has been a dramatic rise of of telehealth thus far for both mental and physical
health concerns.