Scribd
Upload
69 views19 pages

機率

Uploaded by

t111370221
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
69 views19 pages

機率

Uploaded by

t111370221
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 19
4.1 HFN “BsAH 09 0 19 es ah xy OE ALR RO * EE thet OME #8 coos eRe BERG BUH 8 hit eres BOS BRAKE TORY ae Ree | 12 Bote * AB kos GB HKG), $e aT RAR) “Rayan OAR lament) 0-2-9 05 OBA (st) 4 A=fyaa} O-fonas.0s} Co fonsast De fo.255 ae oh PRCBIR > pec @ 7% (wniversal ser) 24. 9= fo.12.%455 © BRE Comply set) 4G BEI OA (intersection) eg) AND=f fae _ BaCc=fo,19,45F5 D Fi Cwnien) (CD AUC= fo.1.24.54 O FH Compleat). A=D DH (art fora): X-Y={BRXEARY REI 2h y= {1.2.43 © Ahph (xj) HX = P—> X.Y ABR oO 5 Catal exclusive) + E-RERG Xi, Xe, Xn PER GG Xv Xy ABADI RBI, ~ Mo Leyva RF FAKE BE Aan: Seepage A CBG TERRY, HIER c-9 Gnglenun “DMs Law (RUB HIE 17 eo T a y Th Haas =H fe) Oe RTE A: Kove Pom 6 (600) MOL IR doko xP abs > Le AUD LAIR AWD 2XeA Xe Lae A LARRE a Lehn X aoe hav oak sok, HoH Pou 0B ARE Fee hae EE eh SOND AGRA OAD WRGR pithy 69 10% ( TF 6 ued fe © ERB 2 eh o LeB 2— FZ a 5 Ths, Le(ava) = (fne') < (Ave) argon YEE 17 BAST “FIR aqua id ARO Q Tr BBB (prcducs) OFLA (wate!) FYFE (tseain) V y AHF RAAF (1D Cha) = (6.8) HRs) Heras a Na Buh Bead *&OR (owtome) eit THE GER A Blab oc RL Ci Rb RAEN MRR ATC Me BER SLA ht Bie R mM CRO 0 . { HAH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, 11H, Tr F Xe 4a. HEL BRR f= Bb.) xD.1) te. «dy Yeas. FBG LB, TANARIS, Yh. ERB DA IRL (HOR: in aiper- (By) vee ce fA BAYER (ont spe) C4 PBS ORE FAFEM fone ue} WS e- (Mite tg 2 A 210 Babe DOM BE: ae puap= 0.63 Aaah OMAR B14 | ats fares RRR ba He PA EP, RAD. agg 5 th SP Payer, be] | AGE |. Heri gitows, oro 2. POL iAH sh rk Si By Pu Py BF 2 PU PoVAy~) = PlA+PAz)+Pl2)+~ * Lage may: © P)=0 p42 HBF", Dek ae DK P= PUP 2 pS)= pleupse pOrp » pur O @ p= |-pé | BPC) DR ABA HR x ptvia): ay Cheb SA} fF Fe BH Co MEZ ) X#Cr-Co Ch BBC NC ~-OCn= 6 B) WAAR FAT A, BU: pa = plaled peer) + pOalce) pea)tmmnt pelea peed = PUAN) + PLANC2) +~ +P lance) 4 QUE (ater) peer) plala = ‘poaicnpeco POAlcd pra) +=PCBICn) ped F-| RH 65 OH BN Rt Kehoe v PME ih plomr= proper BR] AB Pat SIG % Fat Raa Be Es ev 2M ih pllo=po ROB Fa} Bh ae & $s ae BSA DGE: Fo Fit Br Bos ~ Bn vB FST. BB. n PAPIBE (2): Ak ie SE BAP Bu Bie, Arm eR Pp (ATA Bia 1-0 Bim) = P (An) pls) a pare) 5 M=2,2,— 0 2G-N=5 © PUN P:R >C Ae Ae) = P(A) PCOn)plBy pie) LBs) 7-2 Hrs] 4G Mp3): $n hay, Ae ee by 09 sv: fit: JERRY: 2 42 9 en ts Wx wy} xnex ERT Bn ky, 1 Bh Seer. BRE SER OR G63 ua: Ait: BMRB: HL 42 WD ww * Lie Wx Wx 1K seex Ree: Hn Lay, Ap RA by 09 Avis: fei JPR BID: eo eee Rete] xox oe mh) = Ga ¥ EO): = Ra shbe vinomiel coothients) BAR: (rep) a Cr xiyt 1 aaa A Sy B65: HE RR AER By Tie hi, Cie eB thon - Bid: ae x 2-48 dye AY ios dybeid- XBR REF BF ( Probabilroy Distabution ) * A8/3-4@ Pup: Por BER- FEAR Baie Sf sei mk kong poe tt uy, -t POE Be AR 5 PP I (Discrete Robabatty Dribatins) PREM TGR: ROE PRE ROBE Bemnlk MRD > 4 BADR BH 0 AER ERR, XA of. 1c) ob Berens inb Rw Bro 4 ob, X=) oo 0°, X<0 : (= fe Xo ic fla= jew exe] © ofhatiise 1, xl o i ° L PMF OF => eect AER EM, KARE cy. “tee ; Rae Bw ace om emu frp ee : oof Binowral naan PME EE Bi OTE hy 06 A 0M, AaB Fi (2) = Poe) = Palate a XbB ok BK X—BIN Gerad) nah a ae Ae DE ae Keke 3 oR RER Fo-gyo OM -Bcn (o*-ous™” 2 Seat (HBL: Cumulative Distribution Fanction GR Hea BBY, RAI cor dete Ct") Ploexeb) iia PC “wmnitx—o") = Fx )- fel) er) Ah. Y ty 3B 2 6 prt p59 He, Leo. fbn) = P&<-0) =0 ‘ Flo.) = Ploexeol)= of Fx Ws) = PlveX€05) =05 Fe W= PloeKel) =| Kune ploexerDe= | 00] rd L 9 Plorexeos) Ploa aa CEP Pp CK EL — Fx= Pixex) = PURER RR CRAB EY) = PRA R BE > xB) =piyrh), Y-BIN&p Porsson Te te PF: ROR Ae RAE fy pasnny , X Be HEH 08 09 oveS RGR - ~Por aT) P= PUcn= es ar A % pe AT. X~ pony 7 = aa CDF: X~ pot UD Tin > ZB ha- Beat nT eee 0, otherwise 5-2 RAPE ae (Probably Pusey, Function) Fe= lin, PURER rhe BONAR: p(meXe W0X) Ff la) om hve k at aio ve #4 OR M= kw Por ARR: Oe © pussneh = Sezvedx op Fdx= | @fmz0 ¥Fo9 WAAL 5). BABAR R74 L (Cotoms Palatny Vesti) Dnaform AG 3 DF: fib= f pa, mexeh — PFs 0, Xed r fi i 0, othernise Fae= [felon - | aexeh ‘ UNIF (QD) Xb os mo x a b a b Ceporentiad PBA POF: F.a)= j acm X70 CUR: TtXeo 0, otherwise, x X , (= ECW) dua = Fai fo futnd= ff, X~ Exponent “ah (a) = ~ fre Aca “)-™ » > Eoprantial BB REVEL Erlang MBM X~ Erlang (11,4) m4 ft 4 por: $= pan e™ x20; CDF: w= )- foo e*" X20 0, othenise. 0, otherwise. WX Corvolcon Erlang (n:0) BAKED model —4% 75 48.210 4B + $15 65 ADF PO 7B /O BA pH Boyd Ae hee - b-| ER ARH 24% 1 (Coomous Prbbivey Pveanains) Nornah AB PRB Chez) RE SPB RIE RR * PAR DIE ASTLING toekG SOMA > yryoede POF: X~ Gaussian 6), $10) = gabe ge Ka owt ~OUey 7 Z-nNev, $@- wee COR: pe)= [epee “da Dw BINYE: [fco=1-9@) Pie Be= ) Bie ea -R 0 Ff x Wrqesy X~N U6) pe AA~Noy h W= get . . peg <2) = pice 6e)~ pe aig ty fen" P> pCfrard= [2 dee Fon se 6-2 Bo ZB (expectation) Gf EA Ee XE, BRS S16 he % Uy SAGAS HP EE veoh *h Ker=Bo-k 2 p=] d+en-b-0 PAE to bh 2 SG, * Sepa With RH BX He, Tie dhe GORE — MA fe ADO YA | eye A foo Reo Aer Ravn — EH Rv geo Rw = 2 Se FA =7 605 = 1K quo Rw = «EG00) Woe 6 EVER E 4. G exe8 x)= GeW+ BED = Zi [ageorehoo) Rm = 0 Zi guopvore Zoo Reo * Eo- Fu fio Zener Few) SB xtReo X BOAR Be (vastance) ‘8 % oy (Vavianee) Oc = EL pa ee ALA te em eye Cyne Lape) . . it (i) ar BRL m) Ge Elmo] = BOS 2 Mee «phe = EOD—pe are X~ Bernoult i? Mae )-p+0U-p)=P OR ES ue = Bly vow a ap+ oep)- Fe pe E Pp X~ BING p: X~ pasker (kp) Mx= np Me = + Gx= nporp) ch Kup ag X~ 460 (p: Man F169 Bx pp OF = cod -we= HE X~ PoL& X~UNI| Fa) Myr Mx= Ab r= X Ox = Ea) tb-atz) B26. 1 he 65 KA, ae yeh rh es, ROU eRonieh ee BP FAB A he Pb ROMA RO —> eh EAE EZY UB aro 0}, Xe) XE Ln) Y=04 Le £18,28)—» {> lo XE (no, cH) > Yona Biel fase00 - FZ nacre) “EaBwohine ites eee eae yt BAH Bx ps ech dche (0-H De W VE CF SPR ci] gy ey (Variance) Ge= Elo} K~ Exponartial va) ] X~Erlang (n/a: Manz Ora 5 Ma aL X~ Gaussian Ws > X~ Exponaitiah A: Mem GO | | fer 8 Gres Be X 2 Bibe 1B X Ry Bt Bo Ph Bh Be Be oh, 7-900 nie ee a HAD Bs Y= 900 2 PME yop = ZK co FY BOP BX wa xzate = 400 BX Fe 4 Bite BB, —w 400 69 CDF: Fguotp) = Prgwoey! J FO Wt, BE 4 1892) POF —e Fypo y= Siow ¥ {ach b aro, wi Fr= Plawtbey)= Poce ty = (4%) Feep~ rep = LE’) AAA KR FEB AME (Condrtivnad, Vestsbuton) & X Ry Ble bo Bhs de Ypres Rw - EER FA eEMY BABE 2 R44 DI me: Fee Pr Paw FO CDF: Fae (%) = Danex Pee (w) = Zanex.nes HS H X he 28S Ps Seds YpmPa hw Bem Fsy eRe BAGG 2 154 RB ope: Prt natn 8 CDF: Faw to = a FiielW Au = Pnener nee Bt h HA + Io 4 4B (Gondrtional, Expectation) GOI= f Fx revo BRB) —- | LgwleJ= £23400 From (SEH) S2L-Fan dx EAD J 400-Fiapco GAR Var (x12) = B[X%e-Mawy ) = & [UC Mawy |B] = EDT ely g-| Hip ERA al Jain Padaty, Dtabuton, KX YG eR BEAD, B04 Ky C0109 BOTS pomp Fey = Pe eB Y= HPethF 719 cote E ) 05 Fey Xs] ZS pceonei XY BBE 4 Fey p = POR ID = porem PLE) = PLO Prep YAATHAY B: (O~Zespenharep a if 4 LAG RAR RT ie. it 2. Folie He BY yo Fox Gh ROARED be Fe BS PoE: Forte etree lim Plmexencon Bye’ y+04) Bye axeiy = hi, Fase ror prop Fay erty) Fay aengeoyp) + Fer la Bie on ee! oe =fim oh [faneeenata= Fer lXyroy) _ Fuy rox, p- Fexlap) po ox >, ox) Phetmoyo Phy ep a a DY miytoy) Day lm Fo 9-Day Ta Fc =f fd Sea BYP (Marginal, Frobabitit, Visteon) CROPS POF Fey GY, BY J KAY HO -Frop AMZ hy v RYE AMIE IA Feo= JF pte dy fee Safest a o CR Fay worp= 59, HT oepemee % fi = [TF ply dy = j SSosdyoosx, tf o0sxe2 i ° | othensise frep= Sop = [carbone ea “3 * | ahonade. §-> OPE eee XY OWA Hr NU Bo Ba A Me Q0¥ hee 1O EG AWE 0} Riek HN) Bode OAs me Woe awe kh A E Deh Gov pheG 12] = CEN G0] + CELhe boy &% ETZono]= ELGoELMery IR KY SHOEZ FDR BY (orience) BoE" Var 1) = E Loe EOI] Mery = EL pee MS] = BLOGS + (adr R OOM) > ZELMA My] aD Jou) ELLY ayy = 0 = i rie ies + oo Covarteace 9-| Flt B 2 A HAY HOE: GREY Reo= EP 40 Ze Pope = Line pon® BE ce al Conkinuains convolction. Reo A Poke | fof eke he phy fofe 4-2 MG Momast: Gunuating Fastin SPY SIS TAB Bin 08 Conviction BAAR x ai PioFE™), Bee} Rw-Ete- ri) Bel 7 Be'eo pet goods Obs Pai i Ti Pid Dal Gy Bs BRX WA M4F WR Yeoxeh fo Elon Efe] Ele] = Ele] Pube bee ap 2 mer X~Burnadltr(p Ji= +p» PP Kid = ELe*]- eF prtore oF .) = Mrp+e%p= rps per X~ DIN UP): XeXirXermeXn, XO, Xi~Beraul(P, Pulsd=l-peve! BU = Bylo) ~ Pals) = Le-peyery” Xo-Geomatiiclp) Pld ~ Efe = Z oPpuvo X~ Pasha P): X=XitXermXe, KDHE, Xt~ Geomaiie (p) > Bld EL = te Kerang 0.9) Xo eKer eX KARE, Xe~ Eq) = ER fo- fal = Bate)” 9-2 S4@ RoR as 25 XX LLD. XeXitXerm Xu N: Fn Bo 3 pl3= Zee pay AlD= Ele*1- Ele stern to = Ble ec ~-2™ = EplE(e*s: Le] E29) = Ew Lele Y = Zale Pruled = Ax(s))N 3 gh (3) pytn) i) FU PRB ECR. xX XitXert Xa~N Wgeret+%n , CRrxatmexn) Mae ret ~4%n = Mxy+ Met ~ +Mxn a 1 OFitxet ean = Oxj+Gre* ws Ox = 1 % Ve Metvre—Loplace Formula : ple e Xe ke) PE RRe es < Aelyte< Hates tue) ag (Sen =) _ ol k-o5-1M9 WAOx;

You might also like