SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.813563938
R Square 0.661886282
Adjusted R Square 0.59848996
Standard Error 78.65033376
Observations 20

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 3 193750 64583.33333 10.440452375
Residual 16 98974 6185.875
Total 19 292724

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value

Intercept 70 35.17349855 1.990134701 0.063944637
qtr1 10 49.74283868 0.201033963 0.843205394
qtr2 105 49.74283868 2.110856613 0.050873764
qtr3 245 49.74283868 4.925332098 0.000152185

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation y Predicted Y Residuals Squared Forecast Error

1 20 80 -60 3600
2 100 175 -75 5625
3 175 315 -140 19600
4 13 70 -57 3249
5 37 80 -43 1849
6 136 175 -39 1521
7 245 315 -70 4900
8 26 70 -44 1936
9 75 80 -5 24.9999999999997
10 155 175 -20 400
11 326 315 11 121
12 48 70 -22 484.000000000001
13 92 80 12 144.000000000001
14 202 175 27 729
15 384 315 69 4761
16 82 70 12 144
17 176 80 96 9216.00000000001
18 282 175 107 11449
19 445 315 130 16900
20 181 70 111 12321
Significance F
0.000476769

Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 95.0%

-4.564485961 144.564486 -32.73410815 172.7341082
-95.45010732 115.4501073 -135.2879691 155.2879691
-0.450107317 210.4501073 -40.28796907 250.2879691
139.5498927 350.4501073 99.71203093 390.2879691
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.193892
R Square 0.037594
Adjusted R Square -0.142857
Standard Error 6.324555
Observations 20

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 25 8.333333 0.208333 0.889135
Residual 16 640 40
Total 19 665

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
Intercept 12 2.828427 4.242641 0.000621 6.004002 17.996 6.004002
X Variable 1 -3 4 -0.75 0.464141 -11.47962 5.479621 -11.47962
X Variable 2 -2 4 -0.5 0.623882 -10.47962 6.479621 -10.47962
X Variable 3 -1 4 -0.25 0.805769 -9.479621 7.479621 -9.479621

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted YResiduals

1 9 -8
2 10 -8
3 11 -8
4 12 -8
5 9 -4
6 10 -4
7 11 -4
8 12 -4
9 9 0
10 10 0
11 11 0
12 12 0
13 9 4
14 10 4
15 11 4
16 12 4
17 9 8
18 10 8
19 11 8
20 12 8
Upper 95.0%
17.996
5.479621
6.479621
7.479621
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.979744573
R Square 0.959899427
Adjusted R Square 0.949205941
Standard Error 27.9742739
Observations 20

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 280985.6 70246.4 89.764874259 2.7378093E-10
Residual 15 11738.4 782.56
Total 19 292724

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -70.1 18.23699536656 -3.843834941 0.0015938655 -108.97123549
qtr1 45.025 18.0007985934 2.5012779164 0.0244440662 6.65720601839
qtr2 128.35 17.83017105919 7.1984727221 3.081158E-06 90.3458899986
qtr3 256.675 17.72700623343 14.479320232 3.193242E-10 218.89078062
t 11.675 1.105780267503 10.558155488 2.434186E-08 9.31808515134

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y Residuals

1 -13.4 33.4
2 81.6 18.4
3 221.6 -46.6
4 -23.4 36.4
5 33.3 3.7
6 128.3 7.7
7 268.3 -23.3
8 23.3 2.7
9 80 -5
10 175 -20
11 315 11
12 70 -22
13 126.7 -34.7
14 221.7 -19.7
15 361.7 22.3
16 116.7 -34.7
17 173.4 2.6
18 268.4 13.6
19 408.4 36.6
20 163.4 17.6
 Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0%
-31.22876451 -123.8391892 -16.3608108
83.392793982 -8.018185128 93.06818513
166.35411 75.80960523 180.6903948
294.45921938 204.4386023 308.9113977
14.031914849 8.416583039 14.93341696
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.981181
R Square 0.962716
Adjusted R 0.952063
Standard E 26.91885
Observatio 19

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 261947.7 65486.92 90.37359 7.75E-10
Residual 14 10144.74 724.6245
Total 18 272092.4

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -77.25714 18.20046 -4.24479 0.000816 -116.2933 -38.22103 -116.2933 -38.22103
1 37.27143 18.09351 2.059934 0.058501 -1.535284 76.07814 -1.535284 76.07814
0 129.5429 17.17631 7.541948 2.7E-06 92.70333 166.3824 92.70333 166.3824
0 257.2714 17.06294 15.07779 4.75E-10 220.6751 293.8678 220.6751 293.8678
1 12.27143 1.137529 10.78779 3.62E-08 9.831671 14.71119 9.831671 14.71119

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted 20Residuals
Standard Residuals
1 76.82857 23.17143 0.976042
2 216.8286 -41.82857 -1.76193
3 -28.17143 41.17143 1.73425
4 21.37143 15.62857 0.658317
5 125.9143 10.08571 0.424837
6 265.9143 -20.91429 -0.880965
7 20.91429 5.085714 0.214224
8 70.45714 4.542857 0.191357
9 175 -20 -0.842453
10 315 11 0.463349
11 70 -22 -0.926698
12 119.5429 -27.54286 -1.160178
13 224.0857 -22.08571 -0.930309
14 364.0857 19.91429 0.838843
15 119.0857 -37.08571 -1.562149
16 168.6286 7.371429 0.310504
17 273.1714 8.828571 0.371883
18 413.1714 31.82857 1.340704
19 168.1714 12.82857 0.540373
Upper 95.0%
Year Quarter qtr1 qtr2 qtr3 t Revenue
1 1 1 0 0 1 20 Year Quarter t y Forecast
1 2 0 1 0 2 100 1 1 1 20 -13.4
1 3 0 0 1 3 175 1 2 2 100 81.6
1 4 0 0 0 4 13 1 3 3 175 221.6
2 1 1 0 0 5 37 1 4 4 13 -23.4
2 2 0 1 0 6 136 2 1 5 37 33.3
2 3 0 0 1 7 245 2 2 6 136 128.3
2 4 0 0 0 8 26 2 3 7 245 268.3
3 1 1 0 0 9 75 2 4 8 26 23.3
3 2 0 1 0 10 155 3 1 9 75 80
3 3 0 0 1 11 326 3 2 10 155 175
3 4 0 0 0 12 48 3 3 11 326 315
4 1 1 0 0 13 92 3 4 12 48 70
4 2 0 1 0 14 202 4 1 13 92 126.7
4 3 0 0 1 15 384 4 2 14 202 221.7
4 4 0 0 0 16 82 4 3 15 384 361.7
5 1 1 0 0 17 176 4 4 16 82 116.7
5 2 0 1 0 18 282 5 1 17 176 173.4
5 3 0 0 1 19 445 5 2 18 282 268.4
5 4 0 0 0 20 181 5 3 19 445 408.4
5 4 20 181 163.4
Forecast Error Squared Forecast Error
33.4 1115.56
18.4 338.559999999998
-46.6 2171.56
36.4 1324.96
3.7 13.6899999999999
7.7 59.289999999999
-23.3 542.890000000001
2.7 7.29000000000002
-5 25
-20 400.000000000002
11 121
-22 483.999999999999
-34.7 1204.09
-19.7 388.090000000002
22.3 497.290000000001
-34.7 1204.09
2.6 6.76000000000012 500
13.6 184.959999999999 450
36.6 1339.56 400
17.6 309.760000000001 350
11738.4

Sales($1000)
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1 2 3 4 5 6
 500
450
400
350
Sales($1000)

300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Period(t)