IB Economics - Study and Revision Guide - Stephen Holroyd - Third Edition - OSC 2012
IB Economics - Study and Revision Guide - Stephen Holroyd - Third Edition - OSC 2012
Economics
Higher Level
4 Edition
CONTENTS
SECTION 1: MICROECONOMICS.........cccvrmrrnrrrnninnssnnens 4
Scarcity ...
Markets....
Demand
SUPPIY et
Equilibrium: the Interaction of Demand and Supply ..
Market Efficiency .......ccccoocevvveniinniieiiinsieninnenns
Elasticities of Demand and Supply..
Price Elasticity of Demand ...........
Cross Price Elasticity of Demand............... ... 18
Income Elasticity of Demand..................... svi 18
Price Elasticity of Supply .... 19
Government Intervention........ .21
Maximum and Minimum Prices. s
Indirect Taxation...........ccc.... ...23
Subsidies............ .25
Market Structures ”
Aims and Objectives of Firms ... 26
Production and Costs......... w28
Revenue................ 29
Profit......cccc.... w1
Perfect Competition.. 32
Monopoly .......ccccvenneee. 34
Monopolistic Competition
OlIGOPOIY .ot 40
Price DisCHMMatioN .. vivamsmsmamimsirmissisamsissmsms 42
Market Failure and Government Response. .. 43
Externalities.........cccoeeiieiiiiiiiiiciicncn ... 43
Negative Externalitios . .u.iwmsissmmmamsmsmmsissemiosis 43
Positive Externalities ..........cccccooevviiiiiiiinnieniesece e, 47
Public Goods................ ... 48
Merit and Demerit Goods
Monopoly Power
Common Access Resources and Sustainability.................... 50
Asymmetric Information............ccccecevieriennne
Microeconomics Sample Questions
SECTION 2: MACROECONOMICS.........cocvvmrimenennsnnnnne 53
Measuring National InCome........ccccceeiiicirrmrcirreree
e 53
Circular Flow of Income...
Business Cycle Model......
Macroeconomic Models..........coovrrrmrcrsernnenenns 56
Aggregate Demand and Supply Analysis......... 56
The Keynesian/Monetarist Debate......... 64
The Multiplieswsssssmusssrmsmess 65
Demand-side Policies................ 65
Supply-side Policies .................. 69
Unemployment and Inflation..........cccecerecmncmncnnccnncenssenscennnes 70
Key terms are printed in bold type and definitions are signalled by
italicised type.
SCARCITY
What to produce?
How to produce?
For whom to produce?
PPC1
Capital goods
Any combination of goods produced within the PPC (A) means that
there are unemployed resources. Points on the PPC (B) represent
different bundles of goods, but with fully employed resources.
Points beyond the PPC (C) are currently unattainable. In order to
attain these points, an economy would have to increase the
number of resources, increase the productivity (efficiency) of its
current resources, or improve technology. For example, Brazil
discovers offshore oil, a developed economy invests in its human
capital, and car factories become robotised.
Good Y
PPC2
Merit goods
MARKETS
A market is a place where buyers (demand) and sellers (supply) You cannot avoid knowing about
meet to exchange goods or services at the market-clearing price. this most important area of
Prices are determined in a free market solely by the interaction of syllabus areas. You MUST expect
demand and supply. As we shall see later on, governments can it to be tested in all three papers
and do intervene to influence both price and output, and therefore on markets, how they work, how
the allocation of resources. governments intervene in them
and how they fail.
Price
a movement of the demand curve
(caused by a change in one or
more of the determinants of
demand). This also applies to the
distinction between a change in
the quantity supplied and a
change in supply. Your exam will
test you on this knowledge in a
variety of different ways, ranging
from part (a) of essays, and early
data response questions and
numerical questions.
Q2 Ql
Quantity
P2
P1
Q2 Q1
Quantity
Price
w
P2
Pl
Q1 Q2
Quantity
In the diagram above, a fall in price from P, to P4 will cause a fall in
the quantity supplied from Q to Q4 (contraction), and an increase in
price from P to P, will cause a rise in the quantity supplied from Q
to Q. (expansion). Here, the changes in price will have been
caused by a movement of the demand curve.
S2
Q1 Q Q2
Quantity
Equilibrium exists when demand equals supply (P,Q). Examination questions in all three
Disequilibrium exists if there is a situation of excess demand (at papers frequently ask candidates
Pa) or excess supply (at Pb) as shown below: to illustrate, explain and analyse
price changes, and a flexible
knowledge of the determinants of
demand and supply and the
forces that lead to equilibrium is
something that any successful
candidate must have. You
should see the determinants of
demand and supply as flexible
tools that you can apply to any
market (house prices, oil prices
and commodity prices) to explain
price movements.
Quantity
P1
Q1 Q
Quantity
Numerical application:
Linear demand function (Qd = a - bP)
Linear supply function (Qs = c + dP)
Calculate equilibrium and excess demand/ supply
Plot, identify slope and horizontal intercept, and shift curves
Market Efficiency
Price
Consumer surplus
Producer surplus
Quantity
Consumer surplus is the extra utility, over and above the price
paid, gained by consumers. Producer surplus is the extra
revenue gained by producers, over and above the price that the
producer would need to be paid to produce that unit of output. The
sum of these two surpluses is known as community surplus (the
total benefit to society). The increase or decrease of either of
these two ‘surpluses’ and the movement of a ‘surplus’ from one
stakeholder to another or even the disappearance of a ‘surplus’
are important ways of illustrating benefits or losses from economic
events, and will be used widely later on in this Guide (see Market
Failure, Trade Barriers).
Qi @
Quantity
Q1L Q2
Quantity
3 4 7 8
Quantity
® Determinants of PED
Closeness of substitutes. PED will be more price elastic
if there are close substitutes available.
Luxury or necessity. Luxury goods tend to be price
elastic, and necessities tend to be price inelastic.
Percentage of income spent on the good. The smaller
the percentage of income spent on a good, the more price
inelastic demand will be.
Time period. In the long run, demand tends to be more
price elastic, as it takes time for consumers to react to price
changes.
YED = AQ/Q
AYIY
PES = AQs/Qs
AP/P
Price
S (PES=1)
S (PES>1)
Quantity
® Dpeterminants of PES
Time period. In the very short run all factors are fixed, and
therefore PES = 0. In the short run at least one factor is
fixed and at least one factor is variable, and therefore PES =
<1. In the long run all factors are variable (except
technology), and PES >1.
Level of spare capacity. If firms are at full capacity the
supply curve will be price inelastic. The more spare capacity
the more price elastic the supply curve will be.
Type of Good. For some goods there are time lags in
production. This is particularly true in agricultural markets.
Supply may be perfectly price inelastic in the very short run
Level of stocks. If firms are in the habit of keeping high
stock levels, they will easily be able to respond to changes in
demand, and therefore supply will be price elastic.
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION |
Governments intervene in markets because they believe that the It is important that you see the
equilibrium reached by the free market is not desirable. In other links between government
words, they believe that price and/or quantity are in the wrong intervention in the market, price
place. Thus they employ a variety of methods to move both price elasticity of demand and supply,
and quantity. For example, most governments believe that the and market failure.
free market equilibrium price of cigarettes would be too low and
therefore they tax them. Of course, there are issues of market
failure involved here.
8 s
& Surplus
PATHITR fesesererssnssmsamseNigsree
oo et smoanssssss s nemtsptnssisssing Floor (min)
Pe
Ceiling (max)
P8 [ ce mns rsrsrarm inionsanasocs snmsemsnemsins msns aes B s aimmemsmisntt essinensissts .
Shortage D
Q1 Q3 Qe Q4 Q2
Quantity
Price
Sg
Quantity
Excess supply
P min Min Price
Pe Lo X
D govt
0 Qd Qe Qs
Quantity
Indirect taxation
Consumer
Pe
Producer
Q Qe
Quantity
Price
St
Consumer
Producer
Qt Qe
Quantity
Here, in the graph above, the producer finds it relatively difficult to
pass the tax onto the consumer.
The consumer will carry the greater tax burden if price elasticity of
demand is inelastic, or price elasticity of supply is elastic. The
producer will carry the greater tax burden if price elasticity of
demand is elastic, or price elasticity of supply is inelastic.
PO T ccssnsmssmssssssssiomsionmissny
Qe Q sub
Quantity
Numerical application:
Plot demand and supply curves
New supply curves for taxes and subsidies
New equilibria
Calculate changes in consumer expenditure, producer revenue,
tax revenue, government expenditure, tax incidence (burden), total
subsidy per unit, excess demand, excess supply
Here the law of diminishing returns applies. This law states that
as successive units of the variable factor are added, the extra
(marginal) output produced will at first increase and then decrease.
This results in the marginal product (MP) and average product
(AP) curves below:
MP
Q of variable factor
Of course, each time a unit of the variable factor is added, a new
cost is incurred. If this new cost allows output first to increase and
then decrease, the marginal costs and average variable costs
must first decrease and then increase. This results in the
marginal cost (MC) and average variable cost (AVC) curves
below. Marginal cost is the cost of producing one extra unit of
output:
Costs
MC
MC intersects min AC
ATC
AVC
\ ATC=AFC+AVC
Quantity
If a firm increases its size, then one of three things can happen to
output:
1) Output can increase more than proportionately
(increasing returns to scale).
2) Output can increase proportionately (constant returns
to scale).
3) Output can increase less than proportionately
(decreasing returns to scale).
Quantity produced
LRAC is the ‘envelope’ curve of all SRACs that make up the short
run.
* Financial economies
* Marketing economies
* Technical economies
* Purchasing economies
* Managerial economies
* Communication issues
* Alienation and firm politics
* Increased regulation from government
Revenue
The shape of a firm’s revenue curves (AR, MR, TR) depends upon
whether the firm is in perfect or imperfect competition. TR=PxQ
AR=TR/Q
AR therefore =P
In perfect competition the firm is a price taker. Price is constant,
MR = ATR / AQ
and therefore the following revenue curves are generated:
MR = the slope of TR
Revenue
TR
P AR=MR=D
Quantity
Revenue
PED=%0
AR=D
PED=0
MR Quantity
As AR is downward sloping, MR must be falling below it. When MR
=0,PED =1.
__— MR=0
Revenue
TR
Q TR max
Quantity
MC
N
MC=MR
P / AR=MR=D
Q
Quantity
A firm should keep increasing its output as long as MR is greater
than MC, and so profit maximising equilibrium is where MC =
MR.
Perfect Competition
¢ Perfect knowledge
s A large number of small firms
e Freedom of entry and exit
¢ Homogeneous product
e Profit maximisation
MC
AC
Losses
p D=AR=MR
Quantity
Pa ARa=MRa
Pb ARb=MRb
Quantity
In the diagram above, the firm will stay in business at price Pa but
shut down at price Pb.
A single seller
Produces branded goods
Creates barriers to entry
Maximises profits
MC
Abnormal profits
AC
AR=D
MR
Quantity
P > MC. Consumers are willing to pay a price higher than it costs
to produce the product. In perfect competition, output would
increase, so P = MC.
AC
AR=D
a1 Q3
Q2'mr
Quantity
LRAC
Quantity
Pm*
AR=D
Qm Qpc Qm:
MR
Quantity
8
&
MC
Loss of consumer surplus
Pm |-
PR [seesssarenasd
Loss of producer surplus
AR=D
Qm Qpc 10
Quantity
Abnormal profits
AC
AR=D
Quantity
AC
Losses
AR=D
Quantity
Long-run equilibrium:
Price
Quantity
Oligopoly
Q2 Q
MR Quantity
Firm X
$3.00 $2.70
Firm $3.00 $15 milleach | $7.5 mill
Y $18 mill
$2.70 $18 mill $12 mill each
$7.5 mill
For example, students and pensioners often pay reduced rates for
goods such as train tickets.
MC
AR (b) MR (a+b)
13 15 28
Quantity
Here, the two discrete markets (‘a’ and ‘b’) are aggregated into
(a+b) and the firm will profit maximise where the aggregate MR
curve is equal to MC. This level of MC intersects MR in both
discrete markets setting the profit maximising level in each market
(13 in market ‘a’ and 15 in market ‘b’). The price in market ‘b’ is
higher than in market ‘a’ as it reflects the more price inelastic
demand of these consumers.
Numerical application:
Calculate short-run shut-down price and break-even price
Calculate revenue max level of output
Negative externalities
Price
MSC=MPC+MEC
MPC
PSE Fermmarsnmmssrnmas
i X
MSB=MPB
Qsc Qpc
Quantity
The free market equilibrium (where demand = supply, or marginal
social benefit MSB = MPC), results in both over-production and
over-consumption of the good or service. In the diagram above,
this is output level QrcC. If the market were to take into account the
true costs of production, as shown by the MSC curve, then output
would be at Qsc (socially optimal level). So here the free market
has failed to allocate resources efficiently, and has
overproduced/consumed goods with negative spillover effects.
MSC=MPC
PP foeeeererserrees
oo eereeneeee :
Psb
MPB
MSB=MPB+MEB
Qsb Qpb
Quantity
® Tradable Permits
Tradable permits are used to limit the negative activities of firms.
These can vary from the emission of polluting gases to the
overfishing of the North Sea. The optimal level of pollution or
® Regulation
Governments can intervene directly with measures such as quotas
to set the optimal level of production/consumption. Most firms
today have to comply with minimum environmental requirements.
For example, building regulations in the UK stipulate minimum
insulation requirements for all new buildings.
® |nternational co-operation
The 1997 United Nations pact signed at Kyoto required the major
industrialised nations to make meaningful reductions in
greenhouse gas emissions. The EU’s target was to cut 1990
emission levels by 8% before 2010. In 2004 a report stated that
only two countries (UK and Sweden) out of the then 15 would be
able to meet these targets. Of course, the USA still refuses to sign
up to the treaty and this is a major blow to any international
agreement to cut emissions. International agreements are beset by
Positive externalities
MSC=MPC
B e e - i X
[ 1)
MSB=MPB--MEB
MPB
Qpb Qsb
Quantity
The free market equilibrium (where demand = supply, or marginal
social cost MSC = MPB) results in both underproduction and
underconsumption of the good or service. In the diagram above,
this is output level Qpb. If the market were to take into account the
true benefits of consumption, as shown by the MSB curve, then
output/consumption would be at Qsb (socially optimal level). Here
the free market has failed to allocate resources efficiently, and has
underproduced/ consumed goods with positive spillover effects.
Price
MPC
MSC=MPC+MEC
MSB=MPB
Qpc Qsc
Quantity
® Subsidies
Subsidies aim to reduce the marginal private costs (MPC) of
production until the equilibrium level of output is reached (QsB).
As with taxes in the case of negative externalities, the problem
here is one of information. It is very hard to gain accurate
estimates of costs, benefits and the external effects associated
with positive externalities. If demand is price inelastic, then a
subsidy will only result in a small increase in consumption.
® Free Provision
In many countries both education and most healthcare services
are provided free of charge at the point of consumption.
® |nformation
One of the best ways of increasing the consumption of goods with
positive externalities is to educate and inform people of the
benefits, and so encourage people to make informed consumption
choices.
Public Goods
Here the market fails because the key features of public goods
are non-excludability and non-rivalry in consumption.
Here the market fails because consumers make choices which It is important that you do not
society defines as wrong. In the case of merit goods, consumers
automatically assume that merit
consume too few goods and services that are seen as being good goods are goods with positive
for them (like education, art galleries). In the case of demerit externalities and vice versa, and
goods, consumers consume too many goods and services that that demerit goods are goods
are seen as being bad for them (alcohol and cigarettes, for with negative externalities and
example). Merit goods can also (but not always) have positive vice versa. This is an area in
externalities. Demerit goods can also (but not always) have which candidates often muddle
negative externalities. their definitions.
Monopoly Power
® | aissez-faire
Some economists suggest that the problems created by
monopolies are best cured by the actions of a free market.
(b) Studies have shown that the demand for petrol tends to be
highly price inelastic. Evaluate a policy of substantially
raising taxes on petrol as a method of reducing its
consumption. (15 marks)
Numerical application:
Calculate GDP, GNP/ GNI
Real GDP and base year prices
——| Households
i
A
Firms
J=G+1+X
W=T+S+M
Time
AD1
AD
Y1 Y2
SRAS
¥2 Y1
Y fe
Y fc
® Equilibrium
Macroeconomic equilibrium is where AD = AS:
Average price level (P)
AD 2
Y1 Y2 Y fc
Real output (Y)
£
©
>
2
g
s
@
o
]
g
3
AD 2
XL Y2 Yfc
AD 2
AD 1
Y fc
LRAS
—
£
T PP et gt
&
@
e=
s
@ P e
o
o
<
< >
AD 2
AD 1
Y fc
Real output (Y)
LRAS 1 LRAS 2
PRLicsuosssmsnsssanusnmssass sammscsstonsinintasssssiniad)
P [roesrermannimsnsnreresenmmtrastmms sty
AD
Y1 Y2
LRAS SRAS *
SRAS
AD 2
AD 1
/ Inflationary gap
Yi vz
£
@
>
2
g LRAS
a SRAS
o
o
g
z2 S RAS*
PR
AD 1
AD 2
Deflationary gap
Numerical application:
Calculate MPC and MPW (MPS + MPT + MPM) from the data
Calculate the value of the multiplier:
1
(1-MPC)
1
(MPW)
Demand-side Policies
® Fiscal Policy
Fiscal policy is the use of government spending (current, capital
and transfer payments) and taxation (direct and indirect) to
influence AD, raise revenue, redistribute income and influence
consumption patterns. A government's fiscal stance is how
expansionary or contractionary their budget is. The way in which
government spending and taxation influences AD has already
Government expenditure:
e Current: spending on factor payments and goods
e Capital: investment spending and spending on assets
e Transfer payments: a payment from the government to an
individual (eg. unemployed or pensioner) where no output is
generated. It is a means of redistribution of income
Government revenue:
e Direct taxes: taxes on income (wages/salaries, interest,
dividends, rent and profit)
* Indirect taxes: taxes on expenditure (paid indirectly by firms
supplying goods and services)
* Sale of goods, services and the privatisation of nationalised
industries
Weaknesses:
* Time lags
* Political influence
e Inflexible
e Budget deficits can lead to increases in interest rates (to
encourage bond sales) and taxation in the future
¢ Crowding-out is when government bond sales result in the
public sector needing to compete with the private sector for
funds. They will have to offer higher rates of interest in order to
sell bonds, and the availability of funds in the loanable fund
market will decrease. Thus the private sector will be forced to
offer high interest rates as well, discouraging investment and
® Monetary Policy
Monetary policy is the use of the rate of interest predominantly to
influence AD (the money supply control and targeting the
exchange rate can also be used).
Sml
Interest rate (r)
rl
r2
Q1 Q2
Quantity of money
Inflation targeting:
As a response to the failure of discretionary macroeconomic
policies, many countries have turned to inflation targeting as their
‘core’ macroeconomic policy. Here, monetary policy focuses on the
rate of inflation rather than a broad set of frequently-conflicting
macro goals. Interest rates (and sometimes the money supply) are
used to achieve a target that is either symmetrical (Canada 2% +/-
1%) or asymmetrical (Eurozone <2%). Once the target has been
achieved, it is then ‘simply’ a matter of using interest rates to
maintain the target level.
Weaknesses
e Investment can be interest-inelastic
* Time lags
e One policy fits all (blunt instrument)
e Ineffective against cost-push inflation
Low consumer/investor confidence in deep recession mean
that consumers and firms fail to respond to low borrowing rates
and may pay back debts instead of borrowing
&
5g
2
g
s
o
o
&
g
<
Yl Yfe2
Real output (Y)
g LRAS1 LRAS2
3
>
3
o
&
a —_—
o
o
£
g
<
|
|
|
, ; | ;
Y fcl Y fc2
Market-based:
» Deregulation, privatisation and encouraging competition
* Labour market reforms
* Incentives to work and invest (firms)
Equilibrium unemployment
Average wage
Qe
Quantity of labour
® Disequilibrium unemployment
Average wage
w1
Qe
Quantity of labour
AD1
AD 2
Y2 Y1 Yfc
ADL 1
ADL 2
Qa Qb
Quantity of labour
Here the demand for labour falls from ADL 1 to ADL 2, and with
wages reluctant to fall, disequilibrium unemployment exists from A
to B.
Quantity of labour
Numerical application:
Calculate unemployment rate from data
Inflation
Y2 Y1
AD 3
Yi Y2 ¥Yic
Supply side:
* Policies to increase the total supply of goods and services by
an economy
Y2 Y1
Real output (Y)
Y1 vy2
Numerical application:
Construct a weighted price index from data
Calculate inflation using price index and base year
AD2
P1 deeremneenenneen
SRPC2
SRPC1
2L
Unemployment rate (%)
This ‘relationship’ broke down in the late 1960s and early 1970s
when stagflation (stagnation, hence rising unemployment with
rising inflation) appeared in most developed/ industrial economies.
This is illustrated by the movement from A to C in the diagram
above. Rising factor costs and oil prices fuelled rising inflation,
SRPC3
SRPC2
2 ul
Y SRPC1
-1
SRAS1
P3
AD2
AD1
| Inflationary gap
—
Y1 Y2
ECONOMIC GROWTH
AD 2
Y1 Y2 Yfc
In the diagram above, with AD1 to AD2, the economy grows from
Y1 to Y2. This is the same as the move from A to B in the PPC
diagram below, with fewer resources unemployed at B than at A.
Consumer goods
PPC1
Capital goods
g
@
LRAS 1 LRAS 2
>
2
gg
o
s
L
-
i
5g
<
P2 b
AD
Y1 Y2
Real output (Y)
2vo
o
=5
o
£5
32
o
Q
PPC2
Capital goods
Key causes of this long run growth are investment in both physical
and human capital resulting in productivity growth (output per unit
of factor input).
Costs of growth:
e Inflation
Externalities and resource depletion
Increased importing and current account deficit
Unbalanced growth from a focus on consumption
Unequal distribution of income
Numerical application:
Calculate change in GDP
Calculate % change in real GDP (using a price index)
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME
100
Complete
equality
% of income \A
0 % of population 100
Gini coefficient = A
A+B
Direct taxes are taxes on income and wealth that are paid
directly to tax authorities. Indirect taxes are taxes on spending
that are paid by suppliers and therefore not directly by
consumers.
Poverty
Most countries have a level of income that is defined as a
‘poverty line’ (set at a level that is the minimum needed for
basic needs), and if a family has an income that is below this
then they are in absolute poverty. The World Bank defines
‘extreme poverty’ as living on less than $1.25 a day. Relative
poverty compares incomes in a country with median incomes
(a measure of income needed for a lifestyle typical for a certain
society and above absolute poverty).
Consequences of poverty:
Social problems
Lack of access to health care and education
Low living standards
Higher levels of preventable disease and iliness, infant
mortality, child and maternal mortality
Numerical application:
Calculate marginal and average tax rates
Calculate tax payable at a given level of income
1. (a) Explain why a country may wish to reduce its inflation rate.
(10 marks)
S dom
Sw
D dom
Ql Qe Q2
Quantity
Absolute Advantage
40 S
%,
2
%, &
&y
20 25
Cars
Computers Cars
X 100 25
Y 40 20
Both the diagram and the table above show the production
possibilities of countries X and Y with a given set of resources.
Here country X has an absolute advantage in both goods (it can
produce more of both goods with the same resources as Y). From
the graph we can see that the opportunity costs of production of
each good differ in each country because the PPFs are not
parallel. X has a comparative advantage in computers and Y has
a comparative advantage in cars.
In X:
the opportunity cost of producing 1 computer is 'I40f a car
(100/100 -> 25/100)
the opportunity cost of producing 1 car is 4 computers
(25/25 ->100/25)
InY:
the opportunity cost of producing 1 computer is "I, 0f a car
(40/40 -> 20/40)
So if country X can buy cars from Y for less than 4 computers and
Y can sell cars to X for more than 2 computers then both countries
will gain. If country Y can buy computers for less than % car and
country X can sell computers for more than % car then both
countries will gain.
Numerical application:
Calculate opportunity cost from data or graph to determine
comparative advantage
TERMS OF TRADE
The effect on the balance of payments will depend upon the price
elasticities of demand for exports and imports (see Marshall-Lerner
condition, page 102).
Numerical applications:
Calculate terms of trade index from an export price index and an
import price index
Calculate (percentage) the extent of an improvement or
deterioration in the terms of trade
WTO functions:
* Execute and administer WTO agreements between members
Provide a forum for trade negotiation
Rule on trade disputes between member countries
Monitor member trade policies
Provide assistance for ELDCs on trade issues
[FREE TRADE/PROTECTIONISM |
Free trade is the international exchange of goods and services
without any artificial barriers to trade (actions taken by
governments to either restrict imports or promote domestic
production and exports).
® Tariffs
A tax on imports both restricts imports and raises revenue for the
government.
Y
&
o
Pw+t Sw+t
Pw 1 Sw
D dom
Q1 Q3 Qe Q4 Q2
Quantity
In the graph above, D and S represent domestic demand for and
domestic supply of a particular good, and the pre-trade equilibrium
is at (Pe,Qe). The world price of this good (Pw) is lower that the
price of domestically-produced goods (Pe), and so quantity
demanded increases from Qe to Q. and the quantity supplied by
domestic firms falls to Q. This shortfall (Qs to Q) is covered by
imports. Then this country decides to put a tariff on imports and
this increases the price of imports (Pw.t), thus reducing the
quantity demanded to Q4 and increasing the quantity supplied by
domestic firms to Qs. This reduced shortfall is covered by a
reduced number of imports (Qzto Qg).
The final effects of a tariff will depend upon the price elasticities of
demand and supply and the size of the tariff itself.
Price
S dom
such as a reduction in imports
and tax revenue for the
government, there will always be
an increase in prices and a loss
of economic welfare due to a
reduction in consumption, an
S dom+quota
increase in consumer prices, and
increased output from inefficient
domestic firms. Of course, there P Lt s se e X
is always the threat of retaliation
as well.
D dom
Quantity
® Subsidies
A subsidy lowers the production costs for domestic producers but
does not alter the market price. In the graph below, with lower
production costs (vertical distance between S dom and S
dom+sub), domestic producers increase supply (S dom+sub).
Imports fall to Q3 to Q2 (from Q1 to Q2) and domestic firms’
revenue rises from box ‘a’ (pre-subsidy) to ‘a’+'b’+'e’. Importers
now have a revenue of just ‘c’'+'d’. The shaded area ‘e’ represents
the monetary cost of the subsidy to the government. Triangle ‘f’
represents the inefficiency caused by the misallocation of
resources away from a low cost producer (importers) to a high cost
producer (domestic producers).
S dom+sub
D dom
Q1 Q3 Qe Q2
Quantity
® Administrative Barriers
Countries can make it difficult to import goods by using
bureaucratic delays and tight safety restrictions
Numerical application:
Calculate from diagrams the effects of a tariff, quota and subsidy
on all stakeholders (domestic consumers and producers, foreign
producers and the government)
Calculate the change in net welfare
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
® Trading Blocs
A Free Trade Area is created when countries form a trading area
within which they move goods and services freely but each
individual country retains its own barriers to outside countries.
In a Customs Union individual country trade barriers no longer
exist and there is a unified trade policy.
A Common Market is a customs union with the free movement of
factors of production as well.
® NMonetary union
This is a common market with a common currency and a common
central bank (eg. the Eurozone)
Advantages:
¢ Resource allocation more efficient
e Increased real incomes/quality of life
¢ Increased export markets/ease of trade
* Price transparency
e Coordinated macro policy with lower inflation and interest rates
¢ Increased inward investment
¢ Reduced ER uncertainty between members
Disadvantages:
¢ Increased competition costs
* With lower levels of integration, firms may exploit differences in
employment and environmental legislation
e Loss of economic sovereignty (especially monetary policy)
e ‘One size fits all’ nature of monetary policy
s Problems dealing with asymmetric shocks
ER2
ER1
Q1 Q2
Quantity of §
ER2
Q1 Q2
Quantity of §
Decrease in demand
BRI frorrrrrsmmrmsososoneo) x
D1
Q1 Q
Quantity of currency
In the graph above, the central bank responds to a fall in demand
by buying the currency and/or raising interest rates.
Numerical application:
Calculate changes in the value of a currency from a set of data
Calculate and exchange rate from data and using linear demand
and supply functions plotted from data
Calculate, using exchange rates, the price of a good in different
currencies
Current account:
e Balance of trade in goods
* Balance of trade in services
* Income
* Current transfers
Capital account:
* Capital transfers
* Transactions in non-produced, non-financial assets
Financial account:
* Direct investment
* Portfolio investment
* Reserve assets
Numerical Application:
Calculate the balance of payments from data
® Protectionism
A country with a fixed exchange rate will not be able to rely upon a
devaluation in order to improve the competitiveness of its exports
and so it might well have to consider protectionist measures to
attempt to improve its balance of payments.
Data responses are questions that are based upon text and data,
which are not included here. There is more information on this
with the model markschemes at the end of the book.
Theory already highlighted in the micro part of the course: Development Economics is a
Prices: volatile commodity prices, PED/PES dangerous area for most
students, because they forget all
* Externalities: education (+ve) and environmental damage (-ve)
the pure theories and concepts
* Merit goods
around which good economics is
¢ Public good and common resource issues structured. Instead, Development
* PPC —investment Economics tends to slide into an
* Opportunity cost unstructured mass of anecdotal
stories that do little to explain,
analyse and evaluate the
Theory already highlighted in the macro part of the course: problems experienced by
* Sources of growth developing economies. Good
» Factor endowments and global inequality Development Economics will
make use of as many economic
* Gains from trade
concepts as any other area of the
* Problems with trade and trade barriers syllabus. To help you with this,
* Measuring GDP etc economic concepts are high-
* Income inequality and Lorenz curves/Gini coefficients lighted in bold type.
* Government policies to targets growth (demand and supply-
side)
| INTRODUCTION TO DEVELOPMENT
® Income inequality
If growth rather than development is prioritised, investment has a
central part to play. In order for investment to occur there needs to
be saving by a high-income sector, and this requires an unequal
distribution of income. In most ELDCs the richest 10% of the
population own 40-50% of the total national income.
® Sustainable development
Sustainable development means that economic growth in the
short run must not compromise the ability of an economy in the
long run to meet the needs of future generations.
Solutions:
Government provision of basic sanitation and clean water
Extension of property rights
Prohibition of polluting activities
Pollution taxes
Tradable pollution permits
Finding environmental actions that actually promote growth
Education of farmers and communities
Family planning
Removal of subsidies that encourage the use of fossil fuels
Growth Development
Low level:
Low health/education
econ growth \ / \
. Low level
Low Low income human
investment
NS
capital
[ MEASURING DEVELOPMENT |
Indicators of Development
® Indicators
As development is so hard to define, a variety of indicators can be
used:
Monetary/financial:
* GNP/GDP
Health:
* Birth rates in ELDCs tend to be double those in developed
countries
* Life expectancy at birth is the number of years that a
newborn baby can expect to live given constant health
standards, and is much lower in ELDCs
° Infant mortality rates measure the number of deaths per 1000
under the age of one year (not including babies born dead)
* Population growth tends to be high in ELDCs, because of
poverty, and the age structure is weighted towards the young
Education:
* Literacy rates are a problem for ELDCs
* Net primary education enrolment
* Primary teacher/pupil ratio
® Composite Indicators
The Human Development Index (HDI) is seen as a method of
overcoming issues that surround the use of single indicators. It
combines GNP per capita, life expectancy and literacy rates,
and shows that growth does not necessarily equate with
development. There are countries with low GNP per capita and
yet a high HDI, and vice versa.
® Appropriate technology
Investment is the forgoing of current consumption for increased
future consumption. Technological change and capital investment
often go hand-in-hand. Development depends upon appropriate
technology, enabling ELDCs to focus on reducing poverty instead
of simply enabling income to increase.
® Income distribution
A highly unequal distribution of income tends to constrain growth
and development because those on low incomes have a high
propensity to consume (low savings results in low levels of
investment) and the wealthy, gaining political power, tend to
generate policies that favour the status quo. Wealthy individuals in
ELDCs also tend to have a high marginal propensity to import and
generate large amounts of ‘capital flight'.
® Institutional Factors
Taxes, legal frameworks, over-regulation, a lack of effective
property rights and traditional thoughts and practices can all
provide the wrong incentives and act as barriers to development.
Also a lack of basic infrastructure inhibits development.
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
Trade strategies:
® Open, outward-oriented (export promotion) vs. closed,
inward-oriented (import substitution)
An open, outward-oriented strategy aims to encourage export
production to fund imports, and a closed, inward-oriented strategy
aims to discourage imports and provide domestically-produced
substitutes.
® Trade liberalisation
Moves towards ‘freer’ trade, it is believed, will help ELDCs focus
on exporting goods and services in which they have a comparative
advantage (covered earlier on in this guide).
® Diversification
As already mentioned, a narrow focus on primary product exports
is problematic for ELDCs. Diversification aims to move production
into the secondary sector exporting manufactured/semi-
manufactured goods and thus avoiding the problems of primary
products. With this strategy should come higher and more stable
revenues as well as gains in skill, capital investment, productivity
and incomes.
Fair Trade guarantees a price for producers that covers their costs
of production and provides a sustainable living. It also provides
long-term contracts and business training vital for long-term
stability. Fair trade allows consumers to purchase goods that
actually start to favour commaodity producers in ELDCs.
® Aid
Aid to ELDCs comes from two sources:
¢ Donor governments, called official development assistance
(ODA)
¢ Non-governmental organisations (NGOs)
Aid can help to fill resource gaps, which probably most often
appear as a lack of capital goods. Aid can also involve developing
much needed skills with which the aid itself can effectively be
used. Tied aid is very common, and donor countries often have
one eye on how they will benefit from giving aid. Aid can also
delay much needed reforms, do little to reduce income
inequalities, and support/fund dictatorships.
There are often less than ideal motives for countries giving aid,
with politics and self-interest in ELDCs with abundant natural
resources playing a part.
Benefits of aid:
* Fills savings and foreign exchange gaps
¢ Funds health/education/infrastructure
e Aids recovery from disaster
Disadvantages of aid:
Does not reach those most in need
ELDCs lack skills to carry out projects effectively
Food aid causes dependency
Tied aid
Dependency culture develops
Aid strengthens government control
Industrialisation might happen too quickly
Resources diverted away from productive sectors
Corruption
Whilst aid might help fill in ‘gaps’, and certainly NGOs do provide a
lot of important funds which often bypass governments and so
reach the people most in need, aid is no substitute for sound
economic policies and good economic management in general.
Whilst the amount ($) of aid is growing in absolute terms when
measured as a percentage of donor country national incomes, it is
in relative decline. Few countries (Denmark, Luxembourg,
Netherlands, Norway and Sweden) have reached the OECD
guideline of 0.7% of GNI. The USA donates around 0.2% of GNI.
® The IMF
The IMF aims to foster global monetary cooperation, secure
financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high levels
of employment and sustainable economic growth, and reduce
world poverty. IMF loans usually come with a package of policies,
known as stablisation policies. These policies have meant that
ELDC governments have been restricted in their use of fiscal
policy. Government spending is restricted, and tax systems are
reformed to collect revenue more effectively, be more progressive
and counter tax avoidance/evasion by the wealthy. Most policies,
focusing on reforming the structure of ELDC economies, are
supply-side policies. Given the structure of these economies, an
active demand management policy is hard to organise.
Stabilisation programmes often impart a sharp shock to ELDC
economies with which they are not able to cope. The tightening of
domestic monetary and fiscal policies reduces aggregate demand
leading to recession. The IMF ‘blueprint’ often fails to recognise
the differences between individual countries and there are cases
where countries that have followed a different path from that
suggested by the IMF, have been able to develop just as well, if
not better, than those following IMF advice. IMF decision-making is
also dominated by rich countries.
INTERNATIONAL DEBT |
International finance
The debt problem has its roots back in the 1973/4 petrol price
inflation and ‘petrodollars’ flooding banks in rich countries. Many of
these banks loaned this inflow of funds to ELDCs who were
importing oil and thus needed foreign exchange to help with their
current account deficits. Debts involve huge servicing costs (both
the principle loan and the interest payments) which have to be paid
before anything else. Debt therefore severely hampers a country’s
attempts to develop, as income has to be used for debt repayment
rather than investment in capital, human capital or social and
economic infrastructure. A rescheduling of debts has often been
accompanied by forced structural reforms. These reforms have
been based upon market forces, supply-side policies,
deflationary fiscal and monetary policies to target inflation, the
reduction of government debt and the encouragement of exports
by devaluing the currency. These reforms have often been a
painful experience for many ELDCs, resulting in reduced welfare
provision and widening income distribution.
The HIPC (Heavily Indebted Poor Country) Initiative along with the
MDRI (Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative) both seek to provide debt
relief to the most indebted ELDCs. Countries qualify if their GNI
per capita is below a certain level and then they have to follow
World Bank/IMF policies and use any ‘savings’ for poverty
reduction.
ELDCs can also suffer problems by not being able to convert their
domestic currency (non-convertible currency) for foreign
currencies causing obvious problems for international trade.
Capital flight is a capital outflow from any country, but for ELDCs
this can be a particular problem as valuable funds for investment
resources move to another country.
® Market-oriented policies
Policies:
* Free trade
* Floating exchange rates
¢ Labour market reforms
¢ Deregulation and privatisation
e Liberalised flows of capital, goods and services
Strengths:
* Reduced incidence of government failure
» Efficient working of the price mechanism
* Competition and efficiency
¢ Allocative and productive efficiency from reduced barriers to
entry and the movement of resources
Weaknesses:
* Market failure (externalities and merit goods especially)
* Asymmetric information in markets
* Weak/missing institutions needed for effective markets
* Income/access to resource and credit inequality
* Development of dual economy
® Interventionist policies
Policies:
e Provision of infrastructure
e State provided/subsidised education and health care
* Welfare safety nets
* Demand-side policies to maintain macro stability
Strengths:
* Correction of market failure
e Stable macro objectives
¢ Reduced income inequality and safety nets provided
e Infrastructure provision
Weaknesses:
* Government failure
* Red tape, bureaucracy and corruption
* Planning problems through lack of information and time-lags
(b) Explain how foreign aid can help a country to break out of
a poverty cycle. (4 marks)
Data responses are questions that are based upon text and data,
which are not included here. There is more information on this
with the model markschemes at the end of the book.
Whatever subject you are revising for, your aims, and to a certain
extent, your methods, are the same. You are aiming to learn your
subject material, and to develop exam skills.
Each person has to find the revision technique which works best
for them. If you are in the final stages of your IB revision in the
run-up to your exams you will probably have been able to try out
some techniques already in your trial exams and will know whether
they have worked for you or not. If they have not worked, then
don’t use them again. Try something different.
One of the dangers of just reading through your notes (apart from
the fact that this tends to send even the most enthusiastic student
to sleep) is that you will confuse understanding with memory.
Understanding and memory are different brain functions. You
understand your notes, but you can never be sure that you have
actually acquired and internalised the information they contain.
You must test your knowledge to be sure of this.
The good news is that this doesn’t have to mean sitting through
three-hour trial exam papers! To learn your material, you will have
to go over it again and again (there is no substitute for this
repetition: it's the way that your brain creates the neurological
connections which constitute memory). Practise the techniques
that you will be using in the exam: defining terms, drawing and
explaining diagrams, brainstorming, essay plans (you will be doing
essay plans in the exam!), graph drawing etc., all of which will
enable you to test your knowledge, and develop and practise
exam skills in an efficient timeframe. The most effective time
period to revisit a chunk of material is between 20-30 minutes; any
more and your brain’s efficiency starts to decline (the law of
diminishing marginal returns), and any less it doesn’t have time to
get into gear. In 20 minutes you can do two essay plans.
Always start with what you know. Say, for example, you are
revising monopoly. Your first revision of this topic might start with
a blank sheet of paper on which you write everything you can think
of about monopoly. After you have spent 10 minutes on this, go
back to your notes and see what you didn't know. Add this
information to your brainstorm. The next time you revise this topic
do, for example, three monopoly-based questions. Don’t waste
time actually writing them... just jot down a plan for them (don't
forget the graphs), then go back to your notes once again and see
what you forgot. You should remember more than the first time.
Not only will you be testing your monopoly knowledge and
increasing it as you go over the material for a second time, but you
will be forcing yourself to plan, and almost best of all, you will be
forced to write three different plans which answer the questions in
a structured way, rather than writing your catch-all standard
answer on monopoly. While it is difficult to predict what is going to
come up on a paper, it's a certainty that you won’t see a question
Section A
Microeconomics (Syllabus section 1)
Section B
Macroeconomics (Syllabus section 2)
AOs 1,2,3and 4
40 marks
Section A
International economics (Syllabus section 3)
Section B
Development economics (Syllabus section 4)
AOs 1,2,3and 4
45 marks
Section A (Microeconomics)
(a) 10 marks
Level Marks
0 Completely inappropriate answer 0
1 Little understanding of the specific demands of the question 1-3
Very little recognition of relevant economic theory
Relevant terms not defined
Significant errors
2 Some understanding of the specific demands of the 4-6
question
Some recognition of relevant economic theory
Some relevant terms defined
Some errors
3 Understanding of the specific demands of the question 7-8
Relevant economic theory explained and developed
Relevant economic terms defined
Few errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included
4 Clear understanding of the specific demands of the 9-10
question
Relevant economic theory clearly explained and developed
Relevant economic terms clearly defined
No major errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included and explained
Where appropriate, examples used
(b) 15 marks
Level Marks
0 Completely inappropriate answer 0
1 Little understanding of the specific demands of the question 1-5
Very little recognition of relevant economic theory
Relevant terms not defined
Significant errors
2 Some understanding of the specific demands of the 6-9
question
Some recognition of relevant economic theory
Some relevant terms defined
Some errors
3 Understanding of the specific demands of the question 10-12
Relevant economic theory explained and developed
Relevant economic terms defined
Few errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included
An attempt at evaluation
4 Clear understanding of the specific demands of the 13-15
question
Relevant economic theory clearly explained and developed
Relevant economic terms clearly defined
No major errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included and explained
Where appropriate, examples used
Evidence of appropriate evaluation
(a) 10 marks
Level Marks
0 Completely inappropriate answer 0
1 Little understanding of the specific demands of the question 1-3
Very little recognition of relevant economic theory
Relevant terms not defined
Significant errors
2 Some understanding of the specific demands of the 4-6
question
Some recognition of relevant economic theory
Some relevant terms defined
Some errors
3 Understanding of the specific demands of the question 7-8
Relevant economic theory explained and developed
Relevant economic terms defined
Few errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included
4 Clear understanding of the specific demands of the 9-10
question
Relevant economic theory clearly explained and developed
Relevant economic terms clearly defined
No major errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included and explained
Where appropriate, examples used
(b) 15 marks
Level Marks
0 Completely inappropriate answer 0
1 Little understanding of the specific demands of the question 1-5
Very little recognition of relevant economic theory
Relevant terms not defined
Significant errors
2 Some understanding of the specific demands of the 6-9
question
Some recognition of relevant economic theory
Some relevant terms defined
Some errors
3 Understanding of the specific demands of the question 10-12
Relevant economic theory explained and developed
Relevant economic terms defined
Few errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included
An attempt at evaluation
4 Clear understanding of the specific demands of the 13-15
question
Relevant economic theory clearly explained and developed
Relevant economic terms clearly defined
No major errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included and explained
Where appropriate, examples used
Evidence of appropriate evaluation
(a) 10 marks
Level Marks
0 Completely inappropriate answer 0
1 Little understanding of the specific demands of the question 1-3
Very little recognition of relevant economic theory
Relevant terms not defined
Significant errors
2 Some understanding of the specific demands of the 4-6
question
Some recognition of relevant economic theory
Some relevant terms defined
Some errors
3 Understanding of the specific demands of the question 7-8
Relevant economic theory explained and developed
Relevant economic terms defined
Few errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included
4 Clear understanding of the specific demands of the 9-10
question
Relevant economic theory clearly explained and developed
Relevant economic terms clearly defined
No major errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included and explained
Where appropriate, examples used
(b) 15 marks
Level Marks
0 Completely inappropriate answer 0
1 Little understanding of the specific demands of the question 1-5
Very little recognition of relevant economic theory
Relevant terms not defined
Significant errors
2 Some understanding of the specific demands of the 6-9
question
Some recognition of relevant economic theory
Some relevant terms defined
Some errors
3 Understanding of the specific demands of the question 10-12
Relevant economic theory explained and developed
Relevant economic terms defined
Few errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included
An attempt at evaluation
4 Clear understanding of the specific demands of the 13-15
question
Relevant economic theory clearly explained and developed
Relevant economic terms clearly defined
No major errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included and explained
Where appropriate, examples used
Evidence of appropriate evaluation
(a) 10 marks
Level Marks
0 Completely inappropriate answer 0
1 Little understanding of the specific demands of the question 1-3
Very little recognition of relevant economic theory
Relevant terms not defined
Significant errors
2 Some understanding of the specific demands of the 4-6
question
Some recognition of relevant economic theory
Some relevant terms defined
Some errors
3 Understanding of the specific demands of the question 7-8
Relevant economic theory explained and developed
Relevant economic terms defined
Few errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included
4 Clear understanding of the specific demands of the 9-10
question
Relevant economic theory clearly explained and developed
Relevant economic terms clearly defined
No major errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included and explained
Where appropriate, examples used
(b) 15 marks
Level Marks
0 Completely inappropriate answer 0
1 Little understanding of the specific demands of the question 1-5
Very little recognition of relevant economic theory
Relevant terms not defined
Significant errors
2 Some understanding of the specific demands of the 6-9
question
Some recognition of relevant economic theory
Some relevant terms defined
Some errors
3 Understanding of the specific demands of the question 10-12
Relevant economic theory explained and developed
Relevant economic terms defined
Few errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included
An attempt at evaluation
4 Clear understanding of the specific demands of the 13-15
question
Relevant economic theory clearly explained and developed
Relevant economic terms clearly defined
No major errors
Where appropriate, diagrams included and explained
Where appropriate, examples used
Evidence of appropriate evaluation
Part (a)
2-4 lines will be sufficient to gain full marks on this question. You
will need to make at least two points to gain full marks.
Part (d)
Making clear use of the text (actually quote and state which
paragraph is being quoted) is necessary to gain more than 5 out of
8 marks. Your answer must be based upon economic concepts
and the development of concepts, rather than simply quoting from
the text.
Level Marks
0 Wrong definition 0
1 Vague definition 1
2 Precise definition 2
Level Marks
0 Wrong definition 0
1 Vague definition 1
2 Precise definition 2
Level Marks
0 Inappropriate answer 0
The vertical axis may be price (or value) of the currency in US$ (or
in other currencies), US$/currency or exchange rate. The
horizontal axis should be quantity of currency or just quantity (or
Q). A title is not necessary.
Level Marks
0 Inappropriate answer 0
For AD/AS, the vertical axis may be price level, average price
level, or inflation. The horizontal axis may be output, real output,
national output, real national output, national income (Y), or GDP.
Any appropriate abbreviations, such as APL, CPl, RNO or RNY
are allowable. A title is not necessary.
Level Marks
0 No valid discussion 0
1 Few relevant concepts recognized. 1-2
Little discussion or only basic understanding.
2 Relevant concepts recognized and developed in 3-5
reasonable depth
Some attempt at application and analysis.
3 Relevant concepts developed in reasonable depth, 6-8
demonstrating effective evaluation, supported by
appropriate evidence or theory.
Level Marks
0 Wrong definition 0
1 Vague definition 1
2 Precise definition 2
Level Marks
0 Wrong definition 0
1 Vague definition 1
2 Precise definition 2
(b) Explain how foreign aid can help a country to break out
of a poverty cycle. (4 marks)
Level Marks
0 Inappropriate answer 0
Level Marks
0 Inappropriate answer 0
For noting that one country has a higher HDI than the other
and that HDI includes other factors than just GDP per
capita.
For noting that one country has a higher HDI than the other
and that HDI includes other factors than just GDP. For full
marks comments on health care and education. In
comparison to GDP per capita figures would be needed.
Level Marks
0 No valid discussion 0
1 Few relevant concepts recognized. 1-2
Little discussion or only basic understanding.
2 Relevant concepts recognized and developed in 3-5
reasonable depth
Some attempt at application and analysis.
3 Relevant concepts developed in reasonable depth, 6-8
demonstrating effective evaluation, supported by
appropriate evidence or theory.