Chapter 5 (Normal Probability Distribution)
Chapter 5 (Normal Probability Distribution)
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
Inflection points
Total area = 1
x
μ − 3σ μ − 2σ μ−σ μ μ+σ μ + 2σ μ + 3σ
e = 2.178 π = 3.14
Properties of Normal Distributions
The most important probability distribution in statistics is the
normal distribution.
Normal curve
z
−3 −2 −1 0 1 2 3
Normal Distribution Standard Normal Distribution
μ≠0 μ=0
σ≠1 σ=1
P( x ) P( z )
x z
μ ≠0 σ≠1 μ =0 1
Same area
z= Value - Mean
=
x -μ.
Standard deviation σ
The Standard Normal Distribution
If each data value of a normally distributed random
variable x is transformed into a z-score, the result will be
the standard normal distribution.
The area that falls in the interval under the
nonstandard normal curve (the x-values) is the
same as the area under the standard normal
curve (within the corresponding z-boundaries).
z
−3 −2 −1 0 1 2 3
z
0 1.23
1. Use the table to find
the area for the z-score.
Guidelines for Finding Areas
z
0 1.23
1. Use the table to find
the area for the z-score.
Guidelines for Finding Areas
z
−0.75 0 1.23
−2.33 0
z
0 0.94
z
−1.98 0 1.07
A. We look for the entry in Table 3 which is closest to 0.01 and get 0.0099
corresponding to z = -2.33. Thus z0.01 = -2.33.
B. We look for the
entry in Table 3 which
is closest to 0.05 and
get 0.0495 and 0.0505
corresponding to z = -
1.65 and z = -1.64.
Thus,
by interpolation, z0.05
= 1.645.
Example A
Find the z-score that corresponds to a cumulative area
of 0.9973.
Standard Normal Table
z .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08
.08 .09
0.0 .5000 .5040 .5080 .5120 .5160 .5199 .5239 .5279 .5319 .5359
0.1 .5398 .5438 .5478 .5517 .5557 .5596 .5636 .5675 .5714 .5753
0.2 .5793 .5832 .5871 .5910 .5948 .5987 .6026 .6064 .6103 .6141
2.6 .9953 .9955 .9956 .9957 .9959 .9960 .9961 .9962 .9963 .9964
2.7
2.7 .9965 .9966 .9967 .9968 .9969 .9970 .9971 .9972 .9973 .9974
2.8 .9974 .9975 .9976 .9977 .9977 .9978 .9979 .9979 .9980 .9981
−3.4 .0002 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003
−0.2 .0003 .0004 .0004 .0004 .0004 .0004 .0004 .0005 .0005 .0005
Use the
closest
−0.3 .3483 .3520 .3557 .3594 .3632 .3669 .3707 .3745 .3783 .3821 area.
−0.2
−0.2 .3859 .3897 .3936 .3974 .4013 .4052 .4090 .4129 .4168 .4207
−0.1 .4247 .4286 .4325 .4364 .4404 .4443 .4483 .4522 .4562 .4602
−0.0 .4641 .4681 .4724 .4761 .4801 .4840 .4880 .4920 .4960 .5000
Area = 0.75
z
μ =0 0.67?
μ = 10
P(x < 15) σ=5
x
μ =10 15
Probability and Normal Distributions
Example 1
The average on a statistics test was 78 with a standard
deviation of 8. If the test scores are normally distributed,
find the probability that a student receives a test score
less than 90.
μ = 78
σ=8 z = x - μ = 90 - 78
σ 8
P(x < 90) = 1.5
μ = 78 z = x - μ = 85 - 78
σ=8
σ 8
= 0.875 ≈ 0.88
P(x > 85)
The probability that a student
x receives a test score greater
μ =78 85 than 85 is 0.1894.
z
μ =0 0.88
?
P(x > 85) = P(z > 0.88) = 1 − P(z < 0.88) = 1 − 0.8106 = 0.1894
Example 3
The average on a statistics test was 78 with a standard
deviation of 8. If the test scores are normally distributed,
find the probability that a student receives a test score
between 60 and 80.
z1 = x - μ = 60 - 78 = -2.25
σ 8
P(60 < x < 80) z 2 = x - μ = 80 - 78 = 0.25
μ = 78 σ 8
σ=8
The probability that a student
x receives a test score between
60 μ =78 80 60 and 80 is 0.5865.
z
−2.25
? μ =0 0.25
?
P(60 < x < 80) = P(−2.25 < z < 0.25) = P(z < 0.25) − P(z < −2.25)
= 0.5987 − 0.0122 = 0.5865
H.W. Example (page 129)
With an eye toward improving performance, industrial engineers study the
ability of scanners to read the bar codes of various food and household
products. The maximum reduction in power, occurring just before the scanner
cannot read the bar code at a fixed distance, is called the maximum attenuation.
This quantity, measured in decibels, varies from product to product. After
collecting considerable data, the engineers decided to model the variation in
maximum attenuation as a normal distribution with mean 10.1 dB and standard
deviation 2.7 dB.
Normal Distributions: Finding Values
Example 13 Transforming a z-Score to an x-Score
The monthly electric bills in a city are normally distributed
with a mean of $120 and a standard deviation of $16. Find
the x-value corresponding to a z-score of 1.60.
x = μ + zσ
= 120 +1.60(16)
= 145.6
μ = x - (z.σ) = 4.082
5.3 The Normal Approximation to the Binomial
Distribution
Discrete Random Variable x
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X-1 x X+1
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
If 20% of the memory chips made in a certain plant are defective, what are the
probabilities that in a lot of 100 randomly chosen for inspection
A. At most 15 will be defective.
B. Exactly 15 will be defective.
(a) Using the formulas for mean and standard
deviation, we find
μ = n p = 100 × 0.02 = 20 and σ = 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 1 − 𝑝𝑝 = 4
15.5 − 20
𝑝𝑝 𝑥𝑥 < 15 = 𝐹𝐹 = 𝐹𝐹 −1.13
4
= 0.1292
15.5−20 14.5−20
(b) 𝑝𝑝 𝑥𝑥 = 15 = 𝐹𝐹 4
− 𝐹𝐹
4
= 𝐹𝐹 −1.13 − 𝐹𝐹 −1.38
= 0.1292-0.0838 = 0.0454.