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CPIM Formulas Flashcard

1. Regression analysis techniques are used to analyze trends in available to promise (ATP) data and forecast future values. 2. Discrete ATP considers individual time periods while cumulative ATP aggregates data across time to smooth fluctuations. 3. Various metrics are used to measure forecast accuracy and reliability such as mean squared error, mean absolute percent error, and safety stock calculations.

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309 views4 pages

CPIM Formulas Flashcard

1. Regression analysis techniques are used to analyze trends in available to promise (ATP) data and forecast future values. 2. Discrete ATP considers individual time periods while cumulative ATP aggregates data across time to smooth fluctuations. 3. Various metrics are used to measure forecast accuracy and reliability such as mean squared error, mean absolute percent error, and safety stock calculations.

Uploaded by

orefixul
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Regression Analysis: Slope Intercept Formula Available to Promise

Trend Line Discrete ATP

Trend-Adjusted Seasonal Factor Process Cumulative ATP with Look-Ahead

Mean Squared Error cumulative ATP without look-ahead

Projected Available Balance (PAB): Before Demand Time


Mean Absolute Percent Error
Fence

Projected Available Balance (PAB): After Demand Time


Tracking Signal
Fence

Standard Deviation / Root Mean Squared Error Mixed-Model Production Schedule


Forecast Accuracy Scrap Loss: How much to plan to produce

SCOR: Reliability Level Safety Stock

SCOR: Responsiveness Safety Stock with Square Root Method

Time-Phased Order Point (TPOP): Finding Projected


Backlog in MTO
Available Balance

Ending Inventory in MTS DRP Net Requirements

Actual Ending Inventory in MTS


On-Hand Inv + MPS - Sum of (Customer Orders before
y = mx + b r is the coefficientof correlation
next MPS)

MPS - Sum of (Customer orders before next MPS)


Includes orders within the current period's MPS y = mx + b Where: y=Trend x=Period b=y intercept
Excludes orders of the period containing the next MPS

1. Actual Trend Ratio: Actual / Trend, for each period 2.


=ATP from previous period+MPS of period-backlog of
Calculate Trend-Adjusted Seasonal Indices: Average all
period-(sum of differences between backlogs and MPSs
periods' Actual-Trend Ratios 3. Calculate Trend-
of all future periods until period where point production
Adjusted Seasonal Forecast: Period's Trend-Adjusted
exceeds backlogs)
Seasonal Index x Trend Value

= ATP in previous period + MPS - backlog in period MSE = Sum of (Errors of each period) ^2 / Number of
being considered Periods

Prior Period PAB + MPS Receipt - Customer Orders MAPE = Sum of ( | A - F | / A ) x100% / n

Prior Period PAB + Scheduled MPS Receipt -


Integer Sum of Deviations / MAD
max[Customer Order, Forecast]

Production Plans of each product of time horizon (1


month) / Number of Periods of the time horizon (4 sqrt [ Sum of (Actual-Avg)^2 / (n-1) ]
weeks)
Sum of (Number correct) / Sum of (Number of Correct
Amount needed / ( 1 - Scrap Loss Rate)
+ Number incorrect)

(Maximum Daily Usage x Maximum LT in Days) - (Avg


Number of Perfect Orders / Total Number of Orders
Daily Usage x Avg LT in Days)

Future SS = Current SS x sqrt [ Number of DCs in future Sum of Actual Cycle TImes of All Orders Delivered /
/ Number of DCs currently] Total Number of Orders Delivered

PAB = On hand Inv - (Demand + Remaining Forecasts) Backlog ending = Backlog beginning + Demand -
+ SCheduled Receipts Supply

Forecast + Safety Stock - Prior PAB or On-Hand - In


Beginning Inv + Supply - Demand
Transit Inv

PAB + Actual MPS Production - Actual Sales

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