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Izza Investment

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Submitted by IZZA TANVEER

01-114201-006

Selected Stock Engro Foods

Date Price Return KSE 100 Return


12/1/2021 84.6 44,596.07
1/1/2022 93.82 10.90% 45,374.68 1.75%
2/1/2022 83 -11.53% 44,461.01 -2.01%
3/1/2022 84.5 1.81% 44,928.83 1.05%
4/1/2022 74.94 -11.31% 45,249.41 0.71%
5/1/2022 71 -5.26% 43,078.14 -4.80%
6/1/2022 68.25 -3.87% 41,540.83 -3.57%
7/1/2022 65.99 -3.31% 40,150.36 -3.35%
8/1/2022 72.5 9.87% 42,351.15 5.48%
9/1/2022 65.5 -9.66% 41,128.67 -2.89%
10/1/2022 68 3.82% 41,264.66 0.33%
11/1/2022 69.9 2.79% 42,348.63 2.63%
12/1/2022 65.99 -5.59% 40,420.45 -4.55%
-21.36% -9.22%
Average Return of Engro -1.78% Average Return of KSE 100 -0.77%

To Find Beta
Beta = Cov / Var
Beta -----> 0.68
Since beta is lesser than 1 it means that engro stocks has lower volatality than the KSE 100 index.

As of june 2023 the t-bill rate for 12 month period is 21.9997%. Expected Return ->
monthly rate --> 1.83% E.R ----->

Prediction of Price on January 1st 2023


1/1/2023 66.0309138
R1 -> Return - Avg Return on engro R2 -> Return - Avg Return on KSE 100 R3 -> R1 * R2 (R2)^2

12.68% 2.51% 0.32% 0.06%


-9.75% -1.25% 0.12% 0.02%
3.59% 1.82% 0.07% 0.03%
-9.53% 0.71% -0.07% 0.01%
-3.48% -4.03% 0.14% 0.16%
-2.09% -2.80% 0.06% 0.08%
-1.53% -2.58% 0.04% 0.07%
11.64% -4.71% -0.55% 0.22%
-7.88% -2.12% 0.17% 0.04%
5.60% 1.10% 0.06% 0.01%
4.57% 3.39% 0.16% 0.12%
-3.81% -3.79% 0.14% 0.14%
0.65% 0.96%

than the KSE 100 index.

Rf + B(Rm-Rf)
0.062% By comparing 0.06% with -1.78%(return on stock value) we can say that the stcok is un
e) we can say that the stcok is undervalued.

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