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Military Rotorcraft
Analysis 2
The Market for Medium/Heavy
Military Rotorcraft
2011-2020
Table of Contents
Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................................2
Introduction................................................................................................................................................................3
Trends..........................................................................................................................................................................4
Competitive Environment.....................................................................................................................................13
Market Statistics .....................................................................................................................................................15
Table 1 - The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Unit Production by Headquarters/Company/Program 2011 - 2020......................................................16
Table 2 - The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Value Statistics by Headquarters/Company/Program 2011 - 2020 ......................................................21
Figure 1 - The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Unit Production 2011-2020 (Bar Graph).....................................................................................26
Figure 2 - The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Value of Production 2011-2020 (Bar Graph) ..............................................................................26
Table 3 - The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Unit Production % Market Share by Headquarters/Company 2011 - 2020..........................................27
Table 4 - The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Value Statistics % Market Share by Headquarters/Company 2011 - 2020 ..........................................29
Figure 3 - The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Unit Production % Market Share 2011-2020 (Pie Chart)............................................................31
Figure 4 - The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Value Statistics % Market Share 2011-2020 (Pie Chart).............................................................31
Conclusion ...............................................................................................................................................................32
* * *
PROGRAMS
The following reports are included in this section: (Note: a single report may cover several programs.)
AgustaWestland AW101
Bell/Boeing V-22 Osprey
Boeing AH-64 Apache
Boeing CH-47
Eurocopter AS 332/532/EC 225/725
KAI Korean Utility Helicopter
Kamov Ka-28/29/31/32
Kamov Ka-50/52
Kamov Ka-60/62
Mil Mi-8/17
Mil Mi-24
Mil Mi-26
Mil Mi-28
NH Industries NH90
Sikorsky CH-53/MH-53
Sikorsky S-92
Sikorsky SH/MH-60 Seahawk
Sikorsky UH-60/S-70 Black Hawk
Introduction
At least for another few years, the medium/heavy Multirole capability is therefore an important attribute
segment of the military rotorcraft market will be able to for a medium/heavy rotorcraft in the military
maintain the steady growth track that it has followed in marketplace. Thus, when it comes to analyzing and
recent years. However, the era of sustained market forecasting the medium/heavy segment, a
growth is coming to an end. Build rates can be expected methodological approach is required that, at least to
to start declining as soon as 2014, and then continue some extent, can look beyond the various submarkets.
declining through the remainder of the forecast period. While these submarkets need to be considered and
evaluated, they must be seen in correlation with each
Our projections for the medium/heavy segment indicate
other and not treated as isolated and discrete elements.
that annual production will total 418 units in 2011, rise
to 504 units by 2013, and then start a gradual but steady Methodology. Forecast International generally
decline. Yearly output is expected to total only 366 defines a medium/heavy rotorcraft as having a
units in 2020. maximum gross weight greater than or equal to 6,804
kilograms (15,000 lb). Rotorcraft with a gross weight
One of the primary market drivers in the segment has
of less than 15,000 pounds are generally defined as light
been the continuing high level of acquisition of
rotorcraft.
medium/heavy rotorcraft by the U.S. armed services.
As the U.S. represents a very large portion of the world In applying these definitions to the current range of
market for such machines, U.S. procurement levels tend products on the rotorcraft market, however, we allowed
to have a substantial influence on the shape and scope of ourselves some leeway. Our goal was to group together
the global market. directly competing products as much as possible, and a
too-strict application of our gross-weight-based
The U.S. is not the only nation that has ramped up
definitions would interfere with this. So, a few
military helicopter acquisition in recent years. The
exceptions were made, and we placed some models in
nature of present-day military conflict calls for heavy
the opposite class than would seem to be indicated by
reliance on the use of rotary-wing assets. Not
their weight. For example, the Bell UH-1Y, despite its
coincidentally, the medium/heavy military rotorcraft
gross weight of 18,500 pounds, has been categorized for
market has witnessed an influx of new products,
our purposes as a light rotorcraft since much of its direct
production ramp-ups of which are helping to drive
competition is found in the light class.
overall production levels in the segment.
Besides year-by-year production forecasts for individual
Nevertheless, both in the U.S. and elsewhere, many of
rotorcraft models, this study also includes manufacturer
these acquisition programs will soon run their course.
market share projections. In calculating such
The result is that, by the second half of the forecast
projections, joint ventures and other types of industry
period, annual production in the medium/heavy military
teams are treated as separate entities from the individual
market will be declining. Very few nations are
firms that make up their membership. Thus, the market
embarking on major new procurement programs for
shares of the Bell/Boeing V-22 team are calculated
such rotorcraft.
independently from either Bell or Boeing. This avoids
Thus, by 2014 or so, the current procurement cycle will the problem of having to apportion the shares among the
be nearing an end. Many of the new rotorcraft models various team members.
developed in past years will have already been in
Included in this market analysis are production forecasts
production for several years.
for the following rotorcraft families:
The medium/heavy military rotorcraft market comprises
AgustaWestland AW101
a number of submarkets such as attack helicopters,
Bell/Boeing V-22
transport/utility, anti-submarine warfare (ASW), search-
Boeing AH-64 Apache
and-rescue, and so forth. Most of the products currently
Boeing CH-47 Chinook
sold on the market compete in more than one of these
Eurocopter AS 532/EC 725
subsegments. Many are marketed in a variety of
KAI Korean Utility Helicopter
versions and configurations that are individually tailored
Kamov Ka-28/29/31
for use in specific roles. This broadens the market
Kamov Ka-50/52
appeal of a helicopter product family, and can also assist
Mil Mi-8/17
a military customer in achieving fleet consolidation and
Mil Mi-24/25/35
rationalization.
Continued…
©2011
Rotorcraft Forecast
UH/HH-60Ms 100
80
New Black Hawk models are being developed for the
international market 60
40
20
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Units
Units 119 103 103 109 106 103 99 98 99 100
Orientation
Description. Twin-turbine, single-main-rotor, Total Produced. Through 2009, approximately 2,697
medium-lift military transport helicopter. Black Hawks had been produced.
Sponsor. U.S. Army Aviation & Missile Command, Application. Tactical troop/assault transport,
Redstone Arsenal, Alabama, USA. medevac, and various multipurpose tasks.
Status. Production by Sikorsky in the U.S. Licensed Price Range. UH-60M, $16.05 million in 2010 U.S.
production by Mitsubishi in Japan. dollars.
Contractors
Prime
Sikorsky Aircraft Corp http://www.sikorsky.com, 6900 Main St, Stratford, CT 06614 United States,
Tel: + 1 (203) 386-4000, Fax: + 1 (203) 386-7300, Prime
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd http://www.mhi.co.jp/en/, 16-5 Konan 2-chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo, 108-8215 Japan,
(MHI) Tel: + 81 3 6716 3111, Fax: + 81 3 6716 5800, Licensee
Subcontractor
CMC Electronics Inc http://www.cmcelectronics.ca, 600 Dr Frederik Philips Blvd, Ville Saint-Laurent, H4M 2S9
Quebec, Canada, Tel: + 1 (514) 748-3148, Fax: + 1 (514) 748-3100 (Vertical Scale
Engine Instruments)
Chicago Rawhide Mfg Co http://www2.chicago-rawhide.com/, 900 N State St, Elgin, IL 60123-2147 United States,
Tel: + 1 (847) 742-7840, Fax: + 1 (847) 742-9673 (Rotor Head Elastomeric Bearings)
Curtiss-Wright Corp http://www.curtisswright.com, 10 Waterview Blvd, 2nd Fl, Parsippany, NJ 07054 United
States, Tel: + 1 (973) 541-3700, Fax: + 1 (973) 541-3699 (Collective Trim Actuator; Roll
Actuator; Yaw Actuator)
Engineered Fabrics Corp http://www.kfefc.com, 669 Goodyear St, Rockmart, GA 30153 United States,
Tel: + 1 (770) 684-7855, Fax: + 1 (770) 684-7438 (Main Fuel Cell)
GE - Aviation Systems, Actuation http://www.geaviationsystems.com, 2040 E Dyer Rd, Santa Ana, CA 92705-5710 United
and Landing Gear States, Tel: + 1 (949) 250-3123, Fax: + 1 (949) 261-2013 (Landing Gear Components)
Goodrich Fuel & Utility Systems http://www.goodrich.com, 197 Ridgedale Ave, Cedar Knolls, NJ 07927 United States,
Tel: + 1 (973) 267-4500, Fax: + 1 (973) 734-7982 (Tail Landing Gear Actuator; Stabilator;
Pedal Adjuster; Pitch Bias; Pitch Bias Actuator; Pedal Adjuster Actuator; Stabilator
Actuator)
Goodrich Sensors and Integrated http://www.goodrich.com, 14300 Judicial Rd, Burnsville, MN 55306-4000 United States,
Systems Tel: + 1 (952) 892-4000, Fax: + 1 (952) 892-4800 (Air Data Transducer; Blade Ice Detector
Signal Converter; Ice Rate System; Low Airspeed Sensor System; Pitot-Static System;
Pressure System)
Hitchcock Industries Inc http://www.hitchcockusa.com, 8701 Harriet Ave S, Minneapolis, MN 55420-2787 United
States, Tel: + 1 (952) 881-1000, Fax: + 1 (952) 887-7858 (Main Gearbox Housing
Casting)
Honeywell Aerospace http://www51.honeywell.com/aero, 1944 E Sky Harbor Circle, Phoenix, AZ 85034 United
States, Tel: + 1 (602) 231-1000, Fax: + 1 (602) 365-2075 (Electrical Power Generators)
Honeywell Aerospace, Lighting & http://www.honeywellaes.com/lighting/index.jsp, 550 Route 55, PO Box 247, Urbana, OH
Electronics 43078 United States, Tel: + 1 (937) 484-2000, Fax: + 1 (937) 484-2008 (Heating &
Ventilating Valve & Sensor)
Hughes-Treitler Manufacturing http://www.hughes-treitler.com, 300 Endo Blvd, Garden City, NY 11530-6708 United
Corp States, Tel: + 1 (516) 832-8811, Fax: + 1 (516) 832-8054 (Oil Cooler)
December 2010
Rotorcraft Forecast Page 3
LP Aero Plastics Inc http://www.lpaero.com, 1086 Boquet Rd, Jeannette, PA 15644-4707 United States,
Tel: + 1 (724) 744-4448, Fax: + 1 (724) 744-7372 (Windshields)
Labinal http://www.labinal.com, 36, rue Raymond Grimaud, Blagnac, 31700 France,
Tel: + 33 5 34 60 00 00, Fax: + 33 5 34 60 01 99 (Damping Mount)
MarathonNorco Aerospace Inc http://www.mptc.com/, 8301 Imperial Dr, PO Box 8232, Waco, TX 76712-6588 United
States, Tel: + 1 (254) 776-0650, Fax: + 1 (254) 776-6558 (Engine Compartment Hold
Open Strut)
Moog Inc http://www.moog.com, Jamison Rd, East Aurora, NY 14052 United States,
Tel: + 1 (716) 652-2000, Fax: + 1 (716) 687-4457 (Trim Actuator; Pitch Actuator; Roll
Actuator)
Parker Aerospace Hydraulic http://www.parker.com, 2220 Palmer Ave, Kalamazoo, MI 49001-4165 United States,
Systems Division Tel: + 1 (269) 384-3400, Fax: + 1 (269) 384-3862 (Hydraulic Pump)
Parker Aerospace Nichols http://www.parker.com, 711 Taylor St, PO Box 4032, Elyria, OH 44036 United States,
Airborne Division, Elyria Facility Tel: + 1 (440) 284-6300, Fax: + 1 (440) 322-6094 (Fuel Pump)
Parker Aerospace Stratoflex http://www.parker.com, 220 Roberts Cut-Off Rd, Fort Worth, TX 76114 United States,
Products Division Tel: + 1 (817) 738-6543, Fax: + 1 (817) 738-9920 (Hydraulic Hose)
Parker Hannifin Aerospace Group http://www.parker.com, 14300 Alton Pkwy, Irvine, CA 92618 United States,
Tel: + 1 (949) 833-3000, Fax: + 1 (949) 851-3277 (Main Rotor Servo Actuator)
Precision Gear Inc http://www.precisiongearinc.com, 112-07 14th Ave, College Point, NY 11356 United
States, Tel: + 1 (718) 321-7200, Fax: + 1 (718) 321-7001 (Main Engine Output Shaft
Gearbox)
Timken Aerospace Transmissions http://www.timken.com, 586 Hilliard St, PO Box 1898, Manchester, CT 06040-1898
LLC United States, Tel: + 1 (860) 649-9000, Fax: + 1 (860) 645-6293 (Hub Assembly)
Comprehensive information on Contractors can be found in Forecast International’s “International Contractors” series. For a detailed description,
go to www.forecastinternational.com (see Products & Samples/Governments & Industries) or call + 1 (203) 426-0800.
Contractors are invited to submit updated information to Editor, International Contractors, Forecast International, 22 Commerce Road, Newtown,
CT 06470, USA; [email protected]
Technical Data
(UH-60M)
Design Features. Single-main-rotor helicopter with integral tail boom and rotor system. Twin turboshafts drive
from the cold end directly into the main rotor gearbox. Landing gear is fixed.
Metric U.S.
Dimensions
Length overall(a) 19.79 m 64.92 ft
Length, folded(b) 12.62 m 41.42 ft
Main rotor diameter 16.38 m 53.75 ft
Tail rotor diameter 3.35 m 11.0 ft
Height overall 5.16 m 16.92 ft
Cabin volume 11.2 cu m 396 cu ft
Weight
Maximum gross weight 9,979 kg 22,000 lb
Capacities
Standard fuel 1,361 liters 360 U.S. gal
Metric U.S.
Performance
Maximum cruise speed 280 km/h 151 kt
HIGE ceiling 3,206 m 10,520 ft
HOGE ceiling 1,831 m 6,010 ft
AEO service ceiling 4,626 m 15,180 ft
Maximum range, no reserves 511 km 276 nm
Propulsion
UH-60A (2) General Electric T700-GE-700 turboshaft engines rated 1,163 kW (1,560 shp) each.
UH-60L (2) General Electric T700-GE-701C turboshaft engines rated 1,447 kW (1,940 shp)
each.
UH-60M (2) General Electric T700-GE-701D turboshaft engines rated 1,652 kW (2,215 shp)
each, or
(2) General Electric T700-GE-701E turboshaft engines rated 1,652 kW (2,215 shp)
each.
S-70C (2) General Electric CT7-2C/D turboshaft engines rated 1,212-1,285 kW (1,625-1,723
shp) each.
Seating
Pilot, copilot, and 15-20 troops is the standard troop transport arrangement.
Armament
One or two machine guns in forward cabin area. Provision for HELLFIRE missiles.
Variants/Upgrades
UH-60L. Sikorsky and the U.S. Army had planned to license-produced by Mitsubishi. UH-60Js have
introduce a much improved UH-60B model in the early replaced H-3 Sea Kings and KV-107s in the search-and-
1990s; however, funding constraints prevented a major rescue role.
effort. Still, the Army was able to structure a program
UH-60JA. Variant for the Japan Ground Self-Defense
aimed at enabling the Black Hawk to attain the
Force. It is license-produced by Mitsubishi.
performance of the original UH-60A. Since its
introduction in 1978, the UH-60A had gained about UH-60P. Designation for UH-60L for South Korea.
2,000 pounds in weight and had lost a great deal of its
original performance capability, such as hover-out-of- UH-60M. The UH-60M features increased-
ground-effect at altitude, payload, etc. The first performance engines, composite spar wide-chord main
improved model was the UH-60L, or interim Black rotor blades, a new stabilator system, and a fully
Hawk. It incorporates a 3,400-horsepower main digitized cockpit with four multifunction displays, a
gearbox with improved reliability and durability, four-axis fully coupled flight director, a digital map,
1,940-shp GE T700-GE-701C engines, and, from July dual embedded global positioning/inertial navigation
1991, a Honeywell auxiliary power unit (APU). The systems, and an Integrated Vehicle Health Management
UH-60L has more payload than the A model, and is System (IVHMS). The initial version of the UH-60M is
currently capable of sling-loading 9,000 pounds. powered by 1,652-kW (2,215-shp) General Electric
T700-GE-701D engines.
Initial deliveries of the UH-60L occurred in November
1989. Original plans called for a further-enhanced Compared to the UH-60A/L, the UH-60M provides
model, dubbed the UH-60M, to enter production in increased payload and range, and improved handling
1992, but this variant was subsequently canceled. The qualities and survivability.
designation UH-60M is now used for a new Black At one time, the U.S. Army had intended to
Hawk version (see below). remanufacture 1,213 of its existing Black Hawks to the
UH-60J. Variant for the Japan Air Self-Defense Force new UH-60M configuration. However, in late 2004, the
and the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force. It is service decided to abandon the remanufacturing effort
December 2010
Rotorcraft Forecast Page 5
and instead procure all of its UH-60M production VH-60A/N. Operated by the U.S. Marine Corps.
aircraft as new-build helicopters. The Army determined Originally known as the VH-60A, it was later
that building UH-60Ms from scratch involved only a redesignated VH-60N. Nine aircraft were procured.
small cost increase compared to rebuilding existing The first six were delivered in 1988, and the final three
UH-60A/Ls to the M standard. The Army now intends were delivered in 1989.
to acquire 1,235 UH/HH-60M helicopters. This total
MH-60K. In January 1988, Sikorsky received an
includes eight test aircraft and 1,227 production aircraft.
$82.8 million, 38-month contract to develop an
The eight test aircraft included four prototypes and four MH-60K prototype for the U.S. Army's Special
preproduction aircraft. The initial prototype was Operations Forces. The contract also included 22
converted from a UH-60A, and took to the air for the production aircraft and options on another 38 units.
first time in September 2003. It was used to test Powered by uprated T700-GE-701C engines, the
performance and handling. The second prototype was a MH-60K is fitted with two external 230-gallon fuel
converted UH-60L, and was utilized for structural, tanks, an IBM-designed Integrated Avionics Subsystem,
performance, and avionics testing. The remaining two a Texas Instruments APQ-174A terrain
prototypes included a new-build UH-60M and a following/avoidance radar, a Hughes AAQ-16 forward-
UH 60A converted to the HH-60M medevac looking infrared (FLIR) system, a folding stabilator, a
configuration. rotor brake, an air-to-air refueling probe, and a starboard
fuselage-mounted rescue hoist. A pair of .50-caliber
In February 2004, Sikorsky received a $40 million
machine guns is also fitted, and the MH-60K has
contract to deliver four preproduction UH-60Ms to the
provisions for carrying Stinger air-to-air missiles.
Army. These four helicopters, all of which were
converted UH-60Ls, joined the four UH-60M MH-60G. The U.S. Air Force MH-60G replaced the
prototypes in the development program. canceled HH-60D Nite Hawk rescue helicopter. The
MH-60G is a Black Hawk derivative that is used by the
Sikorsky delivered the first production UH-60M to the
Air Force for a variety of missions. It is fitted for
Army in July 2006. In June 2007, the Pentagon
extended-range operations, has a precision low-level
approved full-rate production of the UH-60M.
tactical navigation system and upgraded
The Army intends to acquire 303 new-build HH-60Ms; communications and weapon systems, and can perform
these helicopters are included in the Army's planned buy in marginal weather. The MH-60Gs have been
of 1,227 production UH/HH-60Ms. Denver-based Air redesignated HH-60G.
Methods Corp produces the medical interior system for
S-70A. Military utility models marketed to
the HH-60M.
international customers.
In August 2008, a further-improved version of the
S-70C. Sikorsky has marketed a civil Black Hawk
UH-60M, called the UH-60M Upgrade, made its initial
variant, the S-70C, which received FAA type
flight. Among the improvements incorporated in this
certification in the restricted category in 1983. The
new version are FADEC-equipped T700-GE-701E
aircraft has an empty weight of 4,607 kilograms
engines, the Rockwell Collins Common Avionics
(10,158 lb), a cruise speed at sea level of 268 km/h
Architecture System (CAAS), and a fly-by-wire flight
(145 kt), and a range with maximum fuel and no
control system (with triple redundant Hamilton
reserves of 550 kilometers (297 nm).
Sundstrand dual-channel flight control computers and
BAE Systems active control sticks). S-70 Firehawk. Firefighting version of the Black
Hawk. It has a removable 1,000-U.S.-gallon water tank
EH-60A. Black Hawk derivative equipped with the
and extended landing gear. Existing Black Hawks can
Quick Fix IIB electronic warfare system. Sikorsky
be retrofitted to the Firehawk configuration, or the
received a $3.2 million prototype development contract
Firehawk can be built as a new-production helicopter.
in late 1980, and the YEH-60A prototype flew in
September 1981. Initial delivery of an EH-60A HH-60L. Medevac version for the U.S. Army.
occurred in 1987. Sikorsky delivered 26 production
EH-60As to the U.S. Army by the end of 1988. An
additional 40 were converted for the service from
inventory UH-60As by Tracor Aerospace.
Program Review
Background. In 1968, the U.S. Army launched a fluidic stability augmentation system but was
studies of a new troop-carrying helicopter to replace the eventually fitted with an electronic unit instead. The tail
Bell UH-1. Study contracts firmed up the requirement rotor, which was mounted at the top of a high vertical
for a twin-engine helicopter able to carry 11 combat- fin, was canted 20 degrees off the vertical. This
ready troops plus a crew of three. This helicopter was placement created about 181 kilograms (400 lb) of
known as the Utility Tactical Transport Aircraft System vertical thrust and allowed for greater center-of-gravity
(UTTAS). travel. An all-flying stabilator automatically sensed
airspeed changes, and its position ranged from 39
Parallel development at the Army's Aviation Materiel
degrees down at a hover to horizontal at cruise speeds.
Laboratories at Fort Eustis, Virginia, resulted in the
design of a new turboshaft engine, for which Requests RTM322 Engine. Westland fitted an S-70C with a
for Quotations (RFQ) went out in mid-1971. In pair of 2,100-shp Rolls-Royce Turbomeca RTM322-01
December of that year, General Electric's GE12 turboshafts, and flew the aircraft in June 1986.
powerplant was selected for the UTTAS. The T700 UH-60/RTM322 certification was obtained in late 1987.
production engine was derived from the GE12. The U.S. Army evaluated the RTM322 against GE's
uprated T700-GE-701C before selecting the GE engine
UH-60A Selected for UTTAS in early 1988 to power Black Hawks delivered from
Airframe Requests for Proposals (RFP) went out to nine 1989 onward.
companies in early 1972 and, in August of that year, Korean Coproduction. In 1990, Sikorsky and Korean
Sikorsky and Boeing Vertol were selected as finalists. Air announced U.S. government approval of licensed
Sikorsky flew the first prototype YUH-60A in October coproduction of the Black Hawk in South Korea. The
1974, and completed two more flight test units shortly helicopter was built for the South Korean military under
thereafter. The first unit was delivered to the Army in the UH-60P designation. The UH-60P is a standard
March 1976. In December 1976, Sikorsky's UH-60A U.S. Army UH-60L with minor changes tailored to meet
was declared the UTTAS winning design. The South Korean government requirements. Korean Air
prototype machines accumulated 650 flight test hours. built over 100 Black Hawks.
The UH-60A had a long fuselage that presented a low,
No WS-70 Orders
squat profile. The four blades of the main rotor were
pressurized, utilized structural integrity indicators, and Westland Licensed Program. A Sikorsky/Fiat
featured tips that were swept back 20 degrees. Leading acquisition of a nearly 16 percent share in Westland
edges each carried electrically heated de-icing mats. involved licensed production of the UH-60 by the U.K.
The rotor head incorporated bifilar vibration absorbers manufacturer. In September 1986, Westland officially
and elastomeric rotor hub bearings that required no launched the WS-70 program, followed by a first flight
lubrication, thereby reducing hub maintenance by 60 in April 1987. However, Westland never gained a
percent. The Black Hawk was originally slated to have single order for the WS-70.
Related News
200th UH/HH-60M Delivered to U.S. Army – Sikorsky delivered the 200th UH/HH-60M Black Hawk
helicopter to the U.S. Army in July 2010. "The UH-60M aircraft have been performing phenomenally well in
theater, supporting our troops and providing them with the latest technology for the mission," said Doug Shidler,
Sikorsky vice president for army programs. "The feedback from the U.S. Army has been extremely positive, as
more M models are introduced into the fleet." (Sikorsky, 7/10)
First Flight of S-70i – The initial S-70i International Black Hawk completed its first flight in July 2010. Aircraft
0001 was built at Sikorsky subsidiary PZL Mielec in Poland. The flight took place at the Sikorsky Development
Flight Center in Florida.
Production of the S-70i involves the use of a global supply chain. The helicopter is the first Black Hawk to ever be
assembled in Europe. "As Sikorsky Aircraft continues to grow internationally, we recognize the significance of this
December 2010
Rotorcraft Forecast Page 7
new integration of manufacturing and supply chain activities as a major leap forward for our company," said
Michael Ambrose, Sikorsky vice president for international military programs. (Sikorsky, 7/10)
Market Intelligence Service Subscribers: For additional news, go to the online E-Market Alert page located in the Intelligence Center at
www.forecastinternational.com and click on the links to the products you subscribe to.
Funding
U.S. FUNDING
FY11 FY11
FY08 FY08 FY09 FY09 FY10 FY10 (Req) (Req)
QTY AMT QTY AMT QTY AMT QTY AMT
U.S. Army
UH-60 77 1,421.6 66 1,091.5 81 1,468.8 74 1,393.3
Less: Advance
Proc (PY) - (183.0) - (116.8) - (134.5) - (102.2)
Total - 1,238.6 - 974.7 - 1,334.3 - 1,291.1
UH-60 Advance
Proc (CY) - 116.0 - 136.8 - 98.7 - 100.5
USSOCOM
MH-60 SOF
Modernization - 76.2 - 96.0 - 151.0 - 179.4
Timetable
Month Year Major Development
1968 UH-1 replacement studies begun
1971 UTTAS specifications firmed up
Early 1972 Airframe RFP
Aug 1972 Boeing Vertol and Sikorsky selected as finalists
Oct 1974 YUH-60A first flight
December 2010
Rotorcraft Forecast Page 9
Worldwide Distribution/Inventories
(As of October 2010)
Forecast Rationale
By the fall of 2010, Sikorsky had delivered more than Original Army plans had called for UH/HH-60M
200 UH/HH-60M Black Hawks to the U.S. Army. The deliveries to the service to transition from the Baseline
service plans to procure 1,235 M model Black Hawks. model to the Upgrade variant. However, in late 2009,
the Army recommended to the Pentagon that the
Current production UH-60Ms are built in what is known
Upgrade model be terminated once developmental
as the Baseline configuration. Sikorsky and the Army
testing is completed. While the service was satisfied
have been developing an improved version of the
with the progress of the Upgrade development effort, it
helicopter, dubbed the UH-60M Upgrade. This model
felt that the Baseline version was adequate for its needs
features FADEC-equipped GE T700-GE-701E engines,
and it would rather spend the money on getting
fly-by-wire flight controls, the Rockwell Collins CAAS,
additional Black Hawks into the field.
and other improvements. Two UH-60M Upgrade
helicopters are presently in flight testing.
December 2010
Rotorcraft Forecast Page 11
At this writing, the Pentagon has yet to make a final EC 725, and the NH Industries NH90. Contract award
decision on the fate of the Upgrade program, but is planned for FY12.
indications are that the Army recommendation will
Sikorsky is also proposing the UH-60M for the Air
probably be accepted. The Army still intends to
Force's Common Vertical Lift Support Platform
complete the current developmental testing regimen,
(CVLSP) program, and the company has said that its
which is scheduled to wrap up in FY12. The reasons for
teaming arrangement with Lockheed Martin will extend
this are threefold. First, ending the program
to the CVLSP bid. The CVLSP effort involves the
immediately would actually be more expensive than
acquisition of up to 93 helicopters to replace USAF
completing the testing, due to contract termination
UH-1Ns. Contract award is planned for FY12. Besides
costs. Second, the Army plans to gradually incorporate
the Black Hawk, other contenders for the CVLSP
some of the Upgrade improvements into the Baseline
contract include the AgustaWestland AW139, the V-22,
production configuration. (These improvements will
the EC 725, and the NH90.
likely include the -701E engine.)
The Air Force may well select the same rotorcraft for
Third, the results of the Upgrade test program will
both the CVLSP and HH-60 Recap contracts. The
inform development of Sikorsky's CH-53K helicopter, a
UH-60M is widely regarded as the frontrunner in both
fly-by-wire helicopter intended for use by the U.S.
contests.
Marine Corps.
Meanwhile, a pair of U.S. government civilian agencies MH-60M Conversion
have joined the Army as operators of the UH-60M. The U.S. Army plans call for a total of 71 of the service's
Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) is acquiring three UH-60Ms to be converted to the MH-60M
UH-60Ms, and took delivery of its initial helicopter in configuration. The MH-60M helicopters will be utilized
June 2009. That helicopter was the first UH-60M to by Army Special Operations Aviation.
enter service with an operator other than the U.S. Army.
The MH-60M has a high degree of commonality with
In August 2009, U.S. Customs and Border Protection the UH-60M, including use of the same main gearbox
(CBP) took delivery of the first of four UH-60Ms. All and active vibration control. Differences include
four are scheduled to be delivered to the agency by installation in the MH-60M of 2,600-shp General
2011. Electric YT706-GE-700 engines.
The U.S. Air Force will also soon join the ranks of The planned total of 71 MH-60Ms includes one
M model operators. Acquisition of a new combat prototype and 70 "production" helicopters. The
search-and-rescue (CSAR) helicopter to replace its fleet prototype was converted to the MH-60M standard by
of HH-60G Pave Hawks has been delayed. In order to L-3 Communications Integrated Systems from the first
replace HH-60Gs that have been lost through attrition, UH-60M prototype. This aircraft flew for the first time
the Air Force plans to procure 15 HH-60M Operational in the MH-60M configuration in April 2007.
Loss Replacement aircraft over the next few years. The
first four were funded in the FY10 defense budget. For methodological reasons, Forecast International
categorizes the MH-60M program as a
The Air Force effort involves procuring 15 new remanufacturing/conversion program. UH-60Ms slated
UH-60Ms, and then modifying them to the HH-60M to undergo the MH-60M conversion are included in our
CSAR configuration. The CSAR modifications include UH-60M/HH-60M (United States Army) forecast line,
an external hoist, a refueling probe, weaponry, and new while the conversions themselves are included in the
avionics and communications suites. It should be noted MH-60M SOF Modernization modification line. We do
that the USAF HH-60M CSAR helicopter is a different concede, however, that the MH-60M program could be
model than the Army's HH-60M medevac variant. viewed as a new-production effort, since it involves
Meanwhile, the Air Force's HH-60G fleet replacement taking brand-new UH-60Ms and modifying them to the
effort has been reconstituted as the HH-60 Personnel MH-60M configuration.
Recovery Recapitalization Program. Sikorsky has Beyond the U.S.
proposed the UH-60M for this program, and has teamed
with Lockheed Martin to pursue the contract. Lockheed The UH-60M is also achieving some success on the
Martin would act as major subsystems supplier. export market. Deliveries began in December 2009 of
nine UH-60Ms to the Bahrain Defense Forces. All nine
Other competitors for the USAF program include the
are slated to be in service by the end of 2010.
AgustaWestland AW101, the Bell/Boeing V-22 tiltrotor
aircraft, the Boeing CH-47 Chinook, the Eurocopter
Sikorsky is under contract to supply 40 UH-60Ms to the National Police. Also in mid-2010, press reports
United Arab Emirates (UAE); deliveries are scheduled surfaced of a potential Saudi Arabian deal for up to 72
to be completed by the end of 2012. In August 2010, UH-60s.
Sikorsky received a $35.3 million U.S. Army contract to
In August 2009, the U.S. Defense Security Cooperation
supply three UH-60Ms for the Mexican Navy. The
Agency notified Congress of a possible Foreign Military
three helicopters are scheduled to be delivered by
Sale to Thailand of three UH-60Ls. The estimated cost
December 2012. Not yet finalized is a deal worth an
of the deal is $150 million.
estimated $176 million to supply four UH-60Ms to
Egypt. In order to enhance product availability and shorten
delivery times, Sikorsky often begins production of
In September 2010, the U.S. Defense Security
Black Hawks in anticipation of receiving expected
Cooperation Agency (DSCA) notified Congress of a
orders. In October 2007, the company opened its new
possible Foreign Military Sale to Sweden of 15
Hawk Works completion center near the facilities of its
UH-60Ms. The estimated cost of the deal is $546
Schweizer Aircraft subsidiary in Elmira, New York.
million.
The Hawk Works facility is the primary completion
Swedish interest in the Black Hawk is quite notable due center for Black Hawks and Naval Hawks.
to the fact that Europe has generally been a difficult
Mitsubishi continues to license-build UH-60Js for the
market for Sikorsky in recent years. Sweden has
Japan Air Self-Defense Force (JASDF) and UH-60JAs
embarked on a fast-track acquisition of 15 medium
for the Japan Ground Self-Defense Force (JGSDF). The
transport helicopters to address an urgent shortfall in
JGSDF plans to procure up to 80 UH-60JAs.
CSAR and medical evacuation capability while Swedish
forces are deployed in Afghanistan. The helicopters are In mid-2010, the Japanese government issued a Request
required to be in service by 2013. Exacerbating the for Proposals (RFP) for a new search-and-rescue
situation is ongoing delay in fielding Sweden's new helicopter to replace UH-60Js in the JMSDF and Japan
NH90s. The UH-60M is competing against the EC 725 Air Self-Defense Force (JASDF) fleets. Up to 50
for the Swedish procurement. helicopters may be acquired, beginning with an initial
order for two sometime in the 2011-2012 timeframe.
In January 2010, the DSCA notified Congress of a
possible Foreign Military Sale to Taiwan of 60 New Black Hawks
UH-60Ms. The estimated cost of the deal is
$3.1 billion. Sikorsky announced two new Black Hawk models in
2006: the S-70i International Black Hawk and the
In November 2009, the DSCA notified Congress of a Battlehawk.
possible Foreign Military Sale to Iraq of up to 15 light
utility helicopters and up to 12 medium utility In essence, the S-70i is a hybrid of the UH-60L and the
helicopters. The deal is worth a potential $1.2 billion. UH-60M. Less advanced and less expensive than the
Candidates for the medium utility portion are the UH-60M, the S-70i is designed with a modular platform
UH-60M, the AW139, and the Bell 412. For the light that is configurable to specific customer requirements.
utility portion of the proposed sale, the Iraqi Among the new model's main features are a fully
government has requested either the AgustaWestland integrated glass cockpit, a dual digital automatic flight
AW109, the Bell 429, or the Eurocopter UH-72A. control system with coupled flight director, an active
vibration control system, and dual-pilot IFR capability.
Meanwhile, the earlier UH-60L Black Hawk model Sikorsky says that the S-70i "will provide multimission,
remains in production, at least for the time being. In 10-ton utility lift capability at a price comparable to
June 2009, Sikorsky was awarded a $60.4 million U.S. helicopters in the six- to eight-ton class."
Army contract to supply four UH-60Ls to the Brazilian
Air Force under the Foreign Military Sales (FMS) Final assembly of the S-70i is the responsibility of
program. Also under the FMS program, Sikorsky Sikorsky subsidiary PZL Mielec in Poland. Locating
received a $73.2 million U.S. Army contract in S-70i final assembly at PZL Mielec frees up Sikorsky's
September 2009 to supply six more UH-60Ls to the main facility in Stratford, Connecticut, to concentrate on
Brazilian Air Force. production of the UH-60M. The tailcone of the S-70i is
manufactured by Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI),
In August 2010, the DSCA notified Congress of a while the cockpit section is built by Kaman Aerospace.
possible Foreign Military Sale to Colombia of nine
UH-60Ls for an estimated cost of $162 million. One The initial S-70i made its first flight in July 2010. A
helicopter would be for the Colombian Air Force, four second S-70i had been completed by September 2010.
for the Colombian Army, and four for the Colombian Deliveries of the new model are planned to begin in
December 2010
Rotorcraft Forecast Page 13
2011. Sikorsky envisions output of about 20 S-70i The second new Black Hawk model announced in 2006
helicopters per year. is an armed version called the Battlehawk, which
Sikorsky is developing with the Israeli firm Elbit
Sikorsky announced in July 2010 that the Saudi Arabian
Systems. Armament options include missiles, rockets,
Ministry of Interior (MOI) had become the launch
and fixed forward and turreted guns. The Battlehawk
customer for the S-70i. The MOI signed a contract to
will be available both as a retrofit kit for existing Black
acquire three S-70i helicopters, and took options for an
Hawk helicopters and as a new-build helicopter. A
additional 12. Delivery of the first helicopter is
demonstrator flew for the first time in September 2008,
scheduled for early 2011. The helicopters are to
and completed flight testing in the second half of 2009.
perform transport, border protection, and other
missions. The Battlehawk configuration broadens the market
appeal of the Black Hawk by enhancing the helicopter's
The S-70i is replacing the UH-60L in the Sikorsky
multirole capability and enabling it to compete in such
product line. When UH-60L production ends, Sikorsky
market segments as attack and armed reconnaissance.
expects to transfer any remaining unfilled UH-60L
orders to the S-70i. In conjunction with the U.S. Army, Sikorsky is also
developing an optionally piloted version of the Black
The T-70, a customized variant of the S-70i, is one of
Hawk. Plans are to fly a demonstrator by the end of
two contenders for the Turkish Utility Helicopter
2010. Sikorsky is targeting introduction of the
Program (TUHP), the other contender being a version of
optionally piloted helicopter for 2015.
AgustaWestland's AW149 called the TUHP 149. The
Turkish program involves the acquisition of at least 150 Note: Historical production (through 2009) totals do
helicopters for the Turkish armed forces and various not include 26 EH-60As, 23 MH-60Ks, 41 S-70Cs, one
civil agencies. WS-70, 1,743 U.S. Army UH-60A/Ls, and 111 U.S. Air
Force UH-60A/MH-60Gs.
Ten-Year Outlook
Thru 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total
UH-60 M/HH-60 M <> United States <> Army <> T700 -GE-701D/-GE-701E
174 86 72 67 70 70 72 74 74 75 75 735
Total 752 119 103 103 109 106 103 99 98 99 100 1,039
AIRFRAME
High Confidence Good Confidence Less Confidence
Status Thru 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total
Estimated
64 MH-60M SOF Modernization <> UH-60 M
Potential Candidates
Planned/In Progress 7 14 14 16 15 5 0 0 0 0 0 64
Speculative 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
December 2010
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