Consumer Reaction To Indoor Farming Using LED Lighting Technology and The Effects of Providing Information Thereon
Consumer Reaction To Indoor Farming Using LED Lighting Technology and The Effects of Providing Information Thereon
Consumer Reaction To Indoor Farming Using LED Lighting Technology and The Effects of Providing Information Thereon
Heliyon
journal homepage: www.cell.com/heliyon
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Keywords: Indoor vertical farming using artificial light has gained popularity as one solution to food
Indoor farming problems. However, prior studies have shown that some consumers have a negative impression
Lighting color that crops are grown in an artificial environment. The increased use of purple Light-Emitting
New food technology
Diode (LED) lighting, which would make the growing environment look more artificial, may
Naturalness
Consumer perception
exacerbate that negative perception, leading to low acceptance of vertically farmed produce.
Information Given that consumers are increasingly seeing indoor vertical farming directly, for example, in
supermarkets and office buildings, it is important to understand how they perceive the use of
purple LED lighting to grow crops and whether these perceptions can be improved by learning
more about the scientific basis for artificial light cultivation. This study aimed to determine
whether purple LED lighting reduces consumers’ perceptions of indoor vertical farming compared
to traditional white lighting, and to examine whether providing information on plant growth and
artificial light changes those perceptions. We administered a web-based questionnaire to 961
Japanese respondents, and analyzed the response data using analysis of variance and an ordered
probit model to explore the factors that define the likability for indoor vertical farming. The
results revealed that the color of LED lighting had a limited influence on consumers’ perceptions
of indoor vertical farming, whereas explaining the principle of plant growth under artificial light
improves their perceptions. Additionally, personal factors, such as resistance to novel food
technology, trust in food safety, and awareness of indoor vertical farming, had a significant
impact on the perceptions. It is crucial to expand opportunities for people to interact with arti
ficial light cultivation and disseminate information about its scientific mechanisms.
1. Introduction
With the increase in global population and growing concern about climate change in recent years, indoor vertical farms (IVFs) (also
known as plant factories using artificial lighting), which allow crops to be grown regardless of season or location, have been attracting
attention [1,2]. IVF uses artificial light and multilevel growing racks in a closed environment to control plant growth and efficiently
produce high-quality crops year-round [3,4]. Various types of IVFs, from large to small, have been developed so far, and recently they
are increasingly installed in locations close to consumption areas, such as supermarkets, restaurants, and office buildings (see
Appendix A for pictures of IVFs). The spread of IVFs is expected to enable a stable supply of fresh vegetables and fruits in urban areas
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: [email protected] (Y. Yano).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16823
Received 21 September 2022; Received in revised form 25 May 2023; Accepted 30 May 2023
Available online 20 June 2023
2405-8440/© 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Y. Yano et al. Heliyon 9 (2023) e16823
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The online questionnaire comprised four major components: (1) IVF awareness and information sources, (2) providing information
and likability ratings, (3) food technology neophobia, trust in efforts to ensure food safety, and preference for science subjects, and (4)
basic attributes. The full questionnaire is available as a supplementary file.
2.1.4. Background
Regarding background, respondents were asked about gender, age, place of residence, family structure, and annual household
income. For annual household income, respondents were also provided the option of “Not intend to answer/not sure.”
Table 1
The color of LED lighting and the information provided for each group (G).
G1 G2 G3 G4 G5 G6
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Fig. 2. The color of LED lighting: a) white, b) light red-purple, c) dark red-purple
Table 2
Items of the abbreviated food technology neophobia scale (AFTNS) (n = 961).
No. Item Mean Std. Dev.
1 New foods are not healthier than traditional foods. 2.73 0.68
2 The benefits of new food technologies are often grossly overstated. 3.41 0.73
3 There are plenty of tasty foods around so we do not need to use new food technologies to produce more. 2.63 0.80
4 New food technologies decrease the natural quality of food. 2.91 0.74
5 New food technologies are unlikely to have long term negative health effects.a 2.96 0.71
6 New food technologies may have long term negative environmental effects. 2.98 0.74
7 It can be risky to switch to new food technologies too quickly. 3.22 0.82
8 Society should not depend heavily on technologies to solve its food problems. 2.93 0.80
9 There is no sense trying out high-tech food products because the ones I eat are already good enough. 2.69 0.73
a
Indicates reversed scored items. For all items, “strongly agree" = 5, …"strongly disagree" = 1.
The survey was conducted on December 6–9, 2019 via an online questionnaire distributed to men and women aged between 20 and
79 years residing in Japan. The design sample size was set to150 for each of the six patterns of the survey instrument, yielding a total of
900. INTAGE Inc., the largest marketing research company in Japan, was contracted to distribute and collect the questionnaires. The
registered monitors were divided into 12 categories based on gender and six age groups. The distribution targets were randomly
selected from each group and distributed equally. Online surveys are prone to bias in terms of respondent gender and age [29], and the
Table 3
Definition of the independent variables.
Variable Description
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equal distribution to each stratum was intended to eliminate such problems as much as possible. Informed consent was obtained from
all participants who agreed to participate in the survey.
In addition, the title of the questionnaire was changed to “Questionnaire on Lifestyles” to avoid bias in the respondents’ interest in
the survey subject matter. Nevertheless, although the possibility of bias remains because the respondents are Internet users and
voluntarily registered for monitoring [30], the questionnaire was designed to be suitable for conducting a large-scale nationwide
survey by assigning different LED lighting color combinations for each group, providing additional information, and administering the
questionnaire online. This method also has the advantage of making it easy to create branching questions and randomize the order in
which items are presented.
This study aimed to determine how the LED lighting color and the availability of information on artificial light cultivation affect
consumers’ likability for IVF. For this purpose, we first tested whether there is a difference in the likability scores among the six groups
listed in Table 1 using analysis of variance (ANOVA) and multiple comparison methods. Subsequently, to comprehensively identify the
factors that define the likability for IVF, we conducted an analysis using an ordered probit model, which is used when the dependent
variable (here, likability) is an ordinal variable (see Appendix D for model details).
For likability, ratings were obtained on a 7-point scale ranging from (7) favorable to (1) unfavorable. However, as described below,
the percentages of responses for both (1) and (2) were <2%, and almost 50% of the responses were “(4) neither” (in the middle).
Therefore, (1), (2), and (3) were integrated into “1: unfavorable,” (4) into “2: neither,” and (5), (6), and (7) into “3: favorable.” Thus,
the dependent variable is a three-level ordinal variable (M = 3).
Table 3 summarizes the definitions of the independent variables.
The light color of LED illumination: LRP and DRP are dummy variables that were set to a value of 1 when a picture of a growing
environment with LRP and DRP LED illuminations, respectively, was presented. The red-purple color was used for the following
reasons. First, a preliminary survey of 817 consumers was conducted immediately before this study. The results showed that LRP was
rated similarly to light blue or green, and DRP was rated similarly to the single color red or blue. Based on these results and the fact that
the red-purple color (a combination of red and blue, which is effective for plant growth) is common in IVFs using LED lighting, we
decided to use LRP and DRP lighting.
Additional information: Information is a dummy variable that was set to 1 when the additional information was presented. In this
study, we also estimated a model including a cross term with the light color dummy (i.e., Information*LRP and Information*DRP) to test
whether the effect of providing information varies depending on the color of LED lighting.
Awareness of IVF and information sources: Mass_Media, Internet, Building, and Tour are dummy variables that were set to a value
of 1 when the respondent has seen IVF (vegetables grown under artificial light) in mass media such as television, on the Internet, in a
building such as a restaurant or shopping mall, and at a tour or exhibition, respectively. It is known that most consumers obtain in
formation about new food technologies from the mass media and Internet, which significantly impacts their attitudes toward these
technologies [31–33]. In the case of IVF, dummy variables were created for each of these information sources as consumers may see
them installed in buildings such as malls or when they attend tours or exhibitions.
Food Technology Neophobia: A principal component analysis was performed using data from the nine items of the AFTNS, which
resulted in a low contribution rate of 0.37 for the first principal component. Therefore, each item in Table 2 was entered into the model
as a variable, and No. 1, No. 4, and No. 6 became statistically significant. However, because the problem of collinearity remained, a
composite variable (first principal component) was created by combining these three items in a principal component analysis and
named FTN (Food Technology Neophobia). The contribution of the first principal component was 0.61, and Cronbach’s alpha coefficient
of reliability was 0.683. Previous studies have found that food technology neophobia has a negative impact on consumers’ acceptance
of foods developed using novel food technologies, such as genetic modification [27,34], nanotechnology [34,35], cloning technology
[27], 3D printers [15], IVF [36]. Similarly in this study, we predicted that FTN would have a negative effect on the perceptions of IVF.
Trust in food safety: Trust is a dummy variable that was scored 1 if the average score of two items regarding trust in efforts to
ensure food safety as described in subsection 2.1.3 exceeds 4 (i.e., the average score is “Somewhat agree” or higher). Previous studies
have shown that increased trust in the food industry, government, and science & research tends to reduce risk perception of and to
increase willingness to purchase foods produced using various technologies [22,23,37–39]. Similarly, trust is expected to have a
similar positive effect on likability for IVF.
Preference for science subjects: Physics, Chemistry, and Biology were dummy variables set to 1 if the respondent answered that
they like physics, chemistry, and biology, respectively. Several studies have found that those exposed to science (e.g., those who took
courses related to natural sciences in college) have more positive attitudes toward genetically modified foods than those who were not
[40,41]. Yang and Hobbs [42] showed that attitudes toward science and technology influence consumer acceptance of genetically
modified produce. However, no study has shown the influence of attitudes toward each science subject on attitudes toward food
technology. We examined the impact of likes and dislikes of each natural science subject on the level of likability for IVF.
Demographic variables: Female was a dummy variable equal to 1 if the respondent was a woman, Age was the respondent’s age,
and Kanto was a dummy variable that was equal to 1 if the respondent lived in the Kanto (metropolitan) area. To preface this, many
studies have found that women have a more negative attitude toward new food technology [16,19,31,43]. However, the findings of
previous studies on the effect of age on it have been inconsistent [15,19]. Furthermore, a dummy variable was created to account for
the possibility that more people in areas close to metropolitan regions would better understand indoor cultivation in office buildings,
underground, shopping malls, etc., than in other areas.
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Responses were accepted until the number of respondents for each pattern of the questionnaire exceeded the design sample size of
150, resulting in a total of 961 respondents. The breakdown was 160, 158, 161, 163, 159, and 160 for G1, G2, G3, G4, G5, and G6,
respectively, all of which were used for data analysis as valid responses. Note that given this sample size, an effect size (Cohen’s f) of
0.12 or greater can be detected at a significance level of 5% and a power of 0.8.
Table 4
The distribution of respondents’ backgrounds (n = 961).
Characteristic Frequency % Census %
Gender
Male 471 49.0 49.4
Female 490 51.0 50.6
Age
20 to 29 76 7.9 13.2
30 to 39 141 14.7 16.6
40 to 49 166 17.3 19.6
50 to 59 163 17.0 16.4
60 to 69 242 25.2 19.3
70 to 79 173 18.0 14.9
Region
Hokkaido 50 5.2 4.2
Tohoku 61 6.3 7.1
Kanto (Metropolitan area) 361 37.6 33.8
Chubu 141 14.7 16.9
Kansai 184 19.1 17.7
Chugoku 55 5.7 5.9
Shikoku 28 2.9 3.0
Kyushu 81 8.4 11.4
Marital Status
Married 643 66.9 62.4
Unmarried 318 33.1 37.6
Presence of Children
Yes 347 36.1 43.0
No 614 63.9 57.0
Income
Less than 3 million yen 159 16.5 33.4
Between 3 and 5 million yen 228 23.7 23.8
Between 5 and 7 million yen 106 11.0 16.1
Between 7 and 9 million yen 77 8.0 10.4
Greater than 9 million yen 73 7.6 16.3
Prefer not to answer/not sure 318 33.1 N/A
Census information on gender, age, region, marital status and presence of children was obtained from the 2015 Population Census of
Japan, whereas income information was from the 2018 Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions. One million yen = 7285 USD (8/22/
2022). N/A = not available.
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Table 5
Respondents’ awareness and sources of information.
Variable Frequency %
Awareness (n = 961)
Yes 583 60.7
No 378 39.3
Sources of information (n = 583)
Internet sites and social media 49 8.4
TV and magazines 551 94.5
In buildings such as restaurants and shopping malls 39 6.7
Indoor vertical farm tours and exhibitions 24 4.1
Other 1 0.2
answered that they had “seen” artificial light cultivation in IVFs in real life or in the media. Of the responses, “TV, magazines, and other
media” was the most common source of information at 94.5% (57.3% of the total), followed by “websites, blogs, and social media on
the Internet” at 8.4%, “inside buildings such as restaurants and shopping malls” at 6.7%, and “tours and exhibitions at IVFs” at 4.1%.
These results indicate that about 40% have never seen IVF at all and of those who have seen IVF, most had seen it in cultivation when it
was introduced on TV or other media, and few have yet to see it in person.
Fig. 3 compares the average likability scores for each of the groups from G1 to G6. The error bars show the mean ± 2 standard error.
A one-way analysis of variance was performed to verify whether there was a difference in means between groups. A significant
Table 6
Distribution of responses across seven categories of likability by groups.
Group 1 = Unfavorable 2 3 4 5 6 7 = favorable n
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Table 7
Respondents’ trust in food safety (n = 961).
Question Strongly Somewhat Neither Somewhat Storngly
Disagree Disagree Agree Agree
I trust the efforts of the government, food business operators, and others to 2.5% 16.2% 52.8% 27.6% 0.9%
ensure food safety in principle.
I trust the information disseminated by scientists and engineers. 0.8% 12.3% 57.8% 27.7% 1.5%
Table 8
Respondents’ favorite science subjects (n = 961).
Subject Frequency %
Fig. 3. The average likability scores for each of the groups (Error bars show the mean ± 2 standard error).
difference was found between any of the groups as a whole (F (5, 955) = 3.27, p < 0.01). To confirm whether there was a difference
between any of the groups, multiple comparisons between the groups were performed. There was a difference only between G3 and G6
in the direction of higher mean likability scores for G6 (p < 0.05 for all of Bonferroni, Sidak, and Holm). This result indicated no
difference in the likability scores with the LED illumination color. Furthermore, when additional information was presented, the
difference in average likability scores was noted when the light color of the LED illumination was DRP.
Table 9 shows the estimation results of the ordered probit with likability for IVF as the dependent variable. Model 1 did not include
the cross term between additional information and the light color dummy, but Model 2 did. For each Model, the estimation results for
the full model, including all independent variables and the model with variable selection using the stepwise method, are shown.
Comparing the results of Models 1 and 2, the variables and coefficients that were significant except for the cross term were comparable.
However, the Akaike information criterion (AIC) of Model 2 was smaller, and the McFadden’s pseudo R-squared was higher. The
average variance inflation factor (VIF) and the condition number (CN) calculated as indicators for the multicollinearity diagnosis were
smaller when the stepwise method was used, meaning that the possibility of a problem was also lower (the average VIF was close to 1,
and the CN was <5). In general, multicollinearity should be suspected when the CN exceeds 20 [46]. Considering these results, the
results obtained by estimating Model 2 with a stepwise variable selection method are presented below.
First, none of the coefficients for the light color dummies (LRP and DRP) were statistically significant, indicating that the special
light color of LEDs did not affect the likability. This finding was contrary to expectations based on the findings of Hasenbeck et al. [13]
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Table 9
Estimation results and marginal effects of the ordered probit model (n = 961).
Model 1 (w/o cross terms) Model 2 (w/cross terms) Marginal Effects
Full Model Stepwise Selection Full Model Stepwise Selection Model 2 Stepwise Selection
Coef. Std. Err. Coef. Std. Err. Coef. Std. Err. Coef. Std. Err. y = 1 Unfavorable y = 2 Neither y = 3 Favorable
Trust 0.386 ** 0.13 0.382 ** 0.13 0.380 ** 0.13 0.381 ** 0.13 − 0.055 ** − 0.066 ** 0.121 **
Physics 0.340 ** 0.13 0.357 ** 0.12 0.334 ** 0.13 0.360 ** 0.12 − 0.052 ** − 0.062 ** 0.115 **
Chemistry 0.149 0.11 0.153 0.11
Biology 0.108 0.10 0.115 0.10
Female 0.099 0.08 0.093 0.08
Age − 0.004 0.00 − 0.003 0.00
Kanto 0.186 * 0.08 0.161 * 0.08 0.174 * 0.08 0.153 0.08 − 0.022 − 0.026 0.049
1st threshold − 1.22 0.16 − 1.06 0.09 − 1.20 0.17 − 1.07 0.09
2nd threshold 0.66 0.16 0.81 0.08 0.69 0.17 0.81 0.08
Pseudo R-squared 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.14
Wald Chi-square 194 ** 183 ** 203 ** 190 **
AIC 1570 1564 1569 1560
Mean VIF 1.12 1.03 1.67 1.09
Condition number 13.19 4.33 14.33 4.50
and Yang et al. [14] which have suggested that unfamiliar light colors used for display, such as blue or red, negatively influence
consumers’ perceptions. This inconsistency may be due to the fact that the current study focused on purple lighting, which previous
studies did not use, and that respondents were asked about their impressions of the LED growing environment rather than their im
pressions of the food itself.
Next, the additional information dummy (Information) generally had a significant positive effect on the likability. This means that
explaining the scientific basis for vegetable growth under artificial light can increase consumers’ perception for IVF. This finding was
in accord with previous studies indicating that providing evidence-based information about the technology can improve consumers’
perceptions [15,17–19]. However, the results differed for those presented with a LRP light (purple slightly closer to white). It was
found that the explanation of the color strengthened the perception of the purple color more than the white color, resulting in the
emergence of an effect (negative effect) that reminded them of the unnaturalness of the color, which in turn nullified the positive
effect.
As for variables related to IVF awareness and information sources, the Mass_Media and Tour coefficients were positive and
significantly higher than other variables. This may be because IVF has been positively featured in TV news programs in Japan, and the
benefits of IVF have been communicated to the public. The marginal effects indicated that participation in tours and exhibitions
particularly increased the probability of a “favorable” response. However, this result may reflect the participants’ original level of
interest and knowledge. On the other hand, Internet and Building were not significant. This may be because the Internet does not
necessarily provide information that positively influences likability, and it is difficult to convey the benefits of IVF and the mechanism
of plant growth under artificial light by simply observing the growing environment inside a building. Overall, participants who had
previously heard about IVF were more likely to show a positive attitude toward it, which matched Ares et al. [43] and Jaeger et al.
[36].
The coefficient of FTN was negative and significant, confirming that respondents with higher resistance to new food technology
expressed a lower preference for IVF. This result is consistent with those of previous studies in that food technology neophobia
negatively affects the acceptance of foods developed using novel food technologies [15,25,27,34–36]. The Trust coefficient was
positive and significant, indicating that respondents with high trust in food safety initiatives and information have a high likability
toward IVF. This result is consistent with those reported by Roosen et al. [37], Siegrist et al. [38], Siegrist [23], and Sodano et al. [39].
Furthermore, the Physics coefficient was positive and significant, indicating that respondents who reported a preference for physics
tended to show high likability toward IVF. Because IVF uses advanced industrial technology, respondents who are inclined toward
fields related to electricity and mechanics likely showed a high likability. Furthermore, the demographic variables Female, Age, and
Kanto were not significant at a 5% significance level. The finding regarding gender of the current study differs from that of the previous
research indicating that women have a more negative attitude toward emerging food technologies in general [16,19,31,43].
In summary, the color of LED lighting does not affect consumers’ likability for IVF; instead, “resistance to new food technology,”
“trust in efforts to ensure food safety,” and “recognition of the technology,” which are generally reported as factors affecting perception
and acceptance of novel food technology, have a significant impact on the likability for IVF. It was also suggested that providing
information on why vegetables can grow well under artificial light can improve the likability for IVF on average. Furthermore, it was
found that among the natural sciences, those who liked “physics,” which includes contents such as mechanics and electricity, rather
than subjects such as chemistry and biology, showed a high preference for IVF.
These findings provide valuable insights for developing the effective communication and marketing strategies of IVFs. When setting
up IVFs in restaurants and retail stores or posting IVF images and videos on the Internet, the light color of LEDs should not be an issue;
rather, it is important to carefully communicate the scientific basis underlying vegetables growing well even under artificial light. In
stores, it may be effective to provide such information using promotional tools, such as point of purchase (POP) displays. When
providing information, it should be as concise as possible to avoid bias due to information overload. It may also be necessary to create
opportunities for individuals to become familiar with cultivation methods using artificial light, thereby reducing resistance to the
novel technology used in IVF while also providing answers to questions about safety and nutritional value. For example, using small
LED hydroponic kits for school education, etc., and teaching students the process and mechanism of vegetable growth under LED
lighting and using liquid fertilizer, as well as having them eat the vegetables they grow, may be effective in improving their perception
of IVF. Furthermore, promoting information dissemination by distributing press releases, as well as interactive communication with
consumers through workshops and social media may be effective in building mutual understanding and trust.
4. Conclusion
This study examined whether the use of purple LED lighting affects consumers’ perception for IVF compared to conventional white
lighting and whether providing information on the principle of the artificial light cultivation techniques changes those perceptions. We
conducted a comprehensive analysis, including factors influencing consumers’ perception and acceptance of novel food technologies
that were identified in previous studies.
The results revealed that the use of purple LED lighting did not have an effect on the perceptions of IVF, whereas factors such as
food technology neophobia, trust in food safety assurance, and awareness of IVF through mass media reports and tours had a sig
nificant impact on these perceptions. While the results also indicated that providing information on the principle that plants can grow
well under artificial light was effective in increasing the likability for IVFs, the effect was not higher for the special light color LED
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Ethics statement
Ethical review and approval for this study were waived by the Ethics Committee of the Graduate School of Horticulture, Chiba
University, because the data was voluntary and anonymous with no information regarding physiological and deep psychological
indices. The informed consent was obtained from all subjects involved in the study.
Yuki Yano: Conceived and designed the experiments; Performed the experiments; Analyzed and interpreted the data; Wrote the
paper.
Atsushi Maruyama: Analyzed and interpreted the data; Wrote the paper.
Na Lu: Performed the experiments; Contributed reagents, materials, analysis tools or data.
Michiko Takagaki: Conceived and designed the experiments; Contributed reagents, materials, analysis tools or data.
Funding statement
Additional information
Supplementary content related to this article has been publish online at [URL].
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to
influence the work reported in this paper
Figure A.1 shows interior view of the IVF using LED lighting in Fukushima, Japan. Consumers can see the inside of this type of IVFs
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Y. Yano et al. Heliyon 9 (2023) e16823
in the media, such as TV, newspaper and Internet, or at exhibitions and tour.
Fig. A.1. Interior view of the indoor vertical farm using LED lighting, Fukushima, Japan.
In recent years, consumers are increasingly seeing indoor vertical farms using LED lighting directly in stores, office buildings, and
other places. Figure A.2 shows an indoor vertical farm used in supermarket in Japan.
Fig. A.2. Indoor vertical farm installed in a supermarket (by Planet Co. Ltd., Japan). Notes: Reprinted from the Figure 15.9 in Chapter 15 of the
book “Plant Factory Basic, Applications, and Advances,” [47].
An example of a photo of the LED growing environment and basic information about IVF presented to respondents are shown in the
following figure (Figure B.1: White LEDs).
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Fig. B.1. Example of a photo of the LED growing environment and basic information about IVF presented to respondents.
Information about the scientific basis for artificial light cultivation presented to respondents is shown in the following figure
(Figure C.1).
Fig. C.1. Information on why vegetables grow well under artificial light.
Because the rating scale method was used to measure likability in this study, it is a categorical variable with an order relationship.
In general, an ordinal variable with M categories is defined as follows (Eq. (1)):
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In the ordered probit model, assuming that the dependent variable (ordinal variable) yi corresponds to a continuous latent variable
yi* (where the latent variable represents the magnitude of likability), we consider the following linear model:
Where, xi is the vector of independent variables (K × 1), β is the vector of unknown parameters to be estimated (K × 1), and εi is the
error term. The subscript i represents the ith respondent. Considering the category selected for each respondent as determined by the
size of the latent variable, we define the relationship between the ordinal and latent variables as follows:
yi = 1 if yi* ≤ α1
Where α1, α2, …, αM-1 are the threshold parameters. Assuming that εi follows a normal distribution, from Eqs. (2) and (3), the con
ditional probability of the dependent variable can be expressed as follows (Eq. (4)):
Where Φ (•) is the cumulative probability density function of the standard normal distribution. Thus, for any given respondent i, the
log-likelihood function is determined as follows (Eq. (5)):
∑
logLi (β, α1, α2, …, αM-1; y, x) = m zim log{Φ (αm – x′i β) – Φ (αm-1 – x′i β)} (5)
Where zim is the indicator function and takes the value 1 when yi = m and 0 otherwise, and α0 = − ∞ and αM = ∞. In the ordered
∑
probit model, the parameters are estimated to maximize the sum of this log-likelihood function for each respondent (i.e., i logLi).
StataSE15.1 software (StataCorp., College Station, TX, USA) was used for the statistical analysis, and a two-tailed p value of <0.05 was
considered statistically significant.
The estimated parameter β does not directly represent the marginal effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable.
The marginal effect of the independent variable on the probability of category m is expressed as follows (Eq. (6)):
Where φ(•) is the standard normal density function. Because marginal effects depend on the coefficients and the vector of independent
variables, it is common practice to calculate the average effect. There are two ways to evaluate marginal effects: averaging the
marginal effects for each respondent or using the sample mean of the variables. The former method is used in this study.
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